NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, December 31
NCAAF
Dunkel
Bowl Season
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Tuesday’s games
Reliaquest Bowl (@ Tampa, FL)
Alabama (-11) vs
Michigan
Alabama (9-3)
Alabama won four of its last five games.
Alabama is 7-0 if it allows less than 24 points, 2-3 if they allow 24+.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in all three losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.
Alabama is 6-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
In his career, DeBoer is 25-22-1 ATS as a favorite.
Alabama is 14-9 ATS in its last 23 games as a favorite.
Crimson Tide is +12 in turnovers (minus-4 in last two games)
Under is 5-0 in their last five I-A games.
Alabama is 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in its last seven bowls.
Michigan (7-5)
Michigan was held under 300 TY in six of last eight games.
Wolverines are 4-3 in last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Michigan is 6-0 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 if they score less than 24.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).
Michigan is 3-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
Michigan is 6-4 ATS in last ten games as an underdog
Wolverines held last three opponents to 208.3 yards/game.
Michigan is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Six of their last nine games went over the total.
Michigan won its last two bowls, ending an 0-6 bowl skid.
Last nine years, SEC teams are 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS in this bowl
Alabama (-7) beat Michigan 35-16 in Citrus Bowl five years ago.
Sun Bowl (@ El Paso, TX)
Louisville (-1) vs
Washington
Louisville (8-4)
Louisville four four of last five games, after a 4-3 start.
Louisville allowed 31-34-52-38 points in its losses.
Cardinals are 8-0 giving up 27 or fewer points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Louisville has 172 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Though has started at Oregon, Texas Tech
Louisville is 4-2 SU away from home this season.
Cardinals are 2-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Last four games, Cardinals ran ball for 235.5 yards/game.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Louisville is 2-3 SU in its last five bowls.
Brohm has a 4-2 record in bowl games.
ACC teams are 1-9 SU in bowl games this month.
Washington (6-6)
Washington lost four of its last six games.
Huskies are 1-6 when they allow 21+ points.
Washington is 1-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Huskies have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Huskies have 36 returning starts on offensive line, none of them here.
Senior QB Rogers started 40 games at Mississippi State.
Washington allowed 450+ TY in three of its last four games.
Huskies are 0-5 SU/ATS away from Seattle this year.
Washington is 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 non-conference games.
Under is 7-4 in their I-A games this season.
Huskies won three of their last four bowls.
Fisch is 1-1 in bowls as a head coach.
Underdogs are 4-3 ATS in last seven Sun Bowls.
ACC teams are 5-2 in last seven visits to El Paso.
Citrus Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
South Carolina (-10) vs
Illinois
South Carolina (9-3)
Gamecocks won their last six games, after a 3-3 start.
Carolina is +5 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
Gamecocks have six wins by 21+ points.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.
Gamecocks are 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 14-6 ATS as a favorite.
Gamecocks are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a double digit favorite.
Last four I-A games, South Carolina ran ball for 219 yards/game.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine I-A games.
South Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in its last five bowls.
Illinois (8-3)
Illinois won its last two games, scoring 38-38-38 points.
Illini scored 7-9-17 points in losses (9-0 if they score 21+)
Illini’s losses were by 14-29-8 points.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Illinois is 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 17-9 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 43-32-1 ATS as an underdog.
Illinois is 5-1 this year in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Over is 3-0 in Illinois’ last three games.
Illinois is 3-2 SU in its last five bowls.
In his career, Bielema is 4-6 SU in bowls.
Big 18 teams are 1-5 in last six Citrus Bowls.
SEC teams are 8-3 in last 11 Citrus Bowls.
Texas Bowl (@ Houston)
Baylor (-4) vs LSU
Baylor (8-4)
Baylor won its last six games, after a 2-4 start.
Baylor scored 31+ points in seven of its eight wins.
Bears are 1-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Tigers have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson has 2,626 PY (26 TD’s, 7 INTs)
Baylor is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 14-11 ATS as a favorite.
Baylor is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 non-league games.
Over is 7-1-1 in Baylor’s last nine games.
Baylor is 3-2 SU in its last five bowls.
Bears (+4) beat Vanderbilt 45-38 in this bowl in 2018.
LSU (8-4)
LSU lost 3 of last 5 games, after a 6-1 start.
LSU scored 24+ points in wins, 20-23-13-16 in losses.
Tigers are 2-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 63.7% of passes (26 TD’s, 11 INTs)
Tigers are 1-2 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Kelly is 36-19-2 ATS as an underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
LSU is 1-4 when it gives up 27+ points.
Last five games, Tigers are minus-6 in turnovers.
Seven of LSU’s last nine games stayed under the total.
LSU is 5-1 in its last six bowl games.
Underdogs are 4-2 ATS in last six Texas Bowls.
Big X teams won six of last seven Big X teams.
These teams haven’t met since 1985.
Fiesta Bowl (@ Glendale, AZ)
College Football Playoff
Penn State (-11) vs
Boise State
Penn State (12-2)
Penn State won five of last six games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
PSU’s losses: 20-13 at home to Ohio State, 45-37 vs Oregon.
Nine of Nittany Lions’ 12 wins are by 15+ points.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.
Penn State is 7-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 58-39-3 ATS as a favorite.
Nittany Lions are 14-6 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.
Penn State ran ball for 219+ yards in four of last six games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Penn State is 3-3 SU/ATS in its last six bowls.
Boise State (12-1)
Broncos won last ten I-A games, after a 37-34 loss at Oregon.
Boise has run for 200+ yards in nine of 12 I-A games.
Boise is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Boise has 6 starters back on offense, all 11 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Madsen has thrown for 2,714 yards, with 22 TD’s, 3 INTs
Broncos are 1-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Last 11 years, Boise State is 11-5-1 ATS as an underdog.
Broncos are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 non-conference games.
Boise gained at least 353 yards in every game this season.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Broncos lost two of their last three bowl games.
Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven Fiesta Bowls.
Boise State (+3) won this game 38-30, ten years ago.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
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Trend Report
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Alabama vs Michigan
Alabama is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Michigan is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Louisville vs Washington
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Louisville's last 17 games
Washington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games
South Carolina vs Illinois
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Illinois is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baylor vs Louisiana State
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana State's last 9 games
Louisiana State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Penn State vs Boise State
Penn State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games
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