Armadillo Sports
Interesting Week 10 spreads in the NFL:
— Falcons (-2.5) @ Carolina
— Seahawks vs Buccaneers (-1.5) (@ Munich)
— Lions @ Chicago (-2.5)
— Vikings @ Buffalo (-7.5)
— Jaguars @ Kansas City (-10)
— Saints (-3) @ Pittsburgh
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Chiefs 20, Titans 17 OT
— Chiefs tied game on TD/2-point play with 2:56 left.
— Kansas City ran 91 plays for 499 yards; Titans 48 plays, 229 yards.
— Mahomes had 63 of Chiefs’ 77 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Chiefs converted 37-68 (54.4%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 7-12 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Titans’ first 3 drives: 16 plays, 196 yards, 14 points.
— Rest of game: 32 plays, 32 yards, 3 points.
— Chiefs converted 8-19 on 3rd down, Tennessee 1-11.
— Willis is 11-26/135 passing (1 INT) in his first two NFL starts.
— Tennessee covered its last six games (5-1 SU)
Chargers 20, Falcons 17
— Falcons led 10-0 after the first quarter.
— Chargers drove 24 yards in 0:34, kicked GW FG at the gun.
— Chargers converted 8-16 third down plays.
— Bolts are 5-0 if they allow less than 37 points.
— Chargers won four of their last five games.
— Atlanta only scored 17 points on four red zone drives.
— Falcons first two drives: 22 plays, 145 yards, 10 points.
— Falcons next three drives: 9 plays, minus-10 yards, 3 punts.
— Last seven games, Falcons ran ball for 169 yards/game.
— Last five opponents converted 52-105 (49.5%) third down plays.
Dolphins 35, Bears 32
— Miami’s first 5 drives: 36 plays, 364 yards, 4 TD’s, missed FG
— Dolphins led 21-10 after scoring TD on a blocked punt.
— Last four games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Dolphins are 5-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Fields carried ball 15 times for 178 yards, threw for 123 yards, 3 TDs.
— Last four games, Bears ran ball for 238-243-240-252 yards.
— Chicago converted 10-16 third down plays.
— Bears scored 33-29-32 points in their last three games (1-2).
— Chicago lost five of its last six games SU.
— Bears allowed 10 TD’s on opponents’ last 17 drives.
Jets 20, Bills 17
— Bills in first half: 37 plays, 254 yards, 14 points.
— Bills in second half: 26 plays, 43 yards, 3 points.
— Allen threw red zone INT on Bills’ first drive of game.
— Buffalo averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
— All eight Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Jets drove 86 yards, kicked 28-yard FG with 1:43 left for the win.
— Gang Green is 6-3, would be #5-seed in AFC if playoffs were today.
— Last five games, Jets allowed only seven TD’s on 58 drives.
— Last five weeks, Jets outscored foes 68-29 in second half.
— Jets won/covered five of last six games.
Bengals 42, Panthers 21
— Bengals in first half: 45 plays, 316 yards, 35 points.
— Mixon had 26 touches for 211 yards, five TD’s.
— Bengals are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Bengals converted 42 of last 80 (52.5%) third down plays.
— Cincinnati won five of last seven games (6-1 ATS).
— Carolina in first half: 17 plays, 32 yards, 1 first down, 2 turnovers.
— Down 35-0, QB Mayfield played 2nd half, led three TD drives in garbage time.
— Panthers are 4-12 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Carolina is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
— Carolina lost three of four games since firing their coach.
Vikings 20, Commanders 17
— Vikings drove 44 yards, kicked 28-yard FG with 0:12 left for the win.
— Minnesota drove 78 yards for a TD on its opening drive.
— Vikings’ next 7 drives: 32 plays, 110 yards, no points.
— Vikings in 4th quarter: 3 drives, 26 plays, 124 yards, 17 points.
— Last five games, Jefferson caught 41 passes for 621 yards.
— Vikings won last six games SU (4-1-1 ATS)
— Washington led 17-7 with 11:00 left in game.
— Commanders converted only 15 of last 60 third down plays.
— Washington’s last four games (3-1) were decided by total of 11 points.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Last eight games, Commanders have been outscored 100-40 in first half
Lions 15, Packers 9
— Rodgers threw red zone INTs on Packers’ first two drives.
— Green Bay was in red zone four times, scored 3 points.
— Packers lost their last five games, scoring 15.8 ppg.
— Packers are 1-7-1 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
— Green Bay went under its team total in seven of eight games.
— Packers are 7-13 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.
— Packers are 0-6 ATS in last six trips to Detroit.
— Lions won despite losing field position by 10 yards.
— Packers started two drives in Detroit territory, didn’t scored on either one.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 5-19-1 SU, 15-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Patriots 26, Colts 3
— Patriots forced nine 3/outs on Colts’ 14 drives.
— New England is 5-0 when it allows less than 20 points.
— Last two games, Patriots scored 2 TD’s, kicked 9 FG’s on 25 drives.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 70-32 in 2nd half.
— New England won four of last five games SU (5-1 ATS last six).
— Colts fired their offensive coordinator Tuesday; it didn’t help.
— Patriots sacked Ehlinger nine times, held Colts to 1.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Indianapolis was 0-14 on third down conversions.
— Eight of their nine games stayed under the total.
— Colts went under their team total in eight of nine games TY.
— Colts have trailed all nine games after the third quarter.
Jaguars 27, Raiders 20
— Raiders led 17-0 with 5:00 left in first half.
— Raiders in first half: 34 plays, 231 yards, 12 first downs, 20 points.
— Raiders in 2nd half: 25 plays, 65 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Adams caught 10 passes for 146 yards, two TD’s.
— Raiders are 2-10-1 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
— Las Vegas is 0-5 SU on road TY, giving up 25.8 ppg.
— Jaguars’ 1st three drives: 13 plays, 51 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Jaguars rest of game: 55 plays, 340 yards, 20 first downs, 27 points.
— Jacksonville converted 9-15 on third down, Raiders 3-12.
— Etienne carried ball 28 times for 109 yards, two TD’s.
— Last five games, Jacksonville ran ball for 175.8 yards/game.
Buccaneers 16, Rams 13
— Cooper Kupp caught 8 passes for 127 yards, Rams’ only TD.
— Rest of offense for the day: 47 plays, 79 yards.
— Rams lost four of their last five games SU.
— Rams were held to 10-9-10-14-13 points in their losses.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 68-9 in second half.
— Last five games, Rams ran ball for only 66 yards/game.
— Tampa Bay drove 60 yards for game-winning TD with 0:09 left.
— Tampa Bay outgained Rams 323-206, held LA to nine first downs.
— Last three games, Bucs scored four TD’s on 42 drives.
— Last five weeks, Bucs ran ball 100 times for 285 yards (2.85/carry)
— Seven of nine Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
Seahawks 31, Cardinals 21
— Smith threw pick-6 in 3rd quarter, Arizona led 14-10
— Seahawks’ 3 drives after that: 31 plays, 231 yards, 21 points.
— Last four weeks, Seattle outscored foes 61-35 in 2nd half.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last six games.
— Seattle is 5-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Five of Seahawks’ last seven games went over the total.
— Seahawks converted 10-15 third down plays.
— Hopkins caught only four passes for 36 yards.
— Arizona is 1-6 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Arizona is 5-14 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Cardinals lost four of their last five games SU.
— Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS in last ten visits to Arizona.
