Cnotes college football 2022-2023 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 28
LT at FIU08:00 PMLT -6.0
U 57.0
+500 +500
ECU at BYU08:00 PMECU +3.0
O 64.0
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/28/2022..............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/27/2022..............1-5-0....................16.67%................-22.50
10/22/2022..........52-39-2....................56.99%...............+45.50
10/21/2022..............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022..............2-0-0..................100.00%................+10.00
10/15/2022..........15-20-2....................43.24%.................-35.00
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/12/2022...............1-1-0....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/08/2022.............48-54-2..................47.12%................-57.00
10/07/2022...............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................-7.00
10/05/2022...............1-1-0.....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/01/2022.............47-53-2..................47.06%................-56.50

TOTALS.............178-187-8..................48.76%...............-138.50

*********************

BEST BETS

10/28/2022..............1-2-0....................33.33%................-6.00
10/27/2022..............0-4-0....................00.00%...............- 22.00
10/22/2022..........22-17-0....................56.41%...............+16.50
10/21/2022..............2-2-0....................25.00%................- 0.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/15/2022.............12-9-0...................57.14%................+10.50
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0...................25,00%.................-11.50
10/12/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1-1-0...................50.00%..................-0.50
10/08/2022.............21-21-1.................50.00%.................-10.50
10/07/2022..............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................- 7.00
10/05/2022..............1-0-0..................100.00%.................+ 5.00
10/01/2022............17-20-2.................45.94%..................-25.00

TOTALS...............88-84-3..................51.16%..................- 22.00
 

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Utah 21, Washington State 17:
Utah’s backup QB Barnes threw for 175 yards and a TD.
Utes were 7-15 on third down, Wazzu was 3-10.
Coogs ran ball 19 times for only 42 yards.

East Carolina 27, BYU 24:
Pirates kicked a 33-yard FG at the gun for the win.
ECU’s Mitchell ran ball for 176 yards (8.4 yards/carry)
East Carolina is 6-3 this year, 13-8 in their last 21 games.

Florida International 42, Louisiana Tech 34 OT:
Tech led 17-7 midway thru second quarter.
FIU forced overtime with a FG with 0:16 left in regulation.
Tech converted 10-18 on 3rd down, outgained Tech 429-378.
FIU’s QB James threw for 321 yards, three TD’s.
 

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Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Oklahoma State' games.
Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
Kansas State is 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kansas State's last 15 games against Oklahoma State.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Kansas State's last five home games.
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Kansas State.
Oklahoma State is 5-2 SU in their last seven games against Kansas State.


Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of Kentucky's last eight games.
Kentucky is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games.
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tennessee's last 13 games.
Tennessee is 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Tennessee' home games.
Kentucky is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Tennessee.
Kentucky is 3-17 SU in their last 20 games against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Kentucky's last eight road games.
Kentucky is 1-12 SU in their last 13 road games against Tennessee.


Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
Michigan State is 1-4 SU in their last five games.
Michigan State is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games against Michigan.
Michigan is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Michigan's last eight games.
Michigan is 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
Michigan is 12-0 SU in their last 12 home games.
Michigan State is 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against Michigan.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Michigan State's last seven road games.
Michigan State is 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games against Michigan.
 

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 29
TCU at WVU12:00 PMWVU +7.0
O 68.5
+500 +500
BC at CONN12:00 PMCONN +7.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
USF at HOU12:00 PMUSF +17.5
O 59.0
+500 +500
ND at SYR12:00 PMSYR -1.0
U 48.0
+500 +500
OSU at PSU12:00 PMPSU +15.5
U 60.5
+500 +500
ARK at AUB12:00 PMARK -3.5
U 61.0
+500 +500
OKLA at ISU12:00 PMISU +1.0
O 57.5
+500 +500
TOL at EMU12:00 PMEMU +4.0
O 53.5
+500 +500
M-OH at AKR12:00 PMAKR +9.5
O 51.5
+500 +500
GT at FSU12:00 PMGT +24.0
O 47.5
+500 +500
MIA at UVA12:30 PMUVA +3.0
U 48.5
+500 +500
CHAR at RICE02:00 PMRICE -15.5
U 61.0
+500 +500
RUTG at MINN02:30 PMRUTG +14.0
U 40.5
+500 +500
 

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ODU at GSU03:00 PM
ODU +3.5
O 54.0
+500 +500

CIN at UCF03:30 PM
UCF -1.0
U 56.0
+500 +500

WAKE at LOU03:30 PM
LOU +3.0
O 66.0
+500 +500

NMSU at MASS03:30 PM
MASS +1.5
U 39.0
+500 +500

SMU at TLSA03:30 PM
TLSA +1.0
O 64.0
+500 +500

NW at IOWA03:30 PM
NW +11.5
U 37.5
+500 +500

ILL at NEB03:30 PM
ILL -7.5
U 50.0
+500 +500

ORE at CAL03:30 PM
CAL +17.0
U 56.5
+500 +500

FLA at UGA03:30 PM
UGA -23.5
O 56.5
+500 +500

UNT at WKU03:30 PM
UNT +10.0
O 70.0
+500 +500

TEM at NAVY03:30 PM
NAVY -14.5
U 41.5
+500 +500

OKST at KSU03:30 PM
KSU -1.5
U 56.0
+500 +500

MIZZ at SOCAR04:00 PM
MIZZ +3.5
O 45.0
+500 +500

USA at ARST04:00 PM
USA -9.5
U 52.5
+500 +500
 

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CSU at BSU07:00 PMCSU +26.0
O 42.5
+500 +500
CCU at MRSH07:00 PMCCU +2.5
O 53.5
+500 +500
UAB at FAU07:00 PMUAB -4.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
USC at ARIZ07:00 PMARIZ +14.0
U 74.0
+500 +500
UK at TENN07:00 PMUK +11.0
O 62.5
+500 +500
MSU at MICH07:30 PMMSU +22.5
U 55.0
+500 +500
ASU at COLO07:30 PMASU -13.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
MISS at TAM07:30 PMMISS -3.0
U 55.0
+500 +500
BAY at TTU07:30 PMBAY +1.0
O 60.5
+500 +500
PITT at UNC08:00 PMUNC -2.5
O 65.5
+500 +500
MTU at UTEP09:00 PMUTEP -2.0
U 52.0
+500 +500
NEV at SJSU10:30 PMSJSU -24.5
O 44.5
+500 +500
SDSU at FRES10:30 PMSDSU +10.0
O 43.5
+500 +500
STAN at UCLA10:30 PMSTAN +16.5
O 64.5
+500 +500
WYO at HAW11:59 PMHAW +12.5
O 50.5
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !




10/29/2022..........42-41-1...................50.60...................-15.50
10/28/2022..............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/27/2022..............1-5-0....................16.67%................-22.50
10/22/2022..........52-39-2....................56.99%...............+45.50
10/21/2022..............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022..............2-0-0..................100.00%................+10.00
10/15/2022..........15-20-2....................43.24%.................-35.00
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0....................25.00%................-11.50
10/12/2022...............1-1-0....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/08/2022.............48-54-2..................47.12%................-57.00
10/07/2022...............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................-7.00
10/05/2022...............1-1-0.....................50.00%.................-0.50
10/01/2022.............47-53-2..................47.06%................-56.50

TOTALS.............220-228-9..................49.10%.................-154.00

*********************

BEST BETS



10/29/2022.............18-17-0................51.42...................-3.50
10/28/2022..............1-2-0....................33.33%................-6.00
10/27/2022..............0-4-0....................00.00%...............- 22.00
10/22/2022..........22-17-0....................56.41%...............+16.50
10/21/2022..............2-2-0....................25.00%................- 0.50
10/20/2022..............3-1-0....................75.00%................+ 9.50
10/19/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/15/2022.............12-9-0...................57.14%................+10.50
10/14/2022...............2-0-0..................100.00%...............+10.00
10/13/2022...............1-3-0...................25,00%.................-11.50
10/12/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1-1-0...................50.00%..................-0.50
10/08/2022.............21-21-1.................50.00%.................-10.50
10/07/2022..............3-4-0.....................42.85%.................- 7.00
10/05/2022..............1-0-0..................100.00%.................+ 5.00
10/01/2022............17-20-2.................45.94%..................-25.00

TOTALS...............106-101-3..................51.20%..................- 25.50
 

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TCU 41, West Virginia 31— TCU QB Duggan was 16-28/341 with three TD’s. Horned Frogs might be the quietest 8-0 team ever. TCU has scored 38+ points in every game this season.

Arkansas 41, Auburn 27— Auburn was 68-36 when Gus Malzahn coached them, but that wasn’t good enough, so they told him to take a hike. Now they’re 9-12 under Bryan Harsin, have lost four games in a row, giving up 42-48-41 points the last three games. No bueno.

Auburn’s QB last year was Bo Nix; he bolted to Oregon. Speaking of which……..

Oregon 42, California 24— Bo Nix was 27-35/412 passing, with three TD’s; he also ran 12 times for 59 yards, and three more TD’s. Ducks are 7-1, by the way.

Ole Miss 31, Texas A&M 28— Ole Miss faked a punt on 4th-and-5 from their own 15-yard line midway thru 2nd quarter, when they trailed 14-7.

You have to have four things if you fake a punt on your own 15-yard line:
a) a play you think will work.
b) job security, lot of job security
c) boatload of $$$ in your bank account, in case the fake doesn’t work.
d) as Bill Raftery would say, ONIONS!!!!

Upsets of the Week:
Charlotte (+15) 56, Rice 23
North Texas (+10) 40, Western Kentucky 13
UConn (+8) 13, Boston College 3
Florida International (+6) 42, Louisiana Tech 34 OT
Florida Atlantic (+4.5) 24, UAB 17


Kansas State 48, Oklahoma State 0— Cowboys came into the game 6-1, scoring 34+ points in all seven games. They were 9-4 in last 13 games vs K-State, but they got whacked here.

Total yardage was 495-217; Wildcats went for it on 4th down three times, and made the first down all three times. K-State was +3 in turnovers; this was a total beatdown.

Louisville 48, Wake Forest 21— Wake turned ball over eight times, all in the second half- they turned ball over six times in the third quarter, when Louisville scored 35 points.

Ohio State 44, Penn State 31— Buckeyes trailed 21-16 with 10:00 left in game; they scored 28 points in a 6:09 span of 4th quarter to pull away for the win. Ohio State was outgained 482-452, but Nittany Lions turned ball over four times (minus-4).

UConn 13, Boston College 3— This is a horrendous loss for BC, which is 1-6 against I-A opponents. Since 2012, Eagles are 60-72 SU in football; their basketball program hasn’t been in the NCAA Tournament since 2009, their 4th year in the ACC.

Moving from the Big East to the ACC may have made sense financially, but on the field/court, it has been a disaster. If they had turned down the ACC, they’d probably be in the Big 14 now, instead of Rutgers- at least their football profile would be better.

Fresno State 32, San Diego State 28— Aztecs led 28-10 with 1:00 left in third quarter, but Fresno scored twice in last 1:09 to pull out an unlikely home win. Both teams are now 4-4; Jake Haener completed 35-46 passes for 402 yards and three TD’s for Fresno.

— Oklahoma’s kicker scored a touchdown on a fake field goal; don’t see that a lot.

— North Carolina QB Drake Maye was 34-44/388 passing, with five TD passes in a 42-24 win over Pitt. Tar Heels outscored Pitt 21-0 in 4th quarter.

Central Florida 25, Cincinnati 21— Knights scored on a 17-yard run with 0:48 left to give UCF a win over Cincinnati, which is bolting the AAC for the Big X fairly soon.

Houston 42, South Florida 27— Houston QB Clayton Tune was 31-37/380 passing with four TD’s in Cougars’ win over USF.

Miami 14, Virginia 12 OT— Third I-A game this season with no touchdowns; Virginia has a good QB, Brennan Armstrong, but they’re 2-5 vs I-A teams and they scored 16 points in both the wins.

Iowa, by the way, played in the other two games with no TD’s this season.

— It was an upsetting day in Conference USA; all four underdogs won SU. Not often a 15-point favorite loses 56-23, but Charlotte pounded Rice, just their second win this season.

Michigan 29, Michigan State 7— Last year, Spartans gave football coach Mel Tucker a 10-year, $95M contract, in the midst of their 11-2 season. Here is Tucker’s head coaching record in college ball:
2019 Colorado 5-7, 3-6 in Pac-12
2020 Michigan State 2-5, 2-5 in Big 14
2021 Michigan State 11-2, 7-2 in Big 14
2022 Michigan State 3-5, 1-4 in Big 14

3.5 years: 21-19, 13-17 in league games. $9.5M a year. What a country.
 

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Week 10


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10


Tuesday night

Ball State @ Kent State

Ball State (4-4)
— Ball State won four of its last five games.
— Cardinals are 3-1 in games decides by 6 or less points.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 57 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has no starts, has thrown 34 passes
— Last year’s QB, a 4-year starter, was in camp with Bengals this summer.
— Ball State is 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
— Cardinals are 3-5 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

Kent State (3-5)
— Kent State won three of its last four games.
— Golden Flashes allowed 430+ total yards in six of seven I-A games.
— Last four games, Kent State ran ball for 230 yards/game.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 24 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 8 TD passes, 4 INT’s TY; he threw 24 passes LY
— Last 3+ years, they’re 20-19 SU; were 16-55 from ’13-‘18
— Kent is 4-5 ATS last nine games as a home favorite (0-2 TY)
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

— Home side won last seven series games.
— Four of last five meetings were decided by 3 or less points.
— Ball State is 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Kent.
— Five of last six meetings went over the total.
— This season, MAC home favorites are 4-12 ATS.

Buffalo @ Ohio
Buffalo (5-3)
— Buffalo won last five games, scoring 35.3 ppg in last three.
— Bulls started season 0-3, with a loss to I-AA Holy Cross.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 6 starts at Rutgers
— Since 2017, Buffalo is 28-14-1 ATS in MAC games.
— Since 2018, Buffalo is 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three games, Buffalo is +8 in turnovers.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Ohio U (5-3)
— Ohio won its last three games, scoring 38 ppg.
— First six games, Bobcats gave up 561.2 yards/game; last two, 305.5.
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— have 69 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 11 starts.
— Bobcats are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
— 7-1 ATS last eight games coming off a win.
— Ohio has scored 40 ppg in its three I-A home games.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

— Teams split last ten meetings.
— Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Athens.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
— This season, MAC home underdogs are 8-5 ATS.
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 1
BALL at KENT07:00 PMBALL +7.0
O 61.0
+500 +500
BUFF at OHIO07:30 PMOHIO +2.5
U 61.0
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER'S CFB OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00

TOTALS.................................2-2-0...........................50.00%................ .......- 1.00

*****************************************

BEST BETS !

11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00

TOTALS.................................2-2-0...........................50.00%................ .......- 1.00
 

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Ball State 27, Kent State 20
Cardinals drove 75 yards, scored winning TD with 3:21 left.
Kent State led 13-0 after the first quarter.
Total yards: Ball State, 450-408

Ohio U 45, Buffalo 24
Bobcats led 17-0 after the first quarter.
Ohio outgained Buffalo, 474-260.
Bulls ran ball 28 times for 22 yards.
Loss snaps Buffalo’s 5-game winning streak.
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10


Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois
Central Michigan (2-6)
— Chippewas are 1-6 vs I-A teams, winning 28-21 at Akron.
— Five of their six losses are by 14+ points.
— CMU is minus-11 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 13 starts
— 22-19 SU last 3+ years, after going 1-11 in ’18.
— Under McElwain, Chippewas are 12-4 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2013, Chippewas are 22-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under is 4-1 in Chippewas’ last five games.

Northern Illinois (2-6)
— Huskies are 1-6 vs I-A teams, winning 39-10 at Eastern Michigan.
— NIU allowed 31+ points in five of their six losses.
— Last two games, Huskies ran for 287-267 yards.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts, 13 of them at Michigan State
— 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— 12-9 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Central Michigan won six of last eight meetings.
— Chippewas covered their last four visits to DeKalb.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
— This season, MAC home favorites are 4-12 ATS.

Western Michigan @ Bowling Green
Western Michigan (3-5)
— Broncos are 2-5 vs I-A teams, 2-2 in MAC games.
— All five of their losses are by 19+ points.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line; new QB this year
— WMU’s freshman QB has thrown 7 TD’s, 10 INT’s.
— Broncos are 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— WMU is 8-18-1 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Bowling Green (4-4)
— Falcons are 4-2 last six games, since loss to I-AA Eastern Kentucky.
— Three of their four wins are by 4 or fewer points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 79 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 17 starts
— have had six straight losing seasons (20-53 SU)
— since 2014, Falcons are 6-11 ATS as home favorites.
— since 2016, Bowling Green is 3-9 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
— Falcons are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
— Over is 5-2 in their games this season.

— Western Michigan won six of last seven series games.
— Broncos are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Bowling Green.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
— This season, MAC home favorites are 4-12 ATS.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 2
CMU at NIU07:00 PMCMU +4.5
U 56.5
+500 +500
WMU at BGSU07:00 PMBGSU -5.0
O 48.0
+500 +500
 
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