SERVICE PLAYS FOR SAT. 2/23
- Thread starter GIANTS007
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Strike Point Sports
Saturday's College Basketball Plays
5-Unit Play. #826 Take Northern Arizona -2.5 over Wichita State (2 pm)
This one's a Bracket Buster mismatch. NAU has been a tough out at home this season, while the Shockers are a miserable 2-8 on the road. Wichita State has dropped three in a row and eight of their last ten, and their last five on the road. This one goes to the Lumberjacks by double digits.
5-Unit Play. #855 Take Miami (OH) +1 over Valparaiso (6 pm)
Coming into the season, the Redhawks were one of the top mid-major teams to watch. And while they have struggled to a degree, they are still a strong team, and back on the big stage for Bracket Buster Saturday they will bring their 'A' game and impress with a victory. Valpo is on the decline, losers of seven of its last ten, while going 1-7-2 ATS in those games. Miami Ohio has gone 9-4 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games, and have also covered its last four road games. Behind Michael Bramos and Tim Pollitz, it will be the Redhawks that come through on the road.
5-Unit Play. #867 Take Tennessee Martin +3 over Elon (7 pm)
The wrong team is favored here, and the Skyhawks of UTM will prove that with an outright victory over the Phoenix. Tennessee Martin has won five straight and have been one of the best college money makers this year at 16-8-1 ATS. They boast the nation's leading scorer in Lester Hudson, and this kid is a hidden gems among college offensive weapons. He and his team like to get up and down the court and attack from three point range. They are the stronger team, and its the Skyhawks that take this Bracket Buster match-up.
7-Unit Game of the Month Play. #805 Take Tennessee +6 over Memphis (9 pm)
Quite possibly the game of the year in college hoops, but it will be #2 Tennessee that take this Volunteer state match-up. Under Bruce Pearl, UT has been extremely successful in big games. They are 16-6 ATS when receiving points, including an impressive 9-1 when facing superior competition of .770 or better. Tennessee ranks No. 1 in assists in the country, No. 2 in steals and No. 5 in three-point field goal percentage allowed. The Volunteers will win the three's and the free throw battle. Tennessee is deeper and a more dangerious team, and getting points certainly gives them a lot of value. I love their ability to score from six to eight different players. Chris Lofton is playing as well as he has this season, while JaJuan, Tyler and Ramar Smith are a very strong trio just the same. Here, it will be Tennessee that wins this game and takes over as the nation's top team
Saturday's College Basketball Plays
5-Unit Play. #826 Take Northern Arizona -2.5 over Wichita State (2 pm)
This one's a Bracket Buster mismatch. NAU has been a tough out at home this season, while the Shockers are a miserable 2-8 on the road. Wichita State has dropped three in a row and eight of their last ten, and their last five on the road. This one goes to the Lumberjacks by double digits.
5-Unit Play. #855 Take Miami (OH) +1 over Valparaiso (6 pm)
Coming into the season, the Redhawks were one of the top mid-major teams to watch. And while they have struggled to a degree, they are still a strong team, and back on the big stage for Bracket Buster Saturday they will bring their 'A' game and impress with a victory. Valpo is on the decline, losers of seven of its last ten, while going 1-7-2 ATS in those games. Miami Ohio has gone 9-4 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games, and have also covered its last four road games. Behind Michael Bramos and Tim Pollitz, it will be the Redhawks that come through on the road.
5-Unit Play. #867 Take Tennessee Martin +3 over Elon (7 pm)
The wrong team is favored here, and the Skyhawks of UTM will prove that with an outright victory over the Phoenix. Tennessee Martin has won five straight and have been one of the best college money makers this year at 16-8-1 ATS. They boast the nation's leading scorer in Lester Hudson, and this kid is a hidden gems among college offensive weapons. He and his team like to get up and down the court and attack from three point range. They are the stronger team, and its the Skyhawks that take this Bracket Buster match-up.
7-Unit Game of the Month Play. #805 Take Tennessee +6 over Memphis (9 pm)
Quite possibly the game of the year in college hoops, but it will be #2 Tennessee that take this Volunteer state match-up. Under Bruce Pearl, UT has been extremely successful in big games. They are 16-6 ATS when receiving points, including an impressive 9-1 when facing superior competition of .770 or better. Tennessee ranks No. 1 in assists in the country, No. 2 in steals and No. 5 in three-point field goal percentage allowed. The Volunteers will win the three's and the free throw battle. Tennessee is deeper and a more dangerious team, and getting points certainly gives them a lot of value. I love their ability to score from six to eight different players. Chris Lofton is playing as well as he has this season, while JaJuan, Tyler and Ramar Smith are a very strong trio just the same. Here, it will be Tennessee that wins this game and takes over as the nation's top team
gametime sports
10-arkansas
10-tex a-m
5-memphis u
5nova
5-weber st
4-colo.st
Panhandle Sports
3* Lakers
2* NO & Mil
Professional Plays
3* Ohio
2* Okl
Smart Money
BET #751 NEBRASKA (best line: +11 at bodog).
10-arkansas
10-tex a-m
5-memphis u
5nova
5-weber st
4-colo.st
Panhandle Sports
3* Lakers
2* NO & Mil
Professional Plays
3* Ohio
2* Okl
Smart Money
BET #751 NEBRASKA (best line: +11 at bodog).
VSS
NBA/NCAA BASKETBALL SATURDAY FEBRUARY 23RD, 2008:
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #725 GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS +5/-120 over Virginia Tech
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #734 GEORGE WASHINGTON COLONIALS -2/-115 over Richmond Spiders
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #736 KENTUCKY WILDCATS -2/-115 over Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #749 MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS -2/-115 over South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #755 UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -5/-120 over Wyoming Cowboys
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #757 ARIZONA STATE/WASHINGTON GAME TOTAL UNDER 134/-120
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #768 NC CHARLOTTE 49'ERS -6/-115 over St Louis Billikens
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #802 TROY STATE TROJANS -2/-115 over Florida International
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #806 MEMPHIS TIGERS -5/-115 over Tennessee Vols
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #820 OHIO BOBCATS -1/-120 over George Mason Patriots
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #854 BUTLER BULLDOGS -5/-115 over Drake Bulldogs
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #862 NC WILMINGTON SEAHAWKS -7/-115 over Vermont Catamounts
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #870 MURRAY STATE RACERS -1/-120 over Indiana State Sycamores
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #878 AUSTIN PEAY GOVENORS -2/-115 over Georgia Southern Eagles
NBA/NCAA BASKETBALL SATURDAY FEBRUARY 23RD, 2008:
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #725 GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS +5/-120 over Virginia Tech
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #734 GEORGE WASHINGTON COLONIALS -2/-115 over Richmond Spiders
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #736 KENTUCKY WILDCATS -2/-115 over Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #749 MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS -2/-115 over South Carolina Gamecocks
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #755 UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -5/-120 over Wyoming Cowboys
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #757 ARIZONA STATE/WASHINGTON GAME TOTAL UNDER 134/-120
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #768 NC CHARLOTTE 49'ERS -6/-115 over St Louis Billikens
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #802 TROY STATE TROJANS -2/-115 over Florida International
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #806 MEMPHIS TIGERS -5/-115 over Tennessee Vols
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #820 OHIO BOBCATS -1/-120 over George Mason Patriots
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #854 BUTLER BULLDOGS -5/-115 over Drake Bulldogs
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #862 NC WILMINGTON SEAHAWKS -7/-115 over Vermont Catamounts
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #870 MURRAY STATE RACERS -1/-120 over Indiana State Sycamores
NCAA Top Rated Play 6% #878 AUSTIN PEAY GOVENORS -2/-115 over Georgia Southern Eagles
Nationwide
Maryland
Kentucky
Michigan
Moorehead St
Chris James Sports (+5.8 Units Yesterday)
3* Oregon St
2* Memphis U
1* George Washington
1* Kentucky
Billy Hill
12* Spurs
12* Denver
12* 76ers
11.5* Clippers
Maryland
Kentucky
Michigan
Moorehead St
Chris James Sports (+5.8 Units Yesterday)
3* Oregon St
2* Memphis U
1* George Washington
1* Kentucky
Billy Hill
12* Spurs
12* Denver
12* 76ers
11.5* Clippers
Marc Lawrence
Triple Dime Play Underdog game of the year
757 Ariz. St 4.0 vs 758 Washington
Analysis: Play On: Arizona State
Note: The Sun Devils close out their trip through the Apple State with a visit to Washington with purpose and revenge on their minds today. The purpose is the fact that they are sitting on the NCAA Tournament bubble at 16-9 this season following Thursday night's 59-47 loss at Washington State, a game in which they were outscored 14-4 down the stretch. The revenge is from an 11-point home loss as five-point home favorites earlier this season. Inside this series ASU is 5-1 ATS hen playing off back-to-back losses, including 4-0 as a dog. In conference play, the Sun Devils are 7-0 ATS taking points off back-to-bacl losses when seeking same season revenge. On the flip side, the Huskies enter off a same season revenge win over Arizona (0-5-1 ATS in games after the Wildcats) with a same season revenger up next at Stanford (0-6-1 ATS before the Cardinal against an opponent off a loss). That makes this a perfect revenge sandwich. The clincher, though, is an Awesome Angle from our powerful database that tells us to: Play On any college road dog with same season revenge of 5 or more points off back-to-back losses versus an opponent off a same season revenge win that has a same season revenge game on deck. These road dogs are 14-1 ATS since 1990, including 12-0 if they allowed less than 90 points in its last game. Grab the points as we make Arizona State our College Basketball Underdog Game of the Year.
Double Dime Bet
794 Baylor -2.0 vs 793 Kansas St.
Analysis: Play On: Baylor
Note: The Bears return to their den looking to snap a four game losing skein when they host Kansas State in a key Big 12 battle in Waco. As a result of the four losses, Baylor suddenly finds itself in a logjam at 5-6 in the conference standings as no less than eight teams are within two games of one another, ranging from 4th to 11th place in the standings. Thus this game is huge for the Bears as far as conference tourney seeding is concerned. Inside the series we find Baylor is 8-1 ATS against Kansas State as a dog or favorite of two or less points. A Super System tells us to: Play On any .630 or better home team off three losses in its last three games if they lost their last game by one-point exact. Teams in this role are 17-3 SU & 10-5-1 ATS since 1990, including 5-0 ATS if they have revenge. That, coupled with KSU's 4-40 SU conference road record against .666 or better opposition, finds us at home with the Bears here tonight.
Triple Dime Play Underdog game of the year
757 Ariz. St 4.0 vs 758 Washington
Analysis: Play On: Arizona State
Note: The Sun Devils close out their trip through the Apple State with a visit to Washington with purpose and revenge on their minds today. The purpose is the fact that they are sitting on the NCAA Tournament bubble at 16-9 this season following Thursday night's 59-47 loss at Washington State, a game in which they were outscored 14-4 down the stretch. The revenge is from an 11-point home loss as five-point home favorites earlier this season. Inside this series ASU is 5-1 ATS hen playing off back-to-back losses, including 4-0 as a dog. In conference play, the Sun Devils are 7-0 ATS taking points off back-to-bacl losses when seeking same season revenge. On the flip side, the Huskies enter off a same season revenge win over Arizona (0-5-1 ATS in games after the Wildcats) with a same season revenger up next at Stanford (0-6-1 ATS before the Cardinal against an opponent off a loss). That makes this a perfect revenge sandwich. The clincher, though, is an Awesome Angle from our powerful database that tells us to: Play On any college road dog with same season revenge of 5 or more points off back-to-back losses versus an opponent off a same season revenge win that has a same season revenge game on deck. These road dogs are 14-1 ATS since 1990, including 12-0 if they allowed less than 90 points in its last game. Grab the points as we make Arizona State our College Basketball Underdog Game of the Year.
Double Dime Bet
794 Baylor -2.0 vs 793 Kansas St.
Analysis: Play On: Baylor
Note: The Bears return to their den looking to snap a four game losing skein when they host Kansas State in a key Big 12 battle in Waco. As a result of the four losses, Baylor suddenly finds itself in a logjam at 5-6 in the conference standings as no less than eight teams are within two games of one another, ranging from 4th to 11th place in the standings. Thus this game is huge for the Bears as far as conference tourney seeding is concerned. Inside the series we find Baylor is 8-1 ATS against Kansas State as a dog or favorite of two or less points. A Super System tells us to: Play On any .630 or better home team off three losses in its last three games if they lost their last game by one-point exact. Teams in this role are 17-3 SU & 10-5-1 ATS since 1990, including 5-0 ATS if they have revenge. That, coupled with KSU's 4-40 SU conference road record against .666 or better opposition, finds us at home with the Bears here tonight.
Gameday Sports Network
Saturday's Picks - 2/23/08
CBB Creighton @ Oral Roberts 3:00 EST
50* Creighton +1.5
CBB Nevada @ So Illinois 4:30 PM EST
40* Nevada +7
NBA New Orleans @ San Antonio 8:35 PM EST
40* San Antonio -6.5
NBA LA Lakers @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM EST
40* LA Lakers -10
CBB Cal Santa Barbara @ Utah St 9:00 PM EST
40* Cal Santa Barbara +4
Saturday's Picks - 2/23/08
CBB Creighton @ Oral Roberts 3:00 EST
50* Creighton +1.5
CBB Nevada @ So Illinois 4:30 PM EST
40* Nevada +7
NBA New Orleans @ San Antonio 8:35 PM EST
40* San Antonio -6.5
NBA LA Lakers @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM EST
40* LA Lakers -10
CBB Cal Santa Barbara @ Utah St 9:00 PM EST
40* Cal Santa Barbara +4
- Nov 28, 2007
- 8,587
- 18
- 0
Dominic Brando Sports 2007-08 NBA/NCAA Basketball (71-51-7 for +1,150.00 Units):
NBA 2-3-0 for -150.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 2-3, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA 69-48-7 for +1,300.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 69-48-7, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
Saturday NBA/NCAA Basketball Executive Report (February 23rd, 2008):
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #755 UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -5/-120 over Wyoming Cowboys
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #854 BUTLER BULLDOGS -5/-115 over Drake Bulldogs
NBA 2-3-0 for -150.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 2-3, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA 69-48-7 for +1,300.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 69-48-7, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
Saturday NBA/NCAA Basketball Executive Report (February 23rd, 2008):
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #755 UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -5/-120 over Wyoming Cowboys
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #854 BUTLER BULLDOGS -5/-115 over Drake Bulldogs
BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
Game: Wis-Milwaukee vs. Bradley Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Wis-Milwaukee Reason: I'm taking the points with WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE. I played on Bradley in their last game and the Braves scored an emotional upset win at Drake. However, this is a difficult spot to be laying this many points. Off back to back big conference wins, the Braves also have a big "revenge" game vs. Southern Illinois on deck. Yes, the Braves have been winning recently. However, they've also gotten used to playing very close games. The one-point win at Drake marked the sixth time in 12 games that the Braves saw a final score decided by four points or less. Note that the Braves have only been favored by in the -8 to -12 range once in 2008. That game came on 1/19. Laying -9 vs. Evansville, they won by only a single point. Conversely, the Panthers have been underogs in the +8 to +12 range twice since Christmas and they won both those game outright. On 12/29, getting a dozen points, they won at Wyoming. Then, on 1/10, listed as +10 underdogs at Valparaiso, the Panthers again won outright. Dating back to that win over Wyoming, the Panthers have gone 10-5 in 15 games. Only one of those 15 games resulted in a loss of greater than 10 points and that came at Butler more than a month ago. Catching the Braves in a tough scheduling situation and playing without their third leading scorer (Andrew Warren broke his hand vs. Creighton and he averages 13.1 points per game) look for this evening's game to be closer than expected once again.
MEMPHIS
Game: Tennessee vs. Memphis Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Memphis Reason: I'm laying the points with MEMPHIS. The Volunteers and Tigers are ranked #1 and #2 in the country so it goes without saying that they're both very talented teams. They've got some similarites too. Both teams are deep, both are well-coached and both love to run up and down the floor. While the Volunteers would love to hand the Tigers their first loss, I feel that Memphis' homecourt advantage will be too much to overcome. This game is absolutely huge in Memphis and tickets have been going for a fortune. The FedExForum crowd will surely be extremely fired up and that will provide both energy and confidence to the Tigers, who have won 47 straight here. Make no mistake, these teams don't like each other. The coaches don't like each other and neither do the players. In addition to having homecourt in their favor, the Tigers will have some additional motivation. For starters, a lot of people still doubt them and say that their perfect record has been padded by beating up on weak teams. The Tigers are sick of hearing that and a convincing win today will go a long way in putting that topic to rest once and for all. For the record, Memphis beat UConn, Georgetown and Arizona ALL by double-digits while knocking off Gonzaga by "only" eight. Additionally, the Tigers will have major payback on their minds, as the Vols handed them their most embarrassing loss of the season last year. Coach Calipari didn't look at the tape from that game for a full year but he pulled it out this past week. As Calipari says: "This is an ego thing." Look for the Tigers to have their revenge, remain perfect on the season and improve to 6-1 ATS the last seven times they were favored by eight points or less. *Non-Conf. GOY
VILLANOVA
Game: Connecticut vs. Villanova Game Time: 2/23/2008 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Villanova Reason: I'm playing on VILLANOVA. The Huskies have been on quite a roll and have earned some impressive victories during their winning streak. They've shown signs of slowing down lately though and I feel that they're ready to see that streak come to an end this afternoon. I played on the Huskies three games ago. That turned out to be a winner as they knocked off Notre Dame by six points. However, I felt rather fortunate to get that win as they were challenged the entire way. That was at home though. In their next game, the Huskies went on the road and just barely defeated South Florida, Most recently, the Huskies had real trouble with Depaul, eventually winning by only five as double-digit home favorites. Villanova represents a step up from either Depaul or South Florida and the Wildcats are starting to play their best basketball. After suffering through a tough stretch through late January and early February, the Wildcats have started playing much better the past few weeks. Four games ago, they snapped their losing streak by defeating Seton Hall. They followed that up by losing by only two on a controversial call at #8 Georgetown, a venue where UConn also lost. The Wildcats followed up that easy cover by winning by 18 points at St Johns. Most recently, they crushed West Virginia here by 22 points. Note that West Virginia won by 17 when it played at South Florida, the team which gave UConn so much trouble in its last road game. Despite earning a couple of "covers" as underdogs in their recent win streak, the Huskies remain an ugly 3-11 ATS (2-12 SU) the last 14 times they were listed as underdogs, including a 1-3 ATS mark the last four times they were underdogs of four points or less. The Wildcats won at UConn last season. They also won 69-64 the last time the teams met in Philadelphia. They've gone 23-7 the last 30 times that they were coming off a game which saw them allow 60 points or less and I look for them to continue their strong recent play this afternoon. *Big East GOM
UNDER washington state/arizona
Game: Arizona vs. Washington St. Game Time: 2/23/2008 10:00:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Arizona and Washington State to finish UNDER the number. These teams played a high-scoring game when they faced each other at Arizona. That's no surprise really though. Washington State's road games have been higher-scoring than it's home games while Arizona has played higher-scoring games at home. Playing on their homecourt allows the Wildcats to more effectively dictate the tempo, which they'd like to speed up. Arizona's last two opponents provide a good example. Last time out, the Wildcats played at Washington. The teams combined for 141 points and the game stayed below the number. However, when the teams had met at Arizona previously, they finished "over" the total with 153 points. Prior to facing the Huskies, the Wildcats hosted Stanford. That game finished with 133 points, sneaking above the number. However, when the same teams met at Stanford, the Cardinal were able to dictate the pace and the teams combined for a mere 108 points. Like Stanford, the Cougars have an excellent defense. Indeed, last time out they held Arizona State to just 47 points, marking the fourth straight opponent to finish with 57 or less. Previously, they went into Oregon and held the Ducks to only 53. Both those games fell below the number. For the season, the Cougars are allowing just 51.9 points per game here with those games averaging less than 120 combined points. The Cougars, who lost the earlier meeting at Arizona, have seen the UNDER go 12-8 the past three seasons when attempting to avenge a road loss. During that time, the UNDER was also a perfect 3-0 when they were listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Despite Washington State's tendency to play lower-scoring games at home and Arizona's tendency to play lower-scoring games on the road, tonight's total is even slightly higher than it was for the earlier meeting. I feel that provides us with excellent value. Look for the Cougars to slow things down, play their usual excellent defense, and for the final combined score to fall beneath the generous number. *Blue Chip
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
Game: Wis-Milwaukee vs. Bradley Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Wis-Milwaukee Reason: I'm taking the points with WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE. I played on Bradley in their last game and the Braves scored an emotional upset win at Drake. However, this is a difficult spot to be laying this many points. Off back to back big conference wins, the Braves also have a big "revenge" game vs. Southern Illinois on deck. Yes, the Braves have been winning recently. However, they've also gotten used to playing very close games. The one-point win at Drake marked the sixth time in 12 games that the Braves saw a final score decided by four points or less. Note that the Braves have only been favored by in the -8 to -12 range once in 2008. That game came on 1/19. Laying -9 vs. Evansville, they won by only a single point. Conversely, the Panthers have been underogs in the +8 to +12 range twice since Christmas and they won both those game outright. On 12/29, getting a dozen points, they won at Wyoming. Then, on 1/10, listed as +10 underdogs at Valparaiso, the Panthers again won outright. Dating back to that win over Wyoming, the Panthers have gone 10-5 in 15 games. Only one of those 15 games resulted in a loss of greater than 10 points and that came at Butler more than a month ago. Catching the Braves in a tough scheduling situation and playing without their third leading scorer (Andrew Warren broke his hand vs. Creighton and he averages 13.1 points per game) look for this evening's game to be closer than expected once again.
MEMPHIS
Game: Tennessee vs. Memphis Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Memphis Reason: I'm laying the points with MEMPHIS. The Volunteers and Tigers are ranked #1 and #2 in the country so it goes without saying that they're both very talented teams. They've got some similarites too. Both teams are deep, both are well-coached and both love to run up and down the floor. While the Volunteers would love to hand the Tigers their first loss, I feel that Memphis' homecourt advantage will be too much to overcome. This game is absolutely huge in Memphis and tickets have been going for a fortune. The FedExForum crowd will surely be extremely fired up and that will provide both energy and confidence to the Tigers, who have won 47 straight here. Make no mistake, these teams don't like each other. The coaches don't like each other and neither do the players. In addition to having homecourt in their favor, the Tigers will have some additional motivation. For starters, a lot of people still doubt them and say that their perfect record has been padded by beating up on weak teams. The Tigers are sick of hearing that and a convincing win today will go a long way in putting that topic to rest once and for all. For the record, Memphis beat UConn, Georgetown and Arizona ALL by double-digits while knocking off Gonzaga by "only" eight. Additionally, the Tigers will have major payback on their minds, as the Vols handed them their most embarrassing loss of the season last year. Coach Calipari didn't look at the tape from that game for a full year but he pulled it out this past week. As Calipari says: "This is an ego thing." Look for the Tigers to have their revenge, remain perfect on the season and improve to 6-1 ATS the last seven times they were favored by eight points or less. *Non-Conf. GOY
VILLANOVA
Game: Connecticut vs. Villanova Game Time: 2/23/2008 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Villanova Reason: I'm playing on VILLANOVA. The Huskies have been on quite a roll and have earned some impressive victories during their winning streak. They've shown signs of slowing down lately though and I feel that they're ready to see that streak come to an end this afternoon. I played on the Huskies three games ago. That turned out to be a winner as they knocked off Notre Dame by six points. However, I felt rather fortunate to get that win as they were challenged the entire way. That was at home though. In their next game, the Huskies went on the road and just barely defeated South Florida, Most recently, the Huskies had real trouble with Depaul, eventually winning by only five as double-digit home favorites. Villanova represents a step up from either Depaul or South Florida and the Wildcats are starting to play their best basketball. After suffering through a tough stretch through late January and early February, the Wildcats have started playing much better the past few weeks. Four games ago, they snapped their losing streak by defeating Seton Hall. They followed that up by losing by only two on a controversial call at #8 Georgetown, a venue where UConn also lost. The Wildcats followed up that easy cover by winning by 18 points at St Johns. Most recently, they crushed West Virginia here by 22 points. Note that West Virginia won by 17 when it played at South Florida, the team which gave UConn so much trouble in its last road game. Despite earning a couple of "covers" as underdogs in their recent win streak, the Huskies remain an ugly 3-11 ATS (2-12 SU) the last 14 times they were listed as underdogs, including a 1-3 ATS mark the last four times they were underdogs of four points or less. The Wildcats won at UConn last season. They also won 69-64 the last time the teams met in Philadelphia. They've gone 23-7 the last 30 times that they were coming off a game which saw them allow 60 points or less and I look for them to continue their strong recent play this afternoon. *Big East GOM
UNDER washington state/arizona
Game: Arizona vs. Washington St. Game Time: 2/23/2008 10:00:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Arizona and Washington State to finish UNDER the number. These teams played a high-scoring game when they faced each other at Arizona. That's no surprise really though. Washington State's road games have been higher-scoring than it's home games while Arizona has played higher-scoring games at home. Playing on their homecourt allows the Wildcats to more effectively dictate the tempo, which they'd like to speed up. Arizona's last two opponents provide a good example. Last time out, the Wildcats played at Washington. The teams combined for 141 points and the game stayed below the number. However, when the teams had met at Arizona previously, they finished "over" the total with 153 points. Prior to facing the Huskies, the Wildcats hosted Stanford. That game finished with 133 points, sneaking above the number. However, when the same teams met at Stanford, the Cardinal were able to dictate the pace and the teams combined for a mere 108 points. Like Stanford, the Cougars have an excellent defense. Indeed, last time out they held Arizona State to just 47 points, marking the fourth straight opponent to finish with 57 or less. Previously, they went into Oregon and held the Ducks to only 53. Both those games fell below the number. For the season, the Cougars are allowing just 51.9 points per game here with those games averaging less than 120 combined points. The Cougars, who lost the earlier meeting at Arizona, have seen the UNDER go 12-8 the past three seasons when attempting to avenge a road loss. During that time, the UNDER was also a perfect 3-0 when they were listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Despite Washington State's tendency to play lower-scoring games at home and Arizona's tendency to play lower-scoring games on the road, tonight's total is even slightly higher than it was for the earlier meeting. I feel that provides us with excellent value. Look for the Cougars to slow things down, play their usual excellent defense, and for the final combined score to fall beneath the generous number. *Blue Chip
Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? VCU at Akron (11 a.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #881 Hawaii (-3) over UC-Riverside (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #869 Indiana State (+3) over Murray State (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #741 Oregon (+14) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #828 James Madison (-6) over Morehead State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #885 Evansville (-2.5) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #805 Tennessee (+6) over Memphis (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #794 Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #876 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+2) over Western Michigan (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #900 Fresno State (-8.5) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #813 BYU (-3) over San Diego State (11 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #881 Hawaii (-3) over UC-Riverside (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #869 Indiana State (+3) over Murray State (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #741 Oregon (+14) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #828 James Madison (-6) over Morehead State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #885 Evansville (-2.5) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #805 Tennessee (+6) over Memphis (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #794 Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #876 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+2) over Western Michigan (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #900 Fresno State (-8.5) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #813 BYU (-3) over San Diego State (11 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? VCU at Akron (11 a.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #881 Hawaii (-3) over UC-Riverside (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #869 Indiana State (+3) over Murray State (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #741 Oregon (+14) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #828 James Madison (-6) over Morehead State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #885 Evansville (-2.5) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #805 Tennessee (+6) over Memphis (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #794 Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #876 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+2) over Western Michigan (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #900 Fresno State (-8.5) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #813 BYU (-3) over San Diego State (11 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #881 Hawaii (-3) over UC-Riverside (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #869 Indiana State (+3) over Murray State (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #741 Oregon (+14) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #828 James Madison (-6) over Morehead State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #885 Evansville (-2.5) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #805 Tennessee (+6) over Memphis (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
2-Unit Play. Take #794 Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #876 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+2) over Western Michigan (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #900 Fresno State (-8.5) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
3-Unit Play. Take #813 BYU (-3) over San Diego State (11 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)
