I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...

[Crookity]

I am not a big La Liga guy, but I will note that Betis has caught my eye the last few weeks. This squad has been absolutely destroying it, scoring 3 to 4 goals per game with ease. To go into Russia in this match and pop 3 goals on Zenit by halftime is a lethally impressive performance opcorn2

 

[Crookity]

EPL SATURDAY
SOUTHAMPTON/EVERTON OVER 2.5 - 125 :0074:0074

SERIA A - Saturday
ROMA/VERONA OVER 2.5 - 138
I will use this line for posting purposes, I have some sprinkled on the Over 3 +110 as well.

 

[Crookity]

Tough sledding this week, pretty non eventful, just battling until we start getting some bounces.

This one adds up on several fronts, and the line came down, so I will buy.

BUNDESLIGA
DORTMUND/GLADBACH OVER 3 - 120
This features the #2 and #3 ranked teams as far as xG is concerned, so we should be afforded many quality scoring chances in this match. Dortmund is averaging 3 goals per game at home, and both Dortmund and Gladbach have given up atleast 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. I can keep going , but I am short on time :0corn

 

[jng]

Tough sledding this week, pretty non eventful, just battling until we start getting some bounces.

This one adds up on several fronts, and the line came down, so I will buy.

BUNDESLIGA
DORTMUND/GLADBACH OVER 3 - 120
This features the #2 and #3 ranked teams as far as xG is concerned, so we should be afforded many quality scoring chances in this match. Dortmund is averaging 3 goals per game at home, and both Dortmund and Gladbach have given up atleast 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. I can keep going , but I am short on time :0corn

Great call.
Thanks, Crookity.

 

[Crookity]

Great call.
Thanks, Crookity.

Thank you sir my pleasure, let's try to keep it going in the right direction this week.


UCL
BENFICA/AJAX OVER 2.5 - 138


going back to the well with BVB/Rangers OV, Betis/Zenit Ov this week and RBL/Sociedad more on those later.

 

[Crookity]

Great game today in Amsterdam , very entertaining match.

EUROPA
BVB/RANGERS OVER 3 -120
line has caught major steam over last few days I would guess it keeps rising.

RBL/SOCIEDAD OVER 2.5 -125

BETIS/ZENIT OVER 2.5 -138

 

[Crookity]

Great game today in Amsterdam , very entertaining match.

EUROPA
BVB/RANGERS OVER 3 -120
line has caught major steam over last few days I would guess it keeps rising.

RBL/SOCIEDAD OVER 2.5 -125

BETIS/ZENIT OVER 2.5 -138

LAZIO/PORTO OVER 2.5 +100

 

[Crookity]

Moving in the right direction took down 6 of the last 7.

EPL
TOTTENHAM/LEEDS OVER 3 +100

 

[Crookity]

Leeds is one rubbish squad , they have now leaked 20 goals in 5 games and 10 in their last 2 matches! Honestly they are lucky to not have let in 6-7 goals again. I feel for the Leeds fans because they are around top 5 in xG yet they get buried every game , just don't catch the bounces on the offensive end , and they can't defend for their lives. It has been a nice recipe for the Overs though .

I like how this one sets up
MAN CITY/EVERTON OVER 3 -105
Man City comes to Everton off a loss to Tottenham where they gave up 3 goals. They won't get caught off guard with UCL on deck, City needs this win as they are only 3 pts clear of Liverpool. Everton is also dangerously close to relegation , and need to get a result. Both squads should be up for this contest. City has scored 2 or more goals in 5 straight matches , and Everton is around bottom 5 in goals conceded. Based on the #s , I see City scoring 2-3 goals here. They are top road scoring team in the EPL and their xG is over 2.5 per game. The home crowd should be fired up today and should give the Toffies a lift. I am hoping Everton can pop 1 if they do I like our chances. City is the best defensive club in EPL so its no easy task , but we are winning this week taking down 7 of 8 so I'm gonna go roll the dice here. Good luck.

 

[Crookity]

Split on the day , expected much more from this City/Everton match.

SUNDAY
SERIE A
LAZIO/NAPOLI OVER 2.5 +100

 

[Crookity]

Split on the day , expected much more from this City/Everton match.

SUNDAY
SERIE A
LAZIO/NAPOLI OVER 2.5 +100

ROMA/SPEZIA OVER 2.5 - 110
Roma's offense has fared much better on the road this year. They rank 8th overall in goals scored in Serie A, but on the road they are 2nd in the league with about 2 gpg, and they rank 2nd overall in xG on the road as well. There is no doubt about it, Roma is scoring, and creating high quality chances on their travels. Now they face a team in Spezia who is the 3rd worst in Serie A as far as goals conceded is concerned, they give up nearly 2 per game. At home they actually fare mid pack, but I am still looking for a multi goal outing from Roma. Spezia is on a nice little consistent goal scoring run, they have scored in 9 games in a row. Roma comes into this game after letting in 2 goals in their last 3 matches, so I think Spezia can find one at home. To me the # and situation shapes up for at least 3 goals.


VERONA/VEZIA OVER 2.5 -125
I like watchin Verona play, up tempo , attacking football. They are nice on the eyes, and finding the net with consistency. This is a play on Verona, they are the 4th best in scoring in the Serie A with just under 2 goals per game. Their goal scoring metrics tick up at home, Verona fares better at finding the net in their home park. Verona has scored 2 goals or more in 4 of their last 5 games. Their goal scoring sheet at home is littered with 2, 3+ goal performances. Now they have Venezia coming to town which ranks bottom 5 in the Serie A in Goals conceded. The team from Venice has been finding some consistency with scoring lately finding the net in 4 of the last 5. I think Verona can put this over by themselves if they are on their game. The last two meetings between these teams have been shootouts with 7 and 6 goals scored.

LAZIO/NAPOLI OVER 2.5 +100
This line is dropping , might add more on the Asian if it comes swinging towards -120 region. This pits #2 and #6 scoring teams in the Serie A against each other. Lazio is the best home scoring team in the Serie A at over 2.50 goals per game, and Napoli is 6th best in the league on their travels at 1.80 goals per game. Lazio has been giving up goals , they have conceded 2 goals or more in 3 of the last 5 at home, and condeded in 4 of 5. Napoli needs this win to stay in the race. The key risk factor here is the typically rock solid Napoli defense. I think Lazio at home can breach that , and at + money with two teams averaging nearly 4 goals per game combined I will take my chances.

good luck if you play these.

 

[Crookity]

ROMA/SPEZIA OVER 2.5 - 110
Roma's offense has fared much better on the road this year. They rank 8th overall in goals scored in Serie A, but on the road they are 2nd in the league with about 2 gpg, and they rank 2nd overall in xG on the road as well. There is no doubt about it, Roma is scoring, and creating high quality chances on their travels. Now they face a team in Spezia who is the 3rd worst in Serie A as far as goals conceded is concerned, they give up nearly 2 per game. At home they actually fare mid pack, but I am still looking for a multi goal outing from Roma. Spezia is on a nice little consistent goal scoring run, they have scored in 9 games in a row. Roma comes into this game after letting in 2 goals in their last 3 matches, so I think Spezia can find one at home. To me the # and situation shapes up for at least 3 goals.


VERONA/VEZIA OVER 2.5 -125
I like watchin Verona play, up tempo , attacking football. They are nice on the eyes, and finding the net with consistency. This is a play on Verona, they are the 4th best in scoring in the Serie A with just under 2 goals per game. Their goal scoring metrics tick up at home, Verona fares better at finding the net in their home park. Verona has scored 2 goals or more in 4 of their last 5 games. Their goal scoring sheet at home is littered with 2, 3+ goal performances. Now they have Venezia coming to town which ranks bottom 5 in the Serie A in Goals conceded. The team from Venice has been finding some consistency with scoring lately finding the net in 4 of the last 5. I think Verona can put this over by themselves if they are on their game. The last two meetings between these teams have been shootouts with 7 and 6 goals scored.

LAZIO/NAPOLI OVER 2.5 +100
This line is dropping , might add more on the Asian if it comes swinging towards -120 region. This pits #2 and #6 scoring teams in the Serie A against each other. Lazio is the best home scoring team in the Serie A at over 2.50 goals per game, and Napoli is 6th best in the league on their travels at 1.80 goals per game. Lazio has been giving up goals , they have conceded 2 goals or more in 3 of the last 5 at home, and condeded in 4 of 5. Napoli needs this win to stay in the race. The key risk factor here is the typically rock solid Napoli defense. I think Lazio at home can breach that , and at + money with two teams averaging nearly 4 goals per game combined I will take my chances.

good luck if you play these.

Wowow anyone catch that Napoli/Lazio game , it took until literally the last second of the game but we deserved it. Nothing came easy today but we turned a bit of profit, onto next week :0074

 

[jdg226]

Wowow anyone catch that Napoli/Lazio game , it took until literally the last second of the game but we deserved it. Nothing came easy today but we turned a bit of profit, onto next week :0074

Stopped looking at score at about 80th minute. Pleasantly surprised when I checked back. Nice work.

 

[bases]

response

response

i see they scored in extra time...
always thought the total was only in regulation time, that being in 90 minutes

Wowow anyone catch that Napoli/Lazio game , it took until literally the last second of the game but we deserved it. Nothing came easy today but we turned a bit of profit, onto next week :0074

 

[Crookity]

i see they scored in extra time...
always thought the total was only in regulation time, that being in 90 minutes

The wager counts for 90 min plus extra/injury time added at the end.

It was a wild game, they should have found many more than 3 goals, but a winner is a winner, and I will take them any which way I can get them.

 

[Crookity]

SATURDAY
EPL
SOUTHAMPTON/ASTON VILLA OVER 2.5 -105

The line is dropping on this one, 20C drop in the last few hours. I will start a position if you will at this price. It is quite possible we pick this up at + money, or even decent price on that Asian 2, 2 1/2 line. If that happens I will be loading.

Back in the morning opcorn2

 

[Crookity]

SATURDAY
EPL
SOUTHAMPTON/ASTON VILLA OVER 2.5 -105

The line is dropping on this one, 20C drop in the last few hours. I will start a position if you will at this price. It is quite possible we pick this up at + money, or even decent price on that Asian 2, 2 1/2 line. If that happens I will be loading.

Back in the morning opcorn2

This one fits the bill for me

BUNDESLIGA
STUTTGART/GLADBACH OVER 2.5 -138
Gladbach games have had 2 goals scored in 15 straight so you would figure there will be chances. Gladbach has given up 2 goals or more in 6 of the last 7. They are actually top 3 in the league in xG just behind Bayern and Dortmund , so they are creating quality chances. Now they face Stuttgart a team at the top of the charts for the wrong reasons. No team has given up more at home than Stuttgart. Just like their opponent this team has also leaked 2 goals or more in 6 of 7. They have had a nice little run finding the net scoring their last several times out. Given the recent trends , and the lack of defensive fortitude with these clubs I'll take my chances we see enough opportunities for these teams to score 3 goals.

Working through a few more, some are on the border of what I am willing to pay. Back soon.

 

[Crookity]

Nice start with Villa pounding the net today.

SERIE A
ROMA/ATALANTA OVER 2.5 -125
got some of this at even earlier, but above is the live line. Roma didnt look good at all last week , so I'm kind of holding my nose here. The game features #2 vs #4 offenses as far as xG is concerned. They are both top 10 as well in goals scored , and most offensive metrics. The data says we get some quality chances in this game.
Atalanta is banged up but with rotated lineups they have scored 7 their last 2 time out. Atalanta is a team that can get hot fast when they find their stride. I am banking on Roma being better at home today , I like how they line up today.

 

[jdg226]

Nice start with Villa pounding the net today.

SERIE A
ROMA/ATALANTA OVER 2.5 -125
got some of this at even earlier, but above is the live line. Roma didnt look good at all last week , so I'm kind of holding my nose here. The game features #2 vs #4 offenses as far as xG is concerned. They are both top 10 as well in goals scored , and most offensive metrics. The data says we get some quality chances in this game.
Atalanta is banged up but with rotated lineups they have scored 7 their last 2 time out. Atalanta is a team that can get hot fast when they find their stride. I am banking on Roma being better at home today , I like how they line up today.

Nice hit in Germany. Always hesitant to bet over on a Mourinho coached team. Not really aggressive and very passive once they get a lead. Was the same at Man U

 

[Crookity]

Nice hit in Germany. Always hesitant to bet over on a Mourinho coached team. Not really aggressive and very passive once they get a lead. Was the same at Man U

Thanks , the German game was high flying. Been running nice for a few weeks , but Roma bites me everytime. I entered that one holding my nose , with my eyes closed lol, I wanted the sweep but I will take the profits on the day and look for a strong close tomorrow. I might have to put Roma on timeout for a few weeks , Atalanta is another tough nut to crack at times.

SERIE A
FIORENTINA / VERONA OVER 2.5 -138

VENEZIA /SASSUOLO OVER 2.5 -138

I have a little on the 3 at + money on both of these as well , looking to do something with that Napolo/ACM game as well.