Saturday Service Plays 4/12/08

Al Kaline

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Bobby Maxwell

Another pitching performance rematch with these two teams as the Padres' Chris Young (1-0, 2.13 ERA) goes to the mound at Dodger Stadium against Los Angeles' Derek Lowe (0-0, 2.25).
These two met Sunday in San Diego with neither pitcher around for the decision when the Dodgers got a ninth-inning run to beat the Padres 3-2.
Today we're banking on Young to have another stellar performance and the San Diego bats to give him a little more support than last time
The Padres got seven runs in their 7-5 win Friday, beating Brad Penny.
Young gave up two runs and five hits over seven inning on Sunday and struck out eight in the no-decision. In his opening start of the year he held the Astros to one run on five hits in 5.2 innings of a 2-1 victory. So you see he hasn't gotten much support from the offense but will in this one.
In nine starts against Los Angeles, he's held the Dodgers to three earned runs or less in nine of them and the Padres are 5-4 in those nine. Last time he was in Dodgers' stadium he held them to two runs on seven hits in six innings of a 7-6 victory.
Lowe gave up two runs (one earned) on Sunday on five hits in six innings of work. In his last three outings against San Diego he's allowed 13 runs on 19 hits.
Let's play the Padres to get this one as Young continues to deliver solid performances and the bats get going.

4♦ SAN DIEGO
 

Al Kaline

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JIM FEIST

You don?t see the Grizzlies as a favorite often, but Memphis is 2-0 SU/ATS its last 2 as chalk. They?ve also been playing hard, 2-2 the last four games, even winning at Minnesota by double digits as a dog. The Timberwolves will be tired out for this game, playing their 4th game in 5 nights. Memphis is 2-1 SU/ATS against Minnesota this season and catches the T-Wolves in a bad situational spot. Play the Grizzlies!
 

Al Kaline

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Arizona (Haren) - 140** over Colorado (Morales)


Arizona enters on a seven game win streak including a 9-3 Haren home win over the Dodgers on 04/07, Haren allowing one earned run over six innings.



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Cincinnati (Arroyo) + 105* over (at) Pittsburgh (Snell)


Pittsburgh went 1-2 in two Snell home starts vs. Cincinnati last season, by a combined 21-4 in the two losses. The Reds are 6-3 last nine games at Pittsburgh.



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Kansas City (Tomko) - 115* over Minnesota (Bonser)


KC is 2-2 on the current home stand, the two wins coming over the Yankees. This pitching matchup faced off in Minnesota last week, Royals winning 3-1.
 

Al Kaline

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Cajun-Sports

NBA Super Situation Winner for Saturday


Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Washington Wizards 7:05 EST

Prediction: Washington Wizards -4

Grade: THREE-Star (rated 1 to 6 units)

Reason: Washington is in a battle with Toronto and the 76ers for playoff positioning and they have both been playing well of late. With the return of Antawn Jamison who torched the Celtics on Wednesday for 27 points and the play of DeShawn Stevenson, Brendon Haywood and of course Caron Butler who is averaging 20.6 points per game we feel they have more than enough offense even if Arenas is unable to play to take down the 76ers here. They are coming off a game last night in Detroit but the Wizards have been somewhat successful playing in back-to-backs in the second game as long as they are at home. Washington also has an underrated bench which will benefit them here as they get the win and cover. Technical situations signal a formula for wagering success with Washington as well. The first says to Play On NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss vs an opponent as a road favorite, with a team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, 62-30 ATS since 2002. The second situation says to Play On NBA home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after covering the spread by thirty or more points total in their last three games, during the second half of the season, 50-22 ATS since 2002. Combine our technical with our situational support and it points to a Wizards win and cover so lay the short price here.
 

Al Kaline

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Greg Daraban

San Diego at LA Dodgers

Young vs Lowe

Late Night Game out West. The Padres have had the Blue Crews
number the last few seasons. The Friars won last night at Dodger
Stadium 7-5. Expect the very same scenario with 7 foot giant
Chris Young on the bump.

Take San Diego
 

Al Kaline

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Ben Burns (comp)

UNDER giants/cards
Game: St Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
Game Time: 4/12/2008 4:05:00 PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Wellemeyer has been a pleasant surprise for the Cardinals thus far, recording a 2.25 ERA and 1.083 WHIP. He pitched well last time out but got outdueled by Wandy Rodriguez, a game which stayed below the number. He faces another tough pitching opponent in Matt Cain today and I'm expecting another well-pitched affair. Note that Wellemeyer tossed five shutout innings, allowing only two hits, in his only previous start against the Giants, a game which also fell below the total. Including that start, the UNDER is 6-2 in Wellemeyer's last eight starts, dating back to last season. Cain wasn't at his best last time out, losing vs. San Diego. He had a 3.48 ERA in 17 starts here last season though, so I'm willing to cut him some slack, particularly given that he went 5 2/3 shutout innings in his first start (vs. the Dodgers) while allowing only three hits. Note that Cain closed out last season by pitching seven or more innings in five of his final seven home starts, going six complete in the other two. Its also worth mentioning that he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of those games, allowing just eight earned runs in his final 40 innings (1.80 ERA) pitched here. Additionally, note that Cain held opposing hitters to a .231 average in his 2007 daytime starts, recording a solid 3.52 ERA. Unfortunately for Cain, he often doesn't get much run support from a Giants lineup which currently ranks last (2.5) in runs scored. While his last start finished above the total, Cain has still seen the UNDER go 12-3 his last 15 starts, dating back to last July. Having the advantage of making his first start against the Cards, look for Cain to be at his best this afternoon, improving on his impressive 'under stats.'
 

Al Kaline

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Matt Fargo

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox (MLB)
Apr 12, 2008 1:05 PM EDT

Play: Chicago White Sox

Detroit took the opener last night and at 2-8, the Tigers are still being completely overvalued. A win was nice but until this team becomes more consistent and starts putting a run together, it will be a fade. The offense is starting to come around but the last three games came against some weak starting pitching and while tonight?s Chicago starter could be lumped into that category, there are reasons he is not as explained later. The Tigers are still pressing.
The White Sox had won five straight games before dropping the last two. I can expect them to turn that around tonight at a great price on their field. They have won their last four games as an underdog and this will be the first instance of a dog price at home. The White Sox offense has cooled down but they are still averaging a solid 5.8 rpg on the season and have the chance to once again to take out Justin Verlander. Chicago has won 12 of the last 17 in this series.

The Tigers send Verlander to the hill and that is part of the reason Detroit is a road favorite. He did not pitch very well against Kansas City in his opening start, allowing four runs in six innings. He followed that up with an even worse performance against the White Sox on Sunday. Chicago has given him fits as he is 1-5 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in nine career starts against the White Sox. The Tigers are just 2-7 in those eight starts and it is obviously a mental thing at this point.

Chicago counters with Gavin Floyd who has already tamed the Tigers once this season, allowing three runs on six hits in six innings of work. Floyd came up as a huge prospect but it has not panned out. He still has a lot of potential as he has just 30 starts in his r?sum?. He has faced five teams three or more times in his career and has a combined ERA of 5.89 over almost 95 innings. Detroit is one of those teams but he has a 3.03 ERA in five starts against the Tigers while never losing. Play Chicago White Sox 1 Units
 

Al Kaline

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Sports Gambling Hotline
Milwaukee at NY METS (-145)

We don't think you are going to find Johan Santana at this cheap of a price too many more times this season, so we say to jump all over the Mets at this reasonable rate today at Shea Satdium.

Santana is 1-1 for the year, but has only allowed 3 earned runs in 14 innings of work. It is worth noting that both starts came on the road. This is Santana's Shea debut, and you can expect the crowd to be extra-amped for the southpaws first start in Queens.

Ben Sheets hasn't allowed an earned run through his first 2 starts this spring, but his team is just 2-5 their last 7 games played at New York, and 2-5 overall their last 7 games played against the Metropolitans.

Last night's win made it 3 in a row for New York, while Milwaukee has now lost their last 3.

Play on the Mets in this matinee special.
 

Al Kaline

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Marc Lawrence

Game: Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Apr 12 2008 7:10PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins

Reason: Play On: Minnesota w/Bonser vs Tomko

Note: The Twins take on the Royals in Game Two of their weekend series in Kansas City when Boof Bonser takes on Brett Tomko in a rematch from last Sunday when KC prevailed, 3-1 in Minnesota. Considering at Tomko's 5.16 career ERA against the Twins prior to this season, we'll look for Bonser to get his revenge here tonight.
 

Al Kaline

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Frank Rosenthal

NBA HOOPS
504 WIZARDS-2 SB
511 NUGGETS+6 SB
515 MAVS-5 SB

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
904 NYM-140 SB
907 CARDS+110 SB
912 ASTROS-115 SB
915 PADRES+105 SB
919 YANKS+150 SB
927 BJAYS-145 SB
UNDER 9.5 SB
 

Client9

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Teddy Covers
6 units New Orleans Voodoo/Dallas Desperadoes Over 103.0
4 units New York Dragons-2.5

Winners Inc
$500,000 HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER ATLANTA w/Smoltz -160
 
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