Saturday Service Plays 4/12/08
- Thread starter the duke
- Start date
Wunderdog MLB Comp:
Game: Atlanta at Washington (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta -1.5 runs +100 (runline)
When John Smoltz takes the mound, the Braves expect to win. Over the last two years when Smoltz has been on the hill and the Braves are on the road and win, they are 14-2 against the -1.5 runline. The Nats were 11-30 in home losses last year against the 1.5 runline and that's where the value lies in the game today. The Nats surprised with a 3-0 start, but are now on an eight-game losing streak. They have scored just three runs in their last two games. Smoltz is 54-16 against teams that average under one homerun per game and 31-11 against the runline vs. NL teams scoring under 4.4 runs per game. We'll ride the Braves to roll to a convincing win on the road behind Smoltz.
Game: Atlanta at Washington (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta -1.5 runs +100 (runline)
When John Smoltz takes the mound, the Braves expect to win. Over the last two years when Smoltz has been on the hill and the Braves are on the road and win, they are 14-2 against the -1.5 runline. The Nats were 11-30 in home losses last year against the 1.5 runline and that's where the value lies in the game today. The Nats surprised with a 3-0 start, but are now on an eight-game losing streak. They have scored just three runs in their last two games. Smoltz is 54-16 against teams that average under one homerun per game and 31-11 against the runline vs. NL teams scoring under 4.4 runs per game. We'll ride the Braves to roll to a convincing win on the road behind Smoltz.
Chris Jordan
1,000 NY Mets
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman - Dodgers
Millionaire - Kings
No Limit - Jazz
Strike Point
4* Toronto -145
1,000 NY Mets
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman - Dodgers
Millionaire - Kings
No Limit - Jazz
Strike Point
4* Toronto -145
MIKE ROSE
3 Units Tigers-129
2 Units Yankees Over 9?
2 Units Florida Under 9?
3 Units Cincinnati Over 8?
2 Units Baltimore +114
3 Units Tigers-129
2 Units Yankees Over 9?
2 Units Florida Under 9?
3 Units Cincinnati Over 8?
2 Units Baltimore +114
Fat Jack
There Are 3 Selections For Saturday
Minnesota+4
Philadelphia +4
The Dallas Game To Go Under The Total Of 186
Baseball
Milwaukee
The Colorado Game To Go Under 9 Runs
Good Luck And Have A Great Weekend!!!
There Are 3 Selections For Saturday
Minnesota+4
Philadelphia +4
The Dallas Game To Go Under The Total Of 186
Baseball
Milwaukee
The Colorado Game To Go Under 9 Runs
Good Luck And Have A Great Weekend!!!
WILL SYKES
FREE PLAYS ARE 74- 50- 1
50-39-1 NBA
5-2 NCAAB
12-7 NFL
6-2 NCAAF
UFC 1-0
FOR TODAY
3* PORTLAND +4.5
FREE PLAYS ARE 74- 50- 1
50-39-1 NBA
5-2 NCAAB
12-7 NFL
6-2 NCAAF
UFC 1-0
FOR TODAY
3* PORTLAND +4.5
JEFF ALEXANDER
MLB
1 Unit on Baltimore Orioles +116 (listing Cabrera and Hammel)
Cabrera has owned the Rays so we won't hesitate to take him here showing great value as an underdog. The Orioles are 5-1 in Cabrera's last 6 starts vs. the Rays and 4-1 in Cabrera's last 5 road starts vs. the Rays. The Rays are 1-7 in Hammel's last 8 starts during game 2 of a series, 6-13 in Hammel's last 19 starts, and 3-11 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the O's behind the talented Cabrera here
MLB
1 Unit on Baltimore Orioles +116 (listing Cabrera and Hammel)
Cabrera has owned the Rays so we won't hesitate to take him here showing great value as an underdog. The Orioles are 5-1 in Cabrera's last 6 starts vs. the Rays and 4-1 in Cabrera's last 5 road starts vs. the Rays. The Rays are 1-7 in Hammel's last 8 starts during game 2 of a series, 6-13 in Hammel's last 19 starts, and 3-11 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the O's behind the talented Cabrera here
Insider Sports Report
5* Milwaukee (Sheets)/N.Y. Mets (Santana) UNDER 7.5
Range 8 to 7
4* Houston (Backe) -130 over Florida (Miller)
Range -110 to -150
3* Minnesota/Memphis (NBA) UNDER 216
Range 218 to 214
5* Milwaukee (Sheets)/N.Y. Mets (Santana) UNDER 7.5
Range 8 to 7
4* Houston (Backe) -130 over Florida (Miller)
Range -110 to -150
3* Minnesota/Memphis (NBA) UNDER 216
Range 218 to 214
GATOR REPORT
NBA 70% Super Situations (Basketball Record 38-24 ATS +1160 Units)
NBA Saturday: Play On NBA home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams that allow 43.5-45.5% after 42+ games, with a team that averages <=14.5 turnovers per game against a team that forces only <=14.5 turnovers per game.
39-11 ATS since 1996 78.0%
PLAY: PORTLAND (+)
MLB 70% Super Situations
Our MLB 70% Super Situations could be either sides and/or totals from the MLB Card for that particular day.
MLB Saturday: Play Under MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with an AL team with a batting AVG <=.265 against a team with a bullpen ERA <=3.33 with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season
68-27 Under the last 5 seasons (71.6%)
PLAY: Baltimore / Tampa Bay UNDER 9 (-110)
Gator's NBA "ANGLE" Game of the Day
NBA Saturday: Play ON an NBA home favorite of less than 11 points off a road game with a FG average less than 30% versus an opponent with less than 2 days rest. 11-0 ATS since 1996 and has an average cover of 14.6 points per game.
PLAY: WASHINGTON WIZARDS -3
NBA 70% Super Situations (Basketball Record 38-24 ATS +1160 Units)
NBA Saturday: Play On NBA home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams that allow 43.5-45.5% after 42+ games, with a team that averages <=14.5 turnovers per game against a team that forces only <=14.5 turnovers per game.
39-11 ATS since 1996 78.0%
PLAY: PORTLAND (+)
MLB 70% Super Situations
Our MLB 70% Super Situations could be either sides and/or totals from the MLB Card for that particular day.
MLB Saturday: Play Under MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with an AL team with a batting AVG <=.265 against a team with a bullpen ERA <=3.33 with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season
68-27 Under the last 5 seasons (71.6%)
PLAY: Baltimore / Tampa Bay UNDER 9 (-110)
Gator's NBA "ANGLE" Game of the Day
NBA Saturday: Play ON an NBA home favorite of less than 11 points off a road game with a FG average less than 30% versus an opponent with less than 2 days rest. 11-0 ATS since 1996 and has an average cover of 14.6 points per game.
PLAY: WASHINGTON WIZARDS -3
SEABASS
30* St. Louis
30* Minnesota
30* Houston
20* Colorado
20* Texas
20* Oak/Cleve Over
20* Phil/Wash Over (NBA)
20* Utah (NBA)
10* Nashville +230
10* Montreal -1.5 +145
100* Baltimore Orioles
30* St. Louis
30* Minnesota
30* Houston
20* Colorado
20* Texas
20* Oak/Cleve Over
20* Phil/Wash Over (NBA)
20* Utah (NBA)
10* Nashville +230
10* Montreal -1.5 +145
100* Baltimore Orioles
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BURNS HOCKEY
UNDER montreal/boston
Game: Boston Bruins vs. Montreal Canadiens Game Time: 4/12/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Montreal and Boston to finish UNDER the total. The opening game saw the Canadiens jump on Boston goalie Tim Thomas, scoring two quick ones. Boston added one shortly afterwards. Things really settled down after that though as the teams combined for only two more goals over the final 50+ minutes. I highly doubt that we'll see three goals in the opening 10 minutes again this evening and expect things to more closely resemble the second and third periods from Thursday's game. Price should continue to be dominant in goal for the Canadiens and Thomas is much better than he showed in the opener. Depending on when and where one played, that game either resulted in an 'under' or a 'push,' as some books had five while others had 5.5. Even counting it as a 'push,' the Canadiens have seen the UNDER go 3-0-1 their last four games, allowing a mere three goals during that span. Meanwhile, the Bruins have seen the UNDER go 4-0-2 their last six games, with those contests averaging less than four combined goals. For the season, the Bruins have seen the UNDER go 21-8-3 when facing a team with a winning record. They've also seen the UNDER go 4-1-2 the last seven times they played a road game with an over/under line of five or less. Look for another low-scoring affair with the UNDER improving to 19-7-1 when the Bruins have played on a Saturday night.
ANAHEIM
Game: Dallas Stars vs. Anaheim Ducks Game Time: 4/12/2008 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Anaheim Ducks Reason: I'm laying the price with ANAHEIM. I would very rarely lay such a big number in the regular season. However, the playoffs are a different matter and Anaheim is no ordinary team. The Ducks came out flat in their opener. This is a very good team though and I'm willing to cut the defending champs some slack. While this isn't quite a 'must win' game, its very close to one, as no team likes its chances after dropping the first two at home. Playing such a critical game, in front of the home fans, I expect a massive effort here. The Ducks are 6-3 the last nine times they were trailing in a playoff series, going an impressive 67-43 (+11.1) when playing with 'revenge' during that stretch. Look for them to bounce back like champs and improve to 33-17 the last 50 times they played a home game with an over/under line of five or less.
UNDER montreal/boston
Game: Boston Bruins vs. Montreal Canadiens Game Time: 4/12/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Montreal and Boston to finish UNDER the total. The opening game saw the Canadiens jump on Boston goalie Tim Thomas, scoring two quick ones. Boston added one shortly afterwards. Things really settled down after that though as the teams combined for only two more goals over the final 50+ minutes. I highly doubt that we'll see three goals in the opening 10 minutes again this evening and expect things to more closely resemble the second and third periods from Thursday's game. Price should continue to be dominant in goal for the Canadiens and Thomas is much better than he showed in the opener. Depending on when and where one played, that game either resulted in an 'under' or a 'push,' as some books had five while others had 5.5. Even counting it as a 'push,' the Canadiens have seen the UNDER go 3-0-1 their last four games, allowing a mere three goals during that span. Meanwhile, the Bruins have seen the UNDER go 4-0-2 their last six games, with those contests averaging less than four combined goals. For the season, the Bruins have seen the UNDER go 21-8-3 when facing a team with a winning record. They've also seen the UNDER go 4-1-2 the last seven times they played a road game with an over/under line of five or less. Look for another low-scoring affair with the UNDER improving to 19-7-1 when the Bruins have played on a Saturday night.
ANAHEIM
Game: Dallas Stars vs. Anaheim Ducks Game Time: 4/12/2008 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Anaheim Ducks Reason: I'm laying the price with ANAHEIM. I would very rarely lay such a big number in the regular season. However, the playoffs are a different matter and Anaheim is no ordinary team. The Ducks came out flat in their opener. This is a very good team though and I'm willing to cut the defending champs some slack. While this isn't quite a 'must win' game, its very close to one, as no team likes its chances after dropping the first two at home. Playing such a critical game, in front of the home fans, I expect a massive effort here. The Ducks are 6-3 the last nine times they were trailing in a playoff series, going an impressive 67-43 (+11.1) when playing with 'revenge' during that stretch. Look for them to bounce back like champs and improve to 33-17 the last 50 times they played a home game with an over/under line of five or less.
