WAYNE ALAN ROOT
WAYNE ALAN ROOT
Millionaires--Under
Pinnacle Pick--Seattle
The New England Patriots have played in seven Super Bowls and have covered the spread only once. So bettors are digging deep as they take this fact to the Sportsbook and betting the Seattle Seahawks. Russell Wilson is 5-1-1 ATS in his L7 playoff games, and Seattle has now won 8 straight games, going 7-1-0 ATS in those contests and allowing a total of just 75 points (3, 3, 14, 7, 6, 6, 14, 22) along the way. Their only non-cover was in last week?s exciting 28-22 OT win over the Packers in the NFC Championship game at CenturyLink Field in the Emerald City as closing 8?-point favorites on the Board. Both teams strangely rallied after mid-season losses to the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Patriots have won 5 of their L6 overall but New England is just 1-3 ATS L4. Nobody in the NFL has been hotter in the second half of the 2014/2015 NFL season than the Seahawks, thanks in great part to the stellar play of their young and extremely versatile QB Russell Wilson and that historic defense. Overall the Patriots have struggled to run up the score of late, averaging just 20.3 points per game in their previous three games. Also of concern is New England?s struggle at times to produce points away from Gillette Stadium, scoring more than 23 points on just three occasions this season, and failing to do so since routing the Colts in Indy back in Week 11. Against a Seahawks defense that has proven capable of standing tall in the direst of circumstances, and has given up just 26 total second-half points, including a mere two TDs, over their last eight contests. It will be crucial for Brady and the Pats to get on the scoreboard early to keep pace with the defending champs but like last years Super Bowl, expect the Seahawks to prevent that from happening. Seattle has continued to dominate with defense, holding opponents to just over nine points per game during their current winning streak, while stymieing opposing quarterbacks; most recently Green Bay?s Aaron Rodgers and Carolina?s Cam Newton, who were held to a combined 401 passing yards and three TD tosses, while throwing a total of four picks. New England has been very kind to the sportsbooks on the totals as they have gone under the total in four of their five Super Bowl appearances in the Brady era, including the last three. Tom Brady is making his sixth Super Bowl appearance ? an all-time record. The Patriots are 3-2 straight up in those games but just 1-4 ATS. They are 0-4 ATS as favorites and have not covered the last four spreads.
Recent Trends to Consider:
Seahawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in February.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Superbowl games.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Superbowl games.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games in February.
Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
With the best defense in the NFL and an extra week to prepare, Seattle looks poised to become the first team to win back-to-back Super Bowls since the Patriots did so in Super Bowls XXXVIII and XXXIX.:shrug:
TAKE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS