CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Monday, December 7

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Trend Report
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Wofford @ Richmond
Wofford
Wofford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Wofford is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Richmond
Richmond is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Richmond is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Fairfield @ Hartford
Fairfield
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Fairfield's last 25 games on the road
Fairfield is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Hartford
No trends to report

George Washington @ UMBC
George Washington
George Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing UMBC
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of George Washington's last 11 games on the road
UMBC
No trends to report

UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina
UNC Wilmington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games on the road
UNC Wilmington is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina
East Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
East Carolina is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing UNC Wilmington

South Carolina State @ Charlotte
South Carolina State
No trends to report
Charlotte
Charlotte is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee
Chattanooga
Chattanooga is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chattanooga is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chattanooga
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chattanooga

Morehead State @ Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Morehead State's last 12 games when playing Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Eastern Kentucky's last 12 games when playing Morehead State

Columbia International @ The Citadel
Columbia International
No trends to report
The Citadel
The Citadel is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

Bethesda @ Cal State-Bakersfield
Bethesda
No trends to report
Cal State-Bakersfield
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games at home
Cal State-Bakersfield is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Adrian @ Western Michigan
Adrian
No trends to report
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home

Lipscomb @ Southeast Missouri State
Lipscomb
No trends to report
Southeast Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Southeast Missouri State's last 11 games at home
Southeast Missouri State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Loyola Marymount @ UC-Santa Barbara
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
UC-Santa Barbara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Loyola Marymount

Lewis @ Bradley
Lewis
No trends to report
Bradley
Bradley is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

Northern Arizona @ Arizona
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Arizona


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[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 7

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WOF at RICH 02:00 PM
WOF +12.5

FAIR at HART 04:00 PM
HART -3.5

GW at UMBC 04:00 PM
GW +1.5

UNCW at ECU 05:00 PM
O 143.0

SCST at CHAR 06:00 PM
CHAR -20.5

NCCU at CCU 06:00 PM
CCU -9.5

HAMP at NORF 07:00 PM
HAMP +7.0

MORE at EKY 07:00 PM
U 146.0

LMU at UCSB 08:00 PM
LMU +3.5

NAU at ARIZ 09:00 PM
ARIZ -23.0

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail


Totals...............83-86-2.....49.11%.....-58.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting pointspreads for Week 14 games:
? New England @ LA Rams (-6)
? Green Bay (-7.5) @ Detroit
? Tennessee (-7.5) @ Jacksonville
? Dallas (-3.5) @ Cincinnati
? Arizona (-2.5) @ NJ Giants
? Houston (-2.5) @ Chicago

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 283,326
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but??

13) Bills 34, San Francisco 24
? Buffalo won five of its last six games, covered last four.
? At one point, Bills scored on six consecutive possessions.
? Allen threw for 375 yards; why did the Vikings trade Shelton Diggs?
? 10 of their 12 games went over the total.

? 49ers lost four of their last five games.
? First two series of game: both teams were stopped on other team?s 1-yard line.
? 49ers in 2nd half: 5 drives- 2 TD?s, a FG, two INTs.
? 49ers allowed 20 or fewer points in their wins, 32 ppg in their losses.

12) Washington 23, Pittsburgh 17
? Washington won four of last six games, covered five of last seven.
? Washington outscored last five opponents 95-22in second half.
? Washington is 18-12-1 ATS in last 31 games as a road underdog.
? Washington/Giants are 5-7, tied atop NFC East.

? Steelers led this game 14-0 early, 14-3 at halftime.
? Pittsburgh is now 78-2-1 at Heinz Field, when they led by 14+ points.
? Roethlisberger threw for 305 yards; Steelers ran ball for only 21 yards.
? Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

11) Mack Brown is the football coach at North Carolina, a very good coach, but apparently he isn?t the smartest person in his family. Brown?s daughter Katherine Ryan won $22,801 on Jeopardy! Friday night and returned this week to defend her title.

Jeopardy! trivia: Apparently they give you some areas of knowledge that might appear on the show you?re going to be on, so you can study up in advance. Didn?t know that.

10) New Jersey Jets fired defensive coordinator Gregg Williams Monday morning, after the Jets got burned on a 46-yard TD pass with 0:05 left in a 31-28 loss to the Raiders. Receiver who caught the game-winning pass was single-covered, which is very unusual in that situation.

9) Kendall Hinton is a practice squad WR for the Broncos, but he had to play QB last week, when the NFL ruled all of Denver?s QB?s ineligible because of COVID protocols. Things did not go well for Hinton or the Broncos, but Hinton got a nice note a few days ago.

Tom Matte was a good running back for the Baltimore Colts from 1961-75, but in 1965, he had to play three games at QB for the Colts, after Johnny Unitas and Gary Cuozzo were both injured. Matte wrote Kendall Hinton a 2-page letter last week, which is pretty cool.

Back in 1965, Matte wore a writstband with the team?s plays on it; he is thought to be the first player to do that. His coach with the Colts was Don Shula, whose son Mike is now QB coach in Denver.

8) Iowa State is playing in the Big X title game; the Cyclones haven?t won a league title in football since 1912. 19-freakin?-12!!! How does some big $$$ school not hire Matt Campbell?

7) An NFL oddity:
? 2014 Carolina Panthers went 7-8-1, but made the playoffs- they beat Arizona 26-16, then lost 31-17 to the Seahawks.
? The next season, the 2015 Panthers went 15-1 and won NFC title; before losing Super Bowl to Denver. Before this year?s Steelers, they were the last NFL team to start a season 11-0.

6) Random obscure knowledge: I?m watching a college football game late Saturday night, and it turns out one of the players raises alpacas in his hometown. Alpacas look like llamas, but they are smaller than llamas; it turns out that alpacas have a three-chambered stomach, to enhance digestion. Just thought you?d like to know.

5) Montana Grizzlies are usually one of the best basketball teams in the Big Sky, but their season got off to a rocky start when they went to Southern Utah for two games and lost both of them, both by a single point (64-63/75-74).

Several conferences have scheduled like that this season, to reduce travel; a team goes to half the schools for 2-game series, and the other half of the teams come to their gym for 2-game series.

4) When 24-point underdog Rice won 20-0 at Marshall Saturday, it was the 3rd-biggest upset this season, and also the first time since 1982 that Marshall was shut out at home.

3) San Jose State?s football team is 5-0 this season, first time Spartans are 5-0 since 1939.

2) Unusual career change: Cubs TV guy Len Kasper, who worked for the Cubs for 16 years, quit his post to become the new radio voice of the crosstown White Sox.

Seems like an odd move, but apparently Kasper preferred to be a radio voice. Very curious who the Cubs name to take his place; I watch lot of Cubs games in the summer.

1) RIP to Dick Allen, the slugger for Phillies/White Sox who hit 351 home runs and was AL MVP in 1972. He made seven All-Star Games, but passed away this week at age 78.

Dick Allen played for the A?s in 1977, his last year in the majors; a 1960 graduate of Wampum HS in Pennsylvania, Allen wore uniform #60 that year, with WAMPUM where his name was supposed to be. Allen was an excellent hitter and a bit of a character. RIP sir.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 8

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 8

Creighton @ Kansas
Creighton (3-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 24-7 team
? picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Creighton scored 85.3 ppg in its first three games.
? Bluejays are shooting 66.3% inside arc.
? Creighton starts 3 seniors, 2 juniors (#25 in minutes continuity)

Kansas (4-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 29-3 team
? picked 2nd in Big X by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Jayhawks beat Kentucky by 3, lost by 12 to Gonzaga.
? Kansas was down 3 with 3:57 left vs North Dakota State Saturday.
? Kansas is #230 in experience, has one senior who plays.

Purdue @ Miami
Purdue (3-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 16-15 team
? picked 11th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon.
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Purdue lost to Clemson by 11; best team they beat is #121 Liberty.
? Boilers made 43.6% of their 3?s in four games.
? Purdue plays three juniors, three frosh, a soph; they?re #280 in experience.

Miami (2-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 15-16 team
? picked 10th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Miami beat a couple stiffs, by 18-22 points.
? Hurricanes start three seniors; they?re #139 in experience.
? Miami was 12-26 in ACC last two years; supposed to be better this year.

Colorado @ Tennessee
Colorado (2-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 21-11 team
? picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Colorado beat South Dakota, K-State, hasn?t played in 11 days.
? Buffs already have one road win; they shot 62.5% inside arc vs K-State
? Colorado starts three seniors, two juniors; they?re #64 in experience.

Tennessee
? 4 starters back from LY?s 17-14 team
? picked 1st in SEC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? This is Tennessee?s season debut.
? Vols had COVID issues; coach Barnes had it.
? Tennessee is supposed to be deeper, more experienced, play faster

Montana @ Georgia
Montana (0-3)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 18-13 team
? picked 3rd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #161 by KenPom
? Griz lost by 14 at USC, lost twice at SUU by one point each.
? Montana is shooting 46.2% inside arc (#197), 63.8% on line (#215)
? Montana starts two frosh, two sophs (experience #253)

Georgia (3-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 16-17 team
? picked 5th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Dawgs beat pair of stiffs by 10-33 points in first two D-I games.
? Georgia is shooting 60.8% inside so far.
? Georgia is #116 in experience, only #216 in minutes continuity.

Boston College @ Minnesota
Boston College (1-3)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 13-19 team
? picked 14th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? BC lost three of four so far; they?ve played schedule #16.
? Eagles lost by 9 to Villanova, 4 to St John?s, 20 to Florida.
? Opponents are shooting 59.4% inside arc vs BC (#272)

Minnesota (4-0)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 15-16 team
? picked 7th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Gophers allowed 68.8 ppg in winning first four games.
? Minnesota is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#40)
? schedule (#223) hasn?t been great so far.

North Carolina @ Iowa
North Carolina (3-1)
? 1 starter back from LY?s 11-21 team
? picked 8th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #131 by KenPom
? UNC won three of four games, losing by 2 to Texas in Maui Classic final.
? Tar Heels allowed 60.3 ppg in first four games.
? UNC is experience team #271 has turned ball over 22.1% of time.

Iowa (3-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 21-10 team
? picked 1st in Big West by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #130 by KenPom
? Iowa beat three stiffs, scoring 99.7 ppg.
? Hawkeyes are playing pace #40, have #19 eFG%.
? Iowa starts two juniors, two seniors; is Garza best player in country?

Ohio State @ Notre Dame
Ohio State (3-0)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 16-14 team
? picked 9th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #306 by KenPom
? Buckeyes beat up on three stiffs, by 27-10-33 points.
? Ohio St allowed 58.3 ppg so far; opponents are shooting 30.9% inside arc.
? OSU?s starts 2 juniors, 2 seniors, are playing pace #308.

Notre Dame (1-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 20-12 team
? picked 13th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #81 by KenPom
? Irish lost by 10 at Michigan State, beat Detroit by 8.
? Notre Dame is shooting 43.2% outside arc, 39.5% inside arc.
? Irish start four juniors and a senior; they played six guys vs Detroit.

Austin Peay @ Murray State
Austin Peay (3-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 21-12 team
? picked 3rd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Governors won two of first three D-I games (vs schedule #175)
? Austin Peay turned ball over 24.6% of time in those games.
? Governors rebounded 38% of their own missed shots (#20)

Murray State (2-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 23-9 team
? picked 2nd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #111 by KenPom
? Racers beat Illinois State by 11, lost to MTSU by 17.
? Murray turned ball over 24.2% of time so far.
? Racers start 3 juniors, 2 seniors; they?re #211 in experience.

? Murray State won 7 of last 8 series games.
? Racers beat Austin Peay by 12 in OVC tourney LY.

Penn State @ Virginia Tech
Penn State (2-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 21-10 team
? picked 12th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Lions blew 18-point lead in OT loss to Seton Hall Sunday.
? PSU beat VCU by 3; they?re forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#50)
? Lions start two juniors, two seniors (#40 in experience).

Virginia Tech (4-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 16-16 team
? picked 12th in MW by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Hokies won first four games, with an OT win over Villanova.
? Tech allowed only 62.5 ppg in four games so far.
? Hokies have played slow (#331) pace.

Illinois @ Duke
Illinois (3-1)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 21-10 team
? picked 3rd in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Illini won three of four games, losing by 13 to Baylor, its only top 100 game.
? Illinois is #2 in country on offensive boards, #6 on defensive end.
? Illini shot 45.1% on arc in its first four games.

Duke (2-1)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 25-6 team
? picked 2nd in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #6 by KenPom- they start 3 frosh, 2 sophs.
? Duke lost 75-69 at home to Michigan St last week.
? #286 experience team turned ball over 23.3% of time so far.
? Duke beat Coppin St by 10, Bellarmine by 22 for its wins.

Syracuse @ Rutgers
Syracuse (3-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 18-14 team
? picked 9th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Syracuse scored 82,3 ppg in three wins over stiffs.
? Orange is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#58).
? Syracuse is #247 experience team; their subs play minutes #257

Rutgers (3-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 20-11 team
? picked 6th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Rutgers allowed 64.7 ppg in its three wins, best of which is #160.
? Scarlet Knights are shooting 55.1% on foul line, 29.3% on arc.
? Rutgers has #39 eFG% defense in country.

Cal-Irvine @ USC
Cal-Irvine (1-2)
? 1 starters back from LY?s 21-11 team
? picked 2nd in Big West by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #149 by KenPom.
? Irvine allowed 81.5 ppg in losing first two D-I games, to Pepperdine, San Diego St
? Anteaters turned ball over 25.7% of time so far.
? UCI is #285 in experience; they start three sophs and a junior.

USC (3-1)
? 1 starter back from LY?s 22-9 team
? picked 8th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #50 by KenPom.
? USC is 3-1 this year, splitting pair at Mohegan Sun last week.
? Opponents are shooting 35.3% inside arc against the Trojans.
? USC won its two games vs teams outside top 100, by 8-14 points.

UTEP @ Saint Mary?s
UTEP (2-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 17-15 team
? picked 10th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #197 by KenPom
? UTEP beat couple NAIA teams by 19 points each.
? Miners scored 92 ppg in first two games; how good were the opponents?
? UTEP is 11-25 in C-USA the last two years.

Saint Mary?s (4-1)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 26-8 team
? picked 5th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Gaels lost by 17 to Memphis, beat South Dakota State by 13.
? St Mary?s is playing pace #354, very slow.
? Gaels? senior PG is only senior who plays (experience #225)

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 8

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

791PURDUE -792 MIAMI
PURDUE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

793CREIGHTON -794 KANSAS
CREIGHTON is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

795IDAHO ST -796 UTAH
UTAH is 74-49 ATS (20.1 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

797COLORADO -798 TENNESSEE
COLORADO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

799N KENTUCKY -800 DAYTON
N KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

799N KENTUCKY -800 DAYTON
Darrin Horn is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games (Coach of N KENTUCKY)

801BOSTON COLLEGE -802 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

805BALL ST -806 N ILLINOIS
N ILLINOIS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 85 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

807MONTANA -808 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 99-64 ATS (28.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds since 1997.

809RIDER -810 ST JOHNS
RIDER is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 8

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MORG at IONA 03:00 PM
IONA -8.5

CREI at KU 05:00 PM
O 150.0

PUR at MIA 05:00 PM
MIA +2.5

COLO at TENN 06:00 PM
COLO +5.5

IDST at UTAH 06:00 PM
UTAH -22.5

RID at SJU 07:00 PM
SJU -18.5

NKU at DAY 07:00 PM
NKU +11.5

BALL at NIU 07:00 PM
NIU +7.0
U 133.0

BC at MINN 07:00 PM
MINN -7.0

TNST at BEL 07:30 PM
BEL -14.0
U 148.0

OSU at ND 07:30 PM
U 141.5

UNC at IOWA 07:30 PM
IOWA -2.5

PEAY at MURR 08:30 PM
MURR -3.0
U 146.0

WIGB at MARQ 09:00 PM
MARQ -20.5

PSU at VT 09:00 PM
U 142.0

UTEP at SMC 10:00 PM
SMC -12.5
O 130.5

UCI at USC 10:00 PM
USC -10.0

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail


Totals...............93-97-2.....48.94%.....-68.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Interesting pointspreads for Week 14 games:
? Minnesota @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
? Kansas City (-7) @ Miami
? Indianapolis (-2.5) @ Las Vegas
? NJ Jets @ Seattle (-13.5)
? Atlanta (-2.5) @ LA Chargers
? New Orleans (-7) @ Philadelphia

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 285,779
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I expected the worst, and it was worse than I expected.??
Henry Adams

Wednesday?s quiz
Who was the last coach of the Cleveland Browns, before they moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens?

Tuesday?s quiz
Cardinals, Rams are NFL teams that used to call St Louis home.

Monday?s quiz
Mike Holmgren was the Seahawks? coach the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

******************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Baltimore 34, Cowboys 17
? Cowboys lost six of their last seven games.
? Last ten games, Dallas is minus-14 in turnovers.
? Cowboys are 2-10 ATS this year; their three wins by total of 7 points.
? Cowboys are 0-3 on natural grass, losing by combined score of 82-29.
? Dallas is 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog, 1-4 TY.

? Baltimore ran ball for 294 yards (7.9 yards/carry)
? Lamar Jackson threw for only 107 yards, ran for 94 more.
? When Troy Aikman questions the effort of Dallas? defense, you know it
was bad.
? Ravens allowed 17 or fewer points in six of seven wins, 26.8 ppg in losses.

12) Michigan-Ohio State football game was cancelled, supposedly because there is lot of COVID in the Michigan football program. If Ohio State doesn?t come up with another game this week, they can?t play in the Big 14 title game- you have to play six games to be eligible.

In other news, NC State cancelled their basketball game with Michigan, but the Wolverines quickly added Toledo to replace the Wolfpack. Guess Michigan?s basketball team is healthier than the football team, or Michigan just didn?t want to lose to Ohio State by 40 on national TV.

11) Kansas 73, Creighton 72:
? Down 73-70, kid on Creighton got fouled shooting a 3, but missed third foul shot.
? Kansas made 10-22 on arc; they?ve won five games in a row.
? Jayhawks have wins over Kentucky/Creighton since losing to Gonzaga.

10) Illinois 83, Duke 68:
? Illinois shot 58% from floor, Duke 40.3%.
? Big 14 leads 6-1 in their challenge with the ACC.
? Next Wednesday, Duke finally plays a road game, at Notre Dame.

9) Miami 58, Purdue 54:
? Purdue led this game 32-14 at halftime; Miami looked TERRIBLE.
? Miami held the Boilers to 22 points in second half.
? Teams combined to make 5-42 3-point shots. Oy.

8) Philadelphia Eagles made a QB switch; rookie Jalen Hurts will start for Philly Sunday when they visit the Saints in the Superdome. It will be Hurts? first NFL start.

7) Buffalo Bills? coach Sean McDermott came to Buffalo after being an assistant for the Carolina Panthers from 2011-16; Bills now have ten former Panthers on their roster.

6) Baseball signings:
? Royals signed 1B Carlos Santana for two years, $17M
? White Sox signed OF Adam Eaton for one year, $7M

5) White Sox also acquired P Lance Lynn from Texas, for prospect Dane Dunning and a younger minor leaguer. Lynn was 6-3, 3.32 in 13 starts for Texas LY.

4) College football trend: Last 14 Army-Navy games stayed under the total.

3) 49ers are 22-8 in Jimmy Garoppolo?s last 30 starts; they?re 5-14 in last 19 games he missed.

2) If we?re going to discuss all-time QB rankings, it has to be said that its a hell of a lot easier to play quarterback now than it was 20-30, 40 years ago. All the rules now favor the offense; if you hit a QB hard now, you?re probably getting a penalty, even if its a legal hit.

Back in the day, guys got pummeled and no one said a word; I remember Terry Bradshaw getting body-slammed by Joe (Turkey) Jones in Cleveland- lot of violent hits back then, which resulted in careers being a lot shorter.

1) NBA preseason games start Friday; apparently ESPN will be showing some of these games. Sacramento-Portland is on the docket for Friday night.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 9

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 9

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 9

Rhode Island @ Wisconsin
Rhode Island (3-2)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 21-9 team
? picked 7th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #72 by KenPom
? Rams are 3-2 vs schedule #46; they won last three games.
? This is URI?s fifth top 100 game; other game was vs #106 South Florida.
? Rams haven?t played in a week, since beating Seton Hall by 13.

Wisconsin (3-1)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 21-10 team
? picked 1st in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Badgers beat three mid-majors by 10-34-40, lost by 2 at Marquette.
? Wisconsin is #52 in experience; they start five seniors.
? Badgers? eFG% defense is #11 in country.

Maryland @ Clemson
Maryland (4-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 24-7 team
? picked 10th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon.
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Maryland beat Old Dominion by 18, and three stiffs.
? Terps are shooting 42.5% on arc, 62.3% inside arc; their eFG% is #1 in country.
? Maryland starts two juniors, two seniors; this is their first road game.

Clemson (3-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 16-15 team
? picked 8th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Clemson beat Miss St/Purdue, by 11 points each.
? Tigers forced turnovers 31.4% of time so far (#7).
? Clemson?s bench plays #2 minutes in country.

Providence @ TCU
Providence (3-2)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 21-11 team
? picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Friars beat Davidson by a point and two other stiffs.
? Providence has made only 20.7% of its 3?s so far.
? Friars were 1-2 in Maui Classic, losing by 21 to Indiana, 17 to Alabama.

TCU (4-1)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 16-16 team
? picked 9th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Three of TCU?s four wins are by 6 or fewer points.
? TCU is playing pace #351; very slow.
? Horned Frogs? only loss was by 4 to Oklahoma Sunday.

Northern Iowa @ Richmond
Northern Iowa (1-3)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 25-6 team
? picked 2nd in MVC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? UNI whipped an NAIA stiff, after losing first three games by 6-2-11 points.
? Panthers have made 44.6% of their 3?s (#14)
? This is UNI?s first true road game; they?re #244 in experience.

Richmond (3-0)
? 5 starters back from LY?s 24-7 team
? picked 1st in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Spiders beat Kentucky by 12, Radford by 5.
? Richmond is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time.
? Spiders outscored Wofford 12-2 over final 2:18 in Monday?s 77-72 win.

Toledo @ Michigan
Toledo (3-2)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 17-15 team
? picked 4th in MAC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #102 by KenPom
? Rockets lost to Bradley/Xavier by a combined five points.
? Toledo is shooting 40.9% on arc (#28).
? Rockets are shooting 40.9% on arc, but only 41% inside arc.

Michigan (4-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 19-12 team
? picked 9th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Wolverines scored 80+ points in winning each of their first four games.
? Michigan is shooting 63.6% inside arc (#7)
? Wolverines already beat two MAC teams, by 14-19 points.

Marshall @ Charleston
Marshall (2-0)
? 5 starters back from LY?s 17-14 team
? picked 4th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #88 by KenPom
? Marshall beat Arkansas St by 14, Wright State by 16.
? Thundering Herd is playing #6 pace in country, very fast.
? Marshall made only 23.4% (11-47) of its 3?s in first two games.

Charleston (1-2)
? 1 starter back from LY?s 17-14 team
? picked 3rd n C-USA by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #202 by KenPom
? Cougars lost to UNC by 19, Furman by 24 to start season.
? Charleston is shooting 41.7% on line (#300), 28.3% on line (#230).
? Charleston is playing #321; contrast of styles here.

Indiana @ Florida State
Indiana (3-1)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 20-12 team
? picked 8th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Indiana finished 3rd in Maui Classic, losing by 22 to Texas.
? Hoosiers have #37 eFG% defense; they beat Providence, Stanford.
? Indiana doesn?t play any seniors; they start 2 sophs, 2 juniors.

Florida State (1-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 26-5 team
? picked 4th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? FSU beat #307 North Florida by 28 in its only game so far.
? Seminoles played ten guys 11:00+ in their opener.
? Last two years, FSU went 29-9 in ACC regular season games.

Georgia Tech @ Nebraska
Georgia Tech (1-2)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 17-14 team
? picked 6th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tech lost to Georgia State/Mercer, beat Kentucky.
? Yellow Jackets are #5 experience team in country; 4 seniors and a junior start.
? Loss to Georgia State in their opener was in four overtimes.

Nebraska (3-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 23-9 team
? picked 2nd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #111 by KenPom
? Nebraska won three of four games, losing by 3 to Nevada.
? Huskers are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#24)
? Nebraska is playing #20 pace, but is shooting only 28.9% on arc.

Oklahoma @ Xavier
Oklahoma (2-0)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 19-12 team
? picked 6th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Sooners hammered Tex-San Antonio, won by 4 at TCU Sunday.
? Oklahoma made 23-52 3?s (44.2%) in first two games.
? Sooners starts four seniors and a junior; they?re experience team #73.

Xavier (6-0)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 19-13 team
? picked 6th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Xavier is coming off of Sunday?s rivalry win over Cincinnati.
? That is only top 100 team Musketeers played so far.
? Xavier starts a frosh, a soph, three seniors.

California @ Pepperdine
California (2-3)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 14-18 team
? picked 9th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #130 by KenPom
? All three of Cal?s losses are to Pac-12 teams.
? Golden Bears are turning ball over 24.7% of time (#261)
? Cal scored 63 or fewer points in all four of its D-I games.

Pepperdine (1-2)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 16-16 team
? picked 4th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #97 by KenPom
? Waves lost by 5 at San Diego State, in triple OT to UCLA.
? Pepperdine was up 16 with with 14:19 left at Pepperdine Sunday
? Waves start two seniors, two juniors; their star PG played whole 40:00 Sunday

Boise State @ BYU
Boise State (2-1)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 18-14 team
? picked 9th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Boise beat an NAIA team Friday, after splitting pair of D-I games.
? Broncos lost by 10 at Houston, beat Sam Houston State by 31.
? Boise starts 2 juniors, 2 seniors; they play seven guys.

BYU (5-1)
? 2 starters back from LY?s 24-8 team
? picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #87 by KenPom
? BYU beat St John?s/Utah St by combined nine points.
? Cougars? only loss was by 26 to USC at Mohegan Sun.
? BYU turned ball over 22.1% of time so far (#221)

San Diego @ UCLA
San Diego
? 2 starters back from LY?s 9-23 team
? picked 9th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #153 by KenPom.
? This is the Toreros? season opener.
? San Diego has six transfers expected to play this season.
? If all the transfers are eligible, Toreros should be pretty good.

UCLA (3-1)
? 5 starters back from LY?s 19-12 team
? picked 2nd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #33 by KenPom.
? UCLA lost to the Aztecs, beat Pepperdine in triple OT.
? Bruins are playing a Cronin-like pace (#342, slow)
? UCLA has a home tilt with Marquette Friday; will they look ahead?

Pittsburgh @ Northwestern
Pittsburgh (2-1)
? 3 starters back from LY?s 16-17 team
? picked 11th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #91 by KenPom
? Pitt got upset by St Francis, then beat two other stiffs.
? Panthers shot 59.4% inside arc in first three games.
? Pitt starts three sophs, two juniors; they?re experience team #276.

Northwestern (2-0)
? 4 starters back from LY?s 8-23 team
? picked 13th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Wildcats beat up on two of ten worst D-I teams in country, by 43-45.
? Northwestern starts three sophs, two juniors; they?re stepping up in class here.
? Wildcats made 25-53 on arc in first two games.

 

[Cnotes53]

601CHICAGO ST -602 LOYOLA-IL
CHICAGO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road dog of >=30.5 in the last 3 seasons.

605RHODE ISLAND -606 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 54-32 ATS (18.8 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

607MARYLAND -608 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

609PROVIDENCE -610 TCU
TCU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

611FURMAN -612 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

613W ILLINOIS -614 MIAMI OHIO
W ILLINOIS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

615N IOWA -616 RICHMOND
RICHMOND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

617ROBERT MORRIS -618 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

619MARSHALL -620 COLL OF CHARLESTON
MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

621CS-BAKERSFIELD -622 ARIZONA
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 9

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CAMP at UNO 02:30 PM
U 140.0

CHS at L-IL 03:00 PM
U 138.0

URI at WIS 04:30 PM
URI +11.0
U 134.5

FUR at CIN 05:00 PM
FUR +4.0

PROV at TCU 05:00 PM
O 132.5

MD at CLEM 05:00 PM
O 128.0

UNI at RICH 06:00 PM
UNI +8.0

TOL at MICH 06:00 PM
U 145.5

*****************************

NCAT at VCU 07:00 PM
VCU -22.5

STON at HOF 07:00 PM
O 144.5

ACU at TTU 07:00 PM
ACU +14.5

CSB at ARIZ 07:00 PM
ARIZ -16.0

SIUE at VALP 07:00 PM
U 138.0

MRSH at COFC 07:00 PM
MRSH -6.5

GT at NEB 07:15 PM
GT -1.5

IND at FSU 07:15 PM
IND +3.5

TXST at TEX 08:00 PM
TEX -17.5

OKLA at XAV 08:00 PM
XAV +2.0

SFA at BAY 08:00 PM
SFA +23.5

LIB at MIZZ 08:15 PM
MIZZ -9.5

CAL at PEPP 09:00 PM
PEPP -3.5

USD at UCLA 09:00 PM
UCLA -19.5

PITT at NW 09:15 PM
PITT +3.5

FAMU at ORE 11:00 PM
U 138.5

SEA at WASH 11:00 PM
O 135.0

 

[Cnotes53]

I also love FURMAN OVER CINCY.......

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/09/2020 12-12-2 50.00% -600 Detail
12/08/202010-11-0 44.44% -1050 Detail
12/07/2020 6-4-0 60.00% +800 Detail
12/06/2020 10-9-1 52.50% +50 Detail
12/05/2020 16-18-1 47.14% -1900 Detail
12/04/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail
12/03/2020 14-13-0 48.00% -150 Detail
12/02/2020 13-15-0 46.43% -1750 Detail
12/01/2020 13-14-0 48.15% -1200 Detail


Totals..............105-109-4.....49.06%.....-74.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Stanley Cup this season:
6-1? Colorado, Vegas
7-1? Tampa Bay
12-1? Boston
16-1? Philadelphia, Toronto, Washington
20-1? Pittsburgh, St Louis
25-1? Carolina, Dallas. Islanders, Rangers, Vancouver

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 287,985
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?At the start of my career, I heard that for seven years: You have 24 hours to get over it. I think the only time I?ve ever been involved in a loss like this was to end a playoff game, so I could be pissed as long as I wanted to because nobody cares.?
Jets? coach Adam Gase

Thursday?s quiz
Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton used to coach which NBA team?

Wednesday?s quiz
Bill Belichick was the last coach of the Cleveland Browns, before they moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens; he was 36-44 coaching Cleveland.

Tuesday?s quiz
Cardinals, Rams are NFL teams that used to call St Louis home.

************************************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) When voters choose NFL Coach of the Year this season, it?ll be a tough choice:
? Kevin Stefanski has the Browns at 9-3; Cleveland last made the playoffs in 2002.
? Brian Flores has Miami at 8-4; Dolphins have been in playoffs once since 2008.
? Mike Tomlin has Pittsburgh at 11-1 after going 17-14-1 the last two years.
? Ron Rivera has Washington at 5-7 but they?ve won three in a row and are tied for first in the NFC East. Not only that, but Rivera hasn?t missed a game while undergoing cancer treatment this season- tough guy. He won?t win the award, but he deserves recognition for his courage.

12) Ben Roethlisberger threw 51-53 passes in his last two games; it is the first time in his career that Big Ben threw 50+ passes in consecutive games.

11) When the Giants upset Seattle Sunday, it was the first NFL win for backup QB Colt McCoy since 2014, when his Redskins won 20-17 in Dallas.

McCoy has started 29 games in his 10-year NFL career; backup QB?s make good bank, even if you go six years between wins.

10) Defending national champ LSU is 3-5 this season, not a great year; takes lot of onions for them to self-impose a one-year bowl ban for this season on Wednesday, right before the end of the season. Who the hell would want them in a bowl game this season?

There is an NCAA investigation going on into alleged rules violations at LSU; when a school slaps itself with a bowl ban, they?re trying to get a slap on the wrist from the NCAA.

9) Then there is the Big 14, which put in rules before this season about having to play six regular season games in order to play in the conference title game. Ohio State has only played in five regular season games, but the league wants the Buckeyes to play on national TV in the conference title game, so they waived the rule Wednesday and Ohio State is in. Go figure.

8) Memphis Tigers? basketball team is off to a 4-2 start; weird thing is, Temple is in their league, the AAC? the Owls haven?t played a game yet- their first game appears to be December 22.

Similar thing in the Atlantic 14, where Rhode Island is 3-3; three of their conference rivals, UMass, Fordham and St Bonaventure haven?t played a game yet.

7) Iowa 93, North Carolina 80? Hawkeyes hit 17-40 on the arc Tuesday night, jumping out to a 25-9 lead. Tar Heels got within a point at 66-65 with 9:52 left, but Iowa pulled away at the end.

Connor McCaffery is a junior guard for Iowa; he is also the coach?s son. He played 17:00 in this game with two assists, no turnovers; he also didn?t take a shot. Sounds like a future coach.

6) Disappointing that major league baseball is shrinking the minor leagues by 40+ teams this season; minor league baseball is fun, and in lot of smaller towns, minor league teams provide jobs and entertainment all summer long.

MLB is cutting the number of minor league teams from 160 to 120 to save money; one of the teams that is a victim of the reduction is the Tri-City ValleyCats, who were an affiliate of the Astros for the last 18 years, playing in the NY-Penn League, which no longer exists.

ValleyCats played at Hudson Valley CC, which is just over the river from where I live, here in the Albany/Troy are of upstate New York. They averaged over 4,000 fans a game from 2008-18, but lot of independently-owned teams were ones phased out of existence.

5) Xavier 99, Oklahoma 77? Xavier made 19-32 on the arc; that doesn?t happen much; Musketeers are 7-0 already.

4) Clemson 67, Maryland 51? 4-0 Tigers led this game 44-19 at one point; they?ve beaten Purdue and Maryland, are forcing turnovers 29.7% of the time.

3) Florida State 69, Indiana 67 OT? Seminoles survived 11-21 foul shooting and wins at home in overtime. Florida State had 19 offensive rebounds.

2) Pepperdine 74, California 62? Waves made 12-26 on the arc; they only played seven guys, which is why they?ve struggled at end of games, but Pepperdine will challenge BYU for the #2 spot in the WCC, behind Gonzaga. .

1) Cincinnati 78, Furman 73? Paladins might be pretty good in Southern Conference.

 

[Cnotes53]

849N DAKOTA -850 S DAKOTA
N DAKOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

849N DAKOTA -850 S DAKOTA
Paul Sather is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% (Coach of N DAKOTA)

851MERCER -852 VMI
VMI is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

853PORTLAND -854 OREGON ST
PORTLAND is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

855MISSOURI-KC -856 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

857UC-RIVERSIDE -858 N ARIZONA
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

859LONG BEACH ST -860 SAN FRANCISCO
LONG BEACH ST is 39-14 ATS (23.6 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games since 1997.

861N DAKOTA ST -862 S DAKOTA ST
S DAKOTA ST is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

863SAN DIEGO ST -864 ARIZONA ST
SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

1601NEW ORLEANS -1602 JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.