Armadillo Sports
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..
Bills 24, Chiefs 20
— Bills drove 76 yards for game-winning TD with 1:04 left.
— Buffalo scored TD in last 2:00 of each half.
— Bills survived two empty trips to the red zone.
— All six Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS last 11 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last three weeks, Chiefs gave up 28 ppg.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
— In his career, Mahomes is now 7-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Bills averaged 7.8 yards/pass attempt, Chiefs 7.4.
— Chiefs are 11-17-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
Bengals 30, Saints 26
— Burrow hit Chase with 60-yard TD pass with 1:57 left for the win.
— Chase caught seven passes for 132 yards, two TD’s.
— First four drives: 23 plays, 103 yards, 7 points.
— Last four drives: 31 plays, 250 yards, 23 points.
— Last three games, Bengals converted 25-49 on 3rd down.
— Cincy is 13-6 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Five trips to red zone: one TD, four field goals.
— Saints led 23-14 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
— Saints lost 4 of last 5 games; they gave up 38-32-30 points last 3 weeks.
— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— Since 2020, New Orleans is 2-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Giants 24, Ravens 20
— Up 20-17, Jackson threw horrendous INT in his own territory with 2:50 left.
— Ravens in red zone: three drives, one TD, two FG’s.
— Giants in red zone: four drives, three TD’s, one FG.
— Ravens led by 10+ points in all three of their losses.
— Ravens are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
— Giants are 5-1; they trailed by 10+ in three of the five wins.
— Giants outscored opponents 87-49 in second half of games.
— Ravens outgained Big Blue, 406-238 in this game.
— Giants had huge 22-yard advantage in field position.
— Last three games, Big Blue converted 19-39 on third down.
Jets 27, Packers 10
— Jets blocked punt for TD that made score 17-3.
— Jets ran ball for 179 yards (5.4 yards/carry).
— Jets are 3-0 on road, scoring 31-24-27 points.
— Jets won/covered four of their last five games.
— AFC East teams are now 9-2 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Packers lost last two games, outscored 41-9 in second half.
— Green Bay converted only 4-16 third down plays.
— Packers averaged only 4.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers went under their team total in five of six games.
— Green Bay has only three takeaways (minus-5 in turnovers)
Falcons 28, 49ers 14
— Falcons are only 11th team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 ATS.
— Atlanta converted 9-14 on third down, 49ers 3-8.
— Atlanta ran for 168 yards; they scored 3 TD’s on 3 red zone drives.
— Falcons outscored last five foes 68-34 in second half.
— Last 2+ years, Falcons are 14-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— Game was 14-14; 49ers didn’t score on their last six drives.
— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses.
— 49ers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Since 2018, 49ers are 8-10 ATS as a road favorite. 1-3 TY.
— NFC West teams are 2-6 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.
Patriots 38, Browns 15
— Patriots had TD drives of 40-19-8 yards, short drives.
— New England averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Patriots outscored last two opponents 41-9 in second half.
— New England gave up 20-37-27 points in losses; 14-0-15 points in wins.
— AFC East teams are 12-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Browns turned ball over four times, lost field position by 13 yards,
— Cleveland converted 4-15 third down plays, Patriots 7-14.
— Five of six Cleveland games went over the total.
— Cleveland is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Browns are 9-15-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Colts 34, Jaguars 27
— Ryan threw 32-yard TD pass with 0:17 left for the win.
— Colts’ first four drives: 29 plays, 145 yards, one field goal
— Colts’ last five drives: 47 plays, 298 yards, 4 TD’s, one FG.
— Indy is 3-2-1, despite being outscored 115-58 in quarters 1-3.
— Jaguars lost last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS)
— Colts converted 10 of their 15 third down plays.
— Jaguars ran ball for 243 yards, but were outgained 434-379,
— Last 2+ years, Jaguars are 9-21-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jacksonville is 10-20-1 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog.
— Home side won last nine series games.
Vikings 24, Dolphins 16
— Vikings won despite going 3/out on 10 of their 14 drives.
— Minnesota was +3 in turnovers, won field position by 15 yards,
— Vikings won last four weeks, scoring 28-28-29-24 points.
— Last three games, Jefferson caught 28 passes for 408 yards.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11 ATS against AFC opponents.
— Dolphins outgained Minnesota 458-234, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Bridgewater came off bench, was 23-34/329 passing, with 2 TD’s/2 INTs.
— Miami lost last three games, outscored 91-48— 48-19 in 2nd half.
— Last four games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers (1-9)
— Dolphins stayed under their team total in five of six games TY.
Steelers 20, Buccaneers 18
— Down 20-12, Bucs scored TD with 4:38 left, failed on tying 2-point play.
— Four drives in red zone, Tampa scored one TD, kicked three FG’s.
— Bucs’ only touchdown came on their last drive of game.
— Last four opponents converted 31-61 third down plays.
— Five of six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— QB Trubisky came off bench, was 9-12/144 passing, with a TD.
— Steelers converted 7-15 third down plays, Tampa Bay 4-14.
— Steelers have no turnovers in their two wins, nine in four losses.
— Last 4+ years, Steelers are 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Claypool caught seven passes for 96 yards and a TD.
Rams 24, Panthers 10
— Panthers have now lost 25 games in a row when they allow 17+ points.
— Carolina’s only TD was a pick-6 late in 1st half- they led 10-7 at halftime.
— Panthers in second half: 19 plays, 86 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
— Backup QB Walker was KO’d, 3rd-stringer Eason was 3-5/59 passing.
— Rams in 1st half: 24 plays, 98 yards, 7 points and a pick-6.
— Rams in 2nd half: 33 plays, 230 yards, 15 first downs, 17 points.
— LA picked off pass in 4th quarter, their first takeaway in four games.
— Matthew Stafford threw a pick-6 for third game in a row.
— Rams outgained Carolina 360-203, converted 6-12 on third down.
Seahawks 19, Cardinals 9
— Cardinals’ only TD was scored by defense late in 3rd quarter.
— Arizona drove 76 yards on first drive, kicked FG; offense didn’t score again.
— Arizona’s last five opponents went under their team total.
— Cardinals have been outscored 89-29 in first half this year.
— Arizona is 0-4 when it scores less than 26 points.
— Seahawks kicked field goals on four of first seven drives.
— Seattle converted 4-14 on third down, Arizona 4-16.
— Lot of sacks; Seahawks had six, Arizona five.
— Last four Arizona games stayed under the total.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight Arizona-Seattle games.
Eagles 26, Cowboys 17
— Philly won its first six games, scoring 26.8 ppg (4-2 ATS).
— Eagles outscored first six opponents 126-48 in first half.
— Eagles were +3 in turnovers, had 17-yard edge in field position.
— Eagles covered their last six games as a home favorite.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— First five Dallas drives: 18 plays, 52 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Down 20-0 in 2nd quarter, Cowboys got within 20-17, but didn’t score again.
— Rush completed only 18-38 passes, with three INT’s.
— Cowboys have converted only 25-78 third down plays.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.
