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Crookity

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UCL
LEIPZIG/MADRID OVER 2.5/3 -115
This has steamed a bit over night its a bit more pricey but id still play at -138. The line to me is in a grey zone as 2.5 -163 is too high for me and I don't want to go over 3. I see 3 goals here and will settle on the Asian line above.
 
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Crookity

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The RBL line came down , its more affordable now than many hours ago. The City line has come down. If they get it going early Haaland, Foden, KDB etc can get 3 themselves. I am going asian line again.

COPENHAGEN/CITY OVER 2.5/3 -115
 

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EUROPA
YOUNG BOYS/SPORTING OVER 2.5 -143
I played this morning. The line is running. I would play it to -150.
 

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Ok 2 of 3 this week let's run it up this weekend.

FULHAM/VILLA OVER 2.5/3 -125
Might hate myself for this one as WHU is in piss form , but call it a gut play.

EPL
NOTTINGHAM/WEST HAM OVER 2.5 -115 - Hammers worst road xGA in the league, both teams amongst the bottom in goals conceded and XGA. West Ham hasn't scored in 2 games, but I think they get right here and can find the net. Their xGA is over 2 on the road so they Forest should be afforded chances of their own.
 
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Crookity

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Been pretty much treading water for 2 weeks now.

SERIE A
FROSINONE/ROMA OVER 2.5 -125
Fro needs to come out and get something from this game as they are only 4 pts up on relegation. They are a better scoring team at home and should find one. They also are bottom of the barrel in defensive metrics. They are 4th worst in goals against and 2nd worst in xGA. I think Roma should be afforded opportunities in this one.
 

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Im riding Arsenal boys.

UCL
PORTO/ARSENAL OVER 2.5 -115

I played this right after Arsenal slapped WHU 6-0. This line was as low as +105 all week and I threw a few more dollars at it. The Gunners are firing full throttle right now. They are the hottest team in Europe and crushing opposition. Some of this was against weak defensive opposition but nontheless here are their most recent scorelines ; 5, 2, 3, 6, 5. Futbol is all about form, and run of play and right now Arsenal is cranking at optimal efficiency. Granted, Porto is a strong defensive club, and they concede less than 1 goal a game in Nos Liga, but that competition is not that of upper echelon EPL possition. I see the line steaming back up now and wouldn't be suprised if it makes it back to -115. Once the big tournys get into the Round of 16 I start pairing back my action. These games mean ALOT, and it is hard to gauge how cautious teams may come out, but I think we see enough chances to warranty a play on the over.
 
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Crookity

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The last 2 days reaffirms exactly why I dont play many Overs after the group stage - 4 games all to the Under.
 

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FA CUP
BOURNEMOUTH/LEICESTER OVER 2.5/3 -125

WOLVERAMPTON/BRIGHTON OVER 2.5 -154
I got snake bit on this matchup a few weeks ago with a goalless draw. I want my revenge lol
 
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Crookity

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Ouch ! This is what I get for betting a league cup tournament, scoreless draw. Hopefully tomorrow's game fairs better.

EPL SATURDAY
NEWCASTLE/WOLVES OVER 2.5/3 -125
FULHAM/BRIGHTON OVER 2.5/3 -115

I think VILLA fills it up with Luton leaking goals in abundance , but have to figure out how to play it.

BUNDESLIGA
STUTGART/WOLFSBURG OVER 2.5 -138
 

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Ouch ! This is what I get for betting a league cup tournament, scoreless draw. Hopefully tomorrow's game fairs better.

EPL SATURDAY
NEWCASTLE/WOLVES OVER 2.5/3 -125
FULHAM/BRIGHTON OVER 2.5/3 -115

I think VILLA fills it up with Luton leaking goals in abundance , but have to figure out how to play it.

BUNDESLIGA
STUTGART/WOLFSBURG OVER 2.5 -138
I am now VERY concerned about Brighton considering I have them listed on 2 plays in the coming days. Guys I almost never do this, but I am for now backing out of BRIGHTON/WOLVES and FULHAM/BRIGHTON OVER listed above. I just read that Mitoma, Ferguson, Welbeck, Gilmour, Jao Pedro are all OUT. They are facing a situation where they don't have a true striker to play. Brighton is a much better home scoring team than road scoring team. They might have troubles scoring. As a general rule I don't back off plays , but had I known of these deep injury concerns to prominent offenseive players than I would not have made the bet to begin with.
 

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For today we have these 2 going:

NEWCASTLE/WOLVES OVER 2.5/3 -125

WOLFSBURG/STUTGART OVER 2.5 -138

I need that Villa to close out a 2 gamer. I like the Tottenham/CP Over as well but you need to pair it with something if your going over 2.5 as the line is close to -200 now.
 
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Crookity

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Nice day yesterday , and hoping to close out the week strong.

going to a foreign land we generally don't play in.

HOLLAND
PSV/FEYENOORD OVER 2.5 - 134
lots of fire power and the line is right. Yes, they are top of the charts 1 and 2 in goals condeded , but they are also 1 and 2 in xg, and goals scored. There are plenty of high scoring matches in the last few years between these clubs. Here is to hoping offense rains supreme over defensive efficiency.
 

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CONFERENCE LEAGUE
AJAX/VILLA OVER 2.5/3 - 138

If you want to lower your juice take the 3 at -110
 
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