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NCAAB: Xavier Musketeers at Rhode Island Rams - Rhode Island +1 (Heavy Hitter) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 2/18/2008
Note: This line opened at 2.5 and is actually now Pick at at least 1 book. Apparently, I am not the only one seeing value on this play. The Rams have been unbeatable here at home and they have only had a couple of scares along the way. They have done it with much better D here than on the road and with great shooting skills as well. The Musketeers are more than likely going to be without Drew Lavender who suffered an ankle injury in the UNCC contest on 2/13 and his skills will be missed tonight. Lavender not only scores about 12 per game, he plays very good Defense, with 31 steals this year. His absense along the perimiter is going to give the Rams extra good opps from outside, where they already perform very well. Xavier does have a very good bench so this is not the primary reason to play the home team. What is, is the way that Rhode Island plays here at home and how Xavier plays on the road. While the Musketeers have a 5-3 overall record away from their homecourt, they have had some scares while traveling with close wins verses much lessor squads. A 2 point win at UNCC and St Joe, a close win verses GW on an 11.5 spot, and an outright loss at Temple. Our team is coming off an OT loss to Temple and at 6-4 in the conference, this is a huge game. They will bring the A Team tonight and they usually do here in Kingston. This betting line is moving quickly so don't wait to get the Rams, get them now.
NCAAB: Gonzaga Bulldogs at San Diego Toreros - San Diego +7.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/18/2008
Note: The Betting Market has pushed this posted line clean out of comprehension with the Bulldogs playing the best they have all year. The other reason why we have what I consider to be a much higher betting line here tonight in San Diego is the fact that the Toreros have been unable to beat the visitors in their last 12 tries. Most recently a 10 point loss on the road about a month ago. But since that game, they have rattled off 7 straight victories and they have done it in fine fashion with 4 of those coming away from their homecourt. That has put them in a situation tonight where if they win, they will assume the conference lead. That is double motivation for the home squad and you can rest assure, this will be the toughest ticket in California tonight. San Diego was dissatisfied with its performance against the Dons. "We played well for different parts of the game, but we've got to put it together for 40 minutes," forward Gyno Pomare told the San Diego Union Tribune. "No disrespect to that team, but we should have beat them by more." They did follow that up with a solid performance at home to Portland and this team is on the threshold of greatness. They do play very good D here at SD and they have been playing good D during this longest winning streak in this conference. They've got good guard play, a good big man and a good bench. While being considered the "Surprise Team" this year, there is reason to believe that it is not a surprise at all. They certainly showed me a lot in the first meeting this year, dropping down in the score by as much as 20, trailing by 17 at half, and fighting back to make it a game. I don't think that happens tonight and a close, fierce battle is going to be ontap. I will grab the 7.5 points.