Service Plays For 12/30/07

[the duke]

EROCKMONEY

60.55% 66/43 SIDES 44/33 TOTALS 22/10


(1.) Carolina (-2.5) at Tampa Bay

The Panthers have finished strong and saved coach Fox's job. I expect the Panthers to continue their solid play versus a Bucs team preparing for the playoffs.

Pick: Panthers by 4

(2.) Green Bay (-5) v. Detroit

The Packers are going to play this one like their season depends on it after a terrible performance in Chicago last week. The Lions have struggled at Lambeau and this one should be no different. With an upcoming first round bye the Pack will play their starters deep into the second half.

Pick: Packers by 7

(3.) St. Louis (+6.5) at Arizona

When these two get together it usually is a tight battle. I think the Rams will run the ball and keep the high powered Cardinals offense off the field. Jackson and company should be able to keep this one within the margin.

Pick: Cardinals by 4

(Over 39) Detroit at Green Bay

With Packers expected to play their starters and the Lions closing out on a high not this one should feature plenty of points

(Under 42.5) San Diego at Oakland

The Chargers need the win to clinch third place in the AFC, but could rest some starters late if they have the lead. The Raiders will be up for their home finale and will look to set the stage for further improvement in 2008. The defenses will shine in the divisional matchup.

 

[the duke]

Scott Spreitzer

25* Atlanta Falcons

 

[the duke]

Ben Burns

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR

Atlanta Falcons

 

[bankman]

Pointwise NFL Phones

 

[bankman]

Pointwise NFL Phones

4* Philly

3* Cleveland, Green Bay, St. Louis, New Orleans

2* Dallas, Tenn.

 

[GIANTS007]

WILD BILL

Miami +3 (1 unit)
Dallas +9 (1 unit)
Green Bay -3 1/2 (4 units)
Jaguars +6 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 39 Titans-Colts (1 unit)
Denver +3 1/2 (1 unit)
Chargers -7 1/2 (2 units)
St Louis +5 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 47 Rams-Cards (1 unit)
Over 34 Jets-Chiefs (1 unit)

 

[GIANTS007]

SUNSHINE FORECAST

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Sunday, December 30, 2007

Colorado(+3?) vs. Alabama [Independence Bowl]

Power Rating Projection:

Alabama 29 Colorado 24
Statistical Projections

Colorado 23

Rushing Yards: 128
Passing Yards: 203
Turnovers: 2 Alabama 25

Rushing Yards: 151
Passing Yards: 205
Turnovers: 1

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Alabama 35 Colorado 19
Alabama (1 star)

 

[GIANTS007]

TEDDY COVERS
BEST BET
Jacksonville at Houston -4 O/U 41
Recommendation: Over
Very quietly, under the radar, the Jacksonville Jaguars have become
the NFL?s strongest Over team. The Jags have gone Over
the total in each of their last nine games. Jacksonville?s offense
has become a well oiled machine, putting up 24+ in each of those
nine games, including a whopping 49 points against the Raiders
last week. Quarterback David Garrard just set an NFL record with
only two interceptions in more than 300 pass attempts. And Jacksonville?s
strong running game, led by the duo of Fred Taylor and
Maurice Jones-Drew, ensures that when they reach the red zone,
they score touchdowns. The Jags have big play potential from their
running game as well as their passing game, and let?s not forget to
mention the defensive touchdowns that Jacksonville has scored?
this team finds ways to reach the end zone, even in a meaningless
regular season finale. Houston has a similar Over bent. The Texans
defense has declined as the season has progressed, allowing 26+
in eight of their last 13 games. But the Houston offense has been
extremely potent at home all season, averaging a full touchdown
more than they do on the road when playing at Reliant Stadium.
Prior to their poor showing at Indy last weekend, the Texans had
put up 28 against the Bucs and 31 against the Broncos in their
previous two games. With the Sage Rosenfels/Andre Johnson
quarterback/receiver duo making big plays every week and Darius
Walker filling in nicely at running back for the injured Ahman Green
and Ron Dayne, look for Houston?s offense to be every bit as potent
as the Jaguars offense, sending this game well Over the total.

 

[GIANTS007]

Mighty ! Quinn

Col + 3 1/2

 

[the duke]

Asa

7* BOWL GOY

Alabama -3 1/2

 

[the duke]

HSW early phone

7* Phila

Parlay
Phila
GB
Hou

 

[the duke]

POINTWISE NFL

NFL KEY RELEASES
CLEVELAND over San Francisco RATING: 3
PHILADELPHIA over Buffalo RATING: 4
ST LOUIS over Arizona RATING: 4
PITTSBURGH over Baltimore RATING: 5
MIAMI over Cincinnati RATING: 5



POINWISE HOOPS:

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
NO CAROLINA over Valparaiso (Sun) RATING: 1

 

[the duke]

POINTWISE ( 4-10)

ALABAMA (6-6) vs COLORADO (6-6)
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30
8:00 PM EST -- ESPN TELEVISION
AOPR AVS FDS RUSH PASS TRN EDGE TO:
Alabama ..... 46.8 .. 27-22 .. 23-18 .. 151-128 .. 222-213.. + 4 . Alabama
Colorado .... 44.5 .. 27-28 .. 17-19 .. 152-128 .. 227-262.. - 4 . by 3.7 Pts
ANALYSIS
These 2 collegiate stalwarts meet for just the 3rd time, with the previous 2 also
coming in the post-season. In the '69 Liberty Bowl, the Buffaloes of Colorado
prevailed over the Crimson Tide of Alabama, 47-33. The Tide snagged a bit of
revenge, by winning the '91 Blockbuster Bowl, 30-25, as a 2-pt chalk. This
season saw the arrival of Nick Saban at Tuscaloosa. He brought LSU a share
of the national title just 4 years ago, before moving on to an ill-fated stretch
with the Miami Dolphins. And, altho 'Bama has had its moments, including an
amazing 41-17 rout of then 20th-ranked Tennessee, along with a mere 3-pt
loss to currently 4th-ranked Georgia, & a 7-pt loss to now 2nd-ranked LSU,
the fact of the matter is that the Tide hasn't won since that blowout of the Vols.
Thus, a 6-6 record, despite 9 returning offensive starters, with nary a loss by
more than a TD. Extremely competitive, but a classic underachiever, exemplified
by a loss to La-Monroe, as a 24? pt favorite. Like the Tide, Colorado, is
also a difficult team, in which to get a proper read. The Buffs' highlight was
that shocking 27-24 upset of 3rd-ranked Oklahoma, as 23-pt dogs. And it was
no fluke, as CU held the Sooners to 12 FDs, while holding a 381-230 yd edge.
That win completed a 3-game stretch, in which Colorado held a combined FD
edge of 73-28. The low point? Try a 55-10 home loss to Missouri, with a 402
yd deficit. QBs Wilson of UA & Hawkins of CU have posted similar stats, &,
as can be seen above they match each other perfectly in rushing "O" & "D".
Note 'Bama's last 5 bowl games being decided by 1, 1, 4, 3, & 3 pts SU. That
is just about what should be expected in this meeting. So, we will take the pts.
PROPHECY:

COLORADO 27 - Alabama 25 RATING: 4

 

[the duke]

Bryan Leonard

NFL GOY

Green Bay -4.5

 

[GIANTS007]

THE SPORTS MEMO ( 12-2 !!!!!!!!!!)



Alabama -3.5 vs. Colorado O/U 51 Recommendation: Over
Sunday, December 30, 8 pm EST (ESPN) Shreveport, La

The Independence Bowl is not a treasured destination for SEC
schools, especially ones that pay their new coach $4 million per
year. Such is life, however, and Nick Saban and Alabama are back
in Shreveport for the second consecutive year. The Tide was
a 34-31 loser to Oklahoma State in last year?s game. Colorado
is back in a bowl this year after suffering through a 2-10 season
a year ago. They are probably a little more excited to be in
Shreveport than the Tide, but the edge probably isn?t that great.
I would expect Alabama to have a good effort as Saban tries to
end his first season in Tuscaloosa with a winning record. These
teams are actually pretty similar this season. Both had some nice
conference wins, some bad losses, and some near misses. Colorado
had a win over then number one ranked Oklahoma early in
the year and also had a road win at Texas Tech. Alabama?s best
win came against Tennessee, but they also battled LSU tough in
a seven-point loss. The Tide ended the season on a four game
losing streak, dropping all four games by a touchdown or less.
They really struggled on offense, scoring just 36 points in their
last three losses to Auburn, Louisiana-Monroe and Mississippi
State. These two teams are also similar statistically using the
true rushing and passing numbers. They are both about average
running the ball, a little below average throwing it and about average
on defense. Colorado has better offensive numbers, while
Bama has a little better numbers defensively. In looking at this
matchup, I expect to see a wide open game. Neither team really
has anything to lose or gain in this game and the trend among
bowl games in recent years has definitely been towards highscoring
games. Colorado?s Dan Hawkins has always been a wide
open offensive coach, and in the bowl atmosphere, I expect that
to be even more evident. Alabama should be able to throw the
ball against this Colorado defense that allowed over 400 yards
passing in three of its last four games, something I am sure has
caught the attention of the Alabama coaching staff. After a solid
sophomore season, Alabama quarterback John Parker Wilson
definitely regressed this year. Some of that can be attributed
to injuries to key players on offense, but Wilson also failed to
make some throws that he made the year before. He needs a
solid game here to cement his status as the starter next year,
and this is a defense that he can certainly take advantage of.
Wilson will also have everyone on the offense around him healthy
and eligible for this game, another plus. Colorado?s offense is
led by Cody Hawkins, the son of the coach. He has also had an
up and down season, but ended with two solid performances
in the Buffaloes? last two games. In fact, Colorado scored 93
points in those two contests. Choosing the winner of this game
is tough, it will likely be decided late in the game, but both sides
should light up the scoreboard and push it easily Over the total.

 

[GIANTS007]

Jon Campbell FROM COVERS (6-8 bowl record )

PetroSun Independence Bowl
Colorado vs. Alabama (-3 ?, 51)
Bama has only covered one spread in its last 10 games. That?s bad. I?m still not sure about this one though. It depends on which Tide team shows up ? the one that whipped Tennessee 41-17 or the one that lost to Louisiana-Munroe 21-14. I?ll roll the dice and say the former.
Pick: Alabama -3 ?

 

[GIANTS007]

Kodiak

10 units

Alabama -3 -120


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

15unit:
Miami under 45
ST. Louis over 48
Dallas +9

10unit:
Jax +7 -120
Stl +6
Philly over 38


CFB:
15unit:
Bama -3.5
Bama over 51

 

[GIANTS007]

the lock line

Sunday, December 30, 2007

NCAAF
Alabama

 

[GIANTS007]

VSS

NCAA Independence Bowl (Sunday) Top 6% #449 COLORADO BUFFALOES +4/-115 over Alabama Crimson Tide

 

[GIANTS007]

Phenom

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phenom (18-13-1)

Philly
Seattle
Seattle/Atlanta OVER
St. Louis
Kansas City