Saturday Service plays 9/13/2008

[the duke]

DCI

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Atlantic Coast Conference
CLEMSON 34, NC State 18
VIRGINIA TECH 27, Georgia Tech 12
Mid-American Conference
Ball State 42, AKRON 34
BUFFALO 19, Temple 16
Central Michigan 26, OHIO 25
EASTERN MICHIGAN 33, Toledo 30
Southeastern Conference
Auburn 20, MISSISSIPPI STATE 10
Georgia 38, SOUTH CAROLINA 22
Conference USA
East Carolina 26, TULANE 0
MARSHALL 47, Memphis 32
FBS Non-Conference
Air Force 37, Houston 29
ALABAMA 28, Western Kentucky 9
Arizona 35, NEW MEXICO 21
ARIZONA STATE 42, Unlv 16
BOISE STATE 39, Bowling Green State 22
BYU 33, Ucla 28
California 29, MARYLAND 23
Delaware State 33, KENT STATE 32
FLORIDA STATE 55, Chattanooga 23
FRESNO STATE 24, Wisconsin 21
ILLINOIS 69, Louisiana-Lafayette 37
IOWA 36, Iowa State 31
KENTUCKY 29, Middle Tennessee 3
LOUISIANA-MONROE 41, Alabama A&M 10
LSU 65, North Texas 9
MIAMI (OHIO) 33, Charleston Southern 16
Michigan 16, NOTRE DAME 7
MICHIGAN STATE 51, Florida Atlantic 35
MINNESOTA 54, Montana State 28
MISSISSIPPI 50, Samford 15
MISSOURI 58, Nevada 28
Navy 28, DUKE 22
NEBRASKA 51, New Mexico State 22
North Dakota State 28, WYOMING 14
NORTHWESTERN 33, Southern Illinois 31
Oklahoma 47, WASHINGTON 29
OKLAHOMA STATE 60, Missouri State 28
Oregon 47, PURDUE 31
OREGON STATE 40, Hawai'i 34
Penn State 55, SYRACUSE 21
SAN JOSE STATE 18, San Diego State 16
Southern Miss 39, ARKANSAS STATE 33
TCU 41, Stanford 25
TENNESSEE 59, Uab 20
TEXAS TECH 69, Smu 31
TROY 44, Alcorn State 3
USC 34, Ohio State 20
Utah 54, UTAH STATE 22
VANDERBILT 48, Rice 29
Virginia vs. CONNECTICUT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Western Michigan 48, IDAHO 38
Colonial Athletic Association
Massachusetts 35, JAMES MADISON 34
New Hampshire 18, RHODE ISLAND 6
RICHMOND 26, Towson 0
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
HAMPTON 25, Howard 0
NORFOLK STATE 33, North Carolina A&T 9
South Carolina State 14, Bethune-Cookman 3
Missouri Valley Conference
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 38, Western Illinois 26
Patriot League
LAFAYETTE 30, Georgetown 0
Pioneer League
JACKSONVILLE 22, Campbell 12
Southwestern Athletic Conference
SOUTHERN 34, Mississippi Valley State 19
FCS Non-Conference
Albany 19, HOFSTRA 16
AUSTIN PEAY 26, Gardner-Webb 17
Central Arkansas 20, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 12
EASTERN ILLINOIS 47, Indiana State 14
EASTERN KENTUCKY 33, Morehead State 16
ELON 41, Presbyterian 19
Fordham vs. DAYTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Furman 34, COLGATE 28
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 39, Northeastern 37
Grambling State 25, NORTHWESTERN STATE 24
Illinois State 36, MURRAY STATE 15
Jackson State 20, Tennessee State 17
Liberty 46, WESTERN CAROLINA 24
MAINE 31, Stony Brook 25
Marist 27, SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 24
MONMOUTH 31, Coastal Carolina 26
MONTANA 43, Southern Utah 16
MORGAN STATE 29, North Carolina Central 20
ROBERT MORRIS 42, Bucknell 41
South Dakota 28, SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 23
UC DAVIS 23, Portland State 9
VILLANOVA 28, Lehigh 14
WAGNER 17, Iona 10
WILLIAM & MARY 43, Vmi 17
WINSTON-SALEM STATE 40, Savannah State 0

 

[the duke]

ALLEN EASTMAN

$1000 -105 Take #105 Navy (+1.5) over Duke (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
The Blue Devils will be without their starting running back (Boyette) and have to deal with their main wideout being banged up (Riley) while Navy will welcome back its starting quarterback (Kaheaku-Enhada). This service academy has already tested itself this season against a pass-happy attack (Ball State) and they will certainly be ready for Duke?s attack. This is also another situation where we can go against the ACC. The Middies are 49-20 ATS on the road and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the ACC. I think they win this one outright and bowl over the weaker Blue Devils.

$500 -107 Take #112 Akron (+7) over Ball State (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
This is simply too many points for a Ball State team to be laying on the road against a conference opponent that, up to this point, has looked just as sharp as the Cardinals. The home team has covered four of five in this series and I think the Zips continue to play at a high level off their big upset in the Carrier Dome. Akron?s pass defense is currently No. 12 in the nation, and that?s after facing two BCS foes. Ball State struggled to pull away from Navy and will find this conference game a bit of a tougher task.

$500 -105 Take TCU (-13.5) over Stanford (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
The Horned Frogs are one of the more underrated teams in the country and possess one of the best defenses west of the Mississippi. TCU won their meeting with the Cardinal on the road last year by two points and I think they are an even deeper, more experienced team this time around. Stanford has not been able to stop anyone on the ground or through the air, and I can see TCU getting ahead and extending its lead with virtual ease while the Frogs? defense does the rest. TCU is 36-16 ATS at home and is 7-3 ATS in nonconference games. This game has been moved up to a noon kickoff, which I think further helps the Horned Frogs because of the time differential.

 

[the duke]

Chicago Hot Sides


4 UNIT BYU -8 -105
4 UNIT OK -20 -115 buy hook
4 UNIT CLEMSON
I PLAYED IT THIS WAY:
2 UNIT CLEMSON -17 -125 bought 1 point
2 UNIT CLEMSON -18 -105


5 UNIT ARIZONA -10 -115 buy hook

 

[the duke]

Comps

Big Al Mcmordie

Game: Michigan at Notre Dame Sep 13 2008 3:30PM

Prediction: Notre Dame

Reason: At 3:30 pm, our member selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish plus the points over Michigan. Last year, there were few bright spots for Lloyd Carr's Wolverines. His final season as head coach opened disasterously with a loss to Appalachian St, and then the Wolves got waxed by Oregon. Still, Carr's season was better than Charlie Weis' year in South Bend, and Michigan's 38-0 romp over the Irish in Ann Arbor showed just how bad Notre Dame really was. This year, the Irish might surprise some folks, and I think they'll get their revenge on Saturday afternoon. Notre Dame falls into a 271-219 ATS shutout revenge system of mine, and also a team trend that's 14-1 ATS. That trend plays on the underdog in the Notre Dame/Michigan series provided the favorite is NOT playing with revenge. Look for Notre Dame to crush Michigan on Saturday.



Carlo Campanella

Game: Stanford at TCU Sep 13 2008 7:00PM

Prediction: TCU

Reason: Stanford (1-1)opened their season by shocking Oregon State, 36-28, after a disappointing 4-8 record last year behind rookie Head Coach Jim Harbaugh. HC Harbaugh won that contest behind a ball control strategy that amassed 210 yards rushing on 48 carries. Things werent so easy on the road the following week, as we "played against" Stanford last Saturday when we made Arizona State our College Blowout of the Year and they stopped the Stanford running attack- allowed 113 yards on 30 carries- while getting the easy home victory, 41-17. Stanford stays on the road for the second consecutive week as they face a TCU (2-0) defense thats allowed just 3 and 7 points in their first two efforts and matches up perfectly against Stanfords offense, already forcing 7 turnovers and holding their opponents to an INCREDIBLE 56 and 3 rushing yards! Last year, TCU held 6 foes to 13 points or less, but defeated Stanford, 38-36, which was the most points they allowed the entire year! TCU prides itself on its defensive play and you can be sure they won't break down on defense in this rematch.

7* Play On TCU

 

[the duke]

comps

Mike Wynn Sports

The 10th ranked Wisconsin Badgers are 2-0 on the young season and making their first road trip of the season to face the 21st ranked Fresno St Bulldogs. Fresno St 1-0 with a big road win over Rutgers to kick off the season, and Pat Hill is hoping to splash onto the national scene with a win over a top 10 opponent. It will be a great atmosphere for this game Saturday night as Fresno St head coach Pat Hill is billing this game as the biggest game in the history of their stadium, and it better be after they turned down a one million dollar offer from the Badgers to move this game to Lambeau Field in Green Bay. These two teams have met twice and both games were played in Madison with Wisconsin edging Fresno 23-21 in 2002, and losing 32-20 in 2001. This will be Wisconsin?s first trip into Bulldog stadium and it should be a fun one to watch. So let?s take a look at both these teams and we?ll start with the visiting Wisconsin Badgers.

Wisconsin comes into this contest having won two games pretty handily over MAC conference opponents Akron & Marshall. Badgers simply ran over Akron in the opener racking up 404 yards on the ground led by PJ Hill?s 210. Two turnovers in the red zone and a late Akron touchdown with 22 seconds remaining gave the Zips the point spread cover in week 1. Week 2 was a different story for the Badgers as the Marshall Thundering Herd thundered out to a 14-0 lead before Wisconsin ground them down in the final 3 quarters of the game and reeled off the final 51 points of the game. Unlike the Akron game the Badgers were not able to simply run Marshall out of Camp Randall. Marshall was well prepared to sell out against the run and they did shut down the Badgers running game early, but QB Allan Everidge showed he could throw the ball and Wisconsin racked up 329 yards through the air. Throw in three 3rd quarter turnovers and the deal was sealed on Marshall last week. Not including bowl play Wisconsin has been rough on non-conference opponents recently winning 7 straight on the road and on neutral sites with the last loss coming back in 2001 at Oregon. Badgers will also get a little healthier and better this week with the return of receiver Travis Beckhum to the line up.

Fresno St comes into this contest with some extra prep time for this one as Pat Hill?s bulldogs haven?t played since beating Rutgers on the road back on Sept 1st. Fresno was able to keep Rutgers out of the score column until the 4th quarter with help of some bend but don?t break defense and a couple of turnovers. Rutgers was missing Ray Rice as Fresno St held his replacement Kordell Young to 96 yards on 26 carries. Pat Hill had to be pleased with the effort of his ball club playing 3,000 miles from home in Rutgers Stadium that?s been a strong home field for the Scarlet Knights. Fresno St?s field general is senior QB Tom Brandstater who completed 11-24 passes for 216 yards against Rutgers. The Bulldogs got 163 yards on the ground from sophomore RB Ryan Mathews, who also scored all 3 Fresno St touchdowns in the game. Fresno St is no stranger to playing the big boys as Pat Hill has taken on that we?ll play anybody, anytime, anywhere attitude for this program. Pat Hills?s Bulldogs have been solid moneymakers going 34-23, and they?ve raked in the cash in non-conference action cashing 30 of 48 under Hill.

Bottom line is that this game is going to be a tough physical game, and I?m going to side with Fresno St here tonight. Wisconsin is taking a big step up in class after facing a couple of MAC schools and with the extra prep time for Fresno St, I think we?ll see a bit of an upset here tonight. Take whatever points you can get and side with Fresno St Saturday night.



Razor Sharp Sports

As we head into week 3 of the college football season, we kick things up a notch. From what I have seen so far, I don?t expect we saw anything that will affect the BCS Championship Match-up! That all changes this week as the Ohio St Buckeyes head out to the west coast for a prime time battle with the USC Trojans. There are still alot of games that will eventually lead to the title game, but this will be a big one.

First you have the Ohio St Buckeyes. Jim Tressel?s team has gone to back-to-back National Championship games, just to be blown out, but at least they were there. This year the Buckeyes have plenty of talent to return to a third title tilt, but can they do it. RB Chris ?Beanie? Wells was injured in their season opening win over Youngtown St. His missed last weeks game against Ohio University and it looked like the Buckeye offense missed him. They came from behind in the fourth quarter to beat the Bobcats 26-14. Wells looks like he will be ready for this weeks contest. Ohio St may also end up with a QB controversy before all is said in done. Returning starter Todd Boeckman is being pushed by huge and athletic freshman Terelle Pryor. The one place they don?t have problems is on defense. Butkus Award winner LB James Lauriniatis anchors one of the best units in the country.

On the other side of the ball we have the #1 team in the country in USC. The Trojans have missed out on the BCS Championship Game the last two years. Prior to that they lost to Texas in 2006 and won the title in 2005. The 2008-09 version of the Trojans are led by QB Mark Sanchez. Sanchez had a few questions heading into the year because of injury, but in the season opening 52-7 victory over Virginia he showed no signs of that injury. Sanchez was 26-35 for 338 yards and 3 scores. It wasn?t just Sanchez that looked good. The whole team dominated the Cavaliers. They outgained Virginia 558-187 in yards. USC had an off week last week so they have an extra week to prepare.

The Buckeyes may have gotten caught looking ahead last week, but I expect them to be ready here. The Trojans may be the most talented team in the country and the extra week may make the difference. The great coaches in Jim Tressel and Pete Carroll and their staffs will have both of their teams ready. I expect the defenses to shine. As a free winner for this week take the Ohio St/USC game UNDER the total. We are already 2-0 this football season here


#1 Sports

Michigan @ Notre Dame on Saturday, September 13th
Posted on Tuesday, September 9th

Michigan (1-1) Michigan got in the win column last Saturday with a 16-6 win over Miami-Ohio by getting back to the basics of rushing the football and relying on your defense to get stops and provide field position. Replacing your starting wide receivers, running back, quarterback, and 4 of 5 offensive linemen wasn?t going to be easy for 1st season Coach Rich Rodriguez and it showed in the Wolverine opener, losing 23-25 vs. Utah, but Big Blue may have found it?s new offensive identity behind the line of junior LT Mark Ortmann, junior LG Tim McAvoy, freshman C David Molk, junior RG David Moosman, and sophomore RT Steven Schilling. O-Line Coach Grey Frey?s crew returns only Schilling and can?t boast of a single 300-pounder (6?5? 288# average) but they are athletic and punched holes for 178 yards and 2 scores on the ground against the Red Hawks, led by the freshman back tandem of 5?11? 185 Sam McGuffie (25 for 82 and TD) and 6?0? 177 Michael Shaw (4 for 46) who were also key leaking out to combine for 9 grabs for 74 yards and a touchdown. For now, 6?1? 207 sophomore Nick Sheridan (15 of 24 for 138 yards, TD, INT) and 6?6? 230 freshman Steven Threet (14 of 32 for 132 yards, TD) will split time at the trigger with 5?9? 168 freshman WR Martavious Odoms (8 for 64) the favorite target. Run the ball, dump off the ball, and run the ball some more will is the plan for now in Big Blue?s quest for their 34th consecutive Bowl bid. The present is much brighter for Michigan?s defense with 7 returning starters including the defensive line of 6?3? 265 senior LDE Tim Jamison, 6?5? 282 senior LDT Will Johnson, 6?0? 308 senior RDT Terrence Taylor, and 6?2? 273 RDE Brandon Graham who have registered 7 of the squads 9 sacks so far. This front is equally stout against the run allowing 83 total yards on the ground through their first pair, supported by a man in the middle to keep your eyes on in 6?2? 248 sophomore MLB Ezeh (20 T, 1 ? TFL, INT). Safeties Brandon Harrison and Stevie Brown are new starters that have looked pretty physical with 24 combined tackles while corners 6?1? 193 senior Morgan Trent (31 consecutive starts) and 6?0? 185 sophomore Donovan Warren (10T) should pile up big numbers behind the Wolverine pass rush. Senior K K.C. Lopata has already connected from 47 and 50 yards while junior P Zoltan Mesko (41.9 yards per) is one of the best in the nation.

Notre Dame (1-0) It may have taken a 4th quarter comeback but the Fighting Irish managed as many wins last week in a 21-13 triumph over San Diego State as they did in the first 10 contests of 2007. This extremely young group did record wins over Duke and at Stanford to finish last campaign and, with another year of seasoning, big things are expected by the faithful but we just can?t jump on the bandwagon. Weis?s 3-4 defensive alignment may get more of his best athletes on the field but it also allowed 195.4 rush yard per game last season and opened by yielding better than 4.7 yards per carry against the Aztecs who will likely rush the ball as rarely this year as any school in the country. That being said, 6?3? 283 senior RDE Pat Kuntz and 6?0? 235 RILB Maurice Crum Jr. (38 straight starts with 247 career tackles) are extremely fine players that will at least keep the Notre Dame front 7 in position to succeed. In all, 7 starters return of defense with 6?2? 212 senior FS David Bruton (85 T, 3 INT in ?07) and 5?11? 105 senior RCB Terrail Lambert (23 straight starts) in the backfield but look out for junior S Sergio Brown, who recorded a blocked punt last week plus 6 tackles in his first career start, and senior SS Kyle McCarthy, who racked 14 stops to open his first season as a starter. There have been many changes along the Notre Dame offensive line in effort to improve on the embarrassing 58 sacks they allowed in 2007. Only 6?8? 330 junior RT Sam Young (26 straight starts) stays put as 6?6? 305 senior LT Michael Turkovich moves from left guard, 6?4? LG Eric Olsen beat out Paul Duncan and moves from right guard, 6?4? 302 junior C Dan Wegner slides into the middle, and 6?5? 337 junior RG logged his first start last week. It?s early, but zero sacks surrendered so far should build confidence. Returning starter 6?3? 217 sophomore QB Jimmy Claussen (21 of 34 for 237 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT) didn?t look terribly sharp through most of the way but did manage to find 8 different receivers and rallied with a 38-yard TD to sophomore WR Tate Golden (6 for 93 and TD) and a 6-yard TD to senior WR David Grimes (5 for 35 and TD) in the 4th quarter against the Aztecs to secure the win. If he is to consistently move the chains, big targets 6?6? 252 freshman TE Kyle Rudolph, 6?6? 265 junior TE, and 6?5? 219 sophomore WR Duval Kamara must get mote attention. Sophomore RBs 5?11? 195 Armando Allen (17 for 59 rushing, 3 for 18 receiving) and 5?11? 237 Robert Hughes 16 for 54 rushing, 3 for 32 receiving) are versatile guys but they won?t carry a team. On the religious miracle front (hey, this is Notre Dame) K Brandon Walker (6 of 12 in ?07, 0 of 1 in ?08) could make ?Touchdown Jesus? signal ?No-Good?.

FREE SELECTION: These schools rank 1-2 All-Time in NCAA victories, winning percentage, final composite AP rankings, consensus All-Americans, and television appearances but will have to fight for every inch if they are to receive post-season bids this season. We give the edge to the Wolverines based on significant advantages on defense and in the kicking game. Take Michigan ?1!


Nevada Sharpshooter

The Yellow Jackets of Georgia Tech travel to Blacksburg to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies. Georgia Tech is coming off of a good win on the road over Boston College. While G Tech is a young team they are off to a strong 2-0 start led by a stellar defense and on offense by sophomore QB Josh Nesbitt and RB Jonathon Dwyer. While Nesbitt is not much of a threat to throw the ball, he is adept at running the option offense.

Virginia Tech is 1-1 with an 22-27 loss to East Carolina and a win over Furman. The Hokies have struggled on offense, the O-lines play has been weak, and Coach Beamer has been forced to use 2 QBs, Tyrod Taylor and Sean Glennon. While the defense and special teams have been solid it may not be enough to overcome the problems on offense. Also note that V Tech was only up 3-0 in the 3rd quarter over Furman last week.

The Sharpshooter picks Georgia Tech +7 over Virginia Tech. V Tech is going to have to show me some better play on offense before I will lay 7 against a strong opponent that has shown the ability to win on the road.



Dr. Vegas

This game kicks off at 3:33pm Eastern on September 13, 2008 in Provo, Utah. BYU is favored by 8 after an opening line of 10.5. The total is 46 after an opening line of 45.

UCLA opened the season on Sept. 1 as a 7.5-point dog with a strong outright win over then-18th-ranked Tennessee, 27-24. They had last weekend off.

BYU is playing in its third game of the season, though the blowout opener against Northern Iowa was more of a practice. Their last game was a nail-biter 1-point win in a game they were favored to win by 8 points over Washington.

These teams played twice last year. In week 2 of the season, UCLA scored a convincing 10-point win. But the game most etched in all players minds is the 17-16 BYU win in the Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl last December 22. The Bruins were set up for a game winning field goal on the 11-yard line with three seconds left. A mere chip shot. That is? until BYU lineman Eathyn Manumaleuna got a hand on the ball, blocking the kick and sealing the game as time ran off the clock.

UCLA sits just outside of college top 25, 13 votes behind West Virginia. 18th ranked BYU showed vulnerability in its close match with Washington last week, and fell 3 spots in the national rankings.

UCLA?s first two games have come against the 18th-ranked team in the nation. Can they unseat the Cougars this week?

The Bruins are rested, ready, confident, and have had lingering memories of that blocked shot for the past 9 months. It?s not that they ?can? or ?can?t? win. It?s that they feel they must win.

Take the Bruins +8 over BYU.

 

[the duke]

comps

Jack Clayton

San Diego St / San Jose St
Pick: San Jose State

San Diego St/San Jose St: A long road trip for San Diego State the last two weeks, losing at Notre Dame and now heading to SJ State. SDSU has a freshman QB in Ryan Lindley. The defense has been terrible and the team has been hit by injuries. San Jose State (1-1) has a great coach in Dick Tomey and gets RB Yonus Davis back for a sixth season at tailback after missing virtually all of last season with an ankle injury. San Jose State is 11-2 SU, 9-1 ATS its last 13 at home. Play San Jose State!


Nelly

Eastern Michigan ? over Toledo

Since Toledo is one of the more well-known MAC teams they are typically overvalued a bit in conference games but keep in mind that the Rockets have won just three road games S/U in the past three seasons. Eastern Michigan has not had recent success in this series but the Eagles catch Toledo in a second straight road game off long travel after Toledo played at Arizona last week. Last season Eastern was embarrassed in Toledo, allowing 52 points but this season this game should be a key spot on the schedule. Last year Eastern had to play Toledo coming off a big win so the poor effort was understandable. The Eagles had close to 350 yards of offense against Michigan State last week and dominated Indiana State in week one so this is a team that should be able to score some points. Potential rainy weather could also favor the Eagles as Toledo had very little success running the ball last week.

 

[the duke]

Jimmy Sirody

Cost: $40
Get you Saturday off to a winning start with Jimmy's top total play.
Jimmy got off the schneid, cashing Thursday when Rutgers and North Carolina easily eclipsed the 'total.' Join him in the winner's circle Saturday with his early Saturday special.

Top Total Play
Navy/Duke Over


write up

I expect a shootout Saturday morning at Wallace Wade Stadium. Duke and Navy were among the worst defensive teams in the country last season and they proved it by combining for 89 points and over 1,000 yards of total offense. The Midshipemen surrendered 36.4 points per game in 2007 and Duke yielded 33.2. Duke gunslinger Thaddeus Lewis threw 47 passes last week in a narrow loss to Northwestern. He should have a picnic against a Navy pass defense that has allowed 656 yards in two games. Conversely, the Middies have been virtually unstoppable on the ground, gaining 904 yards in two outings. Look for these two defenseless teams to put at least 70 points on the board, easily topping the total.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Jim Kruger

Boise St -17.0
Sat Sep 13 '08 8:00p

Take Boise State over Bowling Green

This line took a turn up in Boise laying points when Bowling Green drowned against Minnesota losing to them as a home fav after beating Pitt on the road as a dog. Boise reloads, they don?t rebuild. New quarterbacks come and perform like two-year starters. New coaches come in with the smoothest of transitions. It is an impressive program.

The Broncos are led by left redshirt freshman Kellen Moore. He has a bevy of WR?s to toss to and RB Ian Johnson to hand off to. In the background is the blue turf. You don?t bet against the blue turf. Boise touts a 32-12 ATS home record including 12-4 as double-digit home favs in their last 16.

Bowling Green has a shaky offensive line and has to be concerned after their poor defensive showing against a Gopher team that was one of the worst BCS teams in the nation last year.

Oh, we have a 41-18 trend over the past five years regarding teams off of byes, Boise, and teams off of home losses, Bowling.


John Ryan

Rice vs. Vanderbilt (NCAAF) - Sep 13, 2008 7:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 8.5/-107

Rice

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Rice ?AiS shows a 72% probability that Rice will lose this game by 8 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-9 ATS for 79% since 1992. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season with 6+ more total starters returning than opponent. What is truly remarkable about this system is that 58% of the plays covered the number by 7 or more points. Rare do you find systems that cover the number by more than 7 points 40% of the time. So, this is a special system that you now can use for the remainder of this month and store in your archive for the beginning of many seasons to come. This is what my service is all about ? not just producing winners, but also helping bettors learn the discipline of sports betting. Vanderbilt won the turnover battle last game, but that does not bode well for today?s action knowing they are 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992. Rice is in a very strong role noting that they are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a road win against a conference rival since 1992. As the system reveals, Rice has experience on it?s side. They return 9 starters including the QB on offense and will be facing a Vanderbilt defense that returns just 6 starters. On the other side of the ball, Vanderbilt returns 3 on offense and will be facing a defense that returns 7. Based on the matchups I strongly believe that Rice will dominate both sides of the ball. Take Rice.



Jimmy The Moose

Game: Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Sep 13 2008 1:05PM
Prediction: New York Yankees

Tampa comes into this one having lost 5 of their last 7 road games. The Rays are trying to hang onto first place in the AL East but don't expect them to get a win today. The Rays are 3-14 in Shields last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rays are 0-7 in Shields 7 starts vs. the Yankees, 0-4 in his starts in New York. The Yankees send Mussina to the mound this afternoon. NY has won 6 of his last 7 home starts. The Yankees are 19-7 in his last 26 starts. NY is 9-2 in Mussina's last 11 starts vs. TB. The Yankees are 8-1 in his last 9 homs starts vs. the Rays. Play on the New York Yankees -.

 

[the duke]

Sunshine Forecast


September 13, 2008

U.C.L.A. (+9) 21 at Brigham Young 19

Houston (-6) 42 vs. Air Force 28

Oklahoma 35 at Washington (+20) 23

Southern Cal (-10) 24 vs. Ohio State 7

 

[the duke]

Comp

Matt Rivers

Saturday take the Dawgs in Columbia.

This is a very very squarish play of me and I try and avoid this type of a scenario but the way Georgia has been playing early on and the way that Steve Spurrier's offense has been struggling I can't help but back the road chalk.

I am the first on to say that Mark Richt's squad is not a number one team in this nation as they are just not better than a USC or Oklahoma or maybe even a few other teams. But with a very very very good defense that should dominate along with stars on offense in Knowshon Moreno and Matthew Stafford Georgia should be at least alright offensively on the road here against a quality SC defense.

The problem for Spurrier's squad is that Chris Smelly proved in that poor loss at Vanderbilt how he is far from being the answer and I just do not see how the Gamecocks will be able to muster anything at all offensively without their only real Wide Receiver in Kenny McKinley probably not being able to play because of that hamstring injury.

The 'Cocks will be all sorts of fired up here at home to try and knock off Goliath but if you do not have the pieces offensively to really move the ball and constantly give Moreno and Stafford a short field then eventually the Cocks defense will get worn down and in the end we are looking at something like a 23-7 UGA win!



Marc Lawrence

Game: Oregon at Purdue Sep 13 2008 3:30PM
Prediction: Purdue
Play On: Purdue

When the Boilermakers host the Ducks in this Big10 / Pac10 showdown matching two teams with potent offenses they'll do so knowing that Game Three bowlers like Oregon who are favored on the road off a SUATS win are a weak 18-38 versus the number if they scored 34 or more points in their last outing (OU registered 66 against Utah State). Purdue sports a solid 4-1 ATS record as non-conference home dogs of 4 or more points and the negative press that the Big 10 has received over the past few weeks will add value to the Boilermakers? side here. 2008 marks Purdue coach Joe Tiller?s final season on the sidelines at West Lafayette and we must respect the Tiller-man?s success at home ? 34-16 ATS playing at Ross-Ade Stadium off a SU win. An upset is no surprise here.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Lou Diamond

(223) Air Force
(224) Houston
Take "(223) Air Force"

Air Force Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Falcons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September. Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. CUSA. Cougars are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Cougars are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass. Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.


(187) UL Lafayette
(188) Illinois
Take "(188) Illinois"

Fighting Illini are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Fighting Illini are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Fighting Illini are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win. Fighting Illini are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Ragin' Cajuns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Ragin' Cajuns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Ragin' Cajuns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Ragin' Cajuns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Ragin' Cajuns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Ragin' Cajuns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Ragin' Cajuns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.



(133) Wisconsin
(134) Fresno St
Take "Under"

Wisconsin Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games on grass. Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 7-3 in Badgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-4 in Badgers last 13 non-conference games. Fresno State Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a





Dave Cokin

(153) Stanford
(154) TCU
Take "(154) TCU"

TCU escaped Palo Alto with a wild 38-36 win over Stanford last season. It won't be nearly as close this time around. The Horned Frogs are loaded and I have them winning ten games this year. I really like the intensity they've displayed on defense in the first two weeks. Stanford is in the tougher scheduling spot as they opened with back to back conference games. The Cardinal have had some injury issues to deal with and they wore down in the second half at ASU. No one can run on the Frogs, and forced to the air, I expect some Stanford turnovers in this game. I like the TCU side to win convincingly.



Jim Fiest

(119) New Mexico St
(120) Nebraska
Take "(120) Nebraska"

Third straight cupcake game for Nebraska -- and all at home! Head Coach Hal Mumme begins his fourth year at the head of a bad New Mexico State team and this is their FIRST game of 2008! Their September 4th game with Nichols State was postponed. The defense is awful, giving up 36 points, 168 yards rushing, 4.4 ypc, and 262 yards passing per game last year. The smallish defensive front allowed 192 rush yards per game in WAC play. This team is 2-21 SU/7-16 ATS on the road the last four seasons. New Nebraska (2-0 SU/ATS) coach Bo Pelini has an experience, physical team that is rolling, set to wipe clean the embarrassing memory of 2007 (5-7 season). The defensive line has plenty of experience, while the 2008 offense is productive with mobile senior QB Joe Ganz (16 TDs, 7 picks, 1,435 yards in 2007). Ganz threw four touchdown passes to help Bo Pelini win his first game as Nebraska's coach, 47-24 over Western Michigan. The offense had 484 yards. This is the third of 5 straight home games for Nebraska (3 cupcakes). Look for the new coach to pour. Play Nebraska.

 

[the duke]

WINNERS EDGE

CFB

Rice + 8 , 4 unit ( GAME OF MONTH )

Purdue + 7.5 , 2 units

Penn St - 28 , 2 units

Southern Miss + 2.5 , 1 unit

 

[the duke]

Comps


MARTY OTTO

ARIZONA -10 AT NEW MEXICO
Recommendation: Arizona

Teams aren?t necessarily as good or as bad as they appear in any given week but two weeks into the 2008 campaign I think we can safely assess these two squads. The Lobos have shown absolutely no ability to move the football enough to hang within this number. The offensive line is a complete mess affording quarterback Donovan Porterie no time to find anything down field. The lone bright spot on this offense, running back Rodney Ferguson, is not an explosive back but more of a plodder. The defense was just picked apart by a backup quarterback on a Texas A&M squad with major offensive issues of their own. When you couple it together, this team simply cannot play catch-up effectively. And that is exactly what they will be forced to do in this game. Arizona is a very explosive team now fully in sync with this wide open system installed last year. Willie Tuitama has plenty of weapons to work with, most notably Mike Thomas, and they seem to have found a ground game which is particularly scary for the opposition. Rocky Long led his troops to an upset victory in Tucson last year but Arizona will hang half a hundred in this blowout.


BRENT CROW

NC STATE AT CLEMSON -18
Recommendation: Clemson

Both of these teams bounced back from dismal opening games with wins over I-AA teams last week. Clemson took care of the Citadel, 45-17 while NC State beat William and Mary, 34-24. The Tigers piled up 525 yards of offense in their win, but did give up 427 yards to the Citadel -- half of that coming on five long pass plays. NC State was outrushed and out first-downed by Bill and Mary, but wound up with a slight 325-303 edge. This is a game in which Clemson should win easily. NC State was shutout by South Carolina in their opener and has already played three quarterbacks in just two games. The Tigers have received nothing but criticism since their opening loss to Alabama, but they were the preseason ACC pick for a reason. This team has tons of talent on offense and their speedy defense will not be run over by NC State, a team on the other end of the spectrum when compared to Alabama. Clemson piled up 608 yards in their 42-20 win over State last year and they should have a big edge again this year as they get back on track with an easy win.


ERIN RYNNING

MICHIGAN AT NOTRE DAME PK
Recommendation: Notre Dame

Rivals collide this weekend as the Wolverines invade South Bend. Of course, last year Michigan smashed Notre Dame 38-0 in Ann Arbor; however, the tales of both teams differ immensely in 2008. For Michigan, this season will be a pure rebuilding year for new head coach Rich Rodriguez. I?ve gone against Big Blue with two service play winners with spread covering wins from Utah and Miami (OH). Michigan was clearly outplayed by Utah, as the 25-23 loss could have been much worse and while Michigan flexed their muscle early against Miami, the RedHawks were arguably the better team for much of Michigan?s 16-6 win. UM is still very much a team with issues on both sides of the football, and especially in the offensive end. Meanwhile, Notre Dame is off its initial game of the season, which has to be considered a lackluster performance (21-13 win over San Diego State). We expect much better effort from an Irish team that returns 16 starters from an embarrassing 3-9 campaign. Look for the Irish to quickly surpass their 79-yard output from last year?s humbling episode against Michigan and pay back their rival.


FAIRWAY JAY

PENN STATE AT SYRACUSE +27
Recommendation: Syracuse

Penn State has been impressive in two early season romps at home, whereas the linesmakers can?t fade Syracuse enough. Head coach Greg Robinson will be fired by season?s end as the faithful fans are furious and frustrated. Robinson hears the drumbeats of discontent as he?s now 7-30 at Syracuse. Bettors can?t wait to keep attacking when they see Orange and figure the Nittany Lions should eat their lunch. This is one of the biggest home underdog roles ever for Syracuse. Last season they started with similar blowout losses before beating Louisville outright as a 37-point ?dog, and two seasons ago they beat No. 14 Iowa at home getting +20 points. No doubt Penn State has a dominant edge along the offensive line, but this is still quarterback Daryll Clark?s first-ever road start. Penn State?s thinning defensive line lost another player for the season last Saturday, and the Lions figure to have a little letdown following their easy opening victories and the off-field distractions. Syracuse was more competitive than the final scores indicated in its opening two losses and can get production on the ground from Brinkley and Carter. We?ll take this very ugly home dog.


ED CASH

MICHIGAN AT NOTRE DAME PK
Recommendation: Michigan

I have been successful in going against the Wolverines in their first two games, winning with Utah and Miami-Ohio, but I will back them this week at Notre Dame. I am still not impressed at all with their offense, but the defense is improving and should have a big edge this week against the Irish offense. Notre Dame barely escaped with a 21-13 win over San Diego State at home last week, the same SDSU team that lost its home opener to I-AA Cal-Poly. San Diego State?s front seven, which was decimated by injuries and very undersized, dominated the Notre Dame offensive line. Quite simply, if the Irish cannot block the Aztecs, there is no way that they will be able to block Michigan. The Irish had just 105 yards on 34 rushing attempts last week and they appear to be just as poor offensively as they were in their three-win season a year ago. Michigan is very young on offense,but they should improve slowly under Rich Rodriguez and they won?t have to score many points to win this one. I?ll probably also take a look at the under in this game as Michigan gets its second straight win.


DONNIE BLACK

NAVY AT DUKE -2.5

Recommendation: Duke

Last week we wrote that in the Duke versus Northwestern game the wrong team was favored. While they lost 24-20 we got a pointspread winner as Duke +6 dominated the box score getting 28 first downs while gaining 472 yards. Overall, they had a 144-yard advantage in total offense and nearly doubled up the Wildcats in time of possession. On the last drive they had a chance at the outright win and a perfect 2-0 start. According to the AP report: Thaddeus Lewis scrambled around the pocket before finding Clifford Harris open for what appeared to be the winning touchdown. But tackle Cameron Goldberg was called for holding to bring it back. In other words Duke was right there for the win. We see no reason to get off the train now. This is a different team with a tremendous amount of enthusiasm as its new coach David Cutcliffe has raised expectations. Navy is projected as a rebuilding team. Last week at Ball State they were exposed by a good passing game. They allowed 328 yards on 21-of-28 passing. Similar results are likely this week. Just like last week?s game; talent, athleticism and speed should all be in favor of Duke. So with home field advantage, we see no reason why Duke can?t cover this small number.

 

[the duke]

Sterling Sports

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Underdog Game of the Week
UL Lafayette +25.5

They were ranked 7th nationally last season running the ball and top runner Chase Daniel is going for the school record.
They have had an extra week to prepare.
Illinois poor defending the run, giving up too many points and they look ahead to 2 Big 10 matchups.




Coach on the hot seat Game of the Week
Syracuse +27.5 vs Penn St.

3rd game at home. Losing by 20 and 14 points gives good line value.
They put up 28 points last week vs Akron.
The Orange are 23-5 ATS 2nd of back to back home games and 6-2 ATS here vs non Big East opponents.
Penn St. 1-9 ATS vs Big East. Take the big points



Washington +20.5 vs Oklahoma

Washington is a good dog going 30-16 ATS & coming off a 1 point loss to BYU scoring 27 points. Defense should be stronger after 2 games.
Sooners are only 2-6 ATS laying points vs the PAC 10.

 

[brownbull]

Duke,

Sunday you listed Malinsky as having a 6* on the NYY -1.5 RL. I never saw it on his site. I've been extremely curious. What was the deal with that?

Thanks

 

[the duke]

Comps

Penn State (-28) at SYRACUSE Karl Garrett

Could be the end of the line for Syracuse coach Greg Robinson pretty soon, as the Orange are off to a dismal 0-2 start both straight up, and against the spread, losing to Northwestern, and at home last week to Akron.

The visiting Nittany Lions should have no trouble rolling up the big number, as Joe Paterno's team has covered 11 of their last 16 when laying double-digits.

On the flip side, the 'Cuse is just 3-11 against the spread their last 14 lined games, and went winless ATS in 6 tries as the home underdog a season ago!

Expect the dam to break early in this game, and Penn State to roll to the road blowout win.

Lay the lumber with the Lions!

3♦ PENN STATE



UAB at TENNESSEE (-30') Sports Gambling Hotline

UAB is in trouble today as they take on a Tennessee team that is back home after getting upset in overtime at UCLA 12 days ago.

The Blazers are headed for another losing season, as they are already off to an 0-2 start both straight up, and against the spread.

Expect this game to get away from them in a hurry, as the Volunteers have a strong history of bouncing-back after a straight up loss. Tennessee is 9-3-1 against the spread their last 13 after a SU setback, and the Vols are also a strong 9-4-1 against the spread at home since the 2006 campaign.

Coach Fulmer's squad has been able to cover their last 4 non-conference home games, and while this number is a tad inflated, we have no choice but to lay it against a UAB defense that has already allowed 94 points in losses to Tulsa, and Florida Atlantic.

The points haven't been a help to the Blazers either, as UAB is on a 2-6 slide their last 8 as a double-digit pup.

Play on Tennessee.

5♦ TENNESSEE

 

[the duke]

Duke,

Sunday you listed Malinsky as having a 6* on the NYY -1.5 RL. I never saw it on his site. I've been extremely curious. What was the deal with that?

Thanks

Those plays came from the slant

 

[brownbull]

Thanks for the reply but not sure what you mean.

 

[the duke]

Thanks for the reply but not sure what you mean.

another forum thats sometimes plays games because they feel its a competition to see who can get the most service plays

I try to help this forum so madjack members can hopefully win money. Im not here for a popularity contest. Im not trying to sucker any people into a scheme like previous posters who needed to dominate the service play area. I encourage all who can help post the plays to do so. MLBKING,KOZSKI61, YTOWN,TIGERFAN,AFLACC,CLIENT9,TNVN1944,TAIPNS,are all good contributers to this site. I could care less who post the plays where they come from who paid for them as long as they are posted.

Good Luck

 

[the duke]

Ben Burns


Ben Burns is 63% in 2 Years of CFB Big Games and has his ONLY 9* ACC Game of the Year Saturday
The Football Champ is back for 2008, won 5 of his last 8 CFB Cards, is up profit on the season and 4-1 in Totals. Last season, his NFL tore up books from coast to coast and his CFB TOP Bets were feared by books as well. He is an amazing 63% the last 2 years of CFB Top bets. Get Burn's GIGANTIC 9* Game of the Year and 5 MORE College Bets Saturday - $60

9* Virginia Tech -6.5
6* Wisconsin Under 50
5* Tulane +13.5
4* Maryland +14.5
3* South Carolina +7.5
3* Syracuse +28