NFL 2023-2024 Best Bets-OPINIONS-NEWS !
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday’s games
Packers (4-6) @ Lions (8-2)
— Packers won two of last three games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Green Bay lost its last four road games, by 1-4-2-4 points.
— Last eight games, Packers were outscored 103-39 in first half.
— Last three games, Green Bay is 22-44 on third down.
— Packers are 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Jordan Love is 4-7 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay is 9-13 ATS in last 22 NFC North road games.
— Packers are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Last two games, Green Bay gave up 205-150 rushing yards.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— Detroit won last three games, is 8-2 for first time since 1962.
— Lions are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
— Lions gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-3 ATS as home favorite (3-2 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 11-5 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 30-13-1 ATS overall.
— Detroit is 8-2 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Last three games, Lions ran ball for 179 yards/game.
— Opponents converted only 19 of last 56 third down plays.
— Goff is 64-50-1 as an NFL starter, 20-19-1 with the Lions.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Team total: under 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Lions (-1.5) won 34-20 at Lambeau in Week 4
— Detroit ran ball for 211 yards, outgained Packers 401-230.
— Lions won six of last nine series games.
— Green Bay is 2-4 SU/0-6 ATS in last six visits to Detroit.
— over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Commanders (4-7) @ Cowboys (7-3)
— Washington lost seven of last nine games SU (4-4-1 ATS)
— Commanders are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Washington is 1-6 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last two weeks, Commanders are minus-6 in turnovers (0-6).
— Last four weeks, Commanders are 28-57 on third down.
— Washington is 10-14 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Last nine games, Commanders were outscored 124-62 in 1st half.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-7 as NFL starter.
— Washington is 3-5 ATS in last eight NFC North road games.
— Team total: 7-4 over. Opponents’ team total: over 8-3
— Cowboys won/covered four of last five games.
— Seven Dallas wins were by combined score of 253-77 (36-11 average).
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 36.1 ppg in wins.
— Dallas won its four home games TY by 20-35-23-32 points.
— Cowboys are 14-5 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite (4-0 TY)
— Cowboys are +10 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 16-12 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— since 2019, Dallas is 8-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— QB Prescott is 71-42 as an NFL starter.
— Dallas is 15-4 ATS in last 19 NFC East home games.
— Team total: over 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4-1
— Cowboys won three of last four series games.
— Washington is 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
— Four of last five meetings stayed under the total.
49ers (7-3) @ Seahawks (6-4)
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17 in losses.
— SF scored 34-27 points in winning its two post-bye games.
— Last two weeks, 49ers were +6 in turnovers (6-0)
— 49ers have outscored opponents 122-66 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (100.3/game last 4 games).
— 49ers are 11-10-1 ATS in last 22 games as road favorites (2-2-1 TY).
— SF is 12-12 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— 49ers are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games NFC West road games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 14-4 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Seattle won three of last five games (1-2-1 ATS last four games)
— Seahawks scored 13-13-3-16 points in losses, 20+ in wins.
— Seahawks were outscored 70-9 in second half of their losses.
— Last four games, Seattle converted 14-53 third down plays.
— Seattle is 15-12 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a home underdog.
— Geno Smith is 28-33 as an NFL starter, 16-15 with Seattle.
— Seattle won its last four home games SU.
— Seahawks are 3-5 ATS in last eight NFC West home games.
— Under is 5-2 in Seattle’s last seven games.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4-1
— 49ers won last three series games, by 20-8-18 points.
— SF is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 visits to Seattle (3-3 last six)
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Friday’s game
Dolphins (7-3) @ Jets (4-6)
— Dolphins split their last four games, after a 5-1 start.
— Favorites are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of seven wins; 20-17-14 in losses.
— Last six games, Miami is minus-6 in turnovers (7-13).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 39 TD’s on 106 drives.
— Miami outscored last three opponents 30-10 in second half.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Dolphins are 5-3 ATS in last eight AFC East road games.
— Miami covered five of last six post-bye games.
— under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Tagovailoa is 28-16 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— #3 QB Boyle (0-3 as NFL starter) gets start here, his first since ’21.
— Jets lost last three games, 27-6/16-12/32-6.
— In four post-bye games, Jets scored two TD’s on 48 drives.
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6-12-6 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 130-70 in first half of games.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 8-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 15-21 ATS as an underdog
— Last ten games, Jets converted 25-118 third down plays.
— Jets have scored nine TD’s, have 37 3/outs on 111 drives.
— Boyle is 0-3 as an NFL starter; Trevor Siemian is backup.
— Jets are 5-12 ATS in last 17 AFC East home games.
— Team total: under 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Miami is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS last seven series games.
— Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to the Garden State.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Sunday’s games
Saints (5-5) @ Falcons (4-6)
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Saints have 12 offensive TD’s on their last 45 drives.
— Last six games, New Orleans is +6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Saints were 17-40 on third down.
— Last six weeks, Saints outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
— Saints are 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or less.
— NO is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog (1-0 TY)
— Saints are 11-3 SU in last 14 post-bye games (0-4 ATS last four)
— Saints are 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 NFC South road games.
— Over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four games.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Falcons lost last three games, by 5-3-2 points.
— underdogs covered Atlanta’s last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Ridder is back in starting lineup for this game.
— Falcons were 17-32 on third down in Heinicke’s two starts.
— Last seven games, Atlanta is minus-8 in turnovers (6-14)
— Atlanta is 3-2 SU at home this season.
— Falcons are 3-11-2 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Atlanta is 16-23-3 in last 42 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.
— Ridder is 6-6 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last three Atlanta games went over the total.
— Team total: under 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-2
— New Orleans won eight of last ten series games.
— Saints covered four of last five visits to Atlanta.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
Steelers (6-4) @ Bengals (5-4)
— Steelers won/covered four of their last six games.
— Despite that, they fired OC Canada on Tuesday.
— Steelers are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as road underdogs (2-1 TY)
— Steelers scored 7-6-10-10 points in losses, 22.2 ppg in wins.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained in every game this year.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 166-205-172 yards.
— Last nine games, Steelers have a +12 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 6-4 ATS in last ten AFC North road games.
— Eight of ten Steeler games stayed under the total.
— QB Pickett is 13-9 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 4-4-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5
— Bengals lost last two games, giving up 30-34 points.
— QB Burrow is out for the year.
— This is QB Browning’s first NFL start (started 4 years in college- Washington)
— Browning was 8-14/68 passing in relief of Burrow LW.
— Last six games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)
— Cincinnati is 3-2 SU at home this year (both losses by 3 points)
— Cincinnati is 7-3-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
— Bengals are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games. Cincy had 12 TD’s on 40 drives.
— Bengals are 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC North home games.
— Last six games, Bengals scored 5 TD’s/FG on first drive of game.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Bengals won four of last six series games.
— Steelers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Cincinnati.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Panthers (1-9) @ Titans (3-7)
— Carolina is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS on road, losing by 14-10-18-21-3 points.
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 102-46 in first half.
— In four post-bye games, Panthers scored three TD’s on 36 drives.
— In four post-bye games, Carolina scored 15-13-13-10 points.
— Carolina is 9-18-1 ATS in last 28 games following a loss.
— Young’s nine starts (1-8), Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Last four games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213-187 yards.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers have been outscored 141-81 in second half of games.
— NFC South road underdogs are 8-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Titans lost five of their last six games SI.
— Tennessee is 3-0 SU at home TY, winning by 3-24-5 points.
— Titans are 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 0-7 scoring 16 or less.
— Last five games, Tennessee converted 17-59 on third down.
— since 2018, Titans are 12-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tennessee is 16-15-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss (2-3 TY)
— Tennessee is 14-11 ATS last 25 games vs NFC teams.
— Titans are minus-5 in turnovers (6-11) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
— Seven of their ten games stayed under total.
— AFC South teams are 16-12 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-2-3
— Carolina won last two series games, 30-20/27-10
— Teams split last two meetings played here.
— under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Buccaneers (4-6) @ Colts (5-5)
— Bucs lost five of last six games, but covered last four.
— Tampa Bay is 5-0 against spread on road (2-3 SU) this year.
— Bucs have 16 takeaways in ten games (+7 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 96 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81-66 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Bucs are 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS TY in games coming off a loss.
— Mayfield is 36-45 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South road underdogs are 8-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-4-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2-1
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— Indianapolis won its last two games, scoring 13-6 points.
— QB Minshew is 11-19 as an NFL starter, 3-3 TY.
— Colts lost four of their five home games SU TY.
— In its last two games, Indy was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
— Colts are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Colts are 9-12 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 6-4 in Indy’s games this season.
— Indy is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 post-bye games.
— AFC South teams are 16-12 ATS outside the division.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 7-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5
— Tampa Bay won three of last four series games.
— Favorites covered Bucs’ last three visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Patriots (2-8) @ Giants (3-8)
— Unsure which QB is playing for the Patriots.
— Patriots lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Patriots were outscored 99-43 in first half of those games.
— New England is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
— NE is 1-3 SU on road; the win was in this stadium (vs Jets).
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-33 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-98 without Brady.
— Mac Jones is 18-24 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last seven games, Patriots were outgained by 93.9 yards/game.
— Patriots are 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East teams are 9-16 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 9-1. Opponents’ team total: 6-4 over
— Giants lost three of their last four games.
— Last four weeks, Big Blue was outscored 68-17 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito was 18-26/246 passing LW, with 3 TD’s.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 10-57 on third down.
— Giants are averaging only 262.3 yards/game this season.
— Last seven games, Giants are +11 in turnovers.
— Giants are 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— since 2018, Big Blue is 10-20-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-3 in Giant games this season.
— NFC East teams are 16-10-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-5
— Teams split their last six meetings (NE won last two)
— Two of the Giants’ wins were in Super Bowls.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Jaguars (7-3) @ Texans (6-4)
— Jaguars won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Jacksonville scored 9-17-3 points in losses, 20+ points in wins.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Jaguars are 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 AFC South road games.
— Last four games, opponents are 12-54 on third down.
— Jaguars converted only 15 of last 63 third down plays.
— Jaguars are minus-6 in turnovers in their losses (+5 in wins).
— Pederson is 63-51-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 19-25 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— Houston is 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in its last eight games.
— Texans’ last four games were decided by 2-2-3-5 points.
— Houston led seven of its last eight games at halftime.
— Texans won last four home games, by 24-7-2-5 points.
— This year, Houston is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three weeks, Texans scored 30 points/game.
— Houston is 20-17-1 in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 6-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last five games, minus-5
— Texans are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Houston (+8) won 37-17 at Jacksonville in Week 3.
— Texans won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Jaguars are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Houston.
— under is 4-1 in last five meetings played here.
Browns (7-3) @ Broncos (5-5)
— Browns are 5-1 since their bye week.
— Browns won/covered their last three games.
— Last five weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 142 yards/game.
— Cleveland has run 18.2 more plays/game than opponents TY.
— Browns are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 5-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 allowing 24+.
— under Stefanski, Cleveland is 8-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Browns are 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— rookie QB Thompson-Robinson is 20-37/130 passing (no TD’s, 3 INT)
— Opponents have converted only 32-126 third down plays.
— under is 5-3 in last eight Cleveland games.
— AFC North teams are 16-10-1 outside the division.
— Thompson-Robinson is now 1-1 as an NFL starter- Browns scored 3-13 points.
— Team total: over 7-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— Broncos won last four games, giving up 17-9-22-20 points.
— Denver won last week, despite scoring only one TD (kicked 5 FGs)
— Last three games, Denver is +9 in turnovers (11-2).
— Underdogs are 6-0 ATS in Denver’s home games this year
— Broncos outscored last three opponents 47-27 in first half.
— Last eight weeks, Broncos were outgained by 126.5 yards/game.
— Broncos are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last five Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 122-76-1 as an NFL starter, 9-16 with Denver.
— AFC West teams are 12-18 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Broncos won eight of last ten series games.
— Browns are 2-4 ATS last six visits to Denver.
— Over is 3-2-1 in last six meetings played here.
Rams (4-6) @ Cardinals (2-9)
— Rams lost four of their last six games (0-4 ATS last four).
— LA is 3-0 giving up 16 or less points, 1-6 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home this season.
— Rams are 3-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 78-35 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Rams are 2-6-2 ATS in last 10 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Stafford is 23-16 as a starter with the Rams.
— Rams are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-1 in Rams’ last six games.
— LA is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
— Team total: under 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
— QB Murray is 39-62/426 passing in splitting his first two starts.
— Those two games were decided by total of 7 points.
— last three games, Cardinals are 7-33 on third down.
— Arizona is 1-7 SU/3-5 ATS last eight games
— Last nine games, Arizona gave up 26.3 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 20 of last 24 games SU (10-11 ATS in last 21).
— Murray is 26-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Arizona is 15-17 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last seven games, Cardinals allowed 30 TD’s on 97 drives.
— Four of last six Arizona games stayed under the total.
— Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in last 12 NFC West home games.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5-1
— Rams ran ball for 179 yards in 26-9 home win over Arizona in Week 6.
— Rams won 13 of last 15 series games.
— LA covered its last eight visits to Arizona.
— over is 5-5 in last ten series games.
Chiefs (7-3) @ Raiders (5-6)
— Short week, long travel for Chiefs after Monday night loss.
— Chiefs lost two of their last three games, after a 6-1 start.
— Last three games, Chiefs were outscored 38-0 in second half.
— KC has outscored opponents 172-66 in first half.
— Chiefs have 11 takeaways in their wins (+1), 3 in losses (minus-4)
— KC is 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road favorite.
— Chiefs held eight of last nine foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Chiefs are 4-6 ATS in last 10 AFC West road games.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games.
— Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Mahomes is 82-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 8-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-2
— Las Vegas is 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS since its coaching change.
— In those games, Raiders allowed 3 TD’s on 34 drives.
— Last two games, Raiders scored 2 TD’s on 24 drives.
— Home team won Raiders’ last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Raiders won/covered their last four home games.
— Last five games, Las Vegas is 18-61 on third down.
— Raiders are 13-11-1 ATS last 25 games as a home underdog.
— Under is 9-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Las Vegas is 12-6 ATS in last 18 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 10-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-3
— Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series meetings.
— Chiefs won last five road series games (3-2 ATS)
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Bills (6-5) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Buffalo is 3-4 SU in its last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Buffalo fired OC Dorsey last week.
— Bills are 6-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
— Last six games, Buffalo has a minus-6 turnover ratio.
— Bills are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Buffalo outscored last ten foes 152-62 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 53-34 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 21-16-1 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
— Buffalo is 2-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC opponents.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4-1
— Eagles won nine of first ten games (6-2-2 ATS)
— Weeks 1-5, Philly ran for 163.8 yards/game (80-99-59-73-114 last 5 games)
— Last six games, Philly is minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Eagles have 16 TD’s on 38 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 11-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14 in the loss.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 34-14 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 8-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Hurts is 34-14 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Eagles were minus-4 in turnovers in only loss (to Jets)
— Team total: over 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5
— Eagles won four of last five series games.
— Bills lost 23-20/17-9 in last two visits to Philly.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Ravens (8-3) @ Chargers (4-6)
— Ravens won five of last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Last four games, Baltimore scored 15 TD’s on 42 drives.
— Last three games, they ran ball for 298-106-157 yards.
— Last eight games, Ravens outscored foes 146-38 in first half.
— Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite (0-2 TY)
— Ravens are 8-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 10-14 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 54-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five games.
— AFC North teams are 16-10-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 8-3. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1
— Chargers are 0-5 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— LA is 2-4 since its bye, with three losses by 3 points.
— Bolts scored 30-27-38-20 points in their last four games (2-2).
— under Staley, Chargers are 2-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Staley, Bolts are 9-9-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-3) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-31 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 32-73 in losses.
— Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Charger games.
— AFC West teams are 12-18 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Baltimore won eight of last 12 meetings.
— Ravens are 4-2 ATS in last six road series games
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Monday’s game
Bears (3-8) @ Vikings (6-5)
— Chicago is 1-6 when Fields starts at QB, 2-2 when Bagent starts.
— Bears are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
— Last three games, Bears ran ball for 156-133-183 yards.
— Chicago is 1-8 when it scores less than 30 points
— In Fields starts, Bears are 37-92 (41.1%) on third down.
— In Bagent’s four starts, Bears were 26-54 (48.1%) on third down.
— Fields is 6-26 as an NFL starter.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 152-106 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 12-33 SU/17-26-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 8-13-1 ATS in last 22 games as road underdogs (3-3 TY).
— Chicago is 17-25-3 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
— Four of their six games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 5-8 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: under 6-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-4
— Last six games, Minnesota is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS
— Last three games, Vikings ran ball for 148.7 yards/game. (73.4 first 8 games).
— Vikings are 5-2 when they allow less than 27 points.
— QB Dobbs is 63-96/636 passing, with 4 TD’s, 1 INT, 2-1 record.
— Overall, Dobbs is 2-10 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Minnesota is 2-3 SU/ATS at home this year.
— Vikings ran ball for 146-122-175 yards last three weeks
— Under is 7-2 in Minnesota’s last nine games.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1
— Vikings (-3) won 19-13 in Chicago in Week 6.
— Bears outgained Vikings 275-220; Minnesota had a defensive TD.
— Minnesota won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Bears are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Minnesota.
— under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday’s games
Packers (4-6) @ Lions (8-2)
— Packers won two of last three games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Green Bay lost its last four road games, by 1-4-2-4 points.
— Last eight games, Packers were outscored 103-39 in first half.
— Last three games, Green Bay is 22-44 on third down.
— Packers are 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Jordan Love is 4-7 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay is 9-13 ATS in last 22 NFC North road games.
— Packers are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Last two games, Green Bay gave up 205-150 rushing yards.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— Detroit won last three games, is 8-2 for first time since 1962.
— Lions are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
— Lions gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-3 ATS as home favorite (3-2 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 11-5 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 30-13-1 ATS overall.
— Detroit is 8-2 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Last three games, Lions ran ball for 179 yards/game.
— Opponents converted only 19 of last 56 third down plays.
— Goff is 64-50-1 as an NFL starter, 20-19-1 with the Lions.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Team total: under 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Lions (-1.5) won 34-20 at Lambeau in Week 4
— Detroit ran ball for 211 yards, outgained Packers 401-230.
— Lions won six of last nine series games.
— Green Bay is 2-4 SU/0-6 ATS in last six visits to Detroit.
— over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Commanders (4-7) @ Cowboys (7-3)
— Washington lost seven of last nine games SU (4-4-1 ATS)
— Commanders are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Washington is 1-6 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last two weeks, Commanders are minus-6 in turnovers (0-6).
— Last four weeks, Commanders are 28-57 on third down.
— Washington is 10-14 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Last nine games, Commanders were outscored 124-62 in 1st half.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-7 as NFL starter.
— Washington is 3-5 ATS in last eight NFC North road games.
— Team total: 7-4 over. Opponents’ team total: over 8-3
— Cowboys won/covered four of last five games.
— Seven Dallas wins were by combined score of 253-77 (36-11 average).
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 36.1 ppg in wins.
— Dallas won its four home games TY by 20-35-23-32 points.
— Cowboys are 14-5 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite (4-0 TY)
— Cowboys are +10 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 16-12 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— since 2019, Dallas is 8-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— QB Prescott is 71-42 as an NFL starter.
— Dallas is 15-4 ATS in last 19 NFC East home games.
— Team total: over 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4-1
— Cowboys won three of last four series games.
— Washington is 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
— Four of last five meetings stayed under the total.
49ers (7-3) @ Seahawks (6-4)
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17 in losses.
— SF scored 34-27 points in winning its two post-bye games.
— Last two weeks, 49ers were +6 in turnovers (6-0)
— 49ers have outscored opponents 122-66 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (100.3/game last 4 games).
— 49ers are 11-10-1 ATS in last 22 games as road favorites (2-2-1 TY).
— SF is 12-12 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— 49ers are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games NFC West road games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 14-4 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Seattle won three of last five games (1-2-1 ATS last four games)
— Seahawks scored 13-13-3-16 points in losses, 20+ in wins.
— Seahawks were outscored 70-9 in second half of their losses.
— Last four games, Seattle converted 14-53 third down plays.
— Seattle is 15-12 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a home underdog.
— Geno Smith is 28-33 as an NFL starter, 16-15 with Seattle.
— Seattle won its last four home games SU.
— Seahawks are 3-5 ATS in last eight NFC West home games.
— Under is 5-2 in Seattle’s last seven games.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4-1
— 49ers won last three series games, by 20-8-18 points.
— SF is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 visits to Seattle (3-3 last six)
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Friday’s game
Dolphins (7-3) @ Jets (4-6)
— Dolphins split their last four games, after a 5-1 start.
— Favorites are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of seven wins; 20-17-14 in losses.
— Last six games, Miami is minus-6 in turnovers (7-13).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 39 TD’s on 106 drives.
— Miami outscored last three opponents 30-10 in second half.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Dolphins are 5-3 ATS in last eight AFC East road games.
— Miami covered five of last six post-bye games.
— under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Tagovailoa is 28-16 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 5-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— #3 QB Boyle (0-3 as NFL starter) gets start here, his first since ’21.
— Jets lost last three games, 27-6/16-12/32-6.
— In four post-bye games, Jets scored two TD’s on 48 drives.
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6-12-6 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 130-70 in first half of games.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 8-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 15-21 ATS as an underdog
— Last ten games, Jets converted 25-118 third down plays.
— Jets have scored nine TD’s, have 37 3/outs on 111 drives.
— Boyle is 0-3 as an NFL starter; Trevor Siemian is backup.
— Jets are 5-12 ATS in last 17 AFC East home games.
— Team total: under 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Miami is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS last seven series games.
— Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to the Garden State.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Sunday’s games
Saints (5-5) @ Falcons (4-6)
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Saints have 12 offensive TD’s on their last 45 drives.
— Last six games, New Orleans is +6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Saints were 17-40 on third down.
— Last six weeks, Saints outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
— Saints are 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or less.
— NO is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog (1-0 TY)
— Saints are 11-3 SU in last 14 post-bye games (0-4 ATS last four)
— Saints are 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 NFC South road games.
— Over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four games.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Falcons lost last three games, by 5-3-2 points.
— underdogs covered Atlanta’s last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Ridder is back in starting lineup for this game.
— Falcons were 17-32 on third down in Heinicke’s two starts.
— Last seven games, Atlanta is minus-8 in turnovers (6-14)
— Atlanta is 3-2 SU at home this season.
— Falcons are 3-11-2 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Atlanta is 16-23-3 in last 42 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.
— Ridder is 6-6 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last three Atlanta games went over the total.
— Team total: under 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-2
— New Orleans won eight of last ten series games.
— Saints covered four of last five visits to Atlanta.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
Steelers (6-4) @ Bengals (5-4)
— Steelers won/covered four of their last six games.
— Despite that, they fired OC Canada on Tuesday.
— Steelers are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as road underdogs (2-1 TY)
— Steelers scored 7-6-10-10 points in losses, 22.2 ppg in wins.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained in every game this year.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 166-205-172 yards.
— Last nine games, Steelers have a +12 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 6-4 ATS in last ten AFC North road games.
— Eight of ten Steeler games stayed under the total.
— QB Pickett is 13-9 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 4-4-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5
— Bengals lost last two games, giving up 30-34 points.
— QB Burrow is out for the year.
— This is QB Browning’s first NFL start (started 4 years in college- Washington)
— Browning was 8-14/68 passing in relief of Burrow LW.
— Last six games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)
— Cincinnati is 3-2 SU at home this year (both losses by 3 points)
— Cincinnati is 7-3-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
— Bengals are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games. Cincy had 12 TD’s on 40 drives.
— Bengals are 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC North home games.
— Last six games, Bengals scored 5 TD’s/FG on first drive of game.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Bengals won four of last six series games.
— Steelers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Cincinnati.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Panthers (1-9) @ Titans (3-7)
— Carolina is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS on road, losing by 14-10-18-21-3 points.
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 102-46 in first half.
— In four post-bye games, Panthers scored three TD’s on 36 drives.
— In four post-bye games, Carolina scored 15-13-13-10 points.
— Carolina is 9-18-1 ATS in last 28 games following a loss.
— Young’s nine starts (1-8), Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Last four games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213-187 yards.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers have been outscored 141-81 in second half of games.
— NFC South road underdogs are 8-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
— Titans lost five of their last six games SI.
— Tennessee is 3-0 SU at home TY, winning by 3-24-5 points.
— Titans are 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 0-7 scoring 16 or less.
— Last five games, Tennessee converted 17-59 on third down.
— since 2018, Titans are 12-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tennessee is 16-15-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss (2-3 TY)
— Tennessee is 14-11 ATS last 25 games vs NFC teams.
— Titans are minus-5 in turnovers (6-11) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
— Seven of their ten games stayed under total.
— AFC South teams are 16-12 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-2-3
— Carolina won last two series games, 30-20/27-10
— Teams split last two meetings played here.
— under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Buccaneers (4-6) @ Colts (5-5)
— Bucs lost five of last six games, but covered last four.
— Tampa Bay is 5-0 against spread on road (2-3 SU) this year.
— Bucs have 16 takeaways in ten games (+7 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 96 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81-66 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Bucs are 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS TY in games coming off a loss.
— Mayfield is 36-45 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South road underdogs are 8-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-4-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2-1
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— Indianapolis won its last two games, scoring 13-6 points.
— QB Minshew is 11-19 as an NFL starter, 3-3 TY.
— Colts lost four of their five home games SU TY.
— In its last two games, Indy was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
— Colts are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Colts are 9-12 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 6-4 in Indy’s games this season.
— Indy is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 post-bye games.
— AFC South teams are 16-12 ATS outside the division.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 7-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5
— Tampa Bay won three of last four series games.
— Favorites covered Bucs’ last three visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Patriots (2-8) @ Giants (3-8)
— Unsure which QB is playing for the Patriots.
— Patriots lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Patriots were outscored 99-43 in first half of those games.
— New England is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
— NE is 1-3 SU on road; the win was in this stadium (vs Jets).
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-33 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-98 without Brady.
— Mac Jones is 18-24 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last seven games, Patriots were outgained by 93.9 yards/game.
— Patriots are 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East teams are 9-16 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 9-1. Opponents’ team total: 6-4 over
— Giants lost three of their last four games.
— Last four weeks, Big Blue was outscored 68-17 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito was 18-26/246 passing LW, with 3 TD’s.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 10-57 on third down.
— Giants are averaging only 262.3 yards/game this season.
— Last seven games, Giants are +11 in turnovers.
— Giants are 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— since 2018, Big Blue is 10-20-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-3 in Giant games this season.
— NFC East teams are 16-10-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-5
— Teams split their last six meetings (NE won last two)
— Two of the Giants’ wins were in Super Bowls.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Jaguars (7-3) @ Texans (6-4)
— Jaguars won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Jacksonville scored 9-17-3 points in losses, 20+ points in wins.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Jaguars are 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 AFC South road games.
— Last four games, opponents are 12-54 on third down.
— Jaguars converted only 15 of last 63 third down plays.
— Jaguars are minus-6 in turnovers in their losses (+5 in wins).
— Pederson is 63-51-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 19-25 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— Houston is 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in its last eight games.
— Texans’ last four games were decided by 2-2-3-5 points.
— Houston led seven of its last eight games at halftime.
— Texans won last four home games, by 24-7-2-5 points.
— This year, Houston is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three weeks, Texans scored 30 points/game.
— Houston is 20-17-1 in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 6-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last five games, minus-5
— Texans are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Houston (+8) won 37-17 at Jacksonville in Week 3.
— Texans won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Jaguars are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Houston.
— under is 4-1 in last five meetings played here.
Browns (7-3) @ Broncos (5-5)
— Browns are 5-1 since their bye week.
— Browns won/covered their last three games.
— Last five weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 142 yards/game.
— Cleveland has run 18.2 more plays/game than opponents TY.
— Browns are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 5-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 allowing 24+.
— under Stefanski, Cleveland is 8-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Browns are 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— rookie QB Thompson-Robinson is 20-37/130 passing (no TD’s, 3 INT)
— Opponents have converted only 32-126 third down plays.
— under is 5-3 in last eight Cleveland games.
— AFC North teams are 16-10-1 outside the division.
— Thompson-Robinson is now 1-1 as an NFL starter- Browns scored 3-13 points.
— Team total: over 7-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
— Broncos won last four games, giving up 17-9-22-20 points.
— Denver won last week, despite scoring only one TD (kicked 5 FGs)
— Last three games, Denver is +9 in turnovers (11-2).
— Underdogs are 6-0 ATS in Denver’s home games this year
— Broncos outscored last three opponents 47-27 in first half.
— Last eight weeks, Broncos were outgained by 126.5 yards/game.
— Broncos are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last five Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 122-76-1 as an NFL starter, 9-16 with Denver.
— AFC West teams are 12-18 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5
— Broncos won eight of last ten series games.
— Browns are 2-4 ATS last six visits to Denver.
— Over is 3-2-1 in last six meetings played here.
Rams (4-6) @ Cardinals (2-9)
— Rams lost four of their last six games (0-4 ATS last four).
— LA is 3-0 giving up 16 or less points, 1-6 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home this season.
— Rams are 3-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 78-35 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Rams are 2-6-2 ATS in last 10 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Stafford is 23-16 as a starter with the Rams.
— Rams are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-1 in Rams’ last six games.
— LA is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
— Team total: under 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
— QB Murray is 39-62/426 passing in splitting his first two starts.
— Those two games were decided by total of 7 points.
— last three games, Cardinals are 7-33 on third down.
— Arizona is 1-7 SU/3-5 ATS last eight games
— Last nine games, Arizona gave up 26.3 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 20 of last 24 games SU (10-11 ATS in last 21).
— Murray is 26-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Arizona is 15-17 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last seven games, Cardinals allowed 30 TD’s on 97 drives.
— Four of last six Arizona games stayed under the total.
— Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in last 12 NFC West home games.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5-1
— Rams ran ball for 179 yards in 26-9 home win over Arizona in Week 6.
— Rams won 13 of last 15 series games.
— LA covered its last eight visits to Arizona.
— over is 5-5 in last ten series games.
Chiefs (7-3) @ Raiders (5-6)
— Short week, long travel for Chiefs after Monday night loss.
— Chiefs lost two of their last three games, after a 6-1 start.
— Last three games, Chiefs were outscored 38-0 in second half.
— KC has outscored opponents 172-66 in first half.
— Chiefs have 11 takeaways in their wins (+1), 3 in losses (minus-4)
— KC is 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road favorite.
— Chiefs held eight of last nine foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Chiefs are 4-6 ATS in last 10 AFC West road games.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games.
— Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Mahomes is 82-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 8-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-2
— Las Vegas is 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS since its coaching change.
— In those games, Raiders allowed 3 TD’s on 34 drives.
— Last two games, Raiders scored 2 TD’s on 24 drives.
— Home team won Raiders’ last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Raiders won/covered their last four home games.
— Last five games, Las Vegas is 18-61 on third down.
— Raiders are 13-11-1 ATS last 25 games as a home underdog.
— Under is 9-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Las Vegas is 12-6 ATS in last 18 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 10-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-3
— Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series meetings.
— Chiefs won last five road series games (3-2 ATS)
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Bills (6-5) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Buffalo is 3-4 SU in its last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Buffalo fired OC Dorsey last week.
— Bills are 6-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
— Last six games, Buffalo has a minus-6 turnover ratio.
— Bills are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Buffalo outscored last ten foes 152-62 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 53-34 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 21-16-1 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
— Buffalo is 2-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC opponents.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4-1
— Eagles won nine of first ten games (6-2-2 ATS)
— Weeks 1-5, Philly ran for 163.8 yards/game (80-99-59-73-114 last 5 games)
— Last six games, Philly is minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Eagles have 16 TD’s on 38 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 11-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14 in the loss.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 34-14 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 8-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Hurts is 34-14 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Eagles were minus-4 in turnovers in only loss (to Jets)
— Team total: over 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5
— Eagles won four of last five series games.
— Bills lost 23-20/17-9 in last two visits to Philly.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Ravens (8-3) @ Chargers (4-6)
— Ravens won five of last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Last four games, Baltimore scored 15 TD’s on 42 drives.
— Last three games, they ran ball for 298-106-157 yards.
— Last eight games, Ravens outscored foes 146-38 in first half.
— Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite (0-2 TY)
— Ravens are 8-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 10-14 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 54-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five games.
— AFC North teams are 16-10-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 8-3. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1
— Chargers are 0-5 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— LA is 2-4 since its bye, with three losses by 3 points.
— Bolts scored 30-27-38-20 points in their last four games (2-2).
— under Staley, Chargers are 2-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Staley, Bolts are 9-9-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-3) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-31 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 32-73 in losses.
— Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Charger games.
— AFC West teams are 12-18 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
— Baltimore won eight of last 12 meetings.
— Ravens are 4-2 ATS in last six road series games
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Monday’s game
Bears (3-8) @ Vikings (6-5)
— Chicago is 1-6 when Fields starts at QB, 2-2 when Bagent starts.
— Bears are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
— Last three games, Bears ran ball for 156-133-183 yards.
— Chicago is 1-8 when it scores less than 30 points
— In Fields starts, Bears are 37-92 (41.1%) on third down.
— In Bagent’s four starts, Bears were 26-54 (48.1%) on third down.
— Fields is 6-26 as an NFL starter.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 152-106 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 12-33 SU/17-26-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 8-13-1 ATS in last 22 games as road underdogs (3-3 TY).
— Chicago is 17-25-3 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
— Four of their six games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 5-8 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: under 6-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-4
— Last six games, Minnesota is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS
— Last three games, Vikings ran ball for 148.7 yards/game. (73.4 first 8 games).
— Vikings are 5-2 when they allow less than 27 points.
— QB Dobbs is 63-96/636 passing, with 4 TD’s, 1 INT, 2-1 record.
— Overall, Dobbs is 2-10 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Minnesota is 2-3 SU/ATS at home this year.
— Vikings ran ball for 146-122-175 yards last three weeks
— Under is 7-2 in Minnesota’s last nine games.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1
— Vikings (-3) won 19-13 in Chicago in Week 6.
— Bears outgained Vikings 275-220; Minnesota had a defensive TD.
— Minnesota won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Bears are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Minnesota.
— under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads for this week:
— Jaguars (-2) @ Houston
— Browns @ Denver (-1.5)
— Chiefs (-8.5) @ Las Vegas
— Bills @ Philadelphia (-3.5)
— Ravens (-3.5) @ LA Chargers
— Bears @ Minnesota (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
“Coach Smith and I have had ongoing conversations for more than a month regarding his future at Oregon State and our path forward for football specifically and our athletic department generally. He has embraced our short and long term plans……..
……..Coach Smith and I have also discussed our commitment to extending assistant coaches’ contracts and increasing the salary pool for his staff to retain the continuity of what they have all built together for Beaver Nation.”
Oregon State athletic director Scott Barnes
Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; what QB started the other nine games for the Rams that year?
Hint: He is still in the NFL, but he isn’t a starter
Wednesday’s quiz
Brian Flores was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel.
Tuesday’s quiz
The last time the Angels made the baseball playoffs was 2014; they got swept by the KC Royals in the divisional round.
**********************************************
Tyler Kolek had 22 points, 6 assists for Marquette, which leaves Hawai’i with wins over UCLA and Kansas, so it was a good week for them, even though they lost this game.
— Kansas 69, Tennessee 60- Rough couple of days for the Vols, who scored 0.91/0.87 points per possession in losses to Purdue/Kansas— they shot 17-63 on the arc in those two games, but they have a good defensive team and figure to make the NCAA’s in March.
Hunter Dickinson scored 17 points, grabbed 20 rebounds for Kansas, which shot 57.5% inside the arc, after trailed by 7 early on.
— Gonzaga, 69, UCLA 65
Zags rebound from loss to Purdue with wins over Syracuse, UCLA
Antone Watson scored 32 points for the Zags.
Gonzaga has won its last four games with the Bruins.
— Arkansas 77, Stanford 74, 2OT
Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 14-49 on the arc.
Stanford led by 9 with 14:21 left in game.
Arkansas shot 30.3% from floor, 26-33 on foul line.
— Southern Illinois 81, New Mexico State 54- You don’t see this often; Aggies shot 31.9% from the floor, 0-9 on the arc. In this day and age, you almost never see a team go a whole game without making a 3-pointer.
— In the Horizon League, Oakland Grizzlies have a player Jack Gohlke; so far this season, he’s shooting 24-72 on the arc, 1-2 inside the arc. All the freakin’ guy does is shoot 3’s. Seems like a fun job to have.
— Word of the Day— Gratitude- the quality of being thankful; readiness to show appreciation for and to return kindness.
— Movie of the Day- Class Action (1991)- An attorney representing a traumatized accident victim finds that his opponent is a very familiar defense attorney – his own daughter.
Gene Hackman is the lawyer, Mary Elizabeth Mastrantonio is his daughter. Laurence Fishburne, Fred Thompson, Jonathan Silverman, Joan McMurtrey and the guy who was the coroner on CSI are all in this movie- very good cast.
— In baseball, Seattle Mariners traded 3B Eugenio Suárez to Arizona, for C Seby Zavala and P Carlos Vargas; the move frees up $11,285,715 that Suarez will be paid next year. Luis Urias is expected to be the Mariners’ 3B next season.
— Bowling Green 34, Western Michigan 10
Falcons clinch their first winning season since 2015.
Bowling Green led 31-3 at halftime; they had a pick-6 to make score 17-0.
Falcons averaged 8.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Eastern Michigan 24, Buffalo 11
Underdog Eagles led 24-0 at halftime; they’re bowl eligible now.
EMU ran ball 46 times for 226 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
3-9 Buffalo lost three fumbles, completed only 12-28 passes.
— NFL stuff:
Jets are starting 3rd-string QB Tim Boyle against the Dolphins Friday; Boyle started three games for Detroit in 2021, lost ‘em all. He played college ball at UConn/Eastern Kentucky.
Falcons are going back to QB Desmond Ridder for their game against the Saints this week; they’re 4-6 overall this season, 4-4 in Ridder’s starts.
— Nebraska 89, Duquesne 79
Cornhuskers scored on their first 16 possessions of the second half; I can’t remember seeing a team do that before.
— Last 17 years, favorites are 15-2 ATS in Detroit Lions’ Thanksgiving Day games.
Interesting NFL spreads for this week:
— Jaguars (-2) @ Houston
— Browns @ Denver (-1.5)
— Chiefs (-8.5) @ Las Vegas
— Bills @ Philadelphia (-3.5)
— Ravens (-3.5) @ LA Chargers
— Bears @ Minnesota (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
“Coach Smith and I have had ongoing conversations for more than a month regarding his future at Oregon State and our path forward for football specifically and our athletic department generally. He has embraced our short and long term plans……..
……..Coach Smith and I have also discussed our commitment to extending assistant coaches’ contracts and increasing the salary pool for his staff to retain the continuity of what they have all built together for Beaver Nation.”
Oregon State athletic director Scott Barnes
Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; what QB started the other nine games for the Rams that year?
Hint: He is still in the NFL, but he isn’t a starter
Wednesday’s quiz
Brian Flores was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel.
Tuesday’s quiz
The last time the Angels made the baseball playoffs was 2014; they got swept by the KC Royals in the divisional round.
**********************************************
Thursday’s Den: Happy Thanksgiving, everyone…….
— Purdue 78, Marquette 75- Big guy Zach Edey had 28 points, 15 rebounds as Purdue wins a very tough Maui Classic. Boilermakers hit 10-21 on the arc.Tyler Kolek had 22 points, 6 assists for Marquette, which leaves Hawai’i with wins over UCLA and Kansas, so it was a good week for them, even though they lost this game.
— Kansas 69, Tennessee 60- Rough couple of days for the Vols, who scored 0.91/0.87 points per possession in losses to Purdue/Kansas— they shot 17-63 on the arc in those two games, but they have a good defensive team and figure to make the NCAA’s in March.
Hunter Dickinson scored 17 points, grabbed 20 rebounds for Kansas, which shot 57.5% inside the arc, after trailed by 7 early on.
— Gonzaga, 69, UCLA 65
Zags rebound from loss to Purdue with wins over Syracuse, UCLA
Antone Watson scored 32 points for the Zags.
Gonzaga has won its last four games with the Bruins.
— Arkansas 77, Stanford 74, 2OT
Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 14-49 on the arc.
Stanford led by 9 with 14:21 left in game.
Arkansas shot 30.3% from floor, 26-33 on foul line.
— Southern Illinois 81, New Mexico State 54- You don’t see this often; Aggies shot 31.9% from the floor, 0-9 on the arc. In this day and age, you almost never see a team go a whole game without making a 3-pointer.
— In the Horizon League, Oakland Grizzlies have a player Jack Gohlke; so far this season, he’s shooting 24-72 on the arc, 1-2 inside the arc. All the freakin’ guy does is shoot 3’s. Seems like a fun job to have.
— Word of the Day— Gratitude- the quality of being thankful; readiness to show appreciation for and to return kindness.
— Movie of the Day- Class Action (1991)- An attorney representing a traumatized accident victim finds that his opponent is a very familiar defense attorney – his own daughter.
Gene Hackman is the lawyer, Mary Elizabeth Mastrantonio is his daughter. Laurence Fishburne, Fred Thompson, Jonathan Silverman, Joan McMurtrey and the guy who was the coroner on CSI are all in this movie- very good cast.
— In baseball, Seattle Mariners traded 3B Eugenio Suárez to Arizona, for C Seby Zavala and P Carlos Vargas; the move frees up $11,285,715 that Suarez will be paid next year. Luis Urias is expected to be the Mariners’ 3B next season.
— Bowling Green 34, Western Michigan 10
Falcons clinch their first winning season since 2015.
Bowling Green led 31-3 at halftime; they had a pick-6 to make score 17-0.
Falcons averaged 8.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Eastern Michigan 24, Buffalo 11
Underdog Eagles led 24-0 at halftime; they’re bowl eligible now.
EMU ran ball 46 times for 226 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
3-9 Buffalo lost three fumbles, completed only 12-28 passes.
— NFL stuff:
Jets are starting 3rd-string QB Tim Boyle against the Dolphins Friday; Boyle started three games for Detroit in 2021, lost ‘em all. He played college ball at UConn/Eastern Kentucky.
Falcons are going back to QB Desmond Ridder for their game against the Saints this week; they’re 4-6 overall this season, 4-4 in Ridder’s starts.
— Nebraska 89, Duquesne 79
Cornhuskers scored on their first 16 possessions of the second half; I can’t remember seeing a team do that before.
— Last 17 years, favorites are 15-2 ATS in Detroit Lions’ Thanksgiving Day games.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,436
- 17
- 38
That comes from Biff Fisher at Armadillo Sports. He's a terrific source. Good luck today!
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/23/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 11/20/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/19/2023 | 10-12-2 | 45.83% | -1600 | Detail |
| 11/16/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/13/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 11/12/2023 | 11-11-0 | 50.00% | -550 | Detail |
| 11/09/2023 | 1-0-1 | 75.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 11/06/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/05/2023 | 16-6-0 | 72.73% | +4700 | Detail |
| 11/02/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !
11/23/2023...........................3 - 3 - 0..................................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/20/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...................................00.00%.......................- 11.00
11/19/2023...........................8 - 11 - 1................................42.10%........................- 20.50
11/16/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0................................00.00%........................- 11.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................34 - 32 - 2............................. 51.51%...........................- 6.00
11/23/2023...........................3 - 3 - 0..................................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/20/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...................................00.00%.......................- 11.00
11/19/2023...........................8 - 11 - 1................................42.10%........................- 20.50
11/16/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0................................00.00%........................- 11.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................34 - 32 - 2............................. 51.51%...........................- 6.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
— Colorado State 69, Creighton 48- Rams’ PG Stevens is one of best PG’s in country.
— Arizona 74, Michigan State 68- Arizona led 34-19 early, held on at the end.
— FAU 91, Butler 86- Owls are #1 team in country in continuity.
— Villanova 83, North Carolina 81 OT- Wildcats were 32-36 on foul line.
— Memphis 84, Arkansas 79- David Jones scored 36 points, had 5 steals.
— Oklahoma 79, Iowa 67- Sooners shot 61% inside the arc.
Quote of the Day
“It’s good to celebrate and you need to. You need to smell the roses when you walk through the garden, as our guys did today. Because when you’re on the other side, it’s hard.”
Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy
Friday’s quiz
Who was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game?
Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; Case Keenum started the other nine games at QB for the Rams that year.
Wednesday’s quiz
Brian Flores was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel.
*******************************************
I’ll try to post this once a week like the NHL trends…….
Hawks (7-7):
— lost three of their last four games.
— 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 7-1 at home
Celtics (12-3):
— won seven of last eight games SU (0-4 ATS last four)
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 4-0 last four home games.
Nets (6-8):
— lost their last three games.
— 5-1 ATS at home, 5-2 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Hornets (5-9):
— 2-8 ATS at home.
— 0-3 ATS as a favorite.
— over 5-0 on the road
Bulls (5-11)
— lost five of their last six games.
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite.
— under 5-1 last six games.
Cavaliers (8-7):
— won four of their last five games
— 2-5 ATS at home
— over 6-2 last eight games.
Mavericks (10-5):
— split last 8 games, after a 6-1 start.
— 6-3 ATS on the road.
— over 7-2 on road.
Nuggets (10-5):
— lost five of last six games (0-7 ATS last seven).
— 1-7 ATS as road favorites
— under 6-2 on road.
Pistons (2-13):
— lost their last nine games (4-5 ATS).
— 7-7 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 as a favorite.
— over 4-2 last six home games
Warriors (7-9):
— lost seven of last eight games SU
— 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 6-1 last seven games.
Rockets (7-6):
— 7-1 SU at home, 0-5 on road
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
Pacers (8-6):
— over 13-1
— 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— 3-0 ATS first night of back/back
Clippers (6-7):
— won last three games SU.
— 3-3 ATS in LA, 2-5 ATS on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games.
Lakers (9-7):
— won six of their last eight games SU
— 3-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 5-0 last five games.
Grizzlies (3-11):
— 2-3 SU last five games, after a 1-8 start.
— 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-2 at home
Heat (10-5):
— won nine of last ten games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a home favorite, 4-2 as road favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Bucks (10-5):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 1-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 5-3 last eight home games.
Timberwolves (11-3)
— won 10 of last 11 games (7-4 ATS)
— 7-0 ATS at home, 1-6 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
Pelicans (8-7):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 8-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games.
Knicks (8-6):
— won/covered three of last four games
— 6-1 ATS as a favorite, 3-3-1 as an underdog
— over 5-2 last seven games
Thunder (11-4):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-2 ATS as a favorite, 6-1 as an underdog.
— three of last four games went over total.
Magic (10-5):
— won/covered their last five games.
— 5-1 ATS at home, 7-2 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
76ers (10-5):
— 2-4 last six games, after an 8-1 start.
— 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 1-3 as an underdog.
— over 5-1 last six home games.
Suns (9-6):
— won their last five games (3-2 ATS)
— 4-3 ATS as home favorite, 1-3 as road favorite.
— over 11-2 last 13 games
Trailblazers (4-11):
— lost seven of last eight games (1-5 ATS last six)
— 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 4-1 last five home games
Kings (8-6):
— lost last two games, after a 6-0 run.
— 4-0 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight road games
Spurs (3-12):
— lost their last 10 games (2-8 ATS)
— 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 11-4
Raptors (7-8):
— 4-4 ATS at home, 4-3 on road.
— 2-4 ATS in game after a win, 5-3 after a loss.
— over 4-1 last five games.
Jazz (4-11):
— lost last four games SU, giving up 130.5 ppg.
— 2-6 ATS on the road
— over 6-1 at home
Wizards (2-12):
— lost last seven games (2-5 ATS).
— 1-5 ATS at home.
— over 4-1 last five home games.
— Colorado State 69, Creighton 48- Rams’ PG Stevens is one of best PG’s in country.
— Arizona 74, Michigan State 68- Arizona led 34-19 early, held on at the end.
— FAU 91, Butler 86- Owls are #1 team in country in continuity.
— Villanova 83, North Carolina 81 OT- Wildcats were 32-36 on foul line.
— Memphis 84, Arkansas 79- David Jones scored 36 points, had 5 steals.
— Oklahoma 79, Iowa 67- Sooners shot 61% inside the arc.
Quote of the Day
“It’s good to celebrate and you need to. You need to smell the roses when you walk through the garden, as our guys did today. Because when you’re on the other side, it’s hard.”
Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy
Friday’s quiz
Who was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game?
Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; Case Keenum started the other nine games at QB for the Rams that year.
Wednesday’s quiz
Brian Flores was head coach of the Miami Dolphins before Mike McDaniel.
*******************************************
Friday’s Den: NBA trends to be thankful for…….
NBA trends (thru Thanksgiving)I’ll try to post this once a week like the NHL trends…….
Hawks (7-7):
— lost three of their last four games.
— 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 7-1 at home
Celtics (12-3):
— won seven of last eight games SU (0-4 ATS last four)
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 4-0 last four home games.
Nets (6-8):
— lost their last three games.
— 5-1 ATS at home, 5-2 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Hornets (5-9):
— 2-8 ATS at home.
— 0-3 ATS as a favorite.
— over 5-0 on the road
Bulls (5-11)
— lost five of their last six games.
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite.
— under 5-1 last six games.
Cavaliers (8-7):
— won four of their last five games
— 2-5 ATS at home
— over 6-2 last eight games.
Mavericks (10-5):
— split last 8 games, after a 6-1 start.
— 6-3 ATS on the road.
— over 7-2 on road.
Nuggets (10-5):
— lost five of last six games (0-7 ATS last seven).
— 1-7 ATS as road favorites
— under 6-2 on road.
Pistons (2-13):
— lost their last nine games (4-5 ATS).
— 7-7 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 as a favorite.
— over 4-2 last six home games
Warriors (7-9):
— lost seven of last eight games SU
— 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 6-1 last seven games.
Rockets (7-6):
— 7-1 SU at home, 0-5 on road
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
Pacers (8-6):
— over 13-1
— 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— 3-0 ATS first night of back/back
Clippers (6-7):
— won last three games SU.
— 3-3 ATS in LA, 2-5 ATS on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games.
Lakers (9-7):
— won six of their last eight games SU
— 3-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 5-0 last five games.
Grizzlies (3-11):
— 2-3 SU last five games, after a 1-8 start.
— 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-2 at home
Heat (10-5):
— won nine of last ten games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a home favorite, 4-2 as road favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Bucks (10-5):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 1-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 5-3 last eight home games.
Timberwolves (11-3)
— won 10 of last 11 games (7-4 ATS)
— 7-0 ATS at home, 1-6 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
Pelicans (8-7):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 8-3 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games.
Knicks (8-6):
— won/covered three of last four games
— 6-1 ATS as a favorite, 3-3-1 as an underdog
— over 5-2 last seven games
Thunder (11-4):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-2 ATS as a favorite, 6-1 as an underdog.
— three of last four games went over total.
Magic (10-5):
— won/covered their last five games.
— 5-1 ATS at home, 7-2 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
76ers (10-5):
— 2-4 last six games, after an 8-1 start.
— 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 1-3 as an underdog.
— over 5-1 last six home games.
Suns (9-6):
— won their last five games (3-2 ATS)
— 4-3 ATS as home favorite, 1-3 as road favorite.
— over 11-2 last 13 games
Trailblazers (4-11):
— lost seven of last eight games (1-5 ATS last six)
— 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 4-1 last five home games
Kings (8-6):
— lost last two games, after a 6-0 run.
— 4-0 ATS as an underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight road games
Spurs (3-12):
— lost their last 10 games (2-8 ATS)
— 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 11-4
Raptors (7-8):
— 4-4 ATS at home, 4-3 on road.
— 2-4 ATS in game after a win, 5-3 after a loss.
— over 4-1 last five games.
Jazz (4-11):
— lost last four games SU, giving up 130.5 ppg.
— 2-6 ATS on the road
— over 6-1 at home
Wizards (2-12):
— lost last seven games (2-5 ATS).
— 1-5 ATS at home.
— over 4-1 last five home games.
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/24/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 11/23/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 11/20/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/19/2023 | 10-12-2 | 45.83% | -1600 | Detail |
| 11/16/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/13/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 11/12/2023 | 11-11-0 | 50.00% | -550 | Detail |
| 11/09/2023 | 1-0-1 | 75.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 11/06/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/05/2023 | 16-6-0 | 72.73% | +4700 | Detail |
| 11/02/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !
11/24/2023...........................1 - 1 - 0..................................50.00%.......................- 0.50
11/23/2023...........................3 - 3 - 0..................................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/20/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...................................00.00%.......................- 11.00
11/19/2023...........................8 - 11 - 1................................42.10%........................- 20.50
11/16/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0................................00.00%........................- 11.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................35 - 33 - 2............................. 51.47%...........................- 6.50
11/24/2023...........................1 - 1 - 0..................................50.00%.......................- 0.50
11/23/2023...........................3 - 3 - 0..................................50.00%........................- 1.50
11/20/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...................................00.00%.......................- 11.00
11/19/2023...........................8 - 11 - 1................................42.10%........................- 20.50
11/16/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0................................00.00%........................- 11.00
11/12/2023..............................8 - 7 - 0...............................53.33%.........................+ 1.50
11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%.........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%........................+ 10.00
TOTALS................................35 - 33 - 2............................. 51.47%...........................- 6.50
Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Oklahoma 69, TCU 45- Sooner QB Gabriel threw for 400 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Utah State 44, New Mexico 41 OT- Aggies are now bowl eligible.
— Oregon 31, Oregon State 7- Teams’ last meeting as Pac-12 rivals.
— Iowa 13, Nebraska 10- Another Hawkeye game stays under the total.
— Toledo 32, Central Michigan 17- Rockets finish regular season 11-1.
— Tulane 29, UTSA 16- Green Wave heads to the AAC championship game.
Quote of the Day
“As God is my judge, I thought turkeys could fly!!!”
Mr Carlson, from WKRP in Cincinnati
Saturday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh?
Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game, way back in 2005.
Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; Case Keenum started the other nine games at QB for the Rams that year.
*************************************
Packers won three of last four games, after an 0-4 skid.
Green Bay averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.
Last four games, Green Bay is 27-55 on third down.
Packers are 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
Packers led 23-6 at halftime.
Green Bay ran fumble back for TD to take 20-6 lead.
Last two games, Lions turned ball over 7 times on 20 drives.
Detroit lost its last seven Thanksgiving games.
Cowboys 45, Commanders 10
Cowboys’ first four drives: 26 plays, 263 yards, 3 TD’s.
Cowboys averaged 10.3 yards/pass attempt.
Dallas won its five home games TY by 20-35-23-32-35 points.
Dallas is 16-4 ATS in last 20 NFC East home games.
Dallas outscored Commanders 25-0 in second half.
Washington lost eight of last ten games SU (4-5-1 ATS)
Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-7 giving up more than 17.
Opponents’ team total: over 9-3
49ers 31, Seahawks 13
49ers ran ball for 169 yards, led 24-3 at halftime.
SF outgained the Seahawks, 377-220.
49ers are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games NFC West road games.
SF scored 34-27-31 points in winning its three post-bye games.
Seattle’s only TD was a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seahawks are 0-5 when they score less than 20 points.
Last five games, Seattle converted only 17-64 third down plays.
Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West home games.
Dolphins 34, Jets 13
Miami scored on a 99-yard pick-6 on last play of first half.
Dolphins were 11-16 on third down, Jets 5-14.
Favorites are 9-1 ATS in Miami’s last ten games.
Waddle had 114 receiving yards, Hill had 102.
Jets in first half: 19 plays, 37 yards, INT run back for a TD.
Miami outgained Gang Green, 395-159
Jets lost last four games, by combined 109-37.
Under Saleh, Jets are 15-22 ATS as an underdog
— Washington Commanders fired DC Jack Del Rio after Washington’s 45-10 loss in Dallas on Thursday. HC Ron Rivera is expected to call defensive signals the rest of the year.
— Jets’ WR Allen Lazard was a healthy scratch Friday; he is making $12M this year, after coming over from Green Bay.
Meanwhile, the Packers’ seven WR’s are earning a combined $7.5M this season.
— Word of the Day: Scapegoat- a person who is blamed for the wrongdoings, mistakes, or faults of others, to take the focus off the person/people who made the mistakes.
— Ohio State 92, Alabama 81- Buckeyes start four sophomores, Alabama start four seniors; OSU shot 10-18 on the arc. Buckeye G Thornton scored 29 points (13-14 on foul line).
— Baylor 95, Florida 91- Bears shot 14-25 on the arc, scored 1.21 points/possession; game was 41-41 at halftime.
— Florida Atlantic 96, Texas A&M 89- Owls made 16-30 on the arc; their last two wins are over Big East/SEC teams. Not a lot of defense in this game; Aggies scored 1.33 points/possession, and they lost, which almost never happens.
— Villanova 79, Memphis 63- Wildcats were winning this game 44-14 at one point; Memphis outscored them 34-15 over the last 10:00, still lost by 16.
Villanova won its last four games, all against top 60 teams.
— Oklahoma 72, USC 70- Sooners tipped in a shot for the win with 0:01 left in game; they trailed by 8 with 17:29 left to play.
— Evansville 85, Chattanooga 77 OT- Mocs led by 20 with 11:40 left in game; they were 14-41 on the arc, 14-28 inside arc. Evansville is 5-0 this season vs schedule #322, forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#11 in country).
— Indiana State 76, Toledo 74- Rockets led by 5 with 4:58 left, got outscored 14-7 rest of the way; Toledo has lost three games in a row, giving up 92-77-76 points.
— Movie of the Day: Less Than Zero (1987)- A college freshman returns to Los Angeles for the holidays at his ex-girlfriend’s request, but discovers that his former best friend has an out-of-control drug habit.
Andrew McCarthy/Robert Downey Jr are the friends, Jamie Gertz is girlfriend. This is a good movie, but not a very pleasant one, because the one character is so self-destructive.
In real life, Jamie Gertz has represented the Atlanta Hawks at the NBA Draft Lottery a couple times; she’s been married to Hawks’ owner Anthony Ressler since 1989.
— LSU’s football team won the 2019 national championship; 30 players from that team have played in the NFL. Thirty!!!!
— NFL needs to fix their onside kick rule; no one recovers onside kicks anymore, they need to go to the gimmick rule they use in one of the spring leagues.
Team A trails by 10 with 1:00 left, they score a TD, now trail by 3. Instead of an onside kick, Team A gets the ball on their own 30-yard line, 4th-and-15, and the teams play on from there. I’m telling you, this would make the end of close games a lot more interesting.
— In case you were wondering, the record for most pick-6’s in a career is Rod Woodson, with 12.
— BYU has a basketball player Spencer Johnson who is 26 years old; he’s older than Jayson Tatum, who has been in the NBA for seven years.
— Princeton Tigers are off to a 5-0 start; they’re first college basketball team in the last 15 years to start a season 5-0, with four true road wins.
— Oklahoma 69, TCU 45- Sooner QB Gabriel threw for 400 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Utah State 44, New Mexico 41 OT- Aggies are now bowl eligible.
— Oregon 31, Oregon State 7- Teams’ last meeting as Pac-12 rivals.
— Iowa 13, Nebraska 10- Another Hawkeye game stays under the total.
— Toledo 32, Central Michigan 17- Rockets finish regular season 11-1.
— Tulane 29, UTSA 16- Green Wave heads to the AAC championship game.
Quote of the Day
“As God is my judge, I thought turkeys could fly!!!”
Mr Carlson, from WKRP in Cincinnati
Saturday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh?
Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game, way back in 2005.
Thursday’s quiz
When he was a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff started seven games for the Rams; Case Keenum started the other nine games at QB for the Rams that year.
*************************************
Saturday’s Den: Random stuff, with the weekend here……..
Packers 29, Lions 22Packers won three of last four games, after an 0-4 skid.
Green Bay averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.
Last four games, Green Bay is 27-55 on third down.
Packers are 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
Packers led 23-6 at halftime.
Green Bay ran fumble back for TD to take 20-6 lead.
Last two games, Lions turned ball over 7 times on 20 drives.
Detroit lost its last seven Thanksgiving games.
Cowboys 45, Commanders 10
Cowboys’ first four drives: 26 plays, 263 yards, 3 TD’s.
Cowboys averaged 10.3 yards/pass attempt.
Dallas won its five home games TY by 20-35-23-32-35 points.
Dallas is 16-4 ATS in last 20 NFC East home games.
Dallas outscored Commanders 25-0 in second half.
Washington lost eight of last ten games SU (4-5-1 ATS)
Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-7 giving up more than 17.
Opponents’ team total: over 9-3
49ers 31, Seahawks 13
49ers ran ball for 169 yards, led 24-3 at halftime.
SF outgained the Seahawks, 377-220.
49ers are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games NFC West road games.
SF scored 34-27-31 points in winning its three post-bye games.
Seattle’s only TD was a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seahawks are 0-5 when they score less than 20 points.
Last five games, Seattle converted only 17-64 third down plays.
Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West home games.
Dolphins 34, Jets 13
Miami scored on a 99-yard pick-6 on last play of first half.
Dolphins were 11-16 on third down, Jets 5-14.
Favorites are 9-1 ATS in Miami’s last ten games.
Waddle had 114 receiving yards, Hill had 102.
Jets in first half: 19 plays, 37 yards, INT run back for a TD.
Miami outgained Gang Green, 395-159
Jets lost last four games, by combined 109-37.
Under Saleh, Jets are 15-22 ATS as an underdog
— Washington Commanders fired DC Jack Del Rio after Washington’s 45-10 loss in Dallas on Thursday. HC Ron Rivera is expected to call defensive signals the rest of the year.
— Jets’ WR Allen Lazard was a healthy scratch Friday; he is making $12M this year, after coming over from Green Bay.
Meanwhile, the Packers’ seven WR’s are earning a combined $7.5M this season.
— Word of the Day: Scapegoat- a person who is blamed for the wrongdoings, mistakes, or faults of others, to take the focus off the person/people who made the mistakes.
— Ohio State 92, Alabama 81- Buckeyes start four sophomores, Alabama start four seniors; OSU shot 10-18 on the arc. Buckeye G Thornton scored 29 points (13-14 on foul line).
— Baylor 95, Florida 91- Bears shot 14-25 on the arc, scored 1.21 points/possession; game was 41-41 at halftime.
— Florida Atlantic 96, Texas A&M 89- Owls made 16-30 on the arc; their last two wins are over Big East/SEC teams. Not a lot of defense in this game; Aggies scored 1.33 points/possession, and they lost, which almost never happens.
— Villanova 79, Memphis 63- Wildcats were winning this game 44-14 at one point; Memphis outscored them 34-15 over the last 10:00, still lost by 16.
Villanova won its last four games, all against top 60 teams.
— Oklahoma 72, USC 70- Sooners tipped in a shot for the win with 0:01 left in game; they trailed by 8 with 17:29 left to play.
— Evansville 85, Chattanooga 77 OT- Mocs led by 20 with 11:40 left in game; they were 14-41 on the arc, 14-28 inside arc. Evansville is 5-0 this season vs schedule #322, forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#11 in country).
— Indiana State 76, Toledo 74- Rockets led by 5 with 4:58 left, got outscored 14-7 rest of the way; Toledo has lost three games in a row, giving up 92-77-76 points.
— Movie of the Day: Less Than Zero (1987)- A college freshman returns to Los Angeles for the holidays at his ex-girlfriend’s request, but discovers that his former best friend has an out-of-control drug habit.
Andrew McCarthy/Robert Downey Jr are the friends, Jamie Gertz is girlfriend. This is a good movie, but not a very pleasant one, because the one character is so self-destructive.
In real life, Jamie Gertz has represented the Atlanta Hawks at the NBA Draft Lottery a couple times; she’s been married to Hawks’ owner Anthony Ressler since 1989.
— LSU’s football team won the 2019 national championship; 30 players from that team have played in the NFL. Thirty!!!!
— NFL needs to fix their onside kick rule; no one recovers onside kicks anymore, they need to go to the gimmick rule they use in one of the spring leagues.
Team A trails by 10 with 1:00 left, they score a TD, now trail by 3. Instead of an onside kick, Team A gets the ball on their own 30-yard line, 4th-and-15, and the teams play on from there. I’m telling you, this would make the end of close games a lot more interesting.
— In case you were wondering, the record for most pick-6’s in a career is Rod Woodson, with 12.
— BYU has a basketball player Spencer Johnson who is 26 years old; he’s older than Jayson Tatum, who has been in the NBA for seven years.
— Princeton Tigers are off to a 5-0 start; they’re first college basketball team in the last 15 years to start a season 5-0, with four true road wins.
Sunday’s 6-pack:
— UAB 92, Furman 86- Furman led by 4 with 7:25 left in game.
— San Diego State 76, Cal 67, OT- Aztecs led by 12 with 8:47 left in game.
— Princeton 80, Northeastern 66- Tigers scored 1.38 points/possession.
— Alabama 99, Oregon 91- Crimson Tide shot 57.5% inside the arc.
— Belmont 84, Penn 79, OT- Belmont led by 10 at the half.
— Evansville 93, SE Missouri St 74- 6-0 Purple Aces have jumped 121 spots in the national rankings since the season started.
Quote of the Day
“I don’t want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to go chase it.”
Rogers Hornsby
Sunday’s quiz
Which NFL team used to be known as the Houston Oilers?
Saturday’s quiz
Brady Hoke was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh.
Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game, way back in 2005.
******************************************
Alabama threw a 31-yard TD pass on 4th-and-31 with 0:32 left for the win.
Auburn turned ball over three times, was 6-17/93 yards passing.
Crimson Tide plays Georgia in the SEC title game next week.
— Michigan 30, Ohio State 24
First time since 1997 that Michigan beat Buckeyes three years in a row.
Ryan Day is 56-7 at OSU with two Big Ten titles, but he is 1-3 vs Michigan.
Buckeyes outgained Michigan 378-338, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Washington 24, Washington State 21
Huskies kicked a 42-yard FG at the gun to finish 12-0 in regular season.
Coogs outgained Washington, 381-306 but had 10 penalties for 85 yards.
Wazzu lost seven of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
Kid who kicked the game-winning FG was put on scholarship after the game, which seems fair, seeing how Washington will likely make the playoffs for the national title now.
— Florida State 24, Florida 15
Gators led this game 12-7 at halftime; they finish season 5-7.
Neither starting QB played in this game; yardage was 232-226, Florida.
Seminoles finish regular season 12-0, play in ACC title game next week.
— Kentucky 38, Louisville 31
Cardinals led 10-7 at halftime, 24-14 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter.
Kentucky had a 31-yard TD run with 1:02 left for the win.
Wildcats beat Louisville for fifth time in a row.
— Iowa State 42, Kansas State 35
Cyclones had touchdown PLAYS of 71-77-79-60-33-82 yards.
Iowa State averaged 19.2 yards per pass, 12.7 yards/run.
K-State led 20-14 at halftime, on a snowy night in the Little Apple.
— Upsets of the Week:
Iowa State (+10) 42, Kansas State 35
Kentucky (+7.5) 38, Louisville 31
Eastern Michigan (+6.5) 24, Buffalo 11
Northwestern (+5.5) 45, Illinois 43
Sam Houston State (+3.5) 23, Middle Tennessee 20
— Word of the Day: Persevereance- persistence in doing something despite difficulty or delay in achieving success.
— Michigan State hired Oregon State coach Jonathan Smith as its new coach.
Smith was 34-35 in six seasons at Oregon State, his alma mater.
When a coach bolts a job at his alma mater, where he played QB, that stings.
Smith was 34-35 in Corvallis, but the last two years, Beavers were 18-7.
Oregon State is without a league right now, with Pac-12 out of business; they got left behind with Washington State in all the re-alignment.
— Northwestern 45, Illinois 43
Illinois threw an 80-yard TD pass with 0:55 left, but their 2-point play failed.
Northwestern is 7-5; they scored 14 or less points in all five losses.
In their last five games, Wildcats were +9 in turnovers.
— Old Dominion 25, Georgia State 24
Georgia State led 21-0 at halftime, 24-14 with 2:00 left in game.
Old Dominion scored on a 3-yard run on last play of the game for the win.
Monarchs became bowl eligible with the dramatic win.
— San Jose State 37, UNLV 31
Spartans led this game 20-10 at halftime.
San Jose ran ball 40 times for 233 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Mountain West ends in a 3-way tie; computer rankings will decide who plays in the MW championship game next weekend.
— West Virginia 34, Baylor 31
Baylor’s Richard Reese ran kickoffs back 96-93 yards, both for touchdowns.
West Virginia still led 27-14 at halftime.
Both teams averaged 10.8 yards/pass attempt.
— LSU 42, Texas A&M 30
Underdog Aggies led 17-14 at halftime; their 3rd-string QB played.
LSU QB Daniels was 16-24/235 yards passing, ran 11 times for 120 yards
A&M outgained the Bayou Bengals, 390-389.
— Oklahoma State 40, BYU 34 OT
BYU led 24-6 at halftime.
Cougars kicked a 48-yard FG at the gun to force OT.
Gordon ran ball 34 times for 166 yards and five TD’s for OSU.
— UAB 92, Furman 86- Furman led by 4 with 7:25 left in game.
— San Diego State 76, Cal 67, OT- Aztecs led by 12 with 8:47 left in game.
— Princeton 80, Northeastern 66- Tigers scored 1.38 points/possession.
— Alabama 99, Oregon 91- Crimson Tide shot 57.5% inside the arc.
— Belmont 84, Penn 79, OT- Belmont led by 10 at the half.
— Evansville 93, SE Missouri St 74- 6-0 Purple Aces have jumped 121 spots in the national rankings since the season started.
Quote of the Day
“I don’t want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to go chase it.”
Rogers Hornsby
Sunday’s quiz
Which NFL team used to be known as the Houston Oilers?
Saturday’s quiz
Brady Hoke was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh.
Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game, way back in 2005.
******************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..
— Alabama 27, Auburn 24Alabama threw a 31-yard TD pass on 4th-and-31 with 0:32 left for the win.
Auburn turned ball over three times, was 6-17/93 yards passing.
Crimson Tide plays Georgia in the SEC title game next week.
— Michigan 30, Ohio State 24
First time since 1997 that Michigan beat Buckeyes three years in a row.
Ryan Day is 56-7 at OSU with two Big Ten titles, but he is 1-3 vs Michigan.
Buckeyes outgained Michigan 378-338, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Washington 24, Washington State 21
Huskies kicked a 42-yard FG at the gun to finish 12-0 in regular season.
Coogs outgained Washington, 381-306 but had 10 penalties for 85 yards.
Wazzu lost seven of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
Kid who kicked the game-winning FG was put on scholarship after the game, which seems fair, seeing how Washington will likely make the playoffs for the national title now.
— Florida State 24, Florida 15
Gators led this game 12-7 at halftime; they finish season 5-7.
Neither starting QB played in this game; yardage was 232-226, Florida.
Seminoles finish regular season 12-0, play in ACC title game next week.
— Kentucky 38, Louisville 31
Cardinals led 10-7 at halftime, 24-14 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter.
Kentucky had a 31-yard TD run with 1:02 left for the win.
Wildcats beat Louisville for fifth time in a row.
— Iowa State 42, Kansas State 35
Cyclones had touchdown PLAYS of 71-77-79-60-33-82 yards.
Iowa State averaged 19.2 yards per pass, 12.7 yards/run.
K-State led 20-14 at halftime, on a snowy night in the Little Apple.
— Upsets of the Week:
Iowa State (+10) 42, Kansas State 35
Kentucky (+7.5) 38, Louisville 31
Eastern Michigan (+6.5) 24, Buffalo 11
Northwestern (+5.5) 45, Illinois 43
Sam Houston State (+3.5) 23, Middle Tennessee 20
— Word of the Day: Persevereance- persistence in doing something despite difficulty or delay in achieving success.
— Michigan State hired Oregon State coach Jonathan Smith as its new coach.
Smith was 34-35 in six seasons at Oregon State, his alma mater.
When a coach bolts a job at his alma mater, where he played QB, that stings.
Smith was 34-35 in Corvallis, but the last two years, Beavers were 18-7.
Oregon State is without a league right now, with Pac-12 out of business; they got left behind with Washington State in all the re-alignment.
— Northwestern 45, Illinois 43
Illinois threw an 80-yard TD pass with 0:55 left, but their 2-point play failed.
Northwestern is 7-5; they scored 14 or less points in all five losses.
In their last five games, Wildcats were +9 in turnovers.
— Old Dominion 25, Georgia State 24
Georgia State led 21-0 at halftime, 24-14 with 2:00 left in game.
Old Dominion scored on a 3-yard run on last play of the game for the win.
Monarchs became bowl eligible with the dramatic win.
— San Jose State 37, UNLV 31
Spartans led this game 20-10 at halftime.
San Jose ran ball 40 times for 233 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Mountain West ends in a 3-way tie; computer rankings will decide who plays in the MW championship game next weekend.
— West Virginia 34, Baylor 31
Baylor’s Richard Reese ran kickoffs back 96-93 yards, both for touchdowns.
West Virginia still led 27-14 at halftime.
Both teams averaged 10.8 yards/pass attempt.
— LSU 42, Texas A&M 30
Underdog Aggies led 17-14 at halftime; their 3rd-string QB played.
LSU QB Daniels was 16-24/235 yards passing, ran 11 times for 120 yards
A&M outgained the Bayou Bengals, 390-389.
— Oklahoma State 40, BYU 34 OT
BYU led 24-6 at halftime.
Cougars kicked a 48-yard FG at the gun to force OT.
Gordon ran ball 34 times for 166 yards and five TD’s for OSU.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 26
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC at HOU | 01:00 PM | JAC -1.0 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| TB at IND | 01:00 PM | IND -2.5 U 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| CAR at TEN | 01:00 PM | TEN -4.0 U 37.0 | +500 +500 |
| NO at ATL | 01:00 PM | NO -1.0 O 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| PIT at CIN | 01:00 PM | PIT -2.0 O 35.5 | +500 +500 |
| NE at NYG | 01:00 PM | NYG +3.5 U 34.0 | +500 +500 |
| CLE at DEN | 04:05 PM | DEN -1.0 U 36.0 | +500 +500 |
| LAR at ARI | 04:05 PM | ARI +2.0 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| BUF at PHI | 04:25 PM | PHI -3.0 U 49.0 | +500 +500 |
| KC at LV | 04:25 PM | LV +10.0 O 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| BAL at LAC | 08:20 PM | BAL -3.5 U 48.5 | +500 +500 |
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/27/2023 | 0-0-0 | 0.00% | +0 | Detail |
| 11/26/2023 | 12-9-1 | 56.82% | +1050 | Detail |
| 11/24/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 11/23/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 11/20/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/19/2023 | 10-12-2 | 45.83% | -1600 | Detail |
| 11/16/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/13/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 11/12/2023 | 11-11-0 | 50.00% | -550 | Detail |
| 11/09/2023 | 1-0-1 | 75.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 11/06/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/05/2023 | 16-6-0 | 72.73% | +4700 | Detail |
| 11/02/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
