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[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 19

Butler vs Indiana
Butler (1-1)
? ranked #64 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #224
? Continuity: #239
? Butler beat Western Michigan by 4, lost by 19 at Villanova.
? There were three weeks between the two games.
? Butler?s two opponents made 19-41 on arc (46.3%).

Indiana (4-2)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #85
? Hoosiers split their four top 100 games.
? Indiana has #18 eFG% defense in country.
? Hoosiers start conference play Wednesday vs Northwestern.

? These teams split last four meetings, played every other year.

Gonzaga vs Iowa (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Gonzaga (3-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #11
? Experience: #212
? Continuity: #158
? Zags haven?t played in 17 days.
? Gonzaga has beaten three top 75 teams, two top 10 teams.
? Zags are shooting 65.3% inside arc (#2).

Iowa (6-0)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #31
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #56
? Iowa has two top 100 wins, but has played schedule #282.
? Hawkeyes score lot of points (100.7 ppg)
? Iowa beat North Carolina 93-80, Iowa State 105-77.

Louisville @ Wisconsin
Louisville (4-0)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #280
? Experience: #314
? Continuity: #308
? Louisville hasn?t played in 18 days.
? Cardinals have top 100 wins over Seton Hall, Western Kentucky.
? This is a young team?s first game away from home.

Wisconsin (5-1)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #328
? Experience: #31
? Continuity: #20
? Badgers? one loss was by hoop at Marquette.
? Wisconsin has top 100 wins over Rhode Island, Loyola Chi
? Badgers are making 39.7% of their 3?s (#28)

Wright State @ Detroit
Wright State (2-1)
? ranked #103 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #77
? Wright State won its first road game by 18 at Bowling Green.
? All three of their games were decided by 16+ points.
? Wright State won both its games vs teams outside top 100.

Detroit (1-3)
? ranked #199 by KenPom
? Tempo: #126
? Experience: #3
? Continuity: #234
? Two of Detroit?s three losses are to top 80 teams.
? Titans lost only home game, 80-66 to Kent State.
? Detroit it shooting only 28.9% of its 3?s (#255).

? Wright won last three series games, by 12-1-23 points.

Western Kentucky @ Alabama
Western Kentucky (5-2)
? ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #211
? Experience: #36
? Continuity: #101
? Hilltoppers? two losses are to top 25 teams (West Va/Louisville)
? WKU has three top 100 wins (No Iowa, Memphis, Rhode Island)
? WKU?s opponents are shooting 44.7% on arc (#313).

Alabama (4-2)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #23
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #151
? Alabama split its four top 100 games, losing to Stanford, Clemson
? Crimson Tide scored 64-56 points in its losses, 80+ in its wins.
? Alabama takes 46.8% of its shots on arc, but is making only 29.7% (#240).

North Carolina vs Kentucky (@ Cleveland)
North Carolina (4-2)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #92
? Experience: #305
? Continuity: #144
? UNC is 1-2 in top 100 games, losing 69-67 to Texas, 93-80 at Iowa.
? Tar Heels are turning ball over 22.8% of time (#267)
? Carolina?s best win is 67-63 over Stanford.

Kentucky (1-4)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #176
? Experience: #320
? Continuity: #320
? Kentucky lost its last four games, all to top 80 teams.
? Wildcats are turning ball over 23.8% of time (#284)
? Kentucky is shooting 24.4% on arc (#296).

? Kentucky won last meeting 80-72, two years ago.

Ole Miss @ Dayton
Ole Miss (4-0)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #250
? Experience: #90
? Continuity: #207
? Ole Miss is 4-0 vs schedule #292; Middle Tennessee was their one road game.
? Rebels are forcing turnovers 30.2% of time (#4).
? Ole Miss is shooting 24% on the arc (#301).

Dayton (3-1)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #156
? Dayton?s two top 100 games were decided by total of 5 points.
? Flyers are turning ball over 25.9% of time (#306)
? All three Dayton wins were by six or fewer points.

Purdue vs Notre Dame (@ Indianapolis)
Purdue (5-2)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #266
? Experience: #303
? Continuity: #146
? Purdue is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Clemson (81-70), Miami (58-54).
? Boilers beat Ohio State in their conference opener Wednesday.
? Purdue is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#258)

Notre Dame (2-3)
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #302
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #11
? Notre Dame has played schedule #12 (four top 40 teams)
? ND lost its last game by 10 at home to Duke on Wednesday.
? Notre Dame is shooting 41.8% on the arc (#13).

? Notre Dame won last meeting 88-80, two years ago.

Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor (4-0)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #252
? Experience: #105
? Continuity: #46
? Baylor hasn?t played a game in ten days.
? Bears have scored 90.8 ppg vs schedule #98
? Baylor is forcing turnovers 27.1% of time (#12)

Kansas State (3-4, 1-0)
? ranked #147 by KenPom
? Tempo: #345
? Experience: #307
? Continuity: #251
? K-State won its last two games, after a 1-4 start.
? Wildcats changed their lineup after losing to a D-II team.
? K-State?s defensive eFG% is #284 in country.

? Baylor beat K-State twice LY, by 19-6 points.

UCLA vs Ohio State (@ Cleveland)
UCLA (5-1)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #344
? Experience: #192
? Continuity: #2
? Bruins won last five games after an opening loss at San Diego State.
? UCLA?s only top 100 win was by 9 over Marquette.
? Bruins? defensive eFG% is #81 in country.

Ohio State (5-1)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #318
? Experience: #89
? Continuity: #139
? Buckeyes just lost their Big 14 opener at Purdue.
? Ohio State has played schedule #218; their best win is over #78 Notre Dame.
? Buckeyes are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#81).

Colorado State @ Saint Mary?s
Colorado State (2-0)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #147
? Experience: #298
? Continuity: #45
? CSU won its first D-I game by 39 over Northern Arizona.
? Rams start three sophs, two juniors (#298 experience)
? State is stepping up in class here; Gaels have already played 8 games.

Saint Mary?s (7-1)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #256
? Continuity: #216
? Gaels won their last seven games, after an opening loss to Memphis.
? Saint Mary?s has top 100 wins over Northern Iowa, South Dakota State.
? Gaels get good shots; they?ve got #55 eFG% in country.

Cincinnati @ Georgia
Cincinnati (2-3)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #155
? Experience: #173
? Continuity: #185
? Bearcats lost three of last four games; they?ve played schedule #56.
? Cincy?s only top 100 win was by 5 at home over Furman.
? Bearcats are shooting 26.9% on the arc (#277)

Georgia (5-0)
? ranked #93 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #247
? Dawgs have beaten four stiffs and #150 Montana.
? Georgia won its last game by 4, over #272 Samford
? Dawgs have forced turnovers 23.2% of time (#52)

Arizona vs Stanford (@ Santa Cruz, CA)
Arizona (5-0)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #195
? Experience: #269
? Continuity: #303
? Arizona has played schedule #294; they?ve got lot of new players.
? This is Arizona?s first game away from home.
? Wildcats have #21 eFG% defense in country.

Stanford (3-2)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #29
? Cardinal has played schedule #55, losing to UNC (67-63), Indiana (79-63).
? Stanford?s only top 100 win was by 18 over Alabama.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 20.9% of the time (#219).

? Arizona won last 20 series games; their last loss to Stanford was 12 years ago.

 

[Cnotes53]

601INDIANA -602 BUTLER
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

603GONZAGA -604 IOWA
IOWA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

607LOUISVILLE -608 WISCONSIN
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

609UNC-GREENSBORO -610 ELON
UNC-GREENSBORO is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997.

615WRIGHT ST -616 DETROIT
WRIGHT ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

617VALPARAISO -618 TOLEDO
VALPARAISO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games since 1997.

621JAMES MADISON -622 E CAROLINA
JAMES MADISON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

623WI-MILWAUKEE -624 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

625HOFSTRA -626 ST BONAVENTURE
HOFSTRA is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

627MARIST -628 MANHATTAN
MARIST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, December 19

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BUT at IND 11:30 AM
IND -7.5

IOWA at GONZ 12:00 PM
IOWA +5.0

TROY at AUB 12:00 PM
TROY +17.5
O 142.5

LOU at WIS 12:00 PM
LOU +6.0
O 131.5

CIT at LONG 12:30 PM
U 148.5

MORE LATER

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

JMU at ECU 01:00 PM
ECU -9.0

UNCG at ELON 01:00 PM
O 137.0

HP at CWM 02:00 PM
CWM -6.5

VALP at TOL 02:00 PM
TOL -6.5

UNC at UK 02:00 PM
UNC -3.0

MILW at WIGB 02:00 PM
WIGB -1.0

WRST at DETU 02:00 PM
WRST -5.0

NCAT at CHAR 04:00 PM
CHAR -12.5

BAY at KSU 04:00 PM
BAY -17.0

FUR at WIN 04:00 PM
U 153.5

UCLA at OSU 04:15 PM
OSU +2.0

HBU at OKLA 05:00 PM
HBU +32.5

CSN at CAL 05:00 PM
CAL -11.0

UCSB at PEPP 06:00 PM
UCSB +4.0

EWU at NAU 06:05 PM
EWU -10.0

 

[Cnotes53]

EVENING GAMES:

ARIZ at STAN 07:00 PM
STAN -2.0
U 137.0

OAK at UIC 07:00 PM
UIC -5.0
U 140.0

CSU at SMC 08:00 PM
SMC -5.5

M-OH at BRAD 08:00 PM
BRAD -12.0

CIN at UGA 08:00 PM
O 147.5

CP at LMU 09:00 PM
U 141.0

STJOE at VILL 09:00 PM
VILL -22.0

UCF at FSU 09:00 PM
FSU -15.0

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/19/2020 15-16-1 48.44% -1300 Detail
12/18/2020 10-7-1 58.33% +1150 Detail
12/17/2020 8-9-0 47.06% -950 Detail
12/16/2020 13-10-0 56.52% +1000 Detail
12/15/2020 12-6-0 66.66% +2700 Detail
12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............206-196-7.....51.24%.....-48.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
Spreads on some of the early bowl games:
? North Texas (-19) vs Appalachian State (Myrtle Beach Bowl)
? Tulane (-3) vs Nevada (Idaho Potato Bowl)
? BYU (-3.5) vs Central Florida (Boca Raton Bowl)
? Louisiana Tech (-4.5) vs Georgia Southern (New Orleans Bowl)
? Florida Atlantic (-10) vs Memphis (Montgomery Bowl)
? Georgia State (-5) vs Western Kentucky (First Responder Bowl)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 314,572
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Seven straight SEC wins. Some schools ain?t even playing seven games. I don?t care what league you?re in. If you?re gonna pick the best four teams, we?re one of them.?
Texas A&M football coach Jimbo Fisher

Sunday?s quiz
Who was the last football team other than Clemson to win the ACC title?

Saturday?s quiz
Alvin Gentry was coach of the Phoenix Suns last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

Friday?s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

*********************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Bills 48, Denver 19
? Bills win AFC East for first time in 25 years.
? Buffalo won seven of its last eight games, covered last six.
? Bills outscored last five opponents 104-52 in first half.
? Diggs/Beasley both had 100+ receiving yards for Buffalo

? Denver lost seven of its last nine games.
? Broncos lost five of their seven home games.
? Denver turned ball over 19 times (-11) in their last nine games.
? Broncos were outgained, 534-255.

12) Green Bay 24, Panthers 16:
? Carolina lost eight of its last nine games overall.
? Panthers are 4-10 despite a +4 turnover ratio.
? Panthers covered their last six games as road underdogs.
? Carolina is 0-10 when they allow 23+ points, 4-0 when they allow 21 or fewer.

? Packers? first three drives: 27 plays, 203 yards, 21 points.
? Green Bay won six of last seven games, scoring 31.0 ppg in last five.
? Under is 8-3 in last 11 Green Bay games.
? Packers were outscored in second half in 9 of their last 11 games.

11) San Jose State 34, Boise State 20:
? Brent Brennan has done one of the best coaching jobs in the history of man; two years ago, San Jose went 1-11. Now they?re Mountain West champs.

? Spartans finish regular season 7-0, their best record since 1939.
? All seven of San Jose?s wins are by 10+ points.

10) Clemson 34, Notre Dame 10:
? Tigers outgained Notre Dame, 541-263; this wasn?t very interesting.
? Etienne carried the ball 10 times for 124 yards.
? Now the playoff selection committee has the drama they crave; who gets the 4th bid?

9) LSU 53, Ole Miss 48:
? LSU receiver Kayshon Boutte caught 14 passes for 308 yards, three TD?s.
? Ole Miss QB Corral threw for 251 yards, ran for 158 more, but threw five INT?s.
? How do you turn the ball over six times and still score 48 points?
? LSU QB Johnson threw for 435 yards, three TD?s.

8) Utah 45, Washington State 28:
? Coogs (+11) led 28-7 at halftime, didn?t even cover the spread.

7) Gonzaga 99, Iowa 88:
? Zags spanked Iowa; this was their first game in 17 days.
? Gonzaga was minus-6 in turnovers, made only 14-24 on line, still scored 99 points.
? Iowa G Connor McCaffery is the coach?s son; he?s played 156:00 in seven games, has taken a total of 19 shots- you don?t have to guard him much.

6) Western Kentucky 73, Alabama 71:
? Big man Bassey had 27 points, 12 boards; why is he playing in Conference USA?
? Hilltoppers are 6-2, with three top 80 wins- they?re #43 in experience.
? 46.7% of Alabama?s shots are 3?s, but they?re only making 29.3% of them (#254).

5) North Carolina 75, Kentucky 63:
? Kentucky is 1-5 for first time since 1927.
? Wildcats played 7 freshmen, a soph, two seniors; they?re #324 in continuity.
? Teams combined to shoot 8-33 on the arc.
? Kentucky was up 11 early in this game, led by 4 at the half, died down the stretch.

4) Ohio State 77, UCLA 70:
? OSU outscored the Bruins 29-16 over final 12:40 of this game.
? Buckeyes shot 60.7% inside the arc.
? UCLA is playing a Cronin-like #343 pace; the locals ain?t going to like that, especially when you lose the more visible games, like this one.

3) Iona 72, Rider 64:
? Rick Pitino?s Gaels are off to a 3-1 start in the MAAC.
? Iona has given up only 57.1 ppg in their league games.
? Iona has a new coach, all new players (#265 in continuity) but he is a great coach.

2) Stanford 78, Arizona 75:
? Arizona made 11-23 on the arc, only 12-23 on foul line.
? Arizona has an almost whole new team (continuity #307).
? Stanford, on the other hand, is #32 in continuity.

1) Big college football news around 11pm; the Rose Bowl is relocating from Pasadena to Arlington, TX. Rose Bowl is also one of the semi-finals in the playoffs.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 20

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Sunday, December 20

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 20

Creighton @ UConn
Creighton (5-2, 1-1)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #53
? Continuity: #17
? Bluejays split two road games, winning at St John?s, losing by 1 at Kansas.
? Creighton is 1-2 in top 100 games; their best win is over #91 St John?s.
? Bluejays have #3 eFG% in country; they?re shooting 39.8% on arc.

UConn (3-0)
? ranked #45 by KenPom
? Tempo: #319
? Experience: #172
? Continuity: #129
? This is UConn?s first game in 17 days.
? Huskies beat USC by 3, pounded on couple of stiffs.
? UConn is rebounding 45.9% of its own missed shots (32).

? UConn is back in Big East this year; they haven?t played Creighton recently.

Illinois @ Rutgers
Illinois (5-2, 1-0)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #41
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #45
? Illinois split its four top 100 games.
? Illini allowed 80+ points in its losses, to Baylor/Missouri.
? Illinois is shooting 43.2% on arc (#7).

Rutgers (5-0, 1-0)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #168
? Experience: #204
? Continuity: #69
? Rutgers is giving up only 64.6 ppg.
? Scarlet Knights have two top 100 wins (Syracuse/Maryland)
? Rutgers is shooting only 57.3% on foul line (#319).

? Illinois won four of last five series games.

Oklahoma State @ Texas
Oklahoma State (6-1, 0-1)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #33
? Experience: #300
? Continuity: #276
? OSU has three road wins, at Marquette, Wichita, Tex-Arlington.
? Cowboys lost their Big X opener, at home to TCU.
? OSU?s last three games were decided by total of 9 points.

Texas (6-1)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #245
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #9
? Texas is 3-1 in top 100 games, losing by 4 to Villanova.
? Longhorns have #12 eFG% defense in country.
? To this point, Texas has played #71 schedule in country.

? These teams split last eight meetings (home teams 6-2)

Marquette @ Xavier
Marquette (5-3, 1-1)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #261
? Experience: #180
? Continuity: #163
? Marquette lost two of its last three games.
? Golden Eagles are 2-3 in top 100 games, beating Wisconsin/Creighton.
? Marquette is 1-1 in true road games, winning by 5 at Creighton, losing by 9 at UCLA.

Xavier (7-0)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #264
? Experience: #119
? Continuity: #264
? Xavier has three top 100 wins (Toledo, Cincinnati, Oklahoma)
? Musketeers haven?t played in 11 days.
? Xavier gets good shots; their eFG% is #9 in country.

? Marquette won last four series games, winning last meeting in double OT.

Weber State @ Portland State
Weber State (3-1, 1-0)
? ranked #253 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #59
? Continuity: #282
? Weber split two D-I games, hammering Portland St yesterday.
? Wildcats are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#242).
? Weber played eight guys 16:00+ yesterday; no one played 30:00.

Portland State (4-2, 0-1)
? ranked #318 by KenPom
? Tempo: #7
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #317
? Vikings are 0-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 15-9-28 points,
? Portland State is shooting 21.3% on arc (#321)
? Vikings were down 17 at half Saturday; no one played more than 26:00.

? Weber hammered Portland State 94-66 yesterday (48-31 at half)
? Vikings beat Weber State twice LY, by 19-9 points.

Providence @ Seton Hall
Providence (4-2)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #203
? Providence hasn?t played in 11 days.
? Friars protect ball well, but are shooting 24.3% on arc (#308)
? Providence split four top 100 games, beating Davidson, TCU.

Seton Hall (5-3, 2-0)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #114
? Seton Hall won its last four games, after a 1-3 start.
? Pirates allowed 65.5 ppg in winning first two Big East games.
? To this point, Seton Hall has played schedule #37.

? Seton Hall won five of last seven series games.
? Home side won last four series meetings.

Air Force @ Nevada
Air Force (2-3, 0-1)
? ranked #266 by KenPom
? Tempo: #356
? Experience: #79
? Continuity: #212
? Falcons? two wins are over teams ranked #284/#301
? Air Force is running Princeton offense (#356 pace)
? Air Force lost 74-57 here Friday (41-39 at half).

Nevada (6-2, 1-0)
? ranked #125 by KenPom
? Tempo: #86
? Experience: #312
? Continuity: #277
? Nevada gave up 85-87 points in their two losses.
? Wolf Pack is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#212)
? Nevada shot 61.5% inside arc, turned ball over 19 times Friday.

? Nevada won last 11 series games, last seven by 11+ points.

Georgetown @ St John?s
Georgetown (3-3, 1-1)
? ranked #100 by KenPom
? Tempo: #85
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #237
? Hoyas are 1-2 in top 100 games, beating Johnnies in OT last Sunday
? This is Georgetown?s first game away from home.
? Georgetown is turning ball over 22.9% of time (#274)

St John?s (5-4, 0-3)
? ranked #91 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #257
? Continuity: #201
? Red Storm lost last three games, after a 5-1 start.
? Johnnies are 0-4 vs top 100 teams; Georgetown is #100.
? St John?s is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#34).

? St John?s led by 7 with 2:37 left in last Sunday?s meeting, lost in OT.
? Georgetown won four of last five series games.

Michigan State @ Northwestern
Michigan State (6-0)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #168
? Continuity: #63
? Spartans won their only road game by 6 at Duke.
? MSU has top 100 wins over Duke, Notre Dame.
? Spartans are #63 in continuity; their bench plays minutes #19.

Northwestern (3-1)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #55
? Wildcats won two of three games vs schedule #325.
? Northwestern lost by point at home to Pittsburgh.
? Wildcats beat two Bottom 10 teams and an NAIA squad.

? Michigan State won last 12 series games; their last two wins here were by 5-5 points.

Grand Canyon vs San Francisco (@ Las Vegas)
Grand Canyon (4-1)
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #192
? Antelopes? only loss was by point to Arizona State.
? Grand Canyon beat Nevada; they?ve played schedule #301.
? Antelopes are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#230)

San Francisco (5-4)
? ranked #70 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #156
? Dons won four of six games vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? USF is 4-0 when it scores 72+ points, 1-4 when it doesn?t.
? Erratic team; they beat Virginia, lost to Mass-Lowell.

Saint Louis @ Minnesota
Saint Louis (6-0)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #244
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #19
? Saint Louis has top 100 wins, over LSU/NC State.
? This is Billikens? first game away from home.
? Saint Louis is shooting 44.6% on arc (#3)

Minnesota (6-1)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #161
? Gophers just lost their Big 14 opener by 27 at Illinois.
? Minnesota has played schedule #216; their best win is over #103 Boston College
? Gophers are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#81).

Washington vs Colorado (@ Las Vegas)
Washington (1-5, 0-2)
? ranked #108 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #102
? Continuity: #199
? Washington already has losses to Cal-Riverside, Montana.
? Huskies? only win was 73-41 over #297 Seattle.
? Washington is struggling on offense; their eFG% is #283.

Colorado (4-1)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #212
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #133
? Colorado?s only loss was 56-47 at Tennessee.
? Buffs scored 76+ points in all four of their wins.
? Dawgs have forced turnovers 23.4% of time (#49)

? Washington won five of last six series games; they lost 76-62 to Colorado LY.

Robert Morris @ Marshall
Robert Morris (1-1)
? ranked #256 by KenPom
? Tempo: #277
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #98
? Colonials lost by 20 at home to Bowling Green Friday.
? Robert Morris won its opener over an NAIA team.
? Colonials are jumping up in class from NEC to Horizon.

Marshall (4-1)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #21
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #4
? Marshall won its two games vs teams outside top 200, by 14-12 points.
? Marshall lost its last game in overtime, to Toledo.
? Thundering Herd plays fast tempo; 40.9% of their shots are 3?s

 

[Cnotes53]

701CREIGHTON -702 CONNECTICUT
CREIGHTON is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1997.

703ILLINOIS -704 RUTGERS
ILLINOIS are 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

705WRIGHT ST -706 DETROIT
WRIGHT ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

707OKLAHOMA ST -708 TEXAS
TEXAS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

709ORAL ROBERTS -710 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

711MARQUETTE -712 XAVIER
XAVIER is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

715WI-MILWAUKEE -716 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-MILWAUKEE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the last 3 seasons.

719CHICAGO ST -720 DRAKE
CHICAGO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road dog of >=30.5 in the last 3 seasons.

723PROVIDENCE -724 SETON HALL
SETON HALL is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

725OAKLAND -726 IL-CHICAGO
OAKLAND is 66-41 ATS (20.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, December 20

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 20

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CREI at CONN 12:00 PM
CREI -3.5

ILL at RUTG 01:00 PM
RUTG +1.5

NE at ODU 02:00 PM
O 138.5

MRST at MAN 02:00 PM
MRST +2.0
U 124.5

OKST at TEX 02:00 PM
OKST +6.5

MARQ at XAV 02:00 PM
MARQ +2.5

RMU at MRSH 02:00 PM
O 148.0

ORU at ARK 02:00 PM
ARK -19.5

WRST at DETU 02:00 PM
WRST -6.0

YSU at NKU 03:00 PM
NKU -4.0
O 142.5

CHS at DRKE 03:00 PM
DRKE -31.5
O 140.0

WEB at PRST 03:05 PM
O 152.0

PROV at HALL 04:30 PM
HALL -3.0

OAK at UIC 05:00 PM
OAK +3.5
O 141.0

DSU at GT 06:00 PM
GT -31.5

AFA at NEV 06:00 PM
NEV -10.5

SF at GRC 07:00 PM
GRC +5.0

MSU at NW 07:00 PM
MSU -7.0
U 150.5

SLU at MINN 08:30 PM
SLU -2.0
O 145.0

COLO at WASH 10:00 PM
COLO -10.0

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/20/2020 12-14-0 46.15% -1700 Detail
12/19/2020 15-16-1 48.44% -1300 Detail
12/18/2020 10-7-1 58.33% +1150 Detail
12/17/2020 8-9-0 47.06% -950 Detail
12/16/2020 13-10-0 56.52% +1000 Detail
12/15/2020 12-6-0 66.66% +2700 Detail
12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............218-210-7.....50.93%.....-65.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
? Minnesota @ New Orleans (-7.5)
? Tampa Bay (-8) @ Detroit
? San Francisco @ Arizona (-3.5)
? Miami (-2.5) @ Las Vegas
? Denver @ LA Chargers (-3)
? Cleveland (-10) @ NJ Jets

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 316,013
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Indianapolis 27, Texans 20:
? WR Coutee fumbled on Colts? 1-yard line in last minute.
? Texans in red zone: 4 drives, 13 points. Indy: 4 drives, 24 points.
? Houston is 0-9 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
? Texans? last five drives: 50 plays, 363 yards, 2 TDs, 2 FGs, one fumble.

? Colts won seven of their last nine games overall.
? Indy/Tennessee are tied for first in AFC South.
? Indianapolis won seven of last nine series games.
? Last five games, Colts outscored opponents 92-33 in 2nd half.

Tennessee 46, Lions 25:
? Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.
? Detroit allowed 27+ points in seven of its last eight games.
? Detroit scored 27.0 ppg the last four weeks.
? Six of last eight Lion games went over the total.

? Titans converted nine of 11 third down plays.
? Tennessee won four of last five games, is tied for first in AFC South.
? First three drives: 21 plays, 243 yards, three TD?s.
? Last three drives: 25 plays, 160 yards, three TD?s.

Buccaneers 31, Atlanta 27
? Buccaneers trailed this game 17-0 at halftime.
? Bucs? first three drives in third quarter: 22 plays, 231 yards, three TD?s.
? Last five games, Bucs converted 29-60 third down plays.
? Bucs won last four road games, scoring 37.0 ppg.

? Falcons lost four of their last five games.
? Atlanta lost six of its eight home games.
? Atlanta led seven of its last nine games at halftime.
? Falcons? last five drives: 19 plays, 33 yards, 3 points.

Miami 22, Patriots 12:
? New England misses playoffs for first time since 2008.
? Last two Patriot games: no TD?s, five FG?s on 19 drives.
? New England lost five of its last seven visits to Miami.
? Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

? Dolphins won eight of their last ten games.
? Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.
? Miami is 9-1-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
? Dolphins have 16 takeaways in last seven games (+9)

Seahawks 20, Washington 15:
? Seattle won four of its last five games overall.
? Seahawks take over first place in NFC West.
? Last five games, Seahawks outscored foes 71-21 in first half.
? Last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
? Seahawks won field position by ten yards.

? Backup QB Haskins was 38-55/295 passing; he is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
? Loss snaps Washington?s four-game win streak.
? Washington outscored last seven opponents 120-37 in second half.
? Washington converted 10-17 third down plays, outgained Seattle 353-302.

Bears 33, Minnesota 27
? Bears ran for 199 yards, scored seven of nine times they had ball.
? Last four games, Chicago scored 31.0 ppg.
? Bears won field position by 13 yards in this game.
? Bears won five of their last six games with Minnesota.

? Vikings split last four games, giving up 27 ppg.
? Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last four games.
? Vikings won field position in only one game so far this year (1-12-1)
? Minnesota is 1-6 ATS as a home favorite TY.
? Seven of eight Viking home games went over the total.

Baltimore 40, Jaguars 14
? Jaguars lost their last 13 games; they?re now in line for #1 pick in draft.
? Last four weeks, Jacksonville gave up 190 rushing yards/game.
? On first series, Jaguars picked off pass on 1-yard line, then gave up a safety on offense.
? Jacksonville in first half: 5 drives, 61 yards, outscored 2-0 by Ravens? defense.

? Baltimore won last three games, scoring 34-47-40 points.
? On their first eight drives, Ravens scored 5 TD?s, tried 2 FG?s.
? Ravens lost field position in only one game this season.
? Over is 4-1 in Baltimore?s last five games.

Arizona 33, Eagles 26:
? Eagles lost five of last six games; they?re 1-6 SU on road.
? Philly is 2-7-1 SU outside their division.
? Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-9-1 if they allow more than 21.
? Eagles trailed 16-0 after first quarter, would?ve led had they not failed on 2-point plays when it was 26-20/26-26.

? Cardinals drove 86 yards for game-winning TD with 7:17 left.
? Arizona has a one-game lead for the #7-seed (last playoff spot)
? Murray threw ball for 406 yards, three TD?s.
? Hopkins caught nine passes for 169 yards.

NJ Jets 23, Rams 20
? Jets scored TD on first drive of each half.
? Jets scored on first drive in their last eight games, best in NFL.
? Jets blocked punt in 2nd quarter, started consecutive drives on LA?s 27/22-yard line.
? Third down conversions: Jets 7-17, Rams 2-11.

? Rams fall out of first place in NFC West.
? LA?s first six series: 23 plays, 68 yards, zero points.
? Rams lost three of four games vs AFC East this year.
? LA had only two plays that gained 20+ yards.

Chiefs 32, New Orleans 29:
? Chiefs won their last nine games, are 0-5-1 ATS in last six.
? Kansas City won all eight of its road games this year (3-4-1 ATS)
? Chiefs outgained Saints 411-285; they had 34 first downs, Saints 15.
? Last six games, Kansas City allowed 26.3 ppg.

? New Orleans lost its last two games, both by 3 points.
? Saints ran only 52 plays; Chiefs ran 92 plays.
? Third down conversions: Chiefs 9-18, Saints 1-11.
? Saints scored only once on seven first half drives.

Dallas 41, 49ers 33:
? 49ers lost six of their last seven games SU.
? SF is 5-16 SU in last 21 games Garoppolo didn?t play.
? Last seven games, SF was outscored 101-55 in first half.
? 49ers are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite away from home.

? Dallas was outgained 458-291, but was +4 in turnovers.
? Cowboys won field position by 17 yards.
? Dallas was leading at halftime in five of last seven games.
? Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.

Browns 20, NJ Giants 6:
? Cleveland won five of their last six games.
? Browns converted 9-13 third down plays.
? First three drives, Cleveland ran 33 plays for 219 yards, 14 points.
? Cleveland won five of seven road games SU.

? Giants had ball in red zone on first three drives, scored 3 points.
? Big Blue is 0-6 SU when they run ball for less than 100 yards.
? Giants are 3-14 ATS in last 17 games as a home dog, 2-4 TY.
? Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Sunday?s key college basketball scores:
? Creighton 76, UConn 74 OT
? Rutgers 91, Illinois 88
? Texas 77, Oklahoma State 74
? Xavier 91, Marquette 88
? Providence 80, Seton Hall 77 OT
? Northwestern 79, Michigan State 65

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 21

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 21

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 21

Wofford @ Texas A&M
Wofford (3-2)
? ranked #134 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #220
? Continuity: #227
? Wofford is 1-2 vs D-I teams, losing to Richmond by 5, South Florida by 2.
? Terriers won their last game, 88-77 over Coastal Carolina.
? 60.3% of Wofford?s shots have been 3?s, highest %age in country.

Texas A&M (4-1)
? ranked #80 by KenPom
? Tempo: #273
? Experience: #203
? Continuity: #53
? Aggies beat four stiffs, lost by 18 to TCU.
? A&M is turning ball over 26.4% of time (#314)
? Aggies are also forcing turnovers 27.5% of time (#9)

Northern Arizona vs Texas State (@ Denver)
Northern Arizona (0-4)
? ranked #336 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #287
? Continuity: #170
? NAU is 0-4 vs schedule #81, scoring 54.8 ppg.
? All the Lumberjacks? losses are by 16+ points.
? NAU is shooting 24.7% on arc (#308), 38.2% inside arc (#319)

Texas State (5-3)
? ranked #165 by KenPom
? Tempo: #330
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #40
? Bobcats? last three games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
? Texas State lost to two top 80 teams and an NAIA team.
? Bobcats are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 300.

San Diego @ Arizona
San Diego (1-3)
? ranked #190 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #58
? Continuity: #188
? Toreros lost by 27 at UCLA of Pac-12.
? San Diego is shooting 39.4% inside arc (#313)
? Toreros lost by 32 at Cal-Irvine Saturday, shooting 34.4% inside arc.

Arizona (5-1)
? ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #200
? Experience: #270
? Continuity: #307
? Arizona lost its Pac-12 opener at Stanford Saturday.
? Three of Wildcats? five wins are by 19+ points.
? Arizona is shooting 39.3% on arc (#25); they?re #307 in continuity.

Eastern Illinois @ SIU-Edwardsville
Eastern Illinois (3-4)
? ranked #181 by KenPom
? Tempo: #216
? Experience: #1
? Continuity: #30
? EIU won three of last four games, after an 0-3 start.
? Panthers haven?t played in nine days.
? EIU?s last three games were decided by total of nine points.

SIU-Edwardsville (3-4, 1-0)
? ranked #325 by KenPom
? Tempo: #119
? Experience: #156
? Continuity: #223
? SIU won its OVC opener at Morehead State Friday.
? Cougars split their four games vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? SIU is turning ball over 24.7% of time (#299).

? Panthers won five of last six series games.

St Joe?s @ Tennessee
St Joe?s (0-4)
? ranked #164 by KenPom
? Tempo: #18
? Experience: #261
? Continuity: #218
? Hawks are 0-4 vs schedule #6, losing by 22-20 to top 10 teams.
? St Joe?s is giving up 89.8 ppg.
? 51% of the shots they take are 3-pointers (#15).

Tennessee (4-0)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #207
? Continuity: #81
? Vols are giving up 47.5 ppg,
? Tennessee won its games vs teams ranked outside top 100, by 41-54 points.
? Vols are forcing turnovers 27.3% of time (#11).

Charleston @ Georgia State
Charleston (2-4)
? ranked #206 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #63
? Continuity: #193
? Three of Charleston?s four losses are to top 100 teams..
? Cougars? only win is over #355 South Carolina State.
? Charleston lost its last game in OT to Western Carolina Friday.

Georgia State (5-1)
? ranked #111 by KenPom
? Tempo: #35
? Experience: #199
? Continuity: #142
? State?s only loss was by 17 at Mercer.
? Panthers have a 4-OT win at Ga Tech, avenged the Mercer loss.
? State is shooting 61.2% on foul line (#298).

Southern Illinois @ Butler
Southern Illinois (5-0)
? ranked #161 by KenPom
? Tempo: #234
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #206
? Salukis? best win is 70-66 over #103 Murray State.
? SIU won its only road game, in OT at SE Missouri State.
? Salukis are shooting 43.6% on arc (#5).

Butler (1-2)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #247
? Continuity: #244
? Butler scored 63 ppg in losing its last two games (Villanova/Indiana)
? Bulldogs are shooting 38.9% on arc (#32).
? Butler?s opponents are shooting 45.6% on arc (#322)

Ark-Little Rock @ Missouri State
Ark-Little Rock (4-2)
? ranked #140 by KenPom
? Tempo: #181
? Experience: #112
? Continuity: #136
? Trojans split four neutral court games; this is their first true road game.
? Little Rock is turning ball over 25% of time (#304).
? Trojans are 1-2 vs teams ranked in top 125, beating #84 Duquesne.

Missouri State (2-0)
? ranked #159 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #273
? Missouri State is playing its third game in six nights.
? Bears beat an NAIA team, then whacked a stiff by 27.
? Bears start two sophs, two juniors; they open MVC play Sunday.

Tulsa @ Memphis
Tulsa (2-3, 0-1)
? ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #283
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #180
? Tulsa lost its AAC opener 69-65 at home to Wichita.
? Golden Hurricane is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5-11-4 points.
? Tulsa is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#239), shooting 30.3% on arc (#234).

Memphis (5-3, 1-0)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #14
? Experience: #309
? Continuity: #39
? Memphis won its AAC opener 80-74 at Tulane last week.
? Tigers lost three of four games vs top 100 teams, beating Saint Mary?s by 17.
? Memphis is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#54).

? Memphis lost its last four visits to Tulsa, all by 10+ points; they lost 80-40 here LY.

Murray State @ Austin Peay
Murray State (4-2, 1-0)
? ranked #103 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #65
? Murray lost its two road games, scoring 61-66 points.
? Racers are turning ball over 22.8% of time (#271).
? Murray waxed Austin Peay by 30 December 8th, shooting 70% inside arc.

Austin Peay (4-3, 0-1)
? ranked #187 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #229
? Continuity: #123
? Governors are 2-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 8-30-6 points.
? Austin Peay allowed 66-66 points in its D-I wins; they gave up 81 ppg in losses.
? Governors are turning ball over 24.3% of time (#292).

? Murray State won last three series games, all by 12+ points.
? Racers whacked Austin Peay 87-57 at home December 8th.

Cal-Bakersfield @ Stanford
Cal-Bakersfield (3-2)
? ranked #202 by KenPom
? Tempo: #323
? Experience: #2
? Continuity: #28
? Roadrunners lost by 6 at Santa Clara, 25 at Arizona.
? Bakersfield?s one D-I win was by 10 over Idaho.
? Roadrunners start five seniors; they play lot of guys.

Stanford (4-2)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #241
? Continuity: #32
? Stanford won its Pac-12 opener Saturday, upsetting Arizona.
? Cardinal is 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 32-11 points.
? Stanford is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#77)

San Jose State @ Utah State
San Jose State (1-2)
? ranked #279 by KenPom
? Tempo: #23
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #162
? Spartans are playing for first time in eight days.
? San Jose lost its first two D-I games, by 35-4 points- they beat an NAIA team.
? San Jose is struggling on offense; their eFG% is #311.

Utah State (3-3)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #230
? Experience: #256
? Continuity: #137
? Aggies beat Northern Colorado by 13, their only game vs a team outside top 100.
? Utah State lost three of four games to top 100 teams.
? Utah State is also struggling on offense; their eFG% is #271.

? Utah State won last four series games, all by 12+ points; they won last meeting 94-56 LY.

New Mexico @ Boise State
New Mexico (3-0)
? ranked #204 by KenPom
? Tempo: #101
? Experience: #223
? Continuity: #188
? Lobos beat Rice by 11, then beat couple NAIA teams.
? New Mexico starts three sophs, two juniors
? These teams play here again on Wednesday.

Boise State (4-1)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #193
? Experience: #80
? Continuity: #231
? Boise hasn?t played in eight days.
? Broncos? only loss was by 10 at Houston.
? Boise is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#37)

? New Mexico won four of last seven series games.
? Lobos lost last two visits here, by 28-13 points.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Monday, December 21

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