Thu, 12/13/07 - 8:15 PMKing Creole | NFL Total
double-dime bet252 HOU / 251 DEN Over 47.0 BetUS
Analysis: 8:15pm ET / DENVER BRONCOS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAAL
Yes, it's a high OU line tonight in Houston (opened at 46... up to 47). But current 2007 results based the closing OU line have produced profitable OU results in this 'range'. Since October 1st, NFL games with a closing OU line of 46.5 pts... 47 pts... or 47.5 pts have gone 11-2 O/U.
Here's all the applicable OU Systems that I queried from the Playbook NFL database:
NFL Game 14 teams who rushed for 200 > yards last week (DENVER) have gone 8-1-1 O/U in the last 4 seasons.
So far this year, NFL teams off a SU home DIVISION win of 21 > points (DENVER won 41-7 last week) have gone 5-1 O/U.
Since 1996, DECEMBER teams who have gone OVER the Total in each of their last 6 games (DENVER) have gone 16-4-2 O/U.
I wrote about some of these HOT "Before and After" current OU patterns in this week's TOTALS TIPSHEET: NFL teams are a PERFECT 8-0 O/U before playing the Indianapolis Colts (HOUSTON plays 'em next week). NFL teams are 13-2 O/U before playing the San Diego Chargers (DENVER plays 'em next week).
Since 2000, DECEMBER home teams playing off a SU home non-division win as DOGS of 3 > points (TEXANS) have gone 6-1 O/U. With the home UPSET win over the Bucs last week, HOUSTON is a qualifier tonight.
In the last 12 months, Road teams (DENVER) playing off a home game are 12-2 O/U when facing an opponent with the exact same W/L record (Both teams tonight have identical 6-7 SU records).
In the last 2 years, NFL teams with a gameline of 3 < points are 18-4 O/U after a game in which they scored 34 > points (DENVER).
In the last 12 months, NFL teams playing off a game with 0 turnovers (BRONCOS) have gone 19-5 O/U.... and 11-2 O/U as favorites (DENVER)