Sunday Service Plays 6/8/08
- Thread starter the duke
- Start date
Bob Balfe
NBA
Lakers -1 over Celtics
This is obviously a big game for the Lakers to steal home court advantage. The NBA format is 2-3-2 so a win here could have the Lakers staying in LA for good. I think the NBA wanted a good matchup between two teams with great tradition. This is a game where Kobe takes over all by himself. Look for the Lakers offense to do a little more tonight. Boston has been playing on pure emotion. Sooner or later they are going to need more than that.
Major League Baseball
Giants +110 over Nationals
Zito/Mock
Savannah Sports
2 Units on NY Mets -142
NBA
Lakers -1 over Celtics
This is obviously a big game for the Lakers to steal home court advantage. The NBA format is 2-3-2 so a win here could have the Lakers staying in LA for good. I think the NBA wanted a good matchup between two teams with great tradition. This is a game where Kobe takes over all by himself. Look for the Lakers offense to do a little more tonight. Boston has been playing on pure emotion. Sooner or later they are going to need more than that.
Major League Baseball
Giants +110 over Nationals
Zito/Mock
Savannah Sports
2 Units on NY Mets -142
PlusLineSports
Daily Baseball Selection
Sunday, June 8 Daily Selection :
KC(Greinke) vs. NYY(Chamberlain)
NYY -1.5 224 (+124)
Line origin: Pinnacle @1:10 am CST on June 8
Game time is June 8 at 12:05 pm Central Standard Time(U.S.)
Jeffmoney
(mlb) Redsox -140 (pod)
(mlb) Braves -135
Daily Baseball Selection
Sunday, June 8 Daily Selection :
KC(Greinke) vs. NYY(Chamberlain)
NYY -1.5 224 (+124)
Line origin: Pinnacle @1:10 am CST on June 8
Game time is June 8 at 12:05 pm Central Standard Time(U.S.)
Jeffmoney
(mlb) Redsox -140 (pod)
(mlb) Braves -135
Frank Rosenthal
SUNDAY, JUNE 08, 2008
NBA CHAMPIONSHIP FINALS
GAME 2
LAKERS VS CELTICS
503 LAKERS+1 SB+
OVER 190 AB+
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
951 REDS-120 SB
956 BRAVES-125 SB
958 NATS EVEN SB
962 ROCKIES-115 SB
966 DODGERS-120 SB
968 TIGERS-150 SB
974 BOSOX-135 SB
979 RAYS-125 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
SUNDAY, JUNE 08, 2008
NBA CHAMPIONSHIP FINALS
GAME 2
LAKERS VS CELTICS
503 LAKERS+1 SB+
OVER 190 AB+
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
951 REDS-120 SB
956 BRAVES-125 SB
958 NATS EVEN SB
962 ROCKIES-115 SB
966 DODGERS-120 SB
968 TIGERS-150 SB
974 BOSOX-135 SB
979 RAYS-125 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
Indian Cowboy
NBA Basketball - Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics - Sunday June 8, 2008 9:00 pm
3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 190.5 (-110)
I believe there is an ebb and flow to a series. The trick is trying to figure out which way that flow's going to go. I took the under in game one because that was how these teams seem to play in the first game of a series, they play a little tighter and the play slows down. In game 2 tonight I see the game going over. In pretty much each of the 2nd games in each of these team's previous playoff series the game has either gone over, or they put up a ton of points but it stayed under because of the defensive stops. I don't think either team will get enough defensive stops to keep the game under tonight. Kobe and Garnett should shoot better and the line has dropped a few points from the first game because of the under in the first game. All that should help the game go over tonight.
MLB Baseball - Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers - Sunday June 8, 2008 8:05 pm
3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 8.5 (-120)
What the hell has happened to Brad Penny this year? He has lost 5 of his last 6. He's given up 5 or more earned runs in 4 of those 6 games. This terrible pitching has caused 61% of his starts to go over. On the other side Jason Marquis goes for the Cubs. He has consistently given up 3 or more earned runs per game. He never really gets killed, but he never really throws a gem either. But those three or more runs generally come in about 5, maybe 6 innings as he doesn't go deep into games very often.
NBA Basketball - Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics - Sunday June 8, 2008 9:00 pm
3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 190.5 (-110)
I believe there is an ebb and flow to a series. The trick is trying to figure out which way that flow's going to go. I took the under in game one because that was how these teams seem to play in the first game of a series, they play a little tighter and the play slows down. In game 2 tonight I see the game going over. In pretty much each of the 2nd games in each of these team's previous playoff series the game has either gone over, or they put up a ton of points but it stayed under because of the defensive stops. I don't think either team will get enough defensive stops to keep the game under tonight. Kobe and Garnett should shoot better and the line has dropped a few points from the first game because of the under in the first game. All that should help the game go over tonight.
MLB Baseball - Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers - Sunday June 8, 2008 8:05 pm
3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 8.5 (-120)
What the hell has happened to Brad Penny this year? He has lost 5 of his last 6. He's given up 5 or more earned runs in 4 of those 6 games. This terrible pitching has caused 61% of his starts to go over. On the other side Jason Marquis goes for the Cubs. He has consistently given up 3 or more earned runs per game. He never really gets killed, but he never really throws a gem either. But those three or more runs generally come in about 5, maybe 6 innings as he doesn't go deep into games very often.
DR BOB
Sunday Analysis
L.A. Lakers (pick) over BOSTON
Boston was favored by 2 ? and 3 points in game 1 and the Celtics are now favored by only 1 point after winning that game by 10 points. The Lakers? game 1 loss sets them up in a very strong 63-23-2 ATS situation for game 2, but the oddsmakers have adjusted the line too much to make Los Angeles worthy of a Best Bet. The normal adjustment is about 1 point for the team coming off the loss in game 1 and I make the fair line on this game 2.3 points after that adjustment, with a total of 190 ? points. The situation is still strong enough to favor Los Angeles to cover, but I?ll just lean with the Lakers at +1 or pick, consider the Lakers a Strong Opinion at +1 ? points, and I would have taken LA in a 2-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more. I have no opinion on the total.
Computer Crusher
Guaranteed Selections
5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
Detroit w/Galarraga -150
Guaranteed Selections
5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
Detroit w/Galarraga -150
WUNDERDOG
Game: Seattle at Boston (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -137 (moneyline)
The Red Sox have won seven of their last nine games. They have averaged 5.9 runs per game over that span and that includes one game in which they were blanked! They face Erik Bedard here who has the name, but not the performance this year. On the road he's got an 8.85 ERA and in his last three starts he's lasted just 4.9 innings on average. Young Justin Masterson has been stellar in three appearances for the Sox, posting a 2.95 ERA. Seattle averaged just 4.1 runs per game and they have lost 13 of 17 games and Bedard doesn't have his stuff right now. Boston is 21-4 this season at home against teams that hit .265 or worse! This line should be much higher and as such, we'll jump on Boston
Game: Seattle at Boston (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -137 (moneyline)
The Red Sox have won seven of their last nine games. They have averaged 5.9 runs per game over that span and that includes one game in which they were blanked! They face Erik Bedard here who has the name, but not the performance this year. On the road he's got an 8.85 ERA and in his last three starts he's lasted just 4.9 innings on average. Young Justin Masterson has been stellar in three appearances for the Sox, posting a 2.95 ERA. Seattle averaged just 4.1 runs per game and they have lost 13 of 17 games and Bedard doesn't have his stuff right now. Boston is 21-4 this season at home against teams that hit .265 or worse! This line should be much higher and as such, we'll jump on Boston
LT Profits
San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals Under 9.0
The oft-maligned Barry Zito of the San Francisco Giants has pitched a bit better lately and should be able to keep the weak Washington Nationals offense in check, while the equally bad Giants offense is facing a first-time starter.
Zito was lit up my the Mets in his last start, but that snapped a nice streak of five consecutive starts where he allowed three runs or less. He tossed a gem the last time he faced the Nationals, allowing one run on just two hits in seven innings, and he is catching a depleted Washington offense here that is hitting .222 as a team while averaging a woeful 2.80 runs over the last 10 games.
Now granted, the Giants have picked things up a bit with the bats lately, but they are still averaging just 4.08 runs per game for the year and it is unlikely that they will put this game Over by themselves. The Nats have recalled Garrett Mock to take this start, and while he is obviously an unknown commodity, Sa Francisco has had a tough enough time hitting pitchers that they have seen this year, let alone someone nobody has faced yet.
The bottom line is that we expect a rather low scoring contest in the nation?s capital this afternoon.
Giants/Nationals Under 9
Philadelphia Phillies +125
The Philadelphia Phillies have taken the first two games of this series on the road vs. the Atlanta Braves, and while the knee-jerk reaction would be to look at the Braves to avoid the home sweep, that seems to be factored into this nice price for the Phils.
Adam Eaton is pitching his best ball of the season right now with three consecutive Quality Starts, and he allowed exactly one run in each of his last two outings. In fact, is WHIP for the season of 1.35 seems to be low for someone with a 4.63 ERA, and Eaton?s current form is an indication that the ERA is starting to get in line with his WHIP, which is also a good sign. Also, do not forget that the Phillies lead the Major Leagues with a 2.63 bullpen ERA, and it is the pens that have decided the first two games of this series.
Atlanta starter Jorge Campillo pitched brilliantly in his first three starts, but the league may be catching up to him as he allowed four earned runs and seven baserunners in only four innings in his last start. In fact, since going six innings in his first start of the year, Campillo has failed to go more than five innings in any of his last three outings. That is bad news for a crumbling Atlanta bullpen that blew a save in the ninth inning of a 10-inning loss on Friday and that turned a 2-2 game into a 6-2 loss in the last two innings last night.
Finally, Philadelphia is 6-2 in their last eight games here in Atlanta and we look for that uncanny success to continue today.
Phillies +125
San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals Under 9.0
The oft-maligned Barry Zito of the San Francisco Giants has pitched a bit better lately and should be able to keep the weak Washington Nationals offense in check, while the equally bad Giants offense is facing a first-time starter.
Zito was lit up my the Mets in his last start, but that snapped a nice streak of five consecutive starts where he allowed three runs or less. He tossed a gem the last time he faced the Nationals, allowing one run on just two hits in seven innings, and he is catching a depleted Washington offense here that is hitting .222 as a team while averaging a woeful 2.80 runs over the last 10 games.
Now granted, the Giants have picked things up a bit with the bats lately, but they are still averaging just 4.08 runs per game for the year and it is unlikely that they will put this game Over by themselves. The Nats have recalled Garrett Mock to take this start, and while he is obviously an unknown commodity, Sa Francisco has had a tough enough time hitting pitchers that they have seen this year, let alone someone nobody has faced yet.
The bottom line is that we expect a rather low scoring contest in the nation?s capital this afternoon.
Giants/Nationals Under 9
Philadelphia Phillies +125
The Philadelphia Phillies have taken the first two games of this series on the road vs. the Atlanta Braves, and while the knee-jerk reaction would be to look at the Braves to avoid the home sweep, that seems to be factored into this nice price for the Phils.
Adam Eaton is pitching his best ball of the season right now with three consecutive Quality Starts, and he allowed exactly one run in each of his last two outings. In fact, is WHIP for the season of 1.35 seems to be low for someone with a 4.63 ERA, and Eaton?s current form is an indication that the ERA is starting to get in line with his WHIP, which is also a good sign. Also, do not forget that the Phillies lead the Major Leagues with a 2.63 bullpen ERA, and it is the pens that have decided the first two games of this series.
Atlanta starter Jorge Campillo pitched brilliantly in his first three starts, but the league may be catching up to him as he allowed four earned runs and seven baserunners in only four innings in his last start. In fact, since going six innings in his first start of the year, Campillo has failed to go more than five innings in any of his last three outings. That is bad news for a crumbling Atlanta bullpen that blew a save in the ninth inning of a 10-inning loss on Friday and that turned a 2-2 game into a 6-2 loss in the last two innings last night.
Finally, Philadelphia is 6-2 in their last eight games here in Atlanta and we look for that uncanny success to continue today.
Phillies +125
Comps
Ben Burns
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays
REASON FOR PICK: This game is too 'expensive' to qualify as one of my 'guaranteed' plays. All the same, Halladay vs. Liz is a serious mismatch. Halladay has been one of the best in the big leagues for years. He's 3-0 with a stellar 1.57 ERA his last three starts and he's 16-4 (2.84 ERA) over his career vs. the Orioles. In fact, the Jays' ace is 6-0 with a 2.54 ERA his last eight starts against the Orioles. Liz was respetable in this season's lone start, holding the Twins to two runs through 5 2/3 innings. However, let's not forget that he was 0-2 with a 6.93 ERA in nine games, including four starts, last year. Even with a win yesterday, the Orioles are still just 7-14 when playing in the afternoon this season. Looking back further and we find them at a money-burning 46-73 in day games the past three seasons. The Jays are 8-1 the last nine times they were home favorites in the -200 to -225 range and 26-12 their last 38 in that role. Halladay has been 'money in the bank' for years when the Jays were coming off a loss. Look for him to 'do his thing' as Toronto avoids the sweep and improves to 15-5 when playing during the afternoon
Matt Fargo
Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Los Angeles Angels
The Angels took Game Two last night as they remain red hot. They have now won seven straight games and it has been due to excellent pitching. Los Angeles has allowed just 2.7 rpg during this winning streak which is huge considering the offense has not scored more than five runs in any of those games. This offense is definitely due for a breakout and this could be the game despite going up against a top notch starter. The Angels are now 21-11 on the road, easily the best mark in the bigs.
Oakland is now 5.5 games behind the Angels in the American League West as it has dropped six of its last 10 games. The A?s have been one of the streakiest teams around as they lost seven of eight, then won five straight, lost four straight, won four straight and now have dropped two in a row. The offense has been handcuffed in the first two games against the Angels and it has scored three runs or fewer in four of the six meetings this season. Oakland is 2-5 in its last seven games as a favorite of -150 or less.
Ervin Santana looks to be back. He started the season as good as any pitcher has, going 6-0 with a 2.02 ERA through his first seven starts. He hit a road bump with three straight non-quality outings that knocked his ERA up to 3.24. His last two starts however were gems, allowing two runs in each while picking up the win in both. Facing Oakland makes things even better as he is 8-1 with a 1.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 10 career starts against the A?s, all of which have been quality outings.
Rich Harden looks to be back as well as he has tossed four straight quality starts after getting roughed up by the Rangers in his initial start returning from the disabled list. He is coming off two straight no decisions and that is due to the offense behind him as the bats produced just four total runs in those two games. He has not gone against the Angels in two years so things have changed but half of his last eight starts have been non-quality including allowing six runs in two of the last three. Play Los Angeles Angels 1.5 Units
Larry Ness
Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Oakland Athletics
The Angels continue to prove that they do not need a lot of runs to win games. Since the Angels beat their LA-rivals the Dodgers 10-2 back on May 18, they've yet to score more than five runs in ANY of their last 17 games. However, last night's 5-3 win in Oakland was the team's seventh straight and the 13th in its last 17, despite averaging a modest 3.29 RPG. Saturday's win moved the Angels into a tie with the Cubs for the best record in the majors (39-24), increased their lead in the AL West over the A's (33-29) to 5 1/2 games and gave them a 21-11 road mark, the best mark in all of MLB. Can the Angels make it a three-game sweep in McAfee Coliseum today? Ervin Santana will try and lead them to a win and he's been one of the more surprising pitchers of '08, so far. Most baseball fans know his story. In his first three seasons with the Angels, Santana pitched with confidence at home, posting a solid ERA of 3.43 with the Angels going 31-14 in those starts. However, Santana seemed totally 'lost' when on the road, posting an awful 7.28 ERA, as the Angels went 13-26. Santana was just abysmal away from Anaheim last season going 1-10 with an 8.38 ERA on the road, as the Angels went 3-11 in his 14 away starts. So what's been the story in '08? Santana is 8-2 with a 3.02 ERA overall and finally, has begun to pitch well away from home. He's 5-1 with a 3.59 ERA on the road this year in seven starts (team is 5-2). Now beating the A's has never been a problem for Santana, as he's 8-1 with a 1.27 ERA 10 career starts against them (Angels are 8-2). So does that mean I'm taking the Angels? Actually, no. Oakland's Rich Harden will oppose Santana and I'm looking for him to "come up big" in this one. Harden pitched two excellent games early this season against the Red Sox (one in Japan and one in Oakland), allowing just seven hits and only one ER in 11 innings (0.82 ERA). He then spent more than a month on the DL with a shoulder problem, returning May 11 with a start in Texas. He got 'ripped' in that game (3.2 IP / 8 hits / 5 ERs) but has been brilliant since. He's allowed only 18 hits and just six ERs (over 26.2 innings) in his last four outings, for a 2.03 ERA. Expect Harden to hold the Angels in check (not a tough task these days) and while Santana owns that great career mark vs the A's and has been a "different pitcher" this year on the road, let me point out that the A's are 8-1 vs right-handed starters in day games this year, averaging 6.7 RPG. Take the A's to avoid the home sweep.
Carlo Campanella
New York Mets at San Diego Padres
Prediction: New York Mets
The New York Mets send Pedro Martinez to the mound in San Diego on Sunday. San Diego has struggled on offense this season, averaging just 3.6 Runs Per Game with a .240 team Batting Average. That's BIG news for NY as Martinez's has watch his teams post an AMAZING 18-2 record against N.L. teams hitting .250 or worse, winning those games by an average of 4 Runs!!!
7* Play On NY Mets
John Ryan
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB) - Jun 8, 2008 1:35 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 125 Seattle Mariners Pick Title: Seattle
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle Mariners ? Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 55-43 and has made 47.8 units since 1997. Play on AL road dogs in June with a money line of +100 or higher that is a poor hitting team batting <=.260 and is now facing a good starting pitcher sporting an ERA <=4.20. Seattle starter may not be showing strong flash stats, but he is in a very strong role for this game. Note that he is 7-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line versus an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 8-2 versus LH starters this season so why is the line posted with Boston only a slight favorite? Every once in a while there are lines posted that make me think ?what in the world is that?? and many times that lends itself to a contrarian play. The public is all over Boston with this skinny line and that too adds to the strength of a possible upset. Bedard is also 10-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opposition by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Seattle.
Ben Burns
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays
REASON FOR PICK: This game is too 'expensive' to qualify as one of my 'guaranteed' plays. All the same, Halladay vs. Liz is a serious mismatch. Halladay has been one of the best in the big leagues for years. He's 3-0 with a stellar 1.57 ERA his last three starts and he's 16-4 (2.84 ERA) over his career vs. the Orioles. In fact, the Jays' ace is 6-0 with a 2.54 ERA his last eight starts against the Orioles. Liz was respetable in this season's lone start, holding the Twins to two runs through 5 2/3 innings. However, let's not forget that he was 0-2 with a 6.93 ERA in nine games, including four starts, last year. Even with a win yesterday, the Orioles are still just 7-14 when playing in the afternoon this season. Looking back further and we find them at a money-burning 46-73 in day games the past three seasons. The Jays are 8-1 the last nine times they were home favorites in the -200 to -225 range and 26-12 their last 38 in that role. Halladay has been 'money in the bank' for years when the Jays were coming off a loss. Look for him to 'do his thing' as Toronto avoids the sweep and improves to 15-5 when playing during the afternoon
Matt Fargo
Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Los Angeles Angels
The Angels took Game Two last night as they remain red hot. They have now won seven straight games and it has been due to excellent pitching. Los Angeles has allowed just 2.7 rpg during this winning streak which is huge considering the offense has not scored more than five runs in any of those games. This offense is definitely due for a breakout and this could be the game despite going up against a top notch starter. The Angels are now 21-11 on the road, easily the best mark in the bigs.
Oakland is now 5.5 games behind the Angels in the American League West as it has dropped six of its last 10 games. The A?s have been one of the streakiest teams around as they lost seven of eight, then won five straight, lost four straight, won four straight and now have dropped two in a row. The offense has been handcuffed in the first two games against the Angels and it has scored three runs or fewer in four of the six meetings this season. Oakland is 2-5 in its last seven games as a favorite of -150 or less.
Ervin Santana looks to be back. He started the season as good as any pitcher has, going 6-0 with a 2.02 ERA through his first seven starts. He hit a road bump with three straight non-quality outings that knocked his ERA up to 3.24. His last two starts however were gems, allowing two runs in each while picking up the win in both. Facing Oakland makes things even better as he is 8-1 with a 1.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 10 career starts against the A?s, all of which have been quality outings.
Rich Harden looks to be back as well as he has tossed four straight quality starts after getting roughed up by the Rangers in his initial start returning from the disabled list. He is coming off two straight no decisions and that is due to the offense behind him as the bats produced just four total runs in those two games. He has not gone against the Angels in two years so things have changed but half of his last eight starts have been non-quality including allowing six runs in two of the last three. Play Los Angeles Angels 1.5 Units
Larry Ness
Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Oakland Athletics
The Angels continue to prove that they do not need a lot of runs to win games. Since the Angels beat their LA-rivals the Dodgers 10-2 back on May 18, they've yet to score more than five runs in ANY of their last 17 games. However, last night's 5-3 win in Oakland was the team's seventh straight and the 13th in its last 17, despite averaging a modest 3.29 RPG. Saturday's win moved the Angels into a tie with the Cubs for the best record in the majors (39-24), increased their lead in the AL West over the A's (33-29) to 5 1/2 games and gave them a 21-11 road mark, the best mark in all of MLB. Can the Angels make it a three-game sweep in McAfee Coliseum today? Ervin Santana will try and lead them to a win and he's been one of the more surprising pitchers of '08, so far. Most baseball fans know his story. In his first three seasons with the Angels, Santana pitched with confidence at home, posting a solid ERA of 3.43 with the Angels going 31-14 in those starts. However, Santana seemed totally 'lost' when on the road, posting an awful 7.28 ERA, as the Angels went 13-26. Santana was just abysmal away from Anaheim last season going 1-10 with an 8.38 ERA on the road, as the Angels went 3-11 in his 14 away starts. So what's been the story in '08? Santana is 8-2 with a 3.02 ERA overall and finally, has begun to pitch well away from home. He's 5-1 with a 3.59 ERA on the road this year in seven starts (team is 5-2). Now beating the A's has never been a problem for Santana, as he's 8-1 with a 1.27 ERA 10 career starts against them (Angels are 8-2). So does that mean I'm taking the Angels? Actually, no. Oakland's Rich Harden will oppose Santana and I'm looking for him to "come up big" in this one. Harden pitched two excellent games early this season against the Red Sox (one in Japan and one in Oakland), allowing just seven hits and only one ER in 11 innings (0.82 ERA). He then spent more than a month on the DL with a shoulder problem, returning May 11 with a start in Texas. He got 'ripped' in that game (3.2 IP / 8 hits / 5 ERs) but has been brilliant since. He's allowed only 18 hits and just six ERs (over 26.2 innings) in his last four outings, for a 2.03 ERA. Expect Harden to hold the Angels in check (not a tough task these days) and while Santana owns that great career mark vs the A's and has been a "different pitcher" this year on the road, let me point out that the A's are 8-1 vs right-handed starters in day games this year, averaging 6.7 RPG. Take the A's to avoid the home sweep.
Carlo Campanella
New York Mets at San Diego Padres
Prediction: New York Mets
The New York Mets send Pedro Martinez to the mound in San Diego on Sunday. San Diego has struggled on offense this season, averaging just 3.6 Runs Per Game with a .240 team Batting Average. That's BIG news for NY as Martinez's has watch his teams post an AMAZING 18-2 record against N.L. teams hitting .250 or worse, winning those games by an average of 4 Runs!!!
7* Play On NY Mets
John Ryan
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB) - Jun 8, 2008 1:35 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 125 Seattle Mariners Pick Title: Seattle
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle Mariners ? Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 55-43 and has made 47.8 units since 1997. Play on AL road dogs in June with a money line of +100 or higher that is a poor hitting team batting <=.260 and is now facing a good starting pitcher sporting an ERA <=4.20. Seattle starter may not be showing strong flash stats, but he is in a very strong role for this game. Note that he is 7-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line versus an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 8-2 versus LH starters this season so why is the line posted with Boston only a slight favorite? Every once in a while there are lines posted that make me think ?what in the world is that?? and many times that lends itself to a contrarian play. The public is all over Boston with this skinny line and that too adds to the strength of a possible upset. Bedard is also 10-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opposition by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Seattle.