Sunday Service Plays 7/27/08

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 0-2 yesterday (sea+150 detr-150)

MLB SUNDAY
COLORADO-123
LA ANGELS-142
 

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gamblersdata comp (19-18 -356 roi -7.09%)
Red Sox -152

freesportsletter comp (16-12 -75 roi -1.86%)
3*** MILWAUKEE SUPPAN -R -160

goldkeygames comp
(11-8 -25 roi -.96%)
TORONTO MARCUM -R -165 Over Seattle


Hello Boys

GMC- Comp Arizona OVER 8
 

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by Rick Needham
RACE #10 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:50 PM EASTERN POST


The Jim Dandy Stakes


9.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE II THREE YEAR OLDS $500,000.00 PURSE

#4 PYRO
#3 MINT LANE
#6 DA' TARA
#7 MACHO AGAIN For you folks who enjoy a little "Racing History" to accompany your handicapping efforts ... The The Jim Dandy recognizes the horse that scored one of racing's memorable upsets, the defeat of Triple Crown winner Gallant Fox in The Travers of 1930 at odds of 100-1. Run at one mile prior to 1971, and at seven furlongs in 1971. Here in the 45th renewal of this stakes race, #4 PYRO is the overall speed leader in this field today racing at, or about, 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" his last time out, which was his third "POWER RUN WIN" in his last five starts overall. Jockey Shaun Bridgmohan and Trainer Steve Asmussen send him to the post today ... they've hit the board with 58% of more than 500 entries saddled as a team to date
 

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Saratoga
RACE 1 1ST YELT runs solid in this classification.
2ND GIMMEAROUTINE ascends to a realistic level.

RACE 2 1ST CRIBNOTE was closing very strongly until he hit the rail. Make amends today.
2ND TALL POPPI has solid bloodlines and worked well for today?s debut.

RACE 3 1ST CRITICAL CATHY rapidly adapted to this level and all she needs is ?the? proper ride from Hill.
2ND CITY ROAR should ?roar? into second.

RACE 4 1ST BILL PLACE drops to his proper level and will be up in time.
2ND MITHAAL was claimed at this level 5 back. Coming fast.

RACE 5 1ST SPIRITED SEACAT drops and cuts back. She should run the speed down in the stretch.
2nd SURVIVED drops to her winning level and she should be right there.

RACE 6 1ST RIDE WITH THE HERD closed like a freight train in her debut. Wins this with similar effort.
2ND PUMPKIN SHELL sports nice breeding and is working well for debut.

RACE 7 1ST BELLA ATTRICE has had 3 strong efforts under similar conditions and sustains one of the top jockeys of North America.
2ND DOSE OF REALITY will lead and should stay for a share.

RACE 8 1ST IDEAL SPIRIT worked handily here Wednesday and has ?come off the pace? breeding.
2nd SAHARA WIND is well bred and should land a share.

RACE 9 1st YOU AND I FOREVER is starting to zoom past conditions and could be this good.
2ND CHRIS GOT EVEN has made a complete turnaround. Beware.

RACE 10 1ST PRYO well placed, rolls.
2ND MINT LANE should be right there.

RACE 11 1ST INTRITION MAGIC never looks back.
2ND THE ZIPSTER closes
 

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ATS Arena Football Lock Club

5 units on Philadelphia (-3 1/2) over San Jose, 3:00
 

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Matt Fargo's **86% American League Game of the Year**
**86% American League Game of the Year**

The Angels roll once again. Play Los Angeles Angels 5 Units
 

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Larry Ness

AL Game of the Month 20* Oak A's


Larry Ness 20* AL Game of the Month

The Rangers entered their three-game series with Oakland a half-game behind the A's in the AL West but behind Josh Hamilton (two-run HR and a double on Friday plus a three-run HR on Saturday), have moved 1 1/2 games ahead of Oakland (and to within 5 1/2 games of Boston in the wild card race) with 14-6 and 9-4 wins (reached Duchscherer for nine hits and eight ERS in six IP). The Rangers, who have taken EIGHT of 11 games from the A's this season, will go for the three-game sweep this afternoon, against an Oakland team which has lost four straight and NINE of 10. So why am I playing Oakland? Here's why. Let's not forget that the Rangers own the AL's worst team ERA (5.20) or that the team has allowed an average of 5.87 RPG through its 104 games (54-50) this season. Rookie Eric Hurley (1-1, 3.57 ERA) comes off the DL today to make his first start since June 29. The 22-year-old right-hander has been on the DL since July 8 with a strained left hamstring and does have four June starts under his belt. However, let's note that his ERA in his two home starts was 2.53 but 4.50 in his two road starts. He'll take on an Oakland team (52-51) in this one which is in danger of falling to .500 for the first time since April 8. While the A's are just barely over .500 vs right-handed starters this season, Hurley is catching them in their best situation in this game. The A's are a terrific 8-2 in home day games vs righties, averaging 4.9 RPG. Conversely, Oakland lefty Dana Eveland is catching the Rangers in one of their worst situations. Texas does lead the majors in team batting average (.280) and runs scored (5.58 per) but the Rangers are an unimpressive 12-20 vs left-handed starters in '08, including a poor 5-12 mark on the road (averaging just 3.2 RPG!). Eveland has really been good for the A's this year (came from Arizona in the Haren trade). His record may be just 7-7 with a 3.65 ERA in 20 starts (team is 10-10) but he's allowed more than three runs in just THREE of his 20 starts (read that slowly!). Few pitchers can make that claim in '08! The A's are struggling right now but the game situations plus the pitching matchup (or mismatch!) makes them the play in this one.

AL Game of the Month 20* Oak A's.
 

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Frank Rosenthal

SUNDAY, JULY 27, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB
951 CARDS UNDER 7.5 SB+
953 ROCKIES-120 SB
955 PADRES-115 SB
UNDER 7.5 SB+
957 BRAVES+125 SB
961 FISH UNDER 10 SB
963 DBACKS-140 SB
971 CWS+110 SB
973 ANGELS-135 SB
979 YANKS+165 SB
OVER 10 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
 

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Ben Burns

Boston Red Sox -165 / 5 units

I'm laying the price with BOSTON. Every game between these two hated rivals is a 'big' one, for both teams. Tonight's game is arguably 'bigger' for the Bosox though. That's because they're on the verge of losing three straight games at home for the first time and seeing the Yankees pull even with them in the standings. I expect the Red Sox to respond with a massive effort. I also expect them to enjoy a 'big' edge in the pitching department. Both starters have impressive win/loss records. However, Lester has been the much better pitcher recently. Last time out, he pitched 7 1/3 scoreless inning at Seattle, striking out six without walking a batter. The Red Sox won that game by a score of 4-0. Earlier this month, he tossed a complete game shutout at Yankee Stadium, allowing only five hits while recording eight K's to just two walks. The Red Sox won that game by a score of 7-0. Even including a sub-par outing vs. the Twins (Red Sox still won that game) which was mixed in between the two shutouts, he's still got an outstanding 1.91 ERA and 1.141 WHIP his last three outings. On the other hand, Ponson is starting to show his true colors. He's been a below-average pitcher for several years in a row and he's beginning to allow an awful lot of baserunners. In fact, he has an ugly 5.94 ERA and 1.80 WHIP his last three outings, allowing 31 baserunners in just 16 2/3 innings. He can't be too happy to face a highly motivated Red Sox lineup which should again have both Ramirez and Ortiz together. Indeed, Ortiz has a .444 average against him while Ramirez has a .404 mark against him. Overall, he's 3-11 with a terrible 6.61 ERA and 1.749 WHIP in 20 starts against the Red Sox. The last time he pitched at Fenway was in August of 2006 (also vs. Lester) and he allowed seven runs (6 earned) in just three innings of work. The price, which may seem a bit steep at first glance, seems much more reasonable when considering that the Red Sox are a highly profitable 15-2 the last 17 times they were listed in the -150 to -175 range. Look for them to rise to the occasion and avoid the sweep.
 

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Matt Fargo's **86% American League Game of the Year**
**86% American League Game of the Year**

The Angels roll once again. Play Los Angeles Angels 5 Units

Write Up


Two teams that are going in complete opposite directions square off again tonight. The Orioles are now a season-high seven games under .500 after losing their fifth straight and 14th in their last 18. The recent homestand has been a disaster as Baltimore is 3-7 and it has dropped nine of its last 12 games at Camden Yards to drop to 28-23. Pitching has been an absolute disaster as the ERA from the starters is a whopping 8.35 over the last 10 games while allowing 6.7 rpg over that span. Baltimore is now 1-9 in its last 10 against the A.L. West.

While the Orioles are losing, the Angels are winning and starting to run away with the American League West. They have won four straight and nine of their last 10 games to remain 10.5 games over the Rangers. Los Angeles is 33-18 on the road which is the best road record in all of baseball and by a wide margin. The Angels have a 3.52 ERA away from home which is also best in baseball. Los Angeles is 14-3 in its last 17 games as a road favorite between -110 to -150.

Ervin Santana can consider this season a turnaround season simply because he has been able to cure his road pitching woes. He is 8-1 with a 3.44 ERA in 12 starts which is remarkable considering he went 1-10 with an 8.38 ERA last season and posted a 5.95 ERA in 2006. He has tossed two straight quality starts and his K/BB ratio is a solid 18:2. In five career starts against the Orioles, he is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The Angels are 8-1 in his last nine starts as a favorite between -110 to -150.

Baltimore sends another one of its battered and beaten starters to the hill as now it is Garrett Olsen's turn. He has been horrendous after a very good start to the season. Through his first eight starts, Olsen posted a 3.86 ERA which included four quality outings. In his eight starts since then, he posted an 8.62 ERA with not a single quality start in the mix. Olson has given up no less than five runs in any of his starts in July. The Orioles are 1-6 in Olson's last seven starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Angels roll once again. Play Los Angeles Angels 5 Units
 

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PlusLineSports

Daily Baseball Pick

Sunday July 27, 2008 MLB Daily Selections:

LA Angels(Santana) vs Baltimore Orioles(Olsen)

LA Angels -1.5(+116) Runline, Moneyline (-136)

Line Origin: Pinnacle @ 6:45 am CST July 27

Game Time is 12:35 pm CST July 27
 

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King Creole

MLB Money Line
double-dime bet977 TEX (+110)SportBet vs 978 OAK
Analysis: 4:05pm ET / Texas Rangers with Hurley @ Oakland Athletics with Eveland
2** BEST BET on: TEXAS RANGERS
*BOX (specify) both scheduled starting pitchers

The host Oakland A's are in the midst of a massive FREE FALL as they have lost each of the first tow games of this series.... and NINE of their last TEN games overall. And the best news is that we have a "play ON" situation for a 'SWEEPING DOG" on Sunday afternoon. The highly profitable "Sweeping Dog" System tells us to play ON a road Underdog if they have won EACH of the first two games of a series... as long as they were priced as a dog in each of those first two games. And since the HOT Rangers were priced as Dogs of +166 and +105 in the first two games of this series, we have a qualifying situation on Sunday.

With the winds blowing straight OUT to Center Field this afternoon )14+ MPH), the big-time hitting advantage for the Rangers is magnified even more on Sunday. Oakland has 3 big sticks still on the DL in Thomas, Chavez, and Mike Sweeney. Their top hitter (Ryan Sweeney) did not play on Saturday (finger) and his status is also up in the air for this third game of the series. This Oakland/Texas series has been pretty one-sided for 2+ seasons now. Texas is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings... and 5-1 "In THIS Park".

We know all about Dana Eveland of the Okaland A's as he is one of the pitchers on the fantasy baseball teams of Speedee's master. And his recent numbers are prime "play AGAINST" material. We start off with the fact that he has allowed more WALKS (13) than STRIKEOUTS (9) in his last 3 starts. This is usually a pretty good indicator of potential "Blow Up" material. Eveland's ERA in those last three starts is 5.17 and opponents are hitting .425 vs him. He has not made it to the 6th inning in ANY of his last 4 starts. And he already face the Rangers once this season (back in May)... and lost 6-4. He's also a PERFECT 0-5 in his last 5 starts against the better teams (> .500) in the American League. Meanwhile, young Eric Hurley has looked very sharp in each of his last three starts, and hasn't given up more than TWO earned runs in any of 'em (2.70 ERA). There's always a clear-cut advantage for a pitcher who has NEVER faced the opponent he is going against... and that's the case for the youngster this afternoon.

SUNDAYS are not a good day of the week for the Athletics (0-4 last 4) while it certainly IS for the Rangers (4-0 last 4). Texas is also 12-3 when facing starting pitchers with high WHIPS of 1/30 or higher.... and 5-1 in Game Three of a series. Oakland is a PERFECT 0-7 in Game Three of a series... 1-6 in their last 7 games vs righty starters... and 1-9 in their last 10 vs winning teams. The WRONG team is favored on Sunday afternoon. We'll run with the SWEEPING DOG!
 

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Stan Sharp

MLB RunLine
dime bet962 CHC 1.5 (+120) SportBet vs 961 FLA

Stan is Betting the CHICAGO CUBS (-1.5 RUNS) today. Stan notes that Chicago starter Jason Marquis is 19-6 in Day Games the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2 runs or more. Also note that the Cubs are 16-3 in home games following scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season winning those games by an average of 3 runs or more. TAKE THE CHICAGO CUBS (-1.5 RUNS) as STAN'S MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY
 

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Matty O'Shea

MLB Money Line
double-dime bet951 STL (+165)Bodog vs 952 NYM

Analysis: Both starting pitchers will be expected to go deep into this game after Saturday night's 14-inning marathon. The Cardinals got the upper hand in that game on a two-run homer by Albert Pujols for a 10-8 victory, ending their season-high five-game losing streak and giving them some solid momentum heading into the series finale. They will have ace Kyle Lohse in the mound, and he has not suffered a loss since May 8th at Colorado. St. Louis has gone 11-3 in Lohse's starts since then while New York's Johan Santana has not had nearly the same luck. The Mets have dropped seven of Santana's last nine starts, including four of five at home. He has also been hit rather hard since the All-Star break, surrendering 14 hits and seven runs - including three homers - in just 12 innings of work. That's why I'm taking a shot on the Cards at a great price as my Double Dime NL Underdog Play O' the Week.
 

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SportsKingz

DODGERS -150

ANGELS -160

ST. LOUIS +170

TAMPA BAY -140

MINNESOTA -110
 

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Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 9.5 Minnesota at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, July 27)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #967 Minnesota (-110) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, July 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #954 Cincinnati (+115) over Colorado (1 p.m., Sunday, July 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #973 Los Angeles Angels (-145) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, July 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #978 Oakland (-120) over Texas (4 p.m., Sunday, July 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #975 Tampa Bay (-130) over Kansas City (2 p.m., Sunday, July 27)
 

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The Hammer

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, July 27, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Hammer had an OUTSTANDING year in baseball last year as I was 81-38 for the season +$5210 playing just $100 per game! My DIME PLAYERS made over $50,000 last year with my baseball selections! Today we are featuring our PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL ESPN SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! 55-31 BASEBALL RUN +$1970 7/27/2008

ESPN SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR
NY Yankees w/Ponson +165 8:05 EST
 

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Vegas-Runner

MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
956 PIT (+112) Bodog vs 955 SDP
Analysis: * 1* ML WAGER * (Maholm vs Peavy)

MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
973 ANA (-145) SportBet vs 974 BAL
Analysis: * 1* ML WAGER * (Santana vs Olson)

MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
970 TOR (+175) Sportsbetting.com vs 969 SEA
Analysis:
*** 2* MLB 2TM PARLAY of the DAY ***

TORONTO -160 & LA DODGERS -143 (2*) PARLAY WAGER (To Win +350)

(Marcum vs Washburn.....Kershaw vs Bergman)


MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
953 COL (-125) Sportsbetting.com vs 954 CIN
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Jimenez vs Fogg)


MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
975 TAM (-133) SportBet vs 976 KAN
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Sonnastine vs Davies)

MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
963 ARI (-140) SportBet vs 964 SFG
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Johnson vs Zito)


UPGRADE:
MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
975 TAM (-133) SportBet vs 976 KAN
Analysis: *** MLB 3* BEST BET of the DAY *** (Sonnastine vs Davies)





HEAVY HITTERS WNBA for SUNDAY

ATLANTA +7 (-120) 1*...

OVER 158.5 NYL/ATL (1*)...

INDIANA +7 (-120) (1*)



NASCAR for SUNDAY

1.) KASEY KAHNE +900 (1/2 *)

2.) JIMMIE JOHNSON +400 (1/2*)

...There is Value on Brian Vickers at +3500...but based on the month of July, we decided to be more conservative with our Units which is why I chose to only put out 1unit Total in Nascar
 

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Wise Guy Insider

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, July 27, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year in Baseball we were 54-27 for PLUS 34.3 UNITS! Tonight we are featuring another QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER today for just $25 and you will be charged only after you win! We are 49-25 PLUS 21.0 UNITS in Baseball this year! 7/27/2008

QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL WINNER
Oakland w/Eveland -120 4:05 EST
 
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