I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...

Crookity

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INTER/ATALANTA
This is a prime matchup in Serie A , Sunday night football italia style. Atalanta must win this game as they are 8 pts back of Inter. These teams are very good defensively and the history is littered with low scoring affairs. The last time they met this game was a 2-2 draw , and my gut tells me we see a similar game. Both squads are at the top of the scoring and xG charts, they average nearly 5 goals per game combined. Inter has scored 2 or more in 8 of their last 10 in the league. Atalanta at home should breach Inters rock solid defense. There is so much offensive firepower in this game , the lines are now 02.5 -138 and over 3 +120. It could end up a tight 1-1 type of affair but I can assure you there will be chances in this contest. I already posted the 3 and can close out a parlay at 2.5. If I wasn't already invested to my max allotment for this game I would be adding here.
 

Crookity

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INTER/ATALANTA
This is a prime matchup in Serie A , Sunday night football italia style. Atalanta must win this game as they are 8 pts back of Inter. These teams are very good defensively and the history is littered with low scoring affairs. The last time they met this game was a 2-2 draw , and my gut tells me we see a similar game. Both squads are at the top of the scoring and xG charts, they average nearly 5 goals per game combined. Inter has scored 2 or more in 8 of their last 10 in the league. Atalanta at home should breach Inters rock solid defense. There is so much offensive firepower in this game , the lines are now 02.5 -138 and over 3 +120. It could end up a tight 1-1 type of affair but I can assure you there will be chances in this contest. I already posted the 3 and can close out a parlay at 2.5. If I wasn't already invested to my max allotment for this game I would be adding here.


Way off here , expected more from this match:0002
 

Crookity

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time to start a new streak, I am hoping for a nice week before the International Break coming up.

COPA ITALIA
UDINESE/LAZIO OVER 2.5 -125
This tournament is Sari's only chance at Silverware , his team sits 8th in Serie A , so I expect them to be motivated in this Copa match. Lazio is a very dangerous offensive team at home, they are the top ranked home scoring team in the Serie A with nearly 3 goals per game. Lazio comes into this one in fine offensive form , having scored 3 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. The last time these two teams hooked up it was a 4-4 tie. Lazio games have gone over 2.5 in 10 of the last 11 games. They can score with the best of them , but are not very efficient in their own end. In the last 12 games played in the league , Lazio has given up goals in every game except 2 which were to Salernitana, which is the worst offensive team in Serie A. Udinese is more than capable of scoring here. They average 1.50 gpg on the road in Serie A. They found the net 4 times @ lazio a few weeks ago and I think they will come strong. Lazio might come with a semi rotated line up, but regardless I think we see goals tomorrow.
 

jdg226

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time to start a new streak, I am hoping for a nice week before the International Break coming up.

COPA ITALIA
UDINESE/LAZIO OVER 2.5 -125
This tournament is Sari's only chance at Silverware , his team sits 8th in Serie A , so I expect them to be motivated in this Copa match. Lazio is a very dangerous offensive team at home, they are the top ranked home scoring team in the Serie A with nearly 3 goals per game. Lazio comes into this one in fine offensive form , having scored 3 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. The last time these two teams hooked up it was a 4-4 tie. Lazio games have gone over 2.5 in 10 of the last 11 games. They can score with the best of them , but are not very efficient in their own end. In the last 12 games played in the league , Lazio has given up goals in every game except 2 which were to Salernitana, which is the worst offensive team in Serie A. Udinese is more than capable of scoring here. They average 1.50 gpg on the road in Serie A. They found the net 4 times @ lazio a few weeks ago and I think they will come strong. Lazio might come with a semi rotated line up, but regardless I think we see goals tomorrow.

Looking like we got trouble brewing. Gonna need a little luck.:mj09:
 

Crookity

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Looking like we got trouble brewing. Gonna need a little luck.:mj09:

So brutal , the Copa Italia has been holding me back for over a week now, killing all the good fortune in the main leagues. I'm done with Copa Italia for the rest of the tourny.
 

jdg226

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So brutal , the Copa Italia has been holding me back for over a week now, killing all the good fortune in the main leagues. I'm done with Copa Italia for the rest of the tourny.

Agreed. Tough to figure out. Onward.
 

Crookity

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SERIE A
BOLOGNA/VERONA OVER 2.5 -125

LAZIO/ATALANTA OVER 3 +100

ROMA/EMPOLI OVER 3 -120

EPL
ASTON VILLA/EVERTON OVER 2.5 +100

MAN UNITED/WHU OVER 2.5 -138

LIVERPOOL/CRYSTAL PALACE OVER 2.5 -138

BUNDESLIGA
GLADBACH/UNION BERLIN OVER 2.5 -125

*I like Dortmund/Hoff OVER but I don't go past 3 and it's too rich at that price , I will double this up with another game on a ticket.


I have compelling reasons to play these above matches , I will break them down when I get a chance. There are some others circled I will add from here.
 

Crookity

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No clue why anyone would want to bet UNDER in this match , but it's in the wheel house now.

DORTMUND/HOFFENHEIM OVER 3 -125
 

Crookity

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This game below, and the Roma/Empoli will be the difference between a winning, or losing week. Nothing has come easy this weekend, and all the leagues are littered with Unders, with a bunch of underwhelming performances. I will chalk it up to a bunch of teams packing it in before the 2 week break.

JUVENTUS/ACM OVER 2 , 2 1/2 -105
I have watched this line get beaten down. Buyer beware that this does feature 2 of the better defensive teams in the Serie A. I can't ignore the fact I am getting this low hanging fruit asian total with ACM which is the 2nd best scoring team in the Serie A. Milan averages nearly 2.5 goals per game, and Juve is good for more than 1.5 goal per game. The key here is that I am getting one of the best home scoring teams, and home xG, against one of the better road goal scoring teams in the League. Juventus is coming in averaging 1.82 goals per game on the road, I expect them to be around the net. They are in the top 10 in road xG, so they should get chances. I see no major injuries to reflect the line getting beat down maybe the MOB is pounding the under lol . Recent form is looking nice for both teams. ACM is has gone over in their last 5 games, and they have scored 3 or more goals in 4 of the last 5 matches! Juventus has gone over in 4 of the last 5 and have found the net 2 or more times in 3 of the last 5. Juventus has scored in all 11 road matches in the league. I go into this one knowing full well it could be a 1-1 tie, but recent history between these teams shows many Overs. I think there will be chances, and I see value in this total.
 
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Crookity

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This game below, and the Roma/Empoli will be the difference between a winning, or losing week. Nothing has come easy this weekend, and all the leagues are littered with Unders, with a bunch of underwhelming performances. I will chalk it up to a bunch of teams packing it in before the 2 week break.

JUVENTUS/ACM OVER 2 , 2 1/2 -105
I have watched this line get beaten down. Buyer beware that this does feature 2 of the better defensive teams in the Serie A. I can't ignore the fact I am getting this low hanging fruit asian total with ACM which is the 2nd best scoring team in the Serie A. Milan averages nearly 2.5 goals per game, and Juve is good for more than 1.5 goal per game. The key here is that I am getting one of the best home scoring teams, and home xG, against one of the better road goal scoring teams in the League. Juventus is coming in averaging 1.82 goals per game on the road, I expect them to be around the net. They are in the top 10 in road xG, so they should get chances. I see no major injuries to reflect the line getting beat down maybe the MOB is pounding the under lol . Recent form is looking nice for both teams. ACM is has gone over in their last 5 games, and they have scored 3 or more goals in 4 of the last 5 matches! Juventus has gone over in 4 of the last 5 and have found the net 2 or more times in 3 of the last 5. Juventus has scored in all 11 road matches in the league. I go into this one knowing full well it could be a 1-1 tie, but recent history between these teams shows many Overs. I think there will be chances, and I see value in this total.

Well this one was a mistake. It was tough sledding this week , lots of plays in the end finished a bit in the red , but in hindsight it could of been worse. There were a ton of low scoring games in europe this weekend. I will be back in 2 weeks when leagues resume.
 

Crookity

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I hate International Breaks, I am happy to see a return to the Big Leagues in Europe.

ENGLAND FA CUP (SATURDAY)
EVERTON/BRENTFORD OVER 2.5 +100
I like the way this one shapes up, neither of these teams defend with ferocity. In the EPL these are 2 bottom tiered defensive teams that give up well over 3 goals per game combined. Everton gets the infusion of Lampard as the new skipper, and they made some really nice additions to the squad during the Transfer Window. I look for Everton to have some pep in their step at home after the break. I think Brentford can contribute with their own here, they pass the eye test for me, and their games generally have plenty of chances. I will take a try on this one, I like the price.
 

Crookity

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Everton looks good going forward when the newcomers suit up they are going to be a team to pay attention too.

I am really not crazy about this weekends card. I got some money to play with from the early game , and will bite on this.

INTER/ACM OVER 2.5 -125
Always the risk of a tight draw in these matchups but this line has come down into my buy zone. Considering these are literally 2 of the best offensive teams in Serie A I will take a try at the price.
 

jdg226

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Everton looks good going forward when the newcomers suit up they are going to be a team to pay attention too.

I am really not crazy about this weekends card. I got some money to play with from the early game , and will bite on this.

INTER/ACM OVER 2.5 -125
Always the risk of a tight draw in these matchups but this line has come down into my buy zone. Considering these are literally 2 of the best offensive teams in Serie A I will take a try at the price.

Well done 👍. Thanks
 

Crookity

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Well done 👍. Thanks

Thanks you JDG :toast:

SUNDAY

SERIE A
SAMPDORIA/SASSUOLO OVER 3 +100

JUVENTUS/VERONA OVER 2.5 -138
I've waited for this line to do something all week and it hasn't budged. I'm gonna take some over 2.5 now and see what happens overnight.
 

Crookity

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Thanks you JDG :toast:

SUNDAY

SERIE A
SAMPDORIA/SASSUOLO OVER 3 +100

JUVENTUS/VERONA OVER 2.5 -138
I've waited for this line to do something all week and it hasn't budged. I'm gonna take some over 2.5 now and see what happens overnight.

Well got to add at +105 and -110 respectively, good luck today Gents
 

Crookity

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Last weekend was nice, fell a goal short of the sweep. Hoping to ride the momentum into this week.

EPL
NEWCASTLE/EVERTON OVER 2.5 -105
I am going to buy some of this now, and see what it does over night. It wouldn't surprise me to catch more of this at + money. Everton came through last week in the FA tilt, scoring 4 against Brentford. They had a bit of a pep in their step as expected with Lampard coming in. They Toffies have had a pretty shitty year so far, but I get the sense there is some good energy around the club with the new coach, and a nice transfer window. Make no doubt about it they will be coming in on a high after that last performance, and will be fancying a match against one of the worst defensive clubs in the League. Newcastle also had a nice transfer period with several notable signing of their own. They have bolstered their piss poor defense which is 2nd worst in the EPL , giving up over 2 goals per game, but I still see them giving up chances in this one. On the other side Everton isn't much better coming in 6th worst in the EPL at 1.75 goals against per contest. The recent history between these two shows 4 of the last 5 having at least 3 goals scored. I would imagine Newcastle shows off some of their new signings, and their should be a real buzz in their Stadium for this first EPL game back off the break. I am hoping for some energy in this one, and hopefully an early goal can break it open.
 

jdg226

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Last weekend was nice, fell a goal short of the sweep. Hoping to ride the momentum into this week.

EPL
NEWCASTLE/EVERTON OVER 2.5 -105
I am going to buy some of this now, and see what it does over night. It wouldn't surprise me to catch more of this at + money. Everton came through last week in the FA tilt, scoring 4 against Brentford. They had a bit of a pep in their step as expected with Lampard coming in. They Toffies have had a pretty shitty year so far, but I get the sense there is some good energy around the club with the new coach, and a nice transfer window. Make no doubt about it they will be coming in on a high after that last performance, and will be fancying a match against one of the worst defensive clubs in the League. Newcastle also had a nice transfer period with several notable signing of their own. They have bolstered their piss poor defense which is 2nd worst in the EPL , giving up over 2 goals per game, but I still see them giving up chances in this one. On the other side Everton isn't much better coming in 6th worst in the EPL at 1.75 goals against per contest. The recent history between these two shows 4 of the last 5 having at least 3 goals scored. I would imagine Newcastle shows off some of their new signings, and their should be a real buzz in their Stadium for this first EPL game back off the break. I am hoping for some energy in this one, and hopefully an early goal can break it open.

Well done once again. Nice when the breaks go our way. 2 own goals. :0008
 
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