CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 14

Rutgers @ Maryland
Rutgers (4-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 20-11 team
? picked 6th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? First road game for Rutgers; they beat Syracuse by 10.
? Scarlet Knights are shooting 60.3% inside arc (#12), only 59.8% on foul line.
? Rutgers is experience team #229; their eFG% defense is #35.

Maryland (4-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 24-7 team
? picked 10th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Terps lost their last game by 16 at Clemson.
? Best team they?ve beaten is #113 Old Dominion.
? Maryland is shooting 40.8% on arc (#21).

? Maryland is 7-1 vs Rutgers in Big 14 games.

Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky (5-1)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 16-17 team
? picked 4th in OVC by Blue Ribbon.
? ranked #186 by KenPom
? Colonels are 5-1 vs schedule #271;
? EKU?s only loss was by 3 in OT at #30 Xavier.
? Colonels are shooting only 26.3% on arc (#280).

Morehead State (3-4)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 13-19 team
? picked 9th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #308 by KenPom
? Morehead is 1-4 vs D-I teams, beating Arkansas State by 8.
? Eagles are turning ball over 28.7% of time (#307)
? Morehead starts two sophs and a freshman (#223 experience).

? EKU beat Morehead 71-68 at home, last Monday.
? Morehead led by 17 late in first half; they shot 76.7% inside arc, but turned ball over 27 times.
? Morehead won seven of last nine series games.

Wm & Mary @ George Washington
Wm & Mary (0-1)
? 1 starter back from LY?s 21-11 team
? picked last in CAA by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #281 by KenPom
? W&M lost its only game 86-78 at Old Dominion 16 days ago.
? W&M started three freshmen in that game (experience #288).
? Tribe has been over .500 in CAA the last seven years in a row.

George Washington (1-4)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 12-20 team
? picked 11th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #230 by KenPom
? GW lost by 3 at Delaware of the CAA on Friday.
? GW is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#47)
? Colonials are playing pace #47, very fast.

Northern Arizona @ Colorado State
Northern Arizona (0-2)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 18-14 team
? picked 9th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #328 by KenPom
? NAU lost first two games by 43-24 points, to Arizona/Cal-Riverside.
? Lumberjacks scored only 51.5 ppg in first two games.
? NAU doesn?t have any seniors; they start 4 juniors, one soph.

Colorado State (1-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 20-12 team
? picked 5th in MW by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #120 by KenPom
? State beat an NAIA team by 12 in their opener Saturday.
? Rams started 3 sophs, 2 juniors Saturday (#317 experience)
? State went 11-7 in Mountain West LY, its first winning season in 3 years.

Marquette @ Creighton
Marquette (4-2)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 18-12 team
? picked 7th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Marquette starts out 4-2, vs schedule #139
? Marquette lost only road game 69-60 at UCLA Saturday
? Lions are turning ball over 21.6% of time (#228).

Creighton (4-1)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 24-7 team
? picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Bluejays? only loss was by a point at Kansas.
? Creighton beat #115 Nebraska by 24 on Saturday.
? Michigan starts four seniors (#54 in experience)

? Creighton won last three series games, by 17-8-6 points.

Nevada @ San Diego
Nevada (4-2)
? 1 starter back from LY?s 19-12 team
? picked 6th in MW by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #126 by KenPom
? Wolf Pack is 4-2 vs schedule #117.
? Nevada starts three sophs, one freshman, is experience team #308.
? Nevada split two road games, winning at Nebraska, losing at Grand Canyon.

San Diego (0-1)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 9-23 team
? picked 9th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #158 by KenPom
? Toreros lost by 27 at UCLA in their opener Wednesday.
? San Diego added six transfers this season.
? USD starts three juniors, two seniors (experience team #70).

Northern Colorado @ Colorado
Northern Colorado (2-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 22-9 team
? picked 2nd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #187 by KenPom
? Bears beat couple NAIA teams, by 25-25 points.
? Northern has a new coach this season.
? Bears are 69-32 the last three years, 41-17 in Big Sky.

Colorado (2-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 21-11 team
? picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Buffs allowed 59 ppg in their 2-1 start, losing 56-47 at Tennessee
? Colorado starts three seniors and a junior (experience #46)
? Buffs are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#70)

Pepperdine @ UNLV
Pepperdine (3-3)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 16-16 team
? picked 4th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #102 by KenPom
? Waves? three losses are all by 5 or fewer points or in OT.
? Pepperdine?s D-I wins are over Irvine/Cal Bears.
? Waves have a very good senior PG; they only play 7 guys.

UNLV (1-4)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 17-15 team
? picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #136 by KenPom
? Three of Rebels? four losses were to top 70 teams.
? UNLV hasn?t played in nine days.

? Over half the shots UNLV has taken have been 3?s (35.7%, #90).

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Monday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sam Houston State @ LSU
Sam Houston State
No trends to report
LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Rutgers @ Maryland
Rutgers
Rutgers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Rutgers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Maryland
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Rutgers
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Morehead State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Morehead State's last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Morehead State's last 13 games when playing Eastern Kentucky

William & Mary @ George Washington
William & Mary
William & Mary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
William & Mary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
George Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Washington's last 5 games at home
George Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Central Arkansas @ Mississippi
Central Arkansas
No trends to report
Mississippi
Mississippi is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Northern Arizona @ Colorado State
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado State
Colorado State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

McKendree @ Austin Peay
McKendree
No trends to report
Austin Peay
Austin Peay is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games at home

Marquette @ Creighton
Marquette
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marquette's last 6 games when playing on the road against Creighton
Marquette is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Creighton
Creighton
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Creighton's last 6 games when playing at home against Marquette

Northern Colorado @ Colorado
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Colorado

Nevada @ San Diego
Nevada
Nevada is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nevada is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

Pepperdine @ UNLV
Pepperdine
Pepperdine is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pepperdine is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UNLV
UNLV is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 14

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

EKY at MORE 06:00 PM
EKY -5.5
U 145.0

LONG at RAD 06:00 PM
U 128.5

RUTG at MD 06:00 PM
RUTG +2.5

CWM at GW 07:00 PM
CWM +5.5

CARK at MISS 08:00 PM
MISS -23.0

NAU at CSU 08:00 PM
CSU -15.5
U 146.0

NEV at USD 09:00 PM
NEV -4.0

UNCO at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO -14.0

MARQ at CREI 09:00 PM
CREI -7.0
O 149.5

PEPP at UNLV 09:30 PM
PEPP -2.5
U 148.5

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............148-148-6.....50.00%.....-74.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for Week 15 in NFL:
? New England @ Miami (-2.5)
? Seattle (-5) @ Washington
? Chicago @ Minnesota (-3)
? Jacksonville @ Baltimore (-13)
? Cleveland (-3.5) @ NJ Giants
? Philadelphia @ Arizona (-6.5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 300,904
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?(The Vikings) were kind of gearing towards a run-heavy (offense) at that time. I didn?t know it going in. I didn?t know it was going to be that way. They only would allow me to do so much. In my eyes, it wasn?t going to be in the best interest of my career.?
Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs, on why he asked out of Minnesota

Tuesday?s quiz
Who was QB for the Baltimore Ravens, last time they won the Super Bowl?

Monday?s quiz
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.

Sunday?s quiz
Carolina Panthers? owner David Tepper is wealthiest owner in the NFL; he is worth $13B.

*********************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Baltimore 47, Browns 42:
? Lamar Jackson was in locker room (cramps), came out when his backup got hurt and tossed a 44-yard TD pass with 1:51 left that gave Baltimore a 42-35 lead
? Tucker kicked 55-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
? Ravens scored six TD?s on their first ten drives.
? Ravens won eight of last nine games with Cleveland.
? Jackson threw for 163 yards, ran ball for 124 yards.

? 20 points were scored in last 1:51 of this wild game.
? First time since 1922 there were a combined 9 rushing TD?s in a game.
? Mayfield threw for 343 yards, two TD?s.
? Browns gained 493 yards, had 33 first downs, but lost.

? Spread was Ravens -3; there was a safety on the last play, with ton of laterals, that made Baltimore backers the winners.
? One of the strangest and most entertaining games in NFL history..

12) Marquette 89, Creighton 84:
? Marquette made 12-21 on arc; they played only seven guys.
? Both teams scored 1.25+ points/possession.
? Creighton was 14-32 on the arc, 14-26 inside arc.

11) Rutgers 74, Maryland 60:
? Rutgers hasn?t been in NCAA?s since 1991; this looks like the year.
? Ron Harper Jr scored 27 points for the winners.

10) Felt bad when I saw that Gus Malzahn was fired as football coach at Auburn, then I read where his buyout is $21.45M, that?s million, with an M. Now I?m envious of the freakin? guy.

Fact of the matter, Auburn is a bad job until Nick Saban retires, because you ain?t going to beat Alabama enough to satisfy whoever it is that makes decisions at Auburn. Malzahn was 68-35 at Auburn, 39-25 in SEC games, 2-5 in bowl games.

15 years ago, Malzahn was football coach at Springdale HS in Arkansas; now he can get a TV gig, kick back, count his money and see if he wants to coach again.

9) If you think college football coaches are overpaid, check this out; found this on the Interweb a few days ago? these are all college presidents, whose win/loss records aren?t published:

? Former Bryant U President Ronald Machtley made $6,283,616 in 2017.
? Former Johnson & Wales President John Bowen made $5,363,616 in 2017; he retired the next year.
? RPI?s President is Dr Shirley Jackson; she made $5,155,038 in 2017. RPI is an engineering school in Troy, NY, across the river from Armadillo World HQ.
? U of Pennsylvania?s President Amy Gutmann made $2,390,315 three years ago.

Must be nice.

8) Back to Malzahn for a minute; he is one of six coaches who has beaten Nick Saban three times as a head coach (no one has beaten him 4+ times):
Lloyd Carr, Malzahn, Les Miles, Joe Paterno, Joe Tiller, Tommy Tuberville

Active coaches with 2+ wins vs Saban: Hugh Freeze, Miles, Dabo Swinney

7) Washington Huskies pulled out of the Pac-12 football title game because of COVID-19 issues in their program; Oregon takes Washington?s place, will play USC Friday night in LA.

6) Frank Gore Jr scored on a 73-yard TD run for Southern Miss Thursday night, in the Golden Eagles? 45-31 win over Florida Atlantic. Whats remarkable about this is that his father is still playing in the NFL; not a lot of 37-year old running backs still carrying the ball.

5) Las Vegas Raiders fired defensive coordinator Paul Guenther after the Raiders got drilled 44-27 by the Colts Sunday. Las Vegas allowed 37.5 ppg in its last four games, and right now is on the outside, looking in at the playoff picture.

4) Nebraska Cornhuskers are 2-5 this season, their 4th consecutive losing season; this is the first time since 1956-61 that Nebraska?s football team has had four years in a row under .500.

3) College football coaching changes:
? Arizona fired Kevin Sumlin
? As we talked about, Auburn fired Gus Malzahn
? Illinois fired Love Smith

2) Word leaked out over the weekend that the Cleveland Indians will change their nickname soon, but apparently not this coming season. Lot of money involved in choosing that next nickname; do it right and if the team contends, they will clean up financially selling apparel with the new logo(s) on it.

Problem is, the Indians seem to be dumping salary; Carlos Santana already left town, and Francisco Lindor may be the next one traded away. Losing teams don?t sell many souvenirs.

1) If you bet over on the Kansas City Chiefs? season win total the last eight years, you would?ve won all eight bets, that?s how good a coach Andy Reid is. Hard to exceed expectations every year, really, really hard.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 15

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 15

St Bonaventure @ Akron
St Bonaventure
? 5 starters back from LY?s 19-12 team
? picked 5th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? First game this year for St Bonaventure
? Deep, experienced, talented team.
? Last five years: 62-28 in A-14 games.

Akron (1-0)
? 1 starter back from LY?s 24-7 team
? picked 2nd in MAC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #144 by KenPom
? Akron beat an NAIA team by 48 in their opener.
? Zips went 24-7 LY, with four senior starters.
? Akron won 21+ games 13 of last 15 years.

Stanford @ Cal-Northridge
Stanford (2-2)
? Experience: #225
? Tempo: #121
? Continuity: #23
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Cardinal won by 32 in only game vs team ranked outside top 100.
? Stanford?s two losses were to North Carolina, Indiana

Cal-Northridge (3-1)
? Experience: #273
? Tempo: #79
? Continuity: #220
? ranked #278 by KenPom
? Matadors beat Seattle by by 11, Pepperdine by 5.
? Northridge is #32 in ball security; they?re shooting 27.9% on arc (#260).

Buffalo @ Miami OH
Buffalo (2-2)
? Experience: #31
? Tempo: #30
? Continuity: #90
? ranked #134 by KenPom
? Buffalo lost by 4 to Army, by 8 at Bowling Green.
? Bulls are shooting 26.4% on arc (#276), 60.5% on foul line (#283).

Miami OH (3-1)
? Experience: #113
? Tempo: #295
? Continuity:#48
? ranked #230 by KenPom
? Miami beat two Summit teams at home; lost by 24 at Wright State.
? Miami is shooting 29.5% on arc (#233), 41.8% inside arc (#283).

? Buffalo had won four in row vs Miami, but lost to RedHawks in MAC tourney LY.

Clemson @ Virginia Tech
Clemson (5-0)
? Experience: #187
? Tempo: #312
? Continuity: #74
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Clemson is forcing turnovers 27.8% of time (#12)
? Tigers have #36 eFG% defense in country.
? Clemson already has four top 90 wins.

Virginia Tech (4-1)
? Experience: #172
? Tempo: #343
? Continuity: #129
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tech lost its last game, by 20 at home to Penn State.
? Hokies were over .500 in ACC four of last five years.

? Virginia Tech won six of last seven games with Clemson.

Charlotte @ Davidson
Charlotte (1-3)
? Experience: #171
? Tempo: #345
? Continuity: #178
? ranked #192 by KenPom
? Charlotte?s three losses are by 9-11-4 points.
? 49ers have played schedule #265; this is best team they?ve played.

Davidson (3-2)
? Experience: #170
? Tempo: #352
? Continuity: #40
? ranked #70 by KenPom
? Davidson?s three wins are by 9-4-32 points.
? Wildcats are shooting 40.2% on the arc (#23)

? Schools are 22 miles apart; local rivalry.
? Charlotte beat Davidson LY, ending 6-game series skid.

Minnesota @ Illinois
Minnesota (6-0)
? Experience: #114
? Tempo: #66
? Continuity: #158
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Gophers have played schedule #244, not very strong.
? This is Minnesota?s first game away from home.

Illinois (4-2)
? Experience: #211
? Tempo: #94
? Continuity: #38
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Illini?s losses are to Baylor/Missouri, giving up 82-81 points.
? Illinois won by 15 at Duke; beat Ohio U by a hoop.

? Illinois won five of last eight series games.

Wichita State @ Tulsa
Wichita State (1-2)
? Experience: #87
? Tempo: #232
? Continuity: #203
? ranked #100 by KenPom
? Shockers lost last two games, scoring 62-64 points.
? Wichita?s only win was 85-80 over Oral Roberts.

Tulsa (1-2)
? Experience: #42
? Tempo: #257
? Continuity: #188
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Tulsa is turning ball over 23.3% of time (#271)
? Tulsa scored 65-58 points in losses to South Carolina/TCU

Indiana State @ Saint Louis
Indiana State (1-1)
? Experience: #165
? Tempo: #150
? Continuity: #89
? ranked #137 by KenPom
? Sycamores lost only D-I game by 12 at Purdue.
? Purdue shot 63% inside arc vs Indiana State.

Saint Louis (4-0)
? Experience: #150
? Tempo: #260
? Continuity: #28
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Billikens beat LSU by 4; whacked three stiffs.
? Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 28.7% of time (#8)
? Billikens have made 46.4% of their 3?s (#5)

Georgia Tech @ Florida State
Georgia Tech (2-2)
? Experience: #6
? Tempo: #235
? Continuity: #13
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tech beat Kentucky/Nebraska in last two games.
? Tech lost a 4OT game to Georgia State in its opener.

Florida State (3-0)
? Experience: #102
? Tempo: #139
? Continuity: #93
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? FSU beat Indiana/Florida in its last two games.
? Seminoles are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#15)

? Florida State won last four series games, all by 10+ points.

Furman @ Alabama
Furman (5-1)
? Experience: #100
? Tempo: #185
? Continuity: #18
? ranked #67 by KenPom.
? Only two of Furman?s wins are against D-I teams.
? Furman?s two wins are over teams #315/#201.

Alabama (3-2)
? Experience: #80
? Tempo: #9
? Continuity: #150
? ranked #51 by KenPom.
? Alabama was held to 64-56 points in its two losses (Stanford/Clemson).
? Crimson Tide scored 81+ points in its wins.
? Almost half (46.9%) of their shots are 3-pointers.

Kansas State @ Iowa State
Kansas State (2-4)
? Experience: #297
? Tempo: #347
? Continuity: #239
? ranked #156 by KenPom
? K-State?s wins are over teams #287/#255
? Wildcats lost to a D-II team, Ft Hays State.
? K-State is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#239)

Iowa State (1-2)
? Experience: #109
? Tempo: #205
? Continuity: #256
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Cyclones lost last two games, to South Dakota State/Iowa.
? Iowa State is shooting 58.3% inside arc.

? Iowa State won three of last five series games.

Eastern Washington @ Saint Mary?s
Eastern Washington (1-3)
? Experience: #125
? Tempo: #43
? Continuity: #32
? ranked #138 by KenPom
? Eagles? losses are to Pac-12 teams, by 3-3-17 points.
? EWU?s only win was over an NAIA team.
? Eagles are shooting 27.6% on arc (#262).

Saint Mary?s (6-1)
? Experience: #255
? Tempo: #353
? Continuity:#202
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Gaels won last six games; they lost their opener to Memphis.
? Saint Mary?s best two wins: Northern Iowa, South Dakota State

Loyola Chi @ Wisconsin
Loyola Chi (3-0)
? Experience: #59
? Tempo: #300
? Continuity: #17
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Ramblers? D-I wins are by 37-11 points.
? Loyola made 42.1% of its 3?s so far (#15)

Wisconsin (4-1)
? Experience: #45
? Tempo: #338
? Continuity: #22
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Badgers? only loss was by hoop at #31 Marquette.
? Badgers? best win was by 11 over #73 Rhode Island.

 

[Destructor D]

Great Information!

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 15

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STAN at CSN 05:00 PM
CSN +16.5

CCU at WOF 06:00 PM
WOF -6.0

CLEM at VT 06:30 PM
U 131.0

WCU at VCU 07:00 PM
WCU +14.5

HOF at MONM 07:00 PM
MONM +1.0

CHAR at DAV 07:00 PM
O 126.5

MINN at ILL 07:00 PM
O 147.0

TXSO at AUB 07:00 PM
AUB -14.0

APP at TENN 07:00 PM
TENN -19.0

WICH at TLSA 07:00 PM
WICH +2.0

SCUS at UNCG 07:00 PM
U 145.5

L-IL at WIS 08:00 PM
WIS -9.5

AMCC at TXST 08:00 PM
AMCC +10.5

FAMU at PEAY 08:30 PM
PEAY -12.5
O 142.0

KSU at ISU 09:00 PM
ISU -7.0

FUR at ALA 09:00 PM
FUR +7.0

EWU at SMC 10:00 PM
SMC -8.5

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/15/2020 12-6-0 66.66% +2700 Detail
12/14/2020 8-4-0 66.67% +1800 Detail
12/13/2020 6-10-0 37.50% -2500 Detail
12/12/2020 12-15-0 44.44% -2250 Detail
12/11/2020 10-3-2 73.33% +3350 Detail
12/10/2020 7-7-0 50.00% -350 Detail
12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail

Totals..............160-154-6.....50.95%.....-47.00

 

[Destructor D]

20-10 past couple of days... nice work! Thanks for all the additional information you post as I find it helpful

 

[Cnotes53]

Your welcome D

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Annual salary the next six years for Giannis Antetokounmpo:
2020-21? $27.5M
2021-22? $39.3M
2022-23? $42.5M
2023-24? $45.6M
2024-25? $48.8M
2025-26? $51.9M
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 302,046
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) There was a cool story on the Interweb this week about Miami Heat assistant coach Anthony Carter, from back in his playing days.

Summer of 2003, Carter OK?d a $4.1M option to keep playing with Miami, but his agent screwed up and never notified the Heat by the June 30 deadline, so he wound up signing with San Antonio for $750,000 instead. Not good.

The agent has integrity though, and worked a plan to make sure Carter got the $3M+ he lost out on. Apparently, that payment plan was just completed, and Carter finally has the money, It is an unusual story in that player/agent are still good friends, despite the blunder.

12) An offshoot of Carter leaving Miami was that it created cap space for the Heat to acquire Lamar Odom, who the next summer was part of the package Miami sent to the Lakers when they got Shaquille O?Neal. Without the agent?s screw-up, maybe Shaq is never in Miami.

11) This offseason was very short for NBA teams, but Oklahoma City Thunder made 11 trades since last season ended, with 24 players either passing through the Thunder roster, or winding up in Oklahoma this season. OKC also has a ton of draft picks over the next five years.

10) Toronto Raptors will be playing home games in Tampa this season, much like the Blue Jays played home games in Buffalo last summer. Not an ideal situation, but Tampa in the winter is a solid alternative to always being cold.

9) Alabama 83, Furman 80? Paladins led by 16 in first half, by 10 at halftime, but Alabama caught them down the stretch. Furman was 15-36 on the arc, shot 65% inside the arc, but they missed nine of their last ten shots.

Furman has a nice team; they?ll be a problem for someone in March Madness.

What is a paladin, you ask? A paladin is a knight renowned for heroism and chivalry.

8) Illinois 92, Minnesota 65? Gophers came to Champaign 6-0, but got spanked badly here by an Illini squad that has already played four top 100 teams. This was Minnesota?s first game against a top 100 opponent.

Two things after watching Furman/Minnesota tonight:
a) Veteran mid-majors with strong continuity will be very dangerous; they?re TEAMS
b) Teams need to go thru the wars of playing tough opponents, in order to get better. Beating up on stiffs doesn?t make you that much better.

7) Rutgers hasn?t made the NCAA Tournament since 1991, but they probably will this year; they?re #20 in the KenPom rankings, the highest they?ve been in the 20 years KenPom has been on the Interweb.

6) Virginia Tech 66, Clemson 60? 5-1 Clemson has three wins on neutral floors, but they lose their first true road game of the season. Hokies outscored Clemson 25-12 on the foul line.

5) Underrated fact: Jim Plunkett, Roger Staubach are only two QB?s who won the Heisman Trophy and also won a Super Bowl.

4) Vanderbilt hired Notre Dame?s defensive coordinator Clark Lea as its new football coach; Lea is a Vandy alum, so that makes even more sense.

3) Major League came out in 1988, Bull Durham came out the next year, and here it is 2020 and I still can?t decide which movie I like better.

2) NFL officials are throwing too many intentional grounding flags; the better QB?s are also getting more leeway on those calls. No one pays to watch the officials.

1) Baseball doings:
? C James McCann gets $40.6M over four years from the Mets.
? OF Hunter Renfroe gets $3.1M from the Red Sox, for one year.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 16

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 16

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 16

Richmond @ Vanderbilt
Richmond (4-1)
? Experience: #15
? Tempo: #51
? Continuity: #8
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Spiders lost by 16 at West Virginia Sunday, their first loss.
? Richmond has top 100 wins over Kentucky, Northern Iowa

Vanderbilt (2-0)
? Experience: #260
? Tempo: #170
? Continuity: #90
? ranked #125 by KenPom
? Vandy beat Valparaiso by 6 and beat up on a stiff.
? Commodores took 61 3?s in first two games, making 29.5%.

UMass @ LaSalle
UMass (1-1)
? Experience: #316
? Tempo: #64
? Continuity: #219
? ranked #128 by KenPom
? UMass split a pair with Northeastern over the weekend.
? UMass didn?t sub much in first two games (#261 bench minutes)

LaSalle (2-3)
? Experience: #243
? Tempo: #262
? Continuity: #69
? ranked #128 by KenPom
? LaSalle lost three of four D-I games, falling to Saint Peter?s/Army.
? Explorers are turning ball over 24.5% of time (#290).

? UMass beat LaSalle twice LY, by 11-8 points.

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Pittsburgh (4-1)
? Experience: #297
? Tempo: #101
? Continuity: #94
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Pitt won its only top 100 game, 71-70 at Northwestern.
? Panthers are shooting 30.1% on arc (#225), 62.7% on line (#271)

Miami (3-1)
? Experience: #113
? Tempo: #198
? Continuity:#48
? ranked #133 by KenPom
? Miami got upset by Florida Gulf Coast in its last game.
? Miami beat Purdue at home; they?re shooting 22.7% on arc (#308).

? Miami won seven of last eight games with Pitt.

Mercer @ Georgia State
Mercer (6-0)
? Experience: #130
? Tempo: #58
? Continuity: #263
? ranked #148 by KenPom
? Three of Mercer?s wins are vs non-D-I teams.
? Bears have road wins at Georgia Tech, Georgia Southern.
? Mercer has made 43.8% of its 3?s (#11)

Georgia State (3-1)
? Experience: #194
? Tempo: #32
? Continuity: #148
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Panthers haven?t played in 12 days, since winning at Charlotte.
? State hasn?t rebounded well on defensive end (#312).

? Mercer made 11-26 on arc, beat Georgia State 86-69 at home Nov 30.
? Game was 42-37 at half; Mercer survived 19 turnovers (-4)

Ohio State @ Purdue
Ohio State (5-0)
? Experience: #92
? Tempo: #137
? Continuity: #156
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Buckeyes won by 5 at Notre Dame, also beat four stiffs (schedule #266)
? Ohio State has rebounded 35.9% of their own missed shots (#27)

Purdue (4-2)
? Experience: #301
? Tempo: #273
? Continuity: #156
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Purdue lost both top 100 games, to Clemson/Miami.
? Boilers are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#245)

? Purdue won four of last six series games.

South Florida @ Cincinnati
South Florida (4-2)
? Experience: #129
? Tempo: #246
? Continuity: #96
? ranked #104 by KenPom
? USF lost its two top 100 games, by 16-18 points (URI/Va Tech)
? Bulls turned ball over 20.8% of time (#216), are shooting 56.7% on line (#311)

Cincinnati (2-2)
? Experience: #157
? Tempo: #146
? Continuity: #178
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Bearcats split first four games (schedule #47), beating Lipscomb/Furman.
? Cincy is shooting 25% on arc so far (21-84, #291)

? Cincinnati won last 11 series games; four of last five were by 12+ points.

Memphis @ Tulane
Memphis (4-3)
? Experience: #304
? Tempo: #16
? Continuity: #35
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Memphis is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, losing by 29-17-37 points.
? Tigers aren?t shooting well: 30.4% on arc (#219), 47.5% inside arc (#202).

Tulane (4-0)
? Experience: #312
? Tempo: #267
? Continuity: #276
? ranked #211 by KenPom
? Green Wave hasn?t played any tough teams yet (schedule #311)
? Best team Tulane beat? #216 Lipscomb 68-66

? Memphis won last 10 series games; they won here in OT last year.

Butler @ Villanova
Butler (1-0)
? Experience: #179
? Tempo: #323
? Continuity: #230
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Butler hasn?t played since November 25.
? Bulldogs beat Western Michigan 66-62 in opener (trailed with 11:11 left in game)

Villanova (5-1, 1-0)
? Experience: #120
? Tempo: #350
? Continuity: #6
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Billikens beat LSU by 4; whacked three stiffs.
? Villanova has four top 10 0wins (schedule #31)
? Wildcats? only loss was in OT to Virginia Tech.

? Villanova won five of last six series games.

Ole Miss @ Middle Tennessee
Ole Miss (3-0)
? Experience: #89
? Tempo: #254
? Continuity: #210
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Rebels are giving up 59 ppg, forcing turnovers 31.5% of time.
? 4th game in seven days for Ole Miss, who?ve played schedule #300.

Middle Tennessee (2-3)
? Experience: #88
? Tempo: #53
? Continuity: #259
? ranked #192 by KenPom
? MTSU?s only D-I win is also their only top 100 game (Murray State)
? Blue Raiders have 3 losses to teams ranked #172 or lower.

? Kermit Davis coached the Blue Raiders for 16 years; they went 81-23 the last three.
? Ole Miss beat MTSU twice, by 18-18 points, since Davis moved to Oxford.

UTEP @ Arizona State
UTEP (2-2)
? Experience: #155
? Tempo: #253
? Continuity: #183
? ranked #186 by KenPom.
? UTEP lost by 12 at Saint Mary?s, by 8 at Arizona.
? Miners? two wins are vs non-D-I teams.
? UTEP plays seven guys; two guys played 40:00 vs Saint Mary?s

Arizona State (4-2)
? Experience: #161
? Tempo: #13
? Continuity: #129
? ranked #46 by KenPom.
? Sun Devils are 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100; they?ve played schedule #70.
? ASU hit a buzzer beater to nip Grand Canyon 71-70 rival.
? Sun Devils are forcing turnovers 22.5% of the time (#69)

East Carolina @ SMU
East Carolina (5-0)
? Experience: #107
? Tempo: #206
? Continuity: #1
? ranked #126 by KenPom
? ECU has played an assortment of meatballs (schedule #286)
? Pirates have a road win, 66-57 at Charlotte.
? ECU has made 37.7% of its 3?s (#57)

SMU (4-0)
? Experience: #63
? Tempo: #156
? Continuity: #70
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? SMU won by a hoop at Dayton, beat three stiffs.
? Mustangs are forcing turnovers 23.8% of time (#42).

? SMU won 10 of last 11 meetings; they lost at ECU last year.

Duke @ Notre Dame
Duke (2-2)
? Experience: #317
? Tempo: #91
? Continuity: #234
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Duke?s best player Johnson (foot) is out.
? First road trip for Duke; they lost both top 100 games, to Michigan St, Illinois.
? Duke turned ball over 21.5% of time so far (#229)

Notre Dame (2-2)
? Experience: #80
? Tempo: #244
? Continuity:#107
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Notre Dame split first four games, vs schedule #20.
? Irish are shooting 41.6% on arc (#16); they gave up 80-90 points in their losses.

? Duke won last six series games, last four by 18+ points.

TCU @ Oklahoma State
TCU (5-2, 0-1)
? Experience: #291
? Tempo: #345
? Continuity: #109
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? TCU split four top 100 games, losing to Oklahoma/Providence.
? Horned Frogs are 2-0 on neutral floors; this is their first true road game.

Oklahoma State (4-1)
? Experience: #295
? Tempo: #62
? Continuity: #270
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Cowboys? six wins are vs schedule #177.
? OSU already has 3 road wins, including Marquette/Wichita State.

? Home side won last five series games.

 

[Cnotes53]

653RICHMOND -654 VANDERBILT
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

655MASSACHUSETTS -656 LASALLE
LASALLE is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

655MASSACHUSETTS -656 LASALLE
MASSACHUSETTS are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

657TX-SAN ANTONIO -658 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

659NEBRASKA-OMAHA -660 COLORADO
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

661TOLEDO -662 MARSHALL
TOLEDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

663PITTSBURGH -664 MIAMI
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

665SAN DIEGO -666 CAL POLY-SLO
SAN DIEGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the last 3 seasons.

669OHIO ST -670 PURDUE
PURDUE is 72-41 ATS (26.9 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs since 1997.

671S FLORIDA -672 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 56-99 ATS (-52.9 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997.

673MEMPHIS -674 TULANE
TULANE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

677BUTLER -678 VILLANOVA
VILLANOVA is 20-8 ATS (11.2 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 16

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 16

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

RICH at VAN 01:00 PM

RICH -7.0