Soccer 2017 August-December

DZ

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Wow, Bate certainly should have had a goal there. Arsenal's defense not looking overly impressive. Just a matter of time here before goal number 5 goes in on either end.
 

BASON

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Should definitely see another one there and just got a big Zenit goal as now Real has to fully press so should see another one either way.
 

DZ

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Good god, Arsenal's defending is horrendous. Bate should probably have it level at 4 at this point, but have missed some easy opportunities.
 

BASON

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Man, Germany is really taking it on the chin the last 2 days as they are now 0-5 in all games. One more to go, lets hope for 0-6 since a Ludogorets win will be big for me!
 

DZ

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Made a small play on AEK -196 for 2x ....like the way they played in their last euro match and think they are tough at home. They also have not allowed a goal and won every game at home in the Greek Superleague this season.
 

DZ

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Well, AEK is really shitting the bed for me. Damn... thought I saw something in that game. Did I mention that my picks in this thread are horrible and everyone should be fading them?

Anyway, at least Ludogorets has finally capitalized on their numerous opportunities in that game. Even if a draw holds, that one is looking like a good call, Bason. They are getting off a ton more shots and have clearly been the more aggressive side.
 

Vig

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Yessir, BASON. I grabbed Ludogorets ML too based on your intel. Thank you!
 

DZ

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Bason, any thoughts on today's bundesliga tie between Shalke and Leverkusen?
 

BASON

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Game was a shit show. The ref totally lost control of the game, and once again, replay killed the momentum and sealed the draw. I can't tell you how much I hate this review system, especially the way they use it in Germany. The overall quality of play in the Bundesliga is as bad as it has been in years and this is not helping.

Looking hard at Augsburg +1 tomorrow. Have to feel that Dortmund is a little out of gas after the run of games the last 2 weeks and Augsburg will be up for this game.

In Premier, I will continue to play against CP against good teams until I lose, so I am playing Man U -2 -120. Also looking at Watford as their away form has been great and West Brom has not looked so good lately.
 

DZ

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Was a goal disallowed? I saw the score was at 2-1 at one point, then turned the game on and saw it was back to 1-1. WTF :shrug:
 

BASON

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Yeah, replay took away a goal because the player had a hanging finger offsides. This is what I really hate about replay. The offsides calls in super slo mo really piss me off. I have already ranted about the need to change the offsides rule, but they will never due it.

I am also on alert for a big play on Bayern on Sunday. I really think the players hated Ancelotti and my guess is they will come out and show they are not done yet. I am thinking all the veterans will start and they are the ones that wanted him out. Will keep following the talk in Germany, but I think I will have to talk myself out of a FH, FH Over, -1.5 and Ov 2.5 bet.
 

BASON

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Nice win to start the day.

I am taking that and playing Augsburg +1 -115 and throwing a little on the +465 (was +570 yesterday). It is a long shot bet and likely a loser, but I just have a feeling that Dortmund may have an off game today against a well rested and motived Augsburg team.
 

BASON

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Thank God for Crystal Palace, they are awful and making us money every week!

Also thankful that Aubameyang can only finish about 1 in 5 chances and sucks on penalties (his penalty was a true embarrassment). He personally got us the push in the Augsburg game. There is a reason no one is paying a fortune for him.

Didn't like a whole lot today but still a profitable day.

I am playing Bayern -120 FH and -1.5 Ev for the game now. Not too worried about the line moves, but I like these numbers. I can always be wrong, but I will be very surprised if we do not see a very spirited effort from them right from the start. Management has made it clear that they expect their best now that they have made the change and I think there is a reason they made the change before the break. If I don't lose my ass in college football today, I will likely add to this tonight. Trying not to go nuts, but will be a bigger play for me. Hopefully build the bank roll for the qualifiers coming up.
 
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