SERVICE PLAYS FOR WED. 2/6

the duke

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Dave Malinsky

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REASON FOR PICK: 5* KANSAS STATE over NEBRASKA

The betting markets did us a small favor on this one this morning, dropping the opener to the point at which -10 has become common, but we doubt very much that the move comes into play in a game that has a chance to get real ugly.

The fact that there was any Nebraska money at all should not come as a surprise ? we wrote about some of the issues associated with that Cornhuskergame at Missouri in a Rim Shots column last Wednesday. There are a lot of mathematicians in the marketplace, and they get trapped into giving Doc Sadler and his team credit for a road win against a quality opponent when it did not mean anything of the sort because of the Missouri suspensions. Nebraska then got an additional break on Saturday, catching Iowa State in Lincoln sans leading scorer Wesley Johnson. As a result the Cornhuskers come away looking better than they really are, and that sets up tonight?s blowout, which comes both in terms of line value and matchups.

Kansas State has been nothing short of brilliant on this court in Big 12 play. The Wildcats shattered the pointspread by 51.5 points in thrashing Kansas, Iowa State and Texas A&M, and now the marketplace is telling us that Nebraska will hang closer than any of them, despite the fact that Kansas has a real live shot to be in San Antonio in April, and A&M is also on the way to the Dance. And State is only going to get better, as a young roster matures and learns how to play together. Getting upset at Missouri off of last Wednesday?s whipping of Kansas was only natural for a young team, but so is bouncing back with a major degree of focus here. The matchups take care of the rest.

Nebraska can?t score in this setting. Aleks Maric is the only Cornhusker that averages in double figures, but not only is he going to find it tough to get any separation from Michael Beasley, there is also a real expectation that the latter will get him into foul trouble at the other end of the court. So just where to the points come from? In Big 12 play they have shot an anemic 37.3 percent from the field, 31.7 from 3-point range and 62.9 from the free throw line. They are not a back door candidate at all because the perimeter offense is so erratic, and that makes this just a matter of time before a team that has played stifling defense here in Bramlage breaks the game wide open.




6* Maryland
 

the duke

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Accu-Picks

4* Lakers
3* Bulls
4* Bradley
4* Minn U
3* St Joe
3* Rutgers
3* S Diego St
 

the duke

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Sports Bank

500* Nebraska






Net Prophet


NBA

LA Lakers -3' over Atlanta
Utah +2' over Denver

CBB

UNLV +3 over Utah
 

the duke

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ChicagoSportsConnection


NCAAB

#764
GEORGIA ST +9 vs VCU...................7:30 EST
Info play

#786
BRADLEY -6.5 vs Mizz St................8:00 EST
Mizz St has lost 8 straight on road.
BRADLEY 4-0 since top player return.
Revenge for Bradley.

#794
IOWA +7.5 vs Wisconsin.................9:00 EST
IOWA has been solid at home....
5 BIG-10 Home games...
...beat OH ST by 5
...beat PSU by 15
...beat MICH ST by 7
...lost PURD by 5
...lost IND by 3
 

the duke

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Bobby Esposito

Highest Rated 15,000* ACC Game of my Career


North Carolina Tar Heels -4 over Duke
 

the duke

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PowerPlaywins


Lakers -4
Minnesota U -5
Kentucky -3
Kansas State -10.5



SMART MONEY


CBB

BET # 792 NORTH CAROLINA (BEST LINE -4 AT betus)
 

tomtebow

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

14-7 all sports run (67%)

NCAA HOOPS 93-65
NBA 60-47
NHL 40-26
NCAA FOOTBALL 27-11 (71%) (10-4 bowls) (71%)

NCAA HOOPS
duquense-1
georgia tech+2.5
georgia-3
kansas st-10.5
bradley-6
 

T OFF

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MCCOMB MS
WINNERS MARGIN

WINNERS MARGIN

NBA ( 65 - 54 YTD )

5* PISTONS


NCAA ( 82 - 63 YTD ) 2 - 0 LAST NIGHT! :0corn

5* MISS STATE
5* TULANE
5* BYU
5* B GREEN

GOOD LUCK 2NIGHT BOYS!
 

the duke

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Dr. Bob

NBA Opinions

ATLANTA (+3 1/2) over L.A. Lakers
The Lakers added Pau Gasol in a trade with Memphis to make up for the absence of injured star C Andrew Bynum and Gasol played well in his Lakers? debut last night (24 points, 12 rebounds). Los Angeles has now covered in 5 consecutive games, but that streak actually sets them up in a negative 22-62-1 ATS road letdown situation tonight against a Hawks team that is 8-1 ATS hosting an unrested team this season. I figure having Gasol and not having Bynum is about a wash and my ratings favor the Lakers by 3 ? points if that assumption is correct. However, there is certainly a possibility that the Lakers are better with Gasol than they were with Bynum and that possibility will keep me off this game as a Best Bet. I?ll lean with Atlanta at +3 points or more.

Miami (+16) over DETROIT
Miami is the worst team in the NBA right now without Shaquille O?Neal in the lineup and I just don?t see how the Pistons can get up for this game after whipping Dallas in their last game and with a game against a good Blazers team coming up on Friday night. Detroit applies to a negative 16-61-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation that is based on their win over Dallas and they also apply to a negative 51-133-2 ATS big home favorite look ahead situation. While Miami has been horrible, they have done pretty well as a big favorite this season, going 5-1-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 9 points (2-1-1 ATS without O?Neal). My ratings favor Detroit by 17.2 points, so the line is not quite high enough for me to play Miami in a Best Bet. However, I?ll lean with Miami at +16 or +16 ? and I?ll take Miami in a 2-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more.



College Opinion

BRADLEY (-6) over Missouri State
I?ve been riding Bradley lately, as the Braves have been an underrated team since pointguard Daniel Ruffin returned from injury 4 games ago. Bradley is 4-0 straight up and 4-0 ATS since Ruffin?s return and my ratings favor the Braves by 9 points over a Missouri State team that is 0-8 ATS on the road this season. Bradley has been a good bet at home against mediocre and bad teams under coach Jim Les, as the Braves are now 27-6 ATS when hosting a team with a win percentage of .600 or less. I?ll lean with Bradley at -7 points or less.
 

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PPP

5% Bradley
4% Baylor
4% Cent Fla
3% W Kentucky
3% Kentucky
3% Ball St
3% Lakers
3% Suns
 

the duke

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Dennis Hill

Atlantic -10 Super Slammer Game Of The Year Temple -3

Underdog College Hoops Upset Game Of The Week Evansville +2

" Lay The Chalk" Game Of The Month
Utep -7
 
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