I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...

Crookity

Crookity

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What a piss off that Arsenal game was , would of rather it ended 0-0 than to tease me like that. Nothing is coming easy in Serie A today either:0002
 
Crookity

Crookity

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phew, Sampdoria comes through to cash that game. At this point I just want 2 more in the Villa/CP game, and escape this morning with a split.
 
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Crookity said:
Got a little too cute with the parlays yesterday, in the end fell narrowly short on 2 of the matches. Now it is time to get back to business. I see some value for tomorrow.

SERIE A

VERONA/SAMP OVER 2.5 -110
I really like this Verona team, Simeone is fun to watch, and they play fast, and attacking football. Verona is punching above their weight, and rank 3rd in the league in goals scored per game sitting up there with the notable big boys of the Serie A. Verona has found the net in 10 straight, they are running hot right now. Sampdoria is mid range , but they still get over 1 GPG themselves, and have scored in 7 of their last 8 games. Neither of these teams are show stoppers on Defense, Samp is actually bottom 5 of the Serie A, and Verona is not far behind. Combined they give up over 3.5 GPG. Samp ranks 2nd in the league in xGA at home , and 5th over all xGA (expected goals against) which is quite telling, it means they are giving up lots of chances. These teams have played each other 3 times in the last 2 years, and all of them went Over; 3-1, 2-1, 2-1 score lines. The last 5 Sampdoria games at home all had 3 goals or more scored, and Verona has gone over in 3 of their last 5 on the road. I like how it shapes up , and the price is right for me, I am buying.


EMPOLI/FIOENTINA OVER 2.5 - 125
FIO has been picking it up lately they come into this off a 4-3 home win against Milan. They have now scored 3 goals or more in 3 of their last 5 games and are 8th in the league in scoring. Empoli is not far behind in rounding out the top 10, and combined these squads avg about 3 per game. On the defensive side Empoli is near the bottom 5 in goals against, they let in nearly 2 per game. They are #1 in xGA at home, no other team is expected to concede more at home than Empoli. To me Empoli passes the eye test. They can look quite decent in attack at times, and they lack the defensive consistency to keep the ball out of their own net. As a result, many of their games are quite entertaining, and they generally play with an up tempo. I am going Over on this one.


I have a few others, but I am running out of time, back later.
Click to expand...

Well done once again.👍
 
Crookity

Crookity

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Finally a 2nd goal in Villa game, this McGinn kid has a boot. Every time I watch this guy he is cracking it!

I feel pretty fortunate to walk out of the morning with some profits. At one point it was looking like I could come away totally empty handed.

SERIE A
JUVENTUS/ATALANTA OVER 2.5 - 138
I might hate myself for this it could be a 1-1 type of game, but I really like the line ups today, especially Juventus. I haven't seen Dybala, Morata, Chiesa, and Locatelli on a lineup in a long time. Atalanta has been running really hot , they have scored 2 or more in their last 6 matches, all of which went Over.
 
tt boy

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not much in serie a today C...this udinese genoa match total shit show:mj07: maybe goals in Milan Sassuolo:confused:
 
Crookity

Crookity

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tt boy said:
not much in serie a today C...this udinese genoa match total shit show:mj07: maybe goals in Milan Sassuolo:confused:
Click to expand...

Wow ate too many edibles last night, crashed super hard and woke up late. I wasn't gonna touch the early bird but I got these going.

SERIE A
ACM/SASS OVER 3 -115 - played last night it steamed a bit

NAPOLI/LAZIO OVER 2.5 -138
 
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