Saturday Service plays 9/13/2008

[the duke]

Matty O'Shea

CFB Side
double-dime bet134 Fresno St. 2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 133 Wisconsin

Analysis: This is arguably the biggest game ever at Bulldog Stadium, pitting two nationally ranked teams for the very first time. Wisconsin will also be the first Big Ten team to visit Fresno State, so the Badgers should expect a rude welcome during this nationally televised game. They have failed to cover their last six road games and struggled a year ago in an early-season trip to UNLV, resulting in a 20-13 victory as they failed to cover a 25.5-point spread. Fresno is a huge step up in class from that Rebels team and much better than the Marshall and Akron teams Wisconsin played during the first two weeks of the season. The Bulldogs have had an extra week to prepare for this huge game following an impressive 24-7 victory at Rutgers back on September 1. Bet Fresno to pull off the upset as my Double Dime Underdog Play O' the Week for Saturday.



CFB Total
double-dime bet168 Southern Cal / 167 Ohio St. Under 45.0

Analysis: This is the best play in my opinion on the biggest game of the young season. The USC Torjans will not come close to the kind of offensive production they put up against Virginia in the season opener a couple weeks ago. The Ohio State Buckeyes take great pride in their defense, as they have given up more than 17 points just twice in their last 24 regular-season games. Neither of those two times have taken place in the first 10 weeks of the season, and the UNDER is 9-3 in their last 12 September games. Meanwhile, the UNDER is also 9-3 in USC's last 12 games overall. The Trojans are very proud of their defense as well and should be able to contain Ohio State's running game no matter how healthy Chris Wells is come Saturday. Look for both of these teams to attempt to grind it out on the ground and control the clock, and bet the UNDER with confidence as my Double Dime NCAA Total Play O' the Week.

 

[the duke]

STAN SHARP

EARLY SEASON MISMATCH OF THE YEAR
20.00
Stan has found an early season match up that is a total MISMATCH and the oddsmaker is not put a proper number on this game. Stan expects this team to cover the Spread by 10 pts or more. Stan has Bet this Game BIG as he is making it a RARE TRIPLE DIME PLAY. Remember Stan has had 12 Winning Weeks out of the last 16 and is up 34.90 Units for the Baseball Season which means Dime Players are up $34,900 on the Year and now he is ready to do the same in Football. Since Nov 2nd Stan has gone 172-126 with all his plays. Get STAN'S EARLY SEASON MISMATCH OF THE YEAR now for just $20.


Triple-Dime Western Michigan -8.0

 

[the duke]

comps

Larry Cook

NCAA-F | Sep 13
SMU vs. Texas Tech Total
68 over-110

3* on SMU/Texas Tech OVER 68

Get ready for a shootout between SMU and Texas Tech Saturday. June Jones brings his spread offense to the Mustangs, coming over from Hawaii. But he needs to bring a defense is he wants to have any success. So far, SMU?s defense has been non-existent. The Ponies gave up 36 points to Texas State last week and 56 to Rice in their opener. Texas Tech played SMU last season, putting up 49 points on the Mustangs. June Jones will want to showcase to his future Texas recruits that he?s not afraid to put the ball in the air. The Red Raiders will be trying to show their recruits that they are, by far, the superior passing team down south. The OVER is 4-0 in the Mustangs? last 4 games following a S.U. win. The OVER is 24-6 in the Red Raiders? last 30 games following a ATS win. Both teams tend to light it up following a strong performance. Bet the OVER 68 points Saturday.



Black Widow


NCAA-F | Sep 13
Rice vs. Vanderbilt Rice +8?-107

1* on Rice +8.5

Rice is the real deal this season. The Owls take on Vanderbilt this week in a big letdown spot for the Commodores. Vandy has started the season 2-0, beating SEC rival South Carolina last week. The Commodores will relax a bit this week as they take on Rice, a team that will surprise some folks this season. Rice is 2-0 beating SMU 56-27 and then winning at Memphis 42-35. The Owls have the best 1-2 punch in Conference USA at quarterback and wide receiver. They can outscore Vanderbilt with the potent offense they put on the field Saturday. Vanderbilt is 2-13 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992. Rice is 18-6 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1992. Rice is 15-4 ATS off a road win against a conference rival since 1992. The Commodores will slip up, while Rice puts their name on the map this week. Take Rice and the points.


John Martin

NCAA-F | Sep 13
Hawaii vs. Oregon State

Oregon State -13-108

1 Unit on Oregon State -13

Oregon State will pick up their first win of the season in blowout fashion. The Beavers have talent this season, but it hasn?t showed on the scoreboard quite so much. Oregon State has played a couple tough road games to start the season with losses at Stanford and at Penn State, but a little home cookin? Saturday will get the Beavers back on track. They play the Hawaii Warriors, who have only 8 returning starters this season. Hawaii opened the season with a 56-10 loss to Florida before playing a cake game against Weber State last week. Oregon State is 19-8 ATS after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts since 1992. Though the Beavers have one of the best passing attacks in the Pac-10, look for Oregon State to play with the lead all game and implement their rushing attack this week. Oregon State is 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games as a home favorite. The Beavers are showing great value Saturday after a slow start. Cash in with Oregon State as the favorite.

 

[the duke]

Greg Daraban

** College Total of the Week **

UNLV vs Arizona State
Condition: Over

UNLV on second of Back to back road games. Last week they lost at Utah. ASU has the horses to roll up some big numbers, and UNLV should participate in what should be a High Scoring Event. Play UNLV/ASU Over

 

[the duke]

Champion Sports

5 Star Clemson vs. North Carolina State
Take Clemson -19

Not enough playmakers in the skill positions to keep the pace here. Clemson has won four in a row straight up in the series.Clemson has 16 starters back. They have an edge on both sides of the ball.


Wisconsin vs. Fresno State
Take Wisconsin -2

Wisconsin has the ability to control the football and clock - very physical football team. Fresno State has had 2 weeks off and may be a little rusty. They were soft against the run last season and now face a more physical opponent in Wisconsin.


Penn State vs. Syracuse
Take Penn State -27.5

The Syracuse dome advantage has been nonexistent.Syracuse is 1-5 in the last 6 games vs. the Big Ten.The Nittany Lions speed will enjoy this playing surface.


SMU Mustangs vs. Texas Tech
Take SMU +36

Inflated line. With this line Texas Tech can score high points, but SMU can still cover comfortably. Offense has the potential to be the best around. An underdog like this has tremendous value.
Mustangs have the ability to run the ball.


Rice vs. Vanderbilt
Take Vanderbilt -8

Vanderbilt is 10-2ATS in the last 12 September games. Rice is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games in September. It is not easy for Rice to win away from home; their defense leaves a lot to be desired. Vanderbilt has a solid defense.

 

[the duke]

Comps

John Fina

September 13, 2008

Selection: Oregon State -14 (-110)

Reason: Put us down on Oregon State -14 for our Free College Football Selection on Saturday. Today Hawaii will be on the road as they take on Oregon State. We will lay the points with Oregon State! At the same time that Hawaii is rebuilding, Oregon State is falling apart. However the Beaver?s miserable performances so far are the result of situations that are far removed from this game. This leaves us with an incredible advantage in this game. The beginning of the season was understandably tough for the Beavers. There was the challenge of breaking in an entirely new front seven on defense, paired with 2 consecutive road games, so it was not a huge surprise that they lost those two games; 28-36 to Stanford and an abysmal 14-45 to Penn State. Despite the rough beginnings, the Beavers do have some good talent that will improve all the more as they gain experience but their current skill level will be more than enough for this matchup. This week, coach Mike Riley will focus on the strength of the team in rushing the passer. Oregon State also has the virtue of playing at home with a wealth of support from the fans. Another big change for the Beavers this week is the fact that it?s going to be a great matchup for the defense. The Beavers lay claim to an excellent secondary that has 70 career starts from cornerbacks Keenan Lewis and Brandon Hughes. They?ll be able to establish the game against Hawaii?s offense who still rarely runs the ball, but prefers a wide-open pass-heavy offense; a leftover scheme of June Jones. What is worse for the Warriors is a brand new corps of wide receivers who haven?t acclimated to the 3 different quarterbacks who have had to split practice time since the beginning of the season.. While QB Tyler Graunke pulled the warriors out of a sluggish start last week against Weber State, his presence this week won?t be sufficient against Oregon State due to his recent issues that resulted in a lack of work. One of the factors supporting the Beavers? good, experienced secondary is their victory against Hawaii in 2006. And the unfavorable conditions surrounding Oregon State for that game makes their success all the more remarkable. The Honolulu game came directly after the annual Civil War rivalry game where the Beavers defeated the Ducks 30-28 on their home field. Despite coming in as the underdog and being worn out, Oregon State managed to defeat the Warriors 35-32. Since NFL experienced Riley took over, the Beaver?s great defensive abilities in relation to offensive styles such as those of Hawaii, is no surprise from a tactical perspective. Oregon State?s offense will also be positioned to make a lot of plays. Because of their size and lack of skill, the Warriors have to rely on stunts and blitz especially since they?ll be lacking DT Rocky Savaiigaea and LB Blaze Soares. With a nice synchronization between a mobile QB Lyle Moevao and their exceptional WR duo in Shane Morales (17 catches for 191 yards and a touchdown) and Sammie Stroughter (16 for 213 and two scores), as well as a volatile RB in freshman Jacquizz Rodgers (153 rushing yards and two touchdowns), the Warriors will find themselves in a precarious situation. The Beavers have an excellent opportunity to break it open in their first home game against the Warriors and forget about their early season fiascos, making a dramatic turnaround. An added catalyst for Oregon State?s motivation is the fact that 14 players on the roster originate from the Aloha State. This game is going to be a tremendous confidence builder for Oregon State and we expect them to go all-out and break it open. The bottom line, we see Oregon State getting a blowout win today! Take Oregon State -14!


Brian Marshall

September 13, 2008

Game: California vs. Maryland

Plays On: Maryland +15 (-110)

Game Analyses: There is a lot of value with Maryland on Saturday as they take on California!

The Terrapins are not a very good team and played the worst game in Ralph Friedgen?s career last week losing 24-14 to Middle Tennessee State. But Maryland?s lowly status offers a nice advantage in this matchup. They?ll be motivated with the opportunity to ambush California who is coming off a victory high after defeating Washington State last week 66-3; the perfect condition for a Bear upset.

The Bears, ranked 23 in the nation, have a lot of factors working against them. First, because Maryland isn?t good, they?re not going to bother with much effort. They will also be traveling to the East Coast which they haven?t done in 7 years. This means that California is going to begin the game at 9 o?clock in the morning PST; a severe case of jet lag for the Bears.

ACC underdogs are 13-3-2 ATS vs. Pac-10 schools, and 7-1 ATS during the regular season. In their last 19 road games the Bears were only 6-12-1 ATS and the Terrapins are known to take full advantage of opportunities like this. Remember that in the last two seasons Maryland defeated their last 2 ranked opponents; Rutgers and Boston College.

California will be in for a shock, finding themselves in an uncomfortable situation with Da'Rel Scott running the ball. Expect Maryland to control the ball and stay inside the number.

Three words sums this one up? Grab The Points!

Take Maryland +15!



Tony Mathews

September 13, 2008.

Matchup: Michigan vs. Notre Dame

Selection: Michigan -3 (-110)

Explanation: We will side with Michigan -3 as they face-off against Notre Dame in Saturday?s College Football contest.

The public loves Notre Dame?s head coach Charlie Weis, but there is one important fact to keep in mind; he has a tremendous lack of experience in coaching college football. Over the last few years since he took over, there has been an observable and consistent decline in this team. When he first came on board things were looking good, lots of wins due to some veteran talent. But as the season?s passed the precision and skill that was once Notre Dame has disappeared. Even though they won last week?s game vs. San Diego it was in reality an awkward and incredibly humiliating situation for the Fighting Irish. For one thing, San Diego?s defense was injured all around. The week before, the Aztec?s allowed Cal Poly 483 yards which included 263 on the ground at 5.2 ypc. The Fighting Irish managed only 342 yards, which included 105 on the ground at 3.1 ypc. The Bottom line is that they were behind at least 2 yards fewer on their own turf than Cal Poly playing on the road. And sacks have nothing to do with distorting the numbers either for the sole fact that that QB Jimmy Clausen was not sacked once. One of their biggest problems was with RBs Armando Allen and Robert Hughes. Allen had 17 carries for 59 yards and Hughes 16 carries for 54 yards.

Notre Dame basically won the game by the skin of their teeth. In the fourth quarter Brandon Sullivan was penalized for fumbling at the goal line less than two inches away. If it were not for that judgment, San Diego State would have pulled ahead by 2 touchdowns. What it comes down to is a pathetic performance on the part of Notre Dame against a team that did fairly well considering their significant defensive issues. This week?s game for Notre Dame will be one against an opponent who has dominated them for the last 2 years by a total of 64 points.

The range we have now is ludicrous even despite Michigan being in transition and acclimating to Coach Rich Rodriguez?s schemes. This is only a minor setback for Michigan when you are talking about the last two seasons against Notre Dame. Going back 2 years we saw an excellent quarterback in Brady Quinn along with a lot of other talent. But on this same field, Michigan led the Irish who had only one 1st down, 34-7 in the last 2:30 of the first half. The following year the Wolverines dominated 38-0. This is important when you consider the concerns about the loss of QB Chad Henne; he didn?t play a down in that game. While Michigan ran the ball 61 times and only threw 16 passes, the defense held the Fighting Irish to only 79 yards for 53 snaps. At halftime the Wolverines were leading 31-0!

The Wolverine defense is as solid as ever and will check Notre Dame in much the same way they did last year. This will allow a smoother transition for Rodriguez?s offense; reducing the need for any big plays. The Wolverines have one of the best defensive lines in the country and the experienced secondary can hold Notre Dames mediocre receiving corps, while the Wolverine offense gains momentum. It won?t be long before the offense is ready to make plays and the talent of freshman RB Sam McGuffie will become an integral part of the attack. The bottom line is that Notre Dame?s inexperienced defense is going to suffer against the new offensive schemes, leaving Michigan with plenty of advantage.

Take Michigan -3!

 

[the duke]

HONDO

Hondo's tango with the Twins was washed away in Baltimore last night, leaving him holding steady at a soggy 690 backmans above the equator.

Today, he'll go all day and all night with the Jays up in Fenway Pahk - 10 units apiece on Bronc Bur nett and Litsch.


Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Washington State ( 1) last night. Today it's Connecticut. The surplus is 85 sirignanos.


Mighty Quinn

North Carolina (+5)
South Florida (-3)
Auburn (-10 1/2)
BYU (-8 1/2)
Oregon (-8)
Georgia (-7)
Wisconsin (-2)
Penn State (-28)
Notre Dame (+2)
California (-15)
Tennessee (-30)
East Carolina (-13)
UConn (-11)- BEST BET
Oklahoma (-20 1/2)
USC (-10 1/2)
Arizona (-10)


Armvin Sports

Navy 2
Southern Mississippi 1.5
Boston Red Sox -109



MJP Sports

IOWA STATE 14
TULANE 13
CALIFORNIA -14

 

[the duke]

Greg Shaker


Sat, 09/13/08 - 12:00 PMGreg Shaker | CFB Side
triple-dime bet156 Buffalo -6.5 (-110) BetUS vs 155 Temple
Analysis: NCAAF: Temple Owls at Buffalo Bulls - Buffalo -6.5 -110 | Unit Value: 3 Unit "East Coast Blowout"
Game Date: 9/13/2008
Note: The Temple Owls are off one of their biggest efforts ever as they lost to UConn at home last week in what was horrible playing conditions. The weather did keep them in the game, but the fact is, they were very much outplayed. The Huskies owned this team on the ground, rushing for almost 300 yards, even in some of the worst playing conditions I have ever seen. Buffalo can run the ball and they will Saturday. They absolutely destroyed UTEP on the ground in the season opener and they showed me a lot last week playing at Pitt, against a very motivated Panther squad coming off a poor game. Last year Buffalo put up 42 points verses this Owl squad and I cannot see anything different than that happening Saturday. This Bulls squad loves to play at home, and they love to beat Big East teams. We have to remember that even though Temple beat a very poor Army team in week one, they actually lost the yardage gained stat and only put up 250 total yards, rushing the ball for only 2.9 yards per carry. That was against Army. What will they do Saturday? Not so good in my best estimation. The Cadets outgained them, out-first downed them but got beat on a 97 yard Kickoff return and a fumble returned for a TD. Temple is improved, but they are still Temple. The Bulls will score often in this contest.



Sat, 09/13/08 - 3:30 PMGreg Shaker | CFB Side
double-dime bet137 Michigan -2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 138 Notre Dame
Analysis: NCAAF: Michigan Wolverines at Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan -2 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 9/13/2008
Note: Charlie Weis has guaranteed a win in this game. He, however is not The Gipper, and his team is not that good. Michigan has better athletes, and you can best believe, that they are motivated by the Fat Man's comments. This is not San Diego State Charles. This is a team coached by Rich Rodriguez, and the last time I checked, he is a winner. Weather is going to be iffy for this contest, but this small spot will win more times that not, I promise.



Sat, 09/13/08 - 12:00 PMGreg Shaker | CFB Side
double-dime bet106 Duke -2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 105 Navy
Analysis: NCAAF: Navy Midshipmen at Duke Blue Devils - Duke -2 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 9/13/2008
Note: I had Duke last week and I will play them again. Navy has NO DEFENSE and Duke has proved to me that they can stop the run. That is what Navy does, but they are not doing that as well this year. Regardless, this is going to be a high scoring contest, but in the end, our guys have the better chance at stoppng the other guys here at home. Duke has lost 4 straight to Navy and these guys are highly motivated, and have the team to get them Saturday. I think they will.




Sat, 09/13/08 - 3:30 PMGreg Shaker | CFB Side
double-dime bet128 South Carolina 7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 127 Georgia
Analysis:
NCAAF: Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Fighting Gamecocks - South Carolina +7 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 9/13/2008
Note: The Georgia Bulldogs may or may not have the best team in the country but laying points in the contest, or any contest on the Road in the SEC, can be poison. This is argueably the biggest game for the Gamecocks every year and this one is bigger than ever, with Spurrier on the Hot Seat, and not being able to afford another conference setback. In fact, this game might be the Largest for Steve ever at this school. He does have his best team ever on both sides of the ball. You can best believe that he will have some tricks up his sleeve for the visiting Dogs. By far, this is is the toughest ticket in the country Saturday, and yes I do know that Ohio State plays at USC. The South Carolina Hopeful will be out in full force and if you asked the Georgia Brass about this one, they would tell you that winning here is always a chore, even when the Cocks have had mediocre squads. There will be many that will point to the fact that the Bulldogs will have Extreme Revenge on their minds, losing at home to South Carolina last year. The Revenge Factor is wildly overstated though, when you must travel to the other team's venue. The Bulldogs play this year at Athens has been pretty good and that, couple with the SC Loss at Vandy has given us a better than expected number. The nation?s preseason Number 1 team has won two games by a total of 63 points but they have been over what can only be described as marginal competition. The Gamecocks are not in that category at all. There are no measureable injury problems for either team except for Gamecock wideout Kenny McKinley, who is doubtful for this clash. The Bullies may or may not come away from here with a win. They will know that they played a game, and if they do chalk up their 3rd win of the year, it will not be by very much. That means that the +7 spot looks large indeed to me.

 

[taipans]

feist--
personal best..................a.force, g.tech
totals.................syr over, ball st over
platinum.....................matyland, tcu
inner circle goy........................ohio st
inner circle................c.mich over

cokin--
big shot....................navy
totals...........c.mich over, ball st over
window....................v.tech
under the hat..........kentucky, nebraska

spritzer--
ko.................clemson, buff, v.tech
tko............iowa,nebrask,
tko dog of month.........s.car
5* total.................ball st over

 

[the duke]

Comps

Mike Anthony

UAB vs. Tennessee U (NCAAF) - Sep 13, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -30.5/-108

Tennessee U

Tenn is solid and will bounce back at home this afternoon and UAB is in trouble today as they take on a Tennessee team that is back home after getting upset in overtime at UCLA just 12 days ago.

The Blazers are headed for another losing season, as they are already off to an 0-2 start both straight up, and against the spread. Expect this game to get away from them in a hurry, as the Volunteers have a strong history of bouncing-back after a straight up loss. Tennessee is 9-3-1 against the spread their last 13 after a SU setback, and the Vols are also a strong 9-4-1 against the spread at home since the 2006 campaign.

Coach Fulmer's squad has been able to cover their last 4 non-conference home games, and while this number is a tad inflated, we have no choice but to lay it against a UAB defense that has already allowed 94 points in losses to Tulsa, and Florida Atlantic.

TENNESSEE by 44


Scott Delaney

Winner for Saturday goes on Duke over Navy.

The Middies are taking Duke seriously, and they should, as the Devils are an improved program that has righted the ship. And in quadruple revenge against Navy, the Blue Devils are calling this game the biggest of their season.

We've seen Navy struggle to contain multiple spread formation teams in recent years and that's exactly what we're going to see against Duke. And since the Blue Devils return many of the offensive weapons responsible for piling up 43 points and 506 total yards in last year's clash with Navy, we'll count on defense to help out with this one.

3 DIME DUKE

 

[the duke]

PPP

4% Oregon st
3% TCU

 

[the duke]

edit admin per request of service

 

[kozski61]

Scott Spreitzer

TKO Dog GOM -- South Carolina



Jim Feist

Mismatch GOM-- New Mexico




Erin Rynning

Notre Dame / playmaker
Buffalo/ regular




Glen Mcgrew

Blowout Of The Month Nebraska




JEFFERSONSPORTS

MLB EARLY RELEASE
MINNESOTA-150 (perkins)
SAN FRANCISCO (lincecum)




AAA

Double-Dime Bet
SOUTH CAROLINA +7



MJP sports CFB

9/13/2008 CALIFORNIA -14

9/13/2008 TULANE 13





ProViewPicks CFB

9/13/2008 VANDERBILT -8.5

9/13/2008 NEW MEXICO STATE 25

9/13/2008 GEORGIA -7

9/13/2008 OREGON STATE -13

9/13/2008 PENN STATE -28

9/13/2008 MICHIGAN -2

9/13/2008 VIRGINIA TECH -6.5

9/13/2008
Best Bet! CLEMSON -19

9/13/2008 MARYLAND 14

9/13/2008 BUFFALO -6.5

 

[the duke]

Nathan Armstrong

5* Blowout Oregon st

 

[kozski61]

Sunshine Forecast

U.C.L.A. (+9) 21 at Brigham Young 19

Houston (-6) 42 vs. Air Force 28

Oklahoma 35 at Washington (+20) 23

Southern Cal (-10) 24 vs. Ohio State 7

 

[kozski61]

Gold Sheet

Super power seven

Auburn

 

[kozski61]

DOC Enteprises:

edit - admin

 

[the duke]

PLUSLINE SPORTS

Daily Client Information

Saturday September 13, 2008

SF(Lincecum) vs SD(Young)

SF -1.5(+141) Runline , Moneyline(-119)

Game Time: 9:05pm CST September 13

 

[the duke]

Indiancowboy Comp

Mississippi State +10

Look, Mississippi State is a good team and they come off a 34-10 win over South Louisiana. Obviously, this team is furious considering they lost to La Tech on the road 14-22, and that was a game they frankly dominated during the first half only to have La Tech have their fans bring them back into the ballgame and Miss. State end up losing outright despite being a 7 point favorite. Heck, Mississippi State last year for me was a big play during the bowl season as they got it done against UCF with a stifling defense that I remember as they shut down Kevin Smith - not to mention the under cashed with great ease as well. Auburn did cover against UL Monroe but miserably failed to cover against Southern Miss at home in their last ballgame. Remember, Miss. State beat Auburn outright last year 19-14 on the road as 11.5 dogs. The Bulldog pound will be rocking today and to get Miss. State as a 9.5 dogs at home in a big game like this is actually very considerable. Actually, to get any SEC team as such a dog is worth it in my opinion, and Chris Todd has only thrown for 1 touchdown and 1 pick as the Auburn running game has gotten it done for this team. But, Miss. State's defense is their strength so if anything, a lean on Mississippi State here to get the cover at home as they could compete for the outright here. In fact, you could even get Miss. State as a 10 point home dog here, and imagine getting 10 points in a total that is expected to be 40....that is 25% of the expected points right out of the game, shoot, if all hell breaks lose and the Bulldogs score a touchdown first, you have nearly 40% of the expected points that Miss. State is expected to score in the game. This is likely my free pick today as the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record and I like Buddy Croom as a coach to get his boys ready for this game.

 

[the duke]

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

California -14 over MARYLAND

The Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points, while the Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home non-conf games. The Maryland Terrapins have reallly struggled in the early going, with a sluggish 14-7 win vs FCS opponent Delaware to open the season and then they followed it up by losing 24-14 as 13 pt home faves to MTSU last week. Maryland returned 9 starters on offense and just 5 on defense, yet it is the offense that is struggling in the early going. In the That is not good as the powerful Cal Bears are coming to town and you definitely need to be able to score when playing these guys. Cal has opened up the season putting up 104 points in their 2 games and they outscored their 2 opponents by 70 points in the 2 games. The Bears have also piled up 486 ypg through the first 2 games. Even though the Terp defense allowed just 31 points in their first 2 games, the offenses they faced were no where near that of this California offense. There should be no look ahead here for Cal as they have the week off and they would also like to erase the memories of last years collapse. This is a very talented and dangeraous Bears squad that is playing a Maryland team that should not make it to a bowl game this year, so I see no reason why the Bears can't win this one by 21 or more points.


2 UNIT PLAYS

Air Force +2.5 over Houston

The Falcons are 5-0 ATS after Wyoming and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, while the 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Air Force Falcons are off to a solid 2-0 start and they have been very impressive on both sides of the ball. The Falcons are averaging 392 ypg and 32 ppg so far on the year, while the defense is allowing just 5 ppg and 173 ypg in the early going so far. Today Air Force will be taking on a potent Houston offense, that is putting up 46 ppg and 549 ypg on the year so far. The Cougars arte mostly a passing team though and I believe that the Falcons have the defense to slow that attack down. The best defense for this Falcons squad could be their vaunted rush offense that is putting up 347 ypg on the ground so far vs Houston defense that allowed the OSU Cowboys to run all over them to the tuns of 379 yards on the ground with a 7.4 ypc average. The houston defesne also surrendered 320 yards through the air and allowed the Cowboys to convert on 10 of 13 3rd down attempts. Air Force's ability to run at will here and keep that strong Houston offense on the sidelines will be key, while their defense should be able to keep the Houston offense down enough to get the outright win.

I ALSO LIKE

Penn State -27.5 over SYRACUSE

Teaser Of the Week (1-0 This Year): Illinois -19, BYU -2, Vanderbilt -2.5


1 UNIT PLAY

NOTRE DAME +2 over Michigan

The Dog is 25-2 ATS in Michigan's last 27 road openers, plus the dog is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in the sereis. Michigan is 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games, while the Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Last week the Irish kicked off their season with a less than impressive 21-13 win over SD State, but this team really showed something in the 4th quarter and I feel that will carry over to this game. Jimmy Claussen proved to be clutch last week in guiding the Irish to 2 4th qtr TD's, while the Irish defense stepped it up and held SDSU scoreless for the last 23 minutes of the game. That defense will be facing a struggleing Michigan offense. Last week Michigan was able to muster just 15 firstdowns and 281 yards of total offense vs a Miami-Oh defense that allowed Vanderbilt 360 yards and 34 points in the opener. The Michigan offense has really been bad thus far and I don't see them putting much on the board vs this improved Irish defense. The Michigan defense is no slouch and they are allowing just 1.1 ypc rushing so far, but this team can be thrown on as they are allowing 255 ypg through the air. Notre Dame is playing at home, they have revenge on their minds from last year's 38-0 loss, plus they had Lou Holtz give a little pep talk at the Pep Rally last night. The wrong team is favored here and Notre Dame will show you why.