SERVICE PLAYS FOR THUR. 2/21

GradyS.Baby24

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Thursday Free 2 Star Best Bet
**San Antonio (-8) over MINNESOTA

05:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 701
Minnesota is coming off a win over the 76ers and they continue to perform well against bad teams. However, the Timberwolves have not fared well against good teams at home, as they are just 6-14 ATS as a home underdog of more than 3 points and their win over Philly sets Minnesota up in a very negative 108-200-10 ATS home underdog letdown situation (the record is 4-26-1 ATS versus San Antonio). San Antonio has a long history of playing well against bad teams on the road and the Spurs are now 72-35 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or more when they didn't play the previous night. My ratings favor San Antonio by 8 points and I'll take San Antonio in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and for 3-Stars at -7 or less.

Thursday Opinions
DENVER (-3) over Middle Tennessee State

Denver is 9-1 straight up and 9-1 ATS at home this season (7-0 SU and ATS in Conference games) and just 4-8 ATS on the road. That pattern of playing better at home goes back a few years and the Pioneers are 30-11-1 ATS at home the last 4 seasons. A big part of the reason that Denver plays so well at home, especially in conference play, is because all of their conference opponents are from sea level and aren?t used to the thin air at high altitude Denver. Unfortunately, the line moved quickly on this game from -1 ? to -3 points, but I?ll lean with Denver at -3 points or less and I?ll take Denver in a 2- Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.

Oregon State (+27) over UCLA
UCLA applies to a negative 34-84-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation following their win at USC and it may be tough for the Bruins to get up for an Oregon State team that is winless in Pac-10 play. Oregon State is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog this season and my ratings only favor UCLA by 26 ? points. My only issue with this game is that UCLA is 8-3 ATS as a favorite of 20 points or more under coach Ben Howland and 2 of those spread losses came as favorites of more than 32 points (7-1 ATS favored from 20 to 32 points). I still think it will be tough for the Bruins to care that much about this game but I?ll resist making the Beavers a Best Bet. I?ll lean with Oregon at +26 points or more.


Anyone with Akmens today?
 

ROQQIN RIQ

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ROQQIN RIQ'S ROQQIN REVERSE OF THE NIGHT IS HOUSTON ROCKETS - 10.5 AND DENVER U - 3.5 GL :Yep: :Yep:
 

taipans

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Alatex Sports is passing in the NBA on 2/21/08


2/21/08 CBB 15* Superplay: Denver -3 (726)


2/21/08 CBB Arizona +2 (729)


ER--
2/21/08 CBB Playmaker: Denver -3 (726)


ER Sports is passing in the NBA on 2/21/08
 

T OFF

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MCCOMB MS
WINNERS MARGIN

WINNERS MARGIN

NBA ( 12 - 2 ) RUN!

5* ROCKETS


CBB

15* GEORGIA TECH :scared
5* MONTANA ST
 

GradyS.Baby24

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INDIAN COWBOY

Rhode Island -5.5 (POD)

winning 21 of 31 days in January, 2-1 yesterday. I know some of you may have gotten the Cavs/Pacers over at 203, but I have to take a loss on the game given the number that was available in the backend as it is automatic. Thus, some of you may have gone 2-0-1 but, for the records, it will be counted as 2-1.

This is a good opportunity for Rhode Island to pick up a big home win. They come off back to back losses for the first time this year and they look to avoid losing their 3rd straight game in a row after losing what was the largest crowd in school history to watch a game against Xavier where they fell short by a few points. RI lost to Umass by a bucket on the road earlier this year and Umass has shown to struggle on the road at times. RI is frankly not in the greatest of moods and I'm sure the gymnasium will be packed yet again for another big Atlantic 10 conference game and I wouldn't be surprised to see RI win by double-digits here. They started off the game against Xavier very flat so I expect them to come out and have a better start today. Rhode Island beat Dayton by 12 at home - a similar ranked team to Umass - so I would expect a similar game today. Umass is 1-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams and Rhode Island is 4-1-1 ATS against a team with a losing road record.

Duquesne Dukes +10.5

I normally wouldn't take many teams on the road at Xavier, but the Dukes will be an exception. This team comes off a huge let down game at home against Richmond who is a top 150 team and the Dukes are a top 75 team. The Dukes had just won a big game on the road at Dayton and they even won at La Salle by 17 points on the road - La Salle is a top 175 team. This team also had the capacity to lose by just a bucket on the road at Rhode Island as well. I like the fact that the Dukes had a very disappointing game at home as they could have been looking ahead to Xavier. Xavier has won its last 4 games - all conference games by a total of 12 points - so I will take the Dukes here on the bounce-back, Xavier isn't dominating anyone necessarily right now in conference games and although I do think the Dukes lose - Xavier does have revenge from last year's Duquesne win by a bucket - I think they lose within the spread. The Dukes are 8-0 ATS as road underdogs of 8 to 12 points and Xavier has failed to cover their last 4 games as a favorite.

Seattle supersonics +7

A little gutsy of a play call given that the Blazers are coming home after a tough road trip, but I'm sure the Sonics remember their loss to the Blazers in the Rose Garden back on Christmas when the Blazers covered the -7.5 spread and won by 10. The Sonics have gotten a bit better since then and it seems the Blazers with injuries have become a bit stagnant - in fact, if the playoffs were held today, they would not make the playoffs despite their massive winning streak just over a month ago. Although the Sonics were spanked by a sound playing Utah team the other day at home, they did beat Memphis at home and covered yesterday, lost by 4 points to the Suns on the road and if you remember, beat the Kings outright on the road in Arco. The Blazers have lost 5 straight and frankly, I don't believe they deserve this much respect with the line as this is also the biggest public play as well. Who knows, I show a 30% chance that the Sonics could win this game outright. The Sonics have covered their last 7 of 8 games in the Western Conference and the Blazers have missed the cover in their last 6 western conference games.
 

notbadboys

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All In Picks
*20 Miami Heat +10.5

I don't know who these guys are, but they had Lakers ML yesterday as their 100*, so I guess that makes them 16-1 on their 100* releases, but I can only confirm their last 2 picks.
 

taipans

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spritzer--
sun belt gom...................denver
insider............................uri
ko..........................gtech
5 star.........................mich

ko..........................spurs


cokin--
fat man plays........ariz, stlouis over 5.5

slammer....................denver
window....................south bama
under the hat............................weber st
3 star...................................dayton

3 star............................heat


feist--
serial game.........................denver
steam............................ark st
platinum.........................duquesene
inner circle......................mich
5 star...............................gtech

5 star..........................heat over
 

the duke

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INDIAN COWBOY

Rhode Island -5.5 (POD)

winning 21 of 31 days in January, 2-1 yesterday. I know some of you may have gotten the Cavs/Pacers over at 203, but I have to take a loss on the game given the number that was available in the backend as it is automatic. Thus, some of you may have gone 2-0-1 but, for the records, it will be counted as 2-1.

This is a good opportunity for Rhode Island to pick up a big home win. They come off back to back losses for the first time this year and they look to avoid losing their 3rd straight game in a row after losing what was the largest crowd in school history to watch a game against Xavier where they fell short by a few points. RI lost to Umass by a bucket on the road earlier this year and Umass has shown to struggle on the road at times. RI is frankly not in the greatest of moods and I'm sure the gymnasium will be packed yet again for another big Atlantic 10 conference game and I wouldn't be surprised to see RI win by double-digits here. They started off the game against Xavier very flat so I expect them to come out and have a better start today. Rhode Island beat Dayton by 12 at home - a similar ranked team to Umass - so I would expect a similar game today. Umass is 1-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams and Rhode Island is 4-1-1 ATS against a team with a losing road record.

Duquesne Dukes +10.5

I normally wouldn't take many teams on the road at Xavier, but the Dukes will be an exception. This team comes off a huge let down game at home against Richmond who is a top 150 team and the Dukes are a top 75 team. The Dukes had just won a big game on the road at Dayton and they even won at La Salle by 17 points on the road - La Salle is a top 175 team. This team also had the capacity to lose by just a bucket on the road at Rhode Island as well. I like the fact that the Dukes had a very disappointing game at home as they could have been looking ahead to Xavier. Xavier has won its last 4 games - all conference games by a total of 12 points - so I will take the Dukes here on the bounce-back, Xavier isn't dominating anyone necessarily right now in conference games and although I do think the Dukes lose - Xavier does have revenge from last year's Duquesne win by a bucket - I think they lose within the spread. The Dukes are 8-0 ATS as road underdogs of 8 to 12 points and Xavier has failed to cover their last 4 games as a favorite.

Seattle supersonics +7

A little gutsy of a play call given that the Blazers are coming home after a tough road trip, but I'm sure the Sonics remember their loss to the Blazers in the Rose Garden back on Christmas when the Blazers covered the -7.5 spread and won by 10. The Sonics have gotten a bit better since then and it seems the Blazers with injuries have become a bit stagnant - in fact, if the playoffs were held today, they would not make the playoffs despite their massive winning streak just over a month ago. Although the Sonics were spanked by a sound playing Utah team the other day at home, they did beat Memphis at home and covered yesterday, lost by 4 points to the Suns on the road and if you remember, beat the Kings outright on the road in Arco. The Blazers have lost 5 straight and frankly, I don't believe they deserve this much respect with the line as this is also the biggest public play as well. Who knows, I show a 30% chance that the Sonics could win this game outright. The Sonics have covered their last 7 of 8 games in the Western Conference and the Blazers have missed the cover in their last 6 western conference games.



I thought IC was a joke.

Do we feel the same about LVTR?
 

GradyS.Baby24

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)


: SAN ANTONIO vs MINNESOTA


Play: SAN ANTONIO vs MINNESOTA OVER 179 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: SAN ANTONIO vs MINNESOTA OVER 179 (NBA)
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): ARKANSAS STATE vs ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK


Play: ARKANSAS STATE +7
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: ARKANSAS STATE +7
 

MMST

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i thought u said u were not gonna post this bs. :scared

Why don't you like Whale??? I have been tracking him the last month and he has done well.
Thanks for your input.
 

White_tiger

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I thought IC was a joke.

Do we feel the same about LVTR?


He actually got a lot of bad beat lately. I feel sorry for the guy though.
the day before he pick GA +5.5 line up to +6.5 and GA lost by 6
Yesterday he pick Over CLE 204 line down to 203 final 203 he lost again.
 
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