NCAAF
Weather Report
Week 7
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 7
Friday night
Navy @ SMU
Navy (2-3)
— Middies ran for 455 yards in LW’s 53-21 win over Tulsa.
— They split two road games, both decided by three points.
— 5 starters back on offense; 6 on defense
— 31 starts back on OL; junior QB has 10 starts.
— Navy is 4-2 ATS in last six games as a road underdog.
— Last three games, Middies are +6 in turnovers (minus-5 in first 2 games).
— Navy is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Navy scored 23-53 points in its wins, 13 or less in losses.
— Middies also have a 14-7 loss to I-AA Delaware.
SMU (2-3)
— SMU lost last three games, giving up 34-42-41 points.
— SMU gave up 439-487-484 TY in those games.
— Mustangs threw for 363+ yards in all four I-A games.
— 6 starters back on offense; 7 on defense
— 74 starts back on OL; junior QB has 12 starts
— SMU is 11-4 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— SMU is 9-15 ATS in last 24 conference games.
— 4 SMU players will sit out the rest of season, then transfer.
— QB Mordecai transferred to SMU from Oklahoma.
— SMU won three of last four series games.
— Mustangs held Navy under 200 RY in last two meetings.
— Middies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to SMU.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Tex-San Antonio @ Florida International
Tex-San Antonio (4-2)
— UTSA gave up 35 ppg in its five I-A games.
— Last three games, UTSA scored 52-45-31 points.
— Roadrunners gave up 452+ yards in last five games.
— UTSA has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Roadrunners have 121 returning starts on offensive line.
— UTSA has senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Roadrunners are 23-9 SU under Traylor (26-46 from 2014-19).
— Under Traylor, UTSA is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Four of their five I-A games went over the total.
Florida International (2-3)
— FIU had I-A losses by 29-73-21 points- they lost 73-0 to WKU.
— Panthers’ only I-A win was 21-7 at New Mexico State.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 25 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 11 starts at Duke
— Should have 3 sophs, one freshman starting on OL
— New coach MacIntyre is 13-12 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 3+ years, FIU is 0-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 3+ years, they’re 2-17-1 ATS in conference games.
— FIU allowed 210+ rushing yards in three of four I-A games.
— These teams haven’t met since 2018, before Traylor was at UTSA.
— FIU won last two meetings, 45-7/14-7.
— Two of three meetings stayed under the total.
Navy is 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall
Navy is 4-1 ATS in the past five
road games
Navy is 22-7 ATS in the past 29 AAC games
Navy is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 vs.
losing teams
SMU is 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall
SMU is 9-4 ATS in the past 13
home games
SMU is 1-5 ATS in the past six
AAC games
SMU is 0-4 ATS in the past four
Friday games
UNDER is 9-4 in the past 13 games for
Navy
UNDER is 5-1 in the past six
road games for
Navy
OVER is 4-1 in the past five
AAC games for
Navy
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for
SMU
OVER is 4-1 in the past five
home games for
SMU
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings
Home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings
OVER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings
UTSA is 14-5 ATS in the past 19
road games
UTSA is 4-1 ATS in the past five
Friday games
FIU is 7-22 ATS in the past 29 games overall
FIU is 0-4 ATS in the past four
home games
FIU is 7-19 ATS in the past 26
C-USA games
FIU is 0-4 ATS in the past four
Friday games
OVER is 9-1 in the past 10 games overall for
UTSA
OVER is 8-0 in the past eight
road games for
UTSA
OVER is 4-1 in the past five
C-USA games for
UTSA
OVER is 17-8 in the past 25 games overall for
FIU
OVER is 33-16-2 in the past 51
C-USA games for
FIU
OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 vs.
winning teams for
FIU
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