Soccer 2017 August-December

[PittsburghKid]

Did anyone see the ending to FH in Dortmund game? In my opinion an absolutely disgrace that goal was given, 1st it was not a foul and should have been a goal BUT the ref blew the whistle and the play dead, Dortmund kicked ball in bet after. Video replay gives the goal? Play was dead... I think it's awful and again, get rid of replay.. in the end it was the right decision but how can you not say in this situation going forward when a whistle Blows players are told to play to the whistle. So when players stop after whistle they are allowing goals?


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[BASON]

Agree, totally ridiculous. Replay is a joke.

Have to take a chance with Real Sociedad today +1 -110 and +400. Sociedad is playing great right now and I think they should be able to give Madrid all they can handle. Also like the over 3.5, since I think Sociedad definitely scores so it also hedges the +1 play.

 

[BASON]

Need to see lineups before I play any Cup games. Klopp played strong lineups last year in the Cup but with CL games I am not sure he can do that today. I also think Leicester will be a little weaker. I thought it was nuts that Crystal Palace was -150 yesterday, and when I woke up today that are -110! I will be on Huddersfield +.5.

Will have some more hopefully later today.

 

[BASON]

Bundesliga 2

St. Pauli/Holstein Ov 2.5 -115

Ingolstadt -145


Bundesliga

Gladbach Ov 2.5 -145



Will post a couple more little later.

 

[BASON]

Not loving much in England. Just don't trust many of these teams in the Cup. Hard to really gauge motivation. For instance, I love the way Leeds is playing, but they are likely focused on the league and promotion versus the Cup. Not sure how Swansea is favored against anyone on the road and why the total is 2.5. Too many lineup changes for me in Liverpool game.

Sticking with Huddersfield +.5 -105 simply as a continued play against Palace. I am sure Palace will be the more motivated team but lots of pressure on them. Adding Villa/Middle draw +230 as a very small play since they just played to a 0-0 draw.

Leipzig Ov 2.5 -125

I am laying off the Bayern game. Line has dropped to -1 -110, which is a huge drop from yesterday. Yes, Neuer and Robben are out, but not sure the line should have moved this much, so I am staying away.

 

[BASON]

Sorry boys, just a terrible day. Have to be more careful on these mid week games. Just didn't do enough work on them. Will not happen again.

 

[Subcloser]

Sorry boys, just a terrible day. Have to be more careful on these mid week games. Just didn't do enough work on them. Will not happen again.

I hear ya...I have stayed away from mid week games this year for the most part up until today...Friday, Sat, Sun has worked for me but Mon-Thu has historically been a money pit...I am simply going to lay off during these 4 days until I find an adequate strategy to wager on these games...The amount of research it takes to really cap these weekday games I simply don't have the time, not even close...I still work a 40-50 hour a week job and it just isn't possible realistically...I retired from baseball 7 years ago but I still have another 13 years until I am completely retired all together from the Mon to Fri grind...live and learn Bason, I am right there with yaopcorn2

 

[BASON]

Thanks Sub and I hear you. I put a significant amount of time into capping every game I post and I am going to stop posting games that I do not put all the time into since they tend to lose more often than not. I am retired from my 9-5 job, but I own businesses that take time and I get a lot of visitors since I live at the beach and that cuts into time, which is what happened this week. I am going to focus more on the things that I am good at and post those plays. I will still likely play many others but will not post them. When I am hot I like to post more since you have to ride the streaks, but I will slow the plays down once I start to trend back to normal.

 

[PittsburghKid]

Man U strong team fielded

Man U FH -1 8.5* to win 5*


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[PittsburghKid]

Man U strong team fielded

Man U FH -1 8.5* to win 5*


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Burton has no chance let's add

Burton -2 FH 3.9* to win 3*

9th min


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[PittsburghKid]

Burton no chance let's add again

Man U -2.5 FH 4.8* to win 3*

19th min


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[PittsburghKid]

Last one for now.

Man U -4 8* to win 5*

27th min


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[BASON]

Bayern -2 -150/-2.5 Ev - I have some at both numbers. I do not see how Wolfsburg will score especially with Gomez out. Bayern has dominated this team (6-0 last game and 5 in a row) and should see a comfortable home win here as they appear to be getting into better form. I like to see Ribiery and Robben on the bench as I like the younger team with more speed. Also, James seems to play much better when they are not in the lineup. Not sure we see that today, but it shouldn't matter who is starting.

It is a slow day, so I will also be putting Nice -120 and Monaco -140 together for some additional action, even though I don't bet Ligue 1 much.

 

[BASON]

Should have listened to myself. Bayern simply does not play well when Ribery and Robben play together. Plus, Ulreich is terrible. Another shitty performance for them. Really do not like Ancelotti, he doesn't know how to handle this team and is going to lose them soon. They got exactly what they deserve. At this point PSG is looking great Wednesday.

Putting in Leicester Ov 2.5 -140 now as I think this could get pounded tonight. Making it a big play. I also like Leicester in this game. Liverpool has some serious issues in the back. I like a lot of other games but I think I am focusing on this one.

 

[BASON]

May be a sucker play, but I am taking Man City -2.5. Will continue to play against Palace until they show something in the league.

 

[BASON]

Leicester over was big one for me and CP simply sucks.

Putting in Dortmund +.5 and Besiktas +.5 now as I think they may both disappear soon. Dortmund will likely be a popular dog given Real's recent form and Dortmund's win yesterday, but it does not appear to be just as glitch as Real has been bad since the start of the season. Dortmund does not lose at home and have not lost to Real in their last 4 meetings in Germany and they need this win. Will gladly take the half (and will play them to win). I do not love the over here, but may be worth a play as a hedge to Dortmund as I see them scoring no.

I simply do not think Leipzig is ready for the grind of the league and Champions League. They proved that against Monaco at home and now they have to go on the road to Istanbul which is extremely difficult place to play. Besiktas is in good form and got a huge win in Porto last time out. Now they can go to the top of the group with a win. Again, will gladly take the .5 (and will play ML). I also like the Ov 2.5 -130 in this game and will play it now also as I see it rising and eventually getting to 3.

 

[BASON]

I have been keeping a close eye on the totals in Liverpool and Monaco. I like both overs, so I am playing them now at -135 and -130, respectively, and will continue to watch as I may add. I will make a final post tomorrow for all of Tuesdays games including what I already played today. Still looking at Monaco and Moscow. Should have played Napoli at -2 early this morning, but still looking there also. Looks like I am going to have a lot of plays for Tuesday!

 

[BASON]

Here is what I have played for tomorrow:

Dortmund +.5 -145/+195

Besiktas +.5 -145/+220/Ov 2.5 -130

Liverpool Ov2.5 -135

Monaco +110


I still may play the Monaco over and Moscow if the Liverpool fans get it to a +1. Dortmund line is already moving and is a Pk most places. It will continue to move. I still like it in a Pk as I think they will win the game, but love having the +.5 if you can get it. That game will get more of my money than Besiktas since I think Leipzig is the better overall team, but I think they will struggle playing their first away CL game in Istanbul, which maybe besides some places in Russia is one of the toughest places to play. So it is more of a gut feeling that they will lose. The over line has actually moved down a little, so I would wait to see how it moves if you have not already played it (I already did).

I could play every game tomorrow but going to limit it. I can see City continuing to blow out teams, same with Napoli and I don't trust Spurs in Cypress.

 

[BASON]

I added Moscow +1 this morning and a little more to the Ov 2.5. I like the combination as I highly doubt Liverpool can keep a clean sheet in Moscow.

 

[Subcloser]

Trailing your action Bason...also added this for a unit at +210

6 Team Parlay
Pending 9/26/17 2:45pm European Cup Soccer 52 Napoli (UCL) -616* vs Feyenoord (UCL)
Pending 9/26/17 2:45pm European Cup Soccer 55 Sevilla (UCL) -725* vs Maribor (UCL)
Pending 9/26/17 2:45pm European Cup Soccer 58 Besiktas (UCL) +1? -433* vs RB Leipzig (UCL)
Pending 9/26/17 2:45pm European Cup Soccer 60 Liverpool (UCL)/Spartak Moscow (UCL) Over 1? -516*
Pending 9/26/17 2:45pm European Cup Soccer 85 Manchester City (UCL) -500* vs Shakhtar Donetsk (UCL)
Pending 9/26/17 2:45pm European Cup Soccer 88 Monaco (UCL) +? -307* vs FC Porto (UCL)