wow folded early and reverse jinxed a winner out of wolves/brighton . i gave back the juice on villa game but thought it was gonna be worse . I don't like the games this weekend might start looking to next week .trash picks
been treading water since return from break , win a few /lose a few time to get it running 🏃♀️ 🏃♀️As always, thanks.
I am not much of a league cup guy but will try theseSERIE A
ATALANTA/MONZA OVER 2.5 -138
This line has come down overnight i saw it as high as -163. I will take my chances here betting that Atalanta is going to do much of the heavier lifting. They are top of the charts in Serie A scoring metrics, and they are starting to cook offensively. Atalanta is a horse to ride when they get hot. They have scored 2 or more in their last 4 Serie A games. They come into this after pumping competition with 6 goals and 5 goals in their last 2 home games. If Monza can chip in it will be a bonus, but I am hoping Atalanta brings the heat today.
made a few bucks here but I wanted a sweep. atalanta slept walk through huge spells of this game .I am not much of a league cup guy but will try these
EFL
BRIGHTON/LIVERPOOL OVER 2.5 -150
PRESTON/ARSENAL OVER 2.5 -138
oddsmakers goofed up that Lazio game, that was such a mistake, and an easy over. Too bad i forced in the Roma match , i expected more there.SERIE A
LAZIO/COMO OVER 2 , 2 1/2 -115
cheap line given the analytics. both teams top 10 in xG - 6th and 7th respectively. como has given up 5th most goals in serie a , lazio 4th best scoring in Serie A. this +110 on the 2.5 has value too.
ROMA/TORONO OVER 2 , 2 1/2 -115
torino worst xga in the league. 5 of the last 6 torino road games have gone over and they have given up 2 or more in 4 of the last 5 on their travels. roma is 5th best in xG they should get chances against a weak torino back line.
BOURNEMOUTH/CITY OVER 2.5/3 -125EPL
NEWCASTLE/ARSENAL OVER 2.5 -120
italia is the theme this weekend, so far so good.SERIE A
PARMA/VENEZIA OVER 2.5 - 150
- not crazy about the price, but i see goals. The BTTS is at -175 , and these teams have had plenty of high scoring affairs in recent matchups down in Serie B. These are the 2 worst xGA teams in the league, and both teams will want to win this game so there should be goalmouth action.
tomorrow
FIORENTINA/VERONA OVER 2.5 -125
doing something with the Lazio game as well just not sure how i am going to play it. They have been piping hot and the oddsmakers keep floating nice prices on their totals.
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