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Crookity

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LEIPZIG/LEVERKUSEN OVER 2.5/3 - 138
I am playing asian line here and laying a bit of juice. I see atleast 3 here with both top 3 in xg and goals scored. They also dont concede much but looking for goals to reign supreme with tons of firepower on the pitch.
 

Crookity

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Juve is just slapping the shit out of teams lately. They are filling it up! The Mafia must of called in some overs as we are finally seeing some scoring in Italy lol joking but not joking, Serie A doesn't have the best track record with this sort of thing .

Anyhow, we are rolling another winner 8 of 10 let's try to keep it going.

EPL
BRENTFORD/NOTTINGHAM OVER 2.5 -110
I can see this steaming , and will buy now. If it goes to + i will just add more. The return of the Top G Ivan Toney, one of my favorite players, and one the most prolific goal scorers in the league comes off his 1 year ban form sports gambling lol. Let's support one of our own , and see a high scoring affair! In all seriousness, Brentford is a completely different team with this guy in the mix, he finds the net. Brentford rounds out the top 10 in EPL scoring, and sits 11th in home XGA. I expect these numbers to start ticking up now with Toney in the mix. Nottingham has the propensity to leak goals at the back. They are near the bottom in goals conceded and XGA. I have watched some of their recent games, and Nuno has them looking pretty nice going forward. They have scored 2 goals in 3 of their last 4. I am going over and locking in now.
Vince Mcmahon Money GIF


TIME TO PAY THE PIPER WE ARE ROLLING BOYS
 

Crookity

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I believe that is 7 in a row and 10 of the last 12 . I won't count the Toney prop play that was just a little icing on the cake.

I don't see much left for exploiting this week. If I can cook something up I will be back. I am going to start digging for next week.
 

johnnyb

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LEIPZIG/LEVERKUSEN OVER 2.5/3 - 138
I am playing asian line here and laying a bit of juice. I see atleast 3 here with both top 3 in xg and goals scored. They also dont concede much but looking for goals to reign supreme with tons of firepower on the pitch.
Boom! Love that. Thanks bud
 
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Crookity

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EPL (MONDAY)
BRIGHTON/WOLVERAMPTON OVER 2.5/3 -125
This one has intrigued me since the line dropped awhile back. I have been watching it, and the price dipped to -150 and is steaming back up. I am going to buy in, the OVER 3 is +105, but I will play the Asian line. Brighton has had a long lay off. They had a few guys banged up over that time so they should be a bit fresher now. They come in 7th in goals scored, and 4th in EPL Home XG at +2.06. On the flip side they are not the most proficient team on the defensive side as is evident by the fact they are giving up well over 1.5 goals per game on average, good for bottom third ranking in XG and XGA. The 'Gulls face a Wolves Team who rounds out the top 10 in scoring metrics, and is also not the best defensively as they are also bottom third in defensive analytics. Wolves have gone over 2.5 in 5 of their last 6 games , and they have scored 2 or more in 4 of their last 5 contests. They are missing Hwang & Traore to Asia Cup but I think they have enough going forward to pop one. LIke i said they scored in 23 of their last 24 games. Brighton can light up anyone on their day. Here are the recent scorelines in this matchup ; 4-1, 6-0, 3-2, 3-0 all going to Brighton. If Brighton bring their A game they score 3 themselves.
 

Crookity

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NEX WEEK
ATALANTA/UDINESE OVER 2.5 -125

look at all those Serie A Overs! They were nowhere to be seen for awhile. The last 10 Serie games went over 2.5 :smilies4
 

Crookity

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NEX WEEK
ATALANTA/UDINESE OVER 2.5 -125

look at all those Serie A Overs! They were nowhere to be seen for awhile. The last 10 Serie games went over 2.5 :smilies4
I don't love the card but this one went in early and I show the line approaching -160. Atalanta #3 in Serie A scoring , xG and home xG. They are lethal at home having scored 3 or more in 4 of 5 in their own park. Udinese has scored in 5 of 6 on the road and has given up 2 or more on road 3 of last 4. Ata should be good got 2-3 themselves here.
 
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