Just got home from practice about 15 ago. USA look bad, can't string things together but I feel they muster an ugly
Draw here 1-1
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Soccer 2017 August-December
- Thread starter PittsburghKid
- Start date
Just got home from practice about 15 ago. USA look bad, can't string things together but I feel they muster an ugly
Draw here 1-1
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Just haven't had the time during week to do anything better wise and pretty busy weekend. Play here or there but scaling back til time allows for more. Not fair to me or anyone else to post on a whim.
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No problem Kid. I have been digging in and it has paid off this week.
I actually played Costa Rica +400 in the second half but didn't want to post it. Don't want to get too negative on the US team, but they got completely outplayed and outcoached tonight. Arena is a good MLS coach at best and is not the right man for this job.
I agree Penguin, the ref has been absolutely atrocious in this game. Actually, Costa Rica should have had a red card in the first 10 minutes on a challenge that didn't even get a yellow and then he missed the penalty. US has played too soft while CR has played a rough tactical game. Again, out coached.
I actually played Costa Rica +400 in the second half but didn't want to post it. Don't want to get too negative on the US team, but they got completely outplayed and outcoached tonight. Arena is a good MLS coach at best and is not the right man for this job.
I agree Penguin, the ref has been absolutely atrocious in this game. Actually, Costa Rica should have had a red card in the first 10 minutes on a challenge that didn't even get a yellow and then he missed the penalty. US has played too soft while CR has played a rough tactical game. Again, out coached.
Lets look at some real teams for tomorrow.
Italy/Spain Ov 2 -115. Marquee match up for tomorrow. Spain has scored at least a goal at home since something like 2003. Italy has been a little more offensive under new coach. I think worst case this is a push, but I can see a 2-1 game.
Ukraine +120. Will almost always bet them at home at + money. Turkey is no juggernaut and not a great road team.
Wales/Austria Draw +220. The trend is your friend. Wales has been a drawing machine and Austria has not been much better.
All small plays as I am making sure I take a decent profit for the week. Probably less of one if Navy does not get their act together. Shouldn't be surprised as I have been giving soccer profits back to football for many, many years.
Whoa, 907th post at 9:07 p.m. That has to be a sign!!
Italy/Spain Ov 2 -115. Marquee match up for tomorrow. Spain has scored at least a goal at home since something like 2003. Italy has been a little more offensive under new coach. I think worst case this is a push, but I can see a 2-1 game.
Ukraine +120. Will almost always bet them at home at + money. Turkey is no juggernaut and not a great road team.
Wales/Austria Draw +220. The trend is your friend. Wales has been a drawing machine and Austria has not been much better.
All small plays as I am making sure I take a decent profit for the week. Probably less of one if Navy does not get their act together. Shouldn't be surprised as I have been giving soccer profits back to football for many, many years.
Whoa, 907th post at 9:07 p.m. That has to be a sign!!
Continue to roll in Euro WCQs!!
I should have a couple more up later tonight or in the a.m. Nothing stands out but looking at Belgium. Not thrilled with the line so may see if it comes down overnight, but Greece has some issues.
I should have a couple more up later tonight or in the a.m. Nothing stands out but looking at Belgium. Not thrilled with the line so may see if it comes down overnight, but Greece has some issues.
Belgium got hit pretty hard overnight and the line has moved to -160. This is a big number for them on the road, but I am going to bite. Greece has been very poor lately, even at home losing 7 of 12. Martinez certainly seems to have got Belgium playing well and they can lock up a spot with a win today. I think Greece will desperately play for a draw once again, but this is not Estonia and Belgium will eventually get a goal and take this game.
My pleasure Sub. Should have a couple for tomorrow also.
Don't disagree tt. The fact that it is 2.5 (most Greece lines are 2) is also a reason I like Belgium since Greece can not score so it leads me to believe that they have to believe Belgium will!
Don't disagree tt. The fact that it is 2.5 (most Greece lines are 2) is also a reason I like Belgium since Greece can not score so it leads me to believe that they have to believe Belgium will!
Another winner with Belgium today.
Looking at 3 games tomorrow.
Germany-2 -125
N. Ireland +175
Montenegro +165
Think Germany just takes care of Norway after what I would call a poor effort in Czech. Highly doubt they will play like that at home and hope they play their A lineup. They won 3-0 at Norway.
Other two are table games.
N. Ireland confirms a playoff spot with just 1 point. However, Czech has to win to have any chance for second place and given they have 2 easy games coming up they have a chance. N Ireland has Germany coming in and has to go to Norway, so there is no easy point there. N. Ireland does not give up goals at home. On paper it looks like a draw, which is why the line is where it is, but Czech has to go all in and I can see a counter goal for the N. Ireland win.
Similar situation for Montenegro. They are tied with Denmark and have a +2 goal differential and they play Denmark in the next game and then have Poland on the road. They have to be thinking this is a must win game for them as Denmark is playing Armenia and then have Romania at home. Don't think they want to be in a must win situation against Denmark so I think they will be all in to win this game.
I am going to watch the line moves in both of these games before I play them and will confirm in the morning.
Looking at 3 games tomorrow.
Germany-2 -125
N. Ireland +175
Montenegro +165
Think Germany just takes care of Norway after what I would call a poor effort in Czech. Highly doubt they will play like that at home and hope they play their A lineup. They won 3-0 at Norway.
Other two are table games.
N. Ireland confirms a playoff spot with just 1 point. However, Czech has to win to have any chance for second place and given they have 2 easy games coming up they have a chance. N Ireland has Germany coming in and has to go to Norway, so there is no easy point there. N. Ireland does not give up goals at home. On paper it looks like a draw, which is why the line is where it is, but Czech has to go all in and I can see a counter goal for the N. Ireland win.
Similar situation for Montenegro. They are tied with Denmark and have a +2 goal differential and they play Denmark in the next game and then have Poland on the road. They have to be thinking this is a must win game for them as Denmark is playing Armenia and then have Romania at home. Don't think they want to be in a must win situation against Denmark so I think they will be all in to win this game.
I am going to watch the line moves in both of these games before I play them and will confirm in the morning.
I am putting in N. Ireland Pk-110 and Montenegro Pk-120 right now since I am comfortable with those lines. Will then decide if I want to add some money line bets in the morning based on movements.
I am also going to take some Germany right now at -2 -130. More worried about this going to -2.5 than giving up some juice overnight as I am fairly confident -2 is now worse than a push. May add more in the a.m. depending on the line.
I am also going to take some Germany right now at -2 -130. More worried about this going to -2.5 than giving up some juice overnight as I am fairly confident -2 is now worse than a push. May add more in the a.m. depending on the line.
Interesting moves overnight. Germany did go to 2.5, so glad I locked in there. Not adding.
Looks like money coming in on Czech and the draw as N. Ireland moved to +200 and Pk +105. I am sticking with the Pk bet and not adding since N. Ireland has a tough time scoring and Czech is all-in for this game as they sat three starters in the Germany game with yellows so they would be ready for this game.
I am adding a little to Montenegro +145 as the line has come down from +170. This is a team that can score and I still like the situation they are in.
Looks like money coming in on Czech and the draw as N. Ireland moved to +200 and Pk +105. I am sticking with the Pk bet and not adding since N. Ireland has a tough time scoring and Czech is all-in for this game as they sat three starters in the Germany game with yellows so they would be ready for this game.
I am adding a little to Montenegro +145 as the line has come down from +170. This is a team that can score and I still like the situation they are in.
gl today...riding with you...Cup qualifiers are not my area of expertise whatsoever but I agree with the situation Montenegro is in, great spot...Trailing all 3, keep up the solid work Bason
Thanks Sub. Hopefully they work out (feel better about Montenegro than N. Ireland) since there are two more very similar situations tomorrow!
International break is wearing me out, especially since it is happening over a very busy weekend at the beach. Will cap through tomorrow and post this evening, then I will likely take a break as I will be away for a few days thru the weekend.
International break is wearing me out, especially since it is happening over a very busy weekend at the beach. Will cap through tomorrow and post this evening, then I will likely take a break as I will be away for a few days thru the weekend.
Thanks gentlemen! Nothing like a sweep to celebrate Labor Day!!
Iceland Pk-110 is going in now. They do not lose at home often and Ukraine is not the best away from Kiev. In fact, Iceland has not lost at home since 2014, so taking them in a Pk looks like a very good play. This does not even take into account their position in the table. The loss to Finland hurt, but they sit one point behind the Ukraine for 2nd place so this is a very important game for them. They need to win, but they certainly can not lose. Likely will also play the +170, but will wait until the morning.
Still looking at Ireland Pk-110 also as they have to get at least a point to stay in it and a win moves them into first place. They also have Wales right behind them which they play in the last game.
Also, someone talk me out of playing Costa Rica +140. Mexico is in, likely still partying, talking about Russia already and struggles some in Costa Rica. Costa Rica is in with a win and will want to celebrate at home.
Can't get myself to bet the US as I just do not trust them. My gut says this game will be a draw and the US will focus on qualifying in October. This is huge game for Honduras. They want revenge for the 6-0 loss plus they have to get a point as Panama will likely win.
I don't think I will even get into South America as I am a little worn out, but we will see.
More to come.
Iceland Pk-110 is going in now. They do not lose at home often and Ukraine is not the best away from Kiev. In fact, Iceland has not lost at home since 2014, so taking them in a Pk looks like a very good play. This does not even take into account their position in the table. The loss to Finland hurt, but they sit one point behind the Ukraine for 2nd place so this is a very important game for them. They need to win, but they certainly can not lose. Likely will also play the +170, but will wait until the morning.
Still looking at Ireland Pk-110 also as they have to get at least a point to stay in it and a win moves them into first place. They also have Wales right behind them which they play in the last game.
Also, someone talk me out of playing Costa Rica +140. Mexico is in, likely still partying, talking about Russia already and struggles some in Costa Rica. Costa Rica is in with a win and will want to celebrate at home.
Can't get myself to bet the US as I just do not trust them. My gut says this game will be a draw and the US will focus on qualifying in October. This is huge game for Honduras. They want revenge for the 6-0 loss plus they have to get a point as Panama will likely win.
I don't think I will even get into South America as I am a little worn out, but we will see.
More to come.
