SERVICE PLAYS FOR SAT. 2/23

the duke

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Russ Culver Part I

717) Cincinnati +14
736) Kentucky -2
820) Ohio -2





Preferred Picks


4 Arizona State
3 Maryland
3 Baylor
 

the duke

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Ethan Law FULL CARD


Syndicate play

$60,000 RELEASE, HIGHEST PLAY OF THE YEAR

OKLAHOMA


1* Butler
1* Ill. Chicago
2* Oregon State
 

GIANTS007

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COLLEGE BASKETBALL


WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
Game: Wis-Milwaukee vs. Bradley Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Wis-Milwaukee Reason: I'm taking the points with WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE. I played on Bradley in their last game and the Braves scored an emotional upset win at Drake. However, this is a difficult spot to be laying this many points. Off back to back big conference wins, the Braves also have a big "revenge" game vs. Southern Illinois on deck. Yes, the Braves have been winning recently. However, they've also gotten used to playing very close games. The one-point win at Drake marked the sixth time in 12 games that the Braves saw a final score decided by four points or less. Note that the Braves have only been favored by in the -8 to -12 range once in 2008. That game came on 1/19. Laying -9 vs. Evansville, they won by only a single point. Conversely, the Panthers have been underogs in the +8 to +12 range twice since Christmas and they won both those game outright. On 12/29, getting a dozen points, they won at Wyoming. Then, on 1/10, listed as +10 underdogs at Valparaiso, the Panthers again won outright. Dating back to that win over Wyoming, the Panthers have gone 10-5 in 15 games. Only one of those 15 games resulted in a loss of greater than 10 points and that came at Butler more than a month ago. Catching the Braves in a tough scheduling situation and playing without their third leading scorer (Andrew Warren broke his hand vs. Creighton and he averages 13.1 points per game) look for this evening's game to be closer than expected once again.

MEMPHIS
Game: Tennessee vs. Memphis Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Memphis Reason: I'm laying the points with MEMPHIS. The Volunteers and Tigers are ranked #1 and #2 in the country so it goes without saying that they're both very talented teams. They've got some similarites too. Both teams are deep, both are well-coached and both love to run up and down the floor. While the Volunteers would love to hand the Tigers their first loss, I feel that Memphis' homecourt advantage will be too much to overcome. This game is absolutely huge in Memphis and tickets have been going for a fortune. The FedExForum crowd will surely be extremely fired up and that will provide both energy and confidence to the Tigers, who have won 47 straight here. Make no mistake, these teams don't like each other. The coaches don't like each other and neither do the players. In addition to having homecourt in their favor, the Tigers will have some additional motivation. For starters, a lot of people still doubt them and say that their perfect record has been padded by beating up on weak teams. The Tigers are sick of hearing that and a convincing win today will go a long way in putting that topic to rest once and for all. For the record, Memphis beat UConn, Georgetown and Arizona ALL by double-digits while knocking off Gonzaga by "only" eight. Additionally, the Tigers will have major payback on their minds, as the Vols handed them their most embarrassing loss of the season last year. Coach Calipari didn't look at the tape from that game for a full year but he pulled it out this past week. As Calipari says: "This is an ego thing." Look for the Tigers to have their revenge, remain perfect on the season and improve to 6-1 ATS the last seven times they were favored by eight points or less. *Non-Conf. GOY

VILLANOVA
Game: Connecticut vs. Villanova Game Time: 2/23/2008 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Villanova Reason: I'm playing on VILLANOVA. The Huskies have been on quite a roll and have earned some impressive victories during their winning streak. They've shown signs of slowing down lately though and I feel that they're ready to see that streak come to an end this afternoon. I played on the Huskies three games ago. That turned out to be a winner as they knocked off Notre Dame by six points. However, I felt rather fortunate to get that win as they were challenged the entire way. That was at home though. In their next game, the Huskies went on the road and just barely defeated South Florida, Most recently, the Huskies had real trouble with Depaul, eventually winning by only five as double-digit home favorites. Villanova represents a step up from either Depaul or South Florida and the Wildcats are starting to play their best basketball. After suffering through a tough stretch through late January and early February, the Wildcats have started playing much better the past few weeks. Four games ago, they snapped their losing streak by defeating Seton Hall. They followed that up by losing by only two on a controversial call at #8 Georgetown, a venue where UConn also lost. The Wildcats followed up that easy cover by winning by 18 points at St Johns. Most recently, they crushed West Virginia here by 22 points. Note that West Virginia won by 17 when it played at South Florida, the team which gave UConn so much trouble in its last road game. Despite earning a couple of "covers" as underdogs in their recent win streak, the Huskies remain an ugly 3-11 ATS (2-12 SU) the last 14 times they were listed as underdogs, including a 1-3 ATS mark the last four times they were underdogs of four points or less. The Wildcats won at UConn last season. They also won 69-64 the last time the teams met in Philadelphia. They've gone 23-7 the last 30 times that they were coming off a game which saw them allow 60 points or less and I look for them to continue their strong recent play this afternoon. *Big East GOM

UNDER washington state/arizona
Game: Arizona vs. Washington St. Game Time: 2/23/2008 10:00:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Arizona and Washington State to finish UNDER the number. These teams played a high-scoring game when they faced each other at Arizona. That's no surprise really though. Washington State's road games have been higher-scoring than it's home games while Arizona has played higher-scoring games at home. Playing on their homecourt allows the Wildcats to more effectively dictate the tempo, which they'd like to speed up. Arizona's last two opponents provide a good example. Last time out, the Wildcats played at Washington. The teams combined for 141 points and the game stayed below the number. However, when the teams had met at Arizona previously, they finished "over" the total with 153 points. Prior to facing the Huskies, the Wildcats hosted Stanford. That game finished with 133 points, sneaking above the number. However, when the same teams met at Stanford, the Cardinal were able to dictate the pace and the teams combined for a mere 108 points. Like Stanford, the Cougars have an excellent defense. Indeed, last time out they held Arizona State to just 47 points, marking the fourth straight opponent to finish with 57 or less. Previously, they went into Oregon and held the Ducks to only 53. Both those games fell below the number. For the season, the Cougars are allowing just 51.9 points per game here with those games averaging less than 120 combined points. The Cougars, who lost the earlier meeting at Arizona, have seen the UNDER go 12-8 the past three seasons when attempting to avenge a road loss. During that time, the UNDER was also a perfect 3-0 when they were listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Despite Washington State's tendency to play lower-scoring games at home and Arizona's tendency to play lower-scoring games on the road, tonight's total is even slightly higher than it was for the earlier meeting. I feel that provides us with excellent value. Look for the Cougars to slow things down, play their usual excellent defense, and for the final combined score to fall beneath the generous number. *Blue Chip

BURNS NBA

SPURS
Game: New Orleans Hornets vs. San Antonio Spurs Game Time: 2/23/2008 8:35:00 PM Prediction: San Antonio Spurs Reason: I'm laying the points with SAN ANTONIO. The Hornets were in the midst of a major winning streak when they traveled here last month. They were able to keep that momentum going, blowing out the Spurs in front of the San Antonio faithful. The Spurs, 3-1 SU/ATS the last four times they were attempting to avenge a home loss, are playing better now than they were then though, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS their last four games. Conversely, the Hornets are now coming in off a blowout loss suffered at the hands of the Rockets last night. They'll now be playing their third "Texas team" in the past four days. While the Hornets were busy getting beaten up by the Rockets, the Spurs had last night off. San Antonio got Tony Parker back last game. He'll be gradually working his way back into the lineup but should be stronger with a game under his belt and will boost an already powerful lineup. The Spurs have only played one home game since last month's loss to the Hornets here and they allowed just 65 points, winning by 20. The Spurs know how important this game is. Look for their "big game experience" to make a difference as they avenge the earlier loss in convincing fashion, dropping the Hornets to 19-34 ATS the last 53 times they were listed as road underdogs in the +3 to +6.5 range. *Personal Favorite

UNDER lakers/clippers
Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Los Angeles Clippers Game Time: 2/23/2008 10:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Lakers and Clippers to finish UNDER the number. Everyone saw the Lakers and Suns play an extremely high-scoring game against each other in Shaq's Phoenix debut. That helped cause last night's Suns over/under line to be higher than it should be (game finished below the number by more than 50) and I feel that it's done the same to tonight's Lakers' number. In fact, I looked at 20 meetings between these teams, dating back to 2003, and NONE of them had an over/under line even close to this high. Keep in mind that the Lakers have still seen five of their past nine games stay below the total and that they've also seen the UNDER go 11-8 on the season after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game. Despite playing a high-scoring game last night, the Clippers have still seen the UNDER go 16-11 in their "home" games and 31-21 on the season. That includes a profitable 18-9 mark when matched up against a team which allows 99 or more points per game. Looking back further and we find that the Clippers have seen the UNDER go an extremely healthy 58-34-3 the past three seasons when facing a team which allows 99 or more points per game. The last two times that the Clippers played the second of back to back games (02/02 and 02/09) they managed to score just 80 and 84 points. Both those games stayed below the number and I expect tonight's game to do the same. *Pacific Division TOm
 

the duke

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THESE ARE ONLY 3* OPINIONS FOR HIS PHONE / SEASON PACKAGE GUYS !!!!!


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GIANTS007

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***BIG TICKET (3-PACK OF 20*'s)***
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to1

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still waiting 4 wolkosky. he got spanked yesterday. :scared
 

the duke

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The Killer Move

10* New Orleans/San Antonio UNDER (NBA) - #707
10* Weber State (CBB) - #924
10* Drake (CBB) - #853
 
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