I Don't Post Often But When I Do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
- Thread starter Northern Star
- Start date
Ass raped by all 3 early plays. NS was on a hot streak and I cooled it off!:mj07:
I don't tail often but when I do, I get my ass handed to me!:mj07: Not bashing Northstar just stating an unlucky fact
Northern Star long time ! hope is well !! how the wheather out west:0074
if i remember right sd:0corn
if i remember right sd:0corn
5* Minnesota Under 202.5 (70)
4* Minnesota Under 104.5 fh (69)
4* Boston Under 203 (63)
3* Sac Over 219.5 (59)
As Always Good Luck
Northern Sta
4* Minnesota Under 104.5 fh (69)
4* Boston Under 203 (63)
3* Sac Over 219.5 (59)
As Always Good Luck
Northern Sta
Gonna need a prayer for OT for sure in SAC. Another tough night.:facepalm::sadwave: Get em tomorrow.
I have a minute before a meeting. I thought I would give a little more information. My program is designed to look at a game 4 different ways. Each way is unique with a goal to predict and over or under with a win percentage of 52 or higher. Some start that way and get worse over time and I tweek them at the end of the year but the concept remains the same. Some do better than others. The goal of these is to generate good indicators.
I then look for games where more than one of the four have the same indicator with the idea that if for instance two indicators are hitting 55%....when they both indicate the percentage will be higher. The ultimate goal of the program is to generate a significant number of plays and hit around 57 to 58%.
I am going to show you one of the numbers for a game that as of right now is a play. I will put the lines I use in later today to see if anything changes.
Detroit Over This particular scenario happens quite a bit for some reason.
Indicator 1 no pick
Indicator 2 Picks Over. Past results
This Year 15-11
2014 44-36
2013 57-38
2012 45-39
Indicator 3 Over
this year 15-11
2014 50-41
2013 67-49
2012 60-45
Indicator 4 Over
This year 15-10
2014 49-37
2013 63-42
2012 56-40
Now when all 3 of this indicators have the same game
This year 7-3
2014 11-14 losing year doesn't always win and worse than the individual indicators
2013 28-17
2012 22-10 what ideally it would do is make it even better
Total record last 3 plus years 68-44. So I would post 61%
First half by the way is 65-46
The vistor cover 41 of 112 games 36.6%
I don't think numbers like these are a statistical fluke I think they are a valid indicator of the outcome.
When you get more indicators agreeing there is also fewer plays from a track record standpoint. Ideally the percentage goes up but not always.
I should be back later.
As Always Good Luck
Northern Star
I then look for games where more than one of the four have the same indicator with the idea that if for instance two indicators are hitting 55%....when they both indicate the percentage will be higher. The ultimate goal of the program is to generate a significant number of plays and hit around 57 to 58%.
I am going to show you one of the numbers for a game that as of right now is a play. I will put the lines I use in later today to see if anything changes.
Detroit Over This particular scenario happens quite a bit for some reason.
Indicator 1 no pick
Indicator 2 Picks Over. Past results
This Year 15-11
2014 44-36
2013 57-38
2012 45-39
Indicator 3 Over
this year 15-11
2014 50-41
2013 67-49
2012 60-45
Indicator 4 Over
This year 15-10
2014 49-37
2013 63-42
2012 56-40
Now when all 3 of this indicators have the same game
This year 7-3
2014 11-14 losing year doesn't always win and worse than the individual indicators
2013 28-17
2012 22-10 what ideally it would do is make it even better
Total record last 3 plus years 68-44. So I would post 61%
First half by the way is 65-46
The vistor cover 41 of 112 games 36.6%
I don't think numbers like these are a statistical fluke I think they are a valid indicator of the outcome.
When you get more indicators agreeing there is also fewer plays from a track record standpoint. Ideally the percentage goes up but not always.
I should be back later.
As Always Good Luck
Northern Star
Play These Tonight
Play These Tonight
INDY
CHAR
MINN
MIA
DET
PHILLY
PORT
CHIC
SAN
UTAH
Clippers
GOLDEN STATE
Play These Tonight
INDY
CHAR
MINN
MIA
DET
PHILLY
PORT
CHIC
SAN
UTAH
Clippers
GOLDEN STATE
Tonight behind like always
5 New jersey Under 192.5 (71)
5 Golden State Under 219.5 (72)
5 Atlanta Under 199 (68)
4 Det over 198.5 Utah Over 201 (61) same category see earlier post
4 Clipper Over 197 (72) few plays becasue all4
4 Chicago Under 194.5 (67)
3 New jersey Under FH 96.5 (63)
3 Golden State Under fh 108 (63)
3 Detroit over 97.5 Ut Over 100.5 (59)
Correlated
Chicago and Under 35
Golden State Under 43
Boston and Over, New orleans And over 36
PHil and Under 45
As Always Good Luck
Northern Star
5 New jersey Under 192.5 (71)
5 Golden State Under 219.5 (72)
5 Atlanta Under 199 (68)
4 Det over 198.5 Utah Over 201 (61) same category see earlier post
4 Clipper Over 197 (72) few plays becasue all4
4 Chicago Under 194.5 (67)
3 New jersey Under FH 96.5 (63)
3 Golden State Under fh 108 (63)
3 Detroit over 97.5 Ut Over 100.5 (59)
Correlated
Chicago and Under 35
Golden State Under 43
Boston and Over, New orleans And over 36
PHil and Under 45
As Always Good Luck
Northern Star
