Thursday Free 2 Star Best Bet
**San Antonio (-8) over MINNESOTA
05:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 701
Minnesota is coming off a win over the 76ers and they continue to perform well against bad teams. However, the Timberwolves have not fared well against good teams at home, as they are just 6-14 ATS as a home underdog of more than 3 points and their win over Philly sets Minnesota up in a very negative 108-200-10 ATS home underdog letdown situation (the record is 4-26-1 ATS versus San Antonio). San Antonio has a long history of playing well against bad teams on the road and the Spurs are now 72-35 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or more when they didn't play the previous night. My ratings favor San Antonio by 8 points and I'll take San Antonio in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and for 3-Stars at -7 or less.
Thursday Opinions
DENVER (-3) over Middle Tennessee State
Denver is 9-1 straight up and 9-1 ATS at home this season (7-0 SU and ATS in Conference games) and just 4-8 ATS on the road. That pattern of playing better at home goes back a few years and the Pioneers are 30-11-1 ATS at home the last 4 seasons. A big part of the reason that Denver plays so well at home, especially in conference play, is because all of their conference opponents are from sea level and aren?t used to the thin air at high altitude Denver. Unfortunately, the line moved quickly on this game from -1 ? to -3 points, but I?ll lean with Denver at -3 points or less and I?ll take Denver in a 2- Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.
Oregon State (+27) over UCLA
UCLA applies to a negative 34-84-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation following their win at USC and it may be tough for the Bruins to get up for an Oregon State team that is winless in Pac-10 play. Oregon State is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog this season and my ratings only favor UCLA by 26 ? points. My only issue with this game is that UCLA is 8-3 ATS as a favorite of 20 points or more under coach Ben Howland and 2 of those spread losses came as favorites of more than 32 points (7-1 ATS favored from 20 to 32 points). I still think it will be tough for the Bruins to care that much about this game but I?ll resist making the Beavers a Best Bet. I?ll lean with Oregon at +26 points or more.
Anyone with Akmens today?
**San Antonio (-8) over MINNESOTA
05:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 701
Minnesota is coming off a win over the 76ers and they continue to perform well against bad teams. However, the Timberwolves have not fared well against good teams at home, as they are just 6-14 ATS as a home underdog of more than 3 points and their win over Philly sets Minnesota up in a very negative 108-200-10 ATS home underdog letdown situation (the record is 4-26-1 ATS versus San Antonio). San Antonio has a long history of playing well against bad teams on the road and the Spurs are now 72-35 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or more when they didn't play the previous night. My ratings favor San Antonio by 8 points and I'll take San Antonio in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and for 3-Stars at -7 or less.
Thursday Opinions
DENVER (-3) over Middle Tennessee State
Denver is 9-1 straight up and 9-1 ATS at home this season (7-0 SU and ATS in Conference games) and just 4-8 ATS on the road. That pattern of playing better at home goes back a few years and the Pioneers are 30-11-1 ATS at home the last 4 seasons. A big part of the reason that Denver plays so well at home, especially in conference play, is because all of their conference opponents are from sea level and aren?t used to the thin air at high altitude Denver. Unfortunately, the line moved quickly on this game from -1 ? to -3 points, but I?ll lean with Denver at -3 points or less and I?ll take Denver in a 2- Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.
Oregon State (+27) over UCLA
UCLA applies to a negative 34-84-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation following their win at USC and it may be tough for the Bruins to get up for an Oregon State team that is winless in Pac-10 play. Oregon State is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog this season and my ratings only favor UCLA by 26 ? points. My only issue with this game is that UCLA is 8-3 ATS as a favorite of 20 points or more under coach Ben Howland and 2 of those spread losses came as favorites of more than 32 points (7-1 ATS favored from 20 to 32 points). I still think it will be tough for the Bruins to care that much about this game but I?ll resist making the Beavers a Best Bet. I?ll lean with Oregon at +26 points or more.
Anyone with Akmens today?