Cnotes' NFL 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!
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- Start date
NOVEMBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
11/17/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/13/2022..............13-8-1.................61.90%...................+ 21.00
11/10/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/06/2022..............13-8-1................61.36%....................+ 21.00
11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals...................27-21-2.................56.25%...................+ 19.50
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BEST BETS
11/17/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/13/2022...............10-4-1.................71.42%....................+ 28.00
11/10/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/05/2022.................8-5-1..................61.53%...................+ 12.50
11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals.....................19-14-2..................57.57%..................+ 18.00
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SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00
************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
11/17/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/13/2022..............13-8-1.................61.90%...................+ 21.00
11/10/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/06/2022..............13-8-1................61.36%....................+ 21.00
11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals...................27-21-2.................56.25%...................+ 19.50
*****************************************
BEST BETS
11/17/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/13/2022...............10-4-1.................71.42%....................+ 28.00
11/10/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/05/2022.................8-5-1..................61.53%...................+ 12.50
11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals.....................19-14-2..................57.57%..................+ 18.00
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00
************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
- 38
NFL
Weather Report
Week 11
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Jets' last five games.
The Jets are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The Patriots are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of New England's last 13 games against the Jets.
The total has gone OVER in eight of New England's last ten home games.
The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against New England.
The Jets are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against New England.
The Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
The Jets are 0-11 SU in their last 11 road games against New England.
The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
The Cowboys are 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone OVER in five of Minnesota's last seven games.
The Vikings are 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Minnesota's last 12 games against Dallas.
The Vikings are 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
The Cowboys are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against Minnesota.
The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in four of Dallas' last five road games.
The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against Minnesota.
The Chiefs are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Chargers.
The Chiefs are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games against the Chargers.
The Chargers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Chargers' last 15 games.
The Chargers are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Chargers' last eight home games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of Kansas City's last eight road games.
The Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last seven road games against the Chargers.
Weather Report
Week 11
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Jets' last five games.
The Jets are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The Patriots are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of New England's last 13 games against the Jets.
The total has gone OVER in eight of New England's last ten home games.
The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against New England.
The Jets are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against New England.
The Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
The Jets are 0-11 SU in their last 11 road games against New England.
The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
The Cowboys are 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone OVER in five of Minnesota's last seven games.
The Vikings are 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Minnesota's last 12 games against Dallas.
The Vikings are 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
The Cowboys are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against Minnesota.
The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in four of Dallas' last five road games.
The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against Minnesota.
The Chiefs are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Chargers.
The Chiefs are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games against the Chargers.
The Chargers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Chargers' last 15 games.
The Chargers are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Chargers' last eight home games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of Kansas City's last eight road games.
The Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last seven road games against the Chargers.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
- 38
Week 11 NFL Gridiron Betting Angles
Vince Akins
Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Ravens are 7-0-1 ATS since November 2019 as a double-digit favorite.
Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Falcons are 0-15 ATS since October 2017 off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 24 points.
OU Trend
Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
The Broncos are 0-17 OU since October 2017 with more than 3 days rest when they allowed no more than 76 rushing yards last game.
Choice Trend
Matchup: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Bears are 10-0-1 OU since 2013 on the road coming off a home game where they gained at least 400 total yards.
Super System Trend
Matchup: L.A. Rams at New Orleans Saints (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
NFL; Teams which ran for no more than 50 yards for two straight games are 60-88 ATS. Active against New Orleans.
FACTOID of the Week
Matchup: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Teams are 5-0 ATS in database history coming off an overtime loss and facing a team off an overtime win. Dallas is in this situation this week.
Vince Akins
Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Ravens are 7-0-1 ATS since November 2019 as a double-digit favorite.
Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Falcons are 0-15 ATS since October 2017 off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 24 points.
OU Trend
Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
The Broncos are 0-17 OU since October 2017 with more than 3 days rest when they allowed no more than 76 rushing yards last game.
Choice Trend
Matchup: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Bears are 10-0-1 OU since 2013 on the road coming off a home game where they gained at least 400 total yards.
Super System Trend
Matchup: L.A. Rams at New Orleans Saints (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
NFL; Teams which ran for no more than 50 yards for two straight games are 60-88 ATS. Active against New Orleans.
FACTOID of the Week
Matchup: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Teams are 5-0 ATS in database history coming off an overtime loss and facing a team off an overtime win. Dallas is in this situation this week.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 20
| LAR at NO | 01:00 PM | NO -2.5 U 39.5 | +500 +500 |
| CHI at ATL | 01:00 PM | CHI +3.0 O 48.5 | +500 +500 |
| CLE at BUF | 01:00 PM | CLE +7.5 O 50.5 | +500 +500 |
| PHI at IND | 01:00 PM | PHI -6.5 U 45.5 | +500 +500 |
| NYJ at NE | 01:00 PM | NE -3.5 U 38.5 | +500 +500 |
| CAR at BAL | 01:00 PM | CAR +13.0 O 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| WAS at HOU | 01:00 PM | HOU +3.0 O 41.0 | +500 +500 |
| DET at NYG | 01:00 PM | DET +3.0 U 44.0 | +500 +500 |
| LV at DEN | 04:05 PM | DEN -2.5 U 41.5 | +500 +500 |
| DAL at MIN | 04:25 PM | DAL -1.5 U 48.5 | +500 +500 |
| CIN at PIT | 04:25 PM | PIT +3.5 O 40.0 | +500 +500 |
| KC at LAC | 08:20 PM | LAC +5.0 O 52.5 | +500 +500 |
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
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Armadillo Sports
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Falcons 27, Bears 24
— First time in six games Chicago ran for less than 238 yards (160).
— Bears converted 9-16 on third down, Atlanta 2-9.
— Chicago lost seven of its last eight games SU (2-5-1 ATS).
— Bears had touchdown drives of 44-29-75 yards.
— Chicago is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-4-1 TY).
— Cordarrelle Patterson ran a kickoff back 103 yards for a TD.
— Koo kicked a 53-yard FG with 1:47 let for the win.
— Both teams ran for more yards than they threw for.
— Last five opponents converted 67-136 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Five of their six home games were decided by 3 or less points.
Patriots 10, Jets 3
— Marcus Jones ran a punt back 84 yards for a TD with 0:05 left.
— New England won its last 15 games against the Jets.
— Jets in 2nd half: 26 plays, 17 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Jets had one play the whole game longer than 14 yards.
— Jets held six of last seven opponents under their team total.
— New England won five of last six games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Patriots are 6-0 allowing 17 or less points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 77-32 in 2nd half.
— Patriots are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Jets are 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Foxboro.
Saints 27, Rams 20
— Rams led 14-10 at halftime.
— 3rd-string QB Perkins played just about whole second half.
— Rams lost six of their last seven games.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last eight games (minus-7).
— In their losses, LA was outscored 95-29 in second half.
— Saints first two drives in 2nd half: 14 plays, 143 yards, 14 points.
— Dalton was 21-25/260 passing, with three TD passes.
— Saints are 3-1 when they score 27+ points.
— New Orleans is 13-8-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— LA is 1-4 ATS in last five games in the Superdome.
Lions 31, Giants 18
— Detroit won last three games, scoring 31-31 points in last two.
— Williams ran ball 17 times for 64 yards, with three TD’s.
— Lions had a 19-yard edge in field position.
— Three of Detroit’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Last four games, Detroit converted 21-44 third down plays.
— Barkley was held to 22 yards on 15 carries.
— Giants outgained Detroit 413-325; they had 324 passing yards.
— Giants were 0-2 on PAT’s, also failed on a 2-point play.
— Giants were held to 16-13-18 points in their losses.
— Giants are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite
Bills 31, Browns 23
— Cleveland lost six of their last seven games.
— WR Cooper caught 8 passes for 112 yards, two TD’s.
— Browns turned ball over 13 times in last six games (minus-8)
— Six of their nine games went over the total.
— Cleveland has outgained eight of its ten opponents.
— Buffalo went ahead for good on TD with 0:14 left in first half.
— Bills in 2nd half: 5 drives- 35 plays, 224 yards, one TD, 4 FG’s
— Singleton/Cook both had 86 yards rushing.
— Bills are 15-6-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss
— Bills will stay in Detroit; they play Lions on Thanksgiving Day.
Eagles 17, Colts 16
— Eagles in first three quarters: 41 plays, 155 yards, 3 points.
— Eagles in 4th quarter: 19 plays, 178 yards, 14 points.
— Philly drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:20 left.
— Eagles are 12-20 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Philly won all five road games TY, by 1-3-16-3-12 points (1-4 ATS).
— Colts led this game 13-3 after three quarters.
— Three drives to red zone, Indy scored one TD, kicked two FG’s.
— Colts lost four of last five games SU.
— Nine of Colts’ 11 games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 13-5-1 ATS last 19 games vs NFC teams.
Commanders 23, Texans 10
— Commanders scored on a pick-six 1:44 into the game.
— Washington won/covered five of last six games.
— Last six games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five).
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under the team total eight of last nine games.
— Houston in first half: 20 plays, minus-4 yards, one first down.
— Texans lost eight of their last nine games SU (2-6 ATS last eight).
— Washington outgained the Texans, 344-148.
— Houston is 37-126 (29.4%) on 3rd down this season.
— Texans are 10-19-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
Ravens 13, Panthers 3
— Carolina ran the ball 17 times for only 36 yards.
— Panthers in first half: 21 plays, 48 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Carolina has converted only 37-132 (28.0%) third down plays.
— Seven of last ten Panther games stayed under the total.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 18-42 SU.
— Ravens drove 76 yards, kicked FG at gun to lead 3-0 at halftime.
— Ravens scored only one TD in four trips to red zone.
— Baltimore won five of its last six games SU.
— Ravens are 2-8 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
— Six of Ravens’ last seven games stayed under the total.
Raiders 22, Broncos 16 OT
— Raiders drove 67 yards on three plays for the GW TD in OT.
— Adams caught seven passes for 141 yards, two TD’s.
— Raiders tied game on a field goal with 0:16 left in regulation.
— First road win in six tries for Las Vegas this year.
— Raiders are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Denver lost six of last seven games, with losses by 9-3-3-7-7-6 points— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in eight of ten games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 56-26 in second half/OT.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 32-127 (25.2%) on third down.
— Nine of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
Cowboys 40, Vikings 3
— Dallas scored first seven times they had the ball.
— Cowboys won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last three games, Dallas scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Cowboys outgained Minnesota, 458-183
— NFC East teams are 20-10-2 ATS outside the division.
— Minnesota after first quarter: 42 plays, 92 yards, no points.
— Dallas converted 12-17 on third down, Vikings 1-11.
— Jefferson was held to three catches for 33 yards.
— Last nine games, Minnesota has 24 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 39.
— Minnesota is 8-2, but they’ve been outscored 231-229.
Bengals 37, Steelers 30
— Cincinnati won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Burrow threw for 355 yards and four TD’s.
— Higgins caught nine passes for 148 yards.
— Cincy is 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 AFC North road games.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over the total.
— Steelers led this game 20-17 at halftime.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 106-67 in second half of games.
— Steelers lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— Steelers converted 8-17 on third down, Cincinnati 3-9.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh won 58.2% of third down plays.
Chiefs 30, Chargers 27
— Chiefs drove 75 yards, scoring game-winning TD with 0:15 left.
— Kelce caught six passes for 115 yards, three TD’s.
— Chiefs won six of their last seven games (4-2 ATS).
— Chiefs have 57 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 38.
— KC is 11-20-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
— Chargers led this game 20-13 at halftime.
— Bolts have been outscored 134-75 in second half.
— Chargers lost three of their last four games.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 183.4 rushing yards/game.
— Chargers lost 14 of last 17 games against Kansas City.
Toronto 24, Winnipeg 23
— Argonauts blocked field goal in last minute to seal their win.
— Toronto wins Grey Cup for first time since 2017.
— Winnipeg had won the previous two Grey Cups.
— Backup QB Chad Kelly engineered the game-winning drive; he is Jim Kelly’s nephew.
— Blue Bombers’ Janarion Grant had a 102-yard punt return for a touchdown.
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Falcons 27, Bears 24
— First time in six games Chicago ran for less than 238 yards (160).
— Bears converted 9-16 on third down, Atlanta 2-9.
— Chicago lost seven of its last eight games SU (2-5-1 ATS).
— Bears had touchdown drives of 44-29-75 yards.
— Chicago is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-4-1 TY).
— Cordarrelle Patterson ran a kickoff back 103 yards for a TD.
— Koo kicked a 53-yard FG with 1:47 let for the win.
— Both teams ran for more yards than they threw for.
— Last five opponents converted 67-136 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Five of their six home games were decided by 3 or less points.
Patriots 10, Jets 3
— Marcus Jones ran a punt back 84 yards for a TD with 0:05 left.
— New England won its last 15 games against the Jets.
— Jets in 2nd half: 26 plays, 17 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Jets had one play the whole game longer than 14 yards.
— Jets held six of last seven opponents under their team total.
— New England won five of last six games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Patriots are 6-0 allowing 17 or less points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 77-32 in 2nd half.
— Patriots are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Jets are 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Foxboro.
Saints 27, Rams 20
— Rams led 14-10 at halftime.
— 3rd-string QB Perkins played just about whole second half.
— Rams lost six of their last seven games.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last eight games (minus-7).
— In their losses, LA was outscored 95-29 in second half.
— Saints first two drives in 2nd half: 14 plays, 143 yards, 14 points.
— Dalton was 21-25/260 passing, with three TD passes.
— Saints are 3-1 when they score 27+ points.
— New Orleans is 13-8-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— LA is 1-4 ATS in last five games in the Superdome.
Lions 31, Giants 18
— Detroit won last three games, scoring 31-31 points in last two.
— Williams ran ball 17 times for 64 yards, with three TD’s.
— Lions had a 19-yard edge in field position.
— Three of Detroit’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Last four games, Detroit converted 21-44 third down plays.
— Barkley was held to 22 yards on 15 carries.
— Giants outgained Detroit 413-325; they had 324 passing yards.
— Giants were 0-2 on PAT’s, also failed on a 2-point play.
— Giants were held to 16-13-18 points in their losses.
— Giants are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite
Bills 31, Browns 23
— Cleveland lost six of their last seven games.
— WR Cooper caught 8 passes for 112 yards, two TD’s.
— Browns turned ball over 13 times in last six games (minus-8)
— Six of their nine games went over the total.
— Cleveland has outgained eight of its ten opponents.
— Buffalo went ahead for good on TD with 0:14 left in first half.
— Bills in 2nd half: 5 drives- 35 plays, 224 yards, one TD, 4 FG’s
— Singleton/Cook both had 86 yards rushing.
— Bills are 15-6-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss
— Bills will stay in Detroit; they play Lions on Thanksgiving Day.
Eagles 17, Colts 16
— Eagles in first three quarters: 41 plays, 155 yards, 3 points.
— Eagles in 4th quarter: 19 plays, 178 yards, 14 points.
— Philly drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:20 left.
— Eagles are 12-20 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Philly won all five road games TY, by 1-3-16-3-12 points (1-4 ATS).
— Colts led this game 13-3 after three quarters.
— Three drives to red zone, Indy scored one TD, kicked two FG’s.
— Colts lost four of last five games SU.
— Nine of Colts’ 11 games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 13-5-1 ATS last 19 games vs NFC teams.
Commanders 23, Texans 10
— Commanders scored on a pick-six 1:44 into the game.
— Washington won/covered five of last six games.
— Last six games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five).
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under the team total eight of last nine games.
— Houston in first half: 20 plays, minus-4 yards, one first down.
— Texans lost eight of their last nine games SU (2-6 ATS last eight).
— Washington outgained the Texans, 344-148.
— Houston is 37-126 (29.4%) on 3rd down this season.
— Texans are 10-19-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
Ravens 13, Panthers 3
— Carolina ran the ball 17 times for only 36 yards.
— Panthers in first half: 21 plays, 48 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Carolina has converted only 37-132 (28.0%) third down plays.
— Seven of last ten Panther games stayed under the total.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 18-42 SU.
— Ravens drove 76 yards, kicked FG at gun to lead 3-0 at halftime.
— Ravens scored only one TD in four trips to red zone.
— Baltimore won five of its last six games SU.
— Ravens are 2-8 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
— Six of Ravens’ last seven games stayed under the total.
Raiders 22, Broncos 16 OT
— Raiders drove 67 yards on three plays for the GW TD in OT.
— Adams caught seven passes for 141 yards, two TD’s.
— Raiders tied game on a field goal with 0:16 left in regulation.
— First road win in six tries for Las Vegas this year.
— Raiders are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Denver lost six of last seven games, with losses by 9-3-3-7-7-6 points— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in eight of ten games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 56-26 in second half/OT.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 32-127 (25.2%) on third down.
— Nine of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
Cowboys 40, Vikings 3
— Dallas scored first seven times they had the ball.
— Cowboys won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last three games, Dallas scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Cowboys outgained Minnesota, 458-183
— NFC East teams are 20-10-2 ATS outside the division.
— Minnesota after first quarter: 42 plays, 92 yards, no points.
— Dallas converted 12-17 on third down, Vikings 1-11.
— Jefferson was held to three catches for 33 yards.
— Last nine games, Minnesota has 24 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 39.
— Minnesota is 8-2, but they’ve been outscored 231-229.
Bengals 37, Steelers 30
— Cincinnati won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Burrow threw for 355 yards and four TD’s.
— Higgins caught nine passes for 148 yards.
— Cincy is 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 AFC North road games.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over the total.
— Steelers led this game 20-17 at halftime.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 106-67 in second half of games.
— Steelers lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— Steelers converted 8-17 on third down, Cincinnati 3-9.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh won 58.2% of third down plays.
Chiefs 30, Chargers 27
— Chiefs drove 75 yards, scoring game-winning TD with 0:15 left.
— Kelce caught six passes for 115 yards, three TD’s.
— Chiefs won six of their last seven games (4-2 ATS).
— Chiefs have 57 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 38.
— KC is 11-20-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
— Chargers led this game 20-13 at halftime.
— Bolts have been outscored 134-75 in second half.
— Chargers lost three of their last four games.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 183.4 rushing yards/game.
— Chargers lost 14 of last 17 games against Kansas City.
Toronto 24, Winnipeg 23
— Argonauts blocked field goal in last minute to seal their win.
— Toronto wins Grey Cup for first time since 2017.
— Winnipeg had won the previous two Grey Cups.
— Backup QB Chad Kelly engineered the game-winning drive; he is Jim Kelly’s nephew.
— Blue Bombers’ Janarion Grant had a 102-yard punt return for a touchdown.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
- 38
NFL
Weather Report
Week 11
The Niners are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 17 games.
The Niners are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Arizona's last five games.
The Cardinals are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games.
The Cardinals are 1-9 SU in their last 10 home games.
The Niners are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games against Arizona.
The Niners are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against Arizona.
The total has gone UNDER in six of San Francisco's last eight road games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of San Francisco's last six road games against Arizona.
Weather Report
Week 11
The Niners are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 17 games.
The Niners are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Arizona's last five games.
The Cardinals are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games.
The Cardinals are 1-9 SU in their last 10 home games.
The Niners are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games against Arizona.
The Niners are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against Arizona.
The total has gone UNDER in six of San Francisco's last eight road games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of San Francisco's last six road games against Arizona.
NOVEMBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
11/21/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/20/2022..............14-9-1.................60.42%...................+ 20.50
11/17/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/13/2022..............13-8-1.................61.90%...................+ 21.00
11/10/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/06/2022..............13-8-1................61.36%....................+ 21.00
11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals...................42-31-3.................57.53%...................+ 29.50
*****************************************
BEST BETS
11/21/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/20/2022.................7-5-1.................58.33%....................+ 7.50
11/17/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/13/2022...............10-4-1.................71.42%....................+ 28.00
11/10/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/05/2022.................8-5-1..................61.53%...................+ 12.50
11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals.....................27-20-3..................57.44%..................+ 25.00
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00
************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
11/21/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/20/2022..............14-9-1.................60.42%...................+ 20.50
11/17/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/13/2022..............13-8-1.................61.90%...................+ 21.00
11/10/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/06/2022..............13-8-1................61.36%....................+ 21.00
11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals...................42-31-3.................57.53%...................+ 29.50
*****************************************
BEST BETS
11/21/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/20/2022.................7-5-1.................58.33%....................+ 7.50
11/17/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/13/2022...............10-4-1.................71.42%....................+ 28.00
11/10/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/05/2022.................8-5-1..................61.53%...................+ 12.50
11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals.....................27-20-3..................57.44%..................+ 25.00
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00
************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
- Sep 10, 2018
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Armadillo Sports
49ers 38, Cardinals 10
— 49ers’ first two drives: 7 plays, 19 yards, 1 first down, no points.
— Rest of game: 51 plays, 368 yards, 20 first downs, 38 points.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 28-51 on third down.
— 49ers won 13 of last 16 meetings with Arizona.
— 49ers are 5-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Arizona in 2nd half: 32 plays, 139 yards, no points.
— Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
— Dortch caught 9 passes for 103 yards; Hopkins 9 for 91.
— Arizona is 1-7 when it scores less than 29 points.
— 49ers had an 11-yard edge in field position.
49ers 38, Cardinals 10
— 49ers’ first two drives: 7 plays, 19 yards, 1 first down, no points.
— Rest of game: 51 plays, 368 yards, 20 first downs, 38 points.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 28-51 on third down.
— 49ers won 13 of last 16 meetings with Arizona.
— 49ers are 5-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Arizona in 2nd half: 32 plays, 139 yards, no points.
— Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
— Dortch caught 9 passes for 103 yards; Hopkins 9 for 91.
— Arizona is 1-7 when it scores less than 29 points.
— 49ers had an 11-yard edge in field position.
- Sep 10, 2018
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DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in November games in the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in games played on turf in the current season.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 41-23 ATS (15.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS are 52-30 ATS (19 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in games played on turf in the current season.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 41-23 ATS (15.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS are 52-30 ATS (19 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NFL
Week 12
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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Detroit
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
NY Giants @ Dallas
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Giants
New England @ Minnesota
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New England
Cincinnati @ Tennessee
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Denver @ Carolina
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Baltimore @ Jacksonville
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Houston @ Miami
Houston
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ NY Jets
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
LA Chargers @ Arizona
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
New Orleans @ San Francisco
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams @ Kansas City
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Green Bay @ Philadelphia
Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
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Week 12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Detroit
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
NY Giants @ Dallas
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Giants
New England @ Minnesota
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New England
Cincinnati @ Tennessee
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Denver @ Carolina
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Baltimore @ Jacksonville
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Houston @ Miami
Houston
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ NY Jets
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
LA Chargers @ Arizona
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
New Orleans @ San Francisco
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams @ Kansas City
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Green Bay @ Philadelphia
Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
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Last edited:
- Sep 10, 2018
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday games
Bills (7-3) @ Lions (4-6)
— Bills played in Detroit last week because of a blizzard in Buffalo.
— They went home and came back, didn’t stay the four days in Detroit.
— Buffalo is 3-2 SU on road, with wins by 21-4-3 points (2-3 ATS).
— Last four games, Buffalo was outscored 56-28 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills ran ball for 159.5 yards/game.
— Buffalo is 10-8 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
— Bills scored 18 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
— Buffalo has 54 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 42)
— Eight of ten Buffalo games stayed under the total (last tw0 went over).
— Bills are 17-11 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win (3-3 TY).
— Allen is 49-27 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Detroit won last three games , scoring 31-31 points in last two.
— Lions are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Detroit scored 12 TD’s on its last 34 drives.
— Last four games, Lions are +7 in turnovers (8-1)
— Last three games, Detroit converted 21-44 third down plays.
— Last three games, Detroit opponents converted 27-51 on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-19-1 SU, 17-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Detroit is 2-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-3-4 points.
— Over is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Buffalo won four of last five series games.
— All five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two meetings played here (17-14 Buff/20-17 Det)
— Other than last week, Bills’ last visit to Detroit was in 2014.
Giants (7-3) @ Cowboys (7-3)
— Giants won/covered seven of first ten games.
— Giants were held to 16-13-18 points in their losses.
— Giants are 7-0 if they score 19+ points.
— They trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
— Last five games, Big Blue converted 37-80 (46.3%) on third down.
— Giants opponents stayed under team total in seven of ten games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in Giant games this season.
— Giants are 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Barkley was held to 22 yards on 15 carries LW; Giants need more.
— Cowboys won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last four games, Dallas scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last five games, Dallas ran ball for 157.4 yards/game.
— Last seven games, Cowboys outscored foes 109-38 in second half.
— Dallas is 4-1 SU at home TY, 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in last 16 NFC East home games.
— Dallas is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Under is 7-2-1 in their games this season.
— Cowboys are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Dallas ran for 176 yards, beat Giants 23-16 in New Jersey in Week 3.
— Cowboys won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Giants are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Patriots (6-4) @ Vikings (8-2)
— New England won five of last six games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Patriots’ last 2 games: 1 TD, 7 FGA’s, 10 3/outs on 24 drives.
— Patriots’ foes last 2 games: no TD’s, 3 FGA’s, 15 3/outs on 25 drives.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Patriots’ last four games were against rookie/2nd year QB’s.
— NE is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 77-32 in 2nd half.
— Mac Jones is 14-11 as an NFC starter.
— Last three New England games stayed under the total.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Vikings won seven of last eight games (5-2-1 ATS).
— Despite being 8-2, Vikings have been outscored 231-229.
— Last two games, Vikings were outscored 47-13 in first half.
— Vikings are 4-1 SU at home, scoring 23.8 ppg.
— Minnesota is 19-12-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last nine games, Minnesota has 24 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 39.
— Jefferson was held to 33 yards on 3 catches LW (check status).
— Cousins is 68-63-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings have 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Patriots won last five series games, covered last four.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— New England won 30-7/31-7 in last two trips to Minnesota.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday games
Bills (7-3) @ Lions (4-6)
— Bills played in Detroit last week because of a blizzard in Buffalo.
— They went home and came back, didn’t stay the four days in Detroit.
— Buffalo is 3-2 SU on road, with wins by 21-4-3 points (2-3 ATS).
— Last four games, Buffalo was outscored 56-28 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills ran ball for 159.5 yards/game.
— Buffalo is 10-8 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
— Bills scored 18 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
— Buffalo has 54 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 42)
— Eight of ten Buffalo games stayed under the total (last tw0 went over).
— Bills are 17-11 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win (3-3 TY).
— Allen is 49-27 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Detroit won last three games , scoring 31-31 points in last two.
— Lions are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Detroit scored 12 TD’s on its last 34 drives.
— Last four games, Lions are +7 in turnovers (8-1)
— Last three games, Detroit converted 21-44 third down plays.
— Last three games, Detroit opponents converted 27-51 on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-19-1 SU, 17-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Detroit is 2-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-3-4 points.
— Over is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Buffalo won four of last five series games.
— All five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two meetings played here (17-14 Buff/20-17 Det)
— Other than last week, Bills’ last visit to Detroit was in 2014.
Giants (7-3) @ Cowboys (7-3)
— Giants won/covered seven of first ten games.
— Giants were held to 16-13-18 points in their losses.
— Giants are 7-0 if they score 19+ points.
— They trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
— Last five games, Big Blue converted 37-80 (46.3%) on third down.
— Giants opponents stayed under team total in seven of ten games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in Giant games this season.
— Giants are 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Barkley was held to 22 yards on 15 carries LW; Giants need more.
— Cowboys won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last four games, Dallas scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last five games, Dallas ran ball for 157.4 yards/game.
— Last seven games, Cowboys outscored foes 109-38 in second half.
— Dallas is 4-1 SU at home TY, 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in last 16 NFC East home games.
— Dallas is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Under is 7-2-1 in their games this season.
— Cowboys are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Dallas ran for 176 yards, beat Giants 23-16 in New Jersey in Week 3.
— Cowboys won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Giants are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Patriots (6-4) @ Vikings (8-2)
— New England won five of last six games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Patriots’ last 2 games: 1 TD, 7 FGA’s, 10 3/outs on 24 drives.
— Patriots’ foes last 2 games: no TD’s, 3 FGA’s, 15 3/outs on 25 drives.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Patriots’ last four games were against rookie/2nd year QB’s.
— NE is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 77-32 in 2nd half.
— Mac Jones is 14-11 as an NFC starter.
— Last three New England games stayed under the total.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Vikings won seven of last eight games (5-2-1 ATS).
— Despite being 8-2, Vikings have been outscored 231-229.
— Last two games, Vikings were outscored 47-13 in first half.
— Vikings are 4-1 SU at home, scoring 23.8 ppg.
— Minnesota is 19-12-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last nine games, Minnesota has 24 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 39.
— Jefferson was held to 33 yards on 3 catches LW (check status).
— Cousins is 68-63-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings have 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Patriots won last five series games, covered last four.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— New England won 30-7/31-7 in last two trips to Minnesota.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Sunday’s games
Ravens (7-3) @ Jaguars (3-7)
— Baltimore won five of its last six games SU.
— Five of last seven Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led 35-14/20-3/20-10 in their three losses TY.
— Ravens are 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Last two games, Ravens allowed one TD on 20 drives.
— QB Jackson leads Ravens with 666 RY; next highest is Drake, with 390.
— Six of Ravens’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 21-15-1 last 37 games coming off a win.
— Jackson is 45-18 as an NFL starter.
— Baltimore have seven takeaways in last four games (+5)
— Jacksonville lost six of its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Jaguars are 1-6 in one-score games.
— Last two games, Jacksonville outscored foes 27-7 in 2nd half.
— Jaguars are 2-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— In his career, Pederson is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Jaguars are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.
— Under is 3-1 in Jacksonville’s last four games.
— Jaguars converted 28 of last 63 third down plays (44.4%)
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 6-21 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Ravens are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four trips to Jacksonville.
— Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.
Broncos (3-7) @ Panthers (3-8)
— Denver lost six of last seven games, losing by 9-3-3-7-7-6 points.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in eight of ten games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 56-26 in second half.
— Last five games, Broncos have seven TD’s on 69 drives.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Denver held 8 of 10 opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last six games, Broncos are 32-127 (25.2%) on third down.
— Denver is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
— Nine of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-4 SU in true road games TY- they won on a neutral field in London.
— QB Darnold gets his first 2022 start; he is 17-32 as an NFL starter.
— Third different QB to start Carolina’s last three games.
— Panthers covered four of their last five games.
— Carolina is 3-3 SU at home TY, 2-0 since they changed coaches.
— Panthers are 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Panthers didn’t allow a TD in first half of their last two games.
— Carolina has converted only 37-132 (28.0%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 18-42 SU.
— Seven of last ten Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games vs AFC opponents.
— Denver won four of last five series games.
— Broncos won two of last three visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Falcons (5-6) @ Commanders (6-5)
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.
— Three of their last four games were decided by 3 or less points.
— Underdogs are 8-2-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road dog.
— Last two games, Falcons converted 5-20 third down plays.
— Last ten opponents converted 67-136 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a win (2-2 TY).
— Last nine games, Falcons ran ball for 163.1 yards/game.
— Mariota is 35-39 as an NFL starter.
— TE Pitts is out with a leg injury.
— Over is 3-2 in their road games this year.
— Washington won five of last six games (5-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 4-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Last six games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five)
— Last seven games, they’re 30-94 on third down (31.9%).
— Washington is 3-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Commanders are 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— Last three weeks, Washington ran football for 147.7 yards/game.
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total eight of last nine games.
— Last two games, Washington had 20-20 points at half; in first nine games, they scored total of 54 first half points (6 points/game).
— Atlanta won seven of last eight series games.
— Falcons covered their last three games at Washington.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Buccaneers (5-5) @ Browns (3-7)
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games.
— Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Tampa Bay held last two opponents to 206-283 yards.
— Last six games, Tampa was outscored 85-48 in second half.
— Last two games, Bucs converted 19-36 on third down.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Eight of ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— NFC South teams are 10-17-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Cleveland lost six of last seven games (3-3 ATS last six).
— Last two weeks, Browns gave up 39-31 points
— Browns lost field position by 10+ yards in four of last five games.
— Browns scored 26-29-32 points in wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 26.
— Cleveland outgained eight of its ten opponents, but they’re 3-7.
— Over is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Browns ran ball for 217-171-172 yards in their wins, 135.6 yards/game in losses.
— Browns are 1-6 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Brissett is 17-30 as an NFL starter- Watson comes back next week.
— Browns turned ball over 13 times in last six games (minus-8)
— Buccaneers won four of last five meetings.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two series games in Cleveland.
Bengals (6-4) @ Titans (7-3)
— Cincinnati won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 0-4 scoring 20 or less points, 6-0 if they score more.
— Bengals scored 30+ points in four of last five games.
— Cincy converted 45 of last 89 (50.6%) third down plays.
— Under Taylor, Bengals are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cincy scored 17 TD’s on their last 40 drives.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over the total.
— Cincy is 3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 21-18-1 as an NFL starter.
— Tennessee won seven of last eight games (8-0 ATS), allowing 15.8 ppg.
— Titans won/covered three of four home games this year.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 137-75 in first half.
— Titans have been outscored 110-56 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 41-136 (30.1%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held last eight opponents under their team total.
— Since 2020, Titans are 5-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Tennessee allowed only 7 TD’s on 55 drives.
— Six of last seven Titan games stayed under the total.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Cincinnati won six of last eight series games.
— Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Texans (1-8-1) @ Dolphins (6-3)
— Texans lost eight of their last nine games SU (2-6 ATS last eight).
— Texans are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS since their bye week, giving up 26.2 ppg.
— Houston has allowed 178.7 rushing yards/game this season.
— Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Texans are 10-19-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Houston is 35-113 (19.6%) on 3rd down.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 7 of 10 games.
— Houston was outgained 344-148 in LW’s home loss to Washington.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-17-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-7 ATS outside the division.
— Dolphins won last four games, scoring 31-35-39 points in last three.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 12-4-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Dolphins converted 19 of last 33 third down plays.
— Miami is +5 in turnovers in its wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Last 5 games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1/8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last three Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins won last two post-bye games, 24-0/20-9.
— Tagovailoa is 20-9 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East non-divisional favorites are 9-6-1 ATS TY.
— Houston won eight of last ten series games.
— Texans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Miami (0-2 last two0
— Under is 4-4 in last eight meetings.
Bears (3-8) @ Jets (6-4)
— Chicago lost four in row, seven of its last eight games SU (2-5-1 ATS).
— Bears’ last three losses were by 3-1-3 points.
— Last four games, Chicago gave up 49-35-31-27 points
— Opponents scored TD’s on 15 of last 33 drives.
— Bears scored 29.6 ppg in last five games (1-4 SU)
— Last week was first time in six games Bears were held under 200 rushing yards.
— Chicago is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-4-1 TY).
— Bears led at halftime once this season (1-8-2).
— Last five games, Bears converted 42-76 third down plays.
— Chicago is 12-18-2 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.
— QB Fields is 5-16 as an NFL starter; check status on his left shoulder.
— Jets didn’t score TD last week, lost 10-3 on 84-yard punt return with 0:05 left.
— Last four games, Jets scored five TD’s on 43 drives.
— Check status on whether Wilson/White starts at QB.
— Despite that, Jets won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Jets are 5-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 3-0 ATS as a favorite.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 23-77 (29.9%) third down plays.
— Last five Jet games stayed under the total.
— Jets held six of last seven opponents under their team total.
— 2nd-year QB Wilson is 9-12 as an NFL starter.
— Chicago won last five series games.
— Bears won 27-19/10-0 in last two visits here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Raiders (3-7) @ Seahawks (6-4)
— Las Vegas lost three of their last four games SU.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS on the road this year.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— Last nine games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 7-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas won field position last two games (won once in first eight games)
— Las Vegas is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Three of last four Raider games stayed under the total.
— Derek Carr is 60-78 as an NFL starter.
— Raiders are 10-19-2 ATS in last 31 games vs NFC teams.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Seattle is 5-1 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Seattle’s last five opponents stayed under their team total.
— Last six weeks, Seattle is 24-69 (34.8%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle trailed at halftime twice this year, in Weeks 2/10.
— Seahawks won field position last three games, by 4-9-12 yards.
— Seahawks are 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Seahawks are 9-2 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Geno Smith is 19-24 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle is 3-4 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Seahawks won four of last six series games.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-5) @ Cardinals (4-7)
— Chargers lost three of their last four games.
— Bolts are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
— Chargers are 4-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.
— Chargers have been outscored 134-75 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in eight of ten games.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 214-201-157-163 rushing yards
— Chargers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games vs NFC teams.
— Over is 5-3 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Herbert is 20-22 as an NFL starter.
— Short week for Arizona after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Cardinals.
— Cardinals lost five of their last seven games SU.
— Arizona gave up 20+ 2nd half points in four of last five games.
— Arizona is 2-7 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 11 games.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 19-45 third down plays (42.2%).
— Arizona is 12-11-1 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 56-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last five Arizona games went over the total.
— Cardinals are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Chargers won four of last five series games.
— Bolts split last two visits to Arizona (under 2-0)
— Under is 3-3 in last six meetings overall.
Rams (3-7) @ Chiefs (8-2)
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Rams.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 95-29 in second half.
— Last three games, Rams converted 12-40 on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total seven of last eight weeks.
— Under McVay, Rams are 7-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last eight games (minus-7).
— Three of Rams’ last four games went over the total.
— WR Cooper Kupp (ankle) is out for the next month.
— Rams are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Chiefs won four in row, six of last seven games (4-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were held to 17-20 points in their two losses.
— KC is 11-20-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
— Last five weeks, Chiefs converted 49-78 (62.8%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in their home games.
— Last three games, Chiefs are minus-3 in turnovers (2-5)
— Chiefs have 57 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 38.
— Chiefs are 6-2 ATS last eight games vs NFC teams.
— Mahomes is 67-17 as an NFL starter.
— Chiefs won five of last seven series games.
— Rams won last meeting 54-51 in LA Coliseum in 2018.
— LA is 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Saints (4-7) @ 49ers (6-4)
— Saints split last four games, after a 2-5 start.
— NO is 0-2 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 when they score less.
— Saints have one takeaway last five games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Last 3 games, Saints have 3 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 12).
— New Orleans is 3-8 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— Saints have been outscored 63-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of last four New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Dalton is 80-78-2 SU as an NFL starter, 3-5 with the Saints.
— NFC South underdogs are 6-12 ATS outside the division.
— Short week for 49ers after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— 49ers outscored last three opponents 54-0 in second half.
— 49ers are 5-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Last three games, 49er opponents were 37-68 on third down.
— Last three games, 49ers converted 28-51 on third down.
— 49ers ran ball for 157-159 in their two post-bye games.
— 49ers trailed four of last five games at halftime.
— Three of last four 49er games went over the total.
— 49ers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— 49ers are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— QB Garoppolo is 42-19 as an NFL starter.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Saints are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Packers (4-7) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Packers lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Packers are 10-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Green Bay went under its team total in nine of 11 games.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay was outscored 60-27 in first half.
— Packers converted 27 of last 54 third down plays.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 143.9 rushing yards/game.
— Under is 4-1 in Packers’ true road games this season.
— Green Bay is 1-6 when they run ball for less than 190 yards.
— Packers are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Eagles are 0-3 ATS the last three weeks.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Eagles turned ball over six times in last two games (3 in first 8 games)
— Eagles have 33 touchdowns on 97 drives this season.
— Philly has converted 60-120 3rd down plays.
— Eagles outscored first seven foes 178-102 in first half.
— Philly is 9-11 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— NFC East home favorites are 9-1 ATS outside division.
— Last four games, Eagles were outscored 29-7 in last 2:00 of each half.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 18-12 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay won six of last eight series games.
— Packers covered their last three visits to Philadelphia.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Monday’s game
Steelers (3-7) @ Colts (4-6-1)
— Steelers lost seven of their last nine games.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+11) in their wins, 14 (-8) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has 5 TD’s on last 22 drives (4 on previous 40).
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Steelers are 9-13 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Steelers ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Last two games, Steelers have 11 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 106-67 in 2nd half of games.
— Pickett is 2-4 as a starter in his rookie season.
— Colts split their first two games under interim HC Saturday.
— Colts lost four of their last five games SU.
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 40-21 in second half.
— Underdogs covered eight of their eleven games.
— Colts went under their team total in nine of 11 games TY.
— Nine of their eleven games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Indy is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— In Ryan’s last four starts, Colts converted 25-54 third down plays.
— Ryan is 128-112-1 as an NFL starter, 4-4-1 with the Colts
— Pittsburgh won last seven series games (5-1 ATS last six)
— Steelers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Sunday’s games
Ravens (7-3) @ Jaguars (3-7)
— Baltimore won five of its last six games SU.
— Five of last seven Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led 35-14/20-3/20-10 in their three losses TY.
— Ravens are 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Last two games, Ravens allowed one TD on 20 drives.
— QB Jackson leads Ravens with 666 RY; next highest is Drake, with 390.
— Six of Ravens’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 21-15-1 last 37 games coming off a win.
— Jackson is 45-18 as an NFL starter.
— Baltimore have seven takeaways in last four games (+5)
— Jacksonville lost six of its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Jaguars are 1-6 in one-score games.
— Last two games, Jacksonville outscored foes 27-7 in 2nd half.
— Jaguars are 2-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— In his career, Pederson is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Jaguars are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.
— Under is 3-1 in Jacksonville’s last four games.
— Jaguars converted 28 of last 63 third down plays (44.4%)
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 6-21 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Ravens are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four trips to Jacksonville.
— Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.
Broncos (3-7) @ Panthers (3-8)
— Denver lost six of last seven games, losing by 9-3-3-7-7-6 points.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in eight of ten games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 56-26 in second half.
— Last five games, Broncos have seven TD’s on 69 drives.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Denver held 8 of 10 opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last six games, Broncos are 32-127 (25.2%) on third down.
— Denver is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
— Nine of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-4 SU in true road games TY- they won on a neutral field in London.
— QB Darnold gets his first 2022 start; he is 17-32 as an NFL starter.
— Third different QB to start Carolina’s last three games.
— Panthers covered four of their last five games.
— Carolina is 3-3 SU at home TY, 2-0 since they changed coaches.
— Panthers are 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Panthers didn’t allow a TD in first half of their last two games.
— Carolina has converted only 37-132 (28.0%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 18-42 SU.
— Seven of last ten Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games vs AFC opponents.
— Denver won four of last five series games.
— Broncos won two of last three visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Falcons (5-6) @ Commanders (6-5)
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.
— Three of their last four games were decided by 3 or less points.
— Underdogs are 8-2-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road dog.
— Last two games, Falcons converted 5-20 third down plays.
— Last ten opponents converted 67-136 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a win (2-2 TY).
— Last nine games, Falcons ran ball for 163.1 yards/game.
— Mariota is 35-39 as an NFL starter.
— TE Pitts is out with a leg injury.
— Over is 3-2 in their road games this year.
— Washington won five of last six games (5-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 4-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Last six games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five)
— Last seven games, they’re 30-94 on third down (31.9%).
— Washington is 3-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Commanders are 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— Last three weeks, Washington ran football for 147.7 yards/game.
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total eight of last nine games.
— Last two games, Washington had 20-20 points at half; in first nine games, they scored total of 54 first half points (6 points/game).
— Atlanta won seven of last eight series games.
— Falcons covered their last three games at Washington.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Buccaneers (5-5) @ Browns (3-7)
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games.
— Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Tampa Bay held last two opponents to 206-283 yards.
— Last six games, Tampa was outscored 85-48 in second half.
— Last two games, Bucs converted 19-36 on third down.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Eight of ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— NFC South teams are 10-17-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Cleveland lost six of last seven games (3-3 ATS last six).
— Last two weeks, Browns gave up 39-31 points
— Browns lost field position by 10+ yards in four of last five games.
— Browns scored 26-29-32 points in wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 26.
— Cleveland outgained eight of its ten opponents, but they’re 3-7.
— Over is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Browns ran ball for 217-171-172 yards in their wins, 135.6 yards/game in losses.
— Browns are 1-6 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Brissett is 17-30 as an NFL starter- Watson comes back next week.
— Browns turned ball over 13 times in last six games (minus-8)
— Buccaneers won four of last five meetings.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two series games in Cleveland.
Bengals (6-4) @ Titans (7-3)
— Cincinnati won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 0-4 scoring 20 or less points, 6-0 if they score more.
— Bengals scored 30+ points in four of last five games.
— Cincy converted 45 of last 89 (50.6%) third down plays.
— Under Taylor, Bengals are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cincy scored 17 TD’s on their last 40 drives.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over the total.
— Cincy is 3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 21-18-1 as an NFL starter.
— Tennessee won seven of last eight games (8-0 ATS), allowing 15.8 ppg.
— Titans won/covered three of four home games this year.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 137-75 in first half.
— Titans have been outscored 110-56 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 41-136 (30.1%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held last eight opponents under their team total.
— Since 2020, Titans are 5-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Tennessee allowed only 7 TD’s on 55 drives.
— Six of last seven Titan games stayed under the total.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Cincinnati won six of last eight series games.
— Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Texans (1-8-1) @ Dolphins (6-3)
— Texans lost eight of their last nine games SU (2-6 ATS last eight).
— Texans are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS since their bye week, giving up 26.2 ppg.
— Houston has allowed 178.7 rushing yards/game this season.
— Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Texans are 10-19-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Houston is 35-113 (19.6%) on 3rd down.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 7 of 10 games.
— Houston was outgained 344-148 in LW’s home loss to Washington.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-17-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-7 ATS outside the division.
— Dolphins won last four games, scoring 31-35-39 points in last three.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 12-4-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Dolphins converted 19 of last 33 third down plays.
— Miami is +5 in turnovers in its wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Last 5 games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1/8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last three Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins won last two post-bye games, 24-0/20-9.
— Tagovailoa is 20-9 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East non-divisional favorites are 9-6-1 ATS TY.
— Houston won eight of last ten series games.
— Texans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Miami (0-2 last two0
— Under is 4-4 in last eight meetings.
Bears (3-8) @ Jets (6-4)
— Chicago lost four in row, seven of its last eight games SU (2-5-1 ATS).
— Bears’ last three losses were by 3-1-3 points.
— Last four games, Chicago gave up 49-35-31-27 points
— Opponents scored TD’s on 15 of last 33 drives.
— Bears scored 29.6 ppg in last five games (1-4 SU)
— Last week was first time in six games Bears were held under 200 rushing yards.
— Chicago is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-4-1 TY).
— Bears led at halftime once this season (1-8-2).
— Last five games, Bears converted 42-76 third down plays.
— Chicago is 12-18-2 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.
— QB Fields is 5-16 as an NFL starter; check status on his left shoulder.
— Jets didn’t score TD last week, lost 10-3 on 84-yard punt return with 0:05 left.
— Last four games, Jets scored five TD’s on 43 drives.
— Check status on whether Wilson/White starts at QB.
— Despite that, Jets won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Jets are 5-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 3-0 ATS as a favorite.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 23-77 (29.9%) third down plays.
— Last five Jet games stayed under the total.
— Jets held six of last seven opponents under their team total.
— 2nd-year QB Wilson is 9-12 as an NFL starter.
— Chicago won last five series games.
— Bears won 27-19/10-0 in last two visits here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Raiders (3-7) @ Seahawks (6-4)
— Las Vegas lost three of their last four games SU.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS on the road this year.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— Last nine games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 7-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas won field position last two games (won once in first eight games)
— Las Vegas is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Three of last four Raider games stayed under the total.
— Derek Carr is 60-78 as an NFL starter.
— Raiders are 10-19-2 ATS in last 31 games vs NFC teams.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Seattle is 5-1 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Seattle’s last five opponents stayed under their team total.
— Last six weeks, Seattle is 24-69 (34.8%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle trailed at halftime twice this year, in Weeks 2/10.
— Seahawks won field position last three games, by 4-9-12 yards.
— Seahawks are 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Seahawks are 9-2 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Geno Smith is 19-24 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle is 3-4 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Seahawks won four of last six series games.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-5) @ Cardinals (4-7)
— Chargers lost three of their last four games.
— Bolts are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
— Chargers are 4-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.
— Chargers have been outscored 134-75 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in eight of ten games.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 214-201-157-163 rushing yards
— Chargers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games vs NFC teams.
— Over is 5-3 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Herbert is 20-22 as an NFL starter.
— Short week for Arizona after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Cardinals.
— Cardinals lost five of their last seven games SU.
— Arizona gave up 20+ 2nd half points in four of last five games.
— Arizona is 2-7 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 11 games.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 19-45 third down plays (42.2%).
— Arizona is 12-11-1 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 56-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last five Arizona games went over the total.
— Cardinals are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Chargers won four of last five series games.
— Bolts split last two visits to Arizona (under 2-0)
— Under is 3-3 in last six meetings overall.
Rams (3-7) @ Chiefs (8-2)
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Rams.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 95-29 in second half.
— Last three games, Rams converted 12-40 on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total seven of last eight weeks.
— Under McVay, Rams are 7-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last eight games (minus-7).
— Three of Rams’ last four games went over the total.
— WR Cooper Kupp (ankle) is out for the next month.
— Rams are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Chiefs won four in row, six of last seven games (4-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were held to 17-20 points in their two losses.
— KC is 11-20-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
— Last five weeks, Chiefs converted 49-78 (62.8%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in their home games.
— Last three games, Chiefs are minus-3 in turnovers (2-5)
— Chiefs have 57 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 38.
— Chiefs are 6-2 ATS last eight games vs NFC teams.
— Mahomes is 67-17 as an NFL starter.
— Chiefs won five of last seven series games.
— Rams won last meeting 54-51 in LA Coliseum in 2018.
— LA is 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Saints (4-7) @ 49ers (6-4)
— Saints split last four games, after a 2-5 start.
— NO is 0-2 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 when they score less.
— Saints have one takeaway last five games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Last 3 games, Saints have 3 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 12).
— New Orleans is 3-8 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— Saints have been outscored 63-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of last four New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Dalton is 80-78-2 SU as an NFL starter, 3-5 with the Saints.
— NFC South underdogs are 6-12 ATS outside the division.
— Short week for 49ers after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— 49ers outscored last three opponents 54-0 in second half.
— 49ers are 5-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Last three games, 49er opponents were 37-68 on third down.
— Last three games, 49ers converted 28-51 on third down.
— 49ers ran ball for 157-159 in their two post-bye games.
— 49ers trailed four of last five games at halftime.
— Three of last four 49er games went over the total.
— 49ers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— 49ers are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— QB Garoppolo is 42-19 as an NFL starter.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Saints are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Packers (4-7) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Packers lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Packers are 10-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Green Bay went under its team total in nine of 11 games.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay was outscored 60-27 in first half.
— Packers converted 27 of last 54 third down plays.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 143.9 rushing yards/game.
— Under is 4-1 in Packers’ true road games this season.
— Green Bay is 1-6 when they run ball for less than 190 yards.
— Packers are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Eagles are 0-3 ATS the last three weeks.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Eagles turned ball over six times in last two games (3 in first 8 games)
— Eagles have 33 touchdowns on 97 drives this season.
— Philly has converted 60-120 3rd down plays.
— Eagles outscored first seven foes 178-102 in first half.
— Philly is 9-11 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— NFC East home favorites are 9-1 ATS outside division.
— Last four games, Eagles were outscored 29-7 in last 2:00 of each half.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 18-12 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay won six of last eight series games.
— Packers covered their last three visits to Philadelphia.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Monday’s game
Steelers (3-7) @ Colts (4-6-1)
— Steelers lost seven of their last nine games.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+11) in their wins, 14 (-8) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has 5 TD’s on last 22 drives (4 on previous 40).
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Steelers are 9-13 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Steelers ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Last two games, Steelers have 11 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 106-67 in 2nd half of games.
— Pickett is 2-4 as a starter in his rookie season.
— Colts split their first two games under interim HC Saturday.
— Colts lost four of their last five games SU.
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 40-21 in second half.
— Underdogs covered eight of their eleven games.
— Colts went under their team total in nine of 11 games TY.
— Nine of their eleven games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Indy is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— In Ryan’s last four starts, Colts converted 25-54 third down plays.
— Ryan is 128-112-1 as an NFL starter, 4-4-1 with the Colts
— Pittsburgh won last seven series games (5-1 ATS last six)
— Steelers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
- Sep 10, 2018
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The total has gone UNDER in six of Buffalo's last eight games.
The Bills are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Detroit's last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight matchups between the Lions and Bills.
The total has gone OVER in five of Detroit's last six home games.
The Bills are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Bills' road games.
The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Giants' last five games.
The Giants are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Dallas' last eight games against the Giants.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Dallas' last seven home games.
The Giants are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 3-8 SU in their last 11 road games.
The Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five road games against Dallas.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of New England's last six games.
The Patriots are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games.
The Vikings are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Minnesota's last seven games against New England.
The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last six home games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Minnesota.
The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New England's last 18 road games.
The Bills are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Detroit's last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight matchups between the Lions and Bills.
The total has gone OVER in five of Detroit's last six home games.
The Bills are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Bills' road games.
The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Giants' last five games.
The Giants are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Dallas' last eight games against the Giants.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Dallas' last seven home games.
The Giants are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 3-8 SU in their last 11 road games.
The Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five road games against Dallas.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of New England's last six games.
The Patriots are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games.
The Vikings are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Minnesota's last seven games against New England.
The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last six home games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Minnesota.
The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New England's last 18 road games.
