Soccer 2017 August-December

BASON

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I like Swansea in the Cup today. Dons are not a good team and Swansea needs something positive after the start to their season. Will be surprised if they do no win this one.
 

PittsburghKid

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-2.2* on year. Beginning of seasons as with last two have always been like
Trucking through mud early on for me.. meh...
sorry everyone for being mia a few days.. got back from Vegas on red eye Sunday morning then started tow a days Monday morning And been busy coaching since. Have a bit of time before bed and such so wanted to touch base. Favorite time of year for me with actual HS season starting. Plus pro soccer leagues underway

Europa

Ludogorets FH 19* to win 10* (steep early season but like it)
Midtjylland +.5 3* to win 2*
Bate 3.3* to win 3*
Ac Milan FH -1 5* to win 4*

EPL

Leicester 4.2* to win 3*
Huddersfield/Newcastle draw 1* to win 2.2*
Man U -1 18* to win 10* right now they have to like this spot, very winnable games to collect points with no other competitions going on so focus is on these games.

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Adding Europa

Fenerbahce -1 6* to win 4*
Fenerbache -2 1* to win 2.2*

Vardar has No more " stable"financial support (owner has up and left from what I heard? Maybe someone can fill
Me in on this?) terrible new head coach from reports .. anyhow it doesn't sound good for them.



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Sorry everyone for the start to the season.. -11.5* we'll get it turned around

Before I post Europe plays does anyone not LOVe arsenal Liverpool FH over 1 ? And over 2.5 even though -170.. over 1 with those defenses and attacks screams at least a push?

Champ league

Young boys +.5 1* to win 1.1*
Copenhagen to advance 10* to win 14*
Copenhagen 14* to win 10*
Copenhagen -1 3* to win 4.2*
Copenhagen wins 2-0 1* to win 6.5*
Liverpool/Hoffenheim over 2.5 6* to win 3*



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BASON

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Looks like Kid beat me to it on Copenhagen today. Not a lot of stats for this one, but Copenhagen has 6 clean sheets at home in its last 10 CL games and Qarabag has a difficult time scoring. Good situation at home after a 1-0 loss on the road. See a 1 or 2-0 game. Only thing that scares me is that this line did not move up at all, and even dropped in places, overnight.

I do disagree with the Young Boys (and only mention it since it is only a 1 unit play for Kid) since they have 1W and 7L in their last 7 CL road games, while Moscow has 7W 2D and 1L in their last 10 CL games. I assume Kid is playing the draw here, which is very possible, but given that Moscow is only up 1-0, I think they still have to play to win. Plus, it is always a difficult trip to Russia. Also like the line move up overnight.

Lots of stats also support Bucuresti at home over Lisbon. Sporting has not won in the CL on the road since 2008 (7L and 3D) and has not kept a clean sheet on the road in over 9 years. Bucuresti has only lost twice at home in their last 10 CL home games. Sporting may be the better team, but their inability to win at home coupled with their very poor road record makes Steaua at +345 and +.5 -110 a very good value bet in my opinion.

I am very tempted to take Hoffenheim +1 against Liverpool. Hoffenheim struggled with nerves and expectations at home. I think they will play much better today and Liverpool still has defensive issues. Agree with Kid on the over as we should see at least 3 in this game. If I play Hoffenheim +1, I definitely back it up with the over.

I also like West Ham Ov 3 -120 in the Cup. This should be like the Swansea and Leicester games yesterday.
 

BASON

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Playing Midtjylland Ov 2.5 -150 tomorrow. Think it may go to 3, its is rare for them to play a game without 3 goals lately.

May play Hajduk +.5 also as I think Everton is in a tough spot after the Man City draw, with Chelsea on deck and a 2-0 home win in the bag. Doubt they will be very aggressive.
 

BASON

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Midtjylland presses like crazy for the goal and we get the counter and the penalty and Limassol misses the penalty in the 82' and the game ends in a 1-1 draw (M has not drawn in 11 matches or played a game under 3 goals in 7). Just a brutal, brutal loss. I hate the Euro league!


Playing Cologne tomorrow. Hamburg just a bad road team.
 

PittsburghKid

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-37.5* I apologize greatly
For start of year. Only good news is last year I was as low as -40 and ended up in great shape.. it will turn around. Bank on it ..




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PittsburghKid

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Sunday

Loved this all week

Liverpool/arsenal FH over 1 16* to win 10*

Nothing else stands out as of now so for now just this


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BASON

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Hopefully we both get it going Kid.

I don't like much either today, but I am going to take Huddersfield +.5 -110. Didn't like the line movement, but I just don't think Southhampton should be -105 on the road against anyone. Not sure I understand the line movement in the Watford game either. B&H has shown nothing so far this season. This is a game Watford should win.
 

BASON

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Mark Dean is a disgrace to the game! I am sick and tired of him ruining matches. Premier League is getting dangerously close to having refs as bad as the NFL. Sorry for the rant, but it is the same old BS week after week, and we are just getting started. Can't wait until they likely get review next year, then it will be a complete disaster.
 

Penguinfan

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Mark Dean is a disgrace to the game! I am sick and tired of him ruining matches. Premier League is getting dangerously close to having refs as bad as the NFL. Sorry for the rant, but it is the same old BS week after week, and we are just getting started. Can't wait until they likely get review next year, then it will be a complete disaster.

I was watching that mess in awe.
 

BASON

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Playing Man U at the half. They are completely dominating this game. Don't care what the line is. Will lay the lumber and -1.

The ref needs to get his head out his ass in this game also!
 

PittsburghKid

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Playing Man U at the half. They are completely dominating this game. Don't care what the line is. Will lay the lumber and -1.

The ref needs to get his head out his ass in this game also!

Good call. I thought about this but was putting a new bed together and just watched for enjoyment... I'm glad I got them in to win a trophy this year.


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BASON

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Thanks, was a little pissed after Lukaku missed the penalty since I laid a lot of $$, but it was only a matter of time. Rashford should be starting. Have a feeling he maybe showcasing Martial for a sale.

They are playing like I expected them to last year. They are beginning to click and will be very dangerous when they totally get it together. They also got a great Champions League draw so think they definitely advance there. And if Ibra comes back at full strength, watch out.

Have to think that Crystal coach gets fired tomorrow. Losing at home to Huddersfield and Swansea to nil is tough to overcome. West Ham coach is in serious trouble also.
 

PittsburghKid

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Soccer 2017 August-December

Sunday

Loved this all week

Liverpool/arsenal FH over 1 16* to win 10*

Nothing else stands out as of now so for now just this

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Spurs FH 4.2* to win 3*
Spurs/burnley FH over 1 1.6* to win 1*

Chelsea first home game was putrid in so many ways. Big win at spurs last weekend. You'd have to think Chelsea comes home and performs well in front of home fans ?

Chelsea -1 2.8* to win 2*
Chelsea 2.5* to win 1*


I agree Bason Man U is going to win me a good chunk this year .. to win their CL group is -250 but I'll Be on it.. practically free money and they will want to win their group to play a 2nd place team .

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PittsburghKid

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Thanks Bason I'm adding to.. arsenal can't defend, Liverpool can score and arsenal can score as well.. I think 2 goals are very achievable..

Arsenal / Liverpool over 3.5 4.5* to win 3*


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PittsburghKid

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Arsenal are in shambles. Defense is just a disaster.'only way this team makes CL is by winning Europa league against a lot of lesser competition.. can't see this team coming near top 4 in current form


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