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NCAAF: Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Houston Cougars - Over 59 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 12/28/2007
Note: This game is clearly all about the TCU Defense verses the Houston Offense. Those are the two strengths of these two teams with the Frogs allowing just 19 points per contest this year. The Cougars meanwhile have the 4th best offensive attack in the nation, throwing out 513 yards per contest. This attack is very balanced and the reason why they have scored at least 34 points in 9 of their last 11 games. We often hear that good D stops good O and in many cases that is true. But Bowl Games offer a different flavor, and especially when it is not being played BCS Style. While the offensive brains have left from this team to go to Baylor, the Cougars should by now know how to score on their own and score they have this year. What they have not been able to do is to stop the opposition, allowing 30 per contest themselves and often verses teams that have not been all that score-worthy. We can look at previous Houston Bowl appearances to find that they have allowed 54, 42, and 44 points in their 3 bowl games since 2003, and the fact is, they just don't have the horses to stop anyone. Certainly not a team that has this long to prepare for them. Both teams have quick strike ability, both teams have quality QB's and both teams have very good team speed. These two used to play quite a bit so familiararity is not going to be a problem. When they did, we usually saw up and down the field action. The last 2 games have seen 61 and 117. That is not a typo. That is 117. While I don't suspect that we will see that many in this one, the line is being held down due to coaching changes at Houston and a value line in my opinion. Play the OVER
NCAAF: Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Houston Cougars - Over 59 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 12/28/2007
Note: This game is clearly all about the TCU Defense verses the Houston Offense. Those are the two strengths of these two teams with the Frogs allowing just 19 points per contest this year. The Cougars meanwhile have the 4th best offensive attack in the nation, throwing out 513 yards per contest. This attack is very balanced and the reason why they have scored at least 34 points in 9 of their last 11 games. We often hear that good D stops good O and in many cases that is true. But Bowl Games offer a different flavor, and especially when it is not being played BCS Style. While the offensive brains have left from this team to go to Baylor, the Cougars should by now know how to score on their own and score they have this year. What they have not been able to do is to stop the opposition, allowing 30 per contest themselves and often verses teams that have not been all that score-worthy. We can look at previous Houston Bowl appearances to find that they have allowed 54, 42, and 44 points in their 3 bowl games since 2003, and the fact is, they just don't have the horses to stop anyone. Certainly not a team that has this long to prepare for them. Both teams have quick strike ability, both teams have quality QB's and both teams have very good team speed. These two used to play quite a bit so familiararity is not going to be a problem. When they did, we usually saw up and down the field action. The last 2 games have seen 61 and 117. That is not a typo. That is 117. While I don't suspect that we will see that many in this one, the line is being held down due to coaching changes at Houston and a value line in my opinion. Play the OVER
