PGA Championship

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1 unit):

Davis Love to win 20/1 e.w. @ Sean Graham
Don't normally look for someone to win in back-to-back weeks, but he did coast so much over the weekend and this is such a large price relative to elsewhere, it is rather tempting. He is now a four-time winner on the Tour this year and #1 on the Money List, while he is also a former winner of this title (1997) and has finished in the top-10 twice since. He seems to have responded extremely well to some family problems, including some new ones that were reported last week, and he believes he can now win against Tiger and all. In this frame of mind, he is a likely champion.

Jim Furyk to win 23/1 e.w. @ Easybets
Furyk also won on his last outing - the Buick Open two weeks ago. It wasn't quite so straightforward as Love's win last week, but it was a commanding performance nonetheless particularly as he fought off a last-round challenge from Tiger. It was his 2nd win and 10th top-5 finish of the year so it is no surprise that he is #1 in scoring average (actual) this year. He has four top-10 finishes in his last six PGA Championships, including the last two, and is now a very strong contender whenever he tees up.

Chris DiMarco to win 80/1 e.w. @ Easybets
If Love and Furyk have won the last two Tour events, DiMarco has not been too far behind. He was 2nd to Furyk two weeks ago and 4th behind Love last week. That makes nine top-10 finishes this year and he is certainly in-form heading into this event. He has played four PGA Championships, making the cut in each of them and finishing in the top-20 in 2000 and 2001. In this form, he can certainly add another this week.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 holes @ SB all -111
Clarke over Monty
Toms over Mick
Allenby over Leonard

 

[bombercoops]

DTB, love your first 2 plays for Oak Hill next week. Going to ride them out with you mate!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Hope we are right bomber, I expect these to line to move in short order.

Outright to place @ Skybet (6 places)
Allenby 14/1

WOW Stan envious of line you got on Dimarco. Nice find:thumb:

 

[Stanley]

Didn't last long though

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 holes all @ -110
@ 365
Verplank over F Jacobson
Going with seasoned A- vs newbe
@ B&W
F Jacobson over Monty
Monty cut 5 out of 7 stateside this year and no top 30.

Estes over Funk
Funk has been in funk getting cut in 3 of last 4.

Appleby over Franco
Solid B player vs ??
Appleby last 3 here 17-16-4

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (2 units):

Chad Campbell to beat Michael Campbell -120 @ William Hill
Michael Campbell had a torrid time on the PGA Tour earlier this year: eight starts and eight missed cuts. He did win in Europe last month (Irish Open) and has made all six cuts in Europe this year, but there will surely be some scars from that confidence-sapping spell in the U.S. He's missed two of the last three cuts in this event and the Cambo of early 2003 is more likely to on view this week than that when on the European Tour. Chad Campbell has missed only two cuts this year on the PGA Tour and should certainly be playing at the weekend.

Jerry Kelly to beat Ian Poulter -118 @ Expekt
Apart from opposing a player who won on the opposite side of the Atlantic last week, Poulter has only played in one PGA Tour event - this one in 2001 when he missed the cut. He's a great player to back when in contention, but this looks a classic week where he will be on his way home at the cut unless he gets a fast start. Kelly has had seven top-10 finishes on the PGA Tour this season already and should be far more at home in these conditions.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Any thoughts on these matchups?

Golf EXIT
2003 PGA Championship August 14 - 17, 2003 - Matchups
Unless otherwise specified, all matchups are for the entire tournament.
8/14/2003 8:00 AM Vijay Singh vs Tiger Woods
701 Vijay Singh
702 Tiger Woods

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Stuart Appleby vs Robert Allenby
703 Stuart Appleby
704 Robert Allenby

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Mike Weir vs Jim Furyk
705 Mike Weir
706 Jim Furyk

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Phil Mickelson vs Kenny Perry
707 Phil Mickelson
708 Kenny Perry

8/14/2003 8:00 AM David Toms vs Sergio Garcia
709 David Toms
710 Sergio Garcia

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Davis Love III vs Ernie Els
711 Davis Love III
712 Ernie Els

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Darren Clarke vs Padraig Harrington
713 Darren Clarke
714 Padraig Harrington

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Fred Funk vs Scott Verplank
715 Fred Funk
716 Scott Verplank

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Justin Leonard vs Retief Goosen
717 Justin Leonard
718 Retief Goosen

8/14/2003 8:00 AM Charles Howell III vs Chris DiMarco
719 Charles Howell III
720 Chris DiMarco

 

[Another Steve]

UT L

UT L

I will be interested in what the crew thinks of these match ups. They are what I'm being offered.

 

[twofingers]

Practice Monday

Practice Monday

Watched Tiger and OMeara play 18 today. Tiger was hitting the ball long and straight off the tee but had trouble putting. The change back to old driver seems to have helped. Missed three lips inside 10 feet for birdie. I had him shooting a 70. The green were very soft and it is raining again tonite. They are calling for rain again tomorrow then drying out on Wed and Thurs.

Saw Ben Crane for a few holes and he was all over the place. Trouble driving the ball and had a tough time on greenside rough on one hole. Saw him take 15 practice shoots from 10 feet off green in rough and 5 of them did not make it out.

With all this rain the rough here is deep. Good 4 1/2 to 5 inches deep. You have to be in the fairway here to score.

Watched Furyk for 8 holes and was impressed. Striking the ball very good.

Hope to catch Tiger again tomorrow at 6am.

 

[Stanley]

Small leans on Toms, DiMarco & Goosen.

Really like one of the other matchups and will probably make it an official play later today. Just waiting on more lines, so I'll let you know what it is later

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

one on your list I like in addition to one I've already played and will add it to 72 holes
Perry -110 over Mick @ B&W

Mick appears to maybe have come out of doldrums with 6th place finish last week,however his finish was in leau of format and not scoring. Els who tied him with 26 points beat him score wise by 3 strokes and Baird who finished 15th tied him strokewise.
Mick was actually 1 over par last 2 days. That coupled with pretty severe rough this week,especially around greens if one can believe Tiger, should put him in jeopardy.Two eagles and 4 doubles won't be a positive here.

 

[Stanley]

OK, that was the one. Guess I'll jump have to jump on it now before the lines move

 

[Stanley]

Adding outright plays (1 unit):

Luke Donald to win 'Top European' 40/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Very large price from Bet365 - it is generally about half these odds elsewhere. Unlike most of the other players in this category, Donald concentrates on this Tour so should hold an advantage in that respect. He is also a winner on this side of the Atlantic (2002 Southern Farm Bureau Classic) and has shown good form recently with 13th on his last PGA Tour start (Western Open) and 3rd in his last European Tour start (Scandinavian Masters). Monty is tempting at 16/1 (BlueSq), but this price is much too large.

Robert Allenby to win 'Top Rest of the World' 20/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Singh does appeal in this market, but 9/2 (William Hill, Easybets) is less value than these odds on Allenby with five places. That is very generous for a market with only 31 players. Apart from a poor patch in June, Allenby's form has been very good all year and he has finished in the top-10 in his last two PGA Tour starts. He has also finished in the top-20 in four of the last five PGA Championships, so it all points to at least a place finish in this market.

Chris Riley to win 'Top U.S. w/o Woods' 50/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Also looking for a place finish here as the odds on the leading players are rather skinny given the size of the market. Riley has some improved form recently with 2nd in the Greater Hartford Open three week ago and 24th last week. He was also 3rd last year and has won on Tour before (2002 Reno-Tahoe Open). You need a good short game in a major and few can match this player in that department.

 

[sports student]

72 hole

Toms -1/2 -111 over Mick (sportingbet)

2 man parlay at bowmans
Toms over Clarke
Weir over Mick

pays 2.1-1

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Sorry Stan. I should have considered that it might have been your match. Hope you got down in time.
If we can believe the writeups this venue is suppose to be set up US open style. Went thru players that missed cut in Open and compared their tourneys prior and after and rated on descrempencys and guess which players had most dramatic factor.
Love sandwiched a cut(76-75)in the Open between a 1st and 7th.
Further inspection has him just making 5 cuts in 9 attempts in Open and a ranking of 30 (Stans stats)for PGA in this field which is less than stellar.---in addition he said in interview he was razor sharp---so poor start might trigger big letdown.
Will prob play an unofficial straight win ticket on him--but will take a couple of shots in matches
Furyk -105 over Love at SIA
Singh +102 over Love @ 5 dimes
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Anyone know any regular books that have 2003 U.S. Money winner"including" Tiger Woods. All I can find is "without" and this may be his last hurrah and I am not fond of his chances on this par 70 layout.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
found one 365

 

[twofingers]

You can believe it. I have been there last two days and the rough is DEEP. If you do not hit the fairway you will a tough time getting par. It is raining again as i type so I expect that it will continue to get longer. The ground is so soft from all the rain there is little roll on the fairway. You can stick the ball on the greens easier then is usual at Oak Hill.

Watched Mickelson/Daly/Gomez for nine holes. Phil was hitting some bombs, outdriving Daly on almost evey hole. Only saw Phil off the fairway once. He drove over the creek on 13 ( 318 carry) but left his approach short on this 598 par five. Daly was in rough before the creek and chunked his out into the creek.
Daly looked physically beat up. I swear he looked 55 years old.

Watched Woods play his first four holes and he was sharp again until he hit the green. Did not see him sink a putt of note. Haas holed out from 205 yards on the 18th for an eagle.

Sergio missed the two fairways i saw him hit and he did not look like he was having fun.

Have not seen Els yet. He most have played later this afternoon.

In his news conference Woods said the rough was at least eight inches in spots.

 

[Myron]

Something tells me Sergio might be tough this week.

 

[Stanley]

Still there even now, DTB

Adding matchup plays (1 unit):

Robert Allenby to beat Peter Lonard -120 @ SkyBet
Some encouraging performances by Lonard on the European Tour recently, though he did falter very badly in the last round of the British and Irish Opens when in promising positions. He has been competitive on the PGA Tour, but still trails 4-10-1 h2h to Allenby over the last year there, so this looks a little imbalanced. Allenby finished ahead last year and should do so again.

Chris DiMarco to beat Thomas Bjorn -135 @ WWTS
Opposing Bjorn who apart from a 3rd place finish in 2000 has struggled in this event and should show some fatigue after his cruel losses in the British and Irish Opens and a pressurised performance in his home Open last week. This week he will not be able to deflect attention away from THAT bunker at Royal St. Georges and I don't see top-20 finish in the making. Siding with the outright selection on that basis.

Kenny Perry to beat Phil Mickelson -111 @ BetandWin
Mickelson had his firs top-10 since the Masters last week, but it was still rather unconvincing over the weekend. No contrast with Perry who has finished in the top-10 in his last seven starts, winning three times. Perry is at least -155 elsewhere, so the words 'gift horse' and 'mouth' come to mind!
(Also available at Sirbet, BestLine, Five Dimes and Pinnacle).

Colin Montgomerie to beat Lee Westwood -150 @ Stan James
This is not an event that Monty will win - he couldn't even chase down Ian Poulter last week - but it was still a very encouraging performance and that makes two top-4 finishes in his last four events (ignoring the 1st-round withdrawal from injury at the British Open). Westwood finished in 131st position at the International last week and will surely struggle to make the cut. For all Monty's failing on U.S. soil, he still leads Westwood 7-3-0 h2h on this Tour over the past three years.

 

[Another Steve]

II Fingers

II Fingers

Thanks for the updates. I'll be off Friday so I can plant and watch.

Leaning toward straights of Tiger and Furyk.. matchup of Chad over Lonard. Be back tomorrow with Plays.