12-4 YEAR TO DATE ON 72 HOLES. THIS WEEK @SAWGRASS:
DIMARCO-110 OVER WEIR @ MILLINIUM
HAPPY GAMING
DIMARCO-110 OVER WEIR @ MILLINIUM
HAPPY GAMING
The Players Championship
- Thread starter Stanley
- Start date
A very competitive event - have played on Mattiace on the outrights (100/1 Heathorns) - main 2 bets so far are on specials
Singh to be Top Asian - was 11/10 Luvbet and Bananabet - now Evs
Price to be top African - 5/1 Luvbet
Still considering the Goose to miss the cut - he's 3/1 Stan James
Singh to be Top Asian - was 11/10 Luvbet and Bananabet - now Evs
Price to be top African - 5/1 Luvbet
Still considering the Goose to miss the cut - he's 3/1 Stan James
Jose Maria Olazabal 40/1 Surrey, Ladbrokes & Paddy Power.
Although there is a lot of talk about his inconsistent stats, it doesn't bother me, just as long as he does what he did in the Buick and gets the ball in the hole in less shots than anyone else. Impossible to ignore while his confidence is on a high. Another top 10 last week (also AT & T/Nissan) and a last 8 in the matchplay. Finished 12th here last year when his form was not as good, with a 68-69 finish.
Although there is a lot of talk about his inconsistent stats, it doesn't bother me, just as long as he does what he did in the Buick and gets the ball in the hole in less shots than anyone else. Impossible to ignore while his confidence is on a high. Another top 10 last week (also AT & T/Nissan) and a last 8 in the matchplay. Finished 12th here last year when his form was not as good, with a 68-69 finish.
Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):
Brad Faxon to beat Michael Campbell -111 @ Centrebet
Opposing Campbell who did finish 2nd last week and did finish 15th last year, but is considered too erratic a driver for this course and has a generally indifferent record on American soil - he missed the cut four times in seven starts on the PGA Tour last year. Faxon is one of the form horses at the moment and should perform much better at Sawgrass than over the past three years.
Scott Verplank to beat Michael Campbell -105 @ TattsBet [2 units]
Solid performances from Verplank on this course and has been equally consistent this year. He should finish in the top-20 again this week.
Scott Hoch to beat Fred Couples -111 @ Ladbrokes
Some improved form from Freddie this year, but his record at Sawgrass has not been that impressive recently. A stark contrast to Hoch's course form.
Scott Hoch to beat Padraig Harrington -125 @ Centrebet
Also backing Hoch to beat Harrington who has not really impressed again weaker fields on the European Tour this season. Achieved a mid-table position last year and can see little change this time around.
Robert Allenby to beat Niclas Fasth -118 @ Centrebet [3 units]
After finishing 2nd to Els in Dubai, Fasth came down to earth with a 56th place finish last week at Bay Hill. With no course experience at Sawgrass and a game that feature length off the tee rather than accuracy, I expect the Swede to struggle again this week. Allenby is at his best on tough tracks and would have finished in the top-10 last week but for a very poor last round.
Matt Kuchar to beat Niclas Fasth -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
No course experience for Kuchar, but his game does centre around accuracy off the tee. A top-30 finish last week was an impressive result having secured his maiden Tour win the week before and I expect him to repeat the feat again this week.
Paul Azinger to beat Angel Cabrera -111 @ Simon Bold
Three top-25 finishes on the PGA Tour since the World Matchplay is impressive from Cabrera, but his very long hitting is not ideal around Sawgrass. Can't see him improving on his 26th place last year, so sticking with my outright selection.
Cameron Beckman to beat Colin Montgomerie -111 @ Simon Bold
Monty has been erratic at best on the European Tour so I can't see a particularly good performance from him on American soil. Will side with Beckman who has been in tremendous form this season after having ended last year with a win on the PGA Tour.
Bob Tway to beat Nick Faldo -118 @ Centrebet
With just one top-20 finish on the PGA Tour last year, I don't see Faldo rediscovering some of his earlier season form at Sawgrass where he has struggled in recent years. With two top-20 finishes in his last three starts, Tway looked to have the better chance of playing at the weekend.
Charles Howell to beat Adam Scott -118 @ Centrebet [2 units]
Opposing the previous week's winner is a common play and is all the more convincing if the win was on a different Tour and in a time zone eight hours different from that at Sawgrass. Howell may not win this event, but he should improve on last week's effort when he was in contention before the weekend but gave up with a final round 82.
John Huston to beat Lee Westwood -111 @ Simon Bold [3 units]
Huston's record at Sawgrass may be woeful, but he is against a player who is a very pale shadow of his former self and is currently playing with a neck injury. Coming off a top-3 finish, Huston looks far more likely to be playing at the weekend.
Vijay Singh to beat Jose Maria Olazabal -135 @ Moneyplays
Just opposing Olly once this week! Hitting fairways and greens will the order of the day at Sawgrass and this is definitely where Vijay has an advantage over Olly. He should have won last year and while I doubt he will this year, he will beat Olazabal.
Lots of plays, but basically just a difference of opinion with two linemakers
Brad Faxon to beat Michael Campbell -111 @ Centrebet
Opposing Campbell who did finish 2nd last week and did finish 15th last year, but is considered too erratic a driver for this course and has a generally indifferent record on American soil - he missed the cut four times in seven starts on the PGA Tour last year. Faxon is one of the form horses at the moment and should perform much better at Sawgrass than over the past three years.
Scott Verplank to beat Michael Campbell -105 @ TattsBet [2 units]
Solid performances from Verplank on this course and has been equally consistent this year. He should finish in the top-20 again this week.
Scott Hoch to beat Fred Couples -111 @ Ladbrokes
Some improved form from Freddie this year, but his record at Sawgrass has not been that impressive recently. A stark contrast to Hoch's course form.
Scott Hoch to beat Padraig Harrington -125 @ Centrebet
Also backing Hoch to beat Harrington who has not really impressed again weaker fields on the European Tour this season. Achieved a mid-table position last year and can see little change this time around.
Robert Allenby to beat Niclas Fasth -118 @ Centrebet [3 units]
After finishing 2nd to Els in Dubai, Fasth came down to earth with a 56th place finish last week at Bay Hill. With no course experience at Sawgrass and a game that feature length off the tee rather than accuracy, I expect the Swede to struggle again this week. Allenby is at his best on tough tracks and would have finished in the top-10 last week but for a very poor last round.
Matt Kuchar to beat Niclas Fasth -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
No course experience for Kuchar, but his game does centre around accuracy off the tee. A top-30 finish last week was an impressive result having secured his maiden Tour win the week before and I expect him to repeat the feat again this week.
Paul Azinger to beat Angel Cabrera -111 @ Simon Bold
Three top-25 finishes on the PGA Tour since the World Matchplay is impressive from Cabrera, but his very long hitting is not ideal around Sawgrass. Can't see him improving on his 26th place last year, so sticking with my outright selection.
Cameron Beckman to beat Colin Montgomerie -111 @ Simon Bold
Monty has been erratic at best on the European Tour so I can't see a particularly good performance from him on American soil. Will side with Beckman who has been in tremendous form this season after having ended last year with a win on the PGA Tour.
Bob Tway to beat Nick Faldo -118 @ Centrebet
With just one top-20 finish on the PGA Tour last year, I don't see Faldo rediscovering some of his earlier season form at Sawgrass where he has struggled in recent years. With two top-20 finishes in his last three starts, Tway looked to have the better chance of playing at the weekend.
Charles Howell to beat Adam Scott -118 @ Centrebet [2 units]
Opposing the previous week's winner is a common play and is all the more convincing if the win was on a different Tour and in a time zone eight hours different from that at Sawgrass. Howell may not win this event, but he should improve on last week's effort when he was in contention before the weekend but gave up with a final round 82.
John Huston to beat Lee Westwood -111 @ Simon Bold [3 units]
Huston's record at Sawgrass may be woeful, but he is against a player who is a very pale shadow of his former self and is currently playing with a neck injury. Coming off a top-3 finish, Huston looks far more likely to be playing at the weekend.
Vijay Singh to beat Jose Maria Olazabal -135 @ Moneyplays
Just opposing Olly once this week! Hitting fairways and greens will the order of the day at Sawgrass and this is definitely where Vijay has an advantage over Olly. He should have won last year and while I doubt he will this year, he will beat Olazabal.
Lots of plays, but basically just a difference of opinion with two linemakers
Thats quite a full plate you got there Stan.Gotta love theses tough tracks
Adding an outright to place only 1/2 unit@ SIA
(been waiting for Oly but they didn't line him.)
Langer 16.5/1
Had Langer earmarked for some upcoming events.He is not competetive till events where single digits under win.While his play this year has been less than stellar it is running true to his 2001 form. Beginning with this event last year he runs off a 2nd,three 3rds and a 6th in his next 6 events which include Players Champ,Masters,US Open and British Open.A true horse for course.
Will also play him in 72 hole match @ +100 over Couples
also adding Kendall -102 over Sutherland
Aside from winning match play Sutherland last 3 events have been 44-cut-cut last 3 here cut-cut-58th not awe inspiring.
A couple articles of interest
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/golf/
Adding an outright to place only 1/2 unit@ SIA
(been waiting for Oly but they didn't line him.)
Langer 16.5/1
Had Langer earmarked for some upcoming events.He is not competetive till events where single digits under win.While his play this year has been less than stellar it is running true to his 2001 form. Beginning with this event last year he runs off a 2nd,three 3rds and a 6th in his next 6 events which include Players Champ,Masters,US Open and British Open.A true horse for course.
Will also play him in 72 hole match @ +100 over Couples
also adding Kendall -102 over Sutherland
Aside from winning match play Sutherland last 3 events have been 44-cut-cut last 3 here cut-cut-58th not awe inspiring.
A couple articles of interest
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/golf/
Prop plays:
Lee Westwood to miss the cut +125 @ Stan James [3 units]
Hopelessly out-of-form and suffering from a neck injury. Just can't see his swing standing up to such a tough test of golf.
Carlos Franco to miss the cut +100 @ WSEX [2 units]
Has made his last four cuts on the PGA Tour after having missed three of the first four, but these have been on much more open courses and against much weaker fields. He stills struggles to find the fairway and will take even money that he makes it three missed cuts out of four at Sawgrass.
Lee Westwood to miss the cut +125 @ Stan James [3 units]
Hopelessly out-of-form and suffering from a neck injury. Just can't see his swing standing up to such a tough test of golf.
Carlos Franco to miss the cut +100 @ WSEX [2 units]
Has made his last four cuts on the PGA Tour after having missed three of the first four, but these have been on much more open courses and against much weaker fields. He stills struggles to find the fairway and will take even money that he makes it three missed cuts out of four at Sawgrass.
Played these in an "unofficial" capacity to miss cut@ 365 Stan
Goosen 5/2,Dimarco 5/2,Calc 7/4,Love 9/4
Goosen horrific course form,Calc and Love-Usually feast or famine and have to believe Chris may have injury of some sort finishing a very uncharacteristic 58th and 67th in last 2 and course form suspect to begin with.Scary plays that can make one look awfully foolish but if right on just one count can't get hurt too bad.
Don't know what parlay on the 4 would pay but their limit on wager was $13(they been cutting back of late) still well under my standard $10
Goosen 5/2,Dimarco 5/2,Calc 7/4,Love 9/4
Goosen horrific course form,Calc and Love-Usually feast or famine and have to believe Chris may have injury of some sort finishing a very uncharacteristic 58th and 67th in last 2 and course form suspect to begin with.Scary plays that can make one look awfully foolish but if right on just one count can't get hurt too bad.
Don't know what parlay on the 4 would pay but their limit on wager was $13(they been cutting back of late) still well under my standard $10
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I'm surprised there is so much opposition to Retief Goosen. Although he has missed the cut here 3 times and has once only bettered 75... he is a vastly improved player compared to the last time he teed it up at Sawgrass. He is the current US Open champion and in his last 24 outings he has 20 top 20's including 5 wins and 3 seconds, the only missed cut being the Buick Challenge....
DTB
The Chris Dimarco demise can probably be put down to the fact that he always plays badly on Bermuda in Florida
The Chris Dimarco demise can probably be put down to the fact that he always plays badly on Bermuda in Florida
Adding to the Price bet with
Hoch 66 Heathorns
Leonard 80 Ladbrokes
Hugely competitive event, but looking forward to watching it
Hoch 66 Heathorns
Leonard 80 Ladbrokes
Hugely competitive event, but looking forward to watching it
Final Selections:
Final Selections:
Tiger Woods 5/2 @ Spodds - 8 Units Win Only.
This will be the 1st time in my life that I have had the pleasure of placing some money on Tiger. For as long as I can remember I have not fully appreciated his achievements due to the fact that he was costing me money. So this week for every reason I can fathom I will support him with relish and encourage the 'others' to miss some putts for a change.
1st Rd 3 Balls:
K Perry/Westwood/Langer 6/4
Cink/Norman/Edwards 6/4
Price/Lehman/Parnevik 6/4
M Campbell/Day/Geiberger 6/5
Allenby/Sluman/Gogel 13/8
Toms/Pernice Jnr/Lowery Evens
Parry/Muehr/Austin 5/6
Beckman/Clarke/Allem 11/8
Mattiace/Gossett/Stadler 11/10
Singh/Pavin/Lickliter 8/11
All 1 Unit @ Hills
Soo many extra plays on offer this week. All show up well in combination of scoring ave before cut, current/course form, ball-striking and all-round ranking.
Final Selections:
Tiger Woods 5/2 @ Spodds - 8 Units Win Only.
This will be the 1st time in my life that I have had the pleasure of placing some money on Tiger. For as long as I can remember I have not fully appreciated his achievements due to the fact that he was costing me money. So this week for every reason I can fathom I will support him with relish and encourage the 'others' to miss some putts for a change.
1st Rd 3 Balls:
K Perry/Westwood/Langer 6/4
Cink/Norman/Edwards 6/4
Price/Lehman/Parnevik 6/4
M Campbell/Day/Geiberger 6/5
Allenby/Sluman/Gogel 13/8
Toms/Pernice Jnr/Lowery Evens
Parry/Muehr/Austin 5/6
Beckman/Clarke/Allem 11/8
Mattiace/Gossett/Stadler 11/10
Singh/Pavin/Lickliter 8/11
All 1 Unit @ Hills
Soo many extra plays on offer this week. All show up well in combination of scoring ave before cut, current/course form, ball-striking and all-round ranking.
My outright plays for this week:
David Duval each way 20-1 @ Sportingodds
Mike Weir each way 66-1 @ UK Betting
Jim Furyk each way 80-1 @ Sportingodds
Thomas Bjorn each way 125-1 @ Sportingodds
David Duval each way 20-1 @ Sportingodds
Mike Weir each way 66-1 @ UK Betting
Jim Furyk each way 80-1 @ Sportingodds
Thomas Bjorn each way 125-1 @ Sportingodds
My matchups for this week:
Kelly -111 vs McCarron @ Canbet
Leonard -102 vs Parnevik @ Canbet
Toms -115 vs Olazabal @ Carib
Kelly -111 vs McCarron @ Canbet
Leonard -102 vs Parnevik @ Canbet
Toms -115 vs Olazabal @ Carib
Adding matchup play (1 unit unless stated):
Angel Cabrera to beat Adam Scott -111 @ BetInternet
Have opposed both these players, but I do expect Cabrera to make the cut - he has been impressive on the PGA Tour so far - whereas Scott has not. He has missed the cut in six of ten starts on the PGA Tour and has to be opposed for winning in Qatar last week.
Angel Cabrera to beat Adam Scott -111 @ BetInternet
Have opposed both these players, but I do expect Cabrera to make the cut - he has been impressive on the PGA Tour so far - whereas Scott has not. He has missed the cut in six of ten starts on the PGA Tour and has to be opposed for winning in Qatar last week.
One last play in the Luvbet/Bananabet top Americas player - getting rid of all the Euros, Australasians, Africans and Fijians (just in case Fiji isn't in Australasia) - Scott Hoch - 50/1 also tempted by the 50/1 Janzen and 66/1 Zinger - but will leave it at that
Bmad Not knocking Goose but your statement of 3 cuts and 1 rd under 75 warrents small miss cut wager @ +250.To shoot 79-77 last year and come back and win open shows a lot of heart--and dislike for this track.
Ian You may be on to something on the bermuda.
Cman Would be funny to Bjorn and Tiger come down the wire,he may put some reverse mojo on TigI'm liking Kelly also.
Monarch Always like checkin out your 3balls.Will look at some in am and post a few unofficial ones as it is a pain tracking them throughout the year.
Ian You may be on to something on the bermuda.
Cman Would be funny to Bjorn and Tiger come down the wire,he may put some reverse mojo on Tig
I'm liking Kelly also.Monarch Always like checkin out your 3balls.Will look at some in am and post a few unofficial ones as it is a pain tracking them throughout the year.
New poster here in golf but have been betting it for years.I played Duval 20-1 to win.
Duval -130
Hoch
Duval pk
Singh
Love Duval at his home course.Ian I read where you said DiMarrco struggles on bermuda greens.Dont understand why he does since he grew up on them and played college golf at Fla on them and now this in Fla playing on them.But he hasnt played good in the Fla swing.Good luck this week.Love this tournament cause Ive played this course a few times.
Duval -130
Hoch
Duval pk
Singh
Love Duval at his home course.Ian I read where you said DiMarrco struggles on bermuda greens.Dont understand why he does since he grew up on them and played college golf at Fla on them and now this in Fla playing on them.But he hasnt played good in the Fla swing.Good luck this week.Love this tournament cause Ive played this course a few times.
