Cnotes53 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

[Cnotes53]

Payton, Magic overcome Irving's 40 points to beat Celtics
January 21, 2018

SAN ANTONIO (AP) Victor Oladipo scored 19 points and the Indiana Pacers defeated San Antonio 94-86 on Sunday night, snapping the Spurs' 14-game home winning streak.

Darren Collison added 15 points for Indiana, which snapped a three-game losing streak in San Antonio.

The Spurs lost at home for the third time this season and the first since Nov. 10 against Milwaukee.

Pau Gasol had 14 points to lead San Antonio.

With Manu Ginobili, Rudy Gay and Kawhi Leonard out with injuries, the Spurs opted to bring Tony Parker off the bench for just the 14th time in 1,165 career games.

Parker responded with 12 points and five assists, but LaMarcus Aldridge struggled without the veteran point guard, scoring a season-low 10 points.

MAGIC 103, CELTICS 95

BOSTON (AP) - Elfrid Payton had 22 points and Orlando won for just the third time in 20 games, overcoming Kyrie Irving's 40 points.

Orlando snapped a 14-game losing streak at Boston. The Magic had lost 10 in a row on the road overall since early December.

Irving sat out Boston's previous game to rest a sore left shoulder. Despite his efforts, the Celtics dropped their season-worst third straight home game.

Evan Fournier added 19 and Aaron Gordon had a double-double with 11 points and 12 rebounds for the Magic.

LAKERS 127, KNICKS 107

LOS ANGELES (AP) - Jordan Clarkson had 29 points and 10 assists, Julius Randle added 27 points and 12 rebounds, and Los Angeles got its sixth win in eight games.

Kyle Kuzma added 15 points for the Lakers (17-29), who continued their midseason surge of solid play. Rookie point guard Alex Caruso set career highs with nine points and eight assists, making the most of extensive playing time in the absence of injured Lonzo Ball.

Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Michael Beasley scored 17 points apiece for the Knicks, who have lost 12 of 16. New York slipped to 2-2 on its seven-game trip.

The Knicks couldn't keep up down the stretch with the Lakers, whose up-tempo offense flowed throughout their highest-scoring game in two weeks.

NETS 101, PISTONS 100

DETROIT (AP) - Spencer Dinwiddie's jumper with 0.9 seconds left lifted Brooklyn over Detroit, the Pistons' fifth straight loss.

After a basket by Andre Drummond put the Pistons ahead with 4.7 seconds left, Dinwiddie took the inbounds pass, drove to 14 feet and drained a jumper against his former teammates.

Caris LeVert split a pair of free throws with 13.7 seconds left, giving the Nets a 99-98 edge.

Langston Galloway misplayed the ensuing inbounds pass, but was able to knock the ball to Drummond. Detroit's center nearly traveled in a rare drive from outside the 3-point arc, and flipped in a go-ahead shot.

Dinwiddie finished with 22 points. Tobias Harris led the Pistons with 20.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack

? Eagles? 38 unanswered points are the most by any team in a playoff game since the Jets scored 41 unanswered points against Indianapolis in ?02 Wild Card game.

? Nick Foles/Drew Brees went to the same high school in Texas; Foles becomes the 2nd QB to start a Super Bowl who played high school ball in Texas.

? Last five years, 9 of 10 #1 seeds made it to the Super Bowl. Only the ?16 Cowboys didn?t.

? On January 24, 2017, the Eagles opened at 50-1 to win this year?s Super Bowl.

? If you care about such things, total on the Super Bowl is 48.

? JJ Watt has to win the NFL?s Man of the Year, right? Guy raised $37M for charity.

Quote of the Day

?He?s a tough guy, we all know that. But we?re not talking about open heart surgery here,?
Bill Belichick, on Tom Brady?s stitched-up right hand

Monday?s quiz

Who holds the record for most postseason touchdowns in the NFL?

Sunday?s quiz

Jack Ramsay was the Portland Trailblazers? coach when they won their only NBA title.

Saturday?s quiz

Columbus is the capital of Ohio.

**************************************

Monday?s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend??.

13) Patriots 24, Jaguars 20? Tom Brady went to the same high school as Barry Bonds, Lynn Swann? Serra HS in San Mateo, CA; their booster club must have a boatload of money.

Despite all that, my favorite Serra HS alum is former big league infielder Tim Cullen, who won a World Series ring as a reserve infielder with the ?72 Oakland A?s.

Looking up Cullen?s career, which lasted seven years, in February, 1968 he was traded from the Senators to the White Sox, then in August that same year, he was traded back to Washington. In both trades, infielder Ron Hansen went the other way. No idea why.

12) Patriots? WR Danny Amendola played the first four years of his career with the St Louis Rams; he missed 22 of 64 games in those years, when the Rams went a combined 17-46-1. Amendola was productive when he played, but he missed way too many games.

In five years since moving on to New England, Amendola has played in 69 of 80 games, for a team that went 63-17? are the Patriots? trainers that much better than the Rams? trainers?

11) Maybe this happens a lot and I?ve just never seen it, but when the Patriots? game ended and Brady was shaking hands with a guy on Jacksonville, referee Clete Blakeman patted Brady on the back, got his attention, then said something quick to him before he left.

Since when do the referees congratulate players after they win?

10) In 266 NFL games this season, only 12 times has a team been called for zero or one penalty in a game? New England became the 12th team Sunday.

Last time an NFL team had only one penalty in a playoff game? The Patriots, back in 2011.

9) Two years ago, for whatever reason, ESPN went out of its way to promote LSU?s freshman star Ben Simmons, to the point where you almost rooted against Simmons, especially when LSU didn?t make the NCAA tournament. It became sickening that ESPN would promote a kid who had no resume? it was all hype.

This year, they?re doing the same thing with Oklahoma?s Trae Young, to the point where the kid has 28 turnovers in his last three games but you feel like ESPN thinks he is the best college ballplayer since Michael Jordan, or at least Simmons. Enough already; let the season play itself out. At least Oklahoma will be in the NCAA?s.

8) How many movies has Dwayne Johnson made? Seems like The Rock is working his butt off, making a ton of cash. According to IMDB.com, Mr Johnson has made 70 movies/TV shows, not counting all his WWE stuff and he is only 46 years old.

He has 10 projects that have either been completed or announced but not released yet. Have to give him credit, he is making a lot of money while the proverbial iron is hot.

7) When Nick Foles went to the Pro Bowl after the 2013 season, his OC with the Eagles was Pat Shurmur, who is Minnesota?s OC now and is expected to be named head coach of the Giants Tuesday. Foles could win the Super Bowl, then go back to being the Eagles? backup next year.

6) What the hell do the Vikings do now? Bad enough they have to go home and have the Super Bowl played in their own ballpark, but their offseason will really be interesting.

Which of the three QB?s stays in Minnesota? Keenum? Bridgewater? Bradford? Do two of them stay and if so, which one takes a hike? Lot of hard questions need to be answered.

5) Clemson Tigers are 16-3 and appear headed to the NCAAs, but they lost 2nd-leading scorer Donte Grantham with a torn ACL Saturday? he is out for the year.

4) Man if you don?t like football, Sunday was a rough day for sports on TV; a few, but not many college hoop games- no real good ones, some golf, the Australian Open, but just a lackluster TV day, except for the conference championship games.

3) Eagles 38, Vikings 7?During the regular season, Vikings were only team not to allow a defensive TD against them- whoops. Patrick Robinson?s first quarter pick-6 changed all that, and turned the tide in a game that Minnesota led early, 7-0.

2) NFL trivia? Case Keenum could?ve become the second undrafted QB to start a Super Bowl, but the draft today is only seven rounds? John Unitas was a 9th round pick of the Steelers in 1955, though there were also a lot fewer teams then. Unitas was the 102nd player taken in the ?55 draft, which would put him in the 4th round these days.

Kurt Warner remains the only undrafted QB to start a Super Bowl.

1) Early line on the Super Bowl: Patriots, -5.5 or 6, bet down already from -7. Some experts are predicting it?ll get back to 7 or 7.5 in the next two weeks.

It is unusual that the Eagles just KO?d the Vikings and now head to Minnesota for the Super Bowl, where it is doubtful they?ll get a warm reception.

2018 handicapping note: Vikings return to Philadelphia in the 2018 regular season.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY JANUARY 22, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Sacramento Kings Charlotte Hornets Spectrum Center
7:30 PM Utah Jazz Atlanta Hawks Philips Arena
8:00 PM Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
8:00 PM Miami Heat Houston Rockets Toyota Center
8:00 PM Philadelphia 76ers Memphis Grizzlies FedExForum
8:00 PM Phoenix Suns Milwaukee Bucks BMO Harris Bradley Center
8:30 PM Washington Wizards Dallas Mavericks American Airlines Center
9:00 PM Portland Trail Blazers Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
10:30 PM Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center


***********************************

Monday's Tip Sheet
January 21, 2018

Game of the Night: Wolves at Clippers ? 10:35 PM EST

Minnesota (30-18 SU, 23-23-2 ATS) has captured each of the first two meetings with Los Angeles this season as the teams meet for the third of four matchups. The Wolves have won each contest by six points apiece, as the first victory came at Target Center in early December, 112-106, but the Clippers covered as 12-point underdogs. Minnesota won the rematch three days later at Staples Center, 113-107, as the Wolves cashed barely as 5 ?-point favorites.

The Clippers (23-22 SU, 25-19-1 ATS) saw their six-game winning streak disappear on Saturday in a 125-113 defeat at Utah as two-point underdogs. L.A. allowed 76 first half points and Utah to shoot 55% from the floor. Lou Williams paced the Clippers with 31 points and 10 steals in the loss, as Los Angeles had its three-game road winning streak snapped.

The Wolves played without guard Jimmy Butler on Saturday night, but Minnesota rallied past Toronto as short home underdogs, 115-109 to snap a two-game skid. Minnesota knocked down 32-of-42 free throws in the win, while Andrew Wiggins led the Wolves with 29 points. Butler is listed as questionable on Monday with a knee injury, as Minnesota looks to end a four-game road losing streak.

First Things First

A pair of division leaders meet up in Houston as the Rockets (32-12 SU, 22-21-1 ATS) try to avoid a letdown as the Heat invade the Toyota Center. Houston knocked off Golden State for the second time this season on Saturday, 116-108 to cash as 2 ?-point home underdogs, as Chris Paul led the Rockets with 33 points and 11 rebounds. The Rockets improved to 5-1 SU/ATS the last six games following consecutive losses to the Pistons and Warriors earlier this month, while recording four consecutive UNDERS.

The Heat (27-19 SU, 21-23-2 ATS) conclude their five-game road swing after rallying past the Hornets on Saturday, 106-105 as seven-point underdogs. Miami continues to cash tickets in the away ?dog role by going 7-2 ATS in the last nine opportunities, including victories over Toronto, Milwaukee, and Boston. The Heat swept the Rockets last season, as Miami won both games as a hefty underdog, while surprising Houston at the Toyota Center as 10-point ?dogs last February.

Georgia ?Dogs

The Hawks (13-32 SU, 24-19-2 ATS) are near the bottom of the Southeast division, but Atlanta has been a solid look in the role of a home underdog of late. Although the Hawks are coming off a 16-point defeat to the Bulls on Saturday (as a home favorite), Atlanta has won and covered five straight times when receiving points at Philips Arena. During this hot streak, the Hawks have knocked off the Pelicans, Blazers, Spurs, Mavericks, and Wizards.

The next test for Atlanta as a home ?dog comes against Utah (19-27 SU, 23-23 ATS), who hasn?t won consecutive games since early December. The Jazz held off the Clippers on Saturday, 125-113, as Utah hit the OVER for third straight contest. Quin Snyder?s team has struggled away from Salt Lake City this season by compiling a 5-18 road mark, but the Jazz have won two of their past three away games.

American Dream

The ?process? is working for the 76ers (22-20 SU, 24-17-1 ATS) of late by winning seven of their last eight games. Interestingly, the only defeat in this span came in London against the Celtics on January 11 as Philadelphia squandered a 22-point lead. So the last eight games played in the United States, the Sixers have been victorious, including a 116-94 blowout of the short-handed Bucks on Saturday. Philadelphia owns a 4-1 SU/ATS record in its past five road contests as the Sixers travel to Memphis.

The Grizzlies (16-29 SU, 19-24-2 ATS) have been a covering machine since December 27 by putting together a 9-2 ATS record in the previous 11 contests. The latest ATS win came in Saturday?s 111-104 defeat at New Orleans, but Memphis managed a cover as nine-point underdogs. Memphis has fared extremely well at FedEx Forum of late by winning five of the last six on their home floor, while covering five straight in this span.

Back on Track

Following a 1-4 ATS stretch, the Bulls (18-28 SU, 28-17-1 ATS) have covered five consecutive games, including a 113-97 blowout of the Hawks on Saturday as a short underdog. Since losing at Golden State by 49 points on November 24, Chicago has compiled a 10-2 ATS record in its past 12 games away from the United Center. The Bulls have won six of those road contests, but the last three have come against teams currently below .500 (Atlanta, Dallas, New York).

Chicago heads to the Big Easy to face New Orleans (24-21 SU, 23-21-1 ATS) as the Pelicans are heating up of late by going 4-1 in the last five games. Two wins in this stretch have come in overtime at Boston and New York, but the Pelicans have struggled to cover numbers as a home favorite recently by posting a 1-4 ATS mark in the last five opportunities. The Pelicans held off the Bulls in overtime at the United Center in their first meeting this season, 96-90 as 5 ?-point favorites.

Blazing Back

After its defense was torched in the final three losses of its recent road trip, Portland (25-21 SU, 21-21-4 ATS) swept a three-game homestand by beating Phoenix, Indiana, and Dallas. The Blazers extended their home winning streak to six with Saturday?s nine-point triumph over the Mavericks, as their last home defeat came to the Nuggets on December 22. Portland will look to avenge that defeat with a trip to Pepsi Center in Denver as the two Northwest rivals have split two meetings this season.

The Nuggets (23-23 SU, 20-24-2 ATS) have gone backwards of late by dropping consecutive games to the Clippers and Suns, while failing to cover in four straight contests. Denver is riding a six-game UNDER streak, while scoring 105 points or fewer in each of those contests. Each of the past four meetings between these teams at Pepsi Center have eclipsed the OVER, including both matchups last season.

Fast Break

-- The Kings look to halt a seven-game losing streak as they continue their road swing against the Hornets. Charlotte routed Sacramento at Golden 1 Center earlier this month, 131-111, while the Hornets are 5-0 SU/ATS the last five games off a loss following Saturday?s one-point setback to the Heat.

-- The Bucks seek their sixth straight win against the Suns dating back to 2015 as the teams meet in Milwaukee. The previous matchup in Phoenix went to overtime as the Bucks held off the Suns, 113-107 in November. Giannis Antetokonmpo will sit once again for the Bucks to rest his knee, as the Bucks try to improve on a 1-6 ATS record the last seven games.

-- Dallas shocked Washington as 10-point road underdogs in their last matchup in November, 113-97 at Capital One Arena. The two squads hook up in Dallas as the Mavericks attempt to halt a three-game skid. The Wizards rebounded from a horrible defensive effort at Charlotte to rally past Detroit on Friday, 122-112. Washington hasn?t been a reliable favorite by going 3-14 ATS the last 17 tries when laying points.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 22


Sacramento @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
January 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.192
Charlotte
120.574
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 10 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+10 1/2); Under

Utah @ Atlanta

Game 703-704
January 22, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.021
Atlanta
117.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+2 1/2); Under

Chicago @ New Orleans

Game 705-706
January 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
114.448
New Orleans
123.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 9
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-5 1/2); Over

Miami @ Houston

Game 707-708
January 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
115.237
Houston
126.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Philadelphia @ Memphis

Game 709-710
January 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
116.347
Memphis
117.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3); Over

Phoenix @ Milwaukee

Game 711-712
January 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.212
Milwaukee
118.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
N/A

Washington @ Dallas

Game 713-714
January 22, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
122.834
Dallas
118.725
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-1 1/2); Under

Portland @ Denver

Game 715-716
January 22, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.231
Denver
120.628
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-2 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ LA Clippers

Game 717-718
January 22, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
118.737
LA Clippers
123.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 5
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
N/A

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 22

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SACRAMENTO (13 - 32) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 26) - 1/22/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 95-128 ATS (-45.8 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=98 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (19 - 27) at ATLANTA (13 - 32) - 1/22/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (18 - 28) at NEW ORLEANS (24 - 21) - 1/22/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 50-35 ATS (+11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 88-52 ATS (+30.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (27 - 19) at HOUSTON (32 - 12) - 1/22/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (22 - 20) at MEMPHIS (16 - 29) - 1/22/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (17 - 29) at MILWAUKEE (23 - 22) - 1/22/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 396-463 ATS (-113.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 263-316 ATS (-84.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (26 - 20) at DALLAS (15 - 31) - 1/22/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 398-324 ATS (+41.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (25 - 21) at DENVER (23 - 23) - 1/22/2018, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (30 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 22) - 1/22/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 22

Hornets won four of last five games with Sacramento; Kings are 2-2 vs spread in their last four trips to Charlotte. Six of last eight series games went over the total. Sacramento lost its last seven games; they?re 9-12-1 as road underdogs. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Charlotte is 5-3 in its last eight games; they?re 11-7 as home favorites. Hornets? last three games went over the total.

Jazz won three of last four games with Atlanta; road team won four of last five series games. Utah covered its last three visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under total. Utah is 4-9 in its last 13 games; they?re 2-4 as road favorites. Five of their last seven games went over total. Atlanta lost six of its last nine games; they?re 7-4 in last 11 tries as home underdogs. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.

Chicago won six of last seven games with New Orleans; they?re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Four of last six series games stayed under the total. Bulls won four of their last five games; they?re 9-1 in last 10 games as road underdogs. Over is 17-6 in their last 23 games. New Orleans won four of last five games; they?re 7-10 as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over total.

Heat won three of their last four games with Houston; they?re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under the total. Miami won nine of its last 11 games; they?re 11-5 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Houston won five of its last six games; they?re 10-11 as home favorites. Rockets? last four games stayed under the total.

Memphis won its last nine games with Philly; 76ers are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six- they?re 3-1-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games. 76ers won seven of their last eight games; they?re 4-2 as road favorites. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Memphis won three of its last four games; they?re 4-2 in last six games as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total.

Bucks won their last five games with Phoenix; Suns covered three of last four games in this building. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Phoenix lost five of its last seven games; they?re 12-8 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Milwaukee lost four of its last five games; Bucks are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

Dallas won/covered nine of last ten games with Washington; Wizards are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games went over total. Washington is 3-4 in its last seven games; they?re 3-5 as road favorites. Five of their last six games went over total. Dallas lost six of its last eight games; they covered last four tries as a home underdog. Four of their last six games stayed under total.

Portland won seven of its last nine games with Denver; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Seven of last ten series games went over the total. Portland won its last three games; they?re 8-5-1 as road underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over total. Denver lost six of its last eight games; they?re 12-8 as home favorites. 12 of their last 15 games stayed under the total.

Clippers lost their last four games with Minnesota; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Wolves covered last four series games played here. Minnesota won six of its last eight games; they?re 6-4-1 vs spread as road favorites. Wolves? last six road games stayed under total. Clippers won six of their last seven games; they?re 3-5 as home underdogs. 12 of their last 15 games went over the total.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA

Monday, January 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento

UTAH @ ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

PHILADELPHIA @ MEMPHIS
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

MIAMI @ HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

CHICAGO @ NEW ORLEANS
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 12 games at home
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

WASHINGTON @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington

PORTLAND @ DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games

MINNESOTA @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Clippers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

 

[Cnotes53]

Cousins' historic triple-double lifts Pelicans over Bulls
January 22, 2018

NEW ORLEANS (AP) DeMarcus Cousins had 44 points, 24 rebounds and 10 assists, Anthony Davis scored 34 points, and the All-Star pair led a 17-point New Orleans comeback in the final five minutes of regulation before the Pelicans pulled out a 132-128 victory over the Chicago Bulls in double overtime Monday night.

Cousins scored seven points in the second overtime on a 3-pointer, a turnaround jumper and two free throws with 8.2 seconds left. He became the first NBA player since Hall of Famer Wilt Chamberlain in 1968 to have as many as 40 points, 20 rebounds and 10 assists in a game.

E'Twaun Moore scored 15 points, including a 3 in the second overtime to help the Pelicans win for the fifth time in six games.

Jerian Grant had 22 points and 13 assists, and Robin Lopez also scored 22 for the Bulls, who appeared well on their way to their fifth victory in six games when they opened the fourth quarter with a 23-5 run to take their largest lead at 104-86.

BUCKS 109, SUNS 105

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Khris Middleton scored 35 points and hit two long jumpers in the final minute, Malcolm Brogdon added 32 points and Milwaukee beat Phoenix hours after firing coach Jason Kidd.

Brogdon added a steal with 40 seconds left after the Bucks double-teamed guard Devin Booker in the backcourt. Brogdon lobbed a cross-court pass to Middleton, who hit a jumper from the left corner with 24 seconds left for a 105-100 lead.

T.J. Warren had 23 points for Phoenix, which has lost four of five.

Kidd was fired hours before the game, ending a three-plus season tenure that included two playoff appearances but stretches of inconsistency on both ends of the floor. Other than a 33-win season in 2015-16, the Bucks hovered around .500 under Kidd as a young core of Giannis Antetokounmpo, Middleton and Brogdon blossomed into top-flight players.

ROCKETS 99, HEAT 90

HOUSTON (AP) - James Harden scored 28 points and Houston overcame a big early deficit to beat Miami.

Miami led by double digits before halftime, but the game stayed close throughout most of the second half. It was tied with about three minutes left when Harden hit a 3-pointer just before the shot clock expired. That was the start of a 7-2 run that made it 95-90 with 38 seconds left.

James Johnson missed a 3-pointer on the other end, but Miami's Hassan Whiteside grabbed the rebound. Harden blocked his layup, and Houston added a dunk by Clint Capela with 18 seconds left.

Whiteside led the Heat with 22 points and 13 rebounds. The team was missing Goran Dragic for the second straight game because of a bruised left knee.

GRIZZLIES 105, 76ERS 101

MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Marc Gasol scored 19 points, Tyreke Evans added 18 points and eight assists, and the pair led a fourth-quarter rally that lifted Memphis over Philadelphia.

Mario Chalmers added 17 points, including a pair of free throws with 6.2 seconds remaining, to help the Grizzlies overcome a 15-point deficit. Myke Henry, signed to a two-way contract with Memphis earlier this month, had 12 points.

Dario Saric led the Sixers with 22 points and added 10 rebounds, and Timothe Luwawu-Cabarott finished with a season-high 20 points. Robert Covington added 18 points and Joel Embiid had 15 points and 14 rebounds.

MAVERICKS 98, WIZARDS 75

DALLAS (AP) - Harrison Barnes had 20 points and 10 rebounds, rookie Dennis Smith Jr. scored 17 and Dallas finished a season sweep of playoff-contending Washington.

The Mavericks slowed a recent slide that had them headed back to the bottom of the Western Conference, ending their second three-game losing streak since the start of January.

The Mavericks held the high-scoring backcourt of John Wall and Bradley Beal to 28 percent shooting. Beal scored 18 and Wall had 11 - the only double-digit scorers for the Wizards - as the guards combined to go 8 of 29 from the field.

HAWKS 104, JAZZ 90

ATLANTA (AP) - Dennis Schroder scored 20 points, Taurean Prince added 17 and Atlanta kept up its improving play with a victory over Utah.

The Hawks began to pull away late in the third quarter, closing with a 13-3 run for a 74-63 lead that was their largest to that point. Dewayne Dedmon knocked down a 3-pointer, Malcolm Delaney converted a four-point play and Schroder scored off a couple of drives.

Alec Burks came off the bench to lead the Jazz with 17 points. Utah's starters combined for just 40 points, led by Donovan Mitchell with 13.

HORNETS 112, KINGS 107

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) - Kemba Walker had 26 points, Jeremy Lamb added 18 and Charlotte bounced back from a tough loss to beat Sacramento.

Nic Batum and Marvin Williams each had 14 points and Dwight Howard added 14 points and 16 rebounds for the Hornets, who have won six of their last nine.

Skai Labissiere had 23 points and Buddy Hield added 18 for the Kings, who have lost eight straight games and 11 of their last 12.

NUGGETS 104, TRAIL BLAZERS 101

DENVER (AP) - Jamal Murray scored a career-high 38 points, including a three-point play in the final minute, and Denver beat Portland.

Nikola Jokic had 16 points and 12 rebounds, and Will Barton hit four free throws in the final 10 seconds to secure the win and spoil Jusuf Nurkic's return to Denver.

Nurkic had 19 points, 12 rebounds and three blocks in his first game back at Pepsi Center. Damian Lillard had 25 points and seven assists for Portland.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY JANUARY 23, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Sacramento Kings Orlando Magic Amway Center
8:00 PM Brooklyn Nets Oklahoma City Thunder Chesapeake Energy Arena
8:00 PM Cleveland Cavaliers San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
10:30 PM Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Staples Center
10:30 PM New York Knicks Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack

? Kentucky?s basketball team is out of the Top 25 for the first time in four years.

? Nick Foles in the second half Sunday: 11-of-11, 159 yards, 2 TD. Not bad for a backup.

? Eldrick Woods is playing golf this week in the PGA tournament at Torrey Pinex; over/under on worst round he shoots this week: 74.5

? TCU 82, West Virginia 73? Big X schedule is tough travel for the Mountaineers.

? Virginia Tech 80, North Carolina 69? Lethargic effort by the Tar Heels.

? SF Giants signed OF Austin Jackson for two years, $6M.

Quote of the Day

?I don?t sell, when you come here: ?The university and the state will take care of you for the rest of your life.? You may buy that, and I?ve got some great property and some swampland down in Florida to sell you too. Every one of us in this country is based on, you have to take care of your self, prepare yourself, and then when you make it you make sure you?re helping and along the way you?re bringing other people with you.

That?s what we?re trying to do: just give these guys the best opportunity. We?re not trying to say that this university or state will take care of you for the rest of your life. There?s no socialism here. This stuff is you have to go do it and we?re going to help you do it. Some like that, some don?t like that.?
John Calipari

Tuesday?s quiz

Before DeMarcus Cousins did it Monday night, who was last NBA player with 30 points, 20 rebounds, 10 assists in a game?
(Hint: It happened in 2010)

Monday?s quiz

Emmitt Smith and Thurman Thomas share the record for most postseason touchdowns in the NFL, with 21.

Sunday?s quiz

Jack Ramsay was the Portland Trailblazers? coach when they won their only NBA title.

**************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Whats with NBA teams and drama? Milwaukee Bucks fired coach Jason Kidd, who was 139-152 in 3.5 years, but 22-21 this year. News of Kidd?s firing got out before the team told Kidd, and star Giannis Antetokounmpo isn?t happy about it, which is never good for an NBA team, when your star player is ticked off.

Antetokounmpo called the coach and asked him if he wanted him to help save his job, which apparently was before Kidd knew he was losing his job. Oy.

If the season ended as I type this, the Bucks would be the #8 seed in the East.

12) Washington Wizards players recently had a players-only meeting; here are two quotes about that event:

First, John Wall:
?We had our team meeting. A couple guys took it the negative way and it hurt our team. Instead of taking it in a positive way like we did in the past and using it to build our team up, it kind of set us back a little bit.?

Second, Bradley Beal:
?It was tough. I try to keep all our stuff as personal as possible but I think in a way not everybody got a chance to speak whenever they wanted to. They didn?t want to bring up an issue or something they had a problem with on the team. Regardless of what may be going on, as men we?ve got to be able to accept what the next man says, be respectful about it and move on from it. I think it was one of those situations where we didn?t necessarily get everything that we wanted to get accomplished.?

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.
13) Whats with NBA teams and drama? Milwaukee Bucks fired coach Jason Kidd, who was 139-152 in 3.5 years, but 22-21 this year. News of Kidd?s firing got out before the team told Kidd, and star Giannis Antetokounmpo isn?t happy about it, which is never good for an NBA team, when your star player is ticked off.

Antetokounmpo called the coach and asked him if he wanted him to help save his job, which apparently was before Kidd knew he was losing his job. Oy.

If the season ended as I type this, the Bucks would be the #8 seed in the East.

12) Washington Wizards players recently had a players-only meeting; here are two quotes about that event:

First, John Wall:
?We had our team meeting. A couple guys took it the negative way and it hurt our team. Instead of taking it in a positive way like we did in the past and using it to build our team up, it kind of set us back a little bit.?

Second, Bradley Beal:
?It was tough. I try to keep all our stuff as personal as possible but I think in a way not everybody got a chance to speak whenever they wanted to. They didn?t want to bring up an issue or something they had a problem with on the team. Regardless of what may be going on, as men we?ve got to be able to accept what the next man says, be respectful about it and move on from it. I think it was one of those situations where we didn?t necessarily get everything that we wanted to get accomplished.?

Coaching an NBA team is serious money, but it can?t be great fun.

11) In the last 16 Super Bowls, underdogs are 11-5 against the spread.

10) This will be 4th Super Bowl in last five years with two #1 seeds. From 1994-2012, #1 seeds met in only one of 19 Super Bowls.

9) In their last five games, New England has been called for nine penalties for 110 yards; their opponents have been called for 29 penalties for 390 yards.

8) Tom Brady has more wins (27) and passing TDs (68) in postseason than Nick Foles has wins (24) and passing TDs (66) in his entire NFL career.

7) Minnesota Vikings last made the Super Bowl after the 1976 season, when I was a senior in high school; since then, they?re 0-6 in NFC championship games.

6) Last years, $138.5M was wagered on the Super Bowl, just in Nevada- thats a record, one that is expected to be broken this year.

5) Knicks/Rangers both played in Staples Center Sunday; it is first time Knicks/Rangers played road games in the same arena on the same day since 1957.

4) Miami Heat?s James Johnson scored five points in 0:04 Sunday night, as Heat erased a 105-100 deficit in the last minute at Charlotte, eventually winning 106-105. Not easy to score five points in 0:04, but layup-steal-3-pointer did the trick.

3) Carolina Panthers hired Carolina DC Steve Wilks as their new head coach; he was only a coordinator for one year, but has been a coach in college/NFL since 1995.

Cleveland Browns hired Todd Haley as their new offensive coordinator; hopefully he got promised that the Browns will draft a quarterback in April.

2) From Christopher Kamka, NBC Sports, Chicago: In 2017, Chris Gimenez was the first major leaguer to catch 5+ games and also pitch in 5+ games in the same season since the Phillies? Bill Harman in 1941. Gimenez pitched in five games, caught in 59 games last year.

1? New Jersey Giants hired Pat Shurmur as head coach; he?ll keep DC Steve Spagnuolo, since he was Spagnuolo?s OC in St Louis is 2009-10. Rams improved from 1-15 in ?09 to 7-9 in ?10, then Shurmur became the head coach of the Browns in ?11, which obviously didn?t go well (9-23).

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 23


Sacramento @ Orlando

Game 501-502
January 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
110.121
Orlando
118.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 6
214
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-6); Under

Cleveland @ San Antonio

Game 503-504
January 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
116.212
San Antonio
119.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-1); Under

Brooklyn @ Oklahoma City

Game 505-506
January 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
115.623
Oklahoma City
121.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+10); Over

New York @ Golden State

Game 507-508
January 23, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
116.315
Golden State
126.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 14 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+14 1/2); Over

Boston @ LA Lakers

Game 509-510
January 23, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
119.745
LA Lakers
117.691
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+4 1/2); Over




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 23

Magic won four of last six games with Sacramento; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Kings are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom. Sacramento lost its last eight games; they?re 9-6 vs spread in last 15 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over. Orlando lost eight of its last ten games; they?re 1-6 as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total.

Spurs won eight of last ten games with Cleveland; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Cavaliers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Cleveland lost nine of its last 12 games; they?re 4-2 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under total. San Antonio lost three of last four games; they?re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Spurs? last six games all stayed under the total.

Nets are 6-4 in last ten games with Oklahoma City; they?re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 3-1 in Brooklyn?s last four visits to OKC. Nets split their last six games; they?re 14-3 vs spread in last 17 games as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under. Thunder won their last four games; they?re 7-13-1 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

Golden State won its last six games with the Knicks, who are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. New York is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Six of last seven series games stayed under. Knicks lost seven of their last ten games; they?re 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Warriors won eight of their last ten games; they?re 2-4-2 in last eight games as home favorites- their last three games stayed under.

Lakers lost their last four games with Boston; Celtics are 1-4 vs spread in last five series games played here. Last four series games stayed under the total. Boston lost its last three games, by 8-9-3 points; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Celtics are 8-5-1 as road favorites. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they?re 9-10 as home underdogs. Five of their last seven games stayed under total.




NBA

Tuesday, January 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO @ ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games

BROOKLYN @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

CLEVELAND @ SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

BOSTON @ LA LAKERS
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NEW YORK @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Golden State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against New York

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (13 - 33) at ORLANDO (14 - 32) - 1/23/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 49-78 ATS (-36.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
ORLANDO is 52-74 ATS (-29.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (27 - 18) at SAN ANTONIO (30 - 18) - 1/23/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in January games this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 201-259 ATS (-83.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1028-899 ATS (+39.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 823-700 ATS (+53.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 155-109 ATS (+35.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 347-273 ATS (+46.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 344-283 ATS (+32.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 182-137 ATS (+31.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (18 - 29) at OKLAHOMA CITY (26 - 20) - 1/23/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games this season.
BROOKLYN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (21 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (37 - 10) - 1/23/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (34 - 13) at LA LAKERS (17 - 29) - 1/23/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

Inside the Paint - Tuesday
January 23, 2018

Tuesday?s NBA card has five games on tap and all of them are non-conference matchups, which will be the focus of tonight?s piece. Let?s handicap the games.

(Straight Up and Against the Spread)

Sacramento (13-33 SU, 18-25-3 ATS) at Orlando (14-32 SU, 20-26 ATS)

The first game on the board isn?t the easiest to handicap considering both of these teams will be jockeying for the No. 1 pick in this summer?s NBA Draft.

Orlando opened as a six-point favorite and was pushed up to -7 as of Tuesday morning.

Despite going 2-3 in their last five games, the Magic have covered five straight and they enter this game off a 103-95 win at Boston on Sunday as a 10 ?-point road underdog. Backing Orlando to win two straight is a tough sell since it hasn?t done so since Nov. 10. Seeing the Magic favored is another rarity but the team has gone 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS as a favorite this season.

Sacramento dropped its eighth straight game last night, a 112-107 decision at Charlotte. The Kings managed to get a late cover (+10 ?) but is just 2-6 ATS during the skid. Not surprisingly, the club has struggled on no rest this season, going 2-7 SU and 3-5-1 ATS.

Orlando is 6-12 SU and 8-9-1 ATS versus the West this season and it just snapped a seven-game non-conference slide last week in a 108-102 home win over Minnesota. Prior to that victory, it lost the seven previous games. Total bettors should note that the ?under? is on a 7-0 run in Orlando?s last seven matchups versus teams from the West. Sacramento has gone 4-14 SU and 7-10-2 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season.

This will be the first meeting between the two teams with the pair splitting both encounters last season. The home team won and covered each contest and the total was split as well.

The total (214 ?) on this game seems a little inflated, especially with Sacramento's offense ranked last in scoring (97.9 PPPG). Knowing Orlando is on a 9-3 ?under? run could have you leaning that way tonight.

Brooklyn (18-29 SU, 29-17-1 ATS) at Oklahoma City (26-20 SU, 18-27-1 ATS)

As of Tuesday morning, the Thunder have been listed as a 10-point home favorite over the Nets. Oklahoma City is starting to come into its own, winning four straight and 16 of its last 20 games. The Thunder just dropped a season-high 148 points on Cleveland this past Saturday and are expected to keep the winning streak rolling along tonight. As double-digit home favorites, the Thunder have gone 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS.

OKC will be looking for revenge in this game as Brooklyn rallied for a 100-95 win on Dec. 7 as a seven-point underdog in a game played at Mexico City as the ?under? (215 ?) connected easily. OKC was cruising at halftime (58-49) but got outscored 51-37 by the Nets in the second-half.

The Nets have been one of the best teams to back at the betting counter this season and they enter this game off back-to-back wins. However, they haven?t won three straight all season.

The Nets have gone 7-12 SU and 11-6-2 ATS versus the West but they?ve dropped four of their last five. OKC is 11-7 SU and 10-8 ATS versus the East and that includes a 5-4 record at home.

Cleveland (27-18 SU, 12-32-1 ATS) at San Antonio (30-18 SU, 25-21-2 ATS)

Even though both of these clubs are still considered contenders to win the NBA Finals, I wouldn?t bet on either squad in this matchup. The Spurs are listed as short favorites (-1 ?) over the Cavaliers and neither team has played well in 2018. Since the New Year began, the Spurs (5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) and Cavaliers (3-6 SU, 1-8 ATS) have been very shaky.

Cleveland?s defense is ranked 26th in the league, allowing 109.5 points per game and that includes last Saturday?s embarrassing 148-124 home loss to Oklahoma City. That loss was preceded by a tight win over Orlando (104-103) and another double-digit loss at home to Golden State (118-108).

Including the aforementioned losses to the Warriors and Thunder, the Cavaliers have gone 7-8 SU and 3-12 ATS versus the West. On the road, Cleveland is just 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in non-conference tilts.

If you bet against the Cavaliers this season blindly, you would be up $1,880 based on one-unit ($100) plays.

San Antonio?s issue this season has been on the road (11-15), which is something Gregg Popovich?s team always did well. At home, the Spurs have dominated this season with a 19-3 SU and 15-6 ATS mark which includes Sunday?s 94-86 loss to Indiana as a six-point favorite. The Spurs defense has played well of late but the offense has been sputtering and that combination has led to a 6-0 ?under? run.

The Spurs have gone 14-9 SU and 11-10-2 ATS against the East this season yet they enter this game 1-4 in their last five non-conference games.

San Antonio swept the regular season series against Cleveland last season, which included a 103-74 win at home as a five-point favorite.

The Spurs will be short-handed for this game and ESPN is reporting a rift in San Antonio between the team, players and All-Star Kawhi Leonard. We also heard reports coming out this morning circled around Cleveland's Kevin Love, who is supposedly in the doghouse with his teammates.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.

New York (21-26 SU, 24-23 ATS) at Golden State (37-10 SU, 21-25-1 ATS)

New York?s ?Grammys? road trip continues Tuesday as the club faces a daunting task as a double-digit underdog (+14) to Golden State. The Warriors have won six straight and eight of the last nine in this series and they?ve covered five of those victories. In the last three games played in the Bay Area, Golden State went 2-1 ATS despite being favored by some big numbers (-17, -15, -19 ?). With the line being a tad shorter, perhaps the Knicks can view this season as progress.

The Knicks have gone 11-10 SU and 12-9 ATS versus the Western Conference with most of the trouble (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) coming on the road. New York surprised Utah 117-115 last Friday but was run by the Lakers 127-107 two nights later from Los Angeles. The ?over? has gone 6-3 in their non-conference road games.

New York remains one of the worst road teams (6-17 SU, 9-14 ATS) in the league. Surprisingly, Golden State has been better on the road (21-4) than at home this season (16-6).

The Warriors are coming off a 116-108 loss at the Rockets this past Saturday as three-point road favorites. Golden State hasn?t dropped back-to-back games this season, going 9-0 SU and 5-4 ATS after a setback.

The Warriors have gone 17-3 SU and 9-11 ATS versus the East and they were laying double digits in 11 of those games. At home, they?ve gone 8-2 SU and 4-5-1 ATS with the straight up losses coming to the Hornets and Pistons.

Boston (34-13 SU, 27-18-2 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (17-29 SU, 23-23 ATS)

The late-night tip on TNT (10:35 p.m. ET) will have Boston (-4 ?) trying to snap a three-game losing streak when it meets the Lakers at the Staples Center. Make a note that head coach Brad Stevens and the C?s haven?t dropped four in a row in nearly two seasons.

Prior to the slide, Boston had won seven straight and was doing so with its second-ranked scoring defense (98 PPG). Sunday?s 103-95 home loss to Orlando was a poor effort from the start and it looked like the Celtics were more concerned with the Patriots playing in the AFC title game.

Fortunately for the Celtics, they should have confidence in this spot. Boston ran past Los Angeles 107-96 earlier this season on Nov. 8 as a 6 ?-point favorite from TD Garden. This was the fourth straight win for the Celtics in this series and the ?under? also cashed in every game during this span.

This is a much different Los Angeles team suiting up on Tuesday. The Lakers have quietly won and covered two straight and six of their last eight games after suffering a nine-game losing streak. Four of the recent wins did come against losing clubs but recent victories over the Pacers and Spurs can?t be dismissed.

Boston has gone 12-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS versus the West this season, plus it?s very solid against teams with losing records (18-5). As road favorites, the Celtics have gone 12-3 SU and 9-6 ATS.

The Lakers are a respectable 9-8 SU and 10-7 ATS against the East and that includes a run of three straight wins. Los Angeles has also won its last five games at home, and three of those victories came as a home underdog.

 

[Cnotes53]

LeBron gets 30,000, but Spurs beat slumping Cavs 114-102
January 23, 2018

SAN ANTONIO (AP) LeBron James became the youngest player ever with 30,000 career points, but LaMarcus Aldridge scored 30 points to lift the San Antonio Spurs over the slumping Cleveland Cavaliers 114-102 on Tuesday night.

James had 28 points while becoming the seventh member of the 30,000-point club, yet he couldn't keep the Cavaliers from dropping their 10th in 13 games.

Spurs point guard Dejounte Murray - friend and mentee of James - had 19 points, 10 rebounds and seven steals in his second start since replacing a healthy Tony Parker. Murray soared for a tip follow and then rose to disrupt James' driving layup, which led to a 3-pointer by Danny Green that gave the Spurs a 105-94 lead with 4:20 remaining.

After missing his first two midrange jumpers and a pair of free throws, James made two driving layups and a 20-footer, and then rose above Danny Green for a 19-foot jumper with one second remaining in the first quarter to reach the mark. The shot put Cleveland up 29-25.

At 33 years and 24 days, James is the youngest player to get 30,000. Bryant was 34 years and 104 days when he got there.

THUNDER 109, NETS 108

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Russell Westbrook made a go-ahead layup with 3.3 seconds left to help Oklahoma City rally from a 15-point second-half deficit and beat Brooklyn.

The lead changed hands six times in the final 2:23. Brooklyn went ahead 108-107 on a driving layup by Spencer Dinwiddie with 7.8 seconds left, but Westbrook answered with his own. After three timeouts, Dinwiddie missed a 3-point attempt at the buzzer, with the Thunder's Andre Roberson guarding him closely.

Westbrook had 32 points and Paul George had 28 with nine rebounds. George was left off the NBA All-Star roster earlier in the day.

Joe Harris led the Nets with 19 points while Dinwiddie and DeMarre Carroll had 13 each. The Nets ended a two-game winning streak, matching their longest of the season.

LAKERS 108, CELTICS 107

LOS ANGELES (AP) - Kyle Kuzma scored 17 of his 28 points in a phenomenal fourth quarter, and surging Los Angeles sent Boston to its fourth consecutive loss.

Jordan Clarkson scored 22 points in the sixth consecutive home win by the Lakers, who have won three straight and seven of nine overall during their best stretch of the season. Los Angeles nearly gave it away by missing four free throws in the final 20 seconds, but Marcus Smart missed a 3-pointer at the buzzer for the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics.

Kyrie Irving scored 33 points for the Celtics, who opened a four-game road trip by extending their longest losing streak in nearly two years.

Kuzma hit five 3-pointers and dominated down the stretch before Irving and Smart, who added 22 points, led the Celtics back.

WARRIORS 123, KNICKS 112

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Stephen Curry scored 17 of his 32 points in the third quarter to go with seven assists and six rebounds, and Golden State used a big second half to beat New York.

Kevin Durant added 14 points, a career-high 14 assists and two blocks before his ejection with 2:50 left for a second technical. Zaza Pachulia added 13 points in Golden State's seventh straight victory in the series.

The Warriors bounced back from Saturday's eight-point defeat at Houston to improve to 10-0 following a loss this season.

Michael Beasley scored 21 points and Courtney Lee contributed 20 as New York lost for the third time in four games and sixth in eight.

KINGS 105, MAGIC 99

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Garrett Temple scored 19 of his career-high 34 points in the fourth quarter to lift Sacramento over Orlando.

Willie Cauley-Stein had 21 points and nine rebounds and Buddy Hield added 13 points for the Kings, who stopped an eight-game losing streak. Temple accounted for all of Sacramento's points during a 17-6 run that put the Kings ahead 103-97 with 23.5 seconds to go.

Evan Fournier led the Magic with 22 points and Elfrid Payton had 21 points, seven assists and seven rebounds. Aaron Gordon added 16 and Jonathon Simmons had 14 for Orlando, which struggled mightily to score in the final quarter.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY JANUARY 24, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
7:00 PM New Orleans Pelicans Charlotte Hornets Spectrum Center
7:00 PM Phoenix Suns Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
7:00 PM Utah Jazz Detroit Pistons Little Caesars Arena
7:30 PM Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Philips Arena
8:00 PM Houston Rockets Dallas Mavericks American Airlines Center
8:00 PM San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies FedExForum
10:00 PM Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter
10:30 PM Boston Celtics Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack

Patriots? Super Bowls in Brady/Belichick era (underdogs 5-2 vs spread):

2001: W20-17 vs Rams +14

2003: W32-29 vs Carolina -7

2004: W24-21 vs Philadelphia -7

2007: L14-17 vs NJ Giants -12

2011: L17-21 vs NJ Giants -3

2014: W28-24 vs Seattle -1

2016: W34-28 vs Atlanta OT -3

Quote of the Day

?There are only two days in the year that nothing can be done. One is called yesterday and the other is called tomorrow, so today is the right day to??.live?
Dalai Lama

Wednesday?s quiz

Since the last time they were in the Super Bowl, how many QB?s have started a game for the Eagles?

Tuesday?s quiz

Before DeMarcus Cousins did it Monday night, David Lee was last NBA player with 30 points, 20 rebounds, 10 assists in a game.

Monday?s quiz

Emmitt Smith and Thurman Thomas share the record for most postseason touchdowns in the NFL, with 21.


Wednesday?s List of 13: some college knowledge??

Some college basketball notes for a winter Wednesday (thru Monday?s games)

13) Most experienced teams in country:

1) Tex-Arlington (13-8)
3) Idaho (13-6)
4) Tennessee Tech (13-8)
5) Missouri State (15-6)

12) Teams with best defensive eFG%:

1) Michigan State
2) Virginia
4) Cincinnati
5) Purdue
6) San Diego

11) Teams that force the highest %age of turnovers:

1) Stephen F Austin 28.5%
2) West Virginia 26.1%
3) St John?s 24.5%
5) Portland State 24.1%

10) San Diego State is only 11-7 in Brian Dutcher?s first year as coach; they?re 3-4 in Mountain West games, after going 152-56 the previous 12 years under Steve Fisher. How is it different?

? Aztecs are playing faster; pace #116- they were under 300th the last four years
? Teams are shooting 40.1% on arc vs San Diego State; their defensive rating is lowest it has been since 2006. Their offensive numbers are actually slightly better than usual this year.
? Aztecs lost last three games, by 3-4-4 points; their point guard play could be better.

9) Best 3-point shooting teams in country:

1) Purdue 43.7%
2) Wofford 42.6%
3) Wm&Mary 42.5%
4) Idaho 42.5%

8) Teams that get highest %age of their points on 3-pointers:

1) Washington State 47.5%
2) Belmont 45.4%
3) Elon 43.4%
4) Davidson 42.7%

7) Best free throws shooting teams:

1) Wm&Mary 80.8%
2) Central Michigan 80.2%
5) Marquette 79.3%
6) Oregon 79%

6) Teams that get highest %age of their points on free throws:

1) Cal-Fullerton 26.7%
2) Northern Arizona 25.4%
T3) South Carolina/Wyoming 24.6%

5) The Big X is totally loaded; Baylor/Iowa State are the lowest teams and they?re good. Kansas is 6-1 in Big X, with zero wins by more than six points.

4) Only five of the first 37 Big East conference games were decided by 4 or less points.

3) Home teams are only 20-19 SU in Mountain West games so far this season.

2) Top teams vs spread this season:

1) South Alabama 13-3
2) Belmont 14-5
3) Montana 13-4
4) East Tennessee State 12-3-1

1? Worst 3-point shooters in country:

351) Sacred Heart 27.2%
349) East Carolina 27.5%
346) Fordham 28.2%
344) Memphis 29.1%

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA knowledge

Wednesday?s NBA

76ers lost nine of last ten games with Chicago (over 8-2). Bulls are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Chicago won four of last six games; they?re 10-1 vs spread in last 11 tries as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Sixers won seven of their last nine games; they?re 9-6 vs spread as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Home side won seven of last eight Pelican-Hornet games; New Orleans is 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Charlotte. Nine of last ten series games went over total. Pelicans won four of their last six games; three of their last four wins were in OT. NO is 7-7 vs spread as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. Charlotte won three of its last four games; 11-7 as home favorites.

Jazz won seven of last ten games with Detroit; Utah is 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Jazz lost seven of last ten games; they?re 6-12 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over. Pistons lost their last five games; they?re 1-6 in last seven games as home favorites. Four of their last six home games stayed under the total.

Pacers won four of last five games with Phoenix; road team won last four series games. Suns covered three of last four visits here. Six of last eight series games stayed under. Phoenix lost four of their last five games; they?re 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under total. Indiana won six of its last nine games; they?re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

Raptors won seven of last ten games with Atlanta; they?re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here- four of those games stayed under total. Toronto is 3-4 in its last seven games; they?re 6-4 in last ten games as road favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Atlanta won three of last four games; they covered last five tries as a home underdog. Hawks? last four games stayed under the total.

Spurs won eight of their last ten games with Memphis; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Tennessee. Five of last six series games went over total. San Antonio split their last ten games; they?re 1-5 vs spread on road if they played night before. Six of their last seven games stayed under total. Grizzlies won four of their last five games; they?re 10-14 vs spread at home. Four of their last five games went over total.

Rockets won eight of last ten games with Dallas; they covered three of last four games in this building. Five of last six series games stayed under total. Houston won six of its last seven games; they?re 11-8 as road favorites- their last five games stayed under the total. Mavericks lost six of last nine games; they covered last five games as home underdogs. Five of their last seven games stayed under total.

Minnesota won three of last four games with Portland; home side won last five series games. Wolves are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oregon. Three of last four series games went over the total. Timberwolves won seven of last nine games; they?re 6-7 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over. Portland won three of last four games; they?re 4-3 in last seven games as home favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Clippers won six of last eight games with Boston; home side won last four. Celtics are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Under is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Boston lost its last four games, by 8-9-1-3 points; under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Celtics are 13-8 vs spread on road, 3-5 if they played night before. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games. Clippers lost last two games after a 6-game win streak; over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

 

[Cnotes53]

Selling Rocket Futures
January 23, 2018

The Houston Rockets sure are ticking off a lot of boxes right now. They?re ripping teams apart during a pretty impressive run that?s included a win over Golden State and have finally evened themselves with bettors thanks to a 22-22-1 ATS record. James Harden and Chris Paul are also undeniably great to watch together. When they?re rolling, that pair seems unstoppable.

Overall, they?re 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS since New Year?s, but the question is how much you like them long term. It?s easy to get caught up in their momentum right now. Stacking their value in the NBA futures market, however, shows some irregularities that need discussing.

Odds to win 2018 NBA Championship

Golden State 1/2
Cleveland 6/1
Houston 8/1
Boston 10/1
Oklahoma City 20/1
San Antonio 20/1
Minnesota 20/1
Toronto 25/1

What I hate about the NBA the most is that the regular season doesn?t seem to matter. Steph Curry and Kevin Durant could probably go to Mars for six months, come back with Golden State as the 8th seed and still pummel everyone in a set of seven-game series while defending their championship. The complexities of surviving a playoff series against a routine opponent is just so different than what happens over 82 games in the regular season.

Nobody is questioning what the Houston Rockets can do offensively. They?re the second best offense in the league by almost every metric. Defensively, they could use some work but ranking 12th in defensive rating (i.e. per 100 possessions) is a miracle under Mike D?Antoni. They?re great on both ends. We know this as fact.

But the playoffs are a different animal and the main pieces of the Houston Rockets know that first hand. First off, James Harden has barely been a factor for the team in the playoffs during meaningful stretches. Chris Paul has also been a big, fat zero in the post season as well. It?s a running joke that Houston is going to collapse in the playoffs eventually, and it?s not like Paul?s arrival did anything to dismiss that.

The biggest issue I have with Chris Paul is that he acts entitled and has never really earned it. He?s max contract worthy, a phenomenal player and well respected amongst his peers?but he?s never been in the MVP discussion and his teams never succeed in the playoffs. He gets after the refs way too much for a guy who is also the President of the Player?s Association. He just comes off as a jerk.

A recent showdown with the L.A. Clippers showed who Houston really is. They?re fake tough. You can?t let a guy like Austin Rivers or Blake Griffin get under your skin like that. The Rockets became more preoccupied with being the ?biggest guy in the yard? instead of the team that wins the game. Doesn?t that remind you of the Clippers when Chris Paul was their leader?

Numbers and stats inform discussions on players and teams in a huge way, but there are intangibles that define the ways we approach teams. There is so much optimism about the up-and-coming teams. Boston has so much potential. Toronto?s depth is unbelievable, and their evolution this year has been great. Oklahoma City is valiantly trying to figure out how things are supposed to work and Minnesota is maturing right before our very eyes.

I hate saying it because I love watching Harden play basketball, but what?s the next step for Houston? What more can they do other than give Harden the ball or watch CP3 crumble in crunch time? Who steps up to fill that void? If we know anything about D?Antoni, it?s that he?s going to defer to his best players at all times. Ariza, Gordon, Capella and the rest are all just innocent bystanders. Harden and Paul want to be the heroes and they always get their way. They feel like a team that?s at the peak of the NBA right now, but they also reek of a team that?s at their own actual peak.

Unfortunately, that doesn?t lead anywhere positive for the Rockets in the long run. They just aren?t a value play at +800 to win the title. Like an Eastern Conference team I?ll highlight later on in the week, they?re a fantastic and fun regular season bet. But long term? I mean there are just better value bets to unseat the Warriors.

This is just a warning to everyone out there. If there?s anything we know about James Harden, it?s that he fades the deeper he gets in to the playoffs. I don?t know why CP3 has this reputation as being ?clutch?. Despite beating the Warriors recently, he?s been dominated by Steph Curry when it matters.

Beyond all of this I just don?t see how the Houston Rockets get better. They?ve already hit their ceiling, which is the second best offence and a slightly above average defence. That?s not worth an 8-to-1 flier for me. I?d rather take a 20-to-1 longshot at that point, like Toronto or Minnesota.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA

Wednesday, January 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH @ DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Utah is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

PHOENIX @ INDIANA
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games at home

NEW ORLEANS @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

TORONTO @ ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games

HOUSTON @ DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

SAN ANTONIO @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Minnesota

BOSTON @ LA CLIPPERS
Boston is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 11 games

 

[Cnotes53]

B]NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, January 24[/B]


Chicago @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
January 24, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.404
Philadelphia
124.518
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 9
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
218
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-5); Over

New Orleans @ Charlotte

Game 703-704
January 24, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
116.732
Charlotte
121.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 5
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 1 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-1 1/2); Over

Utah @ Detroit

Game 705-706
January 24, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
117.896
Detroit
116.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+3); Under

Phoenix @ Indiana

Game 707-708
January 24, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
115.734
Indiana
119.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 8
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+8); Under

Toronto @ Atlanta

Game 709-710
January 24, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.404
Atlanta
116.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6
214
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+6); Over

San Antonio @ Memphis

Game 711-712
January 24, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
118.702
Memphis
121.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
N/A

Houston @ Dallas

Game 713-714
January 24, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.742
Dallas
117.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Portland

Game 715-716
January 24, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
121.492
Portland
118.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

Boston @ LA Clippers

Game 717-718
January 24, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
119.209
LA Clippers
122.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
No Line
N/a
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
N/A