I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
New week, and there are some plays I really like on this mid week card.
SERIE A
VERONA/CAGLIARI OVER 2.5/3 -110 , watching line.
This game adds up on several fronts. Verona is averaging 2 goals per game, and still rank in the top 5 of the league with the notable heavyweights Inter, ACM, Napoli, Atalanta. Verona is tied with Inter and Lazio for most home goals this season, and only Inter averages more goals per game at home than HV. Fitting for this game is the fact that Cagliari gives up an average of 2.50 goals per game when they travel, this is 2nd worst Overall in Serie A. They also lead the league in xGA on the road which clearly shows that chances are abundant in their own end when they play away. These two teams give up a combined average of about 4 goals per contest. Verona's propensity for scoring at home, and Cagliari clear troubles on the road is a good recipe for me. These are the score lines for HV at home their last 5 games , all of them wins ; 2-1, 2-1, 4-1, 4-0, 3-1, and these are the score lines for Cagliari on the road the last 5 games - none of them wins; 2-2, 2-0, 3-0, 2-0, 2-2. In my opinion if Cagliari can find the net here this flies over. I think HV is going to get 2-3 here based on the recent form, and analytics. I will start a position with the Asian line, and add accordingly. I think the 2.5 might come down a bit in the next 24 hours.
SERIE A
VERONA/CAGLIARI OVER 2.5/3 -110 , watching line.
This game adds up on several fronts. Verona is averaging 2 goals per game, and still rank in the top 5 of the league with the notable heavyweights Inter, ACM, Napoli, Atalanta. Verona is tied with Inter and Lazio for most home goals this season, and only Inter averages more goals per game at home than HV. Fitting for this game is the fact that Cagliari gives up an average of 2.50 goals per game when they travel, this is 2nd worst Overall in Serie A. They also lead the league in xGA on the road which clearly shows that chances are abundant in their own end when they play away. These two teams give up a combined average of about 4 goals per contest. Verona's propensity for scoring at home, and Cagliari clear troubles on the road is a good recipe for me. These are the score lines for HV at home their last 5 games , all of them wins ; 2-1, 2-1, 4-1, 4-0, 3-1, and these are the score lines for Cagliari on the road the last 5 games - none of them wins; 2-2, 2-0, 3-0, 2-0, 2-2. In my opinion if Cagliari can find the net here this flies over. I think HV is going to get 2-3 here based on the recent form, and analytics. I will start a position with the Asian line, and add accordingly. I think the 2.5 might come down a bit in the next 24 hours.
Here is another one
NAPOLI/SASSUOLO OVER 3 - 110
Both teams come into this one in good goal scoring form with Sass scoring 3 vs ACM, and Napoli burying 4 goals against Lazio. Recent results show that both teams are in good form as far as scoring is concerned. Sassuolo games have had at least 3 goals or more in 8 straight contests. During these 8 games Sass has conceded goal, including 2 or more in 5 of the last 8. Napoli has gone over in 4 of their last 5 games played in all competitions. Their Defense is solid, and they looked bulletproof for the first 2 months of the season. However, their net has been breached in 4 of the last 5 , and I think Sass will be able to cause them some problems. The last result between these 2 teams was a 3-3 tie, and I think we will see action at both ends. Both of these teams are averaging nearly 4 goals per game between them. Again, I will start a position and add accordingly as this one doesn't go for 2 days.
NAPOLI/SASSUOLO OVER 3 - 110
Both teams come into this one in good goal scoring form with Sass scoring 3 vs ACM, and Napoli burying 4 goals against Lazio. Recent results show that both teams are in good form as far as scoring is concerned. Sassuolo games have had at least 3 goals or more in 8 straight contests. During these 8 games Sass has conceded goal, including 2 or more in 5 of the last 8. Napoli has gone over in 4 of their last 5 games played in all competitions. Their Defense is solid, and they looked bulletproof for the first 2 months of the season. However, their net has been breached in 4 of the last 5 , and I think Sass will be able to cause them some problems. The last result between these 2 teams was a 3-3 tie, and I think we will see action at both ends. Both of these teams are averaging nearly 4 goals per game between them. Again, I will start a position and add accordingly as this one doesn't go for 2 days.
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FIORENTINA/SAMPDORIA OVER 2.5/3 -110
Fio plays better at home , in fact they are 4th in the Serie A in goal per game in their own park. In their last 3 games at home Fiorentina have 10 goals scored, and each of their home games this season have had 3 or more goals scored. Sampdoria is bottom 5 in the Serie A in goals against per game, and 6th worst xGA on the road. They will feel good coming into this one after beating Verona on Saturday. They have put together 2 multi goal games in a row , and average over a goal per game. Here are the recent score lines between these teams over the last 2 seasons ; 2-1, 2-1, 5-1, 2-1, 3-3. I think we see chances in this game.
Fio plays better at home , in fact they are 4th in the Serie A in goal per game in their own park. In their last 3 games at home Fiorentina have 10 goals scored, and each of their home games this season have had 3 or more goals scored. Sampdoria is bottom 5 in the Serie A in goals against per game, and 6th worst xGA on the road. They will feel good coming into this one after beating Verona on Saturday. They have put together 2 multi goal games in a row , and average over a goal per game. Here are the recent score lines between these teams over the last 2 seasons ; 2-1, 2-1, 5-1, 2-1, 3-3. I think we see chances in this game.
YUP. They have clanked the woodwork in the 2nd half, and literally been on the door step several times and can't convert. It would have made for a real nice afternoon, but what can you do. I really like this weeks Serie A card, I see lots of favorable matches as far as scoring is concerned.
Lots of Under money coming on the Napoli game, we will see what comes of that.
EPL
VILLA/MAN CITY OVER 2.5 - 138 :0074
Some beautiful goals in this Sass/Napoli game to send us over , and I saw a superb strike in Man City as well. Great day , and the action doesn't stop. The holiday season over the next few weeks is loaded with games almost daily.
Back soon.
Back soon.
Happy Friday, lots of games on deck, the card is littered with interesting prospects :0corn
BUDESLIGA
UNION BERLIN/RBL OVER 2.5 - 125
This game pits the 5th and 7th ranked scoring teams against each other. As frustrating as RBL has been to watch at times this year, they are still 5th best in the Bundesliga in scoring. They find the net just under 2 times per game, rank 3rd in shots on target, and have very healthy xG #'s. RBL is typically around the net, their #'s drop off a bit on the road, but they are still pretty proficient goal scoring club when its all said and done. Union is more than capable as well. They are 7th in the league right now in scoring about 1.5 goals per game on average. Union is in good goal scoring form they have scored in their last 9 games in a row, and have 8 goals in their last 5 games. They have popped 2 goals in their last 3 while playing at home. Recent matchups in the last 2 seasons between these teams favor the over with 3 of the last 4 having at least 3 goals scored. I am going OVER the total here, it adds up , and the price is in my range.
I got a bunch more coming...
BUDESLIGA
UNION BERLIN/RBL OVER 2.5 - 125
This game pits the 5th and 7th ranked scoring teams against each other. As frustrating as RBL has been to watch at times this year, they are still 5th best in the Bundesliga in scoring. They find the net just under 2 times per game, rank 3rd in shots on target, and have very healthy xG #'s. RBL is typically around the net, their #'s drop off a bit on the road, but they are still pretty proficient goal scoring club when its all said and done. Union is more than capable as well. They are 7th in the league right now in scoring about 1.5 goals per game on average. Union is in good goal scoring form they have scored in their last 9 games in a row, and have 8 goals in their last 5 games. They have popped 2 goals in their last 3 while playing at home. Recent matchups in the last 2 seasons between these teams favor the over with 3 of the last 4 having at least 3 goals scored. I am going OVER the total here, it adds up , and the price is in my range.
I got a bunch more coming...
Here are some others, I will try to break these down as I find a few minutes.
SERIA A
NAPOLI/ATALANTA OVER 2.5/3 - 115
- Also added some Over 3 +105
SASSUOLO/SPEZIA OVER 3 +100
- Also added some asian line -115 a few days ago, but don't see it coming back up.
SAMPDORIA/LAZIO OVER 2.5/3 - 120
* At first glance I loved ROMA/INTER OVER, but Tammy is out, and Roma hasn't been playing well. The total has gone from -188 to -138 , and I am watching very closely for an entry.
EPL
LECIESTER/ASTON VILLA OVER 2.5 -110
MAN UTD/CRYSTAL PALACE OVER 2.5 - 125
*watching Chelsea/WHU line, saw the 2.5 flash +110 , everyone piling on the UNDER. I have other visions on this one.
Union looked pretty damn good at home today. I am going to keep an eye on them as they on a nice run in their own park. The last week has been nice , heading in the right direction. I believe this makes it 7 for the last 9, looking forward to this weekends games , strong card imo.
EPL
CHELSEA/WHU OVER 2, 2 1 /2 -115
I will play contrairian as everywhere I see says UNDER and the line is heading that way. I could easily get burned here in a tight low scoring affair , but I will stick to my guns. The line is very low here when you consider this tilt pits the 2nd and 4th best scoring teams in the league against each other. Both teams are right at the top in shots and shots and target as well. The Blues have been scoring on the road , scoring 2 or more in 3 straight away from home. I feel a bit safer on the Asian here. Not the strongest play on the card, but a nice game to sip some coffee too lol.
Buyer beware in Italy !! Napoli is major banged up missing Insigne and Osihmen up top is no good. The price on the total looks much better today at 2.5 than earlier in the week. I was ready to really back up the truck on this game before seeing these notable starters out. I will stick with how things are for now.
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