Cnotes' NFL 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!
- Thread starter Udog
- Start date
OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%..................+9.00
Totals....................17-12-1..............58.62%................+19.00
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BEST BETS
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50
Totals...................10-5-0..................66.66%..............+22.50
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
************************************************** *****************
BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%..................+9.00
Totals....................17-12-1..............58.62%................+19.00
*****************************************
BEST BETS
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50
Totals...................10-5-0..................66.66%..............+22.50
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
************************************************** *****************
BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
- 38
Good deal Slumdog! Helping bettors make informed decisions is all it's about! Thanks for letting us know it helps!
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
- 38
Armadillo Sports
49ers 24, Rams 9
— 49ers scored on a 52-yard pick-6 with 6:47 left to put game away.
— 49ers won 7 of last 8 series games; loss was in LY’s NFC title game.
— 49ers’ two offensive TD’s were on plays of 32-57 yards.
— 49ers outscored first four opponents 44-9 in first half.
— Rams are down three starters on the offensive line.
— LA ran the ball 18 times for only 57 yards.
— Rams had drives of 54-54-75 yards, but kicked FG on all three.
— Rams have been outscored 44-3 in 4th quarter this season.
49ers 24, Rams 9
— 49ers scored on a 52-yard pick-6 with 6:47 left to put game away.
— 49ers won 7 of last 8 series games; loss was in LY’s NFC title game.
— 49ers’ two offensive TD’s were on plays of 32-57 yards.
— 49ers outscored first four opponents 44-9 in first half.
— Rams are down three starters on the offensive line.
— LA ran the ball 18 times for only 57 yards.
— Rams had drives of 54-54-75 yards, but kicked FG on all three.
— Rams have been outscored 44-3 in 4th quarter this season.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NFL
Week 5
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Trend Report
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Indianapolis @ Denver
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games
NY Giants @ Green Bay
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Chicago @ Minnesota
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Seattle @ New Orleans
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Chargers @ Cleveland
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Cleveland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
Houston @ Jacksonville
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
Detroit @ New England
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Miami @ NY Jets
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Miami
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Tennessee @ Washington
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tennessee's last 17 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
San Francisco @ Carolina
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Carolina is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas @ LA Rams
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Las Vegas @ Kansas City
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
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Week 5
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Trend Report
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Indianapolis @ Denver
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games
NY Giants @ Green Bay
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Chicago @ Minnesota
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Seattle @ New Orleans
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Chargers @ Cleveland
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Cleveland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
Houston @ Jacksonville
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
Detroit @ New England
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Miami @ NY Jets
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Miami
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Tennessee @ Washington
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tennessee's last 17 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
San Francisco @ Carolina
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Carolina is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas @ LA Rams
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Las Vegas @ Kansas City
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
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- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Thursday game
Colts (1-2-1) @ Broncos (2-2)
— Colts have been outscored 85-33 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Underdogs covered all four of their games.
— Colts went under their team total in all four games TY.
— Last two games, Colts scored 34 points in six trips (5.67) to red zone.
— All four of their games stayed under the total.
— Since 2018, Colts are 13-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Indy is 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Ryan is Colts’ 6th different starting QB the last six years.
— Broncos are 2-0 SU at home, 0-2 on road this season.
— Broncos are 2-2 and they haven’t led at halftime yet (0-3-1).
— Denver held all four opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last two opponents held Denver to 261-299 yards.
— Last three games, Broncos are 12-42 on third down.
— Denver is 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Broncos are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
— Three of four Denver games stayed under the total.
— QB Wilson is 115-62-1 as an NFL starter.
— Indianapolis is 11-5 in last 16 series games.
— Colts lost 34-20/31-24 in last two visits to Denver.
— Underdogs covered last six meetings.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
— AFC West teams are 2-6 ATS as non-divisional favorites.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Thursday game
Colts (1-2-1) @ Broncos (2-2)
— Colts have been outscored 85-33 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Underdogs covered all four of their games.
— Colts went under their team total in all four games TY.
— Last two games, Colts scored 34 points in six trips (5.67) to red zone.
— All four of their games stayed under the total.
— Since 2018, Colts are 13-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Indy is 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Ryan is Colts’ 6th different starting QB the last six years.
— Broncos are 2-0 SU at home, 0-2 on road this season.
— Broncos are 2-2 and they haven’t led at halftime yet (0-3-1).
— Denver held all four opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last two opponents held Denver to 261-299 yards.
— Last three games, Broncos are 12-42 on third down.
— Denver is 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Broncos are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
— Three of four Denver games stayed under the total.
— QB Wilson is 115-62-1 as an NFL starter.
— Indianapolis is 11-5 in last 16 series games.
— Colts lost 34-20/31-24 in last two visits to Denver.
— Underdogs covered last six meetings.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
— AFC West teams are 2-6 ATS as non-divisional favorites.
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The Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine straight Colts' games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games.
The Colts are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Denver.
The Broncos are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Indy.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Denver's last eight home games.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Colts' road games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 14 matchups between the Colts and Broncos.
The Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine straight Colts' games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games.
The Colts are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Denver.
The Broncos are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Indy.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Denver's last eight home games.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Colts' road games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 14 matchups between the Colts and Broncos.
Last edited:
OCTOBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
10/06/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%..................+9.00
Totals....................19-12-1..............61.29%................+29.00
*****************************************
BEST BETS
10/06/22.................1-0-0................100.00%..............+ 5.00
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50
Totals...................11-5-0..................68.75%..............+27.50
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
************************************************** *****************
BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
10/06/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/03/22..................2-0-0..............100.00%................+10.00
10/02/22................15-12-1..............55.36%..................+9.00
Totals....................19-12-1..............61.29%................+29.00
*****************************************
BEST BETS
10/06/22.................1-0-0................100.00%..............+ 5.00
10/03/22.................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
10/02/22.................8-5-0.................61.53%...............+12.50
Totals...................11-5-0..................68.75%..............+27.50
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
************************************************** *****************
BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
- 18
- 38
Armadillo Sports
— Colts 12, Broncos 9 OT
Colts never led this game in regulation.
McLaughlin was 4-4 on field goals.
Underdogs covered all five Indy games.
All five Colt games stayed under the total.
Since 2018, Colts are 13-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Denver has had 14 red zone drives, scored only 3 TD’s.
Indy was 4-16 on third down, Denver 2-15
Denver is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Broncos are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Four of five Denver games stayed under the total.
— Colts 12, Broncos 9 OT
Colts never led this game in regulation.
McLaughlin was 4-4 on field goals.
Underdogs covered all five Indy games.
All five Colt games stayed under the total.
Since 2018, Colts are 13-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Denver has had 14 red zone drives, scored only 3 TD’s.
Indy was 4-16 on third down, Denver 2-15
Denver is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Broncos are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Four of five Denver games stayed under the total.
- Sep 10, 2018
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— Tennessee Titans on their first drive of a game this season:
4 drives, 31 plays, 227 yards, four TD’s.
— Green Bay Packers’ opponents’ first four drives:
4 drives, 37 plays, 253 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 FG’s.
— Arizona Cardinals’ first drive of a game:
4 drives, 15 plays, 38 yards, one first down, zero points.
Cardinal opponents’ first drive:
38 drives, 190 plays, 38 yards, 17 points.
4 drives, 31 plays, 227 yards, four TD’s.
— Green Bay Packers’ opponents’ first four drives:
4 drives, 37 plays, 253 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 FG’s.
— Arizona Cardinals’ first drive of a game:
4 drives, 15 plays, 38 yards, one first down, zero points.
Cardinal opponents’ first drive:
38 drives, 190 plays, 38 yards, 17 points.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,481
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- 38
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Sunday’s games
Giants (3-1) vs Packers (3-1) (@ London)
— Giants have QB injury issues; Jones (ankle) figures to start- Davis Webb is the backup.
— Webb played once (briefly) for Buffalo LY; looks like he took a knee twice.
— Giants have outscored opponents 53-37 in second half of games.
— Giants are 7-10 ATS last 17 games as an underdog (1-0 TY)
— Big Blue has converted only 17-53 on third down.
— Giants ran ball for 770 yards (192.5 ypg) in first four games.
— Giants are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Under is 3-0-1 in Giant games this season.
— Packers won last three games, giving up 4 TD’s on 30 drives.
— Green Bay converted 17 of last 38 third down plays.
— Green Bay has 20 plays of 20+ yards, 17 of them on 1st or 2nd down.
— Last 3+ years, Packers are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite (1-1 TY).
— Green Bay is 3-1 despite a minus-4 turnover ratio.
— Packers are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Under is 3-1 in Green Bay games this season.
— Rodgers is 153-77-1 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are giving up 126.8 rushing yards/game; Giants are going to try and run Barkley a lot, with their QB situation.
— Teams split last six meetings- Green Bay won last two, 31-13/23-16.
— Teams have met only once since 2016.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Steelers (1-3) @ Bills (3-1)
— Rookie QB Pickett is making his first NFL start here.
— Steelers scored 14-17-20 points in losing last three games.
— Pittsburgh has only six TD’s on 43 drives this season.
— Steelers were +5 in turnovers in their only win, in OT over Bengals.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Steelers are 15-8 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog.
— Last 3+ years, Steelers are 8-11 ATS coming off a loss.
— In last 50 years, Steelers have never been a 14-point underdog; they were +13.5 in Super Bowl XXX, when they lost 27-17 to Dallas.
— Buffalo outgained first three opponents, 1,650-938.
— Bills outscored first three opponents 63-7 in second half.
— Buffalo converted 29 of first 52 third down plays.
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 13-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Last 10 years, Bills are 7-4 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— All four Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Josh Allen is 45-25 as an NFL starter.
— Pittsburgh won seven of last nine series games.
— Steelers covered four of last six visits to Buffalo.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Chargers (2-2) @ Browns (2-2)
— Chargers gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Chargers have been outscored 75-31 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 76-75-26-81 yards in first four games.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 5-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Chargers have 5 takeaways in their wins, none in their losses.
— QB Herbert is playing with fractured rib cartilage.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 8-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— This is Bolts’ third game in four weeks east of Mississippi.
— Herbert is 17-19 as an NFL starter.
— Browns ran for 217-184-171-177 yards in first four games.
— Three of their four games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Browns’ two losses are by total of four points.
— Cleveland converted 27-60 third down plays in four games.
— Since 2019, Cleveland is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Browns are 8-14-2 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Three of four Cleveland games went over the total.
— Brissett is 16-25 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.
— Chargers won eight of last ten series games.
— Bolts covered once in last four visits to Cleveland.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 5
Sunday’s games
Giants (3-1) vs Packers (3-1) (@ London)
— Giants have QB injury issues; Jones (ankle) figures to start- Davis Webb is the backup.
— Webb played once (briefly) for Buffalo LY; looks like he took a knee twice.
— Giants have outscored opponents 53-37 in second half of games.
— Giants are 7-10 ATS last 17 games as an underdog (1-0 TY)
— Big Blue has converted only 17-53 on third down.
— Giants ran ball for 770 yards (192.5 ypg) in first four games.
— Giants are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Under is 3-0-1 in Giant games this season.
— Packers won last three games, giving up 4 TD’s on 30 drives.
— Green Bay converted 17 of last 38 third down plays.
— Green Bay has 20 plays of 20+ yards, 17 of them on 1st or 2nd down.
— Last 3+ years, Packers are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite (1-1 TY).
— Green Bay is 3-1 despite a minus-4 turnover ratio.
— Packers are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Under is 3-1 in Green Bay games this season.
— Rodgers is 153-77-1 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are giving up 126.8 rushing yards/game; Giants are going to try and run Barkley a lot, with their QB situation.
— Teams split last six meetings- Green Bay won last two, 31-13/23-16.
— Teams have met only once since 2016.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Steelers (1-3) @ Bills (3-1)
— Rookie QB Pickett is making his first NFL start here.
— Steelers scored 14-17-20 points in losing last three games.
— Pittsburgh has only six TD’s on 43 drives this season.
— Steelers were +5 in turnovers in their only win, in OT over Bengals.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Steelers are 15-8 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog.
— Last 3+ years, Steelers are 8-11 ATS coming off a loss.
— In last 50 years, Steelers have never been a 14-point underdog; they were +13.5 in Super Bowl XXX, when they lost 27-17 to Dallas.
— Buffalo outgained first three opponents, 1,650-938.
— Bills outscored first three opponents 63-7 in second half.
— Buffalo converted 29 of first 52 third down plays.
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 13-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Last 10 years, Bills are 7-4 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— All four Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Josh Allen is 45-25 as an NFL starter.
— Pittsburgh won seven of last nine series games.
— Steelers covered four of last six visits to Buffalo.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Chargers (2-2) @ Browns (2-2)
— Chargers gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Chargers have been outscored 75-31 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 76-75-26-81 yards in first four games.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 5-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Chargers have 5 takeaways in their wins, none in their losses.
— QB Herbert is playing with fractured rib cartilage.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 8-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— This is Bolts’ third game in four weeks east of Mississippi.
— Herbert is 17-19 as an NFL starter.
— Browns ran for 217-184-171-177 yards in first four games.
— Three of their four games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Browns’ two losses are by total of four points.
— Cleveland converted 27-60 third down plays in four games.
— Since 2019, Cleveland is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Browns are 8-14-2 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Three of four Cleveland games went over the total.
— Brissett is 16-25 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.
— Chargers won eight of last ten series games.
— Bolts covered once in last four visits to Cleveland.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.
- Sep 10, 2018
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Bears (2-2) @ Vikings (3-1)
— Chicago ran ball for 203.3 yards/game in last three games.
— Bears have been outscored 59-29 in first half this season.
— Bears have outscored foes 35-18 in second half.
— Chicago is 34-67 passing in four games, with 390 total net PY.
— Bears have converted only 17-50 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 7-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 10-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 4-10 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings won last two weeks, scoring in last minute of both games.
— Last three games, Minnesota has only four plays of 20+ yards.
— Last 2+ years, Minnesota is 7-12 ATS as a favorite.
— Minnesota has converted only 15-48 third down plays.
— Since 2018, Vikings are 13-20-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Since 2015, Vikings are 13-9-1 ATS in NFC North home games.
— Three of four Viking games stayed under the total.
— Cousins is 63-62-2 as an NFL starter.
— Teams who played in London week before are 2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS
— Vikings won last three series games, giving up 13 ppg.
— Bears are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota.
— Last three series games played here went over the total.
Lions (1-3) @ Patriots (1-3)
— Detroit are off to 1-3 start, despite scoring 35 ppg.
— Lions have run ball for 656 yards in four games (164 yds/game).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-16-1 SU, 14-7 ATS.
— Lion opponents have scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Lions are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Detroit is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Over is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six games.
— Detroit is 9-8 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— Rookie backup QB Zappe was 10-15/99 in his NFL debut LW.
— Patriots are 18-20 SU since Brady left; 8-8-1 ATS at home.
— Last two games, Patriots allowed 37-27 points (8 TDs/23 drives).
— Last two weeks, New England gave up 23-20 points in second half.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 10-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 5-5 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Opponents have converted 25-54 third down plays.
— Since 2013, NE is 39-25-3 ATS as a home favorite (0-0 TY)
— New England won four of last five series games.
— Lions lost 34-9/28-21 in last two visits to Foxboro.
— Teams are both 3-3 ATS in last six meetings.
Seahawks (2-2) @ Saints (1-3)
— Last three games, Seattle gave up 27-27-45 points.
— Seattle’s last three opponents went over their team total.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 18-29 third down plays.
— Seahawks have been outscored 50-34 in 2nd half of games.
— Since 2018, Seahawks are 10-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Seahawks are 5-12-1 ATS last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last three weeks, Seattle gave up 189-179-145 yards rushing.
— Geno Smith is 15-22 as an NFL starter.
— Saints lost last three games, turning ball over 10 times (minus-8)
— Last three weeks, Saints lost field position, by 12-12-14 yards.
— Since 2018, New Orleans is 11-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— New Orleans has been outscored 42-17 in first half.
— Saints are 17-49 on 3rd down so far this season.
— Since 2019, New Orleans is 10-6-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— In their one win, Saints trailed 26-10 with 12:00 to play.
— Dalton is 77-74-2 SU as an NFL starter, 0-1 with the Saints.
— Teams who played in London week before are 2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS
— Saints won last three series games, by 3-6-5 points.
— Seattle covered once in last three visits to Bourbon Street.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.2
— Chicago ran ball for 203.3 yards/game in last three games.
— Bears have been outscored 59-29 in first half this season.
— Bears have outscored foes 35-18 in second half.
— Chicago is 34-67 passing in four games, with 390 total net PY.
— Bears have converted only 17-50 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 7-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 10-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 4-10 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings won last two weeks, scoring in last minute of both games.
— Last three games, Minnesota has only four plays of 20+ yards.
— Last 2+ years, Minnesota is 7-12 ATS as a favorite.
— Minnesota has converted only 15-48 third down plays.
— Since 2018, Vikings are 13-20-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Since 2015, Vikings are 13-9-1 ATS in NFC North home games.
— Three of four Viking games stayed under the total.
— Cousins is 63-62-2 as an NFL starter.
— Teams who played in London week before are 2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS
— Vikings won last three series games, giving up 13 ppg.
— Bears are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota.
— Last three series games played here went over the total.
Lions (1-3) @ Patriots (1-3)
— Detroit are off to 1-3 start, despite scoring 35 ppg.
— Lions have run ball for 656 yards in four games (164 yds/game).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-16-1 SU, 14-7 ATS.
— Lion opponents have scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Lions are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Detroit is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Over is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six games.
— Detroit is 9-8 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— Rookie backup QB Zappe was 10-15/99 in his NFL debut LW.
— Patriots are 18-20 SU since Brady left; 8-8-1 ATS at home.
— Last two games, Patriots allowed 37-27 points (8 TDs/23 drives).
— Last two weeks, New England gave up 23-20 points in second half.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 10-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 5-5 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Opponents have converted 25-54 third down plays.
— Since 2013, NE is 39-25-3 ATS as a home favorite (0-0 TY)
— New England won four of last five series games.
— Lions lost 34-9/28-21 in last two visits to Foxboro.
— Teams are both 3-3 ATS in last six meetings.
Seahawks (2-2) @ Saints (1-3)
— Last three games, Seattle gave up 27-27-45 points.
— Seattle’s last three opponents went over their team total.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 18-29 third down plays.
— Seahawks have been outscored 50-34 in 2nd half of games.
— Since 2018, Seahawks are 10-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Seahawks are 5-12-1 ATS last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last three weeks, Seattle gave up 189-179-145 yards rushing.
— Geno Smith is 15-22 as an NFL starter.
— Saints lost last three games, turning ball over 10 times (minus-8)
— Last three weeks, Saints lost field position, by 12-12-14 yards.
— Since 2018, New Orleans is 11-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— New Orleans has been outscored 42-17 in first half.
— Saints are 17-49 on 3rd down so far this season.
— Since 2019, New Orleans is 10-6-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— In their one win, Saints trailed 26-10 with 12:00 to play.
— Dalton is 77-74-2 SU as an NFL starter, 0-1 with the Saints.
— Teams who played in London week before are 2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS
— Saints won last three series games, by 3-6-5 points.
— Seattle covered once in last three visits to Bourbon Street.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.2
