Soccer 2016 August-December

Vig

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Not getting good vibes so far. Lot of $$$$$ spent on this garbage product. Let's hope they can turn this thing around.


Looked like a fishy line before game start. U was -.5 +105 after they drubbed that team recently. I was on the under, and was bitten by a 2' goal and an 89' goal. Bad beat for all....
 

BASON

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Sorry, been pressed for time.

Playing Stoke/West Ham over 2.5 -120. Both teams healthy, rested and playing much better.

For the most part, I am staying away from Champions League and Euro teams this weekend as they almost all performed poorly in League play last time following euro games.

Likely will have a couple for tomorrow. Sevilla +400 looking like great value to me right now given how Barca has played recently.
 

Vig

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11/6/16

EPL....

Man U -150


Though it's a tough turnaround from losing in Turkey on Thursday, I expect United to handle lowly Swansea.


Posted soccer plays: 3 - 0
 

BASON

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Good Luck Vigorous. They should handle them.

I continue to watch and play small against Champions League teams. Only one (Dortmund) has covered the GL so far.

I am taking a shot with Sevilla today +400. Just see too much value in this line. Barca is the better team and they rarely lose 2 in a row, but they are not playing well right now. Huge game for the standings. If Sevilla wins they are clear in 2nd, so its also a big game for Barca to hold position. As such, I will split the bet and take the +1 also, which I think is the best way to play if you only make one bet.

Leipzig is juicy at -165, but worth a look. Still have not lost and Mainz is off a mid-week beating at Anderlecht. Plus, if they win they are even on points with Bayern!
 

Vig

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Good Luck Vigorous. They should handle them.

I continue to watch and play small against Champions League teams. Only one (Dortmund) has covered the GL so far.

I am taking a shot with Sevilla today +400. Just see too much value in this line. Barca is the better team and they rarely lose 2 in a row, but they are not playing well right now. Huge game for the standings. If Sevilla wins they are clear in 2nd, so its also a big game for Barca to hold position. As such, I will split the bet and take the +1 also, which I think is the best way to play if you only make one bet.

Leipzig is juicy at -165, but worth a look. Still have not lost and Mainz is off a mid-week beating at Anderlecht. Plus, if they win they are even on points with Bayern!


I agree with your analysis, and I like Sevilla +1, but not huge personally. Barca has been Jekyll and Hyde, I really think we see the juggernaut come out today. Barca stock is low and today is a good day to buy...imo...good luck with your plays, Bason!
 

BASON

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I don't like betting friendlies much, but will make a small play on Belgium Pk-130 today. Both have easy qualifiers coming up Sunday so I expect a spirited match today. Dutch are young and not in good form, so there is more pressure on them to win Sunday on the road while Belgium is at home. Belgium is much better team, so if they come to play they should not lose this game. Playing the Pk even though I think Belgium wins because it is a friendly.

Should have some solid qualifiers up tomorrow morning.
 

Vig

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I don't like betting friendlies much, but will make a small play on Belgium Pk-130 today. Both have easy qualifiers coming up Sunday so I expect a spirited match today. Dutch are young and not in good form, so there is more pressure on them to win Sunday on the road while Belgium is at home. Belgium is much better team, so if they come to play they should not lose this game. Playing the Pk even though I think Belgium wins because it is a friendly.

Should have some solid qualifiers up tomorrow morning.

GL, BASON!
 

PittsburghKid

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Hey everyone. most likely taking a break through the weekend. if I have time or some downtime to look at stuff i'll post... going down to clemson with my dad for the pitt game.. if anyone is in the area and follows this thread let me know we can grab a beer or 10... H2P
 

BASON

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Well, that is why I hate friendlies. Belgium completely dominated the game, gives up a penalty, should have gotten one themselves that the ref screwed up, Lukaku missed a 100% chance and then they score an ass deflection goal to draw. Glad I played the PK!

Have a great time Kid. Clemson is definitely one of my favorite places to see a college game, it's a fantastic experience if you have not been. Favorite you ask? Alabama/Auburn, completely insane.
 

BASON

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South America

Should be a very interesting day of South American Qualifiers. At first look, all of the home teams look tempting today, but need to narrow down the plays.

Top 2:

Columbia -120. I almost always like Columbia at home, plus we get good value in my opinion against a Chile team that is not in top form. Chile benefited greatly from the Bolivia mess and sits in 5th place. However, they have not played well since their coach left for Sevilla. Plus, Sanchez is out for this game and they have numerous starters with yellow cards (which I believe can affect play as they do not want to miss the home game on Tuesday). Columbia has to go to Argentina next (who is fighting for position and has Brazil today) so I expect Columbia to be focused and win.

Paraguay-130. This is a very important game for Paraguay given the table and the other matches today. With a win, there is a good chance they move into qualifying position with a game at Bolivia coming next week. I think this is a must win for them at home and we get a good price with a team in good form (beat Argentina 1-0 in Argentina).

The third play I am making (smaller than the 2 above) is Uruguay -165 or -EV. Personally, I am laying the lumber in this game. Uruguay has a chance to get some separation in the standings, plus, they have to go to Chile on Tuesday likely against a team desperate for a win. You also have an Ecuadorian team that struggles on the road and knows they have Venezuela at home next week. I see 2-0 Uruguay.

The big game is Argentina at Brazil. I am laying off this game given Argentina's situation. They were hurt the most by the 2 Bolivia forfeits and now sit out of qualification and the playoff game. Not quite a must win, but with Messi back I expect a spirited effort, so I will sit back, watch and enjoy.

I like Venezuela to win but not laying 170 or a goal in a game between two teams that are out of content
 

BASON

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Should have done better yesterday. Home teams were 3-2 so should have just played them all. Columbia game was a typical South American shit show. Terrible game. Pressed for time today.

Costa Rica/T&T over 2 -120. If T&T has any chance they have to win at home which means they have to open up and look to score. Costa Rica can counter. Like this play.

France -1.5 -110. More of a play against Sweden, they are not good. France should roll 2 or 3 to nil.

Smaller leans to Honduras -105 and USA in a PK. Mexico has superior talent and is the better team (I have ranted about US soccer in past posts) but you can not ignore the past numbers here. On a neutral field I take Mexico every game, but given the fact that they have lost 4 games in a row 2-0 in Cold Columbus plus the fact that the US does not lose qualifiers at home, I think you have to take the US in a PK. It's a good value bet. I am sure others will like them more than I do, but I just don't trust this team.

Will add if I get some time. Will likely add Scotland once I find them at +1.5.
 

BASON

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Glad that League play is back. Had to go out of town so didn't have time to post. Did find time to bet against the US though. I could rant forever about US Soccer. Klinsmann needs to go!!

Really like Nurnberg -110 tomorrow in Bundesliga 2. Big play for me. As I have said before, they tend to get on a roll and they are on one now. A win will catapult them in the standings. Kickers had a great start to the season but they are not that good and I see them not performing as well the rest of the season. Nurnberg is a very difficult place to play and I see a solid home win at a good price.
 

BASON

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Going to make a small play on Leverkusen Pk-150. Leipzig has been fantastic all year and the surprise of the league as they are tied at the top with Bayern. This is a huge week for Leverkusen. They have this game, then Moscow in Champions League, then Bayern on the road next week. I think they have to get points in this game if they want to stay in contention for Champions league again. Its juicy but I don't think they lose at home.
 

Terryray

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09:30 AM SOC [202481] TOTAL o2.5 -132 (Freiburg vrs FSV Mainz 05) Bundesliga
12:00 PM SOC [204669] TOTAL o3-106 (AS Eupen vrs Genk) Belgium Jupiter

these middling kraut teams seem to play wide open games when they meet, and every Freiburg road game this season (and last 15 overall) has featured 3 or more goals... and over stats pretty strong for Mainz too...

Eupen: 9 out of 14 games scoring 2 or more goals..11 out of 14 games conceding 2 or more goals -- they almost have the best offense in the league, but are in the middle of the rankings because they sport the worst defense in the league!
 

PittsburghKid

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Athletic PK 14* to win 10
Atletico 5* to win 7.5*

I'll catch everyone up tonight after home from Pitt game. Clemson last week was unreal and woke up Sunday morning unbelievably sick.. missed out on Dortmund today :( should be back to normal postings!
 

PittsburghKid

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Mls

Seattle 13* to win 10*
Seattle -1 5* to win 7*
Seattle scored first 3.6* to win 2*

Update record soon.. I know last 2 plays have been awful but still up big on year..

Should have some CL plays tomorrow
 

BASON

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Bundesliga 2

Furth+150
Hannover Ov 2.5 -125

Bundesliga

Leipzig Ov 2.5 -130


Hope everyone and their families had a safe and Happy Thanksgiving!!
 
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