Cnotes' NFL 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!

Udog

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NFL leaders in yards gained/game:
430.6— Buffalo
403.3— Kansas City
395.4— Philadelphia
394.9— Detroit
394.4— New Orleans
380.6— Miami




Falcons 37, Panthers 34 OT
— Down 34-28, Carolina WR Moore caught 62-yard TD pass with 0:12 left; his strutting in end zone drew 15-yard penalty- Carolina missed the game-winning PAT, forcing OT
— Panthers also missed a 32-yard FG in overtime.
— Carolina ran ball for 173-169 yards in last two games.
— Foreman carried ball 26 times for 118 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Panthers had seven plays of 20+ yards, four of them on 3rd down.

— Koo kicked 41-yard FG with 1:55 left in OT; Atlanta is now 4-4.
— Falcons scored on a pick-6 with 0:41 left before halftime.
— Falcons’ first six drives: 30 plays, 117 yards, 7 points.
— Atlanta’s last six drives: 37 plays, 275 yards, 23 points.
— Falcons are 1-7 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.

Commanders 17, Colts 16
— Washington won last three games, by total of eight points.
— Commanders drove 89 yards for game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
— Opponents stayed under their team total five of last six games.
— Last three games, Washington is +3 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five).
— Commanders are 12-6 ATS last 18 games coming off a win.

— Colts are 3-4-1; they’re trailed all eight games after three quarters.
— Colts have been outscored 133-73 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Colts rallied, led this game 16-7 with 5:00 left to play.
— Indy only scored 10 points in three red zone drives.
— Seven of their eight games stayed under the total.

Broncos 21, Jaguars 17
— Denver drove 80 yards for game-winning TD with 1:43 left.
— Broncos won despite converting only 2-11 third down plays.
— Denver has held all eight opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Seven of eight Denver games stayed under the total.

— Jaguars lost last five games, giving up 24.0 ppg.
— Jacksonville scored only 10 points on three red zone drives.
— Jacksonville’s two TD drives were both 47 yards.
— Last 2+ years, Jaguars are 0-6 ATS as a favorite.
— Jaguars lost despite 12-yard advantage in field position.

Cowboys 49, Bears 29
— Dallas’ first four drives: 33 plays, 273 yards, 28 points.
— Cowboys converted 9-11 third down plays.
— Pollard carried ball 14 times for 131 yards, three TD’s.
— Cowboys won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Last five games, Cowboys outscored foes 78-21 in 2nd half

— Chicago lost four of its last five games.
— Chicago is 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Cowboys averaged 7.8 yards/play for the game.
— Chicago is 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 5-13 as an NFL starter.

Saints 24, Raiders 0
— Kamara had 27 touches for 158 yards, three TD’s.
— Raiders didn’t have any plays longer than 18 yards.
— Last five games, Saints are 33-66 on 3rd down.
— New Orleans is 12-7-1 ATS last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Saints’ coach Allen went 8-28 as Raiders’ coach from 2012-14.

— Raiders were outgained, 367-183, averaged 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Las Vegas is 0-4 SU on road TY, giving up 25.5 ppg.
— Last three games, opponents converted 23-39 on third down.
— Las Vegas’ opponent went over team total in last six games.
— Derek Carr is 59-76 as an NFL starter.

Eagles 35, Steelers 13
— Steelers lost six of their last seven games.
— Pittsburgh converted 1-12 on 3rd down, Eagles 7-12.
— Steelers are 9-13 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+9) in their wins, 14 (-9) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 86-47 in second half of games.

— Philly is 7-0, scoring 38-24-24-29-20-26-35 points (28 ppg).
— Eagles’ first four drives: 26 plays, 207 yards, 21 points.
— WR Brown caught six passes for 156 yards, three TD’s.
— Philly averaged 8.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Eagles covered their last seven games as a home favorite.

Dolphins 31, Lions 27
— Detroit led 14-0 with 2:00 left in first quarter.
— Dolphins outscored Detroit 14-0 in second half.
— Miami gained 476 yards, converted 8-12 on third down.
— First six drives, Dolphins scored four TD’s, kicked a field goal.
— Hill caught 12 passes for 188 yards; Waddle 8 for 106, with two TD’s.

— Lions lost last five games, giving up 32 ppg.
— Detroit in first half: 39 plays, 346 yards, 3 TD’s, 2 field goals.
— Detroit in second half: 20 plays, 52 yards, no points.
— Goff threw ball for 321 yards, didn’t turn ball over.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-19-1 SU, 14-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Vikings 34, Cardinals 26
— Arizona is 1-5 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals turned ball over three times, including a fumbled punt.
— Last three games, Arizona is 11-37 on third down.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 42-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— WR Hopkins caught 22 balls for 262 yards in his first two games.

— Vikings won last five games, scoring 28-28-29-24-34 points.
— Minnesota’s last two TD drives were 31-25 yards.
— Cook carried ball for 111 yards (5.6 yards/carry).
— Vikings allowed 22+ points in five of last six games.
— Last four games, WR Jefferson caught 34 passes for 506 yards.

Patriots 22, Jets 17
— Patriots scored only one TD, kicked five field goals.
— New England had huge 23-yard edge in field position.
— Patriots are +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England gave up 20-37-27-33 points in losses; 14-0-15-17 in wins.
— Jones threw pick-6 in last 1:00 of first half, was nullified by roughing/passer call.

— New England won last 14 series games (9-4-1 ATS)
— Jets led this game 10-6 at halftime.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 19-62 third down plays.
— Gang Green is 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
— Jets lost three of their four home games SU.

Titans 17, Texans 10
— Tennessee won/covered last five games, allowing 15.2 ppg.
— Henry ran ball 32 times for 219 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Overall, Titans ran ball for 314 yards (Hilliard 8 carries for 83 yards)
— Willis was 6-10/55 passing in his first NFL start; he handed off a lot.
— Last four games, Titans allowed only 48.2 rushing yards/game.
— Six of seven Titan games stayed under the total.

— Texans lost five of their last six games.
— Houston converted only 2-14 third down plays.
— Tennessee outgained Texans, 354-161.
— Houston has allowed 185.2 rushing yards/game in first seven games.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-14-1 as an NFL starter.

Seahawks 27, Giants 13
— Giants’ first four drives: 17 plays, 34 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Giants’ last six drives: 43 plays, 178 yards, 11 first downs, 13 points.
— Barkley carried ball 20 times for only 53 yards.
— 6-2 Giants have trailed by 10+ points in five of eight games.
— Under is 6-1-1 in Giant games this season.

— Seahawks won four of their last five games.
— Seattle is 3-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Seahawks in 2nd half: 5 drives- 23 plays, 154 yards, 17 points.
— Seattle gained only 277 yards, converted 3-13 on third down.
— Seahawks went over their team total five of last six games.

49ers 31, Rams 14
— McCaffrey had 26 touches for 155 yards, also threw a 34-yard TD pass.
— 49ers’ last four drives: 25 plays, 225 yards, 21 points.
— Last three games, 49er opponents were 23-36 on third down.
— 49ers won eight of their last nine games against the Rams.
— QB Garoppolo is 40-19 as an NFL starter.

— Rams were held to 10-9-10-14 points in their losses.
— In those four losses, Rams were outscored 58-3 in second half.
— LA in second half Sunday: 25 plays, 43 yards, no points.
— Rams are 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
— Rams are averaging only 68.4 rushing yards/game.

Bills 27, Packers 17
— Packers lost their last four games, giving up 26 ppg.
— Last four games, Green Bay converted 14 of 44 third down plays.
— Last five weeks, Green Bay gave up 158 rushing yards/game.
— Green Bay went under its team total in seven of eight games.
— Under is 5-3 in Packer games this season.

— Buffalo in first half: 27 plays, 254 yards, 24 points.
— Only seven of Bills’ 54 plays came on third down.
— Buffalo is 12-5 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
— Bills won/covered their first three home games TY, 41-7/38-3/27-17.
— Josh Allen is 48-25 as an NFL starter.
 

Udog

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NFL
Weather Report

Week 8


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The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 12 games.
The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Browns are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in five of Cleveland's last seven games.
The Browns are 1-5 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five of Cleveland's last six games against Cincinnati.
The total has gone OVER in four of Cleveland's last five home games.
The Bengals are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against Cleveland.
The Bengals are 1-7 SU in their last eight games against Cleveland.
The Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
The Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games against Cleveland.
 

Cnotes53

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OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/31/22.................1-0-1...............100.00%..............+5.00
10/30/22.............14-10-0...............58.33%................+15.00
10/27/22.................1-1-0...............50.00%.................- 0.50
10/24/22.................0-2-0................00.00%...............-11.00
10/23/22...............8-14-0................36.36%...............-37.00
10/20/22.................1-1-0................50.00%................-0.50
10/17/22.................1-1-0................50.00%................- 0.50
10/16/22.............11-13-0................45.83%................-16.50
10/13/22.................1-1-0................50.00%................- 0.50
10/09/22..................5-3-0................62.50%...............+ 8.50
10/06/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%...............+10.00
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%...............+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%.................+9.00

Totals...................62-58-2..............51.66%...............-9.00


*****************************************

BEST BETS

10/31/22.................1-0-1..............100.00%..............+5.00
10/30/22.................9-6-0................60.00%..............+12.00
10/27/22.................1-1-0................50.00%...............- 0.50
10/24/22.................0-2-0................00.00%...............-11.00
10/23/22................5-11-0...............31.25%................-34.00
10/20/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................-0.50
10/17/22.................1-1-0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
10/16/22...............5-11-0..................31.25%..............-35.50
10/13/22.................1-1-0..................50.00%...............- 0.50
10/08/22.................5-3-0..................62.50%..............+ 8.50
10/06/22.................1-0-0................100.00%..............+ 5.00
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50

Totals.................40-42-1.................48.78%...............- 30.50

************************************************** ********

SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00


************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00

OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
 

Udog

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Browns 32, Bengals 13
— Bengals’ first seven drives: 33 plays, 116 yards, 7 first downs, no points.
— Bengals trailed 25-0, finally scored a TD, then missed the PAT.
— Browns outgained Cincinnati, 440-229.
— Browns have now won eight of last nine series games.
— Bengals miss injured WR Ja’Marr Chase, who is out 4-6 weeks (hip)

— Cleveland snaps its 4-game losing streak.
— Browns converted 8-13 third down plays.
— Cleveland averaged 10.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Browns led this game 11-0 at halftime.
— Cleveland’s first three drives in 2nd half: 27 plays, 218 yards, 21 points.
 

Udog

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HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

TENNESSEE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in weeks 5 - 9 in the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) against the AFC North since 1992.

NEW ENGLAND is 49-25 ATS (21.5 Units) in home games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.

NY JETS are 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in November games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points since 1992.

DETROIT is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

LA CHARGERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after going over the total in the last 2 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game in the current season.
 

Udog

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NFL

Week 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Houston
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home

Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games

LA Chargers @ Atlanta
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers

Carolina @ Cincinnati
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Green Bay @ Detroit
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Las Vegas @ Jacksonville
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Las Vegas

Indianapolis @ New England
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indianapolis's last 13 games
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 9 games at home

Buffalo @ NY Jets
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Jets
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Washington
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Seattle

LA Rams @ Tampa Bay
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games

Tennessee @ Kansas City
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City
Kansas City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Kansas City is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games

Baltimore @ New Orleans
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Baltimore


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Thru eight weeks, this is how NFL are doing with 3/outs, both offense and defense.

Offense:

.162— Eagles 11-68
.176— Chiefs 12-68
.177— 49ers 14-79
.203— Falcons 15-74
.208— Lions 15-72
.218— Ravens 17-48
.225— Seahawks 18-80
.238— Dolphins 19-80
.241— Jaguars 19-79
.242— Raiders 15-62
.253— Patriots 21-83
.253— Bengals 20-79
.256— Cardinals 20-78
.256— Cowboys 21-82
.256— Browns 21-82
.274— Colts 23-84
.284— Bills 14-67
.286— Giants 22-77
.288— Buccaneers 23-80
.291— Packers 23-79
.297— Chargers 22-74
.303— Saints 27-89
.308— Jets 28-91
.316— Bears 25-79
.322— Commanders 28-87
.328— Titans 22-67
.338— Vikings 26-77
.345— Panthers 29-84
.347— Texans 25-47
.348— Rams 23-66
.352— Broncos 31-88
.373— Steelers 31-83

Defense
.386— Eagles 27-70
.368— 49ers 28-76
.352— Broncos 31-88
.345— Buccaneers 29-84
.342— Packers 27-79
.313— Colts 25-86
.310— Titans 22-71
.304— Browns 24-79
.301— Cardinals 25-83
.293— Patriots 24-82
.286— Rams 18-63
.284— Bills 19-67
.284— Saints 23-81
.282— Steelers 24-85
.278— Jaguars 22-79
.272— Jets 25-92
.268— Ravens 22-82
.265— Panthers 22-83
.264— Commanders 23-87
.263— Dolphins 21-80
.250— Giants 20-80, Chargers 18-72
.241— Falcons 19-79
.239— Texans 17-71
.235— Chiefs 16-68
.229— Cowboys 19-83
.222— Raiders 14-63
.215— Seahawks 23-87
.213— Vikings 16-75
.208— Bears 16-77
.202— Bengals 17-84
.179— Lions 13-67
 

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 9


Thursday game
Eagles (7-0) @ Texans (1-5-1)

— Philly won its first seven games (5-2 ATS), scoring 28 ppg.
— Eagles have 24 touchdowns on 68 drives this season.
— Philly has converted 45-89 on 3rd down.
— Eagles outscored first seven foes 147-58 in first half.
— Last six weeks, Philly scored 123 points in first half, 35 points in 2nd half.
— Eagles are 3-0 SU on road TY, winning by 3-16-3 points.
— Philly is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a road favorite.
— Last 3+ years, Philly is 15-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 16-11 as an NFL starter.
— Hurts is from Houston; this is a homecoming for him.

— Texans lost five of their last six games SU (1-4 ATS last five).
— Texans have been outscored 82-60 in second half of games.
— Houston has allowed 185.8 rushing yards/game this season.
— Texans are 5-5-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Texans are 9-17-1 ATS last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Houston is 30-94 on 3rd down this season.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 5 of 7 games.
— Houston is 1-7-1 ATS last nine games vs NFC teams.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-14-1 as an NFL starter.

— Philadelphia won last four meetings, scoring 30.3 ppg.
— Eagles won 31-21/24-10 in last two visits to Houston.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.

Sunday’s games
Chargers (4-3) @ Falcons (4-4)

— Chargers won three of last four games before their bye.
— Bolts are 4-2 ATS in their last six post-bye games.
— Chargers gave up 37-38-37 points in their three losses.
— Chargers have been outscored 98-62 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 83 or fewer yards in six of seven games.
— Chargers are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
— Chargers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-3-2 ATS last ten games vs NFC teams.
— Four of Bolts’ last five games went over the total.
— Herbert is 19-20 as an NFL starter.

— Falcons are 4-2 in their last six games SU.
— Underdogs covered seven of their first eight games.
— Last three games, Falcons converted 19-36 on third down.
— Falcons are 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a win (2-1 TY).
— Falcons are 3-0 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— Last four opponents converted 44-89 (49.4%) third down plays.
— Last six games, Falcons ran ball for 163.3 yards/game.
— Mariota is 34-37 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 5-3 in their games this season.

— Chargers won last two series games, 20-17/33-30
— Teams split last two meetings in Atlanta.
— Four of last five series stayed under total.

Bills (6-1) @ Jets (5-3)
— Bills won their last four games, scoring 27.8 ppg.
— Buffalo is 3-1 on road, with wins by 21-3-4 points.
— Bills outscored their opponents 87-27 in second half.
— Last two games, Buffalo converted 6 of 18 third down plays.
— Buffalo is 10-7 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
— Bills scored 11 TD’s on their last 29 drives.
— Buffalo has 39 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 24)
— All seven Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Bills are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
— Josh Allen is 48-25 as an NFL starter.

— Jets won/covered four of last five games.
— Jets lost three of their four home games SU.
— Gang Green is 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Jets allowed only five TD’s on 49 drives.
— Last four weeks, Jets outscored foes 58-26 in second half.
— Jets are 19-28 ATS in last 47 games coming off a loss.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 19-62 (30.6%) third down plays.
— 2nd-year QB Wilson is 8-11 as an NFL starter.
— Jets are 3-11 ATS in last 14 AFC East home games.

— Buffalo won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Bills are 5-3 ATS in last eight meetings played here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Dolphins (5-3) @ Bears (3-5)
— Miami is 4-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 4-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Since 2017, Dolphins are 3-5-1 ATS as a road favorite (0-1-1 TY).
— Dolphins stayed under their team total in six of eight games TY.
— Miami is +4 in turnovers in its wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Last three games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Three of their four road games went over the total.
— Last 3+ years, Dolphins are 17-9-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Tagovailoa is 18-9 as an NFL starter.

— Chicago lost four of its last five games.
— Chicago traded two of its best defensive players, Quinn/Roquon Smith.
— Bears scored 33-29 points in splitting last two games (7 TD’s/22 drives)
— Last three games, Bears ran ball for 238-243-240 yards.
— Chicago is 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.
— Bears trailed at halftime in seven of eight games.
— Last two games, Bears converted 17-33 third down plays.
— Chicago is 11-17-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 5-13 as an NFL starter.

— Miami won four of last five series games.
— Dolphins won 27-14/31-13 in last two visits to Chicago.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Vikings (6-1) @ Commanders (4-4)
— QB Cousins started 57 games (26-30-1) for Washington from 2012-17
— Vikings won last five games, covered last four.
— Last five games, Vikings scored 28.6 ppg.
— Vikings are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as road favorites (1-0 TY)
— Minnesota is 11-8 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.
— Last six games, Minnesota has 13 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 24.
— Last four games, Jefferson caught 34 passes for 506 yards.
— Vikings allowed 22+ points in five of last six games.
— Cousins is 66-62-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings have six takeaways in last two games (+5)

— Washington won last three games, by total of eight points.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.
— Washington converted only 12 of last 50 third down plays.
— Last three games, opponents converted 10-31 on third down.
— Last three games, Washington is +3 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five).
— Commanders are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home dog (1-2 TY).
— Commanders are 12-6 ATS last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last seven games, Commanders have been outscored 93-37 in first half.
— Opponents stayed under their team total five of last six games.
— QB Heinicke is 9-10 as an NFL starter.
— NFC East teams are 17-6 ATS outside the division.

— Minnesota won six of last eight series games.
— Vikings are 4-2 ATS in last six visits here.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Packers (3-5) @ Lions (1-6)
— Packers lost their last four games, scoring 17.5 ppg.
— Packers are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
— Green Bay went under its team total in six of seven games.
— Green Bay was held under 6.0 yards/pass attempt in last four games.
— Last three games, Packers lost field position by 5-7-13 yards.
— Last five weeks, Green Bay gave up 159.3 rushing yards/game.
— Last four games, Green Bay converted 14 of 44 third down plays.
— Packers are 7-12 ATS in last 19 NFC North road games.
— This is third straight week on road for Green Bay.
— Rodgers is 153-81-1 as an NFL starter.

— Detroit lost its last five games (0-4 ATS last four)
— Detroit fired its DB coach Monday; traded star TE Tuesday.
— Last three games, Detroit was outscored 48-0 in second half.
— Lions have given up 24+ points in every game.
— Detroit converted 22 of last 69 third down plays (31.9%)
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-19-1 SU, 14-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Lions are 9-8-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-0 in Detroit’s home games; under 3-0 on road.
— Last four games, Detroit allowed 10.7/9.0/7.1/9.7 yards/pass attempt.

— Green Bay won five of last six series games.
— Packers are 0-5 ATS in last five trips to the Motor City.
— Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.

Colts (3-4-1) @ Patriots (4-4)
— Colts fired their offensive coordinator Tuesday.
— Colts have trailed all eight games after the third quarter.
— Colts have been outscored 133-73 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Underdogs covered six of their eight games.
— Colts went under their team total in seven of eight games TY.
— Last five games, Colts outscored opponents 70-35 in second half.
— Seven of their eight games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
— Indy is 10-4-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Colts converted 30 of last 61 third down plays.
— Ehlinger was 17-23/201 passing in his first NFL start
— AFC South teams are 6-10 ATS outside the division.

— New England won three of last four games (4-1 ATS last five).
— Patriots are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Patriots are 21-21 SU since Brady left; 11-9 ATS at home.
— New England gave up 20-37-27-33 points in losses; 14-0-15-17 in wins.
— NE is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England is 7-5 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— Last four games, Patriots outscored foes 57-29 in 2nd half.
— Mac Jones is 12-11 as an NFC starter.
— Four of their last six games went over the total.
— AFC East non-divisional favorites are 7-4-1 ATS

— Patriots won six of last seven meetings.
— Colts are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Foxboro.
— Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Panthers (2-6) @ Bengals (4-4)
— Carolina lost two of three games since firing their coach.
— Panthers lost its three road games TY, by 3-14-3 points.
— Carolina is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— Last two weeks, Panthers ran ball for 173-169 yards.
— Carolina has converted only 26-97 (26.8%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 17-40 SU.
— Five of last seven Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina is 4-6 ATS in last 10 games vs AFC teams.
— Walker is 3-2 as an NFL starter (1-2 TY)
— NFC South teams are 7-13 ATS outside the division.

— Bengals miss injured WR Chase, who is out for another month.
— Cincinnati won four of last six games (5-1 ATS).
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Cincy converted 36 of last 70 (51.4%) third down plays.
— Bengals outscored opponents 91-51 in second half.
— Bengals are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Cincy ran ball for only 75-78-36 yards.
— Six of Bengals’ first eight games stayed under the total.
— Cincy is 6-5-1 ATS last 12 games vs NFC teams.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 19-18-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC North teams are 12-10 ATS outside the division.

— Teams are 2-2-1 SU in last five meetings.
— Carolina is 0-1-1 SU (1-0-1 ATS) in last two trips to Cincinnati.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Raiders (2-5) @ Jaguars (2-6)
— Las Vegas were held to 183 yards in 24-0 loss at New Orleans LW.
— Raiders covered three of their last four games.
— Raiders are 0-4 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Last six games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 5-0-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 2-9-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
— Las Vegas is 0-4 SU on road TY, giving up 25.5 ppg.
— Las Vegas is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, opponents converted 23-39 on third down.
— Five of last six Raider games went over the total.
— Derek Carr is 59-76 as an NFL starter.
— AFC West teams are 6-11 ATS outside the division.

— Jacksonville lost its last five games (0-5 ATS)
— Jaguars are 0-6 in one-score games.
— Jaguars are 9-12 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Jacksonville ran ball for 177.8 yards/game.
— In his career, Pederson is 9-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Last 2+ years, Jaguars are 9-23-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last four weeks, Jacksonville was outscored 52-26 in 2nd half.
— Jaguars played in London LW; they usually have bye after London game.
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 5-20 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South teams are 6-10 ATS outside the division.

— Las Vegas won three of last four meetings.
— Raiders lost two of last three visits to Jacksonville.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Seahawks (5-3) @ Cardinals (3-5)
— Seahawks won/covered four of their last five games.
— Seattle is 4-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Four of Seattle’s last six opponents went over their team total.
— Last four weeks, Seattle is 13-45 on 3rd down conversions.
— Last three weeks, Seattle outscored foes 40-21 in 2nd half.
— Seahawks has trailed at halftime once this year (Week 2)
— Seahawks are 11-6-1 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Seahawks are 7-13-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
— Four of Seahawks’ last six games went over the total.
— Geno Smith is 18-23 as an NFL starter.

— Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
— Arizona lost three of four home games SU.
— WR Hopkins caught 22 balls for 262 yards in his first two ’22 games.
— Arizona is 1-5 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Five of last seven opponents went under their team total.
— Arizona is 5-13 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 42-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Under is 4-2 in last six Arizona games.
— Cardinals are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
— Kyler Murray is 25-29-1 as an NFL starter.

— Seahawks (+2.5) beat Arizona 19-9 at home in Week 6.
— Seattle won seven of last ten series games.
— Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine visits to Arizona.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.

Rams (3-4) @ Buccaneers (3-5)
— Rams lost three of their last four games.
— Rams were held to 10-9-10-14 points in their losses.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 58-3 in second half.
— Last four games, Rams ran ball for only 65.5 yards/game.
— Rams stayed under their team total the last five weeks.
— Rams are 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last five games (minus-5).
— Four of Rams’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Stafford is 19-9 as QB of the Rams.
— NFC West teams are 10-11 ATS out of division.

— Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games (0-6 ATS)
— Last two games, Bucs scored 3 TD’s on 29 drives.
— Last four weeks, Tampa was outscored 63-31 in second half.
— Last four weeks, Bucs ran ball 80 times for 234 yards (2.93/carry)
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 4-3 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— Tampa Bay is 0-4 this year when it gives up more than 15 points.
— Six of eight Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Brady is 310-91 as a NFL starter, 32-15 in Tampa.
— NFC South teams are 7-12 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Rams won three in row, 8 of last 9 series games.
— LA (+3) beat Buccaneers 30-27 in playoffs here LY.
— Last five meetings went over the total.

Titans (5-2) @ Chiefs (5-2)
— Tennessee won/covered last five games, allowing 15.2 ppg.
— Titans ran ball for 314 yards in LW’s 17-10 win at Houston.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 102-50 in first half.
— Titans have been outscored 88-30 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 22-86 third down plays.
— Tennessee held last five opponents under their team total.
— Titans are 7-3 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
— Last two games, Tennessee allowed only 2 TD’s on 21 drives.
— Six of seven Titan games stayed under the total.
— Willis was 6-10/55 passing (1 INT) in his first NFL start.

— Chiefs won three of their last four games.
— Chiefs were held to 17-20 points in their two losses.
— KC is 10-18-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
— Last four weeks, Chiefs converted 29-49 third down plays.
— Kansas City is 7-11 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Chiefs have 17 TD’s on their last 38 drives.
— Kansas City gave up 31-29-24-23 points last four weeks.
— Chiefs have 39 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 28.
— Chiefs are 5-3 ATS in last eight post-bye games.
— Mahomes is 64-17 as an NFL starter.

— Tennessee won five of last six meetings, despite being an underdog all six games.
— Titans are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Monday’s game
Ravens (5-3) @ Saints (3-5)

— Last five Raven games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Baltimore won three of its last four games.
— Ravens led 35-14/20-3/20-10 in their three losses TY.
— Ravens are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
— Last six games, Ravens have run ball for 180.3 yards/game.
— QB Jackson leads Ravens with 553 RY; next highest is Drake, with 251.
— Four of Ravens’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 11-18-2 last 31 games vs NFC opponents.
— Ravens are 10-1 ATS last ten games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jackson is 43-18 as an NFL starter.
— AFC North teams are 7-5 ATS in non-divisional road games.

— Saints lost 5 of last 7 games; their turnover ratio is minus-10.
— New Orleans held Raiders to 183 yards LW, upset them 24-0.
— Saints are 1-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— New Orleans is 3-5-1 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
— Last four games, New Orleans scored 14 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last five games, Saints are 33-66 on 3rd down.
— New Orleans is 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a win.
— Saints have been outscored 46-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Four of last five New Orleans games went over the total.
— Dalton is 79-76-2 SU as an NFL starter, 2-3 with the Saints.

— Baltimore won three of last four meetings.
— Ravens won 34-27/35-22 last two visits to Bourbon Street.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
 

Udog

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The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The Eagles are 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
The Texans are 1-5 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Houston's last five games against Philadelphia.
The Texans are 1-9-1 SU in their last 11 home games.
The Eagles are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Houston.
The Eagles are 5-1 SU in their last six road games.
 

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00

Totals........................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00



*****************************************

BEST BETS

11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%...................- 11.00

Totals.........................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00


************************************************** ********

SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00


************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00

OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Eagles 29, Texans 17
— Game was 14-14 at halftime.
— Eagles go-ahead TD drive was 17 yards after an INT.
— Philly won its first eight games (5-3 ATS), scoring 28.1 ppg.
— Eagles were 5-10 on 3rd down, Houston 2-9.
— Philly is 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.

— Houston in first half: 25 plays, 177 yards, 14 points.
— Houston in second half: 33 plays, 129 yards, 3 points.
— Texans lost six of their last seven games SU (2-3 ATS last five).
— Texans have been outscored 97-63 in second half of games.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-15-1 as an NFL starter.

— NFL favorites of 7+ points are 10-18 ATS this season.
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s Den: A quick statistical note on every NFL team

NFC
Arizona
— scored 19 ppg in first six games, without DeAndre Hopkins; scored 42-26 points in first two games Hopkins played.

Atlanta— Underdogs covered seven of their eight games this season.

Carolina— ran ball for 90.3 yards/game when McCaffrey was on team; ran ball for 173-169 yards in first two games since they traded him.

Chicago— ran ball for 157.4 yards/game in first five games; last three games, they ran ball for 238-243-240 yards.

Dallas— won/covered six of last seven games. Under is 6-1-1 in their games this season.

Detroit— last three games, Lions were outscored 48-0 in second half.

Green Bay— went under their team total in 7 of 8 games; last four games, Green Bay was outscored 57-26 in second half.

Rams— 3-0 scoring 20+ points; scored 14 or less in losses- in the four losses, they were outscored 58-3 in second half.

Minnesota— won last five games, covered last four; Vikings scored 18 TD’s on their last 57 drives.

NJ Giants— Under is 6-1-1 in their games. Giants converted 31 of last 67 (46.2%) third down plays.

New Orleans— four of their last five games went over. In weeks 5-7, Saints allowed 32-30-42 points. In Week 8, they shut the Raiders out 24-0. Go figure.

Philadelphia— under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Last five games, Eagles are +12 in turnovers (13-1).

San Francisco— 49ers are 4-0 if they score 24+ points; in two games with McCaffrey on team, they converted 13-23 third down plays.

Seattle— won/covered four of last five games; in their last six games, Seahawks outscored opponents 35-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

Tampa Bay— lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS); they’re 1-3 in games decided by 6 or less points. Bucs scored 3 touchdowns on their last 29 drives.

Washington— won/covered their last three games. Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

AFC
Baltimore— road team covered six of their eight games this season.

Buffalo—under is 8-0 in their games this season; opponent stayed under their team total in all eight games.

Cincinnati— yards per pass attempt this year:
In wins: 6.9-9.2-6.8-10.2
In losses: 5.0-3.9-5.0-4.8

Cleveland— their three road games were decided by total of 8 points; Browns lost 2 of the 3 games (underdogs 3-0 ATS)

Denver— under is 7-1 in their games. Denver scored 16 or less points in six of the eight games.

Houston— threw for less than 6 yards/pass attempt in six of eight games. Converted 4 of last 23 third down plays.

Indianapolis— stayed under their team total 5 of last 6 games. Have been outscored 105-42 in first half this season.

Jacksonville— 0-5 SU/ATS last five games (minus-9 turnovers)

Kansas City— last four games, converted 29-49 on third down. Are 5-0 when they score more than 20 points.

Las Vegas— last 6 games, their opponent went over their team total 5-0-1. Last three games, Raiders converted 23-39 on third down.

LA Chargers— four of their last five games went over total. Chargers averaged 6.5+ yards/pass attempt in all three road games, 6.2 or less in three of four home games (in a dome)

Miami— 4-0 in games decided by 6 or fewer points. Dolphins stayed under their team total in five of last six games.

New England— covered 4 of last 5 games. In their wins, are +7 in turnovers. In their losses, are minus-6 in turnovers.

NJ Jets— opponent stayed under their team total 4 of last 5 games. Jets converted only 9 of last 39 third down plays.

Pittsburgh— lost 6 of last 7 games SU, with last four staying under total. Steelers are +5 in turnovers in their two wins, minus-9 in their losses.

Tennessee— Titans won/covered their last five games; they were outgained in six of their seven games.
 

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The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Green Bay's last nine games.
The Packers are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of Detroit's last nine games.
The Lions are 0-5 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Detroit's last 13 games against Green Bay.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Lions' home games.
The Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Detroit.
The Packers are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Detroit.
The Packers are 2-6 SU in their last eight road games.
The Packers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against Detroit.


The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games.
The Dolphins are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games.
The Bears are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Chicago's last six games.
The Bears are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Chicago's last nine games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Chicago's last five home games.
The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Chicago.
The Dolphins are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Chicago.
The Dolphins are 4-1 SU in their last five road games against Chicago.


The total has gone UNDER in four of Arizona's last six games.
The Cardinals are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.
The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle's last six games.
The Seahawks are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Seahawks are 6-3 SU in their last nine games against Arizona.
The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle's last five road games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Arizona's last seven games against Seattle.
The Cardinals are 1-8 SU in their last nine home games.
The Cardinals are 1-4 SU in their last five home games against Seattle.


The Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Rams' last five games.
The Rams are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games.
The Bucs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Tampa Bay's last eight games.
The Bucs are 1-5 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in six straight matchups between the Bucs and Rams.
The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
The Rams are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Tampa Bay.
The Rams are 8-1 SU in their last nine games against Tampa Bay.
The Rams are 6-1 SU in their last seven road games.
The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games against Tampa Bay.


The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Tennessee's last five games.
The Titans are 5-0 SU in their last five games.
The Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games.
The Chiefs are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Kansas City's last six games against Tennessee.
The Chiefs are 10-2 SU in their last 12 home games.
The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Kansas City.
The Titans are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Kansas City.
The Titans are 4-1 SU in their last six road games.
The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against Kansas City.
 
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