Cnotes college football 2022-2023 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22
CIN at SMU12:00 PMSMU +3.5
O 60.0
+500 +500
IU at RUTG12:00 PMIU +3.0
O 48.0
+500 +500
SYR at CLEM12:00 PMCLEM -14.0
U 49.5
+500 +500
HOU at NAVY12:00 PMHOU -3.0
O 51.0
+500 +500
IOWA at OSU12:00 PMIOWA +28.5
U 50.0
+500 +500
ULM at ARMY12:00 PMULM +6.5+500
KU at BAY12:00 PMBAY -10.0
O 58.0
+500 +500
AKR at KENT12:00 PMAKR +16.0
O 66.0
+500 +500
DUKE at MIA12:30 PMMIA -10.0
U 59.0
+500 +500
TOL at BUFF01:00 PMBUFF +7.5
O 57.0
+500 +500
BGSU at CMU01:00 PMBGSU +6.5
O 50.5
+500 +500
EMU at BALL02:00 PMEMU +2.5
O 58.5
+500 +500
NIU at OHIO02:00 PMOHIO +3.0
U 65.5
+500 +500
UNLV at ND02:30 PMND -26.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
 

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WVU at TTU03:00 PM
TTU -6.5
U 65.0
+500 +500

RICE at LT03:00 PM
LT +3.0
U 58.0
+500 +500

MEM at TULN03:30 PM
TULN -7.5
O 55.0
+500 +500

MRSH at JMU03:30 PM
JMU -12.5
U 50.5
+500 +500

BYU at LIB03:30 PM
LIB +7.0
O 57.5
+500 +500

NW at MD03:30 PM
NW +14.0
U 50.5
+500 +500

PUR at WIS03:30 PM
PUR +1.5
U 51.5
+500 +500

UCLA at ORE03:30 PM
ORE -6.5
O 71.0
+500 +500

MISS at LSU03:30 PM
LSU -1.5
U 65.0
+500 +500

UNT at UTSA03:30 PM
UNT +10.0
O 72.5
+500 +500

FIU at CHAR03:30 PM
CHAR -13.5
U 63.0
+500 +500

TEX at OKST03:30 PM
OKST +6.5
O 60.5
+500 +500

WMU at M-OH03:30 PM
M-OH -6.5
U 44.5
+500 +500

BC at WAKE03:30 PM
WAKE -20.0
U 60.0
+500 +500

GASO at ODU03:30 PM
GASO +3.0
U 66.0
+500 +500

HAW at CSU04:00 PM
HAW +6.0
U 46.0
+500 +500

FAU at UTEP04:00 PM
FAU -3.5
O 51.5
+500 +500

ASU at STAN04:00 PM
ASU +2.5
O 53.5
+500 +500

VAN at MIZZ04:00 PM
VAN +14.0
O 50.0
+500 +500

USM at TXST05:00 PM
USM -2.5
U 43.5
+500 +500

ARST at ULL05:00 PM
ULL -7.0
U 51.5
+500 +500

FRES at UNM06:30 PM
UNM +10.0
O 40.0
+500 +500
 

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SU at AFA07:00 PM
AFA -2.0
O 47.5
+500 +500

MSST at ALA07:00 PM
MSST +22.0
O 60.5
+500 +500

UCF at ECU07:30 PM
ECU +5.0
O 64.0
+500 +500

MINN at PSU07:30 PM
MINN +5.0
U 43.5
+500 +500

TAM at SOCAR07:30 PM
SOCAR +3.0
U 44.5
+500 +500

PITT at LOU08:00 PM
LOU -3.0
U 55.0
+500 +500

KSU at TCU08:00 PM
KSU +3.5
O 55.0
+500 +500

COLO at ORST08:00 PM
ORST -22.0
U 49.0
+500 +500

USU at WYO09:45 PM
USU +4.5
U 44.0
+500 +500

SDSU at NEV10:30 PM
NEV +7.0
U 35.5
+500 +500

WASH at CAL10:30 PM
CAL +7.5
U 54.5
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/22/2022..........52-39-2....................56.99%...............+45.50
10/21/2022..............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022..............2-0-0..................100.00%................+10.00
10/15/2022..........15-20-2....................43.24%.................-35.00
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/12/2022...............1-1-0....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/08/2022.............48-54-2..................47.12%................-57.00
10/07/2022...............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................-7.00
10/05/2022...............1-1-0.....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/01/2022.............47-53-2..................47.06%................-56.50

TOTALS.............176-179-8..................49.57
%...............-104.50

*********************

BEST BETS


10/22/2022..........22-17-0....................56.41%...............+16.50
10/21/2022..............2-2-0....................25.00%................- 0.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/15/2022.............12-9-0...................57.14%................+10.50
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0...................25,00%.................-11.50
10/12/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1-1-0...................50.00%..................-0.50
10/08/2022.............21-21-1.................50.00%.................-10.50
10/07/2022..............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................- 7.00
10/05/2022..............1-0-0..................100.00%.................+ 5.00
10/01/2022............17-20-2.................45.94%..................-25.00

TOTALS...............87-78-3..................52.72%..................+ 6.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

Oklahoma State 41, Texas 34
Texas has now lost five straight true road games.
Longhorns led 31-24 at halftime.
Sanders threw for 391 yards, two TD’s, both in last 10:00.

Tulane 38, Memphis 28
Green Wave is in Top 25 for first time since 1998.
Tulane has outscored opponents 62-10 in first quarter.

TCU 38, Kansas State 28
Horned Frogs outscored K-State 21-0 in second half.
TCU converted 10-19 on third down, Wildcats 3-9
Kade Warner (son of Kurt Warner) caught a 28-yard TD pass for K-State.

LSU 45, Ole Miss 20
Rebels led 17-3 early in second quarter.
LSU outscored Ole Miss 28-0 in second half.
LSU ran ball for 252 yards, had 35 first downs.
Ole Miss had 10 penalties for 111 yards.

Upsets of the Week:
FIU (+13.5) 34, Charlotte 15
Duke (+10) 45, Miami 21
Marshall (+9.5) 26, James Madison 12
Buffalo (+7.5) 34, Toledo 27
Western Michigan (+7) 16, Miami OH 10
Liberty (+7) 41, BYU 14
Oklahoma State (+6.5) 41, Texas 34
Bowling Green (+6.5) 34, Central Michigan 18


Clemson 27, Syracuse 21
Syracuse led 21-10 at halftime, didn’t score in second half.
Orangemen forced a fumble, ran it back 90 yards for a TD.
Backup QB Klubnik came off bench to lead winning rally.
Clemson ran for 293 yards, outgained Syracuse 450-291.

Rice 42, Louisiana Tech 41 OT
Tech tied game on 19-yard TD pass with 0:37 left in regulation.
Rice WR McCaffrey caught 10 passes for 171 yards, two TD’s.
Owls ran ball for 279 yards; they’re 4-3, could go bowling.

Liberty 41, BYU 14
BYU led 14-3 after first quarter.
Liberty converted 7-12 on third down, BYU 3-11
Flames ran ball for 300 yards, 6.3 yards/carry.

Boise State 19, Air Force 14
Broncos are 3-0 since Dirk Koetter was named offensive coordinator.
Boise held Air Force to 175 rushing yards.

Oregon 45, UCLA 30
Oregon QB Nix threw for 283 yards, five TD’s.
Ducks ran ball for 262 yards, 5.7 yards/carry.

South Carolina 30, Texas A&M 24
Aggies’ offense has scored 24 or less points in nine straight games vs I-A teams; only teams with longer streaks are Rutgers, Colorado State.
 

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WEEK 9

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NCAAF

Week 9


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in rushing yardage:
740— Nick Chubb, Clev
726— Saquon Barkley, NJG
633— Josh Jacobs, LV
536— Derrick Henry, Tenn
510— Lamar Jackson, Balt
504— Dameon Pierce, Hst

Quote of the Day
“This has been a very tough day for me and, honestly speaking, coach was the most caring person I ever met. He cared so much for his players and honestly speaking it would (be) very difficult for me to put on a jasper’s uniform again if coach ain’t on those sidelines. Love you coach!”
Manhattan basketball player Jose Perez

Wednesday’s quiz
First time the Rams played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Chicago Bears played in a Super Bowl, Rex Grossman was their QB.

Monday’s quiz
Mary Tyler Moore Show was set in the Twin Cities of Minnesota.



*********************************************


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

Notes on how NFL divisions are doing against the spread, in non-divisional games:
— NFC East— (14-5) 9-2 ATS at home, 7-3 as underdogs, 7-2 as favorites.
— NFC North— (8-10) 2-5 ATS on road, 4-5 as underdogs, 3-4 as favorites.
— NFC South— (6-12) 3-5 ATS on road, 4-8 as underdogs, 2-4 as favorites.
— NFC West— (9-10) 3-6 ATS as favorites, 6-4 as underdogs, 4-6 at home

— AFC East— (12-8) 0-4 ATS as home dogs, 6-1 as road dog, 7-3 as favorites
— AFC North— (11-9) 5-2 ATS as underdogs, 6-4 on road, 6-7 as favorites
— AFC South— (6-8) 3-5 ATS as road underdogs, 2-3 at home, 1-2 as favorites
— AFC West— (6-10) 1-5 ATS as home favorites, 4-3 as road favorites.

— Scheduling quirk; Indianapolis Colts have already played five of their six division games. There are six teams that have only played one divisional game so far.

— Green Bay is +10.5 at Buffalo this week, just second time in last 11 years they’ve been a double digit underdog. In 2017, Packers (+13) lost 31-28 in Pittsburgh.

— QB Bailey Zappe has had an interesting path to the NFL:
He played three years at I-AA Houston Baptist. The offensive coordinator there got a better job at Western Kentucky— he took Zappe and HBU’s best receiver with him. Zappe threw for 62 TD’s in three years with the Huskies.

At Western Kentucky, Zappe threw for another 62 TD’s, but in one season. New England took him in the 4th round of last spring’s draft.

So far in his rookie season, Zappe has thrown for 596 yards, four TD’s.

— World Series starts Friday night; games are on FOX. Problem is, the FOX station in Albany is having a price war with DirecTV, as in, the station is no longer being shown on DirecTV, which means the World Series won’t be on my TV Friday night, unless these greedy bastards come to an agreement on their dispute.

Oy.

Called both parties to complain; they both blamed the other side. Go figure.

The DirecTV guy did tell me that I can probably watch the ballgame on my phone, so there is that. Can also go out and watch it at a bar that doesn’t have DirecTV.

— Miami Marlins named Cardinals’ bench coach Skip Schumacher as their new manager; he also spent four years coaching in the San Diego Padres’ organization, after playing 11 years in the majors, for three different teams.

— George Clooney/Julia Roberts have now been in six movies together; by way of contrast, Spencer Tracy and Katharine Hepburn were in nine movies together.

— Manhattan Jaspers fired their basketball coach Tuesday, less than two weeks before the season starts. Bad timing.

Manhattan had been picked to finish second in the MAAC in the preseason coaches’ poll; good luck with that, seeing how a lot of Manhattan’s players voiced their displeasure with Steve Masiello getting fired— he had been there for 11 years.

Manhattan made the NCAA’s in 2014 and 2015, but they haven’t had a winning season since; Masiello’s contract was up in April.

Manhattan has 10 seniors, who are not happy; the players could petition the NCAA to be immediately eligible if they transfer, which could create a small tsunami of players going elsewhere. Stay tuned.

— Speaking of the MAAC, the league made a big jump last year, ranked #16 out of 32 college hoop conferences. That is 11 spots higher than the year before, and highest ranking for the league since 2013, when the MAAC was #14 in the country.

— There are 11 Division I college basketball programs in the state of Indiana.

— In the NBA, Portland Trailblazers are 4-0 for the first time since 1999.

— Denver G Ish Smith is playing for his 13th NBA team, which is an NBA record. In his 13 seasons, he’s scored 5,465 points, with 2,800 assists. Interesting career.

— Halloween is coming up next week; few years ago, I spent Halloween weekend at the SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas, a very good place.

The rodeo was also in Las Vegas; first couple nights I was there, 80% of the people in the casino were wearing cowboy garb— tins of Skoal, the whole deal. I felt like an extra in an old western movie. Bartenders were annoyed; apparently, cowboys aren’t good tippers.

The night after the cowboys went home, they laid out a red carpet at the front door of the casino; asked a security guard what the deal was, it was the Fetish and Fantasy Ball.

Talk about an eye-opening experience; some very interesting costumes. I rode up in the elevator with a couple; the guy was dressed up as a prison guard, his female friend was his prisoner, with a cuffs on and all that, even around her neck. Her costume was cut in strategic places.

Difficult to concentrate on your gambling with costumes like that roaming around the casino all night, but I do highly recommend Halloween in Las Vegas.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9


Thursday night
Virginia Tech @ NC State

Virginia Tech (2-5)
— Hokies lost last four games, giving up 34.8 ppg.
— Last three games, Hokies gave up 527-496-458 yards.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 23 games at Marshall
— Last 4+ years, they’re 27-30 SU.
— Tech is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
— Hokies are 20-25 ATS in their last 45 ACC games.
— Under is 5-1 in their games this season.

NC State (5-2)
— State lost two of last three games, scoring 20-19-9 points.
— Wolfpack won all three I-A home games, giving up 13.7 ppg.
— 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 20 starts
— Wolfpack is 9-4 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Doeren is 31-26 ATS as a home favorite.
— Wolfpack is 6-1 ATS last seven games coming off a loss.
— State is 0-3 ATS in its first three ACC games this year.

— Virginia Tech won/covered last five series games.
— This is Tech’s first visit to Raleigh since 2010.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Louisiana @ Southern Miss
Louisiana (4-3)
— Louisiana is 4-0 if they score 23+ points, 0-3 if they don’t.
— ULL is 4-3 despite being +9 in turnovers.
— Cajuns won last two games, giving up 276-271 yards.
— Cajuns have 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Louisiana has 25 returning starts on offensive line.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Last 4+ years, Louisiana is 9-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— ULL is 9-6 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.

Southern Miss (4-3)
— Southern Miss won four of last five games, after an 0-2 start.
— Last three games, Golden Eagles are minus-6 in turnovers.
— Southern Miss has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Eagles have 71 returning starts on offensive line.
— Southern Miss is 4-7 ATS in last 11 conference games.
— Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
— USM is 15-12 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
— Last three Southern Miss games stayed under the total.

— These teams haven’t met since 2016.

Utah @ Washington State
Utah (5-2)
— Utes gave up 42-42 points, splitting its last two games.
— Utes are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Utah scored 32+ points in each of their last five games.
— Utah is +6 in turnovers this season.
— Utes have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 12 games
— Utah is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite.
— Last three Utah games went over the total.
— Since 2016, Utah is 37-20 ATS in Pac-12 games.

Washington State (4-3)
— Coogs lost last two games, scoring 14-10 points.
— Wazzu is 4-0 giving up 17 or less points; 0-3 if allow more than 17.
— They’re 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog
— Coogs are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 Pac-12 games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 31 starts back on offensive line; new QB was I-AA All-American at Incarnate Word
— Wazzu is 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
— Under is 5-1 in Wazzu’s I-A games this year.

— Utah won last three series games, by 11-17-25 points.
— Utes lost 28-24/49-37 in last two visits to Pullman.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine meetings.




Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall
Virginia Tech is 1-5 ATS in the past six road games
Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS in the past five Thursday games
Virginia Tech is 1-5 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams
NC State is 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall
NC State is 12-5 ATS in the past 17 home games
NC State is 0-4 ATS in the past four ACC games
NC State is 5-2 ATS in the past seven Thursday games
NC State is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 vs. losing teams
UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven games overall for Virginia Tech
UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight road games for Virginia Tech
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five ACC Games for Virginia Tech
UNDER is 22-6 in the past 28 Thursday games for Virginia Tech
OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 home games for NC State
UNDER is 17-2-1 in the past 20 Thursday games for NC State
Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings vs. NC State


Louisiana is 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall
Louisiana is 4-1 ATS in the past five Sun Belt games
Louisiana is 8-0 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams
Southern Miss is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 games overall
Southern Miss is 1-5 ATS in the past six conference games
Southern Miss is 2-6 ATS in the past eight Thursday games
UNDER is 28-12-1 in the past 41 games overall for Louisiana
UNDER is 40-16-1 in the past 57 Sun Belt games for Louisiana
UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven Thursday games for Louisiana
UNDER is 14-5-1 in the past 20 vs. winning teams for Louisiana
UNDER is 24-11 in the past 35 games overall for Southern Miss
OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for Southern Miss
UNDER is 6-0 in the past six conference games for Southern Miss


Utah is 19-9 ATS in the past 28 Pac-12 games
Utah is 6-2 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams
Utah is 4-1 ATS in the past five Thursday games
Washington State is 12-5 ATS in the past 17 games overall
Washington State is 7-1 ATS in the past eight home games
Washington State is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 Pac-12 games
Washington State is 0-5 ATS in the past five Thursday games
OVER is 6-2 in the past eight games overall for Utah
OVER is 8-1 in the past nine road games for Utah
OVER is 12-5 in the past 17 Pac-12 games for Utah
OVER is 5-0 in the past five vs. winning teams for Utah
UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight games for Washington State
UNDER is 16-5 in the past 21 vs. winning teams for Washington State
OVER is 4-1 in the past five Thursday games for Washington State
Washington State is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9


Friday night
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International

Louisiana Tech (2-5)
— Tech lost four of last five games, giving up 41.2 ppg.
— Tech’s only I-A win: 41-31 over Texas-El Paso.
— Over is 5-1 in Tech’s I-A games this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 85 starts back on offensive line
— Bulldogs are 2-1 if they score 41+ points, 0-4 if they score less.
— New coach Cumbie was an OC at TCU, Texas Tech
— Last 2+ years, Tech is 0-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Tech is 13-18-2 ATS in last 33 non-conference games.

Florida International (3-4)
— FIU is 3-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-4 if they allow more than 17.
— Panthers were held to 12 or less points in all four losses.
— All four of their losses are by 20+ points.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 25 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 11 starts at Duke
— Should have 3 sophs, one freshman starting on OL
— New coach MacIntyre is 14-12 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 3+ years, FIU is 1-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 3+ years, they’re 3-17-1 ATS in conference games.
— Last four FIU games stayed under the total.

— Tech won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— Bulldogs won 44-24/23-7 in last two visits to FIU
— Last two meetings went over the total.

East Carolina @ BYU
East Carolina (5-3)
— East Carolina won three of its last four games.
— Pirates are 5-0 scoring 34+ points; they scored 20-20-9 in losses.
— 7 starters back on offense; 8 on defense
— 63 starts back on OL; senior QB has 37 starts
— Under coach Houston, ECU is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2013, Pirates are 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— ECU is 7-12 ATS in last 19 non-conference games.
— Under Houston, ECU is 9-8 ATS coming off a win.

BYU (4-4)
— BYU lost its last three games, giving up 28-52-41 points.
— Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.
— Last 4 games, Cougars gave up average of 252.8 rushing yards/game.
— Cougars are 3-5 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— BYU has 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU has junior QB with 10 starts.
— BYU is 2-9 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
— Four of their last six games went over the total.

— These teams haven’t met since 2017.
— Teams split two meetings; home team won both.




Louisiana Tech is 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight road games
Louisiana Tech is 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 C-USA games
FIU is 3-9 ATS in the past 12 games overall
FIU is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games
FIU is 5-17 ATS in the past 22 C-USA games
OVER is 19-7 in the past 26 games overall for Louisiana Tech
OVER is 5-1 in the past six road games for Louisiana Tech
OVER is 7-0 in the past seven C-USA games for Louisiana Tech
UNDER is 4-0 in the past four games overall for FIU
UNDER is 6-0 in the past six October games for FIU


East Carolina is 11-5 ATS in the past 16 games overall
East Carolina is 5-2 ATS in the past seven road games
East Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six non-AAC games
East Carolina is 1-9 ATS in the past 10 Friday games
BYU is 0-6 ATS in the past six games overall
BYU is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games
BYU is 5-0 ATS in the past five Friday games
BYU is 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. AAC teams
OVER is 10-2 in East Carolina's past 12 Friday games
OVER is 5-1 in East Carolina's past six vs. Independents
OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 games overall for BYU
OVER is 6-1 in the past seven home games for BYU
OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six vs. AAC teams for BYU
 

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27
ULL at USM07:30 PMULL -2.0
U 43.0
+500 +500
VT at NCST07:30 PMNCST -13.5
U 39.0
+500 +500
UTAH at WSU10:00 PMWSU +7.0
O 56.0
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/27/2022..............1-5-0....................16.67%................-22.50
10/22/2022..........52-39-2....................56.99%...............+45.50
10/21/2022..............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022..............2-0-0..................100.00%................+10.00
10/15/2022..........15-20-2....................43.24%.................-35.00
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/12/2022...............1-1-0....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/08/2022.............48-54-2..................47.12%................-57.00
10/07/2022...............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................-7.00
10/05/2022...............1-1-0.....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/01/2022.............47-53-2..................47.06%................-56.50

TOTALS.............177-184-8..................49.03%...............-127.00

*********************

BEST BETS

10/27/2022..............0-4-0....................00.00%...............- 22.00
10/22/2022..........22-17-0....................56.41%...............+16.50
10/21/2022..............2-2-0....................25.00%................- 0.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/15/2022.............12-9-0...................57.14%................+10.50
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0...................25,00%.................-11.50
10/12/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1-1-0...................50.00%..................-0.50
10/08/2022.............21-21-1.................50.00%.................-10.50
10/07/2022..............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................- 7.00
10/05/2022..............1-0-0..................100.00%.................+ 5.00
10/01/2022............17-20-2.................45.94%..................-25.00

TOTALS...............87-82-3..................51.47%..................- 16.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

NC State 22, Virginia Tech 21
Hokies led 21-3 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
State was 8-19 on third down, Tech 1-11.
Freshman QB Morris was 20-29/265 passing, with three TD’s.

Southern Miss 39, Louisville 24
Golden Eagles led 29-11 at halftime.
Southern Miss had TD passes of 52-76 yards.
USM salted game away with a 52-yard pick-6 with 1:14 left.
 

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College Football Week 9 Betting Trends
Bruce Marshall

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9


13 of Saturday’s best games

Notre Dame @ Syracuse

Notre Dame (4-3)
— Notre Dame won four of last five games, after an 0-2 start.
— Irish are 4-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 24.
— Notre Dame 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Notre Dame has 83 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame has freshman backup QB; this is his 3rd start.
— Since 2017, Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS as a road dog (2-0 TY).
— Notre Dame is minus-7 in turnovers this year.
— Last 3+ years, Notre Dame is 23-11 ATS coming off a win.

Syracuse (6-1)
— Syracuse was outgained 450-291 in LW’s 27-21 loss at Clemson.
— Syracuse has close home wins over Purdue (32-29), Virginia (22-20).
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— Orange gave up 424 passing yards to Purdue, 293 rushing yards to Clemson.
— Syracuse is 4-1 ATS last five games as a home favorite.
— Last four Orange games stayed under the total.
— Syracuse is 14-8 ATS in last 21 ACC games.
— Syracuse is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games, coming off a loss.

— Notre Dame won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— This is Notre Dame’s first game in Carrier Dome since 2003.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Arkansas @ Auburn
Arkansas (4-3)
— Arkansas lost three of last four games, giving up 49-40-35 last three.
— They split two true road games: L40-17 at Miss State, W 52-35 at BYU
— Hogs gave up 555-568-471 TY the last three weeks.
— Arkansas scored 31-44-52 points in its I-A wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Last 11 years, they’re 1-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Razorbacks are 12-9-1 ATS in last 22 SEC games (1-3 TY).
— Arkansas ran for 212+ yards in 6 of 7 games (187, Alabama)
— Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 8-4-1 ATS coming off a win.

Auburn (3-4)
— Auburn lost four of its last five games SU.
— Auburn gave up 41+ points in three of the four losses.
— Tigers are 3-0 allowing 16 or less points, 0-4 if they allow 21+.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 3 starts
— Tigers are on 4th offensive coordinator the last four years.
— Auburn is 8-4 ATS last dozen games as a home underdog.
— Auburn has a minus-11 turnover ratio this season.
— Under Harsin, Tigers are 3-6 ATS coming off a loss.

— Auburn won last six meetings (5-1 ATS).
— Arkansas is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Auburn.
— Over is 7-1 in last eight meetings.

Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma (3-4)
— Oklahoma lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 46.8 ppg.
— in those four games, Sooners allowed 548 yards/game.
— Sooners gained 701 yards (403 PY) in LY’s 52-42 win vs Kansas.
— Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS last five games as a road favorite.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 25 starts at UCF
— Oklahoma is 14-18 ATS in last 32 conference games.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Since 2020, Sooners are 12-9 ATS coming off a win.

Iowa State (3-4)
— Iowa State lost last four games, by 1-3-7-3 points.
— In the four losses, Cyclones scored 16.3 ppg.
— In their wins, Cyclones allowed 10-7-10 points.
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— Iowa State’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Under Campbell, they’re 9-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Campbell, they’re 21-11-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Under Campbell, Cyclones are 33-24-2 ATS in conference games.

— Oklahoma won 17 of last 19 meetings (2-5 ATS last seven)
— Sooners are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Jack Trice Stadium.
— Over is 8-3 in last 11 series games.

Ohio State @ Penn State
Ohio State (7-0)
— Buckeyes scored 54.4 ppg in their last six games.
— Ohio State won its Big 14 games, by 31-39-29-44 points.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 45 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
— Day is 24-13-1 ATS as a favorite, 4-3 TY.
— Last 10 years, Ohio State is 124-13 SU.
— Under Day, Ohio State is 18-10-1 ATS in conference games.
— OSU is 12-4 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
— Buckeyes’ last five games went over the total.

Penn State (6-1)
— Penn State won its four home games, by 36-19-10-28 points.
— Under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 3-5 ATS as home dogs.
— Penn State’s only loss was 41-17 (+7) at Michigan.
— Nittany Lions are 5-7 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— Penn State has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Penn State has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
— Penn State has a senior QB, with 33 starts.
— Penn State is 14-16-1 ATS in last 31 conference games.
— Penn State threw ball for 304 yards LW; big improvement.

— Ohio State won five in row, nine of last ten series games.
— Buckeyes are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Happy Valley.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
Oklahoma State (6-1)
— OSU is 3-1 in Big X games, losing 43-40 at TCU.
— Cowboys scored 41.7 ppg in its I-A games.
— OSU split its two road games, W36-25 at Baylor, L40-43 at TCU
— OSU gave up 457-527-510-523 total yards in its Big X games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 32 starts
— Since 2018, State is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 12-4 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
— Since 2018, Cowboys are 20-9-1 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their six I-A games went over the total.

Kansas State (5-2)
— K-State is 3-1 in Big X, losing 38-28 at TCU last week.
— K-State led that game 28-17 at half, didn’t score in 2nd half.
— Under Klieman, Wildcats are 7-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 38 starts at Nebraska
— Under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years, K-State is 26-14 ATS in conference games.
— First five games, K-State was +9 in turnovers; last two games, minus-3.
— Three of Wildcats’ last four games went over the total.

— Oklahoma State won last three series games, by 11-2-13 points.
— Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Little Apple.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Florida vs Georgia (@ Jacksonville)
Florida (4-3)
— Gators allowed 26-38-45 points in their losses.
— This is only Florida’s second game away from home.
— Gators (+11) lost 38-33 at Tennessee, in only road tilt.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 1 start
— Gators are 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Since 2017, Florida is 2-9 ATS on neutral fields.
— In his career, Napier is 9-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three games, Florida ran ball for 274-231-210 yards.

Georgia (7-0)
— Dawgs better not look ahead to next week’s game with Tennessee.
— Five of their seven wins are by 32+ points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
— 62 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 17 starts
— Smart is 19-7 ATS as a favorite away from home.
— Since 2017, Dawgs are 31-20 ATS in SEC games.
— Since 2017, Georgia 38-22 ATS coming off a win.
— Dawgs won last two games, 42-10/55-0.
— Five of last six Georgia games stayed under the total.

— This is most points Georgia has been favored by in this series.
— Georgia won/covered four of last five meetings.
— Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games.

Cincinnati @ Central Florida
Cincinnati (6-1)
— Bearcats won last six games, since 31-24 loss to Arkansas.
— Under Fickell, Cincy is 8-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three games, Bearcats allowed 24-21-24 points.
— 8 starters back on offense; 5 on defense; 107 starts back on OL
— junior QB started 11 games at Eastern Michigan LY; he was backup here in ’19/’20.
— Last 4+ years, Bearcats are 50-8 SU
— Cincy is 14-11-2 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
— Cincy is 14-12-1 ATS in last 27 AAC games.
— Bearcats’ last three games stayed under the total.

Central Florida (5-2)
— UCF won four of its last five games.
— Knights were held to 14-13 points in their losses.
— 9 starters back on offense; 8 on defense
— 132 starts back on OL
— junior QB started nine games at Ole Miss
— Last 2+ years, Knights are 4-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Malzahn is 25-32-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 3+ years, UCF is 3-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Five of last six UCF games stayed under the total.

— Cincinnati won last three meetings, scoring 56-36-27 points.
— Bearcats are 0-3 ATS (1-2 SU) in last three trips to UCF.
— Last two meetings were high-scoring; 56-21/36-33

Kentucky @ Tennessee
Kentucky (5-2)
— Kentucky was held to 19-14 points in its losses.
— Kentucky is 1-1 on road; W26-16 Florida, LA19-22 Ole Miss
— Wildcats ran ball for 239 yards LW (previous high TY, 121)
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 45 starts back on offensive line; junior QB 13 starts
— Kentucky covered its last six games as road underdogs
— Last 4+ years, they’re 14-6-1 ATS as an underdog overall.
— Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in last five games coming off a loss.
— Under is 5-1 in Kentucky games this season.

Tennessee (7-0)
— Tennessee is scoring 47.7 ppg against I-A opponents.
— Vols have thrown ball for 325+ yards in five of six I-A tilts.
— Vols beat Alabama 52-49 two weeks ago, beat I-AA team LW.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); senior QB has 11 starts
— Vols are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Heupel is 14-11 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tennessee ran ball for 227-263-182 yards in first three SEC games.
— Vols covered five of six I-A games this season.

— Tennessee is 22-3 in last 25 series games (3-2 last five)
— Wildcats are 2-5 ATS last seven visits to Knoxville.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.

Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State (3-4)
— Spartans lost four of last five games, giving up 35.4 ppg.
— Last four games, MSU allowed 528.5 yards/game.
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 14 starts
— Spartans scored 35-52-34 points in their three wins.
— All four of their losses are by 11+ points.
— State is 15-22-1 ATS in last 38 conference games.
— MSU is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Spartans ran ball for 57.2 yards/game last five games.

Michigan (7-0)
— Michigan has conference wins by 7-13-21-24 points.
— Maryland (397) is only team that gained more than 281 yards vs Michigan
— Wolverines ran for 418 yards in last game (41-17 vs Penn State)
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 85 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Wolverines are 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a favorite.
— Michigan is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games.
— Michigan is 15-12-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.

— State is 10-4 SU in last 14 meetings; they were underdog in last seven.
— Spartans are 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Ann Arbor.
— Under is 9-4 in last thirteen series games.

Ole Miss @ Texas A&M
Ole Miss (7-1)
— Ole Miss lost 45-20 at LSU LW, their first loss of season.
— QB Dart got banged up last week (check status).
— Rebels gave up 301/252 rushing yards in last two games.
— Rebels are 4-2 ATS last six games as a road favorite.
— In his college career, Kiffin is 14-15 ATS as a road favorite.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 111 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 3 games at USC.
— Last three games, Ole Miss allowed 28-34-45 points.
— Rebels are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.

Texas A&M (3-4)
— Aggies lost last three games, all on road, giving up 42-24-30 points.
— A&M hasn’t scored more than 24 points in any I-A game TY.
— A&M’s I-A wins: 17-9 vs Miami, 23-21 vs Arkansas.
— Aggies lost 30-24 at South Carolina LW; they outgained Gamecocks, 398-286
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 37 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 14 games at LSU.
— Under Fisher, Aggies are 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Fisher, A&M is 20-16 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Fisher, A&M is 10-6 ATS coming off a loss.

— Texas A&M won/covered three of last four series games.
— Ole Miss covered two of last three visits to College Station.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.

Baylor @ Texas Tech
Baylor (4-3)
— Baylor is 0-3 SU this year when it allows 26+ points.
— Bears scored 34.6 ppg in their last five games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— 119 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 2 starts
— Baylor is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— Bears are 22-11 ATS last 33 games coming off a win.
— Baylor is 20-13 ATS in its last 33 conference games.
— Last four Baylor games went over the total.

Texas Tech (4-3)
— Red Raiders split their four Big X games; average total, 66.5.
— Texas Tech’s I-A wins: 33-30 Houston, 37-34 Texas, 48-10 West Va.
— Last four games, Tech gained average of 518.3 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 124 starts back on offensive line; junior QB had 11 starts at Oregon
— Red Raiders allowed 426+ total yards in three of last four games.
— Tech is 1-8 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
— Red Raiders are 4-0 scoring 33+ points, 0-3 when they don’t.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.

— Baylor won eight of last 11 meetings.
— Bears are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Lubbock.
— Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Pittsburgh @ North Carolina
Pittsburgh (4-3)
— Pitt is 3-0 vs I-A teams if it scores 34+ points, 0-3 if it doesn’t.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— Panthers have 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 26 games at USC.
— Pitt is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Pitt is 1-1 on road; won 34-13 at Western Michigan, lost 24-10 at Louisville.
— Since 2016, Pitt is 32-22-1 ATS in ACC games, 1-2 TY.
— Pitt was minus-3 in turnovers in two of its last three games.

North Carolina (6-1)
— UNC won its last three games, last two 27-24/38-35.
— Tar Heels gave up 235+ rushing yards in four of last six games.
— Tar Heels are scoring 39.3 ppg against I-A opponents.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line; they have a redshirt freshman QB.
— UNC is 1-10 SU last 11 times they scored less than 34 points.
— Tar Heels are 9-5 ATS last 14 games as home favorites.
— Carolina is 6-12-1 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.

— Pitt won last two series games, 30-23/34-27.
— Panthers are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Chapel Hill.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.

Stanford @ UCLA
Stanford (3-4)
— Stanford won its last two games, 16-14/15-14, after a 1-4 start.
— Stanford allowed 38.5 ppg in its losses, 14-14 in I-A wins.
— Cardinal is minus-9 in turnovers this season.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line (5 starters); soph QB has 9 starts
— 14-23 SU last 3+ years (71-24 the seven years before that)
— Since 2017, they’re 5-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— Cardinal are 12-17 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.

UCLA (6-1)
— UCLA scored 30+ points in every game this season.
— Bruins allowed 31+ points in four of last five games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 35 starts
— Under Kelly, they’re 5-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, Kelly is 19-20-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— UCLA is 13-7 ATS in last 20 Pac-12 games.
— Bruins are 5-2 ATS last seven games coming off a loss.
— All six of their I-A games went over the total.

— Stanford won 12 of last 14 meetings (11-3 ATS)
— Cardinal covered its last six visits to Pasadena.
— Under is 12-7 in last 19 series games.
 
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