Cnotes' NFL 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!

[Udog]

NFL

Week 7

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Trend Report
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New Orleans @ Arizona
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Detroit @ Dallas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Detroit

Indianapolis @ Tennessee
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

Cleveland @ Baltimore
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Atlanta @ Cincinnati
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 11 games
Cincinnati is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games

NY Giants @ Jacksonville
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games at home
Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants

Green Bay @ Washington
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Green Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

NY Jets @ Denver
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games

Houston @ Las Vegas
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games on the road
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Las Vegas's last 19 games at home

Seattle @ LA Chargers
Seattle
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Chargers's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

Kansas City @ San Francisco
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Chicago @ New England
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 7

Thursday game
Saints (2-4) @ Cardinals (2-4)
— Saints lost 4 of last 5 games; their turnover ratio is minus-8.
— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— Since 2018, New Orleans is 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— New Orleans has been outscored 75-54 in first half.
— Last three games, Saints are 20-41 on 3rd down.
— New Orleans is 11-6-1 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
— Saints have been outscored 31-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last three New Orleans games went over the total.
— Dalton is 78-75-2 SU as an NFL starter, 1-2 with the Saints.

— Cardinals get star WR Hopkins (suspension) back this week
— Arizona is 0-4 when it scores less than 26 points.
— Cardinals have been outscored 89-29 in first half this year.
— Arizona outscored last four foes 71-32 in second half.
— Last five opponents went under their team total.
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is is 4-11 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last four opponents converted only 15-50 third down plays.
— Arizona is 5-4 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
— Kyler Murray is 24-28-1 as an NFL starter.

— Home side covered seven of last eight meetings.
— Saints won five of last seven series games.
— New Orleans is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Arizona.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.

 

[Udog]

The Saints are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five of New Orleans' last seven games.
The Cardinals are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Arizona's last five games.
The Cardinals are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games.
The Cardinals are 0-8 SU in their last eight home games.
The Saints are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Arizona.
The Saints are 5-2 SU in their last seven games against Arizona.
The Saints are 4-1 SU in their last five road games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight matchups between the Cardinals and Saints.
The total has gone OVER in four of New Orleans' last five road games against Arizona.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 7

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,980— Josh Allen, Buff
1,765— Matt Ryan, Ind
1,736— Patrick Mahomes, KC
1,716— Justin Herbert, LAC
1,652— Tom Brady, TB
1,616— Joe Burrow, Cin


Quick Notes on NFC teams

Arizona Cardinals— On each team’s first drive of the game, Cardinals have been outscored 27-3. On their first drives, Arizona has run 30 plays for 122 yards, opponents 57 plays for 308 yards.

Atlanta Falcons— Falcons are only 11th NFL team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 against the spread. Falcons are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.

Carolina Panthers— Panthers have gone 3/out on 22 of 62 drives (35.5%); they’ve given up 24 plays of 20+ yards (-7). On 38 drives that started 75+ yards from goal line, they scored 29 points.

Chicago Bears— Bears have been outscored 84-39 in first half this season; on their first drive of 3rd quarter, Chicago has scored four TD’s, kicked a field goal (39 plays, 373 yards).

Dallas Cowboys— In their two losses, Cowboys lost field position by 12-17 yards; they’ve converted only 25-78 third down plays. Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.

Detroit Lions— Lions have forced only nine 3/outs, tied for least in NBA (Seattle); under Campbell, Lions are 4-17-1 SU, 14-8 ATS. Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.

Green Bay Packers— Green Bay went under its team total in five of six games; they’ve converted only 8 of last 26 third down plays. Packers have forced 23 3/outs, T2 in league.

Los Angeles Rams— Rams allowed a defensive TD in their last three games; they’ve gone 3/out on 20 of 59 drives (33.9%). Rams allowed 47 points on 12 red zone drives (3.92).

Minnesota Vikings— Vikings have TD drives of 78-75-86 yards on their first possessions; they outscored opponents 21-10 on first drives. They’re 5-1, scoring 27.3 ppg in last four games.

New Jersey Giants— 5-1 Giants have trailed by 10+ points in three of five wins; they have only 13 plays of 20+ yards, three less than any other team. Giants have outscored foes 87-49 in second half of games.

New Orleans Saints— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points; they’ve been outscored 75-54 in first half. Saints have been outscored 31-12 in last 2:00 of each half.

Philadelphia Eagles— Last five games, on their first drive, opponents ran total of 18 plays for 41 yards. Eagles have forced 24 3/outs, gone 3/out only nine times themselves, best ratio in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses; they’ve forced 23 3/outs, gone 3/out only 12 times. SF has 25 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve allowed 13 (+12).

Seattle Seahawks— Seahawks on first drive of game: 47 plays, 357 yards, 27 points. Seahawks on first series of second half: 32 plays, 167 yards, no points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers— Opponents in first drive of game: 54 plays, 281 yards, 23 points. Opponents on first series of second half: 33 plays, 89 yards, 6 points.

Washington Commanders— They’ve gone 3/out 22 times on 65 drives (33.8%), allowed 29 plays of 20+ yards (minus-7). Last five games, Commanders have been outscored 77-20 in first half.

 

[Udog]

Week 7 NFL Tech Trends
Bruce Marshall

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 7

Sunday’s games
Browns (2-4) @ Ravens (3-3)
— Cleveland lost last three games, giving up 23-30-38 points.
— Four of Browns’ first six games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Last three games, Browns converted 13-39 on third down.
— Last two weeks, Cleveland was outscored 41-16 in second half.
— Cleveland is 7-8 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Browns are 9-15-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Five of their six games went over the total.
— Brissett is 16-27 as an NFL starter.
— Browns turned ball over seven times in last three games (minus-5)

— Ravens led 35-14/20-3/20-10 in their three losses TY.
— Baltimore is 1-8 in its last nine games decided by 4 or less points.
— Ravens are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— Last five games, Ravens have run ball for 174.2 yards/game.
— Baltimore outscored first six opponents 92-50 in first half
— QB Jackson leads Ravens with 374 RY; next highest is Hill, with 125 yards.
— Ravens are 8-7 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Baltimore is 5-11 ATS in last 16 AFC North home games.
— Jackson is 41-18 as an NFL starter.

— Ravens won nine of last 12 series games.
— Browns are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Baltimore.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten meetings.

Buccaneers (3-3) @ Panthers (1-5)
— Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games (0-4 ATS)
— Bucs have outscored opponents 67-45 in second half.
— Last three opponents converted 31-61 third down plays.
— Last four weeks, Bucs lost field position by 12-9-6-4 yards.
— Tampa Bay is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 4-3 ATS in NFC South road tilts.
— Tampa Bay is 0-2 this year when it gives up more than 15 points.
— Five of six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Brady is 310-89 as a NFL starter, 32-13 in Tampa.

— Carolina fired their coach/DC last week; Wilks is interim coach.
— Unclear who QB is here (check status); would be Eason’s first NFL start.
— Last four games, Carolina scored four TD’s on 52 drives (19 3/outs).
— Panthers were +3 in turnovers in their win, are minus-5 in losses.
— Carolina is 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.
— Carolina has converted only 17-72 third down plays.
— Carolina is 3-12 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 16-39 SU.
— Four of last five Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina is 2-8 ATS in last ten NFC South home games.

— Tampa Bay won/covered last five series games.
— Buccaneers won last three visits here, last two by 32-6/46-23 scores.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.

Falcons (3-3) @ Bengals (3-3)
— Falcons won three of their last four games SU.
— Atlanta is only NFL team that is 6-0 ATS.
— Falcons outscored last five foes 68-34 in second half.
— Falcons are 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a win (2-0 TY).
— Falcons are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road dog (3-0 TY).
— Last four opponents converted 32-65 third down plays.
— Last four games, ran ball for 176.5 yards/game.
— Mariota is 33-36 as an NFL starter.
— NFC South teams are 5-3 ATS as a non-divisional home underdog.

— Cincinnati won three of last four games (4-0 ATS).
— Bengals’ three losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Last three games, Cincy converted 25-49 on 3rd down.
— Bengals outscored opponents 71-30 in second half.
— Last 2+ years, Bengals are 4-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cincy is 6-4-2 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— Five of Bengals’ first six games stayed under the total.
— Bengals are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC teams.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 18-17-1 as an NFL starter.

— Bengals won last two series games, 37-36/24-10.
— Teams split last two meetings in Cincinnati.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.

Lions (1-4) @ Cowboys (4-2)
— Detroit lost last game 29-0, after scoring 35 ppg in first four games.
— Last 10 years, Lions are 9-1 ATS in their post-bye game.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-17-1 SU, 14-8 ATS.
— Lion opponents have scored 27+ points in last five games TY.
— Lions are 9-7 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Detroit is 7-6 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.
— Last two games, Detroit allowed 10.7/9.0 yards/pass attempt.

— Cowboys won/covered four of their last five games.
— Dallas has allowed eight TD’s on 62 drives this season.
— In their two losses, Cowboys lost field position by 12-17 yards.
— Dallas is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Cowboys have converted only 25-78 third down plays.
— Dallas is 5-1 ATS in last six games coming off a loss.
— Last two games, Cowboys gained 4.0-4.8 yards/pass.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.

— Cowboys won last three series games, by 8-2-21 points.
— Lions are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Dallas.
— Last eight meetings went over the total.

 

[Udog]

Colts (3-2-1) @ Titans (3-2)
— Colts won/covered three of their last four games.
— Colts have been outscored 113-60 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Underdogs covered five of their six games.
— Colts went under their team total in five of six games TY.
— Last four games, Colts outscored opponents 47-19 in second half.
— Five of their games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 6-1 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
— Indy is 8-6 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Colts converted 21 of last 36 third down plays.

— Tennessee won last three games, scoring 24-24-21 points.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 82-47 in first half.
— Titans have been outscored 71-14 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 16-59 third down plays.
— Tennessee is 3-2 despite being outgained by 124.6 yds/game.
— Titans are 10-12 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in last eight games with spread of 3 or less.
— Four of five Titan games stayed under the total.
— Tannehill is 77-64 as an NFL starter.

— Battle for first place in AFC South.
— Titans (+3 in turnovers) won 24-17 at Indy in Week 4
— Tennessee won four of last five series games.
— Colts are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten visits to Nashville.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games played here.

Packers (3-3) @ Commanders (2-4)
— Packers lost last two games, to Giants/Jets.
— Green Bay has only three takeaways (minus-5 in turnovers) TY.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 68-33 in first half.
— Packers are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay gave up 157 rushing yards/game.
— Last two games, Green Bay converted 8 of 26 third down plays.
— Green Bay went under its team total in five of six games.
— Rodgers is 153-79-1 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 12-1 ATS in last 13 regular season games coming off a loss.

— Wentz broke his finger; Heinicke (7-9 as NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Washington lost four of last five games, scoring 11.8 ppg in last four.
— Last five games, Commanders have been outscored 77-20 in first half.
— Last three games, Washington scored 25 points in nine red zone drives.
— Washington has a minus-5 turnover ratio (3-8)
— Commanders are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.
— Commanders are 10-6 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
— Last two games, Commanders converted 8-37 on third down.
— Washington played last Thursday, had extra rest/prep time for this.
— NFC East teams are 11-5 ATS in non-division games.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Packers lost 31-17/42-24 in last two visits here.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Giants (5-1) @ Jaguars (2-4)
— Giants won/covered five of first six games,
— They trailed by 10+ points in three of their five wins.
— Giants have outscored opponents 87-49 in second half of games.
— Giants are 9-10 ATS last 18 games as an underdog (3-0 TY)
— Last three games, Big Blue converted 19-39 on third down.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Giants opponents stayed under team total in five of six games.
— Giants are 11-12-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win (3-1 TY).
— Under is 4-1-1 in Giant games this season.
— Giants are 4-10 ATS last 14 games vs AFC teams.
— Daniel Jones is 17-26 as an NFL starter, 5-1 TY.

— Jaguars lost last three games, giving up 25.3 ppg.
— Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Jacksonville ran ball for 243 yards LW, but lost 34-27 to Colts in last minute.
— While HC in Philly, Pederson was 11-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Jaguars are 9-21-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last three weeks, Jacksonville lost field position by 13-9-5 yards.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Jaguars have outscored foes 68-54 in second half.
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 5-18 as an NFL starter.

— Jaguars won three of last four meetings (4-0 ATS)
— Giants lost 25-24/26-10 in last two visits here.
— Over is 3-2-1 in last six series games.

Jets (4-2) @ Broncos (2-4)
— Jets won/covered three in row, four of last five games.
— Jets are 3-0 SU on road, winning in Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Green Bay.
— Last 2+ years, Jets are 7-11 ATS as a road underdog (3-0 TY).
— Last two weeks, Jets outscored foes 45-10 in second half.
— Since 2018, Jets are 9-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Last two weeks, opponents converted 8-27 third down plays.
— Jets ran ball for 179 yards at Lambeau LW, blocked punt for a TD.
— 2nd-year QB Wilson is 7-10 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East teams are 9-3 ATS in non-divisional road games.

— Russell Wilson has shoulder/hamstring issues; check status.
— Brett Rypien is Denver’s backup QB.
— Denver lost last three games, by 9-3-3 points.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in five of six games.
— Broncos allowed 9-10 points in their two wins.
— Denver held all six opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last five games, Broncos are 18-71 on third down.
— Denver is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Broncos are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Five of six Denver games stayed under the total.
— AFC West teams are 4-9 ATS outside the division.
— QB Wilson is 115-64-1 as an NFL starter.

— Denver won five of last six meetings, with two shutouts.
— Jets are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

 

[Udog]

Texans (1-3-1) @ Raiders (1-4)
— Texans have been outgained by average of 124 yards/game.
— Texans have given up 29 plays of 20+ yards.
— Houston has allowed 163.8 rushing yards/game in first five games.
— Texans are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Texans have 8 TD’s on 53 drives this season (19 3/outs)
— Houston is converted only 19-65 third down plays.
— Texans have scored 51 points on 11 red zone drives.
— Last 11 years, Houston is 8-3 SU/7-4 ATS in post-bye games.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-12-1 as an NFL starter.

— Raiders’ three losses are by 1-5-6-2 points.
— Raiders ran for 212-155 yards last two games (80 ypg in first 3 games).
— Las Vegas’ opponent went over team total in last four games.
— Raiders are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Las Vegas scored 32-29 points in their last two games.
— Las Vegas is 0-5 SU/ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Raiders are giving up 6.13 points per red zone drive, worst in NFL
— Raiders have forced 12 3/outs on 47 drives (25.5%)
— Derek Carr is 58-75 as an NFL starter.

— Teams split last six meetings.
— Texans are 4-2 ATS in last six road series games.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Seahawks (3-3) @ Chargers (4-2)
— Seattle is 2-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Seahawks gave up 27+ points in four of last five games.
— Four of Seattle’s last five opponents went over their team total.
— Last five weeks, Seattle gave up average of 178.4 rushing yards/game.
— Seahawks have been outscored 78-57 in 2nd half of games.
— Since 2020, Seahawks are 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Seahawks are 5-13-1 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.
— Three of Seahawks’ last four games went over the total.
— Geno Smith is 16-23 as an NFL starter.

— Short week for Chargers after tense win Monday night.
— Chargers gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Chargers have been outscored 85-53 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 81 or fewer yards in five of six games.
— Chargers are 5-4-1 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
— Chargers have 7 takeaways in their wins, none in their losses.
— QB Herbert is playing with fractured rib cartilage.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 8-11-2 ATS coming off a win.
— Three of Bolts’ last four games went over the total.
— Herbert is 19-19 as an NFL starter.

— Chargers won three of last four meetings.
— Seahawks covered three of last four visits to San Diego.
— Under is 5-4 in last nine meetings.

Chiefs (4-2) @ 49ers (3-3)
— Chiefs were held to 17-20 points in their two losses.
— KC is 7-4 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
— Last three weeks, Chiefs converted 23-40 third down plays.
— Kansas City is 13-11-1 ATS last 25 games as a road favorite.
— Chiefs have 21 TD’s on 59 drives this season.
— Kansas City gave up 31-29-24 points last three weeks.
— Chiefs have 31 plays of 20+ yards, 2nd-most in league.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
— Mahomes is 63-17 as an NFL starter.

— 49ers won/covered both home games, 27-7/24-9.
— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses.
— Since 2020, 49ers are 5-9 ATS as a road favorite. 2-0 TY.
— 49ers outscored first six opponents 79-33 in first half.
— 49ers have been outscored 56-43 in second half.
— SF have scored 74 points in 17 red zone drives (4.35)- not great.
— Five of six 49er games stayed under the total.
— 49ers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-7 in losses.
— QB Garoppolo is 39-18 as an NFL starter.
— NFC West teams are 2-6 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.

— Chiefs won four of last five series games.
— Last meeting was 31-20 KC win in Super Bowl three years ago.
— Chiefs lost last three visits here (1-2 ATS).

Steelers (2-4) @ Dolphins (3-3)
— Check whether rookie Pickett or Trubisky starts at QB.
— Steelers snapped 4-game skid with upset of Tampa Bay LW.
— Pittsburgh has only eight TD’s on 63 drives this season.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+9) in their wins, nine (-4) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 35-10 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Steelers are 14-9 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
— Steelers are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
— Under is 4-2 in their games this season.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 72-44 in second half of games.

— QB situation is an injury mess; Tagovailoa is expected to start.
— Third different starting QB the last three games.
— Miami lost last three games, outscored 91-48 (48-19 in 2nd half).
— Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Dolphins stayed under their team total in five of six games TY.
— Last five games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers (1-9)
— Last three games, Miami is 10-35 on third down.
— Dolphins scored 15-17-16 points in losses, 20+ in wins.
— Last 3+ years, Dolphins are 13-12 ATS coming off a loss.
— Tagovailoa is 16-9 as an NFL starter.

— Pittsburgh won six of last eight series games.
— Steelers won three of last four visits to Miami (2-2 ATS)
— Over is 4-4 in last eight meetings.

Monday’s game
Bears (2-4) @ Patriots (3-3)
— Chicago lost its last three games, by 8-7-5 points.
— Bears have been outscored 84-39 in first half this season.
— Bears have outscored foes 54-35 in second half.
— Chicago is 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Bears are 0-3 SU on road TY, losing by 17-8-7 points.
— Bears have converted only 26-73 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 10-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 4-12 as an NFL starter.
— NFC North teams are 7-8 ATS in non-division games.

— Patriots won rookie Zappe’s first two starts, 29-0/38-15.
— Patriots are 20-20 SU since Brady left; 11-8 ATS at home.
— New England gave up 20-37-27 points in losses; 14-0-15 in wins.
— Last three games, Patriots are +6 in turnovers (8-2)
— Patriots outscored last two opponents 41-9 in second half.
— Last two opponents converted 8-27 third down plays.
— Patriots are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— AFC East teams are 12-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

— New England won last five series games, covered last three.
— Bears lost 51-23/17-13 in last two trips to Foxboro.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20

NO at ARI	08:15 PM	NO +2.5 O 44.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/20/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................-0.50
10/17/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................- 0.50
10/16/22.............11-13-0................45.83%.................-16.50
10/13/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................- 0.50
10/09/22..................5-3-0................62.50%................+ 8.50
10/06/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%..................+9.00

Totals...................38-31-1...............55.07%................+19,50


*****************************************

BEST BETS

10/20/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................-0.50
10/17/22.................1-1-0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
10/16/22...............5-11-0..................31.25%..............-35.50
10/13/22.................1-1-0..................50.00%...............- 0.50
10/08/22.................5-3-0..................62.50%..............+ 8.50
10/06/22.................1-0-0................100.00%..............+ 5.00
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50

Totals.................24-22-0.................52.17%...............- 2.00


************************************************** ********

SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
************************************************** *****************
BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Cardinals 42, Saints 34
— Cardinals scored 22 points in 1:42 span of 2nd quarter, with two pick-6’s.
— Saints outgained Arizona, 494-326, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— In his first game this season, WR Hopkins was targeted 14 times, caught 10 passes for 103 yards.
— All the other Cardinals were targeted 15 times, caught 10 balls for 101 yards.

— Saints lost five of last six games; their turnover ratio is minus-11.
— New Orleans has been outscored 103-68 in first half.
— Saints have been outscored 46-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last four New Orleans games went over the total.

 

[Udog]

Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall
Browns are 12-30-1 ATS in the past 43 vs. AFC North
Browns are 8-22 ATS in the past 30 October games
Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games overall
Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four home games
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in the past five AFC North games
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in the past six vs. losing teams
OVER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for the Browns
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for the Browns
UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight games overall for the Ravens
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Ravens
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings
Ravens are 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings
UNDER is 8-3 in the past 11 meetings in Baltimore


The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis' last 11 games.
The Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Tennessee's last 11 games.
The Titans are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Tennessee's last seven home games.
The Titans are 2-8 SU in their last 10 home games against Indianapolis.
The Colts are 1-5 SU in their last six games against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Colts' road games.
The Colts are 8-2 SU in their last 10 road games against Tennessee.
The total has gone OVER in four of Tennessee's last six games against Indianapolis.


The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Giants' last 17 games.
The Jaguars are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of Jacksonville's last ten games.
The Jaguars are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Jacksonville's last seven home games.
The Giants are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The Giants are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against Jacksonville.
The Giants are 2-7 SU in their last nine road games.


The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of the Jets' last 20 games.
The Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Denver's last six games.
The Broncos are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Denver's last five home games.
The Jets are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Denver.
The Jets are 1-5 SU in their last six games against Denver.
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Jets' last eight road games against Denver.


Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall
49ers are 8-3 ATS in the past 11 games overall
49ers are 6-0 ATS in the past six home games
49ers are 6-0 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams
OVER is 10-4 in the past 14 games overall for the Chiefs
OVER is 6-1 in the past seven road games for the Chiefs
UNDER is 12-2 in the past 14 games overall for the 49ers
UNDER is 4-0 in the past four home games for the 49ers
UNDER is 5-0 in the past five vs. winning teams for the 49ers

 

[Udog]

The total has gone UNDER in six of Pittsburgh's last nine games.
The Steelers are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Miami.
The Dolphins are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games.
The Dolphins are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Miami's last 13 matchups against Pittsburgh.
The Dolphins are 8-1 SU in their last nine home games.
The Steelers are 7-2 SU in their last nine games against Miami.
The Steelers are 2-7 SU in their last nine road games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Miami's last seven home games against Pittsburgh.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 7

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 23

GB at WAS	01:00 PM	GB -4.0 U 41.5	+500 +500
ATL at CIN	01:00 PM	ATL +6.5 U 47.5	+500 +500
CLE at BAL	01:00 PM	CLE +6.5 O 46.0	+500 +500
NYG at JAC	01:00 PM	NYG +3.0 U 43.5	+500 +500
IND at TEN	01:00 PM	TEN -2.5 O 43.0	+500 +500
TB at CAR	01:00 PM	CAR +13.0 O 39.5	+500 +500
DET at DAL	01:00 PM	DET +7.0 U 49.5	+500 +500
HOU at LV	04:05 PM	HOU +7.0 U 46.0	+500 +500
NYJ at DEN	04:05 PM	DEN +2.0 U 37.0	+500 +500
SEA at LAC	04:25 PM	SEA +4.5 U 50.5	+500 +500
KC at SF	04:25 PM	SF +1.0 U 49.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/23/22...............8-14-0................36.36%................-37.00
10/20/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................-0.50
10/17/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................- 0.50
10/16/22.............11-13-0................45.83%.................-16.50
10/13/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................- 0.50
10/09/22..................5-3-0................62.50%................+ 8.50
10/06/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%..................+9.00

Totals...................46-45-1...............50.54%................-17.50


*****************************************

BEST BETS

10/23/22................5-11-0...............31.25%................-34.00
10/20/22.................1-1-0................50.00%.................-0.50
10/17/22.................1-1-0..................50.00%..............- 0.50
10/16/22...............5-11-0..................31.25%..............-35.50
10/13/22.................1-1-0..................50.00%...............- 0.50
10/08/22.................5-3-0..................62.50%..............+ 8.50
10/06/22.................1-0-0................100.00%..............+ 5.00
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50

Totals.................29-33-0.................46.77%...............- 36.00


************************************************** ********

SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
************************************************** *****************
BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chiefs 44, 49ers 23
— Chiefs scored six touchdowns on nine drives.
— Kansas City averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Chiefs have 27 TD’s on 68 drives this season.
— Last four weeks, Chiefs converted 29-49 third down plays.
— KC is 8-4 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.

— Chiefs led 14-13 at halftime.
— McCaffrey had 10 touches for 62 yards in his SF debut.
— 49ers have been outscored 86-53 in second half.
— Garoppolo threw two INT’s in the red zone.
— NFC West teams are 3-7 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.

Commanders 23, Packers 21
— This just in: Heinicke is a better QB than Carson Wentz.
— Commanders’ first 2 drives: 6 plays, 7 yards, no first downs.
— Commanders’ last 7 drives: 66 plays, 357 yards, 23 points.
— Last four games, Washington scored 41 points in 13 red zone drives.
— NFC East teams are 14-5 ATS in non-division games.

— Packers lost last three games, to Giants/Jets/Washington.
— Last four weeks, Green Bay gave up 159,3 rushing yards/game.
— Washington was 7-16 on third down, Packers 0-6.
— Last two games, Green Bay converted 8 of 32 third down plays.
— Green Bay stayed under its team total in six of seven games.

Bengals 35, Falcons 17
— Bengals’ first four drives: 28 plays, 314 yards, four TD’s.
— Chase had 8 catches for 130 yards, 2 TD’s; Boyd 8 catches for 155 yards, one TD
— Cincinnati had ten plays of 20+ yards, Falcons had one.
— Last four games, Cincy converted 32-60 on 3rd down.
— Cincinnati won four of last five games (5-0 ATS).

— Teams are 0-6 SU/ATS the week after playing the 49ers.
— Falcons had only one play longer than 12 yards.
— Atlanta in 2nd half: 20 plays, 40 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bengals outgained Falcons, 537-214.
— Last five opponents converted 39-76 third down plays.

Giants 23, Jaguars 17
— Game ended with Jaguar WR tackled on 1-yard line.
— Jaguars were in red zone five times, scored 17 points.
— Jacksonville had 13 penalties for 81 yards.
— Jaguars are 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Jaguars lost last four games, giving up 24.8 ppg.

— Giants won/covered six of first seven games.
— They were tied/behind in 4th quarter in six of seven games.
— Giants outscored opponents 58-22 in 4th quarter.
— Jaguars led 17-13 with 6:00 left in this game.
— Last four games, Big Blue converted 25-51 on third down.

Cowboys 24, Lions 6
— Detroit led 6-3 at halftime,
— Lions in 2nd half: six drives, five turnovers.
— Down 10-6 in 4th quarter, Detroit lost a fumble on the Dallas 1-yard line.
— Lions threw two INT’s, lost three fumbles (minus-4), all in 2nd half.
— Last two games for Detroit: 19 drives, 7 turnovers, 2 field goals.

— Cowboys won/covered five of their last six games.
— Dallas had TD drives of 82-54-24 yards.
— Cowboys have converted only 28-87 third down plays.
— Dallas is 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Under is 6-0-1 in their games this season.

Titans 19, Colts 10
— Tennessee won its last four games, scoring 24-24-21-19 points.
— Titans’ only TD was 76-yard pick-6 early in second quarter.
— Tennessee is 4-2 despite being outgained by 110.2 yds/game.
— Opponents have converted only 20-72 third down plays.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 95-47 in first half.

— Indy’s only TD came on 58-yard drive midway thru third quarter.
— Colts turned ball over three times (minus-2).
— Tennessee won four of last five series games.
— Six of Indy’s seven games stayed under the total.
— Colts have been outscored 126-67 in quarters 1-3 this season.

Ravens 23, Browns 20
— Cleveland lost last four games, giving up 23-30-38-23 points.
— Five of Browns’ first seven games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Ravens converted 7-15 on third down, Cleveland 2-11.
— Last four games, Browns converted 15-50 on third down.
— Browns are 9-16-2 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.

— Baltimore had a 14-yard edge in field position.
— Tucker put Ravens up 23-13 with 55-yard FG, 11:24 left in game.
— Ravens ran ball 44 times, threw only 16 passes.
— Baltimore is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Ravens won 10 of last 13 series games.

Panthers 21, Buccaneers 3
— Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games (0-5 ATS)
— Buccaneers scored one TD on their last 19 drives.
— Last four games, Bucs ran ball 71 times for 193 yards,
— Tampa Bay is 0-3 this year when it gives up more than 15 points.
— Six of seven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

— Carolina’s three TD drives: 80-77-75 yards.
— Carolina’s other 7 drives: 34 plays, 188 yards, 5 first downs, no points.
— Panthers ran ball for 173 yards, Tampa Bay 46.
— Five of last six Panther games stayed under the total.
— Walker is 3-1 as an NFL starting QB.

Jets 16, Broncos 9
— Jets won/covered four in row, five of last six games.
— Jets’ only TD was a 62-yard run with 7:34 left in first quarter.
— Gang Green won/covered all four of their road games.
— Jets converted only 3-14 on 3rd down, averaged 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Three of their last four opponents played a backup QB.

— Denver lost last four games, by 9-3-3-7 points.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in six of seven games.
— Last six games, Broncos are 23-87 on third down.
— Six of seven Denver games stayed under the total.
— AFC West teams are 6-11 ATS outside the division.

Raiders 38, Texans 20
— Raiders outscored Houston 21-0 in fourth quarter.
— Texans’ first 5 drives: 43 plays, 300 yards, 20 points.
— Texans’ last 3 drives: 24 plays, 106 yards, no points.
— Houston allowed 163.8 rushing yards/game in first six games.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-13-1 as an NFL starter.

— Jacobs ran ball 20 times for 143 yards, three TD’s.
— Raiders’ first 3 drives: 20 plays, 66 yards, 3 points.
— Raiders’ last 4 drives: 34 plays, 314 yards, 28 points.
— Las Vegas scored 32-29-38 points in their last three games.
— Raiders averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.

Seahawks 37, Chargers 23
— Seahawks ran ball for 214 yards (6.3 yards/carry).
— Seattle led 17-0 after the first quarter.
— Only nine of Seahawks’ 63 plays were on third down.
— Seattle is 3-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Four of Seahawks’ last five games went over the total.

— Chargers gave up 37-38-37 points in their three losses.
— Chargers turned ball over on two of first three drives.
— Bolts converted 5-15 on third down, 1-3 on fourth down.
— Chargers ran ball for 81 or fewer yards in six of seven games.
— four of Bolts’ last five games went over the total.

Dolphins 16, Steelers 10
— Neither team scored in second half.
— Miami in first half: 5 drives, 38 plays, 231 yards, 16 points.
— Miami in 2nd half: 6 drives, 26 plays, 127 yards, no points.
— Dolphins stayed under their team total in six of seven games TY.
— Tagovailoa is 17-9 as an NFL starter.

— Steelers lost five of their last six games.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+9) in their wins, 12 (-7) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has only nine TD’s on 74 drives this season.
— Steelers are 15-9 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
— Steelers are 3-7 ATS last ten games coming off a win.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 7

The Bears are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Chicago's last six games.
The Bears are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of New England's last ten games.
The total has gone OVER in five of New England's last six games against Chicago.
The total has gone OVER in seven of New England's last eight home games.
The Bears are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against New England.
The Bears are 0-5 SU in their last five games against New England.
The Bears are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, OCTOBER 24

CHI at NE	08:15 PM	NE -8.5 U 39.5	+500 +500