Cnotes' NFL 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

NFL leaders in rushing yards
236— Saquon Barkley, NJG
228— Nick Chubb, Clev
215— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
200— D’Andre Swift, Det
192— Leonard Fournette, TB
181— Aaron Jones, GB

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Bills 41, Titans 7
— Last six quarters, Titans were outscored, 62-14.
Tennessee had a bad night:
— gave up 6 touchdowns
— lost yardage on 8 plays
— had 9 penalties
— scored only 7 points.
— turned ball over 4 times.

Titans are 0-2 for first time in ten years.

— Buffalo outgained first two opponents, 827-430
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 13-8 ATS coming off a win
— Bills converted 14-23 third down plays in two games

Eagles 24, Vikings 7:
— Philly outgained the Vikings, 486-264.
— Minnesota threw 46 passes, ran ball only 11 times.
— Last 4+ years, Minnesota is 13-15 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Cousins is now 2-10 on Monday Night Football.

— Eagles converted 7-13 on third down, Vikings 4-12.
— All three of their TD drives were longer than 80 yards.
— Eagles ran ball for 216-163 yards in their first two games.
— Philly won easily despite losing field position by 17 yards.

— Thru two weeks, under is 21-10-1 in NFL games, 6-1 in prime time games. Is it too early to expect offenses to be sharp? Not playing key players in exhibition games may be setting offenses back in the first few weeks of the season.

— Tampa Bay WR Mike Evans is suspended for this week’s game with Green Bay, after he was in a fracas in New Orleans Sunday.

— When the Giants hired Brian Daboll as their new head coach, they were the sixth team Daboll had interviewed with to be head coach, which means that five other teams missed the boat. He is off to a very fast start changing the culture in New Jersey.

— 6,133 people entered the Circa Casino survivor pool; after two weeks, 2,033 people are left. Only 33.1% of contestants are left. All they have to do is pick one winner a week (no spread) but it ain’t that easy.

— Teams that have gone the longest since they were 2-0:
new Cleveland Browns- never (old Browns (now Ravens) were 2-0 in 1993)
Indianapolis Colts- 2009
Washington Commanders- 2011
Chargers- 2012

 

[Udog]

PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ENGLAND is 26-10 ATS (15 Units) in home games as a dog since 1992.

MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

NY JETS are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in games played on turf in the last 2 seasons.

INDIANAPOLIS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) off a division game in the last 3 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 63-94 ATS (-40.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 55-34 ATS (17.6 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

LA CHARGERS are 18-2 ATS (15.8 Units) in home games against the AFC South since 1992.

TAMPA BAY is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) in home games after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.

LA RAMS are 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.

SAN FRANCISCO is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

DALLAS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 3

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

Baltimore @ New England
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Kansas City @ Indianapolis
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Houston @ Chicago
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Las Vegas @ Tennessee
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games

New Orleans @ Carolina
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Carolina's last 19 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games

Buffalo @ Miami
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Cincinnati @ NY Jets
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
NY Jets
NY Jets is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
NY Jets is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Jacksonville @ LA Chargers
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Green Bay @ Tampa Bay
Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Green Bay is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

LA Rams @ Arizona
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing LA Rams

Atlanta @ Seattle
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

San Francisco @ Denver
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games

Dallas @ NY Giants
Dallas
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 13 games


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[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage
739— Tua Tagovailoa, Miami
650— Carson Wentz, Washington
616— Joe Flacco, NJ Jets
614— Josh Allen, Buffalo
613— Justin Herbert, LA Chargers
595— Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City

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Wednesday’s Den: NFL teams and 3/outs…….

Thru two weeks, this is how NFL teams did with 3/outs, both offense and defense.

Offense:
.100— 49ers 2-20
49ers have had 20 drives, went 3/out only 2 times.
.111— Broncos 2-18
.118— Dolphins 2-17
.136— Jets 3-22
.150— Browns 3-20
.158— Eagles 3-19
.176— Packers 3-17
.188— Seahawks 3-16
.190— Chiefs 4-19
.200— Ravens 4-20
.211— Falcons 4-19
.222— Cardinals 4-18
.238— Cowboys 5-21
.250— Panthers 5-20
.261— Bengals 6-23
.263— Bills, Raiders, both 5-19
.286— Jaguars, Bucs, both 6-21
.294— Patriots 5-17
.300— Rams 6-20
.304— Colts .304
.333— Giants, Chargers both 7-21
.350— Vikings 7-20
.381— Titans, Steelers, both 8-21
.391— Lions 9-23
.400— Saints 10-25, Commanders 8-20
.409— Texans 9-22
.500— Bears 9-18

Defense
.455— Colts 10-22
.450— Eagles 9-20
.417— Bucs 10-24
.389— Packers 7-18
.350— Bills, Chiefs, both 7-20
.333— Titans, Jaguars, both 7-21, Patriots 5-15
.318— Falcons, Lions, both 7-22
.316— 49ers 6-19
.300— Browns, Chargers both 6-20
.294— Broncos, Dolphins both 5-17
.286— Giants 6-21
.263— Cowboys 5-19
.261— Bengals, Steelers, both 6-23
.250— Commanders 6-24
.238— Panthers 5-21
.222— Rams 4-22
.211— Raiders, Vikings 4-19
.200— Jets 4-20
.182— Texans 4-22
.167— Bears 3-18
.150— Cardinals 3-20
.091— Ravens
.000— Seahawks 0-18

In two games, Seattle’s defense has been on field for 18 drives, hasn’t forced a 3/out yet.

 

[Udog]

Week 3 NFL Tech Trends
Bruce Marshall

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Thursday game

Steelers (1-1) @ Browns (1-1)
— Steelers scored 2 TD’s on 21 drives so far, with eight 3/outs.
— They were +5 in turnovers in their win, and still needed OT to win.
— Steelers were outgained 808-510 in first two games.
— Since 2017, Pittsburgh is 15-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Steelers are 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC North road games.
— Under is 16-8-2 in their last 26 road games.
— Trubisky is 30-24 as an NFL starter.

— Cleveland gave up 14 points in last 1:22 of 31-30 loss last week.
— Browns ran for 217-184 yards in first two games.
— Cleveland converted 16-30 third down plays in two games.
— Last 2+ years, Cleveland is 6-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Browns are 0-5-1 ATS in AFC North home tilts.
— Last three years, Browns are 7-14-2 ATS coming off a loss.
— Brissett is 15-24 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.

— Steelers are 12-3-1 SU in last 16 series games.
— Pittsburgh is 6-8 ATS in last 14 trips to Cleveland.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 3

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Sunday’s games

Saints (1-1) @ Panthers (0-2)
— Saints turned ball over five times (-4) in LW’s 20-10 loss to Tampa Bay.
— Game was 3-3 after 3rd quarter; Saints threw 3 INT’s in 4th quarter.
— Since 2017, NO is 18-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— Saints are 10-3 ATS in last 13 NFC South road games.
— Saints are 8-26 on 3rd down so far this season.
— Since 2019, New Orleans is 10-4-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Saints are 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Winston is 34-45 as an NFL starter, 6-4 with the Saints.

— Panthers lost their first two games, by 2-3 points.
— Carolina doesn’t have a takeaway yet; they’re minus-3 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Carolina is 2-8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Panthers are 1-8 ATS in NFC South home games.
— Carolina is 2-10 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 15-36 SU.
— Panthers are 2-8 ATS in last ten games with spread of 3 or less.
— Mayfield is 30-33 as an NFL starter.

— New Orleans won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Saints are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Carolina.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Texans (0-1-1) @ Bears (1-1)
— Texans are 0-1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS this season.
— Houston was outrushed 326-157 in first two games.
— Last 2+ years, Texans are 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Texans have 2 TD’s on 22 drives this season (nine 3/outs)
— Houston is 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
— Since 2016, Houston is 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 2-10-1 as an NFL starter

— Chicago gained 204-228 yards in their first two games (opponents 745 yards)
— Bears have been outscored 31-7 in first half this season.
— Chicago is 15-28 passing in two games, with 153 net passing yards.
— Bears have converted only 6-21 third down plays.
— Last three years, Chicago is 5-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Bears are 6-3 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Last three years, Chicago is 9-14-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 3-9 as an NFL starter.

— Lovie Smith coached the Bears from 2004-12.
— Houston won four of five series games.
— Texans won two of three visits to the Windy City.
— Under is 4-1 in series games.

Chiefs (2-0) @ Colts (0-1-1)
— Chiefs scored eight TD’s on 21 drives so far thus year (71 points/2 games).
— Chiefs played on Thursday LW, had extra rest/prep time for this.
— Last 3+ years, Kansas City is 12-10-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Chiefs have converted 9-20 (45%) on third down this year.
— Kansas City has scored 54 points in nine red zone drives (6.0 pts/drive)
— Since 2017, Chiefs are 30-24-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Mahomes is 60-16 as an NFL starter.

— Colts have been outscored 44-3 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Indy has only two TD’s on 23 drives this season.
— Colts have converted 8-25 on third down so far.
— Colts scored only 17 points in seven trips to red zone.
— Indy is 3-6 ATS in last nine home openers.
— Last 4+ years, Colts are 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Indy is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Ryan is Colts’ 6th different starting QB the last six years.

— Teams split last six meetings.
— Teams haven’t met since 2019.
— Chiefs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

Bills (2-0) @ Dolphins (2-0)
— Buffalo outgained first two opponents, 827-430.
— Bills outscored first two opponents 45-0 in second half.
— Buffalo converted 14 of first 23 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Buffalo is 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Buffalo is 13-8 ATS coming off a win
— Last four years, Bills are 8-3-1 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Josh Allen is 44-24 as an NFL starter.

— Miami rallied from down 35-14 to upset the Ravens 42-38 LW.
— Tagovailoa threw for 469 yards, six TD’s LW.
— Last 2+ years, Dolphins are 6-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Miami has converted 13-25 third down plays.
— Last 4+ years, Miami is 8-4-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Last 3+ years, Dolphins are 16-8 ATS coming off a win.
— 3rd-year QB Tagovailoa is 15-8 as an NFL starter.

— Buffalo won last six series games.
— Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Lions (1-1) @ Vikings (1-1)
— Detroit scored 71 points in splitting its first two games.
— Lions have run ball for 372 yards in two games.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-15-1 SU, 13-6 ATS.
— Last four years, Detroit is 14-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Lion opponents are 17-32 on 3rd down.
— Lions are 0-2-1 ATS in last three road openers.
— Over is 6-1 in Detroit’s last seven road openers.
— Detroit is 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.

— Short week for Vikings after they got pummeled in Philly Monday.
— Minnesota has been outscored 17-6 in second half this season.
— Last two years, Minnesota is 3-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last seven years, Vikings are 12-7-1 ATS in NFC North home tilts.
— Minnesota has converted only 8-25 third down plays.
— Vikings have scored only 20 points in seven red zone drives.
— Cousins is 61-62-2 as an NFL starter.

— Vikings won seven of last eight series games.
— Lions are 4-7-2 ATS in last 13 visits to Minnesota.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Ravens (1-1) @ Patriots (1-1)
— Ravens blew 38-14 4th quarter lead LW, lost 42-38 to the Jets.
— Baltimore allowed 9.0 yards/pass attempt vs Flacco/Jets.
— Baltimore outscored first two opponents 38-10 in first half
— Last four years, Ravens are 9-11-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Since 2015, Baltimore is 13-16-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Ravens are 8-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jackson is 39-16 as an NFL starter.

— 18-18 SU since Brady left; 10-7 ATS at home.
— Over last decade, Patriots are 7-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— New England has converted 13-26 third down plays.
— Since 2018, they’re 7-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Patriots are 4-2 ATS in last six home openers.
— Their last four home openers stayed under total.
— 2nd-year QB Jones is 11-9 as an NFL starter.

— New England is 8-3 in last 11 series games.
— Ravens are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Foxboro.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Bengals (0-2) @ Jets (1-1)
— Bengals lost their first two games, both on FG on last play.
— Cincy has been outscored 34-9 in first half this season.
— Since 2017, Bengals are 3-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Cincy is 11-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— Bengals are minus-4 in turnovers (1-5)
— Opponents have converted only 7-25 third down plays.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 15-16-1 as an NFL starter.

— Jets scored two TD’s in last 1:22 in LW’s 31-30 upset in Cleveland.
— Jets had 295-309 passing yards, in their first two games.
— Last 2+ years, Jets are 12-21 ATS as an underdog.
— Jets are 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a home underdog.
— Last four years, Jets are 6-9-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Opponents have converted 13-25 third down plays.
— Flacco is 109-84 as an NFL starter, but is 3-12 in starts the last 3+ years.

— Cincinnati won three of last four series games.
— Home side is 10-1 ATS in last 11 meetings.
— Bengals are 0-6 ATS in last six road series games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

 

[Udog]

Raiders (0-2) @ Titans (0-2)
— Raiders blew 20-0 halftime lead LW, lost to Arizona in OT.
— Raiders lost first two games, by 5-6 points.
— Las Vegas is 5-11 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Since 2017, Raiders are 2-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Las Vegas has been outscored 15-3 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in last seven games with spread of 3 or less.
— Derek Carr is 57-73 as an NFL starter.

— Tennessee got whacked 41-7 in Buffalo Monday, a total no-show.
— Since halftime of Week 1, Titans have been outscored 62-14
— Titans have converted only 7-23 third down plays.
— Tennessee has been outgained 808-546 in two games.
— Since 2017, Titans are 9-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since 2015, Tennessee is 24-14-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Tannehill is 74-64 as an NFL starter.

— Raiders won three of last four series games.
— Road team won last five meetings.
— Raiders covered five of last six visits to Nashville.

Eagles (2-0) @ Commanders (1-1)
— Philly won its first two games, scoring 31 ppg.
— Eagles have run ball for 379 yards, converted 17-30 third down plays.
— Eagles led first two games 24-14/24-7 at halftime.
— Last 2+ years, Eagles are 3-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last two years, Philly is 6-8 ATS coming off a win.
— Last two years, Eagles are 0-6 ATS in NFC East road games.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 11-11 as an NFL starter.

— Washington gave up 58 points in splitting first two games.
— Commanders have been outrushed 314-173 in two games.
— Last five years, Washington is 11-14 ATS as a home underdog.
— Washington lost field position by 11-12 yards in Weeks 1-2.
— Last three years, Commanders are 11-19-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Since 2016, Commanders are 6-12 ATS in NFC East home games.
— QB Wentz is 45-42-1 as an NFL starter.

— Philly won eight of last ten series games.
— Eagles are 3-2 ATS in last five visits here.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Jaguars (1-1) @ Chargers (1-1)
— Jaguars evened their record with 24-0 upset of Colts last week.
— Since 2018, Jaguars are 11-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— While HC in Philly, Pederson was 9-13 ATS as a road dog.
— Last four years, Jaguars are 4-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Jacksonville opponents have only 14 points in 4 red zone drives.
— Jaguars have converted only 9-27 third down plays.
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 4-15 as an NFL starter.

— Extra prep week for Chargers; they played on Thursday LW.
— Chargers outscored first two opponents 27-10 in first half.
— Chargers have been outscored 36-21 in second half.
— Bolts are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.
— Chargers have run 139 plays in two games (opponents 110).
— Chargers have converted only 11-30 third down plays.
— Last three years, Chargers are 10-16-1 ATS coming off a loss.

— Chargers won eight of last nine series games.
— Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in last five road series games.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

Rams (1-1) @ Cardinals (1-1)
— Rams split first two games, giving up 31-27 points.
— Rams have 6 turnovers in two games, also had punt blocked for TD.
— Rams have converted 12-23 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, LA is 9-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Rams won their last five road openers (3-1 ATS last four)
— Four of their last five road openers went over the total.
— Stafford is 17-6 as QB of the Rams.

— Cardinals rallied from down 20-0 at half to win in OT in Las Vegas LW.
— Arizona has been outscored 43-7 in first half this season.
— Cardinals have converted only 6-25 third down plays.
— That said, Arizona converted 3-5 4th down plays LW.
— Arizona is 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West home games.
— Last three years, Arizona is 13-10 ATS coming off a win.
— Kyler Murray is 23-25-1 as an NFL starter.

— Rams (-3.5) beat Arizona 34-11 in playoffs LY.
— Los Angeles won 11 of last 12 series games.
— Rams are 7-0 ATS in last seven visits to Arizona.
— Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Falcons (0-2) @ Seahawks (1-1)
— Falcons lost first two games, despite scoring 26-27 points.
— Atlanta scored four TD’s, tried six FG’s in first two games.
— Falcons have converted only 8-23 third down plays.
— Last 2+ years, Falcons are 12-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— Atlanta was 5-3 ATS LY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— In last four games dating back to LY, Falcons allowed 29.3 ppg.
— Mariota is 30-35 as an NFL starter.

— Seattle got waxed 27-7 LW; their only TD was a blocked FG.
— Since halftime of Week 1, Seattle has been outscored 30-7.
— In last three halves, Seattle has run 65 plays for 263 yards, no points.
— In two games, Seahawks have been outgained 806-469.
— Last two years, Seahawks are 7-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two years, Seattle is 10-5 ATS coming off a loss.
— Geno Smith is 14-22 as an NFL starter.

— Seahawks won four of last five series games.
— Falcons are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Packers (1-1) @ Buccaneers (2-0)
— Just like LY, Packers were awful in Week 1, then won big in Week 2.
— Last three years, Green Bay won/covered their Week 3 game.
— Green Bay opponents have converted only 5-20 third down plays.
— Last three years, Packers are 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last year, Green Bay was 8-4-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Green Bay is 10-7-2 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Rodgers is 151-77-1 as an NFL starter.

— Tampa Bay WR Evans (suspended) is out for this game.
— Bucs have allowed only one TD on 24 drives.
— Bucs have scored only two TD’s on 21 drives.
— Tampa Bay has scored 10 points on four red zone drives.
— Last two years, Tampa Bay is 9-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— With Brady at QB, Bucs are 4-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Tampa Bay is 3-5 ATS in last eight home openers.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

— Buccaneers are 5-3 in last eight series games.
— Packers are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Tampa.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

49ers (1-1) @ Broncos (1-1)
— 49ers split first two games, outgaining foes 704-420.
— 49ers outscored first two opponents 27-0 in first half.
— SF have scored only 23 points in eight red zone drives.
— Last 2+ years, 49ers are 6-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last five years, 49ers are 14-7 ATS when playing an AFC opponent.
— 49ers are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or less.
— QB Garoppolo is 37-16 as an NFL starter.

— Broncos split first two games, scoring 16-16 points.
— There are concerns about Coach Hackett’s game management skills.
— Denver has scored 12 points in six red zone drives.
— Denver is 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home dog.
— Last two years, Broncos are 4-8 ATS coming off a win.
— Since 2017, Denver is 13-14 ATS against NFC opponents.
— QB Wilson is 114-61-1 as an NFL starter.

— Broncos won three of last four series games.
— 49ers are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Monday’s game

Cowboys (1-1) @ Giants (2-0)
— QB Prescott (thumb) is out for at least four weeks.
— Dallas has only two TD’s on 21 drives this season.
— Last five years, Dallas is 14-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Last five years, Dallas is 10-5 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six road openers.
— Last 4+ years, Cowboys are 10-15 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— QB Rush is 2-0 as an NFL starter, winning 20-16 at Minnesota LY.

— Giants are 2-0 for first time since 2016, winning by 1-3 points.
— Giants outscored first two opponents 34-17 in second half.
— Big Blue has converted only 8-28 on third down.
— Giants ran ball for 341 yards in first two games.
— Giants are 4-8 ATS in last 12 NFC East home games.
— Last 3+ years, Giants are 8-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Daniel Jones is 14-25 as an NFL starter.

— Dallas won nine of last ten series games.
— Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in last five road series games.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

PIT at CLE	08:15 PM	CLE -4.5 O 38.0	+500 +500

 

[The Joker]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

PIT at CLE	08:15 PM	CLE -4.5 O 38.0	+500 +500

Nice hit!!!!:toast:

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS
09/22/22....................2-0-0...............100.00%................+10.00
09/19/22....................0-2-0.................00.00%.................-11.00
09/18/22..................17-8-1.................67.31%................+41.00
09/11/22..................14-14-0...............50.00%..................- 7.00
09/08/22....................1-1-0.................50.00%..................- 0.50

TOTALS................34-25-1................57.62%.................+32.50

************************************************** *****************

BEST BETS
09/22/22...................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
09/19/22...................0-2-0.................00.00%...............-11.00
09/18/22.................12-4-0.................75.00%...............+38.00
09/11/22.................11-7-0..................61.11%..............+ 16.50
09/08/22..................1-1-0..................50.00%.................- 0.50

TOTALS..............26-14.0..................65.00%...............+ 53.00

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 3

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

NO at CAR	01:00 PM	NO -1.0 U 41.0	+500 +500
DET at MIN	01:00 PM	MIN -6.5 O 52.0	+500 +500
PHI at WAS	01:00 PM	WAS +6.0 O 47.0	+500 +500
LV at TEN	01:00 PM	LV -2.0 O 45.5	+500 +500
CIN at NYJ	01:00 PM	CIN -6.5 U 46.0	+500 +500
BAL at NE	01:00 PM	NE +2.5 U 45.5	+500 +500
BUF at MIA	01:00 PM	MIA +4.0 O 54.0	+500 +500
HOU at CHI	01:00 PM	HOU +3.0 U 40.0	+500 +500
KC at IND	01:00 PM	KC -4.5 U 51.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

SF at DEN

08:20 PM

DEN +1.0 U 44.5

+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

09/25/22...................8-10-2...............45.00%.................-15.00
09/22/22....................2-0-0...............100.00%................+10.00
09/19/22....................0-2-0.................00.00%.................-11.00
09/18/22..................17-8-1.................67.31%................+41.00
09/11/22..................14-14-0...............50.00%..................- 7.00
09/08/22....................1-1-0.................50.00%..................- 0.50

TOTALS................42-35-3................54.54%.................+17.50

************************************************** *****************

BEST BETS

09/25/22...................7-5-0..................58.33%..............+ 7.50
09/22/22...................2-0-0................100.00%..............+10.00
09/19/22...................0-2-0.................00.00%...............-11.00
09/18/22.................12-4-0.................75.00%...............+38.00
09/11/22.................11-7-0..................61.11%..............+ 16.50
09/08/22..................1-1-0..................50.00%.................- 0.50

TOTALS..............33-19.0..................63.46%...............+ 60.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Dolphins 21, Bills 19:
— Buffalo lost, despite outgaining Miami 497-212.
— Allen was 42-63 passing for 400 yards, with 2 TD’s.
— Bills converted 11-18 on 3rd down (25-41 in three games)
— Buffalo outgained first three opponents, 1,324-642.

— Bills drove 73 yards/17 plays, were stopped on Miami 2-yard line with 1:46 left.
— Dolphins have converted 20-36 third down plays.
— Miami ran ball 17 times for only 41 yards.
— Dolphins ended a six-game series losing streak.
— 3rd-year QB Tagovailoa is 16-8 as an NFL starter.

Ravens 37, Patriots 26:
— Jackson threw for 218 yards, 4 TD’s; ran for 107 yards and a TD
— Andrews caught 8 passes for 89 yards, two TD’s.
— Last 3+ years, Ravens are 9-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Ravens have outscored opponents 52-23 in first half.
— Jackson is 40-16 as an NFL starter.

— Patriots are 18-19 since Brady went to Tampa Bay.
— Patriots turned ball over last three times they had it.
— New England was 2-9 on third down, Ravens 5-11.
— Since 2018, they’re 7-13 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— QB Jones hurt his ankle at end of game (check status)

Colts 20, Chiefs 17:
— Chiefs missed a PAT and a 34-yard field goal.
— Kansas City’s TD drives were short: 35-21 yards.
— Chiefs’ four 2nd half drives: 35 plays, 203 yards, only 3 points.
— Last two games, Chiefs are only 7-22 on third down.

— Ryan threw 12-yard TD pass with 0:24 left for the win.
— Woods caught only 2 passes for 13 yards, but both catches were TD’s.
— In last two games, Colts gained only 218-259 yards.
— Colts have only four TD’s on 33 drives this season.

Panthers 22, Saints 14:
— Saints outgained Carolina 426-293, were minus-3 in turnovers.
— New Orleans had two empty trips to red zone.
— Panthers won field position by 12 yards.
— Saints are 13-39 on 3rd down so far this season.
— Winston is 34-46 as an NFL starter, 6-5 with the Saints.

— Carolina snaps a 9-game losing skid with this win.
— Panthers scored a defensive TD to take a 7-0 lead.
— Panthers’ only offensive TD was a 67-yard TD pass to Chenault.
— Last two games, Carolina has only 2 TD’s on 21 drives.

Bears 23, Texans 20
— Mills threw INT with 1:05 left, giving Bears ball on 20-yard line in 20-20 game.
— Texans have allowed 177-149-281 rushing yards in three games.
— Texans were 3-12 on 3rd down; Chicago was 6-14.
— Houston lost despite a 10-yard advantage in field position.

— Herbert carried ball 20 times for 157 yards, two TD’s.
— Bears kicked a FG in last 2:00 of each half, including game-winner at gun.
— Bears have been outscored 45-20 in first half this season.
— Chicago has completed only 23-45 passes in three games, for 235 yards.

Vikings 28, Lions 24:
— Detroit led 14-0 early in second quarter.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-15-1 SU, 14-6 ATS.
— Lions hav run ball for 170.3 yards/game so far.
— Detroit scored 35-36-24 points so far (11 TD’s on 35 drives)

— Cousins threw 28-yard TD pass with 0:45 left for the win.
— Vikings trailed 24-14 with 8:00 left in game.
— Minnesota has converted only 10-34 third down plays.
— Vikings won eight of last nine series games.
— Last 2+ years, Minnesota is 3-9 ATS as a home favorite.

Bengals 27, Jets 12:
— Bengals’ first five drives: 30 plays, 237 yards, 20 points.
— Bengals’ last six drives: 37 plays, 104 yards, 7 points.
— Cincinnati held Jets to 4.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Last 2+ years, Cincy is 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.

— Jets were in Cincinnati territory on 7 of 12 drives, didn’t score a TD.
— Gang Green came up empty on two trips to red zone.
— Jets turned ball over four times (minus-3)
— Opponents have converted 20-39 third down plays.
— Last 2+ years, Jets are 12-22 ATS as an underdog.

Titans 24, Raiders 22:
— Raiders scored TD with 1:14 left, but failed on 2-point PAT.
— Las Vegas is 0-3, with losses by 5-6-2 points.
— Raiders were 1-12 on third down, Tennessee 5-10.
— Las Vegas is 2-6 ATS in last eight games with spread of 3 or less.
— Since 2017, Raiders are 2-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Titans’ first three drives: 26 plays, 229 yards, 21 points.
— Titans rest of game: 28 plays, 114 yards, 3 points.
— Since 2017, Titans are 10-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Tennessee has been outgained 1,204-907 in three games.

Eagles 24, Commanders 8:
— Eagles have outscored opponents 62-21 in first half.
— Philly outgained the Commanders, 400-240.
— WR Devonta Smith caught 8 passes for 169 yards and a TD.
— Philly won its first three games, scoring 28.7 ppg.

— Eagles sacked ex-teammate Wentz nine times.
— Washington in first 3 quarters: 34 plays, 62 yards, 5 first downs, no points.
— Washington lost field position by 11-12-9 yards in its first three games.
— Since 2016, Commanders are 6-13 ATS in NFC East home games.

Jaguars 38, Chargers 10:
— Last two games. Jaguars allowed only one TD on 21 drives.
— Jaguars ran ball for 151 yards, converted 8-15 on third down.
— Jacksonville opponents have only 24 points on 7 red zone drives.
— Doug Pederson is our early leader for Coach of the Year.

— Chargers have been outscored 59-24 in second half.
— Bolts were outgained 413-312; they were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Jaguars won field position by 12 yards.
— Chargers have run ball for only 76-75-26 yards so far this season.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 10-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Falcons 27, Seahawks 23
— Falcons ran ball for 179 yards, averaged 9.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Atlanta ran 54 plays, only seven of them on third down.
— Atlanta scored 26-27-27 points in first three games.
— Falcons are 6-3 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or less.

— Geno Smith passed for 326 yards, two TD’s.
— Smith is also now 14-23 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle converted 9-17 third down plays.
— On five drives to red zone, Seahawks scored 2 TD’s, kicked 3 FG’s.

Rams 20, Cardinals 12:
— LA’s first three drives: 21 plays, 145 yards, 13 points.
— Rams pulled away to 20-9 lead with 75-yard drive on 8 plays
— Rams won field position by 13 yards.
— Los Angeles won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Rams are 8-0 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.

— Out of 85 plays they ran, Cardinals had only two plays of 20+ yards.
— Arizona has been outscored 56-13 in first half this season.
— Cardinals’ first four drives: 13 plays, 22 yards, one first down, no points.
— Cardinals’ last five drives: 72 plays, 303 yards, 22 first down2, 12 points.
— Arizona is 3-7 ATS in last ten NFC West home games.

Packers 14, Buccaneers 12:
— Packers’ first two drives: 22 plays, 146 yards, 14 points.
— Rest of game: 38 plays, 149 yards, no points.
— Green Bay is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Green Bay is 11-7-2 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last 3+ years, Packers are 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— Tampa scored their first TD with 0:14 left in game- the 2-point play failed.
— Bucs ran ball only 14 times for 34 yards.
— Bucs have scored only three TD’s on 32 drives.
— Tampa Bay has scored 16 points on six red zone drives.

Broncos 11, 49ers 10:
— 49ers drove 75 yards for a TD on their second drive of game.
— After that: they had 11 drives- 39 plays, 161 yards, 3 points.
— 49ers outscored first three opponents 34-3 in first half.
— 49ers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Broncos were +3 in turnovers (3-0).
— Denver converted 6-19 on third down, 49ers 1-10.
— Broncos have scored 18 points in seven red zone drives.
— Denver scored 16-16-11 points in first three games.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 3

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

DAL at NYG	08:15 PM	DAL +1.0 U 38.5	+500 +500