INDAIN COWBOY
Delaware +1.5 (POD)
Winning 6 days in a row. Winningy 9 of 11 days in January. Winning 11 of 14 days. I want the Golden Week. Let's roll. Yet, another "unsexy" pick but I have been on Delaware of late and I am riding them again for good reason as the math supports it. Old Dominion gets love for the success their name reminds people of, but many fail to realize that this team is exactly the same in the powe rankings to Delaware in and around the top 150 - and in fact, Delaware is on the rise winning at Drexel, winning at William and Mary and the outright upset that I called with Delware beating George Mason at home. Well, Delaware I believe gets off to a fast start today rather than coming back in the second half against ODU. Can Delaware be in for a let down - sure. But, then again, this ODU team destroyed this Blue hen team by a score of 83-48 last year and this team undoubtedly remembers that game and people talk about the Patriots FU Tour - well the Delaware blue hens are on their on tour today and I will take a similarly ranked Deleware team, that is on the rise having won 5 of their last 6 ballgames, and looking for revenge today after already having beaten a very good George Mason team at home. Don't forget, ODU is 0-4 against teams that are top 200 in the nation - as their 2 road wins come against 2 teams outside the top 200. ODU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road ballgames and the Blue Hens are 4-0 ATS when facing the Colonial Conference of late.
Green Bay Packers -7.5
66% of the public continues to think the Seahawks cover, but as I have continued to fade public dogs, it is continuing to have success. I say it time and time again adamently that when the public rides an underdog of 66% or more, the dog fails. Look at the time when the Packers hit the road against the Cowboys - the world loved the Packers to continuing their winning ways and failed to cover. Look at the time twice when the Jazz faced the Mavs at home - the world is on the Mavs - the time when the Jazz faced the Suns at home and the public hounded the Suns early - I have been fading all of those public underdogs and today is no different. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in 7 of their last 9 ballgames and this team is destine to go to the NFC Championship as their defense is rock solid and continues to be very active. The Seahawks must be able to run the ball and I don't believe they will as the Pack have this offenses flowing very nicely and I think the Seahawks shot their wad recently against the Redskins and the last time the Sehawks hit the road - they gave up 40+ to the Falcons so this secondary can be exposed. The Pack are 6-1 ATS as a favorite and 4-0 ATS as a home favorite of late.
Ohio State +1
I have Ohio State as a top 25 power ranking team and hear me when I tell you that I would not be surprised if this team will be a top 25 team in the AP Polls at some point in the season. Why not? The Buckeyes have beat Purdue straight up for the past 8 years. The Buckeyes beat a decent Illinois team on the road who is top 125 and Ohio State's best victory on the road, and frankly, one of their most impressive wins this year that gets overlooked was when Ohio State went on the road to beat Cleveland State who is a top 75 team in the power rankings. Ohio State now faces Purdue who is a top 125 team on the road, a team that they have owned in years past, a team in which they have beaten better teams on the road and Ohio State's 1 road loss this year - granted they have played just 3 esesntially - was their road loss to 20 Butler which is understandable. Purdue has just 1 home loss this year as they are 8-1, but they have not beat a top 100 team at home which is the difference in my opinion. Purdue played admirably on the road at Michigan State and they will play admirably here today, but I'll take my chances with the Buckeyes on the road to win outright as they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games facing a team with a straight up record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 ballgames against the Big 10 as they typically do very well in conference ballgames as they still have an underdog chip that is frankly a bit uncalled for given how well they have played.
Delaware +1.5 (POD)
Winning 6 days in a row. Winningy 9 of 11 days in January. Winning 11 of 14 days. I want the Golden Week. Let's roll. Yet, another "unsexy" pick but I have been on Delaware of late and I am riding them again for good reason as the math supports it. Old Dominion gets love for the success their name reminds people of, but many fail to realize that this team is exactly the same in the powe rankings to Delaware in and around the top 150 - and in fact, Delaware is on the rise winning at Drexel, winning at William and Mary and the outright upset that I called with Delware beating George Mason at home. Well, Delaware I believe gets off to a fast start today rather than coming back in the second half against ODU. Can Delaware be in for a let down - sure. But, then again, this ODU team destroyed this Blue hen team by a score of 83-48 last year and this team undoubtedly remembers that game and people talk about the Patriots FU Tour - well the Delaware blue hens are on their on tour today and I will take a similarly ranked Deleware team, that is on the rise having won 5 of their last 6 ballgames, and looking for revenge today after already having beaten a very good George Mason team at home. Don't forget, ODU is 0-4 against teams that are top 200 in the nation - as their 2 road wins come against 2 teams outside the top 200. ODU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road ballgames and the Blue Hens are 4-0 ATS when facing the Colonial Conference of late.
Green Bay Packers -7.5
66% of the public continues to think the Seahawks cover, but as I have continued to fade public dogs, it is continuing to have success. I say it time and time again adamently that when the public rides an underdog of 66% or more, the dog fails. Look at the time when the Packers hit the road against the Cowboys - the world loved the Packers to continuing their winning ways and failed to cover. Look at the time twice when the Jazz faced the Mavs at home - the world is on the Mavs - the time when the Jazz faced the Suns at home and the public hounded the Suns early - I have been fading all of those public underdogs and today is no different. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in 7 of their last 9 ballgames and this team is destine to go to the NFC Championship as their defense is rock solid and continues to be very active. The Seahawks must be able to run the ball and I don't believe they will as the Pack have this offenses flowing very nicely and I think the Seahawks shot their wad recently against the Redskins and the last time the Sehawks hit the road - they gave up 40+ to the Falcons so this secondary can be exposed. The Pack are 6-1 ATS as a favorite and 4-0 ATS as a home favorite of late.
Ohio State +1
I have Ohio State as a top 25 power ranking team and hear me when I tell you that I would not be surprised if this team will be a top 25 team in the AP Polls at some point in the season. Why not? The Buckeyes have beat Purdue straight up for the past 8 years. The Buckeyes beat a decent Illinois team on the road who is top 125 and Ohio State's best victory on the road, and frankly, one of their most impressive wins this year that gets overlooked was when Ohio State went on the road to beat Cleveland State who is a top 75 team in the power rankings. Ohio State now faces Purdue who is a top 125 team on the road, a team that they have owned in years past, a team in which they have beaten better teams on the road and Ohio State's 1 road loss this year - granted they have played just 3 esesntially - was their road loss to 20 Butler which is understandable. Purdue has just 1 home loss this year as they are 8-1, but they have not beat a top 100 team at home which is the difference in my opinion. Purdue played admirably on the road at Michigan State and they will play admirably here today, but I'll take my chances with the Buckeyes on the road to win outright as they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games facing a team with a straight up record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 ballgames against the Big 10 as they typically do very well in conference ballgames as they still have an underdog chip that is frankly a bit uncalled for given how well they have played.
