Soccer 2017 August-December

DZ

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Tailing along with you, Bason. BOL to us today.

I played a few 1st half totals as well...

R.Madrid/Dortmund o1.5 (-105) 1x
Shaktar/ManCity o1.5 (-115) 1x
 

BASON

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What a crock of shit in the Dortmund game. How can 4 officials miss an obvious handball. Game should be 1-0 Dortmund and a red card for Real. Officiating in FIFA gets worse every year. Just brutal.
 

BASON

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Not the day I was looking for. Still pissed about the Dortmund game. If the refs do their job it is a totally different game. They need to be accountable for blatant missed calls like that. That call could cost Dortmund tens of millions of dollars. Don't know how the Liverpool game did not go over. That one really hurt for me. I am done betting this Monaco team as they are impossible to figure out and Leipzig is definitely not ready for the rigors of being in CL.

Oh well, should have been a better day. I think I am only playing PSG tomorrow. I think this is a game that they have to win. After spending half a billion dollars they have to beat a team like Bayern at home to prove they are legit contenders. I think they will be up for the challenge. Plus, Bayern has been poor lately. Frankly, all of the Bundesliga has performed poorly lately. Only thing that keeps me from making it a very big play is that it looks a little too easy given Bayern's recent performance, but I still like it given PSG's motivation.

Only other game I may play is Atletico Madrid as I do not think Chelsea can beat them there.
 

BASON

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Fox Sports is a fucking disgrace. How are they showing the Manchester United game over the Bayern game. They cover the Bundesliga for gods sake and are not showing the game at all. Just unbelievable to me how they choose these games to show.
 

BASON

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Thanks Jet, was an easy one as Bayern is out of sorts.

Hoffenheim is leaving half their team at home tomorrow for the Ludogorets match. Couple this with the overall poor performance of Bundesliga teams, Hoffenheim's great League start, their inexperience on the road in Euro and Ludogorets experience in Euro, I think Ludogorets is a great play at +.5 -120 and merits some on the +260.

My guess is this line will get hit pretty hard overnight so I am locking in right now.
 

BASON

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Not sure I understand this Zenit line against Real Sociedad tomorrow. Real was hot to start but have now lost 3 in a row giving up at least 3 goals in each game. Zenit's last 5 home games have averaged 3 goals per game. Zenit is in good form and in first place in the league. I always talk about how difficult it can be to travel and play is Russia and I am not sure Real is motivated for this game. I will take Zenit +110. I will likely play the Over also (Over 2.5 -120 right now), but this line seems way off to me based on the recent performance of both teams, so I will keep an eye on it. I also think it is likely a good hedge to the Zenit bet since I think there will be goals if they lose.

The over in the Lyon game at Ov 2.5 -125 also looks intriguing. I am going to see how it moves also before I play it.

Euro plays have not been great to me so far this year, but I am going to stay with it and play what I like with the focus on the 3 games I have already mentioned.
 

Vig

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Not sure I understand this Zenit line against Real Sociedad tomorrow. Real was hot to start but have now lost 3 in a row giving up at least 3 goals in each game. Zenit's last 5 home games have averaged 3 goals per game. Zenit is in good form and in first place in the league. I always talk about how difficult it can be to travel and play is Russia and I am not sure Real is motivated for this game. I will take Zenit +110. I will likely play the Over also (Over 2.5 -120 right now), but this line seems way off to me based on the recent performance of both teams, so I will keep an eye on it. I also think it is likely a good hedge to the Zenit bet since I think there will be goals if they lose.

The over in the Lyon game at Ov 2.5 -125 also looks intriguing. I am going to see how it moves also before I play it.

Euro plays have not been great to me so far this year, but I am going to stay with it and play what I like with the focus on the 3 games I have already mentioned.

I like Zenit St Pete too, Bason, but RS definitey getting extra credit for overall decent play in La Liga vs the lesser Russian league. Zenit pk -174 is pretty telling
 
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BASON

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I agree Vig and would say that credit is not really due. I would say the leader in the Russian Premier League is better than 8th in La Liga. The RPL is better than most people think. Maybe it looks too easy, but sometimes it just is. Not a big play but I think it is a good one. I would play Zenit at home against most teams right now at even money. Good Luck!!
 

BASON

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My pleasure Penguin and thank you!

I do not like this line movement in the Zenit game. I must be missing something. I am still playing Zenit small but that is it. Ludogorets line moved as expected. I will be on the Lyon over, but going to wait to see if I can wait until the early games are over. It doesn't look like it is going to 3, but I will keep an eye on it.
 

DZ

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My pleasure Penguin and thank you!

I do not like this line movement in the Zenit game. I must be missing something. I am still playing Zenit small but that is it. Ludogorets line moved as expected. I will be on the Lyon over, but going to wait to see if I can wait until the early games are over. It doesn't look like it is going to 3, but I will keep an eye on it.

Over still in play in the Zenit game? :0008
 

BASON

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Sorry DZ, didn't get to this in time, but I did not play the over based on the line movement. I will watch and see if there is a half time opportunity.
 

DZ

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hard to see arsenal and bate not being able to put in at least 2 more in the 2nd half.
 

BASON

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I agree as long as Arsenal keeps their foot on the gas. I think I may parlay that second half over with the Zenit over.
 

DZ

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I agree as long as Arsenal keeps their foot on the gas. I think I may parlay that second half over with the Zenit over.

Arsenal scores immediately, 3 minutes into the 2H... so far so good.

I put in a small parlay on those two as well, throwing in AC Milan for a little extra payout.

Fortunately, I heeded your earlier advice on Zenit and played them over for the game and the first half before kickoff... nice to have those nailed down early. Thanks, Bason.
 
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