Duke brother
honoured to have my service listed
where did you see my plays bro out of curiosity
thanks
honoured to have my service listed
where did you see my plays bro out of curiosity
thanks
SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS 3/8
- Thread starter tomtebow
- Start date
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(1) North Carolina (28-2, 19-8 ATS) at (6) Duke (26-3, 15-11-2 ATS)
Top-ranked North Carolina takes a seven-game winning streak up the road to Cameron Indoor Stadium, where it seeks to exact some revenge against archrival Duke in a battle to determine the ACC regular-season champion.
The Tar Heels (13-2, 8-7 ATS in the ACC) thumped Florida State 90-77 for its fifth consecutive double-digit ACC victory. However, they were on the wrong end of an 8-0 run over the final 75 seconds and came up short as a 16-point home favorite, dropping to 4-3 ATS during their seven-game winning streak.
Duke (13-2, 8-5-2 ATS in the ACC) prepped for this showdown with Wednesday?s 86-70 rout of Virginia as a 6?-point road chalk. Since losing their first two conference games in mid-February, the Blue Devils have won four in a row, but they?re just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven conference affairs.
Duke took advantage of the shorthanded Tar Heels a month ago in Chapel Hill, winning 89-78 as a 4?-point road underdog. That snapped the Blue Devils? three-game SU and four-game ATS losing skid against Carolina, which played last month?s game without injured point guard Ty Lawson. Good news for the Tar Heels: They?ve cashed in seven of their last nine visits to Cameron Indoor Stadium.
Including Duke?s win in February, the underdog is on an 11-3 ATS roll in this rivalry. The last two meetings were double-digit blowouts after the previous seven battles were decided by a total of 27 points, with win margins of seven points or less in each contest.
North Carolina has won all seven of its ACC road games ? four by double digits (3-1 ATS) and three others by a total of four points (0-3 ATS). Meanwhile, the Blue Devils are perfect at home this year at 15-0 (9-3-2 ATS). However, since cashing in their first three ACC home outings, they?re 0-2-2 ATS in their last four when hosting league foes.
The Tar Heels are on ATS streaks of 40-19 overall, 17-7 following a SU win and 20-8 on Saturdays.
This showdown features two of the top three scoring offenses in the nation. The Tar Heels rank second at 90.1 points per game, and they?re also 11th in field-goal offense (48.6 percent). Meanwhile, Duke puts up 85.1 ppg, which ranks third nationally, on 47.1 percent shooting.
These teams hurdled the 164-point total in their first meeting this year, making the over 5-0 in the last five clashes (2-0 at Duke). The over is also on runs of 4-0 for UNC overall, 8-2 for UNC on the road, 20-8 for UNC in ACC play, 5-1 for UNC on Saturdays, 10-4 for Duke overall, 35-16 for Duke in the ACC and 5-1 for Duke on Saturdays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTH CAROLINA and OVER
(12) Louisville (24-6, 16-11-1 ATS) at (11) Georgetown (24-4, 11-14 ATS)
Louisville (14-3, 12-4-1 ATS in the Big East) is red-hot heading into the regular-season finale, coming off Sunday?s 68-54 beating of Villanova as an 11-point home chalk. The Cardinals have won nine straight games and been nearly as impressive against the spread, going 8-1, all in Big East play. Seven of those nine victories have come by at least eight points, and five were by double digits.
Georgetown (14-3, 7-10 ATS in the Big East) squeaked out a road win at Marquette on Saturday, winning 70-68 in overtime as a four-point underdog for its fourth straight victory (3-1 ATS). The Hoyas? recent pointspread uptick comes on the heels of an 0-5 ATS nosedive, all in conference action.
Georgetown was Louisville?s third victim during its current nine-game winning streak, with the Cardinals taking a 59-51 home win laying 3? points on Feb. 9. In last year?s lone meeting, Georgetown won and covered as a one-point road favorite, 73-65.
The Cardinals are a sterling 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 roadies and have further positive ATS trends of 13-3-1 overall, 7-1 after a SU win, 6-1 after a spread-cover and 23-6-2 in Big East play. The Hoyas, conversely, are on negative ATS streaks of 4-10 on Saturday, 2-5 after a SU win, 2-9 after a pointspread victory and 1-5 at home.
The over is 5-2 in Louisville?s last seven road trips, but the under is 13-5 in its last 18 after a SU win. For Georgetown, the under is on lengthy streaks of 51-23 overall, 45-16 at home, 42-17 coming off a win and 41-17 in conference play. Finally, last month?s meeting fell well short of the 125-point posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE and UNDER
UAB (22-8, 15-9-1 ATS) at (2) Memphis (29-1, 15-10 ATS)
Alabama-Birmingham (12-3, 10-5 ATS in Conference USA) stretched its winning streak to five games with Wednesday?s 84-70 home rout of Tulsa as a 7?-point chalk, cashing for the fourth straight time. The Blazers, hoping to secure a second NCAA Tournament berth for Conference USA, are 7-1 in their last eight games (6-2 ATS) ? with the only blemish being a heartbreaking last-second home loss to Memphis.
Memphis (15-0, 7-8 ATS in CUSA) has rebounded from its only loss all season ? a 66-62 setback to Tennessee last month ? with a three-game winning streak, including a 72-55 road win over Southern Methodist on Wednesday. But the Tigers came up short as a 22-point road favorite at SMU, their fourth consecutive non-cover. John Calipari?s squad has followed up an 8-1 ATS romp by cashing just three times in its last 12 outings.
Memphis is on an 8-2 tear in this rivalry (7-3 ATS). A riot nearly broke out at the conclusion of the last game between these two teams three weeks ago, as Memphis escaped Birmingham with a 79-78 victory but failed to cash as an 8 ?-point favorite, halting a 3-0 ATS run by the Tigers. The Tigers are still 10-4 ATS in the last 14 series clashes overall and 7-1 ATS in the last eight gatherings at the Pyramid. Also, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
The Blazers are on a 5-0 ATS run in Saturday games and are 5-1 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record. On the flip side, the Tigers are on negative pointspread runs of 1-4 after a non-cover, 1-5 against winning teams and 1-6 at home.
The over has cashed in seven of UAB?s last nine starts, and the over is 4-1 in Memphis? last five league contests. However, the under is 8-1 in UAB?s last nine against winning teams, 35-16 in its last 51 on the highway and 6-1 in Memphis? last seven against winning teams. Finally, the under is 8-1 in the last nine series meetings (4-0 in the last four in Memphis), but the one over occurred in last month?s battle in Birmingham.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS
Baylor (20-9, 12-9 ATS) at Texas Tech (16-13, 15-9 ATS)
Baylor?s hopes for an NCAA bid took a hit Wednesday with a 71-57 home loss to Texas A&M as a two-point chalk, halting a 3-0 SU and a 4-0 ATS run. The Bears (8-7 SU and ATS in the Big 12), who at one point this season were 16-2, are just 4-7 in their last 11 starts (5-6 ATS), all in the Big 12.
Texas Tech (7-8, 9-6 ATS in the Big 12) was handed its worst loss in school history on Monday at Kansas, getting blasted 109-51 as a 19?-point pup. Just two days earlier, the Red Raiders had upset No. 5 Texas 83-80 as a five-point home ?dog, a rout that followed a 98-54 embarrassment at Texas A&M.
Baylor topped Texas Tech 80-74 on Feb. 6, but the Red Raiders got the cash as a 7?-point road pup. Despite that result, the Bears are still 8-3 ATS in the last 11 clashes in this series. Finally, the home team is on a 5-1 ATS tear, and the underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head contests.
The Bears are 19-7 ATS on their last 26 road trips, but they are 2-5 ATS in they?re last seven following a SU loss.
The Red Raiders are on a 10-1 ATS spree in Lubbock. Also, they?ve shown a strong ability to bounce back from bad efforts, going 7-0 ATS in their last seven after a pointspread setback and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after a SU loss.
The ?over? trends run heavy for both teams. For Baylor, the over is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 17-4 in Big 12 play, 7-1 on the road, 4-0 against winning teams, 6-0 after a SU loss and 19-7 on Saturday. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has topped the total in five straight games, and the over is 4-0 in its last four after a SU loss. Finally, the over is 5-0 in the last five series meetings overall and 4-0 in the last four battles in Lubbock.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS TECH and OVER
(16) Vanderbilt (25-5, 15-14 ATS) at Alabama (15-15, 9-15 ATS)
Vanderbilt (11-4, 8-5-2 ATS in the SEC) squeaked past Mississippi State 86-85 in overtime Wednesday but couldn?t cash as a 3?-point home chalk, ending a three-game ATS run. The Commodores are 8-1 in their last nine games (6-3 ATS).
Alabama (4-11, 6-9 ATS in the SEC) lost to LSU 80-74 catching two points in Baton Rouge for its second straight defeat, while also ending a two-game ATS uptick. The Crimson Tide are just 2-6 in their last eight games (4-4 ATS), all in conference action, though they could be due for a win: each of their last two wins has been preceded by two losses.
Vandy is on a 6-0-1 ATS streak in this series, including a 94-73 blowout victory as a 1?-point home pup last season. Two years ago in Tuscaloosa, though, ?Bama posted a 77-74 overtime win, getting the push as a three-point chalk. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven in this series.
The Commodores are 6-2 ATS in their last eight SEC outings, including 6-1 ATS following a SU win, and they?re 6-2 ATS this year as a favorite of seven points or less. Conversely, the Crimson Tide are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Saturday starts, 1-6 ATS as a ?dog of seven or fewer and 4-9 ATS at home this year, though have won three straight in Tuscaloosa, cashing in the last two.
The under is 6-1 in Vandy?s last seven roadies and is 7-3 in its last 10 when coming off a win. However, the over is 11-5 in the Commodores? last 16 Saturday starts and is 4-1-1 the last six meetings in this series.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VANDERBILT
(7) Stanford (24-5, 14-15 ATS) at USC (19-10, 16-11 ATS)
Southern Cal (10-7 SU and ATS in the Pac-10) boosted its NCAA Tournament resume with Thursday?s come-from-behind 93-89 overtime win over Cal, but the Trojans failed to cover as eight-point favorites. USC has won four of its last five starts and six of its last nine, all in Pac-10 play, but is just 4-5 ATS in that span (0-2 ATS in the last two).
Stanford (13-4, 8-9 ATS in the Pac-10) also went to overtime Thursday, suffering a devastating 77-67 loss at No. 3 UCLA that cost the Cardinal a shot at the regular-season league crown. Not only did the Cardinal blow a 14-point second-half lead, but they couldn?t even cover as an 8?-point road underdog. The loss snapped Stanford?s four-game win streak (2-2 ATS), but Trent Johnson?s team has still won 11 of its last 13 starts (7-6 ATS), all in conference action.
USC has cashed the last two in this series (1-1 SU), losing 52-46 on Jan. 5 as a 7?-point road pup and winning 83-79 in overtime laying 2? points in last year?s Pac-10 Tournament. Last year at USC, the Trojans won 69-65, but the Cardinal narrowly took the money as five-point pups. Stanford is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, but each team has covered five times, with the road team going 6-3 ATS in the last nine regular-season battles.
The Cardinal are on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 5-11 following a pointspread defeat and 1-6-1 after a SU loss, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday starts. At the opposite end of the spectrum, the Trojans are on positive ATS runs of 27-11 on Saturday, 14-6 after a non-cover and 33-16 against teams with a winning SU record.
Although the January meeting between these two fell miles short of the 131?-point posted
total, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings on USC?s home floor. Also, for Stanford, the over is on streaks of 4-0 on the road, 6-1 versus the Pac-10 and 4-1 on Saturday. For USC, the over is on tears of 4-1 overall, 5-1 on Saturday, 21-7 against the Pac-10 and 8-3 coming off a win.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(21) Marquette (22-7, 13-10 ATS) at Syracuse (18-12, 13-15 ATS)
Syracuse (8-9 SU and ATS in the Big East) halted an extremely untimely three-game SU and ATS skid by thumping Seton Hall 85-73 Wednesday as a 2?-point favorite. The Orange have seen their NCAA hopes fade, going 2-5 SU and ATS over the last seven games, all in Big East contests.
Marquette (11-6, 9-8 ATS in the Big East) took a respite from league play on Tuesday to pound first-year Division I Florida Gulf Coast 67-37 at home in a non-lined game. The Golden Eagles are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six Big East matchups, but the one loss came last Saturday at home against Georgetown, a 70-68 overtime setback as a four-point chalk.
These two teams met just once last year, with Syracuse winning and cashing 70-58 as a 3?-point road ?dog.
The Golden Eagles are on several positive pointspread runs, including 5-0 on the highway, 6-1 against the Big East, 4-1 after a SU win and 8-2 this year as a favorite of 12 points or less.
Syracuse is 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 Saturday starts, but the Orange are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when coming off a spread-cover.
For Marquette, the over is on runs of 5-2 overall, 5-1 on Saturday and 37-18-2 on the highway. Also, Syracuse has hurdled the total in four of its last five Saturday outings, but the under is 7-1 in the Orange?s last eight after a spread-cover and 5-1 in their last six when coming off a SU win.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MARQUETTE
(6) Kansas (27-3, 16-12 ATS) at Texas A&M (22-8, 12-12 ATS)
Kansas (12-3, 7-8 ATS in the Big 12) capped a perfect 20-0 season at home and remained in a tie for first place in the Big 12 with Monday?s historic 109-51 rout of Texas Tech, handing the Red Raiders their worst loss in history. The Jayhawks easily cashed as a 19?-point favorite, their second straight spread-cover after an 0-5 ATS slump.
Texas A&M (8-7, 7-8 ATS in the Big 12) hammered Baylor 71-57 as a two-point road underdog on Wednesday, but the Aggies are still just 2-4 SU and ATS in their last six. Their last three contests have been decided by margins of 14 points (win over Baylor), 27 points (loss at Oklahoma) and 44 points (win over Texas Tech). The straight-up winner has covered in each of the team?s last 14 games.
The Aggies upset Kansas last year, winning 69-66 as a five-point road underdog. Still, the Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 clashes. Also, the ?dog is 4-0 ATS in the last four series meetings, with the road team winning three of those contests outright.
The Jayhawks are 2-3 SU in their last five road games and they?ve failed to cash in six consecutive games on the highway (all in the Big 12). They?re also 1-4 ATS in their last five Saturday outings.
Texas A&M is 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS in Big 12 home games, losing two of the last three.
Kansas has topped the total in three straight games and 12 of the last 17, but the under is 3-1 in its last four on the road. Also, the over is 5-2 in A&M?s last seven at home and 2-0 in the last two head-to-head meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Arizona (18-12, 15-12-1 ATS) at Oregon (17-12, 13-11-3 ATS)
Arizona (9-9 SU and ATS in the Pac-10) posted its most convincing win of the season on Thursday at Oregon State, hammering the Beavers 81-45 as an 11-point road favorite. The Wildcats are still just 3-6 (4-5 ATS) in their last nine games.
Oregon held off Arizona State 67-61 on Thursday for its second consecutive win, which comes on the heels of a three-game losing skid. The Ducks pushed as a six-point home favorite and they?re 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven.
Oregon pummeled the Wildcats 84-74 as a seven-point road underdog two months ago. The Ducks have won two in a row in this rivalry and they?re 5-1 ATS in the last six, with the underdog cashing in each of those six battles.
The Wildcats have won consecutive conference road games (2-0 ATS) and they?re 4-2 SU and ATS in their last nine Pac-10 visits, with the winner covering the spread in all six contests. Overall, Arizona is on a 6-2 ATS roll on the highway, and the ?Cats are 7-2 ATS as an underdog of seven points or less.
The Ducks are on ATS streaks of 13-6-3 at home and 10-3-1 on Saturdays. However, they?re just 1-3-2 ATS in their last six conference contests in Eugene.
Arizona has stayed under the total in five straight games overall and 14 of 20 on the road (including three in a row), and the under is also 6-3 in Oregon?s last nine (4-0 at home). Also, the under is 4-1 in the last five series meetings, but the one ?over? hit in the January contest at Arizona.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
MISSOURI VALLEY TOURNAMENT
(at St. Louis, Mo.)
(20) Drake (25-4, 17-7-1 ATS) vs. Creighton (21-9, 15-11 ATS)
Drake (16-3, 11-7-1 ATS) advanced to the semifinals of the Missouri Valley tournament with yesterday?s 68-46 rout of Indiana State, cashing as a 10-point favorite to halt an 0-3 ATS slide in league play. Despite the victory, the Bulldogs have followed up a 21-game winning streak by going just 4-3 in their last seven, and they?re 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight after starting the season 15-3 ATS.
After the Bulldogs? victory Friday, Creighton held off Bradley 74-70 as a 1?-point chalk in a quarterfinal game. The Bluejays are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but just 5-5 ATS.
Drake swept the season series from Creighton, winning 68-60 in overtime as a 4?-point road underdog and 75-65 as a five-point home favorite. Both games were played in an eight-day span back in January. Prior to this season, Creighton had been on a 6-0 SU and ATS in this rivalry. Also, the favorite has cashed in seven of the last eight series meetings.
Creighton is 6-1 ATS in its last seven neutral-site contests.
The over is on streaks of 20-8-1 for Creighton overall (11-5-1 last 17) and 9-2 for Drake overall, though the Bulldogs had a 4-0 ?over? streak snapped when Friday?s game versus Indiana State stayed well under the posted price. Also, the under is 3-1 in the last four head-to-head meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Illinois State (23-8, 14-15 ATS) vs. Northern Iowa (18-13, 14-13 ATS)
Illinois State (14-5, 9-10 ATS in conference) opened tournament play by edging Missouri State 63-58 on Friday night, covering as a 2?-point favorite. The Redbirds have won five in a row and seven of their last eight, and they?ve followed up a 2-9 ATS slide with three consecutive spread-covers. Also, during their five-game winning streak, the Redbirds, who rank 12th nationally in scoring defense, having given up an average of just 50.8 points per game.
Northern Iowa (10-9, 11-8 ATS in conference) stunned Southern Illinois in its opening-round game Friday, scoring a 54-49 upset win as a six-point underdog. The Panthers have won and covered three in a row after going 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in their previous six contests.
The teams split their regular-season series, with the host winning each time. Illinois State prevailed 51-46, but failed as a 7?-point favorite, while Northern Iowa earned a 69-61 win as a 1?-point chalk three weeks later.
Illinois State has won three straight and four of its last five on the highway (3-2 ATS). Also, the Redbirds improved to 1-2 SU and ATS in neutral-site games this year with last night?s win.
Northern Iowa is now 2-4 ATS in neutral-site games this year after last night?s win, but the Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral-site contests as an underdog. They?re also 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a spread-cover.
Illinois State has stayed under the total in five consecutive games. Meanwhile, Northern Iowa had a three-game ?over? streak snapped on Friday, and the under is now 11-1 in its last 12 neutral-site games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNAMENT
(at Indianapolis)
Illinois-Chicago (18-14, 18-11 ATS) vs. (14) Butler (27-3, 14-13-2 ATS)
Butler won the Horizon League title going away with a 16-2 record, including 11 consecutive conference wins to close the season, but went just 5-11-2 ATS, all as a favorite. The Bulldogs? only blemish over the regular season?s final six weeks was a 71-64 Bracketbuster home loss to Drake two weeks ago.
Illinois-Chicago (11-9, 12-8 ATS in conference) used a big second half to eliminate Loyola-Chicago 60-49 as a five-point chalk on Friday. The Flames, who defeated Youngstown State 70-59 in an opening-round tournament game on Tuesday, have won three in a row SU, and they?re 10-4 ATS in their last 14, though they?ve alternated spread-covers in their last nine contests.
Butler swept the season series from the Flames and barely got the cash in both contests, rolling 73-57 as a 14-point home favorite and 51-46 as a 4.5-point chalk
The Horizon League tournament is being played on Butler?s home court, Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, where the Bulldogs are 13-1 (7-7 ATS), including 9-0 in conference play, but just 3-6 ATS. Meanwhile, Illinois-Chicago improved to 4-6 (5-5 ATS) in conference road games with yesterday?s win over Loyola-Chicago.
The under is 8-2 in Illinois-Chicago?s last 10 contests, including 6-2 on the highway. Also, both series meetings between these teams this year stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BUTLER and UNDER
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(1) North Carolina (28-2, 19-8 ATS) at (6) Duke (26-3, 15-11-2 ATS)
Top-ranked North Carolina takes a seven-game winning streak up the road to Cameron Indoor Stadium, where it seeks to exact some revenge against archrival Duke in a battle to determine the ACC regular-season champion.
The Tar Heels (13-2, 8-7 ATS in the ACC) thumped Florida State 90-77 for its fifth consecutive double-digit ACC victory. However, they were on the wrong end of an 8-0 run over the final 75 seconds and came up short as a 16-point home favorite, dropping to 4-3 ATS during their seven-game winning streak.
Duke (13-2, 8-5-2 ATS in the ACC) prepped for this showdown with Wednesday?s 86-70 rout of Virginia as a 6?-point road chalk. Since losing their first two conference games in mid-February, the Blue Devils have won four in a row, but they?re just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven conference affairs.
Duke took advantage of the shorthanded Tar Heels a month ago in Chapel Hill, winning 89-78 as a 4?-point road underdog. That snapped the Blue Devils? three-game SU and four-game ATS losing skid against Carolina, which played last month?s game without injured point guard Ty Lawson. Good news for the Tar Heels: They?ve cashed in seven of their last nine visits to Cameron Indoor Stadium.
Including Duke?s win in February, the underdog is on an 11-3 ATS roll in this rivalry. The last two meetings were double-digit blowouts after the previous seven battles were decided by a total of 27 points, with win margins of seven points or less in each contest.
North Carolina has won all seven of its ACC road games ? four by double digits (3-1 ATS) and three others by a total of four points (0-3 ATS). Meanwhile, the Blue Devils are perfect at home this year at 15-0 (9-3-2 ATS). However, since cashing in their first three ACC home outings, they?re 0-2-2 ATS in their last four when hosting league foes.
The Tar Heels are on ATS streaks of 40-19 overall, 17-7 following a SU win and 20-8 on Saturdays.
This showdown features two of the top three scoring offenses in the nation. The Tar Heels rank second at 90.1 points per game, and they?re also 11th in field-goal offense (48.6 percent). Meanwhile, Duke puts up 85.1 ppg, which ranks third nationally, on 47.1 percent shooting.
These teams hurdled the 164-point total in their first meeting this year, making the over 5-0 in the last five clashes (2-0 at Duke). The over is also on runs of 4-0 for UNC overall, 8-2 for UNC on the road, 20-8 for UNC in ACC play, 5-1 for UNC on Saturdays, 10-4 for Duke overall, 35-16 for Duke in the ACC and 5-1 for Duke on Saturdays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTH CAROLINA and OVER
(12) Louisville (24-6, 16-11-1 ATS) at (11) Georgetown (24-4, 11-14 ATS)
Louisville (14-3, 12-4-1 ATS in the Big East) is red-hot heading into the regular-season finale, coming off Sunday?s 68-54 beating of Villanova as an 11-point home chalk. The Cardinals have won nine straight games and been nearly as impressive against the spread, going 8-1, all in Big East play. Seven of those nine victories have come by at least eight points, and five were by double digits.
Georgetown (14-3, 7-10 ATS in the Big East) squeaked out a road win at Marquette on Saturday, winning 70-68 in overtime as a four-point underdog for its fourth straight victory (3-1 ATS). The Hoyas? recent pointspread uptick comes on the heels of an 0-5 ATS nosedive, all in conference action.
Georgetown was Louisville?s third victim during its current nine-game winning streak, with the Cardinals taking a 59-51 home win laying 3? points on Feb. 9. In last year?s lone meeting, Georgetown won and covered as a one-point road favorite, 73-65.
The Cardinals are a sterling 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 roadies and have further positive ATS trends of 13-3-1 overall, 7-1 after a SU win, 6-1 after a spread-cover and 23-6-2 in Big East play. The Hoyas, conversely, are on negative ATS streaks of 4-10 on Saturday, 2-5 after a SU win, 2-9 after a pointspread victory and 1-5 at home.
The over is 5-2 in Louisville?s last seven road trips, but the under is 13-5 in its last 18 after a SU win. For Georgetown, the under is on lengthy streaks of 51-23 overall, 45-16 at home, 42-17 coming off a win and 41-17 in conference play. Finally, last month?s meeting fell well short of the 125-point posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE and UNDER
UAB (22-8, 15-9-1 ATS) at (2) Memphis (29-1, 15-10 ATS)
Alabama-Birmingham (12-3, 10-5 ATS in Conference USA) stretched its winning streak to five games with Wednesday?s 84-70 home rout of Tulsa as a 7?-point chalk, cashing for the fourth straight time. The Blazers, hoping to secure a second NCAA Tournament berth for Conference USA, are 7-1 in their last eight games (6-2 ATS) ? with the only blemish being a heartbreaking last-second home loss to Memphis.
Memphis (15-0, 7-8 ATS in CUSA) has rebounded from its only loss all season ? a 66-62 setback to Tennessee last month ? with a three-game winning streak, including a 72-55 road win over Southern Methodist on Wednesday. But the Tigers came up short as a 22-point road favorite at SMU, their fourth consecutive non-cover. John Calipari?s squad has followed up an 8-1 ATS romp by cashing just three times in its last 12 outings.
Memphis is on an 8-2 tear in this rivalry (7-3 ATS). A riot nearly broke out at the conclusion of the last game between these two teams three weeks ago, as Memphis escaped Birmingham with a 79-78 victory but failed to cash as an 8 ?-point favorite, halting a 3-0 ATS run by the Tigers. The Tigers are still 10-4 ATS in the last 14 series clashes overall and 7-1 ATS in the last eight gatherings at the Pyramid. Also, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
The Blazers are on a 5-0 ATS run in Saturday games and are 5-1 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record. On the flip side, the Tigers are on negative pointspread runs of 1-4 after a non-cover, 1-5 against winning teams and 1-6 at home.
The over has cashed in seven of UAB?s last nine starts, and the over is 4-1 in Memphis? last five league contests. However, the under is 8-1 in UAB?s last nine against winning teams, 35-16 in its last 51 on the highway and 6-1 in Memphis? last seven against winning teams. Finally, the under is 8-1 in the last nine series meetings (4-0 in the last four in Memphis), but the one over occurred in last month?s battle in Birmingham.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS
Baylor (20-9, 12-9 ATS) at Texas Tech (16-13, 15-9 ATS)
Baylor?s hopes for an NCAA bid took a hit Wednesday with a 71-57 home loss to Texas A&M as a two-point chalk, halting a 3-0 SU and a 4-0 ATS run. The Bears (8-7 SU and ATS in the Big 12), who at one point this season were 16-2, are just 4-7 in their last 11 starts (5-6 ATS), all in the Big 12.
Texas Tech (7-8, 9-6 ATS in the Big 12) was handed its worst loss in school history on Monday at Kansas, getting blasted 109-51 as a 19?-point pup. Just two days earlier, the Red Raiders had upset No. 5 Texas 83-80 as a five-point home ?dog, a rout that followed a 98-54 embarrassment at Texas A&M.
Baylor topped Texas Tech 80-74 on Feb. 6, but the Red Raiders got the cash as a 7?-point road pup. Despite that result, the Bears are still 8-3 ATS in the last 11 clashes in this series. Finally, the home team is on a 5-1 ATS tear, and the underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head contests.
The Bears are 19-7 ATS on their last 26 road trips, but they are 2-5 ATS in they?re last seven following a SU loss.
The Red Raiders are on a 10-1 ATS spree in Lubbock. Also, they?ve shown a strong ability to bounce back from bad efforts, going 7-0 ATS in their last seven after a pointspread setback and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after a SU loss.
The ?over? trends run heavy for both teams. For Baylor, the over is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 17-4 in Big 12 play, 7-1 on the road, 4-0 against winning teams, 6-0 after a SU loss and 19-7 on Saturday. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has topped the total in five straight games, and the over is 4-0 in its last four after a SU loss. Finally, the over is 5-0 in the last five series meetings overall and 4-0 in the last four battles in Lubbock.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS TECH and OVER
(16) Vanderbilt (25-5, 15-14 ATS) at Alabama (15-15, 9-15 ATS)
Vanderbilt (11-4, 8-5-2 ATS in the SEC) squeaked past Mississippi State 86-85 in overtime Wednesday but couldn?t cash as a 3?-point home chalk, ending a three-game ATS run. The Commodores are 8-1 in their last nine games (6-3 ATS).
Alabama (4-11, 6-9 ATS in the SEC) lost to LSU 80-74 catching two points in Baton Rouge for its second straight defeat, while also ending a two-game ATS uptick. The Crimson Tide are just 2-6 in their last eight games (4-4 ATS), all in conference action, though they could be due for a win: each of their last two wins has been preceded by two losses.
Vandy is on a 6-0-1 ATS streak in this series, including a 94-73 blowout victory as a 1?-point home pup last season. Two years ago in Tuscaloosa, though, ?Bama posted a 77-74 overtime win, getting the push as a three-point chalk. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven in this series.
The Commodores are 6-2 ATS in their last eight SEC outings, including 6-1 ATS following a SU win, and they?re 6-2 ATS this year as a favorite of seven points or less. Conversely, the Crimson Tide are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Saturday starts, 1-6 ATS as a ?dog of seven or fewer and 4-9 ATS at home this year, though have won three straight in Tuscaloosa, cashing in the last two.
The under is 6-1 in Vandy?s last seven roadies and is 7-3 in its last 10 when coming off a win. However, the over is 11-5 in the Commodores? last 16 Saturday starts and is 4-1-1 the last six meetings in this series.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VANDERBILT
(7) Stanford (24-5, 14-15 ATS) at USC (19-10, 16-11 ATS)
Southern Cal (10-7 SU and ATS in the Pac-10) boosted its NCAA Tournament resume with Thursday?s come-from-behind 93-89 overtime win over Cal, but the Trojans failed to cover as eight-point favorites. USC has won four of its last five starts and six of its last nine, all in Pac-10 play, but is just 4-5 ATS in that span (0-2 ATS in the last two).
Stanford (13-4, 8-9 ATS in the Pac-10) also went to overtime Thursday, suffering a devastating 77-67 loss at No. 3 UCLA that cost the Cardinal a shot at the regular-season league crown. Not only did the Cardinal blow a 14-point second-half lead, but they couldn?t even cover as an 8?-point road underdog. The loss snapped Stanford?s four-game win streak (2-2 ATS), but Trent Johnson?s team has still won 11 of its last 13 starts (7-6 ATS), all in conference action.
USC has cashed the last two in this series (1-1 SU), losing 52-46 on Jan. 5 as a 7?-point road pup and winning 83-79 in overtime laying 2? points in last year?s Pac-10 Tournament. Last year at USC, the Trojans won 69-65, but the Cardinal narrowly took the money as five-point pups. Stanford is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, but each team has covered five times, with the road team going 6-3 ATS in the last nine regular-season battles.
The Cardinal are on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 5-11 following a pointspread defeat and 1-6-1 after a SU loss, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday starts. At the opposite end of the spectrum, the Trojans are on positive ATS runs of 27-11 on Saturday, 14-6 after a non-cover and 33-16 against teams with a winning SU record.
Although the January meeting between these two fell miles short of the 131?-point posted
total, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings on USC?s home floor. Also, for Stanford, the over is on streaks of 4-0 on the road, 6-1 versus the Pac-10 and 4-1 on Saturday. For USC, the over is on tears of 4-1 overall, 5-1 on Saturday, 21-7 against the Pac-10 and 8-3 coming off a win.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(21) Marquette (22-7, 13-10 ATS) at Syracuse (18-12, 13-15 ATS)
Syracuse (8-9 SU and ATS in the Big East) halted an extremely untimely three-game SU and ATS skid by thumping Seton Hall 85-73 Wednesday as a 2?-point favorite. The Orange have seen their NCAA hopes fade, going 2-5 SU and ATS over the last seven games, all in Big East contests.
Marquette (11-6, 9-8 ATS in the Big East) took a respite from league play on Tuesday to pound first-year Division I Florida Gulf Coast 67-37 at home in a non-lined game. The Golden Eagles are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six Big East matchups, but the one loss came last Saturday at home against Georgetown, a 70-68 overtime setback as a four-point chalk.
These two teams met just once last year, with Syracuse winning and cashing 70-58 as a 3?-point road ?dog.
The Golden Eagles are on several positive pointspread runs, including 5-0 on the highway, 6-1 against the Big East, 4-1 after a SU win and 8-2 this year as a favorite of 12 points or less.
Syracuse is 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 Saturday starts, but the Orange are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when coming off a spread-cover.
For Marquette, the over is on runs of 5-2 overall, 5-1 on Saturday and 37-18-2 on the highway. Also, Syracuse has hurdled the total in four of its last five Saturday outings, but the under is 7-1 in the Orange?s last eight after a spread-cover and 5-1 in their last six when coming off a SU win.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MARQUETTE
(6) Kansas (27-3, 16-12 ATS) at Texas A&M (22-8, 12-12 ATS)
Kansas (12-3, 7-8 ATS in the Big 12) capped a perfect 20-0 season at home and remained in a tie for first place in the Big 12 with Monday?s historic 109-51 rout of Texas Tech, handing the Red Raiders their worst loss in history. The Jayhawks easily cashed as a 19?-point favorite, their second straight spread-cover after an 0-5 ATS slump.
Texas A&M (8-7, 7-8 ATS in the Big 12) hammered Baylor 71-57 as a two-point road underdog on Wednesday, but the Aggies are still just 2-4 SU and ATS in their last six. Their last three contests have been decided by margins of 14 points (win over Baylor), 27 points (loss at Oklahoma) and 44 points (win over Texas Tech). The straight-up winner has covered in each of the team?s last 14 games.
The Aggies upset Kansas last year, winning 69-66 as a five-point road underdog. Still, the Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 clashes. Also, the ?dog is 4-0 ATS in the last four series meetings, with the road team winning three of those contests outright.
The Jayhawks are 2-3 SU in their last five road games and they?ve failed to cash in six consecutive games on the highway (all in the Big 12). They?re also 1-4 ATS in their last five Saturday outings.
Texas A&M is 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS in Big 12 home games, losing two of the last three.
Kansas has topped the total in three straight games and 12 of the last 17, but the under is 3-1 in its last four on the road. Also, the over is 5-2 in A&M?s last seven at home and 2-0 in the last two head-to-head meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Arizona (18-12, 15-12-1 ATS) at Oregon (17-12, 13-11-3 ATS)
Arizona (9-9 SU and ATS in the Pac-10) posted its most convincing win of the season on Thursday at Oregon State, hammering the Beavers 81-45 as an 11-point road favorite. The Wildcats are still just 3-6 (4-5 ATS) in their last nine games.
Oregon held off Arizona State 67-61 on Thursday for its second consecutive win, which comes on the heels of a three-game losing skid. The Ducks pushed as a six-point home favorite and they?re 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven.
Oregon pummeled the Wildcats 84-74 as a seven-point road underdog two months ago. The Ducks have won two in a row in this rivalry and they?re 5-1 ATS in the last six, with the underdog cashing in each of those six battles.
The Wildcats have won consecutive conference road games (2-0 ATS) and they?re 4-2 SU and ATS in their last nine Pac-10 visits, with the winner covering the spread in all six contests. Overall, Arizona is on a 6-2 ATS roll on the highway, and the ?Cats are 7-2 ATS as an underdog of seven points or less.
The Ducks are on ATS streaks of 13-6-3 at home and 10-3-1 on Saturdays. However, they?re just 1-3-2 ATS in their last six conference contests in Eugene.
Arizona has stayed under the total in five straight games overall and 14 of 20 on the road (including three in a row), and the under is also 6-3 in Oregon?s last nine (4-0 at home). Also, the under is 4-1 in the last five series meetings, but the one ?over? hit in the January contest at Arizona.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
MISSOURI VALLEY TOURNAMENT
(at St. Louis, Mo.)
(20) Drake (25-4, 17-7-1 ATS) vs. Creighton (21-9, 15-11 ATS)
Drake (16-3, 11-7-1 ATS) advanced to the semifinals of the Missouri Valley tournament with yesterday?s 68-46 rout of Indiana State, cashing as a 10-point favorite to halt an 0-3 ATS slide in league play. Despite the victory, the Bulldogs have followed up a 21-game winning streak by going just 4-3 in their last seven, and they?re 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight after starting the season 15-3 ATS.
After the Bulldogs? victory Friday, Creighton held off Bradley 74-70 as a 1?-point chalk in a quarterfinal game. The Bluejays are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but just 5-5 ATS.
Drake swept the season series from Creighton, winning 68-60 in overtime as a 4?-point road underdog and 75-65 as a five-point home favorite. Both games were played in an eight-day span back in January. Prior to this season, Creighton had been on a 6-0 SU and ATS in this rivalry. Also, the favorite has cashed in seven of the last eight series meetings.
Creighton is 6-1 ATS in its last seven neutral-site contests.
The over is on streaks of 20-8-1 for Creighton overall (11-5-1 last 17) and 9-2 for Drake overall, though the Bulldogs had a 4-0 ?over? streak snapped when Friday?s game versus Indiana State stayed well under the posted price. Also, the under is 3-1 in the last four head-to-head meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Illinois State (23-8, 14-15 ATS) vs. Northern Iowa (18-13, 14-13 ATS)
Illinois State (14-5, 9-10 ATS in conference) opened tournament play by edging Missouri State 63-58 on Friday night, covering as a 2?-point favorite. The Redbirds have won five in a row and seven of their last eight, and they?ve followed up a 2-9 ATS slide with three consecutive spread-covers. Also, during their five-game winning streak, the Redbirds, who rank 12th nationally in scoring defense, having given up an average of just 50.8 points per game.
Northern Iowa (10-9, 11-8 ATS in conference) stunned Southern Illinois in its opening-round game Friday, scoring a 54-49 upset win as a six-point underdog. The Panthers have won and covered three in a row after going 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in their previous six contests.
The teams split their regular-season series, with the host winning each time. Illinois State prevailed 51-46, but failed as a 7?-point favorite, while Northern Iowa earned a 69-61 win as a 1?-point chalk three weeks later.
Illinois State has won three straight and four of its last five on the highway (3-2 ATS). Also, the Redbirds improved to 1-2 SU and ATS in neutral-site games this year with last night?s win.
Northern Iowa is now 2-4 ATS in neutral-site games this year after last night?s win, but the Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral-site contests as an underdog. They?re also 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a spread-cover.
Illinois State has stayed under the total in five consecutive games. Meanwhile, Northern Iowa had a three-game ?over? streak snapped on Friday, and the under is now 11-1 in its last 12 neutral-site games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNAMENT
(at Indianapolis)
Illinois-Chicago (18-14, 18-11 ATS) vs. (14) Butler (27-3, 14-13-2 ATS)
Butler won the Horizon League title going away with a 16-2 record, including 11 consecutive conference wins to close the season, but went just 5-11-2 ATS, all as a favorite. The Bulldogs? only blemish over the regular season?s final six weeks was a 71-64 Bracketbuster home loss to Drake two weeks ago.
Illinois-Chicago (11-9, 12-8 ATS in conference) used a big second half to eliminate Loyola-Chicago 60-49 as a five-point chalk on Friday. The Flames, who defeated Youngstown State 70-59 in an opening-round tournament game on Tuesday, have won three in a row SU, and they?re 10-4 ATS in their last 14, though they?ve alternated spread-covers in their last nine contests.
Butler swept the season series from the Flames and barely got the cash in both contests, rolling 73-57 as a 14-point home favorite and 51-46 as a 4.5-point chalk
The Horizon League tournament is being played on Butler?s home court, Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, where the Bulldogs are 13-1 (7-7 ATS), including 9-0 in conference play, but just 3-6 ATS. Meanwhile, Illinois-Chicago improved to 4-6 (5-5 ATS) in conference road games with yesterday?s win over Loyola-Chicago.
The under is 8-2 in Illinois-Chicago?s last 10 contests, including 6-2 on the highway. Also, both series meetings between these teams this year stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BUTLER and UNDER
BRIAN GABRIELLE
GOLF
Take Brian Gay (66-1), 1/6 unit: Gay won the Mayakoba Golf Classic in Mexico when the top-64 were competing in the Match Play. Winning a tournament is winning a tournament, even if it was under the radar. Gay is an excellent putter. Last year he finished T4 at the PODS. Take Robert Allenby (25-1), 1/6 unit: What?s stopping this guy? He had eight top-10s last year and already has two this year, including last week?s T4. He hits greens as good as anyone. The problem is putting. He?s not the only guy with that problem (see: Sergio Garcia). Like Garcia, he?s too good for the putts not to fall his way some time. Take Chad Campbell (33-1), 1/6 unit: Also a renowned ball striker. Before the season started, Campbell talked about really focusing on winning, particularly in the majors. He?s got the game to do it. He?s been playing well, his best finish a T10 at the Sony.Campbell is 11th in GIR. He really just needs to finish his tournaments.
NASCAR
Take Kyle Busch (+925), 1/6th unit. This week we head to Atlanta Motor Speedway, which along with its sister tracks in Charlotte and Fort Worth is one of the fastest courses in NASCAR. The Car of Tomorrow has never run a race at a venue this fast, so unfortunately much of our historical data has to fly out the window; we're just now sure how the CoT will do when pushed to such extreme limits. Will it be impossible to run side-by-side or pass? So far the CoT has passed all tests put before it, but Sunday will represent the last and probably biggest. I think Kyle Busch (a.k.a. Shrub) will be tough to beat on Sunday. When the CoT was tested here last fall, Busch was the fastest guy in two sessions, second-fastest in one session and third-fastest in another. Granted, he was driving a Chevy and not a Toyota, but driver comfort counts for something, and also at this point you'd have to say switching from a GM to a Toyota engine can only be considered a positive. Busch looked like he'd threaten to win at Vegas last week before the handling went away on his car; he needs to show he can adjust late in the race along with crew chief Steve Addington, but I give the No. 18 a real chance to crack Victory Lane for the first time on behalf of Toyota. Take Tony Stewart (+1136), 1/6th unit. And if it's not Busch, maybe it'll be his teammate Stewart. Smoke was off to a great start after the season's first two events, and was well inside the top 10 in Vegas when he blew a right-front tire and smashed the wall to finish 43rd. That shouldn't stop you from backing him, and frankly these odds are really favorable for a guy this good. After all, Smoke has finished inside the top 10 at Atlanta in 10 of the last 12 races held there. Again, the Toyota horsepower should be an advantage. Those tempted to go with back-to-back race-winner Carl Edwards (+500) (whom I backed in each of the last two events) would probably be better served to use that money on Stewart. Edwards will be without crew chief Bob Osbourne for the next six races, which is a blow, and I'm also wary of believing a driver can three-peat these days in NASCAR. It seems as though something always happens. I expect to see Edwards contend for a while, but I think he'll fall short of his third straight win. Take Greg Biffle (+1361), 1/6th unit. I can't say the same for Edwards's Roush teammate, Greg Biffle. The Biff was really fast at Fontana for a while before his car turned sour, and he stayed near the front all day in Vegas, and finished third. The Atlanta/Charlotte/Texas group of tracks favors Biffle's driving style: he loves loose racecars, loves being able to slide hard out of the corner to keep his momentum rolling, and early indication is that's how the CoT stays fast, too. I think this is a highly favorable price for Biffle, and while he's never won a race in Atlanta, remember that he has won in similarly configured Texas.
GOLF
Take Brian Gay (66-1), 1/6 unit: Gay won the Mayakoba Golf Classic in Mexico when the top-64 were competing in the Match Play. Winning a tournament is winning a tournament, even if it was under the radar. Gay is an excellent putter. Last year he finished T4 at the PODS. Take Robert Allenby (25-1), 1/6 unit: What?s stopping this guy? He had eight top-10s last year and already has two this year, including last week?s T4. He hits greens as good as anyone. The problem is putting. He?s not the only guy with that problem (see: Sergio Garcia). Like Garcia, he?s too good for the putts not to fall his way some time. Take Chad Campbell (33-1), 1/6 unit: Also a renowned ball striker. Before the season started, Campbell talked about really focusing on winning, particularly in the majors. He?s got the game to do it. He?s been playing well, his best finish a T10 at the Sony.Campbell is 11th in GIR. He really just needs to finish his tournaments.
NASCAR
Take Kyle Busch (+925), 1/6th unit. This week we head to Atlanta Motor Speedway, which along with its sister tracks in Charlotte and Fort Worth is one of the fastest courses in NASCAR. The Car of Tomorrow has never run a race at a venue this fast, so unfortunately much of our historical data has to fly out the window; we're just now sure how the CoT will do when pushed to such extreme limits. Will it be impossible to run side-by-side or pass? So far the CoT has passed all tests put before it, but Sunday will represent the last and probably biggest. I think Kyle Busch (a.k.a. Shrub) will be tough to beat on Sunday. When the CoT was tested here last fall, Busch was the fastest guy in two sessions, second-fastest in one session and third-fastest in another. Granted, he was driving a Chevy and not a Toyota, but driver comfort counts for something, and also at this point you'd have to say switching from a GM to a Toyota engine can only be considered a positive. Busch looked like he'd threaten to win at Vegas last week before the handling went away on his car; he needs to show he can adjust late in the race along with crew chief Steve Addington, but I give the No. 18 a real chance to crack Victory Lane for the first time on behalf of Toyota. Take Tony Stewart (+1136), 1/6th unit. And if it's not Busch, maybe it'll be his teammate Stewart. Smoke was off to a great start after the season's first two events, and was well inside the top 10 in Vegas when he blew a right-front tire and smashed the wall to finish 43rd. That shouldn't stop you from backing him, and frankly these odds are really favorable for a guy this good. After all, Smoke has finished inside the top 10 at Atlanta in 10 of the last 12 races held there. Again, the Toyota horsepower should be an advantage. Those tempted to go with back-to-back race-winner Carl Edwards (+500) (whom I backed in each of the last two events) would probably be better served to use that money on Stewart. Edwards will be without crew chief Bob Osbourne for the next six races, which is a blow, and I'm also wary of believing a driver can three-peat these days in NASCAR. It seems as though something always happens. I expect to see Edwards contend for a while, but I think he'll fall short of his third straight win. Take Greg Biffle (+1361), 1/6th unit. I can't say the same for Edwards's Roush teammate, Greg Biffle. The Biff was really fast at Fontana for a while before his car turned sour, and he stayed near the front all day in Vegas, and finished third. The Atlanta/Charlotte/Texas group of tracks favors Biffle's driving style: he loves loose racecars, loves being able to slide hard out of the corner to keep his momentum rolling, and early indication is that's how the CoT stays fast, too. I think this is a highly favorable price for Biffle, and while he's never won a race in Atlanta, remember that he has won in similarly configured Texas.
SPORTSMEMO NEWSLETTER
SONNY PALERMO
DENVER-UTAH
Recommendation: Jazz
JARED KLEIN
DALLAS-COLORADO
Recommendation: Avalanche
ERIN RYNNING
GOLDEN STATE-ORLANDO
Recommendation: Magic
FAIRWAY JAY
BAYLOR-TEXAS TECH
Recommendation: Baylor
BRENT CROW
BAYLOR-TEXAS TECH
Recommendation: Texas Tech
ROB VENO
NC STATE - WAKE FOREST
Recommendation: WAKE FOREST
SONNY PALERMO
DENVER-UTAH
Recommendation: Jazz
JARED KLEIN
DALLAS-COLORADO
Recommendation: Avalanche
ERIN RYNNING
GOLDEN STATE-ORLANDO
Recommendation: Magic
FAIRWAY JAY
BAYLOR-TEXAS TECH
Recommendation: Baylor
BRENT CROW
BAYLOR-TEXAS TECH
Recommendation: Texas Tech
ROB VENO
NC STATE - WAKE FOREST
Recommendation: WAKE FOREST
Hot Cappers
Hot Cappers
Last 2 Saturdays Eddie Mush 14-2. Maddux sports has also been doig very well. anyone have them? Thanks
Hot Cappers
Last 2 Saturdays Eddie Mush 14-2. Maddux sports has also been doig very well. anyone have them? Thanks
Nick Parsons
*BIG GAME ALERT** PARSONS TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR! $40.00
Nick Parsons is a PERFECT 3-0 with his "Game of the Year" selections in March and a FANTASTIC 16-7 for the month overall. That includes yesterday's 4-0 SWEEP. The "Madness" is just getting started though and so is "Mr. March." Join him for his CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR!
Idaho St. +3.5
*BIG GAME ALERT** PARSONS TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR! $40.00
Nick Parsons is a PERFECT 3-0 with his "Game of the Year" selections in March and a FANTASTIC 16-7 for the month overall. That includes yesterday's 4-0 SWEEP. The "Madness" is just getting started though and so is "Mr. March." Join him for his CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR!
Idaho St. +3.5
Cajun-Sports
Game: (547) Auburn Tigers vs. (548) Arkansas Razorbacks
Line: Arkansas Razorbacks -13
Rating: TWO-Star
Selection: (548) ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS -13
Analysis: Bud Walton Arena will be filled to capacity as the Razorbacks host their final regular season game against SEC foe Auburn. The Razorbacks are one bucket away from being a perfect 5-0 ats in their last five times to post at home. It appears Arkansas has secured a ticket to the dance but they have four senior starters that will be playing their final game of the year at home and want to go out with a win. Games are always about match ups and this one provides us with an obvious advantage for the Hogs as they only allow around 30% shooting from behind the arc and their perimeter defense has been solid this season. This creates a problem for the Tigers as they have already tried to defeat this Hogs team back on January 10th at home but they were only able to convert 9 of 35 from behind the trey line and we expect the same difficulty here tonight. For technical support we find that AUBURN is 18-33 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997 and 1-8 ATS off back-to-back ?unders?. We also know that teams off 3 ATS losses and now installed as a conference favorite of 10 to 14 points have a record of 132-93-7 ATS. If they are installed as a home favorite under the same price range they are 117-82-6 ATS. Finally we note that teams off 4 ATS losses who are installed as a favorite of 10 to 14 points have a record of 59-36-2 ATS and if they are a home favorite in the same price range they are 50-31-1 ATS. Lay the chalk with the Hogs here as they roll the boys from the plains.
Arkansas 87 Auburn 66
Game: (547) Auburn Tigers vs. (548) Arkansas Razorbacks
Line: Arkansas Razorbacks -13
Rating: TWO-Star
Selection: (548) ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS -13
Analysis: Bud Walton Arena will be filled to capacity as the Razorbacks host their final regular season game against SEC foe Auburn. The Razorbacks are one bucket away from being a perfect 5-0 ats in their last five times to post at home. It appears Arkansas has secured a ticket to the dance but they have four senior starters that will be playing their final game of the year at home and want to go out with a win. Games are always about match ups and this one provides us with an obvious advantage for the Hogs as they only allow around 30% shooting from behind the arc and their perimeter defense has been solid this season. This creates a problem for the Tigers as they have already tried to defeat this Hogs team back on January 10th at home but they were only able to convert 9 of 35 from behind the trey line and we expect the same difficulty here tonight. For technical support we find that AUBURN is 18-33 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997 and 1-8 ATS off back-to-back ?unders?. We also know that teams off 3 ATS losses and now installed as a conference favorite of 10 to 14 points have a record of 132-93-7 ATS. If they are installed as a home favorite under the same price range they are 117-82-6 ATS. Finally we note that teams off 4 ATS losses who are installed as a favorite of 10 to 14 points have a record of 59-36-2 ATS and if they are a home favorite in the same price range they are 50-31-1 ATS. Lay the chalk with the Hogs here as they roll the boys from the plains.
Arkansas 87 Auburn 66
GINA
Saturday, March 8th, 2008 1:00 p.m. est.
Indiana Pacers (24-38) at Cleveland Cavaliers (35-27)
The struggling Indiana Pacers have dropped eight of their last 11 games and six straight at Indiana. Go with the Cavaliers and "King James" on their home court for a season sweep of the Pacers. Cleveland is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus Indiana and the favorite in this series is 11-1-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers - 7.5
Houston Rockets - 6
MR A
Cleveland Cavaliers - 7.5
Orlando Magic - 7.5
Utah Jazz - 5.5
JOHNNY GUILD
NBA Selection
Saturday, March 8th, 2008 9:00 PM EST.
Denver Nuggets (36-24) at Utah Jazz (40-22)
Utah has been tough to beat at home, 27-3 this season and has won ten of the last 15 meetings versus the Nuggets, including five of the last seven clashes at home. Denver also plays well at home, but like the Jazz have not been successful road teams, just 12-17 away from home this season. Take the home team in this battle. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and has lost 25 of its last 29 battles in Utah.
Utah Jazz - 5.5
NCAAB
UCLA Bruins - 16
Texas A&M Aggies + 5.5
Xavier Musketeers - 17
COMPUTER SPORTS
KANSAS-5 1/2
MARQUETTE+1
Saturday, March 8th, 2008 1:00 p.m. est.
Indiana Pacers (24-38) at Cleveland Cavaliers (35-27)
The struggling Indiana Pacers have dropped eight of their last 11 games and six straight at Indiana. Go with the Cavaliers and "King James" on their home court for a season sweep of the Pacers. Cleveland is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus Indiana and the favorite in this series is 11-1-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers - 7.5
Houston Rockets - 6
MR A
Cleveland Cavaliers - 7.5
Orlando Magic - 7.5
Utah Jazz - 5.5
JOHNNY GUILD
NBA Selection
Saturday, March 8th, 2008 9:00 PM EST.
Denver Nuggets (36-24) at Utah Jazz (40-22)
Utah has been tough to beat at home, 27-3 this season and has won ten of the last 15 meetings versus the Nuggets, including five of the last seven clashes at home. Denver also plays well at home, but like the Jazz have not been successful road teams, just 12-17 away from home this season. Take the home team in this battle. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and has lost 25 of its last 29 battles in Utah.
Utah Jazz - 5.5
NCAAB
UCLA Bruins - 16
Texas A&M Aggies + 5.5
Xavier Musketeers - 17
COMPUTER SPORTS
KANSAS-5 1/2
MARQUETTE+1
ROB VENO
3/8/08 CBB Wake Forest -6 (530)
3/8/08 CBB Memphis Over 145 -110 (534)
3/8/08 CBB Arkansas -12.5 (548)
3/8/08 CBB Arizona State -10.5 (575)
3/8/08 CBB 20* Blue Chip: Tulsa Over 140 -110 (604)
3/8/08 CBB Wake Forest -6 (530)
3/8/08 CBB Memphis Over 145 -110 (534)
3/8/08 CBB Arkansas -12.5 (548)
3/8/08 CBB Arizona State -10.5 (575)
3/8/08 CBB 20* Blue Chip: Tulsa Over 140 -110 (604)
Drew Gordon
1. 300,000♦ Duke
2. 50,000♦ Massachusetts
3. 50,000♦ Magic
Back with your analysis by Noon ET.
Early Games...
1. 50,000♦ Wake Forest
2. 50,000♦ Cavaliers
1. Wake Forest- First things first, haven't we learned not to pick against the Deacons at the Lawrence Joel, where they're 14-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS this season! Despite their 4-game losing streak, there's no question Wake plays their best ball at home, where they're superior to the Wolfpack on both ends of the court! But that's hardly the only reason the Deacons win tonight...
Don't think Wake has forgotten their last meeting, where the Wolfpack got a last second putback to beat the Deacons 67-65 in Raleigh back on February 3rd. This time around, the Wolfpack are in big trouble, because you know damn well the Deacons will shoot better than 39% at the Lawrence Joel, where they average 76 ppg on 45% shooting this season!
Also, one has to question the energy level of this N.C. State team, as it was clear to me that they layed it all on the line against Duke in their last one, losing a back-breaker 87-86 March 1st. Granted, they've had a lot of time to think about it since then, but regardless, a loss like that, late in the season, can crush a team's confidence.
Finally, the match ups also favor the Deacons, as freshman James Johnson will benefit greatly from the return home. In his last two games (both on the road) he's combined for just 7 points and 11 boards. However, in his last two at the Lawrence Joel, he's averaging 24.5 ppg and 15 boards/game! Not only that, but guards Teague and Smith dominated their match ups in Raleigh, and you have to believe it will only get better today in Winston-Salem.
Bottom line, the Deacons get their revenge in the one place you simply cannot underestimate them, at the Lawrence Joel Coliseum. Besides revenge and home court, the match ups strongly favor the Deacons, as the Wolfpack have been nothing but garbage on the road , going 3-10 ATS away this season! More of the same tonight, as Wake rolls!
Take Wake Forest comfortably over N.C. State in afternoon ACC action.
2. Cavaliers- Bad match up all around for the sputtering Pacers, who've lost 6 in a row SUATS to King James and his merry men. Don't see much room to reverse that trend tonight, as the new-look Cavs maybe missing Ilgauskus and Gibson, but have more than enough firepower to win and cover against an Indiana team without two of its best players - O'Neal and Tinsely.
Biggest issue for the Pacers is their insistence on playing the "run-and-gun" style, but without giving ANY effort on the defensive end, scoring 110 ppg, but allowing a laughable 111 ppg over their last 5 games! First of all, the Pacers aren't built to run, and there two recent road losses prove it - both against solid defenses (Spurs and Rockets). The Pacers couldn't break 100 in either of those games, and still managed to lose by double-digits. Cavs defense is rock-solid at home, and only got better with the addition of Wallace.
The fact the Pacers don't have O'Neal is key in this match up, because at least he provides some interior defense against Lebron's penetration. But without their bigman back there, James is free to penetrate and dunk or dish all night long. They can try putting the athletic Granger on Lebron, but do you really want your best player guarding the best player on the planet? Besides the danger of foul trouble, chasing Lebron around for 48 minutes will not help Granger's offense.
Bottom line, the Cavs lost a tough one in Chicago, thanks in part to the absence of Ilgauskas and Gibson, but tonight, they're back at home, and facing a team they absolutely love to beat. Injuries on the Pacers side only strengthen my point, as a fully healthy Indiana team would still have trouble in this spot, but without O'Neal and Tinsley... They don't stand a chance.
Take the Cavaliers BIG over the Pacers in afternoon NBA action.
1. 300,000♦ Duke
2. 50,000♦ Massachusetts
3. 50,000♦ Magic
Back with your analysis by Noon ET.
Early Games...
1. 50,000♦ Wake Forest
2. 50,000♦ Cavaliers
1. Wake Forest- First things first, haven't we learned not to pick against the Deacons at the Lawrence Joel, where they're 14-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS this season! Despite their 4-game losing streak, there's no question Wake plays their best ball at home, where they're superior to the Wolfpack on both ends of the court! But that's hardly the only reason the Deacons win tonight...
Don't think Wake has forgotten their last meeting, where the Wolfpack got a last second putback to beat the Deacons 67-65 in Raleigh back on February 3rd. This time around, the Wolfpack are in big trouble, because you know damn well the Deacons will shoot better than 39% at the Lawrence Joel, where they average 76 ppg on 45% shooting this season!
Also, one has to question the energy level of this N.C. State team, as it was clear to me that they layed it all on the line against Duke in their last one, losing a back-breaker 87-86 March 1st. Granted, they've had a lot of time to think about it since then, but regardless, a loss like that, late in the season, can crush a team's confidence.
Finally, the match ups also favor the Deacons, as freshman James Johnson will benefit greatly from the return home. In his last two games (both on the road) he's combined for just 7 points and 11 boards. However, in his last two at the Lawrence Joel, he's averaging 24.5 ppg and 15 boards/game! Not only that, but guards Teague and Smith dominated their match ups in Raleigh, and you have to believe it will only get better today in Winston-Salem.
Bottom line, the Deacons get their revenge in the one place you simply cannot underestimate them, at the Lawrence Joel Coliseum. Besides revenge and home court, the match ups strongly favor the Deacons, as the Wolfpack have been nothing but garbage on the road , going 3-10 ATS away this season! More of the same tonight, as Wake rolls!
Take Wake Forest comfortably over N.C. State in afternoon ACC action.
2. Cavaliers- Bad match up all around for the sputtering Pacers, who've lost 6 in a row SUATS to King James and his merry men. Don't see much room to reverse that trend tonight, as the new-look Cavs maybe missing Ilgauskus and Gibson, but have more than enough firepower to win and cover against an Indiana team without two of its best players - O'Neal and Tinsely.
Biggest issue for the Pacers is their insistence on playing the "run-and-gun" style, but without giving ANY effort on the defensive end, scoring 110 ppg, but allowing a laughable 111 ppg over their last 5 games! First of all, the Pacers aren't built to run, and there two recent road losses prove it - both against solid defenses (Spurs and Rockets). The Pacers couldn't break 100 in either of those games, and still managed to lose by double-digits. Cavs defense is rock-solid at home, and only got better with the addition of Wallace.
The fact the Pacers don't have O'Neal is key in this match up, because at least he provides some interior defense against Lebron's penetration. But without their bigman back there, James is free to penetrate and dunk or dish all night long. They can try putting the athletic Granger on Lebron, but do you really want your best player guarding the best player on the planet? Besides the danger of foul trouble, chasing Lebron around for 48 minutes will not help Granger's offense.
Bottom line, the Cavs lost a tough one in Chicago, thanks in part to the absence of Ilgauskas and Gibson, but tonight, they're back at home, and facing a team they absolutely love to beat. Injuries on the Pacers side only strengthen my point, as a fully healthy Indiana team would still have trouble in this spot, but without O'Neal and Tinsley... They don't stand a chance.
Take the Cavaliers BIG over the Pacers in afternoon NBA action.
LOCK OF THE DAY
NCAA Loc
UAB +14.5
First Lock: Do not underestimate this UAB team. They can play. UAB is 22-8 this season and headed to the NCAA Tournament. Memphis is very good. But Memphis has big problems shooting free throws. Free throws are extremely important! UAB pushed Memphis to the brink two weeks ago! They lost that game by ONE POINT! UAB is confident they can compete with this Memphis team. Take this underdog!!
NCAA Loc
UAB +14.5
First Lock: Do not underestimate this UAB team. They can play. UAB is 22-8 this season and headed to the NCAA Tournament. Memphis is very good. But Memphis has big problems shooting free throws. Free throws are extremely important! UAB pushed Memphis to the brink two weeks ago! They lost that game by ONE POINT! UAB is confident they can compete with this Memphis team. Take this underdog!!
Stu Feiner
10,000 DIME
RIVALRY LOCK OF THE YEAR
Duke -1.5 over North Carolina
FOUR 2000 BONUS LOCKS
Louisville +4 over Georgetown
Arizona +1.5 over Oregon
Stanford +1 over USC
Wisconsin -13 over Northwestern
10,000 DIME
RIVALRY LOCK OF THE YEAR
Duke -1.5 over North Carolina
FOUR 2000 BONUS LOCKS
Louisville +4 over Georgetown
Arizona +1.5 over Oregon
Stanford +1 over USC
Wisconsin -13 over Northwestern
Eddie Roman
First Ever 15,000 Unit Guaranteed Lock of My Career
First Ever 15,000 Unit Guaranteed Lock of My Career (he gives all his picks till april if he loses this game, he hit his 15,000 last night)
Cleveland State Vikings (It doesn't matter what the line is)
This is a blowout folks. They'll win by 17 easy
First Ever 15,000 Unit Guaranteed Lock of My Career
First Ever 15,000 Unit Guaranteed Lock of My Career (he gives all his picks till april if he loses this game, he hit his 15,000 last night)
Cleveland State Vikings (It doesn't matter what the line is)
This is a blowout folks. They'll win by 17 easy
Jack Burnet
ONE AND ONLY 10,000 DIME SEASON ENDING
ONE AND ONLY 10,000 DIME
SEASON ENDING LOCK
Florida State -1.5 over Miami Fl
1000 Dime - NC State +6.5 over Wake Forest
1000 Dime - Stanford +1 over USC
1000 Dime - Arizona +1 over Oregon
1000 Dime - Vanderbilt PK over Alabama
Damon Roberts
Once a Year 5000 Dime Season Closer
ONCE A YEAR 5000 DIME
SEASON CLOSING
LOCK OF THE YEAR
Alabama PK over Vanderbilt
THREE 2000 DIME
NATIONAL TV BEST BETS
Notre Dame -5.5
San Jose State -1
Weber State -6
Once a Year 5000 Dime Season Closer
ONCE A YEAR 5000 DIME
SEASON CLOSING
LOCK OF THE YEAR
Alabama PK over Vanderbilt
THREE 2000 DIME
NATIONAL TV BEST BETS
Notre Dame -5.5
San Jose State -1
Weber State -6
Bobby Esposito
10,000* PERFECT 100% SYSTEM
10,000* 100% SYSTEM GAME
USC -1 over Stanford
1000* BONUS LOCKS
Texas Tech -1.5 over Baylor
B. C. -2 over Ga. Tech
Missouri +7.5 over Oklahoma
Syracuse Pk over Marquette
Oregon -1 over Arizizona
10,000* PERFECT 100% SYSTEM
10,000* 100% SYSTEM GAME
USC -1 over Stanford
1000* BONUS LOCKS
Texas Tech -1.5 over Baylor
B. C. -2 over Ga. Tech
Missouri +7.5 over Oklahoma
Syracuse Pk over Marquette
Oregon -1 over Arizizona
Bob Akmens
7:05PM ET NHL 3* Action Atlanta Thrashers vs Florida Panthers UNDER 5.5 (-105)
7:05PM ET NHL 3* Action New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs UNDER 5.0 (+115)
10:35PM ET NBA 3* Action Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 187.0 (-110)
9:00PM ET CBB 3* Action Montana vs Idaho State OVER 126.0 (-110)
10:00PM ET CBB 3* Action Utah State vs Idaho OVER 139.5 (-110)
10:00PM ET CBB 3* Action Nevada vs Fresno State OVER 144.5 (-110)
7:05PM ET NHL 3* Action Atlanta Thrashers vs Florida Panthers UNDER 5.5 (-105)
7:05PM ET NHL 3* Action New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs UNDER 5.0 (+115)
10:35PM ET NBA 3* Action Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 187.0 (-110)
9:00PM ET CBB 3* Action Montana vs Idaho State OVER 126.0 (-110)
10:00PM ET CBB 3* Action Utah State vs Idaho OVER 139.5 (-110)
10:00PM ET CBB 3* Action Nevada vs Fresno State OVER 144.5 (-110)
