COVID-19 confirmed cases/death
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Italy Doesn't
Italy Doesn't
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Italy Doesn't
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/boris-coronavirus-johnson-prime-minister-112128890.html??33
UK Prime Minister tests positive for corona virus.
USA now has the most reported cases of any country in the world.
USA: 85,749
China: 81,340
Italy: 80,589
UK Prime Minister tests positive for corona virus.
USA now has the most reported cases of any country in the world.
USA: 85,749
China: 81,340
Italy: 80,589
^
also UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock tests positive for coronavirus
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavi...-crashing-economy-business-secretary-11964345
can't care less about politicians but Till Lindemann is hospitalized and in serious condition:
https://www.blabbermouth.net/news/rammstein-singer-till-lindemann-in-icu-with-covid-19/
i know Keith will be fine but other really old farts :scared
also UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock tests positive for coronavirus
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavi...-crashing-economy-business-secretary-11964345
can't care less about politicians but Till Lindemann is hospitalized and in serious condition:
https://www.blabbermouth.net/news/rammstein-singer-till-lindemann-in-icu-with-covid-19/
i know Keith will be fine but other really old farts :scared
Coronavirus in the U.S.: Latest Map and Case Count
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
A few numbers to look at.......
48 hours later.....that's a 44% increase in cases.
123,781 cases....that's 0.3% of America's population
At the time of writing this....we have 2,229 deaths from Covid-19 in the US.
2,229 that died is 1.8% of the 123,781 cases.
Also, 2,229 deaths is 0.0000068% of America's population.
3,238 are reported to have fully recovered.....that's 2.61% of 123,781 cases.
61,000 deaths (average) in U.S. from flu. When the Corona virus is 167 deaths a day, everyday....it will be as bad as the flu. It isn't.....yet. If the growth trend continues for Covid-19 then we could potentially see those numbers.
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Do the math with 44% increase every 48 hours for 30 days then 60 days then 90 days. How long can we go without slowing it down? What about hospitals? The death rate increases as hospitals fill and that includes non-virus related deaths as well.
How long can businesses stay closed, people stay home not working?
How many idiots like HH that catch it but ignore staying home and then spread the virus to even more people unnecessarily?
Maybe I'm just too negative. Maybe I don't know anything about this but who does?
This is good stuff right here Joker,,There are a number of people killed by guns everyday in the USA was almost 40,000 last year? I own guns and will always own guns I hope, but this is a number that is alarmng as well. In 2018, an estimated 1,735,350 new cases of cancer will be diagnosed in the United States and 609,640 people will die from the disease. Another good number to compare with,,I wish we could cure cancer,corona and the flu.And beofre some smart ass says you cant catch cancer and guns I know,,Just using numbers for talk speak
The rise is epic, but I see it flying downward once we get to that point. The big problem I see, is that people will not stay locked down for too long. We will be like people who jumped from the World Trade Center. (Less dramatic, obviously!)
I'm already sick of being shut in.
Me as well man,,,We have played golf evryday for a week,,Only one rider in a cart,,no touching of the flags,,,AND I know one person that has it now as he traveled to New York on business and tested positive Wednesday. He feels fine and other than the self quarantine is all he is doing medically .He is not laid up in a "War Zone" as the hospitals are calling it.He obviously is NOT welcome to play golf .
- Mar 19, 2006
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3/29/2020 U.S. virus deaths could reach 200,000, Fauci warns as medical supplies run short - Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...warns-as-medical-supplies-run-short-idUSKBN2? 1/3
(Reuters) - U.S. deaths from coronavirus could reach 200,000 with millions of cases, the government?s top infectious diseases expert warned on
Sunday as New York, New Orleans and other major cities pleaded for more medical supplies.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, estimated in an interview with CNN that the pandemic
could cause between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths in the United States.
Since 2010, the flu has killed between 12,000 and 61,000 Americans a year, according to the website here of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention. The 1918-19 flu pandemic killed 675,000 in the United States, according to the CDC.
The U.S. coronavirus death toll topped 2,300 on Sunday, after deaths on Saturday more than doubled from the level two days prior. The United
States has now recorded more than 130,000 cases of COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, the most of any country in the world.
Jason Brown, who was laid off from his job in digital media due to the pandemic, said Fauci?s estimate was scary.
?I feel like it?s just growing, growing, growing,? said Brown, who is 27 and lives in Los Angeles, one of the epicenters of the outbreak. ?There?s no
vaccine. It seems like a lot of people don?t take it seriously in the U.S. so it makes me believe that this would become more drastic and drastic.?
VENTILATOR SHORTAGE
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, whose state has become one the fastest growing areas for the virus, especially in the county that includes
Detroit, called the rapid spread ?gut-wrenching.?
?We have nurses wearing the same mask from the beginning of their shift until the end, masks that are supposed to for one patient at one point in
your shift. We need some assistance and we?re going to need thousands of ventilators,? Whitmer told CNN.
New York City will need hundreds more ventilators in a few days and more masks, gowns and other supplies by April 5, Mayor Bill de Blasio told
CNN on Sunday.
New Orleans will run out of ventilators around April 4 and officials in Louisiana still do not know whether they will receive any ventilators from
the national stockpile, the governor said.
Louisiana has tried to order 12,000 ventilators from commercial vendors and has received 192, Governor John Bel Edwards said on CBS? ?Face
the Nation.?
?We haven?t yet been approved for ventilators out of the national stockpile. I continue to press that case and I hope we will be cut in for a slice of
what they have left,? Edwards said. ?It is the one thing that really keeps me up at night.?
One bright spot on Sunday was Florida reporting about 200 more cases but no new deaths, with its total staying at 56.
Doctors are also especially concerned about a shortage of ventilators, breathing machines needed by many of those suffering from the pneumonialike respiratory ailment.
Dr. Arabia Mollette, an emergency medicine physician at Brookdale and St. Barnabas Hospital in the Bronx, has started praying during the cab ride
to work in the morning before she enters what she describes as a ?medical warzone.? At the end of her shift, which often runs much longer than the
scheduled 12 hours, she sometimes cannot hold back tears.
?We?re trying to keep our heads above water without drowning,? Mollette said. ?We are scared. We?re trying to fight for everyone else?s life, but
we also fight for our lives as well.?
On Saturday, the CDC warned residents of New York, Connecticut and New Jersey against non-essential domestic travel for 14 days.
Tests to track the disease?s progress also remain in short supply, despite
repeated White House promises that they would be widely available.
Since the virus first appeared in the United States in late January, President
Donald Trump has vacillated between playing down the risks of infection
and urging Americans to take steps to slow its spread. He said he would
hold a news conference at 5 p.m. ET (2100 GMT).
Reporting by Sarah N. Lynch, Doina Chiacu and Chris Sanders in Washington, Karen Freifeld in New York, Tom Polansek in Chicago and Dan Trotta; Writing by
Lisa Shumaker; Editing by Daniel Wallis
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...warns-as-medical-supplies-run-short-idUSKBN2? 1/3
(Reuters) - U.S. deaths from coronavirus could reach 200,000 with millions of cases, the government?s top infectious diseases expert warned on
Sunday as New York, New Orleans and other major cities pleaded for more medical supplies.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, estimated in an interview with CNN that the pandemic
could cause between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths in the United States.
Since 2010, the flu has killed between 12,000 and 61,000 Americans a year, according to the website here of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention. The 1918-19 flu pandemic killed 675,000 in the United States, according to the CDC.
The U.S. coronavirus death toll topped 2,300 on Sunday, after deaths on Saturday more than doubled from the level two days prior. The United
States has now recorded more than 130,000 cases of COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, the most of any country in the world.
Jason Brown, who was laid off from his job in digital media due to the pandemic, said Fauci?s estimate was scary.
?I feel like it?s just growing, growing, growing,? said Brown, who is 27 and lives in Los Angeles, one of the epicenters of the outbreak. ?There?s no
vaccine. It seems like a lot of people don?t take it seriously in the U.S. so it makes me believe that this would become more drastic and drastic.?
VENTILATOR SHORTAGE
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, whose state has become one the fastest growing areas for the virus, especially in the county that includes
Detroit, called the rapid spread ?gut-wrenching.?
?We have nurses wearing the same mask from the beginning of their shift until the end, masks that are supposed to for one patient at one point in
your shift. We need some assistance and we?re going to need thousands of ventilators,? Whitmer told CNN.
New York City will need hundreds more ventilators in a few days and more masks, gowns and other supplies by April 5, Mayor Bill de Blasio told
CNN on Sunday.
New Orleans will run out of ventilators around April 4 and officials in Louisiana still do not know whether they will receive any ventilators from
the national stockpile, the governor said.
Louisiana has tried to order 12,000 ventilators from commercial vendors and has received 192, Governor John Bel Edwards said on CBS? ?Face
the Nation.?
?We haven?t yet been approved for ventilators out of the national stockpile. I continue to press that case and I hope we will be cut in for a slice of
what they have left,? Edwards said. ?It is the one thing that really keeps me up at night.?
One bright spot on Sunday was Florida reporting about 200 more cases but no new deaths, with its total staying at 56.
Doctors are also especially concerned about a shortage of ventilators, breathing machines needed by many of those suffering from the pneumonialike respiratory ailment.
Dr. Arabia Mollette, an emergency medicine physician at Brookdale and St. Barnabas Hospital in the Bronx, has started praying during the cab ride
to work in the morning before she enters what she describes as a ?medical warzone.? At the end of her shift, which often runs much longer than the
scheduled 12 hours, she sometimes cannot hold back tears.
?We?re trying to keep our heads above water without drowning,? Mollette said. ?We are scared. We?re trying to fight for everyone else?s life, but
we also fight for our lives as well.?
On Saturday, the CDC warned residents of New York, Connecticut and New Jersey against non-essential domestic travel for 14 days.
Tests to track the disease?s progress also remain in short supply, despite
repeated White House promises that they would be widely available.
Since the virus first appeared in the United States in late January, President
Donald Trump has vacillated between playing down the risks of infection
and urging Americans to take steps to slow its spread. He said he would
hold a news conference at 5 p.m. ET (2100 GMT).
Reporting by Sarah N. Lynch, Doina Chiacu and Chris Sanders in Washington, Karen Freifeld in New York, Tom Polansek in Chicago and Dan Trotta; Writing by
Lisa Shumaker; Editing by Daniel Wallis
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Don't claim to be an expert on pandemics, but I'll make some semi-educated guesses.
So far the US has pretty closely mirrored Italy, just lagging by about 7-10 days. The numbers from there are still horrible, but after rising to a high of 6500 new infections on 3/21, they've now had between 4,800 and 6,200 new infections/day for the last week. That looks like they are still peaking, but are at the flat part of the peak where at least the rate of infection is no longer rising. The big question now is how long it takes for that infection rate to actually start dropping off. If China is an indicator (and you believe their numbers) - they spent about a week at their peak and then started coming down. So if we start to see that happen with Italy this week that would be a very good sign. It would indicate that we've got another 1-2 weeks before we peak, a week of peaking, and then starting to tail off and getting some good news by the end of April. A big variable though is that the US population density is about 1/6th of Italy - hopefully that helps us flatten the curve a little better. And the US population is also 5 years younger than Italy's - hopefully that helps us avoid the 10% death rate they've seen for the last week.
I definitely think April is going to be a roller coaster no matter what. And as it goes on I think we're going to have a pretty pronounced split between areas of the country where the worst is over or it never reached, and big population centers where it is still raging. How to safely open up parts of the country while keeping other parts locked down is going to be an immense challenge, and requires coordinated effort between the federal and local governments. Without getting overtly political - the last couple days do not inspire a lot of confidence on that front.
So far the US has pretty closely mirrored Italy, just lagging by about 7-10 days. The numbers from there are still horrible, but after rising to a high of 6500 new infections on 3/21, they've now had between 4,800 and 6,200 new infections/day for the last week. That looks like they are still peaking, but are at the flat part of the peak where at least the rate of infection is no longer rising. The big question now is how long it takes for that infection rate to actually start dropping off. If China is an indicator (and you believe their numbers) - they spent about a week at their peak and then started coming down. So if we start to see that happen with Italy this week that would be a very good sign. It would indicate that we've got another 1-2 weeks before we peak, a week of peaking, and then starting to tail off and getting some good news by the end of April. A big variable though is that the US population density is about 1/6th of Italy - hopefully that helps us flatten the curve a little better. And the US population is also 5 years younger than Italy's - hopefully that helps us avoid the 10% death rate they've seen for the last week.
I definitely think April is going to be a roller coaster no matter what. And as it goes on I think we're going to have a pretty pronounced split between areas of the country where the worst is over or it never reached, and big population centers where it is still raging. How to safely open up parts of the country while keeping other parts locked down is going to be an immense challenge, and requires coordinated effort between the federal and local governments. Without getting overtly political - the last couple days do not inspire a lot of confidence on that front.
FOX is starting to understand that this might be an actual issue, rather than a Democratic hoax.
They actually have guests on now who say this shit hasn't even started yet.
They actually have guests on now who say this shit hasn't even started yet.
